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xi 0 1 2 3

ni 2 15 45 89

suma nk= 1002

p0= 0.001996008
p1= 0.01497006
p2= 0.04491018
p3= 0.088822355
p4= 0.133732535
p5= 0.160678643
p6= 0.160678643
p7= 0.137724551
p8= 0.102794411
p9= 0.068862275
p 10 = 0.040918164
p 11 = 0.022954092
p 12 = 0.010978044
p 13 = 0.00499002
p 14 = 0.001996008
p 15 = 0.000998004
p 16 = 0.000998004
p 17 = 0.000998004
p 18 = 0

2.2 Determinarea repartiţiei teoretice corespunzătoare repartiţiei empirice a

lambda = x mediu

𝜙(𝑥) 𝑝_𝑖 ni
0.001996008 0.00199600798 2
0.016966068 0.01497005988 15
0.061876248 0.04491017964 45
0.150698603 0.08882235529 89
0.284431138 0.13373253493 134
0.44510978 0.16067864271 161
0.605788423 0.16067864271 161
0.743512974 0.1377245509 138
0.846307385 0.10279441118 103
0.915169661 0.06886227545 69
0.956087824 0.04091816367 41
0.979041916 0.02295409182 23
0.99001996 0.01097804391 11
0.99500998 0.00499001996 5
0.997005988 0.00199600798 2
0.998003992 0.00099800399 1
0.999001996 0.00099800399 1
1 0.00099800399 1
1 0 0

2.3 Analiza fluxului de servire a călătorilor

Timpul mediu de servire a unui călător este ts = (45 + 5r)/ 60 [min]

ts= 1 min

r= 3

miu = 1

t f(t) F(t)
0 1 0
0.5 0.60653066 0.39346934029
1 0.367879441 0.63212055883
1.5 0.22313016 0.77686983985
2 0.135335283 0.86466471676
2.5 0.082084999 0.91791500138
3 0.049787068 0.95021293163
3.5 0.030197383 0.96980261658
4 0.018315639 0.98168436111
4.5 0.011108997 0.98889100346
5 0.006737947 0.993262053
5.5 0.004086771 0.99591322856
6 0.002478752 0.99752124782
6.5 0.001503439 0.99849656081
7 0.000911882 0.99908811803
7.5 0.000553084 0.99944691563
8 0.000335463 0.99966453737
8.5 0.000203468 0.99979653163
9 0.00012341 0.9998765902
9.5 7.48518E-05 0.99992514817
10 4.53999E-05 0.99995460007

3. MODELE ANALITICE PENTRU DIMENSIONAREA SISTEMULUI D


3.1 Determinarea capacităţii de servire a sistemului de emitere a legitimaţiil
miu= 1
lambda= 6.013972056

ro= 6.013972056

i
0
1
2
3
4
5

∑24_(𝑖=0)^
(𝑛−1)▒𝜌^𝑖 181.412752
/𝑖!=
1
6.013972056
𝜌^𝑖/𝑖!= 18.08392994
36.25208312
54.50475371
65.55801314

n= 6.013972056

n= 6 , rezulta 6 CASE

a doua fractie= -28218.0419

P(0)= -3.56676E-05

P(K ≥ n)= 1.006470562

P(ω > n)= 1.190191702 tau=

P(ω > n)= 1.190191702 ≤0,05 A

, numărul minim de
ramane n = 6 staţii de servire necesare în agenţia de voiaj
3.2 Determinarea capacităţii de servire a sistemului de emitere a legitimaţiil
𝜇_𝑐𝑡= 1.268498942918 miu= 1
lambda= 6.013972055888 cal/min ro= 6.013972

Timpul mediu de servire a unui călător este ts = (45 + 5r)/ 60 [min]

ts= 0.916666666667 min

r= 2

𝜀= 14%

𝜌_𝑐𝑡= 4.741014637392

4.741014637392
〖𝑛 =𝑛 〗 _0=
〖𝑛 =𝑛 〗 _0= 5 , rezulta numărul echipamentelor

k
0 1
1 4.74101463739
(𝜌_(𝑐𝑡 )^𝑘)
2 /𝑘!= 11.238609896
3 17.7608046736
4 21.0510587323

∑_(𝑖=0)^(𝑛
−1)▒(𝜌_(𝑐𝑡 55.7914879393
)^𝑘)/𝑘!=

P(> 0)= 0.063983831931 punctul (3.6)

a doua fractie = 3.813772997992

𝑡_𝑎^(−𝑐𝑡) 3.133418882329 punctul (3.5)


=
prima fractie = 3.043930071547

a doua fractie = 19.30611039036

punctul
𝑡 ̅_𝑎= -0.01137151
(3.7)
𝑡_𝑎^(−𝑐𝑡) , nu se respecta conditia
≤𝑡 ̅_𝑎

3.3 Evaluarea parametrilor de servire a călătorilor


Pentru sistemul de servire M/M/n:(∞/FIFO) - 3.1

λ= 6.013972055888
μ= 1
n= 6
ρ= 6.013972055888
P(0)= -0.000035668

t̅si= -71.034535949
n̅si= -427.1997142

n̅a= -433.213686256
n̅si= -427.1997142

t̅a= -72.034535949

Arena

1 - 3.1
λ= 6.013972055888 9.976767342
60
12
max arrivals (12h) 4330.05988024
ts = 0.916666666667
n 6 prin simulare valoarea a rezultat a fi corecta

