Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
41
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
15
46
47
48
46
45
41
50
59
67
74
73
84
1089
848
2658
Xi mediu
Yi mediu
Modificarea medie
18305.8181818182
2133147.53333333
94.7272727273
Unitatile scolare
30000000
25000000
20000000
15000000
10000000
Column D
5000000
0
0
200
400
600
800
Populatia scolara
1000
1200
Nr. Crt.
xi
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
41
46
47
48
46
45
41
50
59
67
74
73
84
1089
848
2658
Total
n (b ) + b _(i=1)^n x= _(i=1)^ny
(b ) _(i=1)^n x+ (b) _(i=1)^n x=
_(i=1)^nxy
Bo
B1
1)
6664.0141618711
188.3110562724
Parametrul
Se=(e/(n-2)) = (( (y- (y)) )/(n2))=("81445821883874.90 " /(15-2))="2503010.83 "
Sb0Se/( (x-x) )="2503010.83"
/("1600901084 " )=62.55766077
tcalc
ttab
|tcalc|>ttab
Parametrul
-3430.477706674
Coeficientul de corelatie
Sx=(( (x-x) )/n)
Sx
Sy
1. Pentru parametrul
2. Pentru parametrul
Etapa 1. Se stabilete ipoteza nul
Etapa 2. Se stabilete ipoteza alternativ
Etapa 3. Se stabilete testul statistic
Etapa 4. Se stabilete regiunea critic
Etapa 5. Se determin t calculat
Etapa
6. Se(b)
ia decizia
t calc=
/Sa="6664.014162 " /"0.009005535
=739990.9236
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations
0.9930723151
0.986192623
0.985130517
7509.2086975385
15
ANOVA
df
Regression
"
Residual
Total
13
14
Coefficients
Intercept
Unitatile scolare
6664.0141618711
188.3110562724
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
H: R = 0
H: R diferit de 0
Etapa 3
Stabilirea testului
Regiunea critica
Fcalc > Fcritic
Fcritic= 4.67
Etapa 5
Calcularea testului
Fcalc=8.52
Etapa 6
Luarea deciziei
F calc >f critic
8.52>4.67
15
Total
Se aplica testul Durbin Watson
Etapa 1
Etapa 2
Etapa 3
Etapa 4
Etapa 5
Personalul didactic
5809
64018
6903
8258
9681
10124
15095
19186
26255
30370
29798
25540
18942
16162
209622
31565468
31997213
64729
60988
58925
62192
61914
62048
61620
60647
60255
59609
59380
57080
56843
39711
889959
e si populatia scolara
retarea acestora
60000
Personalul didactic
Column D
70000
f(x) = - 0.0006674724x + 60754.4171629305
50000 R = 0.8608476478
40000
30000
Column E
20000
10000
0
0
40000000
yi
xi^2
5809
6903
8258
9681
10124
15095
19186
26255
30370
29798
25540
18942
16162
209622
168746
600491
_(i=1)^ny
=1)^n x=
1681
2116
2209
2304
2116
2025
1681
2500
3481
4489
5476
5329
7056
1185921
719104
1947488
xx
y
5-2))="2503010.83 "
3010.83"
077
-1.96
1.645
291.2184082
ru parametrul
16758.50603
10330.8634170015
72234.6952607822
H: =0
H: 0
n=15 < 30
H: 0
0.009005535
test t bilateral
|tcalc|> t tab
ttab= 1.645
H:=0
H:0
n=15 < 30
H: 0
|tcalc|> t tab
t tab=1.645
|tcalc|> t tab
|-1.96|>1.645
Se respinge H => se accept H => parametru este semnificativ diferit de
"
SS
52357905678.5119
MS
52357905678.5119
733046798.421436
53090952476.9333
56388215.2631874
Standard Error
2226.7457205855
6.1798631892
t Stat
2.9927144803
30.471719277
Residuals
-8575.7674690378
-8423.3227503997
-7256.633806672
-6021.9448629444
-5202.3227503997
-43.0116941273
