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Result of treatment in a hospital or a healthcare service unit, but secondary to the patient's original condition
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) projections for 2007
1 of 22 patients would get a nosocomial infection 1.7 million cases a year 99,000 would die
Objectives
Historical Overview Factors for disease emergence Specific Examples
Key References
Armies of Pestilence
Author: R. S. Bray Barnes & Noble Book, New York, NY (1996)
Man and Microbes: Disease and Plagues in History & Modern Times
Author: Arno Karlen G.P. Putnam Books, New York, NY (1995)
Impact
Reduced childhood mortality
4) Pneumonia
Five Distinct Threats Have Emerged and Infectious Diseases Remain a Dominant Cause of Death
1. Resurgence of endemic diseases (developing world) 4. New/emerging infections 5. Threat of bioterrorism
2.
3.
Source: Emerging Crisis in Infectious Diseases: Challenges for the 21st Century. The Pfizer Journal. 2004;5:2.
Estimated Costs
$23 billion total $5-6 billion total $5 billion in direct costs $5 billion in direct costs + $12 billion in indirect costs $ 4 billion in direct costs
60 50 40
30
20 10 0
Year
Source: JAMA 1996;275:189-193 and unpublished CDC data
Factors of Emergence
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13.
Microbial adaptation and change Human Demographics and Behavior International Travel and Commerce Economic Development and Land Use Technology and Industry Breakdown of public health measures Human susceptibility to infection Climate and Weather Changing Ecosystems Poverty and Social Inequality War and Famine Lack of Political Will Intent to Harm
Migration
Debate over whether this had a negative impact on public health - bank has shown that these countries are economically better off - other side says, the reduction in public health sector caused immunization levels, nutrition, and medical supplies to drop
Similar reduction in public health funding occurred in the US. - reduction in programs for disease prevention and surveillance Lack of diagnosis and treatment in many areas of the world -In Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ebola outbreak high mortality before there help sent
9. Changing Ecosystems
Ecological changes can increase the risk of infection by altering human exposure or pathogen distribution Rainforest destruction - forests reduce while cropping increases humidity Urban development increases atmospheric particles and increases air temperatures Of the 10 EID targeted by WHO, 7 have arthropod vectors
War refuges are forced onto new areas where they are exposed to new microbes from vectors and people War and famine are closely linked
In 2001, tracking 16 countries with food emergencies, showed that 9 were because of civil unrest Famine is also caused by social, economic, and political forces
- Who will be the parties in a global social contract? - How is their will determined? - How can the liberties of individual countries be balanced against collective responsibility? - Is there collective responsibility?
Must have commitment from 4 groups: donors, health care professionals, country authorities, and patients Do developing world diseases matter to politicians here?
1972 - Biological Weapons Convention (BWC) treaty prohibited the possession, stockpiling, and use, BUTit had nothing for monitoring, inspection, or enforcement
U.S. abandoned its biological warfare program in 1969, BUT Soviet Union kept its program up after signing the BWC, U.S. did not find this out until the mid-1990s Aum Shinrikyo (Japanese cult) had also experimented with botulin, anthrax, and sent teams to Zaire for Ebola
Microbe
Plasmodium
M. tuberculosis
AIDS
HIV
Specific Agents
Avian FLU
H1
Russian Influenza
H3 H2
1998/9
1957 1968 1977 1997 2003
H1
1918
H9 H5
Russian Influenza
H7 H5
H1
H3
H1
1918
H2
1998/9 1957 1968 1977 1997 2003
Regular vaccines
Pandemic vaccines
Domestic birds
Humans
Now you can see why your mother told you to cover your mouth and nose when you sneeze or cough
Sneeze - millions of tiny droplets of water & mucus expelled ~200 miles / hr. Sneeze with your mouth uncovered - aerosols (with mucus, saliva and virus) can float around in the air ~10 meters in distance.
Worldwide
90 200 K deaths
Source: CDC
1918
Treatment
Binding to neuraminidase
Tamiflu
Relenza
Sanofi Pasteur
Chiron
MedImmune
GSK
Chiron
MedImmune
GSK
1 2 3
Higher risk of human cases No or very limited human-to-human transmission Evidence of increased human-to-human transmission Evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission Efficient and sustained human-to-human transmission
Pandemic alert
Pandemic alert
4
5 6
Pandemic
Pandemic Preparedness
"The pandemic clock is ticking;
we just dont know what time it is."
