Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Partea I
Culegerea, prelucrarea
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datelor statistice
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putem avea:
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timp;
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(nenumerice).
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pot fi:
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al valorilor caracteristicii;
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Tabelul 1.1. Cod salariat A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Total Vechimea (ani) 1 2 23 10 28 3 9 14 25 21 24 24 2 6 9 17 6 24 23 24 19 12 15 18 19 32 34 20 22 30 16 2 24 22 22 16 38 13 24 27 29 748 Venituri salariale
V SW PkQDOH PLL OHL
2 740 910 850 920 790 770 770 810 870 900 930 790 730 780 830 730 910 810 810 790 810 820 830 810 870 960 810 860 870 790 720 860 860 860 830 980 840 820 810 990 33440
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
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de grupare s-D 4. 5.
V V GRX L V
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VH
reprezinte grafic fondul de salarii pe grupe. Rezolvare 1. n tabelul 1.1. s-D RSHUDW FX XQHOH QR LXQL VWDWLVWLFH GH ED]
&ROHFWLYLWDWHD VWDWLVWLF VHOHF LH R FROHFWLYLWDWH GH
este fRUPDW
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L UHSUH]LQW
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sexul este o variabila atriEXWLY FDOLWDWLY DOWHUQDWLY vechimea HVWH R YDULDELO DWULEXWLY FDQWLWDWLY L QHDOWHUQDWLY
YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V VXQW YDORULOH SW PkQDOH HVWH R YDULDELO DOH FHORU LQGLYLGXDOH GRX
Variantele
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WRDUHOH YDORUL
x = x
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40
Y:
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40
3.
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.
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tabelul 1.2.).
D VHULLORU GH GLVWULEX LH GH
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amplitudinea
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14
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20
26
32
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Vechime (ani)
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Pentru curba
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legea
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YHFKLPH
Tabelul 1.3.
1U VDODULD L )UHFYHQ H FXPXODWH
Total vechime
WR
Intervale
GH YDULD LH
persoane 1 6 5 8 14 4 3 40
ID
&UHVF
WRU
de total A 2-8 8-14 14-20 20-26 26-32 32-38 Total 2 15.0 12.5 20.0 35.0 10.0 7.5 100 3 6 11 19 33 37 40
Descresc r 4
ani 5
ID
IUHFYHQ H
de total 6 2.8 7.1 17.9 43.1 15.2 13.9 100 40 34 29 21 21 53 134 322 114 104 748 7 15.0 27.5 47.5 82.5 92.5 100.0 -
L VSHFLILFH FXPXODWH FRORDQHOH L GLQ WDEHOXO 3H DPEHOH D[H VFDUD XQLQG SXQFWHOH GH FRRUGRQDWH GLQWUH FHOH
tUHEXLH
GRX
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45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2 8 14 20 26 32 38
1U VDODULD L
Vechime (ani)
100
% vechime cumulate
80
60
40
20
0 0 20
IUHFYHQ H FXPXODWH
40
60
80
100
)LJXUD &XUED GH FRQFHQWUDUH D IUHFYHQ HORU FXUED OXL /RUHQ] vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH
n cazul nostru, pentru variabila vechime interesea] V VH FXQRDVF cele trei grupe tipice: VDODULD L FX YHFKLPH PLF VDODULD L FX YHFKLPH PHGLH VDODULD L FX YHFKLPH PDUH Folosim n acest scop criteriul mediei. Vechimea medie este: x=
FDUH VH SODVHD] *UXSD DO WXUDWH LDU
x
i =1
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1 6 27 7 40
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GH
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VDODULD LORU
intervalului 2 6 18 12
primul interval 3 1 3 2
6 27 7
VDODULD L
27
8
U VDODULD L
6 7
1XP
26 Vechime (ani)
38
YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH
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YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V
Tabelul 1.6.
*UXSH GH VDODULD L GXS YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH 1XP UXO V SWDPkQDOH PLL OHL VDODULD LORU
720 - 765 765 - 810 810 - 855 855-900 900 - 945 945 - 990 Total
1 4 7 14 7 5 3 40
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF
VH IDFH GXS
-1.4.).
y=
y
i =1
1 4 28 8 40
1 24 16 40
28 24 20 16 12 8 4 0 24 16
Feminin
Masculin
4. Gruparea combiQDW
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-1.11.).
SW PkQDOH
SW PkQDOH
Tabelul 1.9. Vechime (ani) A 2-8 8-14 14-20 20-26 26-32 32-38 Total
9HQLWXUL VDODULDOH V SW PkQDOH PLL OHL
Total
720765 1 4 4
765810 2 2 2 3 7
810855 3 3 5 5 1 14
855900 4 5 1 1 7
900945 5 4 1 5
945990 6 1 2 3
7 6 5 8 14 4 3 40
VH[ L YHFKLPH
Tabelul 1.10. Sexul 2-8 A Feminin Masculin Total 1 5 1 6 8-14 2 5 5 Vechime 14-20 20-26 3 4 4 8 4 6 8 14 Total 26-32 5 2 2 4 32-38 6 2 1 3 8 24 16 40
VH[ L GXS
YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V
SW
PkQDOH
YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V
SW
PkQDOH
Tabelul 1.11.
9HQLWXUL VDODULDOH V SW PkQDOH PLL OHL
720765 1 3 1 4
765810 2 4 3 7
810855855 900 3 4 10 5 4 2 14 7
900945 5 1 4 5
4.4. Repre]HQWDUHD
JUDILF
SW PkQDOH
5.
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unor caractHULVWLFL
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1 6 27 7 40
Date centralizate pentru: Sexul Vechime Venituri salariale Masculin Feminin (ani) V SW PkQDOH PLL OHL (pers.) (pers.) 2 3 4 5 1 5 21 4500 12 15 509 22540 3 4 218 6400 16 24 748 33440
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WUDW
Latura de Latura1) reprezentare graficului 2 3 2121 2.1 4748 4.7 2530 2.5 2) 1 cm = 1000 lei
Cerc Raza de Raza2) reprezentare graficului 4 5 1197 1.2 2679 2.7 1428 1.4
CENTRALIZAREA PE GRUPE
Tabelul 1.12.
Pe intervale egale
2-8 1 F F F F 2 2 3 2 6 3 740 790 790 730 1 F F F F 8 - 14 2 1 0 9 9 1 2 1 3 3 85 0 77 0 78 0 81 0 84 0 1 M F M F 14 - 20 2 1 4 1 7 1 9 1 5 1 8 1 9 1 0 1 6 1 3 4 3 77 0 83 0 79 0 82 0 83 0 81 0 79 0 83 0 64 70 1 M F F M 20 - 26 2 2 3 2 5 2 1 2 4 2 4 2 4 2 3 2 4 2 0 2 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 4 3 2 2 3 910 810 870 900 26 - 32 1 2 F 2 8 F 3 0 M 2 7 M 2 9 M =2 F =2 n5 =4 1 1 4 3 92 0 87 0 81 0 99 0 35 90 1 F F M M =1 F= 2 n 6= 3 32 - 38 2 3 2 3 4 3 8 1 0 4 3 87 0 96 0 98 0 28 10
730
930
2 21
F M F M= 4 F=4 n 3= 8
M M F M
M M F F F M=8
F=6 n4=1 4
vechime mic
vechime mijlocie
vechime mare
4500000
22540000
6400000
vechime mic
vechime mijlocie
Figura 1.9. Fondul de salarii pe grupe
vechime mare
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Profitul (mil.lei) 2 210 220 420 240 350 270 310 290 260 350 390 290 270 350 250 280 260 360 270 310 340 380 320 320 290 330 280 230 200 280
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
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mediei;
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ni
ni
gi =
j =1
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sau
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gi =
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re (MRC)
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studiate este xA L xB :
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x pl x0
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la nivelul ansamblului: x =
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PROBLEME REZOLVATE
1.
Se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 2.1. Magazine Valoarea
vQFDV ULORU vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW
% sarcinii de plan
0 A B C
Se cere: 1. procentul ndeplinirii planului, pe total; 2. procentul sarcinii de plan, pe total; 3. GLQDPLFD vQFDV ULORU SH ILHFDUH PDJD]LQ L SH WRWDO 4. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VWUXFWXUD vQFDV ULORU vQ SHULRDGD
FXUHQW 3& L V VH DQDOL]H]H PXWD LLOH VWUXFWXUDOH
GH ED]
3% L vQ SHULRDGD
Rezolvare 1.
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x pl
x pl
Pe total (pe ansamblu): x 1 = 480 = 1 , 0163 sau 101,63% K 1ans = pl x pl 472 , 3 2. Pentru determinarea sarcinii de plan, pe total, trebuie determinate valorile
UHDOL]DWH vQ SHULRDGD GH ED] vQFDV ULORU
pl 0
x pl x0
100 , de unde
x0 =
x pl 100 K
pl 0
x0 = x0 = x0 =
= 101 , 2 mil. lei (pentru magazinul A) = 196 mil. lei (pentru magazinul B) = 118 , 9 mil. lei (pentru magazinul C)
Pe total:
ans
K pl
x pl x0
3.
K1
K1
K1
K1
Pe total:
x1 x0 100 = = 0,9881 sau 98,81% (pentru magazinul A) 101,2 240 = = 1,2245 sau 122,45% (pentru magazinul B) 196 140 = = 1,1775 sau 117,75% (pentru magazinul C) 118,9
ans
K1
Verificare:
x1 x0
ans
ans
K1
= K1
pl K pl
ans 0
$'(9
5$7
6LWXD LD FHD PDL IDYRUDELO V-a nregistrat la magazinul C R FUHWHUH GH ID 10% ct s-D SUHY ]XW LDU FHD PDL QHIDYRUDELO OD PDJD]LQXO A, unde s-D SUHY ]XW R FUHWHUH L V-D UHDOL]DW R VF GHUH GH 6WUXFWXUD vQFDV ULORU YH]L WDEHOXO FRORDQHOH L VH UHSUH]LQW JUDILF
GH GH
4.
SULQ
GUHSWXQJKLXO GH VWUXFWXU
Magazine A A B C Total
Valoarea desfacerilor (mil. lei) PB PC 1 2 101,20 100 196 240 118,90 140 416,10 480
Structura desfacerilor (%) PB PC 3 4 24,32 20,83 47,10 50,00 28,58 29,17 100,00 100,00
24,32
47,1
50
28,58
29,17
PB
PC
Figura 2.1.
GH
2.
Tabelul 2.3.
$JHQ L 3URGXF LD vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW
Dinamica
SURGXF LHL
1U GH VDODULD L
economici 0 A B Total
n perioada
GH ED]
2 80 125 ...
3 100 50 150
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
GLQDPLFD SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO FDOFXODUHD P ULPLORU UHODWLYH SHUPLVH GH GDWHOH GLQ HQXQ FDOFXODUHD P ULPLORU GH LQWHQVLWDWH SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO
Rezolvare: 1.
3HQWUX FDOFXODUHD GLQDPLFLL SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO WUHEXLH FDOFXODW ED] SH FHL GRL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL SURGXF LD vQ SHULRDGD GH
K1
x1 x0
100
x0 =
respectiv
x 1 100 K 1/ 0
900 100 = 1125 mil. lei 80 600 100 x0 = = 480 mil. lei 125 x 1 = 1500 = 0 , 9346 = 93 , 46% ans K1 0 = x 0 1605 x0 =
vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW ID GH SHULRDGD GH ED]
$JHQ L
Structura
SURGXF LHL
1U VDODULD L
Structura
VDODULD LORU
economici 0 A B Total
n perioada
GH ED]
2 60 40 100
3 100 50 150
UXO GH VDODULD L
KA KB
-
900 = 1,5 600 600 = = 0,6667 sau 66,67% 900 = 100 =2 50 50 = = 0,3333 sau 33,33% 100 =
GH LQWHQVLWDWH VH SRDWH FDOFXOD SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PHGLH vQ SHULRDGD GH
KA
KB
3.
Tabelul 2.5.
$JHQ L 3URGXF LD vQ 1U VDODULD L
economici
n perioada de
ED] SHUV
Productivitatea n perioada de
ED]
0 A B Total
w = 10,0
w=
Qi Ti
3.
DFHOD
$JHQ L
Structura
SURGXF LHL vQ SHULRDGD GH ED]
economici
0 A B C
(%) 1 25 40 35
3 102 106 98
Se cere: 1. procentul sarcinii de plan, pe total; 2. procentul ndeplinirii planului, pe total; 3. GLQDPLFD SURGXF LHL SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO 4. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF P ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH GLQDPLF L DOH SODQXOXL SHQWUX FHL WUHL DJHQ L economici. Rezolvare:
1.
ans pl 0
x pl = x0
= =
x pl
0
x0 =
x0
0
K pl 0 x 0 = K pl x0
g x0 =
K pl
g x0 ( % )
100
2617 , 5 + 4600 + 3500 10717 , 5 = = 1 , 07175 sau 107 , 175% 100 100
2.
'LQDPLFD SURGXF LHL SHQWUX ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD XWLOL]kQG UHOD LD
K1
= K1
pl
K pl
K1
K 1ans0 = = =
x1 = K 1 x0
100
g x0 (% ) = 100
0
3.
3HQWUX WR L FHL WUHL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL SURFHQWXO vQGHSOLQLULL SODQXOXL D IRVW PDL PLF GHFkW
4.
140
121,9%
120
104,7% 102% 106,79%
115% 106%
100%
100
98%
98%
80
60
40
20
4.
$JHQ L
economici
% ndeplinirii planului
0 A B C
(%) 1 20 48 32
2 102 105 98
Se cere: 1. procentul ndeplinirii planului pe total; 2. dinamica cifrei de afaceri pe total; 3. SURFHQWXO VDUFLQLL GH SODQ SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO 4. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF P ULPLOH UHODWLYH DOH SODQXOXL L GH GLQDPLF economic.