4801.2325309622
10175.4330245109
12595.6335180597
10517.1450678808
4940.9676739743
-1468.7212697534
-6320.1428887493
-2112.7544424716
2394.2101191673
n<30
lare a erorilor
Residuals
r
-8575.7674690378
-8423.3227503997
-7256.633806672
-6021.9448629444
-5202.3227503997
-43.0116941273
4801.2325309622
10175.4330245109
12595.6335180597
10517.1450678808
4940.9676739743
-1468.7212697534
-6320.1428887493
-2112.7544424716
73543787.6830077
70952366.1574002
52658734.204135
36263819.932342
27064161.9993257
1850.0058316989
23051833.8163693
103539437.236307
158649983.721268
110610340.378849
24413161.5552587
2157142.16822597
39944206.1342088
4463731.3341835
2394.2101191673
5732242.09472302
733046798.421436
H:=0
H: diferit de 0
Calcularea testului DW
DW= [ri-r(i-1)]/r
DW
0.972522711
si =0.05
d1<DW<d2
0 < 0.972522711 < 1.350
x15=X1+(T-1)*
delta=x14-x1/t14-t1
60754.4171629305
000 30000000
scolara
Column E
40000000
xi*yi
238169
317538
388126
464688
465704
679275
786626
1312750
1791830
1996466
1889960
1382766
1357608
228278358
143096608
384446472
177.2
40032.7333333333
600491
88= 384446472
(yi)=6664.014162xi+188.3110563
273412.89
306732.96
313396.98
320060.99
306732.96
300068.95
273412.89
333389.02
393365.15
446677.26
493325.36
486661.34
559965.50
7257299.73
5651272.32
17715774.31
(y-)
71611842849.23
89898006414.16
93109795079.68
96335738705.20
87976876636.72
81210151232.76
64631312459.88
94331305719.13
131765476460.00
173788317336.13
218823142127.25
218761385568.30
295722247322.94
49669761432929.90
30058094853033.70
81445821883874.90
Se respinge H; se accept H;parametru este semnificativ diferit de 0, rezulta ca este semnficativ statistic.
test t bilateral
F
8.5256756955
Significance F
1.77812390060847E-013
P-value
0.0103833502
1.77812390060847E-013
Lower 95%
1853.4225012055
174.9602735371
PROBABILITY OUTPUT
Percentile
3.3333333333
10
16.6666666667
23.3333333333
30
36.6666666667
43.3333333333
50
56.6666666667
63.3333333333
70
76.6666666667
83.3333333333
90
96.6666666667
Personalul didactic
5809
6903
8258
9681
10124
15095
16162
18942
19186
25540
26255
29798
30370
168746
209622
Upper 95%
11474.6058225367
201.6618390076
ri-r(i-1)
0
152.4447186382
1166.6889437276
1234.6889437276
819.6221125447
5159.3110562724
4844.2442250895
5374.2004935488
2420.2004935488
-2078.4884501789
-5576.1773939065
-6409.6889437276
-4851.421618996
4207.3884462777
[ri-r(i-1)]
0
23239.3922406795
1361163.09141631
1524456.78776328
671780.407372271
26618490.5753742
23466702.1123124
28882030.9448597
5857370.42897364
4320114.23752702
31093754.3283142
41084112.3553444
23536291.7252614
188439506.386759
4506.9645616389
376879012.773519
753758025.547038
d1=1.045
d2=1.350
late pozitiv
(x-xx )
(y-yx )
18550.44 1171263923.27111
1598938842.67111
47651409
2209
68194564
2304
93721761
2116
102495376
2025
227859025
1681
368102596
2500
689325025
3481
922336900
4489
887920804
5476
652291600
5329
358799364
7056
261210244
1185921
43941382884
719104
28475212516
1600901084.11111 78267767991.27
nficativ statistic.