2 - 3.2
λ= 6.013972055888 9.976767342
60
12
max arrivals (12h) 4330.05988024
ts = 0.916666666667
n 6
1-ε*ts = 0.871666666667

5. DIMENSIONAREA SPAŢIILOR FUNCŢIONALE DIN AGENŢIA DE

n (3.1) 6
n (3.2) 6
n (3.1) - arena 6
n (3.2) - arena 5
n (nr. de case) 5
ρ 6.013972056
P(0) -3.56676E-05

θ 50%
P1(s) ≥ 0.50
∑P(k) ≥ 0.98

z 50 total calatori in agentie

s 12 fotolii
u 32 persoane in picioare
Scal 99.8 m2
at 36 m2
L 18 m
l 2 m
Scb 54 m2
4 5 6
134 161 161

suma pi= 1

valoare medie = suma (pi*xi)

valoare medie = 6.013972055888 (x mediu)

dispersia de selecţie = 5.58343004419

lambda = x mediu 6.013972055888

respunzătoare repartiţiei empirice a sosirii călătorilor

k P(k) F(x)
0 0.002444359739 0.00244435973875432
1 0.014700311163 0.017144670902161
2 0.044203630275 0.0613483011769559
3 0.088613132414 0.149961433590766
4 0.13322922553 0.283190659121111
5 0.160247367873 0.443438026994536
6 0.16062053207 0.604058559064605
7 0.137995341639 0.742053900703361
8 0.103737516057 0.84579141676064
9 0.069319391413 0.915110808173499
10 0.041688488289 0.95679929646231
11 0.022792127602 0.979591424064232
12 0.011422601541 0.991014025605248
13 0.005284246652 0.996298272257033
14 0.002269950836 0.998568223092766
15 0.000910094726 0.999478317819056
16 0.000342080266 0.999820398084813
17 0.000121015362 0.999941413447115
18 4.04323893E-05 0.999981845836405

Chart Title
1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

Densitatea de probabilitate Functia de repartitie

IMENSIONAREA SISTEMULUI DE EMITERE A LEGITIMAŢIILOR DE CĂLĂTORIE


a sistemului de emitere a legitimaţiilor de călătorie – sistemul M/M/n:(∞/FIFO)

12 min

umărul minim de
necesare în agenţia de voiaj
a sistemului de emitere a legitimaţiilor de călătorie – sistemul M/C/n:(∞/FIFO)

𝑡_𝑠^𝑐𝑡= 0.788333333333

〖𝑛 =𝑛 〗 _0=
rezulta n=n+1 n= 6

călătorilor
Pentru sistemul de servire M/C/n:(∞/FIFO) - 3.2

λ= 6.01397205588822
μct= 1.26849894291755
n= 6
ρct= 4.74101463739188
P(> 0)= 0.0639838319305958

𝑡_𝑎^(−𝑐𝑡) 0.00634191532725921
=

t̅si= 0.794675248660593
n̅si= 4.77915473895083

n̅a= 0.0381401015589461
n̅si= 4.77915473895083

aloarea a rezultat a fi corecta


UNCŢIONALE DIN AGENŢIA DE VOIAJ

k P(k)
0 -3.56676258E-05
1 -0.00021450411
2 -0.00064501085
3 -0.00129302574
4 -0.00194405516
5 -0.00233829868
6 -0.00234374382

7 -0.00234920164
8 -0.00235467217
9 -0.00236015544
10 -0.00236565148
11 -0.00237116032
12 -0.00237668198
13 -0.0023822165
14 -0.00238776391
15 -0.00239332424
16 -0.00239889752
17 -0.00240448377
18 -0.00241008304
19 -0.00241569534
20 -0.00242132071
21 -0.00242695918
22 -0.00243261078
23 -0.00243827554
24 -0.0024439535
25 -0.00244964467
26 -0.0024553491
27 -0.00246106682
28 -0.00246679784
29 -0.00247254222
30 -0.00247829997
31 -0.00248407112
32 -0.00248985572
33 -0.00249565379
34 -0.00250146536
35 -0.00250729046
36 -0.00251312913
37 -0.00251898139
38 -0.00252484728
39 -0.00253072683
40 -0.00253662007
41 -0.00254252704
42 -0.00254844776
43 -0.00255438227
44 -0.0025603306
45 -0.00256629278
46 -0.00257226884
47 -0.00257825883
48 -0.00258426275
49 -0.00259028067
50 -0.00259631259
51 -0.00260235856
7 8 9 10 11 12 13
138 103 69 41 23 11 5

suma de ni= 1002 egal N 0 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =


1 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
N / N-1 = 1.000999001 2 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
3 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
s^2 = 5.5834300442 4 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
5 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
6 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
7 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
8 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
9 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
10 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
11 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
12 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
13 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
14 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
15 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
16 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
17 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =
18 ((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi =

