Sustainable Inclusive Transport and ADB

ADB Business Opportunities Fair 2012

Lloyd Wright March 2012

Transport in the Asia and Pacific region

Transport is the one sector in which conditions actually worsen as incomes increase. - Enrique Pealosa

Business-as-usual projections to 2050

70

Mode share (p-km)

60

50 40
30 20

Cars and motorcycles

10
0 2010

Public transport
2020 2030

2040

2050

Source: ADB and IEA, 2011

Lag times
70 60

Mode share (p-km)

50 40 30 20 10 0 2010

Public transport

The trend for the next 5 to 8 years is fixed

Cars and motorcycles

2020

Air quality and transport

According to the World Health Organization, local air pollution contribute to the premature death of more than 500,000 people each year and reduces national GDP in Asia by 2-4%.

Congestion

Road congestion diminishes regional GDP by 2-5% each year in Asia and the Pacific Roadway capacity additions have not proven to be an effective way to reduce congestion

Road accidents

Economies of Asia and Pacific lose approximately $96 billion per year in income due to road accidents Over 50% of the victims of road accidents in Asia and the Pacific are vulnerable road users (e.g. pedestrians)

Energy security and climate change impacts

Developing-nations of Asia will account for 70 percent of the global increase in fuel oil consumption up to 2030.
Source: IEA, 2008

Solutions

Public transport

Transit-oriented development

Non-motorized transport

Transportation Demand Management

Intelligent Transportation Systems

Clean fuels

How do we scale up?

Tipping points: Bus Rapid Transit

New York bus lane Paris bus lane

Curitiba

Sao Paulo Goiania Pittsburgh

Quito Leeds

Bogota TransMilenio Brisbane Rouen

1963

1974

1975

1996

2000

2005 Approximately 46 systems world-wide

2011 Approximately 104 systems world-wide

Sustainable Transport Initiative 1. Urban transport 2. Transport and climate change 3. Logistics and cross-border transport 4. Road safety and social sustainability

ADBs 2020 targets

2000-2009
17% rail 1% urban
Percent of transport-sector loan portfolio

78% road

2020
Roads Rail Water Air Urban

30% urban 42% road 25% rail

Roads

Rail

Water

Air

Urban

Project pipeline: Bus Rapid Transit

1. 2. 3. 4.

Dhaka, Bangladesh Jiangxi Fuzhou, PRC Jiangxi Jian, PRC Lanzhou, PRC

5.
6. 7.

Pimpri-Chinchwad, India
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Yichang, PRC

Project pipeline: Urban rail

1. 2. 3. 4.

Astana, Kazakhstan (LRT) Ha Noi, Viet Nam (Metro) Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam (Metro) Tbilisi, Georgia (Metro)

Project pipeline: NMT and urban development

1. 2.

Davao City, Philippines Kathmandu, Nepal

3.
4. 5. 6.

Pasig City, Philippines

Vientiane, Lao PDR Xian, PRC Yerevan, Armenia

Road safety

ADBs Road Safety Action Plan

Mainstreaming road safety components into ADB operations Developing and operationalizing safety guidelines and tools Establishing a stand alone road safety project pipeline Coordinating international efforts under the UN Decade of Action on Road Safety

Green freight and logistics

Road-to-rail shifts
In-land water transport development Port development Vehicle and fuel technologies Logistics management systems

Innovative financing mechanisms

Fuel Security Credits

Carbon Credits

Health Credits

Road Safety Credits

Funding Sustainable Transport

Land Value Capture

Congestion Pricing

Parking Levies

Fuel Levies

Fuel Security Credits

Fuel Security Credit concept

Fuel (and Savings)

Transport and urban planning

Heating Environmental Attributes
e.g. Avoided SO2, NOx, GHG emissions

NOx/SO2 trading; Carbon

Industry
Power generation

Credits

Energy Security Attributes

Reduced reliance on imported oil

Fuel

Security
Credits

Make co-benefits actually pay by creating a new commodity

Pilot Fund
Mechanism type: Offset Target fund size: US$ 75 million No. of cities to be awarded: 2 3 cities Start date: Late 2012

ADB contacts
East Asia Tyrrell Duncan South Asia Teresa Kho Southeast Asia James Lynch Central and West Asia Ramesh Subramaniam Pacific Robert Guild Sustainable Transport Initiative Lloyd Wright lwright@adb.org Jin Young Park jypark@adb.org Ko Sakamoto ksakamoto@adb.org

During this session

36,000 cell phones were sold in the Asia and Pacific region

During this session

4,900 persons moved from a rural area to an urban area in the Asia and Pacific region

During this session

3,800 cars and motorcycles were sold in the Asia and Pacific region

Thank you
Lwright@adb.org