Lower 95.0%
1853.4225012055
174.9602735371
An
41
46
47
48
46
45
41
50
59
67
74
73
84
1089
848
2658
X1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
TOTAL
yx
41
46
47
48
46
45
41
50
59
67
74
73
84
1089
848
2658
59809
Pentru parametrul
Sb=(Sed)=20672785.45
Se=( (y-(y)) )/(n-k)="101342121607771
"
14=7238722971984
ttab= t(/2;n-k)=t(0.05/2;14)=2.761
Intervalul de ncredere
b-ttab*Sbb+ttab*Sb
158926450.5-2.761*7238722971984 2.761*20672785.45
-56155914.5319986114125648
Pentru parametrul
"Sb""=" (Sed)=2750357.341
Intervalul de ncredere
b-ttab*Sbb+ttab*Sb
.-70699.642706004.306
Pentru parametrul
"Sb" 2"=" Sed2=3126063.981
Intervalul de ncredere
b-ttab*Sbb+ttab*Sb
-65648.4167994.17
0.750.456752
Testarea semnificaiei:
Etapa 1. Se stabilete ipoteza nul H: R=0
Etapa 2. Se stabilete ipoteza alternativ H: R0
Etapa 3. Se stabilete testul statistic F
Etapa 4. Se stabilete regiunea critic
F calc=(n-k-1)/kR/(1-R)=7*12.9201=90.44149169
Etapa 6. Se ia decizia
Fcalc> Ftab
90.44>3.09
3.Pentru parametrul
Etapa 1. Se stabilete ipoteza nul
Etapa 2. Se stabilete ipoteza alternativ
Etapa 3. Se stabilete testul statistic
Etapa 4. Se stabilete regiunea critic
|tcalc|> t tab
t tab= 2.782
Etapa 5. Se determin t calculat
Etapa 6. Se ia decizia
|tcalc|> t tab
9.28 >1.1782
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations
0.9658929791
0.9329492472
0.9226337467
58236.3037893294
16
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
2
13
15
Coefficients
Intercept
Unitatile scolare(X1)
Populatia scolara(X2)
7242.3165189884
-1124.4982898372
6.3749780134
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
5809
6903
8258
9681
10124
15095
19186
26255
30370
29798
25540
18942
16162
209622
168746
600491
X2
64018
64729
60988
58925
62192
61914
62048
61620
60647
60255
59609
59380
57080
56843
46891
897139
y
5809
6903
8258
9681
10124
15095
19186
26255
30370
29798
25540
18942
16162
209622
168746
600491
64018
64729
60988
58925
62192
61914
62048
61620
60647
60255
59609
59380
57080
56843
46891
897139
b0
b1
b2
y
x x= xy
x = xy
8331
0491
="4.9986
+ (b)"77130248549
=6.20789 "
(y-y
LEGATURA DIRECTA
=90.44149169
Se respinge H; se accept H;parametru nu este semnificativ diferit de 0, prin urmare nu este sem
=>Se respinge H1; se accept H0;parametru nu este semnificativ diferit de 0, prin urmare nu este
=>Se respinge H; se accept H;parametru este semnificativ diferit de 0, prin urmare este semnf
SS
613458683306.19
44089072027.5598
657547755333.75
Standard Error
16516.9300310357
260.5785990039
1.1897936193
Residuals
65847.8660845857
65207.1315871289
53952.5346688297
43942.4392456204
42136.3274060165
9043.8134116435
-21400.2148004626
-56772.4497685446
-73857.9996850879
-61607.525942734
-27237.381532881
13471.2251095946
41263.1451750138
-62156.3200079931
-82528.8065836486
50696.2156329188
MS
306729341653.095
3391467079.04306
t Stat
0.4384783677
-4.3153900364
5.3580536238
x
1681
2116
2209
2304
2116
2025
1681
2500
3481
4489
5476
5329
7056
1185921
719104
1947488
-158926450.4631
-7064970.974427
###
33744481
47651409
68194564
93721761
102495376
227859025
368102596
689325025
922336900
887920804
652291600
358799364
261210244
43941382884
28475212516
77130248549
xx
238169
317538
388126
464688
465704
679275
786626
1312750
1791830
1996466
1889960
1382766
1357608
228278358
143096608
384446472
x y
x y
2624738