〖𝑛′〗 _𝑘
2.44924845823183 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
14.7297117857335 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
44.2920375353445 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
88.790358678638 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
133.495683981405 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
160.567862609171 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
160.941773134209 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
138.271332322034 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
103.944991089393 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
69.4580301956847 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
41.7718652653888 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
22.8377118571251 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
11.4454467440981 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
5.29481514508947 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
2.27449073740441 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
0.911914915741783 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
0.342764426288672 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
0.121257393026625 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr
0.0405132540684434 ((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni pr

Chart Title

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

tea de probabilitate Functia de repartitie

GITIMAŢIILOR DE CĂLĂTORIE
emul M/M/n:(∞/FIFO)
emul M/C/n:(∞/FIFO)

〖𝑛 =𝑛 〗 _0= 6

k
0 1
1 4.7410146374
2 (𝜌_(𝑐𝑡 )^𝑘) 11.238609896
3 /𝑘!= 17.760804674
4 21.051058732
5 19.960675517

∑_(𝑖=0)^(𝑛
−1)▒(𝜌_(𝑐𝑡 75.752163456
)^𝑘)/𝑘!=

Se calculeaza din nou valorile pentru termenii precedenti avand in vedere n = 6

P(> 0)= 0.00247940487053 punctul (3.6)

a doua fractie = 0.18828712303574

𝑡_𝑎^(−𝑐𝑡) 0.00634191532726 punctul (3.5)


=
prima fractie = 0.62616560664393

a doua fractie = 4.76574246071487

𝑡 ̅_𝑎= -72.034535949
𝑡 ̅_𝑎= -72.034535949

∞/FIFO) - 3.2
14 15 16 17 18
2 1 1 1 0

((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.0721913371 suma(((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi )=


((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.3763460446
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.7235915419 s^2 = (N / N-1)*suma(((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi )=
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.8068647228
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.5424303206
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.1652000321
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 3.136742E-05
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.133902847
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.405452715
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.6140010369
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.6501249198
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.022954092
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.3933710938
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.2435358605
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.1272986873
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.0805875232
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.0995217107
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0.1204519062
((xi - x mediu)^2) * pi = 0

Chart Title
0.18
0.16
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.0824024923 0.14
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.00495975209 0.12
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.01131604865 0.1
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.00049498036 0.08
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.00190519003 0.06
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.00116301433 0.04
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 2.1065804E-05 0.02
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.0005324403 0
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.00859116105 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.00302040901 Column E Column H


((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.01426261394
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.00115324344
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.01733639641 Fig 2.2 Functia de repartitie empirica si teoretica
1.2

0.8
Fig 2.2 Functia de repartitie empirica si teoretica
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.01641529825
1.2
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.03312616916
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.00850844957 1
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 1.260220041 0.8
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 6.36817723057
0.6
((ni - ni prim)^2) / ni prim = 0.04051325407
0.4
𝜒_𝐶^2= 7.87411925032
0.2

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Functia de repartitie a variabilei aleatoare


Functia de repartitie a probabilitatii soririi in agentie
5.577858

x mediu)^2) * pi )= 5.58343 DISPERSIE DE SELECTIE

3 14 15 16 17 18 19

tie empirica si teoretica


tie empirica si teoretica

17 18 19
n+s-1

da -0.002347
-0.002531
da -0.002967
k -0.00362
0 1 -0.004277 P(k)
1 4.741015 -0.004677 -0.002311
2 11.23861 -0.002344 -0.002317
3 17.7608 0 -0.002322
4 21.05106 -0.004698 -0.002327
-0.004709 -0.002333
55.79149 -0.00472 -0.002338
-0.004731
-0.004742
-0.004753 -0.002349
-0.004764 -0.002355
P(0) de la punctul 3.2 -0.004776 -0.00236
-0.004787 -0.002366
-0.004798 -0.002371
-0.004809 -0.002377
-0.00482 -0.002382
-0.004831 -0.002388
-0.004843 -0.002393
-0.004854 -0.002399
-0.004865 -0.002404
-0.004877 -0.00241
-0.004888 -0.002416
-0.004899 -0.002421
-0.004911 -0.002427
-0.004922 -0.002433
-0.004934 -0.002438
-0.004945 -0.002444
-0.004957 -0.00245
-0.004968 -0.002455
-0.00498 -0.002461
-0.004991 -0.002467
-0.002501 -0.002473
-0.002507 -0.002478
-0.002513 -0.002484
-0.002519 -0.00249
-0.002525 -0.002496
-0.002531
-0.002537
-0.002543
-0.002548
-0.002554
-0.00256
-0.002566
-0.002572
-0.002578
-0.002584
-0.00259
-0.002596
-0.002602
k
0 1
1 4.741015
2 11.23861
3 17.7608
4 21.05106
5 19.96068
75.75216

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