Optimism for the Next 40 Years of Human History

Presented By Ryan Allis, CEO of iContact

Ive got one big question

As a Species Are We Making Progress?

Well, lets look back at the last 40 years.

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

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1995

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1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

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2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

So much has happened since 1970!

How can we even begin to determine whether were making progress as humans?

Well lets zoom out

Lets look at 5 Human Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

1 Life Expectancy

2 Infant Mortality

3 Per Capita Income

4 % in Extreme Poverty

5 CO2 Emissions

Life Expectancy

17% Improvement Since 1970

Source: World Bank Development Indicators

Infant Mortality
Deaths Per 1000 Live Births Within 12 Mos.

57% Improvement Since 1970

Source: World Bank Development Indicators

Per Capita Income

1080% Improvement Since 1970

Source: World Bank Development Indicators, Inflation Adjusted

% Living in Extreme Poverty

Under $1.25 Per Day, PPP Adjusted, Inflation Adjusted 2005 Dollars

Series 1
60.00% 50.00%

40.00%

30.00%

20.00%

62% Improvement Since 1980

10.00% 0.00%
1981 1983 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2010

Source: World Bank Development Indicators 2011

1970-2010 Were The Greatest Four Decades in the History of Humankind

Except for

CO2 Emissions

Oh Crap!

105% Increase Since 1970

Source: World Bank Development Indicators

Temperature Anomalies on Land

Source: NASA

Our Parents Report Card?

1970-2010

Human KPI
Life Expectancy Infant Mortality Per Capita Income % in Extreme Poverty CO2 Emissions

Delta
17% Better 57% Better 1080% Better 62% Better 105% Increase

Letter Grade

A A A+ B F

So What Will The Next 40 Years of Human History Bring?

Global Population Will Rise

9 Billion by 2050

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

Global Energy Demand Will Double

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

Fossil Fuel Usage Will Peak, Then Decline

As We Turn to More Sustainable Sources

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

And Solar & Wind Power Will Reach Price Parity

Why Im Optimistic

Internet Access Will Become Ubiquitous

Source: World Bank Development Indicators

As Broadband Access Goes from 10% to 85%

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

Smart Phone Access Will Become Ubiquitous

Mobile phone subscriptions per 100 people

Source: World Bank Development Indicators

We Live Longer

The average human being gets 10% more life!

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

We See An End to Extreme Poverty

60.00%

Under $1.25 Per Day, PPP Adjusted, Inflation Adjusted 2005 Dollars

50.00%

40.00%

30.00%

20.00%

10.00%

0.00%
1981 1983 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029

Source: World Bank Development Indicators, 2011-2029 projected

We Become More Educated

% of Population With Secondary Schooling Up 87%

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

Women Globally Go To College in Droves

% of Women With a College Education Up 245% % of Men With a College Education Up 145%

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

We Become More Urban

% Living in Cities

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

We Get Wealthier

Inflation-Adjusted Per Capita Income More than Doubles

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

We Will See Major Innovations

Nanotechnology 3D Printing Individualized Genome Sequencing Artificial Intelligence Private Space Travel

Governments Will Have to Adapt

An increase in government transparency An increase in visibly-tracked government metrics Stronger property rights Easier to start a business The remaining authoritarian regimes will be overthrown

We Will See Major Geopolitical Changes

China will have the world s largest GDP India will become the world s most populous nation Africa s population passes China/India around 2025 With a population of 2 billion by 2050, Africa becomes an economic powerhouse

Africa Becomes A Land of Opportunity

May 10, 2000

Dec 3, 2011

Generation Y Will Be Leading the Next 40 Years

2011-2050

Thats Right, Were in Charge Now

So Whats Different About Gen Y?

We are deeply aware of social issues.

So Whats Different About Gen Y?

We are deeply aware of the need for a sustainable environment.

So Whats Different About Gen Y?

We see business and entrepreneurship as tools to make a scalable positive change in the world.

So Whats Different About Gen Y?

We are used to a faster pace of change and are impatient with the status quo. We are innovators.

So Whats Different About Gen Y?

We are connected through technology like never before.

So Whats Different About Gen Y?

We now have the tools to hold corrupt leaders accountable via internet-enabled mobile phones and create enough momentum to topple these bad leaders.

How will you make a difference in the world?

2011-2050
It Will Be An Amazing Next 40 Years of Human History!

Final Words

As we see all the myopic scare-mongering headlines, keep things in long-term perspective.

And work hard as a committed and caring leader toward creating a sustainable world.

A world in which every human being has access to basic human needs.

A world in which we can actually end extreme poverty in our lifetime.

A world in which we can create economic growth sustainably.

Its time to show our parents what we can do.

Thank you!
@ryanallis ryanallis@icontact.com