Rezolvare: 1. Procentul
vQGHSOLQLULL SODQXOXL SH WRWDO VH FDOFXOHD] FD PHGLH DUPRQLF GH P ULPL UHODWLYH SDU LDOH /D QLYHO SDU LDO
K1
pl
x1 x1 , de unde x pl = x pl K1 pl
1
1 pl
= gx1
100
1
1 pl
gx1
(% )
100 100 = = 1 1 1 19 , 6078 + 45 , 7143 + 32 , 6531 20 + 48 + 32 1 , 02 1 , 05 0 , 98 100 = 1 , 0207 sau 102,07 % 97 , 9752
VH FDOFXOHD] WRW FD PHGLH DUPRQLF GH P ULPL
K 1ans0 =
x1 = x1 x0 1 K
1
100
x1
1
1 0
gx1
(% )
100 100 = = 1 1 1 18 , 6741 + 39 , 7515 + 29 , 6848 20 + 48 + 32 1 , 071 1 , 2075 1 , 078 100 = 1 , 1349 sau 113 , 49 % 88 , 1102
K pl
K1 K1
0 pl
K pl
K pl
5H]XOW
OD DJHQWXO HFRQRPLF
Scara Oy:
20%
% ndeplinirii planului
110%
120
105% 107,1% 102%
115% 105%
100
80
60
40
20
Figura 2.3.
107,8% 98%
PROBLEME PROPUSE
1.
$JHQ L
economici 0 A B C
(%) 1 25 45 30
Se cere: 1. procentul sarcinii de plan pe total; 2. dinamica cifrei de afaceri pe total; 3. SURFHQWXO vQGHSOLQLULL SODQXOXL SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO 4. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF P ULPLOH UHODWLYH DOH SODQXOXL
2.
Pentru o ntreprindere se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 2.9.
6HF LD 3URGXF LD vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW 1U VDODULD L vQ
Dinamica
SURGXF LHL
perioada
FXUHQW
0 A B
(buc) 1 120 80
2 30 16
(%) 3 110 96
Se cere: 1. GLQDPLFD SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO 2. productivitatea muncLL OD QLYHO GH VHF LH L SH WRWDO L vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW 3& 3. V VH VWDELOHDVF FH DOWH WLSXUL GH P ULPL UHODWLYH VH SRW FDOFXOD SH ED]D GDWHORU GLQ HQXQ
H[HPSOLILFD L
4.
tivitatea
3.
Dinamica
SURGXF LHL
(%) 1 25 40 35
Se cere: 1. procentul sarcinii de plan pe total; 2. GLQDPLFD SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO 3. SURFHQWXO vQGHSOLQLULL SODQXOXL SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO 4. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF JUDGXO GH vQGHSOLQLUH D SODQXOXL SHQWUX FHL WUHL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL
4.
Pentru un agent economic se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 2.11. Activitate 0 A B Salariu mediu n PB (mii lei/pers.) 1 2250 1800
1U VDODULD L vQ
Dinamica nr.
GH VDODULD L
PC (pers.) 2 42 18
3 105 90
Se cere: 1. dinDPLFD QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L SH WRWDO 2. VDODULXO PHGLX vQ SHULRDGD GH ED] DO QLYHOXO DJHQWXOXL HFRQRPLF 3. V VH VWDELOHDVF FH DOWH WLSXUL GH P ULPL UHODWLYH VH SRW FDOFXOD SH ED]D GDWHORU GLQ HQXQ
H[HPSOLILFD L
4.
5.
Un agent economic dispune de trei magazine pentru care se cunosc datele din tabelul 2.12.:
Tabelul 2.12. Valoarea desfacerilor (mil. lei) Realizat Plan Realizat octombrie noiembrie noiembrie 1 2 3 168 175 180 180 188 192 1105 1120 1125
1XP U SHUsonal Plan Realizat noiembrie noiembrie 5 6 32 33 35 35 45 43
Magazinul A I II III
Realizat octombrie 4 30 32 40
Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH FDOFXOH]H WRDWH P ULPLOH UHODW
6.
perioada
FXUHQW SHUV
2 42 18
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
VDODULXO PHGLX SH WRWDO vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW V V FXUHQW VH VWDELOHDVF FH DOWH WLSXUL GH P ULPL UHODWLYH VH SRW FDOFXOD SH ED]D GDWHORU GLQ HQXQ 3& VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VWUXFWXUD IRQGXOXL GH VDODULL L IRQGXO GH VDODULL GLQ SHULRDGD
0HGLD DULWPHWLF 0HGLD QLYHOXULORU DULWPHWLF LORU HVWH UH]XOWDWXO VLQWHWL] ULL SULQ vQWU R VLQJXU YDORULL H[SUHVLH WRWDOL]DWH QXPHULF D FDUDF D WXWXURU
LQGLYLGXDOH
REVHUYDWH
RE LQXW
UDSRUWDUHD
teristicii la
x=
xi
i =1
n
QLYHOXULOH LQGLYLGXDOH DOH YDULDELOHL
unde: xi
UHSUH]LQW
x
i =1
UHSUH]LQW UHSUH]LQW
observate.
3URSULHW
a) b) c) d)
GDF
atunci
x = xc
(x
GDF
x) = 0
x= xi # a , atunci x = x # a , de unde x = x a
e)
x" =
GDF
x" = xi h , atunci x = x h
, de unde x =
x h
x=
(x
# a)
x=
(x h)
i =1 i
:h
0HGLD DUPRQLF
GLQ YDORULOH
(x p )
xp =
x
i =1
2 i
x g UHSUH]LQW
xg = n
x
i =1
n i =1
lg x g =
lg x
n
9DORUL PHGLL GH SR]L LH VDX GH VWUXFWXU UHSUH]LQW YDORDUHD FHQWUDO D XQHL VHULL VWDWLVWLFH RUGRQDWH FUHVF WRU VDX
n +1 unde n UHSUH]LQW 2
S U L HJDOH
Valoarea medianei: GDF QXP UXO WHUPHQLORU VHULHL HVWH LPSDU n=2p+1):
Me = x p + 1
x p + x p +1 2
n=2p):
Me =
Modul (Mo)
dominanta seriei.
a)
xmax
L QLYHOXO
D YDULD LHL
A% teristicii:
VH FDOFXOHD]
A% =
Aa 100 x
VH FDOFXOHD] FD GLIHUHQ vQWUH ILHFDUH YDULDQW D DFHVWRUD
vQUHJLVWUDW
d i = xi x
i = 1, n
VH FDOFXOHD] UDSRUWkQG DE
i = 1, n
Q DQDOL]D YDULD LHL GH PXOWH RUL QH OLPLW P OD D FDOFXOD DEDWHULOH PD[LPH vQWU
$EDWHUHD
PHGLH
OLQLDU
(d )
VH
FDOFXOHD]
FD
PHGLH
DULWPHWLF
VLPSO
GLQ
DEDWHULOH
d=
x
i =1
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S
WUDWLF
VH FDOFXOHD]
FD R PHGLH S WUDWLF
din
(x
i =1
x)2
n
UHOD LD
>d
FODU
GH
Dispersia
YDULDQ D
XQHL
FDUDFWHULVWLFL
( 2 )
VH
FDOFXOHD]
FD
PHGLH
DULWPHWLF
VLPSO
GH PHGLD ORU
2 =
(x
i =1
x)
sau
n x xi 2 = i =1 i =1 n n
n 2 i
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH
(v
VH FDOFXOHD]
L QLYHOXO
mediu al seriei:
UHOD LD
,QGLFDWRUL GH IUHFYHQ H
UHODWLYH
( ni*
VH
RE LQ
UDSRUWkQG
IUHFYHQ D
ILHF UHL
JUXSH
ni) la totalul
( ni ) :
i =1
ni* =
ni
n
i =1
sau
i
ni*(%) =
ni
n
i =1
100
i
FX
Fi sau Fi*
respectiv
F i* = n * ; i = 1 , 2 , 3 ,... k ; j
j =1
x=
xi ni
i =1
ni
i =1
3URSULHW PHGLD L VH vQFDGUHD] vQ LQWHUYDOXO FX IUHFYHQ D PD[LP VDX vQ XQXO GLQ FHOH GRX
a) b)
intervale nvecinate.
(x
i =1
GDF
x ) ni = 0
c)
x = xi # a , atunci x =
( xi
i =1 k i =1
# a )ni = x#a
ni
k
d)
GDF
x =
xi , atunci x = h
x hi ni i =1
n
i =1
x h
UHVSHFWLY GDF
x = xi h , atunci x =
SXQFWHOH
(x
i =1
OD
h) ni
i
n
i =1
= hx
3URSULHW 6H XWLOL]HD]
LOH
GH OD
F L G VHUYHVF
x=
(xi
i =1 k i =1
# a )n i a
ni
x= xi h ni i =1
k
ni
i =1
, respectiv
x=
( x i h )n i
i =1
ni
i =1
x=
xi a ni h i =1
k
ni
i =1
h + a ,
unde: a - mijlocul unui intHUYDO GH RELFHL FHQWUXO LQWHUYDOXOXL FX IUHFYHQ D FHD PDL PDUH h - P ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL GDF VHULD DUH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH e)
GDF vQWU R VHULH VH UHGXF SURSRU LRQDO WRDWH IUHFYHQ HOH PHGLD FDOFXODW
SH ED]D QRLORU
x
$FHDVW
ni c =x ni c
i
n acest caz c = ni :
SURSULHWDWH
VHUYHWH
OD
FDOFXOXO
PHGLHL
FX
DMXWRUXO
IUHFYHQ HORU
UHODWLYH
x = xi ni* sau x =
0HGLD DUPRQLF
x n
i
* i (%)
100
xh =
n
i =1
x
i =1
k
1
i
ni
100 1 x ni*(%) i =1 i
k
xh =
1 1 x ni* i =1 i
sau
xh =
)RUP
WUDQVIRUPDW
D PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH
xh =
x n
i =1 i k
1 x xi ni i =1 i
1 1 x xi ni* i =1 i
k
=x
xh =
sau
xh =
100 1 x xi ni*(%) i =1 i
k
0HGLD S
WUDWLF
xp =
x
i =1 k i =1
2 i
ni
i
xp =
x
i =1
2 i
ni*
sau
xp =
x
i =1
2 i
ni*(%)
100
0HGLD JHRPHWULF
xg =
ni
i =1
i =1
i
x in i
n
i =1
lg x i
i
XUP WRDUH UHOD LH GH RUGLQH
n
i =1
Mo = x0 + h
n care: x0 h 1 2 UHSUH]LQW P U
1 1 + 2
OLPLWD LQIHULRDU D LQWHUYDOXOXL PRGDO
GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH IUHFYHQ D LQWHUYDOXOXL PRGDO L D FHOXL SUHFHGHQW GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH IUHFYHQ D LQWHUYDOXOXL PRGDO L D FHOXL XUP WRU
ORFXO
PHGLDQHL
HVWH
YDULDQWD
F UHL
IUHFYHQ
UHVSHFWLY
b)
Q FD]XO GDWHORU JUXSDWH SH LQWHUYDOH ORFXO PHGLDQHL HVWH LQWHUYDOXO D F UXL IUHFYHQ
FXPXODW
n
i =1
+1
LDU YDORDUHD PHGLDQHL VH FDOFXOHD] GXS
formula:
n
i =1
+1
Me = x0 + h
2 nm
ni
i =1
m 1
unde: h m
n
i =1
m 1
- P ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL PHGLDQ - indexul intervalului median; - VXPD IUHFYHQ HORU SUHFHGHQWH LQWHUYDOXOXL a intervalului precedent celui median); IUHFYHQ D DEVROXW D LQWHUYDOXOXL PHGLDQ
PHGLDQ
IUHFYHQ D
FXPXODW
nm
Q1 = x0 + h
( ni + 1) ni
i =1 i =1
u 1
nu
Q2 = Me
Q3 = x 0 + h
( ni + 1) ni
i =1 i =1
v 1
nv
unde v HVWH LQGH[XO LQWHUYDOXOXL FDUH FRQ LQH Q3 Decilele GLYLG VHULD vQ ]HFH S
1
k
U L HJDOH IRORVLQG vQ DFHVW VFRS QRX GHFLOH
D1 = x0 + h
10
( ni + 1) ni
i =1 i =1
d 11
nd 1
D9 = x 0 + h
10
( n i + 1)
i =1
d 9 1 i =1
nd 9
a)
$PSOLWXGLQHD DEVROXW
(Aa)
$PSOLWXGLQHD UHODWLY
A%)
A% =
Aa 100 x
b)
(d ) lute:
d =
x
i =1
x ni
i
n
i =1 k
d = xi x n sau d =
i =1 * i
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF
x
i =1
x n * i (%) 100
(x
i =1
i k
x ) 2 ni
i
n
i =1
(x
i =1
x ) 2 n *i
sau
(x
i =1
x ) 2 ni (%) 100
UHOD LD
>d
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH
(v):
v = d 100 x
v=
100 , respectiv x
2 =
(x
i =1
i k
x ) 2 ni
i
n
i =1
k
2 = ( xi x ) 2 n * i
i =1
sau
2 =
(x
i =1
k x ni xi ni = i =1k i =1k ni ni i =1 i =1
k 2 i
k k 2 = x 2 i ni* xi ni* i =1 i =1
sau
2 =
xi2 ni*(%)
i =1
100
k xi ni*(%) i =1 100
x a i h ni 2 = i =1 k h 2 ( x a) 2 ni
k 2 i =1
1RW
( 2 ) = 2
unde h
$FHDVW
HVWH P ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL GH JUXSDUH FRUHF LH VH DSOLF QXPDL SHQWUX VHULLOH FDUH SUH]LQW VDX XRU DVLPHWULF XUP WRDUHOH SURSULHW L
h2 , 12
9DULD LD LQWHUFXDUWLOLF
L LQWHUGHFLOLF
$EDWHUHD LQWHUFXDWLOLF
9T
: ( Me D1 ) + ( D9 Me) D9 D1 Dd = = 2 2
: D9 D1 D D D1 2 Vd = d = = 9 Me Me 2 Me
0HGLD L GLVSHUVLD FDUDFWHULVWLFLL DOWHUQDWLYH 'LVWULEX LD GH IUHFYHQ H D FDUDFWHULVWLFLL DOWHUQDWLYH VH SUH]LQW vQWU
Valoarea caracteristicii 0 x1 = 1
VSXQVXO
nregistrat 1 DA
)UHFYHQ H DEVROXWH
)UHFYHQ H UHODWLYH
2 M
QXP UXO XQLW FDUH SRVHG LORU
p=
M N
q=
caracteristica) N = M + (N - M)
NM = 1 p N
p+q=1
Media:
p= M N
Dispersia:
2 2 p = p q sau p = p (1 p)
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S
WUDWLF
p = pq
Asimetria
$VLPHWULD DEVROXW
&RHILFLHQ LL GH DVLPHWULH SURSXL GH .DUO 3HDUVRQ SHQWUX VHULL GH GLVWULEX LH XRU DVLPHWULFH
( As ) As = x Mo
C as
C as = 0 x Mo = C as > 0 C as < 0
Q FD]XO FkQG VH FXQRDWH PHGLDQD VHULHL FRHILFLHQWXO GH DVLPHWULH XWLOL]kQG UHOD LD
C as =
IRUPDW
3( x Me)
C as =
2 3 3 2
3 = , unde 2 =
( xi x ) 3 ni ni ( xi x ) 2 ni ni
=
2
Coeficientul propus de Yule: (Q Me) ( Me Q1 ) C asY = 3 , (Q3 Me) + ( Me Q1 ) unde C asY [ 1 , 1 ] Coeficientul propus de Bowley: ( D Me) ( Me D1 ) C asB = 9 , ( D9 Me) + ( Me D1 ) unde C asB [ 1,1]
,QGLFDWRULL FRQFHQWU
ULL
g
xi ni
k
2 i
i = 1, k ,
gi =
xi ni
i = 1
,1 . n
CS =
n g i2 1
,( %,',0(16,1$/(
VH SUH]LQW
vQWU
Variantele sau valorile caracteristicii dependente Y y1 n11 n21 ... ni1 ... nr1 n.1 y2 n12 n22 ... ni2 ... nr2 n.2 ... yj n1j n2j ... nij ... nrj n.j ym n1m n2m ... nim ... nrm n.m
Medii pe grupe
(y i )
(y1 ) (y 2 )
...