Edgar Marcuse, MD
1918
BREAK - TIME
Whooping cough outbreak at hospital waning No new cases discovered at St. Vincent after Sept. 30
Lee Hammel TELEGRAM & GAZETTE STAFF - Oct 19, 2006 Stephen Smith, Boston Globe Staff & CBS4Boston.com | November 2006
St. Vincent Hospital in Worcester, an outbreak in September infected 30 staff members Officials believe a gastrointestinal surgeon who is a military reservist contracted the disease while on duty in California and unknowingly carried it into the hospital While doctors are required to report whooping cough to officials promptly, the city has no record of the cases at St. Vincent Hospital being reported until Sept. 28, three weeks after the hospital confirmed them UMass Memorial Health Care diagnoses two cases in a typical month at its Memorial and University campuses Canadian study had shown that healthcare workers are 1.7 times more likely than the general public to suffer from whooping cough, increase attributed to contact with infected patients
At least one young patient and 25 staff members at Children's Hospital Boston have been diagnosed with whooping cough Sixty other staff members at Children's have symptoms of the bacterial illness and are undergoing blood tests Workers sent home until finish a five-day course of the antibiotic azithromycin 19-month-old boy admitted Sept. 21 with a fever, cough, and wheezing. Initially diagnosed with respiratory syncytial virus, but because of worsening symptoms, he was sent to intensive care and subsequently diagnosed with whooping cough Outbreak radiated outward, infecting nurses, clinical assistants, and administrative staff members Child recovered - none of hospital workers seriously ill
Cases
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
Year
Cases
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
Year
1118 yrs
0 1990
1995
2000
Year
The Solution
E. coli O157:H7
Sept. 2006
E. coli O157:H7
4 recognized classes of enterovirulent E. coli (collectively referred to as EEC group) that cause gastroenteritis in humans enterohemorrhagic (EHEC) strain designated E. coli O157:H7 E. coli serotype O157:H7 - rare variety of E. coli produces large quantities of one or more related, potent toxins that cause severe damage to the lining of the intestine Toxins [verotoxin (VT), shiga-like toxin] are closely related or identical to the toxin produced by Shigella dysenteriae
E. coli O157:H7
Hemorrhagic colitis acute disease
severe cramping (abdominal pain) and diarrhea which is initially watery but becomes grossly bloody. Occasionally vomiting occurs. Fever is either low-grade or absent. Illness is usually self-limited and lasts for an average of 8 days Some individuals exhibit watery diarrhea only. Infective dose -- Unknown, may be similar to that of Shigella spp. (as few as 10 organisms)
Abstract
We investigated two outbreaks of an unusual gastrointestinal illness that affected at least 47 people in Oregon and Michigan in February through March and May through June 1982. The illness was characterized by severe crampy abdominal pain, initially watery diarrhea followed by grossly bloody diarrhea, and little or no fever. It was associated with eating at restaurants belonging to the same fast-food restaurant chain in Oregon (P < 0.005) and Michigan (P = 0.0005) and with eating any of three sandwiches containing three ingredients in common (beef patty, rehydrated onions, and pickles). Stool cultures did not yield previously recognized pathogens. However, a rare Escherichia coli serotype, 0157:H7, that was not invasive or toxigenic by standard tests was isolated from 9 of 12 stools collected within four days of onset of illness in both outbreaks combined, and from a beef patty from a suspected lot of meat in Michigan. The only known previous isolation of this serotype was from a sporadic case of hemorrhagic colitis in 1975. This report describes a clinically distinctive gastrointestinal illness associated with E. coli 0157:H7, apparently transmitted by undercooked meat.
