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ISLM Analysis of

the Open Economy


(ISLMBP Analysis)
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates

Fixed exchange rates:


The BP curve
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r

BP

SURPLUS
r1
DEFICIT

O
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r

SURPLUS BP

DEFICIT

O Y1 Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r

BP

a
r1

O Y1 Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r
Assume that national
income rises
BP

a
r1

O Y1 Y1 Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r
Assume that national
income rises
BP

a b
r1 Deficit if rate of interest
remains at r1

O Y1 Y1 Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r

BP
c
r2
a
r1 Rate of interest must
rise to r2 to restore
balance of payments

O Y1 Y1 Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates

Full equilibrium in the


goods, money and
foreign exchange
markets
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r LM

BP

a
r1

IS

O Y1
Y
Full equilibrium in the goods, money
and foreign exchange markets
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates

Effect of an expansionary
fiscal policy
under fixed
exchange rates
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r LM1

b
r2 BP

a
r1

IS2

IS1

O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r LM1

b
r2 BP

Balance of payments
a
r1 surplus causes money
supply to expand

IS2

IS1

O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r LM1
LM2

b
r2 BP
c
r3
a Restoration of
r1 full equilibrium

IS2

IS1

O Y1 Y2 Y3 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r BP

LM1

a
r1

IS2

IS1

O Y1
Y
An expansionary fiscal policy:
BP curve steeper than LM curve
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r BP

LM1

b
r2
a
r1

IS2

IS1

O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy:
BP curve steeper than LM curve
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r BP

LM1

b
r2 Balance of payments
a deficit causes money
r1 supply to contract

IS2

IS1

O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy:
BP curve steeper than LM curve
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r BP LM2

LM1
c
r3
b
r2
Restoration of
a
r1 full equilibrium

IS2

IS1

O Y1 Y3 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy:
BP curve steeper than LM curve
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates

Effect of an expansionary
monetary policy
under fixed exchange
rates
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r LM1

BP

a
r1

IS

O Y1 Y
An expansionary monetary policy
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r LM1
LM2

BP

a
r1
b
r2

IS

O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary monetary policy
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r LM1
LM2

BP

a
r1 Balance of payments
b deficit causes money
r2
supply to contract again

IS

O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary monetary policy
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
r LM1
LM2

BP

a
r1 Full equilibrium
b is restored
r2
back at point a

IS

O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary monetary policy
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates

Floating exchange rates:


The BP curve
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
Appreciation
SURPLUS

BP

O
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r

BP

Depreciation
DEFICIT

O
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates

Effect of an expansionary
fiscal policy
under floating
exchange rates
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
LM

b
r2 BP

a
r1

IS2

IS1

O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
LM

b
r2 BP

a
r1

IS1 IS2
Balance of payments
surplus causes the
exchange rate to appreciate

O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
LM

b
r2 BP
The appreciation
a causes the IS curve
r1
to shift to the left

IS1 IS2

O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
LM

b BP2
r2 BP1
c
r3
Full equilibrium is
a
r1 restored at point c

IS2

IS3
IS1
O Y1 Y3 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
BP1

LM

r2 b
a
r1

IS2
IS1
O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy:
BP curve steeper than LM curve
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
BP1

LM

r2 b
a Balance of payments
r1 deficit causes exchange
rate to depreciate

IS2
IS1
O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy:
BP curve steeper than LM curve
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
BP1

LM

r2 b Depreciation causes
a
r1 the IS curve to
shift to the right

IS2
IS1
O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy:
BP curve steeper than LM curve
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
BP1
BP2

LM
r3 c
b Full equilibrium is
r2 a
r1 achieved at point c

IS3

IS2
IS1
O Y1 Y2 Y3 Y
An expansionary fiscal policy:
BP curve steeper than LM curve
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates

Effect of an expansionary
monetary policy
under floating
exchange rates
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
LM1
LM2

BP1

a
r1

r2 b

IS1
O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary monetary policy
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
LM1
LM2

BP1

a
r1
The balance of payments
r2 b deficit causes the BP line
to shift downward

IS1
O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary monetary policy
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
LM1
LM2

BP1

a
r1
The depreciation
r2 b causes the IS curve
to shift to the right

IS1
O Y1 Y2 Y
An expansionary monetary policy
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates
r
LM1
LM2

BP1

a BP2
r1
c
r3
r2 b Full equilibrium is
restored at point c

IS2
IS1
O Y1 Y2 Y3 Y
An expansionary monetary policy

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