(y i )
...
(yr )
m
ni. = n. j
j =1
i:
n
j =1
0
ij
= ni .
ULPL PHGLL
0HGLLOH GH JUXS
( y i ):
yi =
y
j =1 m j =1
nij
ij
Media pe total:
y j n. j
y=
j =1
n. j
j =1
,QGLFDWRULL YDULD LHL
sau
y=
yi ni .
i =1
ni .
i =1
'LVSHUVLD GH JUXS
=
2 i
(y
i =1
y i ) 2 nij
,
ij
n
j =1
unde: yj UHSUH]LQW YDULDQWD VDX PLMORFXO LQWHUYDOXOXL j al caracteristicii dependente; y i media grupei i; nij IUHFYHQ HOH FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH ILHF UHL YDULDQWH LQWHUYDO GH YDORUL GLQ FDGUXO JUXSei.
( 2 = 2 / r ) y
i2 n i .
i =1
ni .
i =1
2 y/ x
( y i
i =1 r
y ) 2 ni .
ni .
i =1
m
2 DisSHUVLD WRWDO ( 2 = y ) :
2 2 = y =
(y
j =1
j m
y ) 2 n. j
.j
n
j =1
5HJXOD DGXQ
ULL GLVSHUVLLORU
=
2
2 y/x
2 y/r
2 Gradul de dHWHUPLQD LH ( R y / x ) :
2 Ry / x =
'DF
(R y / x ) !
2 y/x 100 2
DGPLWHP F
Y).
*UDGXO GH QHGHWHUPLQD LH
2 Ky/x =
2 y/r
100
WUDWLF OD QLYHOXO JUXSHL
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S
i = i2
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF SH WRWDO
= 2
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH OD QLYHOXO JUXSHL
vi =
i 100 , yi
WUDWLF
D JUXSHL
v=
100 , y
WUDWLF
SH WRWDO
ve
VH SUH]LQW vQWU
Valorile caracteristicii de grupare X x1 x2 ... xi ... xr Total y1 n*11 n*21 ... n*i1 ... n*r1
)UHFYHQ H UHODWLYH
Total (%) ym n*1m n*2m ... n*im ... n*rm 100 100 ... 100 ... 100
Ponderea grupei (ni(%)) n1(%) n2(%) ... ni(%) ... nr(%) 100
0HGLLOH GH JUXS
( y i ):
yi =
y
j =1
n * ij
100
Media pe total:
y i n i (%)
y=
i =1
100
VDX GLVSHUVLD SDU LDO
'LVSHUVLD GH JUXS
( i2 ) :
i2 =
( y j
i =1
y i ) 2 n * ij 100
(
2
2 y/r
i2 n i (%)
i =1
100
2
2 y/x
):
( y i
2 y/x
y ) 2 n i (%) 100
=
2
i =1
'LVSHUVLD WRWDO
(
2 y
=
2
2 y
):
2
'LVSHUVLD GH JUXS
( 2i ): p
i
2 = pi qi sau 2 = pi (1 pi ) , p p
i
2 ( p ) :
=
2 p
i =1 r i =1
2 pi
Ni
,
i
QXP UXO WRWDO DO XQLW LORU REVHUYDWH vQ ILHFDUH JUXS
n care Ni UHSUH]LQW
p2 =
(p
i =1
i r
p) 2 N i
N
i =1
,
i
( 2 ) : p
2 = pq p
5HJXOD DGXQ
dispersiilor: = + p2
2 p 2 p
ULL
Fcalculat =
unde:
2 Sy/x = r
2 Sy/x 2 Sy/r
(y
i =1
r m
y ) ni .
2
2 Sy/r =
(y
i =1 j =1
r 1
j
(r - QXP
2
UXO GH JUXSH
y i ) nij
nr
> Ftabelar factorul de grupare este semnificativ < Ftabelar factorul de grupare nu este semnificativ Ftabelar VH GHWHUPLQ vQ IXQF ie de un anumit nivel de semnifica gradele de libertate f1=r-1 L f2=n-r.
'DF )calculat
'DF
)calculat
LH GH H[HPSOX L GH
PROBLEME REZOLVATE
ntr-un magazLQ OXFUHD] YkQ] WRUL FDUH vQ OXQD RFWRPEULH DX UHDOL]DW XQ YROXP desfacerilor (mil. lei) astfel: 138,8; 146,0; 150,0; 152,3; 158,2; 163,1; 165,0; 170,4; 176,2; 180,0. Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
V V V V V V VH IRUPH]H VHULD SULYLQG YROXPXO GHVIDFHULORU SULQ FHQWUDOL]DU VH FDOFXOH]H L V YROXPXO PHGLX DO GHVIDFHULORU GLQ DFHVW VH YHULILFH SULQFLSDOHOH SURSULHW HOH ID GH PHGLD DULWPHWLF L DOH DFHVWHLD VH DUDWH vQ FH U
1.
DO
ea datelor individuale;
IRORVLQG PHGLD
PDJD]LQ
DULWPHWLF
VH IRORVHDVF
aport de
P ULPH VH DIO
VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL GH SR]L LH PHGLL GH VWUXFWXU VH FDUDFWHUL]H]H JUDGXO GH YDULD LH DO GLVWULEX LHL FDOFXOkQG vQ DFHVW VFRS LQGLFDWRULL
gradul de asimetrie;
Rezolvare 1.
6HULD VH IRUPHD] SULQ RUGRQDUHD YDORULORU YH]L WDEHOXO FRORDQHOH L
x
i =1
x
i =1
10
2.
se poate
Tabelul 3.4. Volumul desfacerilor (mil. lei) 1 138,8 146,0 150,0 152,3 158,2 163,1 165,0 170,4 176,2 180,0 1600,0
Nr.crt. A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total
xi x
2 -21,2 -14,0 -10,0 -7,7 -1,8 +3,1 +5,0 +10,4 +16,2 +20,0 0
xi a
a = 138,8 3 0 7,2 11,2 13,5 19,4 24,3 26,2 31,6 37,4 41,2 212
xi ; h = 20 h
4 6,94 7,3 7,5 7,615 7,91 8,155 8,25 8,52 8,01 9,0 80
x
i =1
10
(x
i =1
10
x)
(x
i =1
10
a)
h
i =1
10
xi
2.1. Calculul mediei aritmetice simple (vezi coloana 1 din tabelul 3.4.): xi = 1600 = 160 PLO OHLYkQ] WRU x= n 10 2.2. 9HULILFDUHD SULQFLSDOHORU SURSULHW a) x min < x < x max 138,8 < x < 180 b)
L DOH PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH
x ) = 0 (vezi tabelul 3.4., coloana 2) Media fiind un ct exact, suma abaterilor pozitive s-a compensat cu suma abaterilor negative:(-54,7) + (54,7) = 0
i
(x
x
i =1 n
c)
= n x
d) x =
(x
a)
YDORULOH
xi - a (vezi tabelul
x =
(x
i =1
a) =
WRU
e)
h
n
xi = x h
/XkQG DUELWUDU XQ K
x =
xi = 80 =8 10
PLO OHLYkQ] WRU
n x = x h x = 8 20 = 160
xp = n
2 i
WUDWLFH L JHRPHWULFH
Tabelul 3.5. Volumul desfacerilor (mil. lei) 1 138,8 146,0 150,0 152,3 158,2 163,1 165,0 170,4 176,2 180,0 1600,0
1 xi
2 0,0072046 0,0068000 0,0066670 0,0065659 0,0063211 0,0061312 0,0060606 0,0058685 0,0056753 0,0055550 0,0628986
xi2
3 19265,44 21316,00 22500,00 23195,29 25027,24 26601,61 27225,00 29036,16 31046,44 32400,0 257613,18
lg xi
4 2,14239 2,16425 2,17605 2,18270 2,19921 2,21245 2,21748 2,23045 2,24601 2,25527 22,02640
3.2. Calculul mediei armonice ( x h ) (vezi tabelul 3.5., coloana 2) n 10 xh = = = 158,98 PLOOHLYkQ] WRU 1 0,0628986 x i xh < x ; 158,98 < 160,0 Deci: x h < x < x p 3.3. Calculul mediei geometrice ( x g ) (vezi tabelul 3.5., coloana 4):
xg = n
lg x g =
xi ;
i =1
lg x g =
lg x
i =1
WRU
x p =160,5 PLOOHLYkQ]
WRU WRU
x h = 158,98 PLOOHLYkQ]
5HOD LD GLQWUH PHGLL HVWH
x g = 159,50 PLOOHLYkQ]
xh < xg < xa < x p 158,98 < 159,5 < 160 < 160.5
$EDWHULOH vQWUH FHOH SDWUX P ULPL PHGLL ILLQG IRDUWH PLFL VH SRDWH WUDJH FRQFOX]LD F DFHDVW VHULH RULFH PHGLH V DU IRORVL HD P VRDU SHQWUX VXILFLHQW GH FRUHFW WHQGLQ D FHQWUDO L GHFL PHGLD
4.
n + 1 10 + 1 = = 5,5 2 2
4.3. Calculul cuartilelor Calculul cuartilelor presupune stabilirea locului cuartilelor U(Q2 L DSRL FDOFXODUHD YDORULORU lor:
U (Q1 ) =
Q1 =
n + 1 11 = = 2,75 4 4
U (Q3 ) =
Q3 =
3(n + 1) = 8,25 4
Tabelul 3.6.
,QWHUYDO GH YDULD LH
5.
xi
1 138,8 146,0 150,0 152,3 158,2 163,1 165,0 170,4 176,2 180,0 1600,0
n i =1 i
xi x
2 21,2 14,0 10,0 7,7 1,8 3,1 5,0 10,4 16,2 20,0 109,4
(xi x )2
3 449,44 196,00 100,00 59,29 3,24 9,61 25,0 108,16 262,44 400,00 1613,18
xi2
4 19265,44 21316,00 22500,00 23195,24 25027,24 26601,61 27225,00 29036,16 31046,44 32400,00 257613,18
2
xi x x
100
5 - 13,25 - 8,75 - 6,25 - 4,81 - 1,13 1,94 3,13 6,50 10,13 12,50
xi x
(xi x )
i =1
Aa = xmax - xmin =180-138,8 = 41,2 mil. lei x x min 41,2 A% = max = 100 = 25,75% x 160
Abaterile absolute DOH ILHF UHL YDULDELOH ID GH PHGLH di): d i = xi x (vezi tabelul 3.7., coloana 2) Abaterile relative (di(%)) x x d i (%) = i 100 (vezi tabelul 3.7., coloana 5) x
(d )
x
dx =
x
i =1
x =
109,4 = 10,94 10
2 Dispersia ( x ) VH FDOFXOHD]
2 x =
3:
(x
i =1
x)
1613,18 = 161,318 10
x2 n Datele necesare VH J VHVF vQ WDEHOXO FRORDQHOH L 257613,18 2 x = 160 2 = 161,318 10 Deci s-D DMXQV OD DFHODL UH]XOWDW
i =1
2 x =
2 i
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S
WUDWLF
x =
(xi x )2
n
sH FDOFXOHD]
din dispersie:
2 x = x = 161,318 = 12,70
PLO OHLYkQ] WRU
&RHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH
(v, v) dx 10 , 94 v = 100 = 100 = 6 , 84% x 160 x 12 , 70 100 = 100 = 7 , 84% v= x 160 v' v GHFL VH SRDWH DILUPD F VHULD DUH XQ JUDG PDUH GH RPRJHQLWDWH L PHGLD L
HVWH UHSUH]HQWDWLY SHQWUX vQWUHDJD VHULH
6.
UDGLDO
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF
Q DFHVW FD] YDULD LD QHILLQG FRQWLQX VH SRDWH IRORVL XQ JUDILF SULQ FRORDQH L R GLDJUDP FX ]HFH UD]H YH]L ILJXULOH L
200
mil. lei
152,3
158,2 163,1
165
173,4 176,2
180
10
)LJXUD 5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU vQ IXQF LH GH YROXPXO GHVIDFHULORU PLO OHL
7 6
2.
