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yt
Δ t/1= y t − y 1 Δ t/t−1 = y t − y t−1 i t/ 1 =
y1
n n
∑ Δt / t −1= Δn /1 ∏ it /t−1=in/1
t =2 t=2
n
∑ Δt/t −1 n
n
Δ̄= t=2
y mediu
n−1
Δ
= n/1
n−1 ȳ=
∑
t =1
n
yt
ī =
mii tone
√
n−1
∏ it /t−1=
t=2
n−1
√in /1
D mediu mii tone
I mediu
r̄= ī −1
r mediu r̄= ī −1
r̄ %= ī %−100
y yteo_D ti yteo_D
Ani
2005 136
2006 153
2007 165
2008 170
2009 156
2010 160
2011 174
2012 183
2013 190
2014 198
2015 195
2016 205
2017 210
2018 214
2019
2020
mii tone mii tone
yt
it/t−1 = r t/1=it/1 −1 rt/t−1=it/t−1−1
y t−1
it/t-1 rt/2005 rt/t-1 At/2005 At/t-1
100% 0% 0%
112.5% 12.5% 12.5% Evolutia pro
107.8% 21.3% 7.8% 220
mii tone
108.8% 27.9% 8.8% 180
it / 1
=i t/ t−1
i t−1/ 1
i2009/2008=(i2009/2005) / (i2008/2005)
n−1
it /t−1 = √in /1 i2010/2007 *i2007/2005=i2010/2005
i2010/2007 = 97.0% 97.0%
i2007/2005= 121.3%
i2010/2005= 117.6% 117.6%
r̄= ī −1
r̄= ī −1
r̄ %= ī %−100 i t / t⋅i t / t =i t / t
' ' '' ''
vi si medii.
metoda modificarii medii absolute si metoda indicelui mediu de dinamica
0 folosind cele doua metode mecanice, anterior mentionate.
metoda regresiei liniare.
0 folosind cele modelul liniar.
tru a fi folosita la previziune.
ti
yteo_ind yteo_ind
^y i= y 1⋅ī = ^y i−1 ¿
^y i= y 1 +t i⋅¯ Δ= ^y i−1 + Δ̄
Evolutia productiei de otel la SC AAA SA in periada 2005-2018
220
200
mii tone
180
160
140
120
100
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
I 2009/2005= 114.7%
I 2008/2005= 125.0%
I 2009/2008= 91.8%
08/2005)
relatie de circularitate
e dinamica
ti
= ^y i−1 ¿ ī
Δ= ^y i−1 + Δ̄
017 2018