Vaccines for people and for cattle are just two approaches under development to prevent or treat food poisoning by the strain E. coli O157:H7 Current approach - try to prevent contamination through careful handling, rigorous inspections and government regulation Type III Secreted Protein (TTSP) vaccine for cattle approved in 12/06 for controlled distribution in Canada. Can reduce but not eliminate the E. coli shed into manure Other methods being tested include: cattle antibiotics (neomycin), an industrial chemical (sodium chlorate), bacterial-killing viruses (phages) and friendly bacteria (lactobacillus) Potential barrier - ranchers & feedlots have little incentive to pay
do not make the cows grow faster do not they keep cows healthy - O157 does not sicken the cows
Efforts to develop drugs and vaccines for people also face barriers Outbreaks are rare and sporadic
difficult to test such treatments in clinical trials
Hard to diagnose the infection in time to intervene medically Treatment would have to be very safe, because it would be given to children and because most people improve without any intervention E. coli O157:H7 causes 75,000 cases of infection and 61 deaths in the United States each year, 1999 CDC estimate Antibiotics only make things worse - kill bacteria / release more toxin Intravenous fluids shown to reduce severity of kidney problems Monoclonal antibodies to latch onto toxin and neutralize it Vaccine made of complex sugar on the surface of the bacteria, the Otype polysaccharide being tested in early human safety trials
Norovirus
Cruise Ships
FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. - A thorough scrubbing of the Carnival Liberty began Sunday as the ship docked after a virus sickened nearly 700 passengers on a trans-Atlantic cruise. Fourteen guests and five crew remained ill and in isolation when the ship arrived at Port Everglades, according to a statement released by Carnival Cruise Lines, a brand of Carnival Corp. Some passengers were escorted off the ship in wheelchairs by crew wearing blue gloves. Preliminary tests identified the source of the outbreak as the highly contagious norovirus, which had struck several guests just before they boarded the cruise Nov. 3 in Rome, Carnival officials said. More than 530 guests and 140 crew reported to the ship's infirmary with similar symptoms during the 16-day voyage.
Passengers: 2,974 (~18%) Crew: 1,160 (~12%)
SAN FRANCISCO Acinetobacter is about four times more resistant to standard antibiotics than it was almost a decade ago, and incidence rates have dramatically increased in hospitals, according to research presented at the 46th Interscience Conference on Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy, held here. In 1995, multi-drug resistant (MDR) strains of Acinetobacter caused 4.5% of infections. By 2004, the rate increased to 16.7%, and the strain was resistant to three drug types in one in four cases, according to a CDC study. Hospitals with more than 500 beds reported the majority of infections (55%), followed by those with 200 to 500 beds (45%). Hospitals located in the Northeast region of the United States had the highest cases of drug-resistant Acinetobacter. Although only 26% of all cases came from the Northeast, 74% of all drug-resistant cases came from that region.
A parasitic disease rarely seen in United States but common in the Middle East has infected an estimated 2,500 US troops in the last four years because of massive deployments to remote combat zones in Iraq and Afghanistan, military officials said. Leishmaniasis, which is transmitted through the bite of the tiny sand fly, usually shows up in the form of reddish skin ulcers on the face, hands, arms, or legs. But a more virulent form of the disease also attacks organs and can be fatal if left untreated. In some US hospitals in Iraq, the disease has become so commonplace that troops call it the "Baghdad boil." Family doctors have had difficulty figuring out the cause in civilian contractors who went to Iraq.
Delonte West
Paul Pierce
Delonte West
Paul Pierce
Team medical staff yesterday determined that an ingrown toenail infection that sidelined Delonte West two weeks ago and the infected paper cut on Paul Pierces middle finger, which forced the Celtics captain to miss the last two exhibition games, were fueled by the same bacteria type - known as staphylococcus aureus, a methicillin-resistant strain, for all of you pre-med types. Or you can call it MRSA for short. Locker room and shower areas, in the meantime, were sanitized by a cleaning crew, though there was no way of telling whether the infection actually started in one of those areas. Trainer Ed Lacerte and team physician Dr. Brian McKeon briefed the players on the issue.
- Acquired mainly through direct contact (individuals and objects) - Asymptomatic carriers - Found in nose, armpit, groin, and other similar areas - Causes soft tissue infections such as boils and impetigo - Can cause pneumonia and bloodstream infections - Treatable with antibiotics
[1990s]
2002 - 03 MRSA boom!!! -Los Angeles county: athletes & county jail -Colorado, Indiana, and Pennsylvania fencers, football, & wrestlers
2004 - 06 high school, college, professional football and basketball
Georgia
Texans find out skin infection is a stubborn opponent Leigh Hopper, Houston Chronicle - Oct. 31, 2003
To fight the stubborn bug, the team spent $6,000 buying $50 tubes of Bactroban to distribute to players and staff. Twice a day, for five days, everyone used Q-Tips to swab their noses with the antibacterial ointment. The idea, Bastin said, was to eliminate MRSA harmlessly colonizing unsuspecting nostrils. The team is supplying special, numbered towels for the weight room, so no one mistakenly uses a towel that's not his own, Bastin said. Equipment managers are taking extra care to wipe out helmets. Bastin said the team has always practiced good hygiene but has been told "to take it up another notch." Players are urged to wash their hands frequently and to let a trainer or team doctor examine any wounds or unusual-looking spots on the skin.