3HQWUX R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO VH FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLWRU OD YHFKLPHD vQ SURGXF LH vQVFULVH vQ WDEHOXO GDWH FRQYHQ LRQDOH
5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU GLQWU R VHF LH GXS
YHFKLPH
Sub 5 10
5-10 40
10-15 60
15-20 80
20-25 50
25-30 30
30-35 20
L
peste 10
Se cere: 1. UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF D VHULHL IRORVLQG IUHFYHQ HOH UHDOH L FHOH FXPXODWH 2. vechimea medie a muncitorilor prin caOFXOXO PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH FX IUHFYHQ H
UHODWLYH L SULQ FDOFXOXO VLPSOLILFDW VSHFLILFkQG FH SURSULHW DEVROXWH
3. LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL GH SR]L ie; 4. LQGLFDWRULL VLPSOL L VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL 5. indicatorii de asimetrie; 6. PHGLD L GLVSHUVLD SHQWUX PXQFLWRULL cu o vechime mai mare dect vechimea medie.
Rezolvare 1.
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF D VHULHL
3.3.);
90 80 70
U VDODULD L
QXP
2. Calculul vechimii medii n acest scop se vor folosi datele din tabelul 3.9.
Tabelul 3.9. Grupe de
VDODULD L GXS 1XP UXO VDODULD LORU
vechime (ani) 0 0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 35-40 Total
n i*( % )
ni
i =1
n i*( % )
i =1
60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 vechime (ani)
)LJXUD 'LVWULEX LD VDODULD LORU vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH
vechime (ani)
)LJXUD 'LVWULEX LD VDODULD LORU vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH
Centrul de interval (xi) 3 2,5 7,5 12,5 17,5 22,5 27,5 32,5 37,5 -
xi ni
4 25 300 750 1400 1125 825 650 375 5450
x i n i*( % )
5 8,325 99,975 250,000 466,725 375,075 275,000 216,775 124,875 1816,75
xi a h
a=17,5 h=5 6 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 -
xi a ni h
7 -30 -80 -60 0 50 60 60 40 40
)UHFYHQ H
xi ni
i =1
xi ni* (%)
i =1
i =1
xi a ni h
xi ni
i =1
ni
i =1
x=
x i n i*( % )
i =1
100
18 , 2 ani/salariat
SH SURSULHWDWHD
n xi ci k i =1 = x ; n acest caz c = ni k n i =1 ci i =1 2.2. Calculul simplificat al mediei aritmetice: k xi a h n i 40 i =1 x= h + a = 5 + 17 , 5 = 18 , 1667 18 , 2 ani/salariat k 300 ni
i =1
SURSULHW
(x
i =1 k
i k
a ) ni
i
n
i =1
= x a ,
de unde:
x= xi
(x
i =1
i k
a ) ni
i
n
i =1
+ a;
x =
x hi ni i =1
n
i =1
x , de unde: h
x=
hn
i =1 k
n
i =1
&kQG VXQW LQWHUYDOH HJDOH HVWH FRQYHQDELO V IUHFYHQ D PD[LP DGLF DGLF
L SHQWUX
3.
FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH
U ( Me) =
n
i =1
+1 =
300 + 1 = 150,5 , 2
deci
15 < Me < 20
n
i =1
+1
Me = x 0 + h
2 nm
ni
i =1
m 1
= 15 + 5
U (Q1 ) =
n
i =1
+1 =
10< Q1 <15
FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH
U ( Me ) =
n *(
i =1
i
+1 =
2
k
100 + 1 = 50 , 5 , 2
deci
15 < Me < 20
n i*( % ) + 1
i =1
Me = x 0 + h
n *i ( % )
i =1
m 1
* nm (%
= 15 + 5
50 , 5 36 , 66 = 17 , 59 ani 26 , 67
U ( Q1 ) =
n *(
i =1
i %
+1 =
101 = 25 , 25 , 2
deci
10 < Q1 < 15
Q1 = x 0 + h
u 1 1 k * n + 1 n *i ( % ) 4 i =1 i ( % ) i =1
* nu(%
= 10 + 5
25 , 25 16 , 66 = 12 , 148 ani 20
Q 2 = M e = 17 , 59 ani
U ( Q3 ) =
3 3 k * n + 1 = 101 = 75 , 75 , 4 i =1 i ( % ) 4
v 1 3 k * n i ( % ) + 1 n i*( % ) 4 i =1 i =1
* nv (%
deci
20 < Q3 < 25
Q3 = x0 + h
= 20 + 5
75 , 75 63 , 33 = 23 , 725 ani 16 , 67
'LIHUHQ HOH GLQWUH LQGLFDWRULL FDOFXOD L FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH L FHL FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH VXQW QHVHPQLILFDWLYH L SURYLQ GLQ URWXQMLUHD IUHFYHQ HORU UHODWLYH
FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH
Mo < 20.
4. Calculul indicatorilor GH YDULD LH (vezi tabelul 3.10.). 4.1. Calculul indicatorilor simpli
Q DFHVW FD] QX VXQW FRQFOXGHQ L
4.2. Calculul indicatorilor sintetici $EDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU d i ) VH RE LQH GLQ vQVXPDUHD YDORULORU GLQ FRORDQD YH]L WDEHOXO 3 I U V VH LQ VHDPD GH VHPQ dx =
x
i =1
i k
x ni
i
n
i =1
2 x =
(x
i =1
x ) ni
2 k i
n
i =1
calculul simplificat:
x a i h ni 2 820 2 x = i =1 k h ( x a) 2 = 25 (18,2 17,5) 2 = 67,84 300 ni
k 2 i =1
x)
&RHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH
v L v)
GDF
v=
VHULD QX HVWH VXILFLHQW GH RPRJHQ 'H DOWIHO ILLQG YRUED GH R GLVSHUVLH PDUH VDODULD LL vQ DQVDPEOX
l lor
vechime (ani) 0 0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 35-40 Total
n i* ( %
Centrul de interval (xi) 3 2,5 7,5 12,5 17,5 22,5 27,5 32,5 37,5 -
xi x
(xi x ) ni
(xi x )2 .ni
a = 17,5 h=5
xi a ni h
2
ni
i =1
'HRDUHFH
n i*( % )
i =1
QX HVWH XQ FkW
5 -157 -428 -342 -56 215 279 286 193 -10 1) (xi x ) ni
(x
x ) .ni
2
QX
x a i h ni i =1
k 2
SURSULHWDWHD
1)
(xi x ) ni = 0 . 'LIHUHQ D ILLQG IRDUWH PLF -10), rotunjirea medie ntr-R P VXU IRDUWH PLF P ULPHD FHORUODO L LQGLFDWRUL
5. Calculul indicatorilor de asimetrie
PHGLD
H[DFW
IRVW
URWXQMLW
YHULILF
QX YD LQIOXHQ D GHFkW
(Cas
L &as L
Yule:
C as =
C as =
AS =
q 2 q1 , q 2 + q1
unde
6. 0HGLD L GLVSHUVLD FDUDFWHULVWicii alternative Media (p) M p= , N unde: M QXP UXO PXQFLWRULORU FX R YHFKLPH ! x = 18,2 ani; M =110; N QXP UXO WRWDO DO PXQFLWRULORU 1 M 110 p= = = 0,3667 N 300 Dispersia ( 2 ) p
3.
ntr-R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO s-DX RE LQXW XUP WRDUHOH GDWH
FDUH DUH GH PXQFLWRUL V D RUJDQL]DW R REVHUYDUH VWDWLVWLF
EXF
Total
10 18 23 38 51 40 15 5 200
Tabelul 3.12. Grupe de muncitori GXS YHFKLPH (ani) Sub 2 2-4 4-8 8-12 12-18 18-24
L SHVWH
Structura muncitorilor
vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH
Total
Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH FDUDFWHUL]H]H VWDWLVWLF FHOH GRX VH SUHFL]H]H GXS VHULL IRORVLQG PHWRGD JUDILF LQGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH PHGLLOH GH VWUXFWXU LQGLFDWRULL GH YDULD LH L VRFLHW LL FRPHUFLDOH UHVSHFWLYH
asimetrie;
FROHFWLYLWDWHD GH PXQFLWRUL DL
Rezolvare 1.
6HULD SULYLQG UHSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU vQ IXQF LH GH SURGXF LD LQGLYLGXDO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH L HVWH JUXSDW 3HQWUX FDUDFWHUL]DUHD VWDWLVWLF SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH HVWH SUH]HQWDW
D DFHVWHL VHULL GH IUHFYHQ H VH YD IDFH UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF D IUHFYHQ HORU YH]L ILJ L IRORVLQG FRO L
7 din tabelul 3.13. Graficul de concentrare se face analog cu cel din figura 1.4. (vezi capitolul 1).
60
51
50
38
&' 2( 1 0 &% '( %) 0
40 30
40
23 18 15 5
20
10
10 0 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280
$ " ! #
EXF L
225 200 175 nr. muncitori 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260
SURGXF LD EXF
EXF
)LLQG LQWHUYDOH HJDOH SHQWUX PHGLH L GLVSHUVLH VH YRU XWLOL]D IRUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO VLPSOLILFDW
x=
xi a h i =1
k
ni
ni
i =1
h + a ,
respectiv
x a i h ni 2 2 x = i =1 k h ( x a) 2 ni
k 2 i =1
muncitori (ni)
xi a h
a=190 h=20 3 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
2 xi x x a ni i ni h h
)UHFYHQ H FXPXODWH
&UHVF
WRU
DescresF WRU
Total
1 10 18 23 38 51 40 15 5 200
x=
2 x
3H ED]D FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH YDULD LH VH SRDWH WUDJH FRQFOX]LD F FHHD FH vQVHDPQ vQ DFHODL WLPS F
pentru cele mai multe valori individuale ale serieL GHRDUHFH DP RE LQXW XQ FRHILFLHQW PLF GH YDULD LH
GDWHOH VXQW GHVWXO GH RPRJHQH vQWUH HOH 'LQ DFHODL WDEHO VH SRW FDOFXOD L FHLODO L GRL LQGLFDWRUL DL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH YDORDUH PRGDO L YDORDUH PHGLDQ ,QWHUYDOXO FX IUHFYHQ PD[LP FXSULQGH L PRGXO
Mo = x 0 + h
EXF
U ( Me) =
n
i =1
+1 =
200 + 1 = 100,5 2
Q LQWHUYDOXO DO FLQFLOHD VXPD IUHFYHQ HORU FXPXODWH HVWH PDL PDUH GHFkW ORFXO PHGLDQHL vQ
seULH DGLF
n
i =1
+1
Me = x 0 + h
Deci, x , Me
UHOD LD L
2 nm
ni
i =1
m 1
= 180 + 20
100,5 89 = 184,5 51
EXF
Mo
L SXWHP YHULILFD
180 , 7 190 , 83 10 , 13 = = 0 , 30 33 , 28 33 , 28
C as =
AS =
q 2 q1 , q 2 + q1
unde
q1=Me - Q1;
q2 =Q3 Me
U (Q1 ) =
n
i =1
+1 =
201 = 50,25 4
EXF
U (Q3 ) =
3 k 3 ni + 1 = 201 = 150,75 4 i =1 4
EXF
*UXSH GXS
vechime (ani)
ULPHD
5DSRUWXO ID
GH
)UHFYHQ H
)UHFYHQ H
intervalulu i (hi)
primul interval
reduse
h Ki = i h1
3 1,0 1,0 2,0 2,0 3,0 3,0 3,0 15
n i* (%) Ki
4 4,2 8,5 6,5 15,1 8,7 3,4 2,6 -
relative cumulate
FUHVF
- descresF WRU
2 2 2 4 4 6 6 6 -
30,2
26,2
10,2 7,8
12
16
20
24
28
32
vechime (ani)
100 80 60 40 20 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30
vechime (ani)
L vQ DFHVW FD] WUHEXLH FDOFXOD L LQGLFDWRULL FDUH FDUDFWHUL]HD] VLPSOLILFDW 'H UHJXO VH RSWHD] QXPDL SHQWUX IRORVLUHD XQHL
LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH WUHEXLH FDOFXODWH FHQWUHOH GH LQWHUYDO L DSRL VH YD DSOLFD R IRUPXO VLQJXUH PLFRUDUHD WHUPHQLORU FX R FRQVWDQW
bazate pe
)UHFYHQ
Intervale
GH YDULD LH
reODWLY (n
* i (%) )
Centrul intervalului ( xi ) 2 1 3 6 10 15 21 27 -
(xi - a) a = 10 3 -9 -7 -4 0 5 11 17 -
( xi a ) ni*(%) ( xi a ) 2 ni*(%)
4 -37,8 -59,5 -51,6 0 31 112,2 132,6 226,9 5 340,2 416,5 206,4 0 655 1234,3 2554,2 5113,5
)UHFYHQ H UHODWLYH
(x x=
2 x
a ) ni*(%) 100
(xi =
a ) 2 n i*(%) 100
8 < Mo < 12
Mo = x 0 + h 1 (30,2 12,9) =8+4 = 11,25 ani 1 + 2 (30,2 12,9) + (30,2 26,2)
U ( Me) =
n
i =1
+1 =
100 + 1 = 50,5 2
8 <Me < 12
n*
i =1
i (%)
+1
Me = x 0 + h
2 n
*
m
n *i (%)
i =1
m 1
=8+4
50 , 5 26 , 6 30 , 2
= 11 , 298 ani
(% )
U (Q1 ) =
101 = 25,25 4
4 < Q1 <8
Q1 = 4 + 4
Q 2 = M e = 11 , 298 ani
U (Q3 ) = 3 101 = 75,75 4
12 < Q3 < 18
Q3 = 12 + 6 75,75 55,8 = 16,568 ani 26,2
C as =
( x Mo) 12,3 11,25 = = 0,155 6,77 x 3( x Me) 3(12,3 11,298) = = 0,44 x 6,77
C as =
LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH GH YDULD LH L IUHFYHQ HOH GLVWULEXLQGX &DOFXOkQG FRHILFLHQ LL GH DVLPHWULH VH FRQVWDW Q ILQDO VH SRDWH VSXQH F RPRJHQ FDUDFWHUL]DW vQWUHSULQGHUHD UHVSHFWLY
GH LQGLFDWRUL FX YDORUL PLFL SHQWUX YDULD LH L DVLPHWULH L HVWH QHRPRJHQ SURGXF LLOH LQGLYLGXDOH RE LQXWH QX GHSLQG vQ SULQFLSDO GH YHFKLPH FL GH
SHQWUX VHULD SULYLQG YHFKLPHD PHGLH FHHD FH QH SHUPLWH V DO L IDFWRUL HVHQ LDOL VSHFLILFL
4.
