Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
(Cazul bifactorial)
APLICAIE
CUPRINS
xi x 3 x x 3 x xi x 3 x
i 2
x x
x
n 1
yi y 3 y y 3 y yi y 3 y
i 2
y y
y
n 1
Tabel 2. Descriptive statistics
Supr.
Nr. de familii comercial Cifra de afaceri
(sute) (zeci m2) (mil. lei)
34,77 3 18,51 x1i 34,77 3 18.51 Standard Error 5.13 Standard Error 2.67 Standard Error 18.57
Median 33 Median 12 Median 176
x1i 20,77;90,31 Mode #N/A Mode 10 Mode #N/A
Standard Standard Standard
Deviation 18.51 Deviation 9.62 Deviation 66.95
15,77 3 9,62 x2i 15,77 3 9,62 Sample
Variance
Sample
342.69 Variance
Sample
92.53 Variance 4482.44
x2i 13,09;44,63 Kurtosis -0.34 Kurtosis -0.18 Kurtosis -0.61
Skewness 0.31 Skewness 0.88 Skewness -0.23
Range 66 Range 31 Range 230
Minimum 4 Minimum 5 Minimum 43
156,46 3 66,95 yi 156,46 3 66,95 Maximum 70 Maximum 36 Maximum 273
r
xi / x j i , j 1,n
R rxi / x j
2
y
Tabel 3. Correlation
r
x1i / x2 i 0,620 Legtura dintre cele dou
variabile independente este
de intensitate medie.
b) DEFINIREA MODELULUI DE REGRESIE
b.1) forma, variabilele i parametrii modelului de regresie
n colectivitatea general:
Yi 0 1 X 1i 2 X 2i i
250
200
150
300
100
50
0
0 10 20 30 40
Supr. comercial (zeci m2)
c) ESTIMAREA PARAMETRILOR MODELULUI
c.1) estimarea punctual a parametrilor (MCMMP)
i i
n
F b j min yi b0 b1 x1i b2 x2i
2
i 1
F b0 0 2 yi b0 b1 x1i b2 x2i 1 0
i
F b1 0 2 yi b0 b1 x1i b2 x2i x1i 0
i
F b2 0 2 yi b0 b1 x1i b2 x2i x2i 0
i
nb0 b1 x1i b2 x2i yi
0 1i 1 1i b2 x1i x2i x1i yi
2
b x b x
0 2i 1 1i 2i 2 2i 2i i
b x b x x b x 2 x y
X X B X Y
n
x 1i x 2i b0 yi
x1i x x x 2 i b1 x1i yi
2
1i 1i
x b x y
2i x x x 2 2i i
2
1i 2i 2i
b0
B b1 X X X Y
1
b2
1
b0 n
x 1i x 2i yi
B b1 x1i x 2
1i x x
1i 2 i x1i yi
x y
b2 x2i x x x 2i i
2
1i 2i 2i
Tabel 4. Calcule pentru completare matrici
b0 37,502
B b1 1,4963
b2 4, 2446
yi 37,5023 1,4963x1i 4,2446 x2i
b j t critic sb j b j t critic sb
j j
t critic t / 2 ;nk
2
se
t
e
SSE
MSE
unde: k reprezint numrul parametrilor, iar
nk nk (n-k) reprezint numrul gradelor de libertate.
Tabel 4. Calcule pentru intervalele de ncredere ale parametrilor
2
se
t
e
7756,21
775,61 27,85
nk 13 3
0 1,8157;76,8203
d.1)- TESTAREA SEMNIFICAIEI CORELAIEI
(TESTUL F)
F : : i i i
MSE k 1 n k k 1 nk
MSR R2 n k
Fcal
MSE 1 R k 1
2
Regiunea critic:
Dac Fcalc F,k-1,n-k, atunci se accept H0 i deci modelul nu este
semnificativ statistic;
Dac Fcalc> F,k-1,n-k, atunci se respinge H0 i se accept H1, deci
modelul este semnificativ statistic (valid).
SST SSR SSE
Testul F:
MSR 46033,02 7756,21
F : 29,6749
MSE 3 1 13 3
H0 : j 0 ;
Ipoteze
H1 : j 0, j 1, k .
b j 0
tb , n 30
j
sb j
Ipoteze H 0 : 0 0 ;
H1 : 0 0,
b0 0 37,5023
tb 2,125
0
sb 0 17,647
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.925097
R Square 0.855804
Adjusted R
Square 0.826964
Standard Error 27.84998
Observations 13
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 46033.02 23016.5083 29.67493 6.23E-05
Residual 10 7756.214 775.6214162
Total 12 53789.23
Predicted Cifra de
Observation afaceri (mil. lei) Residuals
1 231.38 -33.38
2 200.23 8.77
3 179.22 17.78
4 117.36 38.64
5 130.33 -45.33
6 186.74 0.26
7 81.17 -38.17
8 205.73 5.27
9 110.12 9.88
10 68.96 -6.96
11 147.28 28.72
12 101.39 15.61
13 274.10 -1.10