Bug Killing
Football equipment in Virginia Tech's locker room receive an "antimicrobial" coating to kill bacteria and other microbes
Recommendations
Don't share towels or wipe your face with a towel you use on equipment Don't ignore skin infections that won't heal
Chikungunya, severe and sometimes deadly infectious disease that devastated islands of Indian Ocean, arrived in US Colorado, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota & at least 6 other states have reported cases of travelers returning from visits to Asia and East Africa sick with the mosquito-borne virus, according to CDC Fever, nausea, crippling joint pain and even neurological damage Usually not fatlal - lasts for 3 to 7 days International travel has dramatically increased global reach France - 850 cases, UK - 93 and U.S. - > 12 "chikungunya" Swahili for "that which bends up," refers to stooped posture of patients afflicted with the severe joint pain associated with disease
Middle-school girls inoculated with breakthrough vaccine will be no older than 18 when they pass Gardasil's five-year window of proven effectiveness -- more than a decade before the typical cancer patient contracts the sexually transmitted HPV Infectious disease specialists and cancer pathologists say the incubation period for HPV becoming cancer is 10 to 15 years -- meaning the average cervical cancer patient, who is 47, contracted the virus in her 30s and would not be protected by Gardasil taken as a teen Merck is working on a booster shot to extend Gardasil's five years of protection None of the HPV vaccine legislation being considered addresses the potential for booster inoculations that could fall outside the enforcement mechanism -- rules that bar students from school unless they have the required shots.
"The point in vaccinating kids 9 to 12 is not to reduce number of cases found in that age group, but to vaccinate prior to beginning sexual activity," said CDC spokesman Curtis Allen. "The benefits of the vaccine decrease as women age because they are more likely to have already been infected by one of the HPV strains." 70% of females are sexually active by age 18, according to CDC But based on cancer statistics, cervical cancer incubation periods, and the five-year life-span of Gardasil, state lawmakers -- who have billed the inoculations as a cure to cervical cancer -- would have a much greater effect on cervical cancer rates by mandating its use later Cervical cancer rates are less than one per 100,000 women until age 20 and then begin to pick up in the late 20s and early 30s Thus, women who likely contracted HPV in their early 20s could be protected by Gardasil taken at 17 or 18
Potential risks that short-term studies used for federal approval don't detect Dr. Clayton Young, OB-GYN in Texas - "My concern is that we are pushing ourselves into something worse than we already have," Dr. Young said. "Vaccinating for only two strains may lead to an increase in infection with other and possibly more aggressive strains." Gardasil is effective against two of 10 carcinogenic HPV strains. Ttwo strains dominate the current statistics, estimated to have caused 6,800 new cervical cancer cases in 2006, while the other eight strains combined affected 2,900 women. Clinical trials for vaccine effectiveness to prevent cervical cancer did not include the age group of girls for whom the vaccine is being recommended by federal regulators.
measured ab responses against HPV as a proxy for cervical cancer
Heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine or PCV7 Active immunization of infants and toddlers against invasive disease caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae due to capsular serotypes included in the vaccine (4, 6B, 9V, 14, 18C, 19F, and 23F). Routine schedule is 2, 4, 6, and 12 to 15 months of age. Introduced in 2000 All but eradicated common causes of pneumonia, meningitis and ear infections in children Doctors have been waiting for arrival of replacement bacteria CDC Researchers noted increase in rates of bacterial infections not covered by the current pneumococcal vaccine among native children in Alaska
Since 2004, 140 percent increase compared to pre-vaccine period
(1994)
Applied Research
integrate lab science and epidemiology
Infrastructure
strengthen local state, and federal public health infrastructures to support surveillance and implement prevention and control programs
Questions???