SULQ XQLW
ntr-R
LOH SURSULL GDWHOH QHFHVDUH GHWHUPLQ ULL QLYHOXOXL PHGLX DO SURGXFWLYLW GH WLPS GH PXQF
consumului specific
zi UHSUH]LQW
yi
'DWHOH VH SUH]LQW
(xi) L DO
vQ FDUH
YDULDELOH
Consumul specific de timp Cheltuielile GH PXQF RUH-om la 1000 lei totale de timp
SURGXF LH GH PXQF
muncii orare
PLL OHLRU
(yi)
(xi) A A B C Total 1 10,0 6,25 7,47 8,65 2 0,100 0,160 0,134 0,116
Se cere: 1. calculul nivelului mediu al SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL ( w = x ); 2. FDOFXOXO FRQVXPXOXL PHGLX GH WLPS GH PXQF ( t = y ). 1RW V VH VSHFLILFH FH IHO GH PHGLL V-DX XWLOL]DW L GH FH "
Rezolvare
'DF FHOH GRX FDUDFWHULVWLFL VXQW FRQVLGHUDWH LQWHUGHSHQGHQWH vQWUH HOH VH SXQH SUREOHPD SURSRU LRQDOLWDWH L DOHJHULL FHOXL PDL SRWULYLW WLS GH PHGLH SHQWUX D S VWUD DFHHDL UHOD LH GH LQYHUV vQWUH P ULPLOH PHGLL FDOFXODWH QWUH FHOH GRX YDULDELOH DSDU UHOD LLOH
xi =
(n ).
xi yi
QLYHOXULORU
1 yi
SHQWUX
FDUH
VH
YD
RE LQH
UHSDUWL LH
SURGXFWLYLW
LL
PXQFLL
HVWH
IRUPDW
GLQ
GDWHOH
-ore lucrate.
LL PXQFLL YRP VH YD DSOLFD PHGLD DUPRQLF
1.
LL PXQFLL
w=x=
x n
i =1 k i
xi yi
n
i =1
xi yi
2.
t =y=
n
i =1
xi y i
y
i =1
1
i
n xi yi
18168 = 0,116 ore-om/1000 lei 1 1 1 11624 + 6444 + 100 0,10 0,16 0,134
PHGLL vQ PLL OHL
1 x= ; y
'LIHUHQ D PHGLD DULWPHWLF SRDWH FkQG VH
1 = 8,62; 0,116
SURYHQL GLQ URWXQMLUHD FDOFXOXOXL IUHFYHQ 'HFL L QX PHGLD DUPRQLF SRDWH 8Q VXEVWLWXL DVWIHO GH FXQRVF SURGXVHOH GH IUHFYHQ HOH ,QGLFL UHDOH
5.
6XEJUXSH GH YkQ]
WRUL GXS
YROXPXO YkQ]
Grupe GH YkQ]
GXS
WRUL
YHFKLPH DQL
sub 190 1 5 5
190-200 2 15 12 27
200-210 3 5 35 7 47
210-220 4 8 15 23
220
L SHVWH
Total 6 25 55 30 110
A sub 10 10-20
L SHVWH
5 8 8
Total
Se cere: 1. 2.
SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU SULYLQG UHSDUWL LD YkQ] WRULORU GXS YROXPXO YkQ] ULORU SH WRWDO L
pe grupe de vechime;
UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF JUDILFXO SULQ S WUDW D QXP UXOXL YkQ] WRULORU GXS YHFKLPH SH FHOH
3. calculul mediiloU SH JUXSH GH YHFKLPH L SH WRWDO 4. LQGLFDWRULL VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL SH ILHFDUH JUXS L SH WRWDO 5. LQWHUSUHWDUHD JUDGXOXL GH RPRJHQLWDWH SH JUXSH L SH WRWDO 6. verificarea regulii de adunare a dispersiilor; 7. ce indicatori statistici se pot calcula pe baza UHJXOLL GH DGXQDUH
LQWHUSUHWHD] VWDWLVWLF DFHWL LQGLFDWRUL YkQ]
D GLVSHUVLLORU L FXP VH
8.
SHVWH
Rezolvare 1.
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF D GLVWULEX LHL YkQ] WRULORU ILJXULOH L
50 45
WRUL 1XP U YkQ]
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 170 180
9ROXPXO YkQ] ULORU PLO OHL
190
200
210
220
230
240
YROXPXO GHVIDFHULORU
50 45
WRUL
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
1XP
U YkQ]
170
180
9ROXPXO YkQ]
190
200
210
220
230
240
WRULORU GXS
2.
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF
D QXP
UXOXL YkQ]
WRULORU GXS
YHFKLPH
Scara: 1 cm = 2 persoane
55 25 30
sub 10 ani
)LJXUD 1XP
10-20 ani
UXO GH YkQ]
DQL L SHVWH
y n
j =1 j
ij
n
j =1
ij
y1 =
y2 =
y3 =
PHGLD JHQHUDO
(y ):
j
independent:
y=
y n
j =1 j
n
j =1
y=
-
y n
i =1 r i
n
i =1
y=
4.
( ): m ( y j y i )2 n ij
2 i
i2 =
j =1
n ij
j =1
12 =
2 2 =
2 3 =
(205 - 215,33
)2
= 49 , 89
( ):
2
2 =
i =1 r i =1
2 i
ni
i
n
r
( y i
i =1 r
y ) n i
2
n i
i =1
= 52 , 06
GLVSHUVLD WRWDO
( ): m ( y j y )2 n j
2
=
2
j =1
n j
j =1
= 92, 69
pe grupe
1 = 12 = 40 = 6,32
v1 =
2 2 = 2 = 35,83 = 5,98
v2 =
3 = 32 = 49,89 = 7,06
v3 =
pe total
= 2 = 92,69 = 9,62
v=
OXDW
YDORULOH PLFL DOH FRHILFLHQ LORU GH YDULD LH FDOFXOD L SH ILHFDUH JUXS DO JUXSHORU L FROHFWLYLW LL WRWDOH
*UDGXO GH GHWHUPLQD LH
2 ( Ry / x )
2 Ry / x =
*UDGXO GH QHGHWHUPLQD LH
2 Ky/x =
6H
SRDWH DILUPD
2 Ry x>
50%), restul
8.
*
&DOFXOXO
LQWHUSUHWDUHD
GLVSHUVLLORU
SHQWUX
YkQ]
WRULL
FDUH
VH
DIO
SHVWH
YROXPXO
PHGLX DO YkQ]
ULORU SH WRWDO
"
Calculul mediilor
PHGLLOH SH JUXS
: wi =
mi , ni
de unde: 0 w1 = =0 25 8 w2 = = 0,1455 55
w3 = 23 = 0,7667 30
media pe total: w =
m 31 = = 0,2818 n 110
Calculul dispersiilor
GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS
2 w = wi ( w ), 1
i i
de unde:
2 w = w 1 (1 w 1 ) = 0 (1 0 ) = 0
1
2 w
2 ( w ):
=
2 w
i =1 r i =1
2 wi
ni
i
n (w
i =1 r
=
2 w
w ) ni
2 r i
n
i =1
2 dispersia total ( w ):
3HQWUX XQ DJHQW HFRQRPLF FH GHVI RDU WUHL DFWLYLW L V-au nregistrat datele privind veniturile salariale ale personalului pentru luna mai 2001 (vezi tabelul 3.18.).
6.
L vQ IXQF LH GH P
Tabelul 3.18.
vQ ID GH WRWDOXO JUXSHL
Grupe duS VDODULL (zeci mii lei) A sub 250 250 - 270 270 - 290 290 - 310 310 - 330 330 - 350 350 - 370 L Seste Total
Activitatea I 1 10 12 25 28 15 10 100
Activitatea II 2 20 35 20 15 10 100
- 20%; activitatea II -
-
L DFWLYLWDWHD ,,,
- 30%.
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH DSOLFH UHJXOD GH DGXQDUH D GLVSHUVLLORU L V VH VSHFLILFH GDF IDFWRUXO G
e grupare
Rezolvare 1.
)LLQG LQWHUYDOH HJDOH PHGLLOH L GLVSHUVLLOH VH SRW GHWHUPLQD FX IRUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO VLPSOLILFDW FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH
abaterea
(n
* 1 j (%)
Centrul de interval
(y )
j
yj a h
a = 300 h = 20 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 -
yj a * h n1 j (%)
4 -30 -24 -25 0 15 20 -44
yj a * h n1 j (%)
2
1 10 12 25 28 15 10 100
5 90 48 25 0 15 40 218
y1 =
12 =
-a
Tabelul 3.20.
*UXSH GXS
Structura
VDODULD LORU
(n
* 2 j (%)
Centrul de interval
(y )
j
yj a h
a = 300 h = 20 3 -1 0 1 2 3 -
y j a h
* n2
j (%)
y j a h
* n2
j (%)
1 20 35 20 15 10 100
4 -20 0 20 30 30 60
5 20 0 20 60 90 190
y2 =
OH
i/salariat
2 2 =
-a Tabelul 3.21.
*UXSH GXS
Structura
VDODULD LORU
(n
* 3 j (%)
Centrul de interval
(y )
j
yj a h
a = 300 h = 20 3 -1 0 1 2 -
y a * j h n 2 j (%)
4 -20 0 23 20 23
y j a h
* n 3 j (%)
5 20 0 23 40 83
1 20 47 23 10 100
y3 =
32 =
v3 =
2 = 2 + 2
VH FRQVWDW
em calcula doar
i2 n i*(%)
i =1
100
= 560 , 164
( y i y )2 n i*(%)
i =1
100
= = 378 , 24
2 K y/x =
cazul
2.
Structura Salariile medii personalului (zeci mii lei) 1 20% 50% 30% 100% 2 291,2 312,0 344,6 317,62
Dispersiile
Abaterile medii
S WUDWLFH
&RHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH
A I II III Total
FkW L SH ILHFDUH DFWLYLWDWH VHULLOH VXQW RPRJHQH VH LHUDUKL]HD] LORU HVWH DFWLYLWDWHD D ,,,
deoarece s-DX
VHULLOH GXS
RE LQXW YDORUL PLFL SHQWUX FRHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH 'DF L PDL SX LQ RPRJHQ
-a
UHSUH]HQWDWLYLWDWH ID
FDUH
total (9,64%);
DYkQG FRHILFLHQ L PLFL GH YDULD LH PHGLLOH VXQW vQ WRDWH FD]XULOH FX XQ JUDG PDUH GH GH YDORULOH LQGLYLGXDOH GLQ FDUH DX IRVW FDOFXODWH GHRDUHFH WR L FRHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH VXQW VXE
IUHFYHQ HOH
20 = 80 VDODULD L 100 50 activitatea a II-a 400 = 200 salaria L 100 30 activitatea a III-a 400 = 120 VDODULD L 100
activitatea I
400
LOH VSHFLILFH GLQ ILHFDUH DFWLYLWDWHD OD QXP UXO GH VDODULD L VH FDOFXOHD] FDUH VH GHWHUPLQ QXPDL vQ QXPHUH vQWUHJL UHIHULQGX
-se la persoane
Tabelul 3.23.
*UXSH GXS VDODULL
Activitatea I 8 10 20 22 12 8 80
Activitatea II 40 70 40 30 20 200
Total 8 10 60 92 76 94 48 12 400
(zeci mii lei) sub 250 250-270 270-290 290-310 310-330 330-350 350-370
L SHVWH
Total
Tabelul 3.24.
*UXSH GXS VDODULL 1XP UXO LORU
salDULD
j
(n )
1 8 10 60 92 76 94 48 12
Centrul de interval
(y )
j
yj a h
a = 340 h = 20 3 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2
yj a h nj
4 -40 -40 -180 -184 -76 0 48 24 -448
yj a h nj
2
Total
400
y=
i =1
xj a h
nj
n
i =1
k
h+ a =
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1.
V VH JUXSH]H FHL GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH GXS SURILWXO UHDOL]DW
1.
2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
V V V V V
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UHSDUWL LHL
2.
VH FXQRVF GDWHOH
Nr. muncitori 2 6 10 20 18 6 60
Total
Se cere:
1.
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2. 3. 4.
V V V
VH YHULILFH GDF
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SX LQ PLL EXF
3.
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VDODULD L
Abaterea medie
S WUDWLF SULYLQG
A sub 10 10-20
L SHVWH
1 20 90 40
2 30 45 55
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VWUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU GXS VH YHULILFH RPRJHQLWDWHD SH JUXSH L SH WRWDO VH GHWHUPLQH vQ FH P VXU YDULD LD WLPSXOXL QHOXFUDW VH GDWRUHD] GHRVHELULORU SULYLQG YHFKLPH
YHFKLPHD vQ PXQF
4.
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SURSRU LRQDO VWUDWLILFDW V DX RE LQXW GD
tele:
Tabelul 3.27.
ULPHD SURILWXOXL
sub 10 1 5 5
10-14 2 10 10 20
22-26 5 15 15 30
L
Total 7 20 70 50 140
peste 6 5 5 10
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF GLVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS VH YHULILFH UHJXOD GH DGXQDUH D GLVSHUVLLORU L V VH FDUDFWHUL]H]H RPRJHQLWDWHD SH ILHFDUH JUXS P ULPHD SURILWXOXL SH WRWDO IDFWRUXO GH JUXSDUH HVWH VH DUDWH GDF L SH WRWDO
4. 5.
V V
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5.