371880562
2977534
446824287
2866436
503638904
2828400
570452925
2860832
629631808
2786130
934591830
2543968
1190452928
3081000
1617833100
3578173
1841849390
4037085
1795478490
4411066
1522413860
4334740
1124775960
4794720
922526960
61902027 11915543346
39763568
7912668686
145390417 33300563036
H: =0
H: 0
n=15<30 => Test t bilateral
H: 0
H: =0
H: 0
n=15 < 30
=> test t bilateral
H: 0
|tcalc|> t tab
t tab= 1.782
H: =0
H: 0
n=15 < 30 => test t bilateral
H: 0
F
Significance F
90.441491692 2.35301004E-008
P-value
Lower 95%
Upper 95%
0.6682380379 -28440.34142105 42924.974459
0.0008390138 -1687.44412767
-561.552452
0.0001301792
3.8045851706 8.9453708561
=6664.014162-0.078
(-yx )
(y-yx )
(y-)
-201661.542
68366983784.8006 17713436.2711 70585619037.3298
-240894.96
58030381753
4189843441 93406004926.0816
-289488.048
83803329935
3719536144
122833460222
-340519.752
115953701502
3472155625
159556109900
-356406.462
127025566155
3867844864
175224672389
-534676.386
285878837746
3833343396
355920088668
-681387.516
464288946961
3849954304
552696366450
-934896.696
874031832192
3797024400
993045525407
-1082469.528
1171740279049
3678058609
1306715396587
-1061957.088
1127752856753
3630665025
1259359970453
-909257.238
826748724855
3553232881
938701787136
-672639.684
452444144492
3525984400
535852817763
-572944.182
328265035688
3258126400
396930469905
-7510885.092
56413394865228
3231126649
57270508474446
-6044971.182
36541676591211
2198765881
37110784844482
-21528351.552
98939402077304
49823375455 101342121607771
An
x mediu
y mediu
5809
6903
8258
9681
10124
15095
19186
26255
30370
29798
25540
18942
16162
209622
168746
600491
177.2
59809.2666666667
"
" /15="5368272993
Etapa 7. Se ia decizia
tcalc > ttab
2.32>2,064
Interpretare: pentru o probabilitate de 95% avem suficiente
Personalul didactic
(x-xx )
(y-yx )
64018
18550.44 2916028800.0711
64729 3571648042.67111
47651409
60988
2209
68194564
58925
2304
93721761
62192
2116
102495376
61914
2025
227859025
62048
1681
368102596
61620
2500
689325025
60647
3481
922336900
60255
4489
877391792.64
59609
10650.24 1174382637.8711
59380
10857.64
358799364
57080
7056
261210244
56843
1185921
43941382884
46891
719104
28475212516
897139 3573620986.991 80524094894.58
0 = 4200
H: =
H:
=5%=0.05
=>
testul T bilateral
t calc > t (/2; n+n-2) sau t calc < - t (/2; n +n -2)
t (/2; n+n-2)= t (0,05/2; 15+15-2)= t(0,05; 28)=2,048
((15-1)"106727452.5" +(15-1)"5368272993
=>
" )/(15+15-2)=5241433697
Acceptam H1
abilitate de 95% avem suficiente dovezi pentru a afirma ca ntre mediile celor dou popula ii exist diferen e semnificativ
An
5809
6903
8258
9681
10124
15095
19186
26255
30370
29798
25540
18942
16162
209622
31565468
31997213
F -Test
Unitatile scolare
Mean
Variance
Observations
df
F
P(F<=f) one-tail
F Critical one-tail
332.25
483080.733333333
16
15
4.10714564425851E-009
0
0.4160690751
Count
16
16
16
16
ANOVA
Source of Variation
Between Groups
Within Groups
SS
188482707753049
1764940968321110
Total
1953423676074160
Personalul didactic
64018
64729
60988
58925
62192
61914
62048
61620
60647
60255
59609
59380
57080
56843
39711
889959
Populatia scolara
3999651.625
117619576994706
16
15
Sum
30135
5316
63994426
1779918
df
Average
Variance
1883.4375 248271.73
332.25 483080.73
3999652
014
111244.88
10
MS
3
60
F
P-value
F crit
13 2.1358528 0.1050889 2.7580783
13
63