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Structura
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Dispersia privind
P ULPHD
economici (%) 1 50 30 20
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Colectivitatea
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Colectivitatea
GH VHOHF LH
x0 =
N
xi
i =1
x=
n
xi
i =1
P=
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w=
m n
n
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Dispersia
2 0 =
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i =1
2 =
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i =1
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= 2
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x nerep
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2 0
N n n N 1
n 1 n N
w , deci:
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wnerep =
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p ( 1 p ) n
( 1
:
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< ttabelar VH DGPLWH LSRWH]D GLIHUHQ HL QXOH YDORDUHD WDEHODU UXO JUDGHORU GH OLEHUWDWH V = n 1 + n 2 2 ). Testul F (Fisher) pHQWUX YHULILFDUHD HJDOLW de volum redus
Fcalc =
Ftabelar
LL GLVSHUVLLORU D GRX
HDQWLRDQH
S12 2 S2
SHQWUX XQ DQXPLW QLYHO GH VHPQLILFD LH L SHQWUX JUDGHOH GH OLEHUWDWH
VH GHWHUPLQ L
f 1 = n1 1
'DF
f 2 = n 2 1. Fcalc > Ftabelar , rezultatul sondajului trebuie interpretat ca fiind semnificativ, deci
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1.
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x =z
2 n
n 1 = 3 N
Estimarea profitului mediu: x de unde: 505 12,88 < x0 < 505 + 12,88 492,12 < x0 < 517,88 mil. lei / agent economic Estimarea profitului total:
x
< x0 < x +
N ( x x ) < xi < N ( x + x )
i =1
2000 i =1
xi
984240 <
xi
( x )
n=
z 2 + N
2
z 2
( x )
z 2 + N
DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL
2.
QXP
ULPHD SURILWXOXL
Tabelul 4.2.
*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS QXP UXO GH DQJDMD L *UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS P ULPHD SURILWXOXL
Total 600
L SHVWH
sub 400
400440
440480
520560
560600
A Sub 20
L SHVWH
Total
1 5 5
2 25 5 30
3 20 20 40
4 10 40 50
5 30 30
6 25 25
7 20 20
8 60 140 200
Se cere: 1.
V VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH WLLQG FDUH F VH YD vQFDGUD SURILWXO L PHGLX L SURILWXO WRWDOXO JDUDQWHD] GH FHO WRWDO FX vQ R FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO HDQWLRQXO UHSUH]LQW GLQ VH DJHQ LORU
UH]XOWDWHOH FX XQ
HFRQRPLFL
SURILW
SX LQ
y j nj
y=
j =1
nj
j =1
y=
= 505 mil.lei/ag.ec .
y j n ij
yi =
j =1
n ij
j =1
y1 =
y2 =
420 5 + 460 20 + 500.40 + 540 30 + 580 25 + 620 20 = 140 = 531 , 429 mil. lei / agent economic
(y j
m
2 i
j =1
yi
)2
n ij
n ij
j =1
2 1
(500 - 443,33) 2 10 60
2 2 = 3012,245
i2 n i
i =1
n i
i =1
= 2465 , 238
=z
n 1 = 3 n N
2
0 , 9 10 mil. lei
y y < y0 < y + y ,
de unde: 505 10< y 0 <505+10 495 < y 0 < 515 mil. lei / agent economic Estimarea profitului total: N ( y y ) < yi < N ( y + y )
i =1 N
2000 i =1
yi
990000 <
2000 i =1
yi
2.
QXP
UXO GH DQJDMD L L P
ULPHD SURILWXOXL
Tabelul 4.3.
*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS QXP UXO GH $JHQ L $JHQ L
DQJDMD L
Total
( ni )
3 60 140 n = 200
wi =
mi 2 wi = wi (1 wi ) ni
5 0,0764 0,2181 0,25
A Sub 20
L SHVWH
Total
2 w
2 w ni = ni
i
w = z
3.
GDWHOH
FLIUD GH DIDFHUL
Tabelul 4.4.
*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS QXP UXO GH DQJDMD L 1XP U GH DJHQ L
A Sub 20 20-40
L SHVWH
economici 1 40 100 60
Cifra medie de afaceri (mil. lei / agent economic) 2 1440 2140 2300
Total
200
VH FHUH
1.
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GH
-a format
2.
DU FUHWH FX
y=
y n
j =1 j
n
j =1
y=
1440 40 + 2140 100 + 2300 60 = 2048 mil. lei /agent economic 200
v=
100 y
=
v y 24,37 2048 = = 505,856 2 = 255890,292736 100 100
de unde
(y i
i =1 r
y ) ni
2
ni
i =1
= 97216
HURDUHD OLPLW
DGPLV
( )
y
y =
de unde: 2048 80< y 0 < 2048 + 80 1968 < y 0 < 2128 mil. lei / agent economic Estimarea cifrei totale de afaceri:
N ( y y ) < yi < N ( y + y )
i =1 N
2000 i =1
y
i
3936000 <
2000 i =1
2.
n =
z 2 2 , z 2 2 2 ( y ) + N
unde
y = 1,2 y = 96 mil. lei
n =
DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL
WXULWL
QHSURSRU LRQDO
ni =
n 153 = 51 r 3
DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL
&RQVLGHUkQG F
RE LQHP
DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL
n = 2
n3 =
50 153 = 76 100
30 153 = 46 100
DJHQ L HFRQRPL
ci
DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL
4.
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-au trecut n
Tabelul 4.5.
*UXSH GH WXULWL GXS YkUVW 1XP UXO
WXULWLORU
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH DO
Se cere: 1.
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-o
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aleatoriu simplu;
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Rezolvare 1.
y=
y n
i =1 r i
n
i =1
200 130 + 300 180 + 400 90 = 290 mii lei / turist 400
GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS
( )
2 i
vi =
i 100 , yi
de unde:
i =
vi y i 100
1 =
2 =
12 = 1600
2 2 = 5625
3 =
32 = 17424
( )
2
=
2
i =1 r i =1
2 i
ni
y =
2 n
n 1 = N
DGPLV
HURDUHD OLPLW
( )
y
de unde: 290 8,138< y 0 <290 + 8,138 281,862 < y 0 < 298,138 mii lei / turist
8000 i =1
2154896 <
2.
n=
2 z 2 0 2 z 2 0 2y + N
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probabilistice, putem
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dispersiilor:
2 = 2 + 2
2 ( y i y ) n i i=1 r
2 =
n i
i=1
= 5400
'HFL
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DOHDWRU
VLPSOX
SHQWUX
DFHODL
JUDG
GH
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3.
n =
z 2 2 , z 2 2 2 ( y ) + N
unde:
WXULWL
neproSRU LRQDO
ni =
n 364 = 121 r 3
WXULWL
SURSRU LRQDO
ni = n
Ni
N
i =1
Tabelul 4.6. %
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1XP
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WXULWLORU
Ni 100 Ni
2 32,5 45,0 22,5 100,0
ni
5.
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FX ED]
GH WUDWDPHQW L RGLKQ
-au nregistrat
3200 GH WXULWL UHSDUWL]D L DVWIHO SH VH[H 1376 masculin; 1824 feminin. Se cere: 1.
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de 5%; 2.
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PHGLH D
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FDUDFWHULVWLF
GH
DVLJXUDUH
UHSUH]HQWDWLYLW
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n=
z 2 p (1 p ) x2 + z 2 p (1 p ) N
1 , 96 2 0 , 43 ( 1 0 , 43 ) 0 , 05 2 + 1 , 96 2 0 , 43 ( 1 0 , 43 ) 3200
337
WXULWL
caz:
2.
VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD
astfel:
x =
5 10 = 0,5 100
n=
2x
z 2
+
1 , 96 16 0 , 25 + 1 , 96 16 3200
= 121
WXULWL
6.
Pentru verificarea duratei medii de ardere a unui bec s-a organizat un sondaj de 5% dintr-un
ORW GH GH EHFXUL DPEDODWH vQ FXWLL GH FkWH EXF L Q XUPD FURQRPHWU ULL GXUDWHL GH DUGHUH D
becurilor din fiecare cutie (serie) s-a calculat durata medie de ardere (vezi tabelul 4.7. coloana 1).
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WLLQG F JDUDQWHD]
( xi )
1 2100 2250 2080 1950 2325 2230 2170 2050 2175 2200 21530
( xi x s ) 2
2 2809 9409 5329 41209 29584 5929 289 10609 484 2209 107860
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VH FHUH
1. 2.
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becuri;
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xs =
x
r
s2 =
(x
i =1
xs )
107860 = 10786 10
HURDUHD OLPLW VH FDOFXOHD] DVWIHO
Limitele ntre care se va ncadra media pe total: x s x < x0 < x s + x , de unde: 2153 - 62,9 < x0 < 2153 + 62,9 2090,1 < x0 < 2215,9 ore / bec
r =
PROBLEME PROPUSE
1.
3HQWUX R XQLWDWH HFRQRPLF VH FXQRVF GDWHOH
Tabelul 4.8.
*UXSH GH PXQFLWRUL GXS P ULPHD
Total
Nr. muncitori 2 6 12 22 18 6 66
Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH YHULILFH GDF GLVWULEX LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS GDF P ULPHD SURGXF LHL HVWH RPRJHQ vQ GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO L V VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH FDUH VH YD vQFDGUD SURGXF LD PHGLH L SURGXF LD WRWDO HDQWLRQXO UHSUH]LQW
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-a
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2.
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economici 1 20 75
III
WLLQG F YDORDUHD PRGDO D SURILWXOXL SH
55
WRWDO HDQWLRQ
23
D IRVW GH PLO OHL FX XQ
nificativ pentru
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(z=1,96).
3.
VH FXQRVF GDWHOH
37 38 39 40 41 42 Total
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i.
4.
Dintr-XQ VRQGDM VWDWLVWLF GH
SURSRU LRQDO VWUDWLILFDW V DX RE LQXW GDWHOH
Tabelul 4. 11.
*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS QXP UXO GH VDODULD L *UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS P ULPHD SURILWXOXL PLO
A I II Total
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V VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH FDUH VH YD vQFDGUD SURILWXO PHGLX L SURILWXO WRWDO vQ DO GRLOHD GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO GDF UH]XOWDWHOH VH JDUDQWHD] LL JHQHUDOH GDF FX R SUREDELOLWDWH GH FX R VWUDW V V
0,9973 (z = 3); 2. 3.
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5.
Pentru verificarea duratei medii de ardere a unui bec s-a organizat un sondaj de 5% dintr-un
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becurilor din fiecare cutie (serie) s-a calculat durata medie de ardere (vezi tabelul 4.12., coloana 1).
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WLLQG F JDUDQWHD]
( xi )
1 8 10 7,2 7 10,2 8,5 9 9,6 7,5 8
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VH FHUH
1. 2.
becuri;
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)XQF LD GH UHJUHVLH
Yxi = a + bxi
Parametrul a UHSUH]LQW ordonata la origine L DUDW caracteristicii Y GDF WR L IDFWRULL - PDL SX LQ FHO vnregistrat - DU
IRUP ULL HL
OD
FH
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DU
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DMXQV
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Parametrul b VH PDL QXPHWH L coeficient de regresie L UHSUH]LQW vQ VHQV JHRPHWULF panta liniei drepte. Coeficientul de regresie b DUDW FX FkW VH VFKLPE vQ PHGLH YDULDELOD Y n cazul n care variabila X VH PRGLILF FX R XQLWDWH $FHVW SDUDPHWUX HVWH SR]LWLY vQ FD]XO OHJ WXULL GLUHFWH L
QHJDWLY vQ FD]XO OHJ WXULL LQYHUVH
Parametrii a L b VH GHWHUPLQ GLQ VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH RE LQXW SULQ PHWRGD FHORU 2 = minim ). PDL PLFL S WUDWH ( y Y ) i xi
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xi, yi):
na + b xi = y i 2 a x i + b x i = x i y i
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a=
y x x y x n x x x
i i i i i 2 i
i 2 i
y x x y x n x ( x )
i 2 i i i 2 i 2 i
b=
n xi n
y x y x x
i i i 2 i
n xi y i xi y i n xi2 ( xi ) 2
GH Qi
ori:
na + b xi ni = y i ni , 2 a x i n i + b x i n i = x i y i n i
'DF
unde
n = ni
y i n i x i2 n i x i y i n i x i n i a= n x i2 n i ( x i n i ) 2
b= n xi yi ni xi ni n x i2 n i ( x i n i ) 2
-
yi ni
LQ
Q FD]XO VLVWHPDWL]
(xi, yj VH UHSHW
GH Qij
ori:
k m na + b xi ni. = y j n. j i =1 j =1 , k k k m a x n + b x 2 n = i i. x i y j nij i i. i =1 i =1 j =1 i =1
unde:
n = ni. = n. j = nij
i =1 j =1 i =1 j =1
'DF
y a=
b=
(y
na + b xi + c xi2 = y i 2 3 a x i + b x i + c x i = x i y i 2 3 4 2 a x i + b x i + c x i = x i y i
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n care:
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a0 -
UHSUH]LQW
SDUDPHWUXO
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FX
DF LXQH
factoriale;
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x1, x2, ... , xn - caracteristicile factoriale incluse n raportul de interdHSHQGHQ Parametrii a1,a2, ... ,an VH GHWHUPLQ
GLQ VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH
na 0 + a1 x1i + ... + a n x ni = y i .......................................................... 2 a 0 x1i + a1 x1i + ... + a n x1i x ni = x1i y i ............................................................ 2 a 0 x ni + a1 x1i x ni + ... + a n x ni = x ni y i
Cunoscnd cei n SDUDPHWUL DL IXQF LHL GH DMXVWDUH VH FDOFXOHD] de regresie pe baza valorilor x1, x2,, xn. ModelXO H[SRQHQ LDO
SHQWUX ILHFDUH XQLWDWH HFXD LD
Y x1
, x 2 ,..., x n
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xi, yi):
ry / x =
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x )( yi y ) n x y
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- L
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r y/x =
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[n x
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2 i
( x i ) 2 n y i2 ( y i ) 2
GH Qi
][
ori:
ry/ x =
x )( y i y ) n i n x
y
n x i y i n i ( x i n i )( y i n i ) ry/x =
i i i
2 2 nxi ni ( xi ni ) i i
unde n = ni
2 2 n y i ni ( y i ni ) i i
Q FD]XO VLVWHPDWL]
-un tabel cu
GXEO
(xi, yj VH UHSHW
ry/x =
GH Qij
ori:
x )( y j y ) n ij n x
y
( x i
n x i y j n ij ( x i n i . )( y j n . j ) r y/x =
i j i j
2 2 n x i n i . ( x i n i . ) i i
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2 2 ny j n. j (y j n. j ) j j
R y / x = ry / x
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, yi):
y/x
(Yx ( yi
y) y)
2 2
sau
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i
unde Y
UHSUH]LQW
ori:
y/x
( y j Yx )2 ni ( y j y )2 ni
i
sau R
y/x
( y i Y x ) 2 ni 1 ( y i y ) 2 ni
i
Q FD]XO VLVWHPDWL]
(xi, yj VH UHSHW
GH Qij
ori:
R y/x =
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i
y ) 2 n i. y)
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( y j
sau R y / x =
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j
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j
n.
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y / x
(y
i =1 m
y y
n
2
i .
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r m
yi y
sau
n
. j
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j =1
R y/ x =
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r y / x1
L
,x 2
r y2/ x + r y2/ x 2 r y / x r y / x r x 1 x 2
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r y2/ x
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x 1 , x 2 ,...., x i ,...., x n
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y / x i ) + ( y / x i Y xi ) + (Y x i y )
6H RE LQ GHYLDQ HOH
( y j y )
m j =1
n. j = y j y / x i
i =1 j =1
)2 ni j + ( y / xi Yx )2 ni . + (Yx
r r i =1
i
i =1
y 2 ni .
GLVSHUVLLOH FRUHFWDWH
( y j y / xi )2 ni j
r m 2 S1 = i =1 j =1
nr
i=1
( y / x i Y x )2 n i
r
i
2 S2
r f 1
i=1
(Yx
r
y 2 ni f
,
2 S3 =
n care: n - QXP UXO WRWDO DO XQLW LORU REVHUYDWH r - QXP UXO GH JUXSH vQ IXQF LH GH IDFWRUXO vQUHJLVWUDW f - parameWULL YDULDELOL DL IXQF LH GH UHJUHVLH
3H ED]D GLVSHUVLLORU FRUHFWDWH VH GHWHUPLQ
F 1 calc =
2 S3
S 12
2 S2
F 2 calc =
VH FRPSDU
S 12
FX OHJ WXUD GLQWUH
'DF
F1 calc F2 calc
F1 tab cu f
FX
'DF 'DF
F2 tab cu r-f-1
testul t:
t=
ry/ x 1 r y2/ x
n2,
unde n UHSUH]LQW
9DORDUHD VHPQLILFD LH
P = 1 / 2
FDOFXODW
L FX
'DF
calculat
> t
calculat
<t
tabelar
tabelar
VH
YHULILF
LSRWH]D
VHPQLILFD LHL
UHOD LHL
GH
FRUHOD LH
GDF VH
&RUHOD LH QHSDUDPHWULF
Coeficientul de asociere AceaVW PHWRG VH XWLOL]HD] SHQWUX P VXUDUHD alternative prezentate ntr-un tabel de asociere de forma:
LQWHQVLW LL OHJ WXULL D GRX FDUDFWHULVWLFL
Tabelul 5.1.
y x x1 x2 Total
DUDW
y1 a c a+c
y2 b d b+d
Produsul ad
GH OHJ WXU LQYHUV
3HQWUX VWDELOLUHD YDORULL QXPHULFH D FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH DVRFLHUH FDUH V LQWHQVLWDWHD XQHL OHJ WXUL IRUPXOD FHD PDL XWLOL]DW HVWH FHD SURSXV GH <XOH
Q=
ad bc ad + bc
LD YDORUL vQWUH
-
rs =1
6d
2 i
n3 n
n care: di - UHSUH]LQW GLIHUHQ D vQWUH UDQJXULOH SHUHFKLL GH YDORUL xi , yi); n - QXP UXO GH SHUHFKL GH YDORUL
&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU
propus de Kendall:
rk =
2S , n (n 1)
n care S = ( Pi Qi ) , unde: Pi - QXP UXO UDQJXULORU PDL PDUL FDUH XUPHD] Qi - QXP UXO UDQJXULORU PDL PLFL FDUH XUPHD]
UDQJXOXL FXUHQW SHQWUX YDULDELOD GHSHQGHQW UDQJXOXL FXUHQW SHQWUX YDULDELOD GHSHQGHQW
PROBLEME REZOLVATE
1.
Pentru 1 XQLW
Tabelul 5.2. Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total Capital fix (mld. lei) 1,4 0,9 1,1 2,2 0,8 0,6 1,3 1,0 1,5 2,0 12,8
3URGXF LD POG OHL
0,8 0,5 0,6 1,2 0,4 0,3 0,7 0,6 0,9 1,1 7,1
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V V VH DUJXPHQWH]H FX DMXWRUXO PHWRGHORU VLPSOH H[LVWHQ D GLUHF LD L IRUPD OHJ WXULL VH GHWHUPLQH SDUDPHWULL IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH FDOFXOH]H YDORULOH IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH DIOH YDORDUHD FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH
Rezolvare: 1. Metoda seriilor paralele interdependente presupune ordonarea valorilor caracteristicii factoriale xi FDSLWDOXO IL[ L vQUHJLVWUDUHD vQ SDUDOHO D YDORULORU FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH DOH caracteristicii dependente yi SURGXF LH GXS FXP VH SRDWH YHGHD vQ WDEHOXO
Tabelul 5.3. Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
xi (mld. lei)
0,6 0,8 0,9 1,0 1,1 1,3 1,4 1,5 2,0 2,2
y i (mld. lei)
0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,1 1,2
&HOH GRX
IL[ L P ULPHD SURGXF LHL 3HQWUX D SXWHD DSUHFLD L IRUPD OHJ WXUL HVWH QHFHVDU V GH FRUHOD LH ILJXUD FDUH VXJHUHD] GH WLS OLQLDU
SURGXF LH
(mld. lei)
1,4 1,2 1 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 capital fix (mld. lei)
2.
n a + b x i = y i a xi + b xi2 = xi y i
&DOFXOHOH QHFHVDUH UH]ROY ULL VLVWHPXOXL DX IRVW VLVWHPDWL]DWH vQ WDEHOXO
xi
1 0,6 0,8 0,9 1,0 1,1 1,3 1,4 1,5 2,0 2,2 12,8
yi
2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,1 1,2 7,1
xi2
3 0,36 0,64 0,81 1,00 1,21 1,69 1,96 2,25 4,00 4,84 18,76
xi y i
4 0,18 0,32 0,45 0,60 0,66 0,91 1,12 1,35 2,20 2,64 10,43
yi2
5 0,09 0,16 0,25 0,36 0,36 0,49 0,64 0,81 1,21 1,44 5,81
Yxi
6 0,326 0,439 0,496 0,552 0,609 0,721 0,778 0,835 1,117 1,230 7,103
10 a + 12 , 8 b = 7 , 1 , 12 , 8 a + 18 , 76 b = 10 , 43
FX VROX LLOH
a = 0,013 b = 0,565
(FXD LD PHGLH GH HVWLPDUH D OHJ WXULL OLQLDUH GLQWUH FDSLWDOXO IL[ L SURGXF LH HVWH
factoriale xi
.).
Yx1 = 0,013 + 0,565 0,6 = 0,326 Yx10 = 0,013 + 0,565 2,2 = 1,230
4.
&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU VLPSO HVWH
ry / x =
[n x
n xi yi x i
2 i
( x )
i
][n y
yi
2 i
( y i
10 10 , 43 12 , 8 7 , 1
13 , 420 13 , 517
= 0 , 9928
nregistrate.
2.
Num
LQGXVWULDO UXO PHGLX GH DQJDMD L L SURILWXO DQXDO vQUHJLVWUDW GH ILUPH GLQWU R
VXEUDPXU
VH SUH]LQW
DVWIHO
1 13 4 12 5 6 8 3 4 5 7 67
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V V VH DQDOL]H]H H[LVWHQ D GLUHF LD L IRUPD OHJ WXULL VH GHWHUPLQH SDUDPHWULL IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH FDOFXOH]H YDORULOH IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH P VRDUH LQWHQVLWDWHD FRUHOD LHL GLQWUH FHOH GRX YDULDELOH IRORVLQG FRHILFLHQWXO L
Rezolvare: 1.
Q UHOD LD GLQWUH FHOH GRX
(xi )
YDULDELOH IDFWRUXO GH LQIOXHQ D HVWH QXP UXO PHGLX GH DQJDMD L HVWH P ULPHD SURILWXOXL
(y i ) .
'LQWUH PHWRGHOH VLPSOH GH HYLGHQ LHUH D FRUHOD LHL GLQWUH GRX JUDILF DFHDVWD RIHULQG FHOH PDL PXOWH LQIRUPD LL 'LQ ILJXUD UHLHVH F GLUHFW
de tip liniar.
yi (mil. lei) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 xi (pers.)
xi L YDORDUHD SURILWXOXL yi )
L
2.
b ai func LHL
OLQLDUH
este:
n a + b x i = y i a xi + b xi2 = xi yi
FX VROX LLOH
a = 15,2017 b = 7,5072
3. Valorile teoretice ale profitului ( Yxi ) se vor calcula nlocuind fiecare valoare a variabilei factoriale xi
vQ IXQF LD GH UHJUHVLH
xi
1 13 4 12 5 6 8 3 4 5 7 67
yi
2 115 45 100 50 55 85 40 50 45 70 655
xi y i
4 1.495 180 1.200 250 330 680 120 200 225 490 5.170
xi2
3 169 16 144 25 36 64 9 16 25 49 553
yi2
5 13.225 2.025 10.000 2.500 3.025 7.225 1.600 2.500 2.025 4.900 49.025
Yxi
6 112,80 45,23 105,29 52,74 60,24 75,26 37,72 45,23 52,74 67,75 655,00
(y
Yxi
7 4,86 0,05 27,96 7,50 27,51 94,88 5,18 22,75 59,87 5,05 225,62
4. Rezultatele calculelor efectuate pentru determinarea parametrilor a L b DL IXQF LHL OLQLDUH GH UHJUHVLH WDEHOXO SRW IL XWLOL]DWH L SHQWUX DSOLFDUHD IRUPXOHL GH FDOFXO VLPSOificat
D FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH
ry
[n x
n xi yi xi
2 i
( x i
][n y
R
yi
2 i
( y i
10 5170 67 655
= 0 , 9789
$FHDVW
YDORDUH
OHJ WXU
IRDUWH
SXWHUQLF
vQWUH
FHOH
GRX
variabile.
5DSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH VH GHWHUPLQ
Ry
( y i Y x )2 1 2 (y i y )
i
unde
y=
yi
n
655 = 65 , 5 10
P
Ry
255 , 62 6122 , 50
= 0 , 9789
FRUHOD LH DX YDORUL HJDOH FHHD FH FRQILUP OLQLDULWDWHD
UDSRUWXO
GH
3.
ntr-R VXEUDPXU LQGXVWULDO V-au nregistrat ntr-R cheltuielile de prRGXF LH L SURGXF LD RE LQXW
OXQ XUP WRDUHOH LQIRUPD LL SULYLQG
Tabelul 5.7.
3URGXF LH &KHOWXLHOL GH SURGXF LH PLO OHL
sub 30 1 1 1 1 5 2 10
30-60 2 6 3 2 2 13
60-90 3 3 4 4 11
90-120 4 3 1 4
L
peste 5 2 2
Total 6 7 14 8 7 4 40
Rezolvare:
'LVWULEX LD IUHFYHQ HORU vQ WDEHO LQGLF R WHQGLQ GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU Q FD]XO GLVWULEX LHL ELGLPHQVLRQDOH GH IUHFYHQ H VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH DUH IRUPD
n a + b x i ni . = y i n. j i j a x i n i . +b x i2 n i . = x i y j n i j i i i j
&DOFXOXO GRX YDULDELOH HOHPHQWHORU QHFHVDUH SHQWUX DIODUHD SDUDPHWULORU VLVWHPXOXL GH HFXD LL HVWH
Tabelul 5.8.
yj
15 1 1 1 1 5 2 10
45 2 6 3 2 2 13 585 26325
75 3 3 4 4 11 825 61875
ni .
6 7 14 8 7 4 40 2250 171000 -
xi ni .
7 234,5 399,0 188,0 129,5 54,0 1005,0
x i2 n i .
8 7855,75 11371,50 4418,00 2395,75 729,00 26770,00
xi
y j ni j
xi
0 33,5 28,5 23,5 18,5 13,5 9 18592,5 27360,0 10575,0 3052,5 1620,0 61200,0
nj
y j n.
j
150 2250
y 2 n. j
xi
20,5255 35,8905
51,255 66,6205
HFXD LL
a = 20 , 96
b = 3 , 073 .
5H]XOW
Y x i = 20 , 96 + 3 , 073 x i
QORFXLQG vQ DFHDVW UHOD LH
pe fiecare xi
YDORULOH QXPHULFH DOH HFXD LLORU GH UHJUHVLH YH]L WDEHOXO )LLQG R UHSDUWL LH GH IUHFYHQ H SHQWUX P VXUDUHD JUDGXOXL GH FRUHOD LH FDOFXO P UDSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH XWLOL]kQG IRUPXOD GH FDOFXO SUH]HQWDW vQ FRQWLQXDUH
( y j
Ry
x
Yxi y
)
2
ni j
y j n. j
, unde y =
j
( y j
j
n.
n. j
j
FDOFXO P vQ
Pentru aplicarea acestei formule vom folosi datele conform calculelor efectuate
vQ WDEHOXO 6H REVHUY F SHQWUX GHWHUPLQDUHD UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH HVWH QHFHVDU V SUHDODELO PHGLD L GLVSHUVLD SH WRWDO PLL EXF L
Tabelul 5.9.
Yxi
20,5255 35,8905 51,255
yj
15 45 15 45 15 45 75 15 45 75 105 135 15 75 105
ni j
2 2 5 2 1 3 4 1 6 4 1 2 1 3 3
(y
Y xi
ni j
66,6205
81,9855 Total
61,062 1198,002 21,82,065 165,966 1314,425 117,375 2255,300 2664,676 2804,676 280,864 1472,986 9351,512 4487,057 146,392 1589,002 30091,36
Valoarea raportulXL
GRX YDULDELOH VH FDOFXOHD]
GH
FRUHOD LH
LQGLF
OHJ WXU
GH
LQWHQVLWDWH
PHGLH
vQWUH
FHOH
GRX
n xi y j n ry
x
ij
xi ni . i
2
y j n. j
=
j
n x i2 n i . x i n i . i i =
n y 2 n. j y j n. j j j = 0 , 57
GH FRUHOD LH
QH SHUPLWH V
OHJ WXUD HVWH OLQLDU (IHFWXkQG GHFL FDOFXOXO L FRPSDUkQG UH]XOWDWHOH VH SRDWH DFFHSWD GDF
y x=
y x
LDU vQ FD] FRQWUDU VH UHVSLQJH LSRWH]D L vQ DFHDVW YHULILFH IRUPD GH OHJ WXU GLQWUH FHOH GRX
dispersionale.
4.
3HQWUX
FLQFLVSUH]HFH
ILUPH
GLQ
DFHHDL
UDPXU
V DX
vQUHJLVWUDW
XUP WRDUHOH
LQIRUPD LL
UHIHULWRDUH OD R OXQ
GH DFWLYLWDWH
(pers.) 2 10 12 8 17 10 15 10 14 19 10 11 13 16 10 12
Capital fix (mld. lei) 3 2,40 2,72 2,08 3,68 2,56 3,36 2,24 3,20 3,84 2,72 2,07 2,33 2,98 1,94 2,17
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V VH VWXGLH]H OHJ WXUD GLQWUH FHOH WUHL YDULDELOH vQUHJLVWUDWH L V FDUH H[SULP DFHDVW OHJ WXU VH J VHDVF IXQF LD GH UHJUHVLH PXOWLSO V V V
VH P VRDUH LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULORU VLPSOH vQWUH VH FDOFXOH]H FRHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU
x1
y , x2
y , x1
x2 ;
PXOWLSO
Rezolvare: 1.
Q YHGHUHD GHWHUPLQ UL H[LVWHQ HL L IRUPHL OHJ WXULL YRP IRORVL PHWRGD VHULLORU SDUDOHOH LQWHUGHSHQGHQWH WDEHOXO L PHWRGD JUDILF ILJXULOH
5.5.)
Tabelul 5.11.
Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1U VDODULD L
( x1 ) 1 8 10 10 10 10 10 11 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 19
Capital fix ( x2 ) 2 2,08 1,94 2,24 2,40 2,56 2,72 2,07 2,17 2,72 2,33 3,20 3,36 2,98 3,68 3,84
Profit (y) 3 13 15 14 15 16 17 16 16 17 18 20 21 23 23 24
LQWHUGHSHQGHQWH DUDW
H[LVW
vQ JHQHUDO R WHQGLQ
y1
L QXP
30 Profit (mil. lei) 25 20 15 10 5 0 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 4 4,5 5 Capital fix (mld. lei)
y L FDSLWDOXO IL[ x2 )
UXO GH VDODULD L
x1 )
1U VDODULD L
(pers.)
UXO SHUVRQDOXOXL
x1 L FDSLWDOXO IL[ x2 )
*UDILFHOH DUDW
este: Y = a 0 + a1 x1 + a 2 x 2
(VWLPDUHD SDUDPHWULORU DFHVWHL IXQF LL SUHVXSXQH UH]ROYDUHD VLVWHPXOXL GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH
n a 0 + a1 x1 + a 2 x 2 = y 2 a 0 x1 + a1 x1 + a 2 x1 x 2 = x1 y a x + a x x + a x 2 = x y 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 0
yi
15 17 13 23 16 21 14 20 24 17 16 18 23 15 16 268
x1
10 12 8 17 10 15 10 14 19 10 11 13 16 10 12 187
x2
2,40 2,72 2,08 3,68 2,56 3,36 2,24 3,20 3,84 2,72 2,07 2,33 2,98 1,94 2,17 40,29
y i2
225 289 169 529 256 441 196 400 576 289 256 324 529 225 256 4.960
x1 y
150 204 104 391 160 315 140 280 456 170 176 234 368 150 192 3.490
HVWH
x2 y
36,00 46,24 27,04 84,64 40,96 70,56 31,36 64,00 92,16 46,24 33,12 41,94 68,54 29,10 34,72 746,62
x1 x 2
24,00 32,64 16,64 62,56 25,60 50,40 22,40 44,80 72,96 27,20 22,77 30,29 47,68 19,40 26,04 525,38
x 12
100 144 64 289 100 225 100 196 361 100 121 169 256 100 144 2.469
2 x2
5,7600 7,3984 4,3264 13,5424 6,5536 11,2896 5,0176 10,2400 14,7456 7,3984 4,2849 5,4289 8,8804 3,7636 4,7089 113,3400
)XQF LD OLQLDU
GH UHJUHVLH PXOWLSO
2.
,QWHQVLWDWHD
FRUHOD LHL
GLQWUH
QXP UXO
GH
VDODULD L
x1
SURILW
VH
P VRDU
FX
ry
[n x
n x1 y x1
2 1
( x 1
] [n y
y
2
( y ) =
= 0 , 9684
ry
[n x
nx2 y x2
2 2
( x 2
] [n y
y
2
( y )
15 746 , 62 40 , 29 268
401 , 58 76 , 82 2.576
401 , 58 444 , 85
= 0 , 9027
rx 1
[n
n x1 x 2 x1 x 12 ( x 1
] [n
x2
2 x2
( x 2 =
15 525 , 38 187 40 , 29
346 , 47 2.066 76 , 82
346 , 47 398 , 37
= 0 , 8697
3.
PXOWLSO
HVWH
ry
,x
r y2/ x
+ r y2/ x
2 ry/x 1 r x2
1
ry/x
2
rx
/x
/x
0 , 4818 0 , 4936
= 0 , 976
4.
VH FDOFXOHD]
FX IRUPXOD
Ry
,x
= 1
(y i
Y x 1
(y i
x1
x2
vQ IXQF LH GH UHJUHVLH
y=
yi
n
268 = 17,867 15
HVWH
Ry
x1,x2
= 1
Deoarece R y
x1,x2
= ry
x1, x 2
L QX VXQW
5.
&HOH PDJD]LQH GH DFHODL SURILO GLQWU R ORFDOLWDWH VH FDUDFWHUL]HD]
52 41
60 38
74 72
20 16
25 21
34 22
49 23
38 21,5
45 32
12 15
6H FHUH V
Rezolvare
Q YHGHUHD DSOLF ULL PHWRGHL FRUHOD LHL YRP RUGRQD FUHVF WRU YDORULOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL IDFWRULDOH ; VXSUDID XQ WUHFkQG ILHF UXLD vQWU R FRORDQ DO WXUDW vQ YDORULOH IXQF LH FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH GH P ULPHD DOH FDUDF
teristicii
UDQJXUL
FXP VH SRDWH YHGHD vQ WDEHOXO XUP WRU FRORDQHOH L 9RP DFRUGD FHOH PDJD]LQH VXSUDIH HL FRPHUFLDOH
FRORDQD L QLYHOXO GHVIDFHULORU FRORDQD L YRP P VXUD GLIHUHQ HOH GLQWUH FHOH GRX $FHVWH GLIHUHQ H YRU IL ULGLFDWH OD S WUDW FRORDQD VXPD ORU XUPkQG D IL IRORVLW FRHILFLHQWXOXL 6SHDUPDQ GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU
SHQWUX FDOFXODUHD
rS = 1
6 d i2 n n 2 1
Tabelul 5.14.
yi
2 12 20 25 38 34 49 45 60 52 74 -
R xi
3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 -
R yi
4 1 2 3 5 4 7 6 9 8 10 -
d i2
5 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 6
Pi
6 9 8 7 5 5 3 3 1 1 0 42
Qi
7 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 3
Pentru a calcula
FDUH DSDU GXS
PDJD]LQ vQ SDUWH QXP UXO WRWDO GH PDJD]LQH FDUH DX XQ QLYHO VXSHULRU DO GHVIDFHULORU FRORDQD UHVSHFWLY LQIHULRU FRORDQD 3HQWUX DFHDVWD YRP QXP UD UDQJXULOH VXSHULRDUH UHVS
Ry
UkQGXO
FRUHVSXQ] WRU
PDJD]LQXOXL
UHVSHFWLY
SkQ
WRDUH DX UDQJXUL
rk =
Pi Q i
n (n 1 )
r k = 0 , 87
'DWHOH GLQ WDEHOXO LQL LDO SRW IL IRORVLWH SHQWUX D FRQVWUXL XQ DP WUDQVIRUPDW FHOH GRX vQUHJLVWU UL vQ GRX
DP FDOFXODW YDORDUHD PHGLH D GHVIDFHULORU PLO OHL L VXSUDID D PHGLH D XQXL PDJD]LQ PS L YDULDELOH DQDOL]DWH vQ FDUDFWHULVWLFL DOWHUQDWLYH SULQ UHVWUkQJHUHD FHORU JUXSH YDORUL VXE PHGLH UHVSHFWLY SHVWH PHGLH
Tabelul 5.15.
6XSUDID
3HQWUX D DSUHFLD LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULL VH IRORVHWH FRHILFLHQWXO GH DVRFLHUH FDOFXODW FX UHOD LD
Q=
ad bc a d + bc
5 4 1 0 5 4 + 1 0
Q =1
6.
'LQ GRULQ D GH D L FXQRDWH PDL ELQH FLWLWRULL XQ FRWLGLDQ D LQL LDW R DQFKHW
vQ
rndul acestora.
3ULQWUH vQWUHE ULOH LQFOXVH vQ FKHVWLRQDU HUDX L FHOH UHIHULWRDUH OD VH[XO FLWLWRULORU L IUHFYHQ D DFKL]L LRQ ULL ]LDUXOXL 3H ED]D U VSXQVXULORU FRQVHPQDWH OD DFHVWH GRX OHJ WXULL GLQWUH FHOH GRX YDULDELOH vQWUHE UL YH]L WDEHOXO DSUHFLD L LQWHQVLWDWHD
masculin
feminin
foarte rar uneori deseori zilnic foarte rar uneori deseori zilnic
10 10 25 5 20 15 10 5
Rezolvare:
3HQWUX D HYLGHQ LD L P VXUD OHJ WXUD GLQWUH VH[XO FLWLWRUXOXL L IUHFYHQ D FX FDUH FXPS U FRWLGLDQXO DP UHRUJDQL]DW LQIRUPD LLOH vQWU XQ WDEHO GH DVRFLHUH YH]L WDEHOXO $ IRVW QHFHVDU
UHJUXSDUHD YDULDQWHORU GH U VSXQV UHIHULWRDUH OD IUHFYHQ D DFKL]L LRQ ULL FRWLGLDQXOXL SHQWUX D RE LQH R YDULDELO DOWHUQDWLY FXPS FXPS U U WRULL RFD]LRQDOL VXQW FHL FDUH DFKL]L LRQHD] WRULL ILGHOL ]LDUXO IRDUWH UDU VDX XQHRUL
Tabelul 5.17. Sexul cititorului feminin masculin Total Cititori ocazionali 35 20 55 fideli 15 30 45 Total 50 50 100
PROBLEME PROPUSE
1.
date:
3 22
6 30
4 20
5 25
2 18
5 26
4 22
1 19
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF GDWHOH L V VH DOHDJ IXQF LD GH UHJUHVLH SRWULYLW VH GHWHUPLQH SDUDPHWULL IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH LQWHUSUHWH]H GLQ SXQFW GH YHGHUH HFRQRPLF FRHILFLHQWXO GH UHJUHVLH
VSXQVXUL
1. IXQF LH OLQLDU 2. Y i = 14 , 77 + 2 , 13 x i ; 3. pentru fiecare an suplimentar dH YHFKLPH SURGXF LD XQXL PXQFLWRU FUHWH vQ PHGLH cu 2,13 buc..
2.
ntr-R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO
V DX vQUHJLVWUDW XUP WRDUHOH GDWH
12 2,7
34 4,0
2 2,0
36 4,2
14 2,8
22 3,5
5 2,1
10 2,6
SULQ IXQF LD
VSXQVXUL
3.
Tabelul 5.20.
'RWDUH WHKQLF
Productivitate (mil. lei / munc.) 10-12 12-14 14-16 100 40 20 80 20 40 100 120 160 120
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
0 VXUD L LQWHQVLWDWHD FRUHOD LHL GLQWUH GRWDUHD WHKQLF OHJ WXUL OLQLDUH Q FH SURSRU LH LQIOXHQ HD] GRWDUHD WHKQLF SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL" GH PLO OHL SHQWUX (VWLPD L FH SURGXFWLYLWDWH DUH XQ PXQFLWRU FX GRWDUH WHKQLF L SURGXFWLYLWDWH vQ LSRWH]D XQHL
VSXQVXUL
4.
ntr-o localitate datele:
vL GHVI RDU
-au nregistrat
Tabelul 5.21.
&KHOWXLHOL UHFODP
1U DJHQ L
(mii lei) 249 292 183 201 310 248 246 241 288 191 248 210 256 275 241
X1
X2
15 18 14 16 21 20 18 14 13 15 21 18 20 16 19
WLLQG F
Y i = 19 , 5 + 0 , 158 X 1 + 0 , 962 X 2 ,
V VH GHWHUPLQH P ULPHD UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH FH SURILW YD DYHD R DJHQ LH LPRELOLDU FX GH DJHQ L L FKHOWXLHOL GH UHFODP
1. 2.
VSXQVXUL
5.
2SW DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GLQ DFHODL GRPHQLX GH DFWLYLWDWH DX vQUHJLVWUDW XUP WRDUHOH UHDOL] UL
540 47
580 59
600 52
640 56
700 64
620 58
610 50
470 40
prin intermediul: 1. UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH 2. coeficientXOXL GH FRUHOD LH 3. FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU 6SHDUPDQ 4. FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU .HQGDOO
VSXQVXUL
1. 2. 3. 4.
6.
/D R ILUP
Tabelul 5.23. Costuri (mil. lei) Profit (mil. lei) 90 10 30 15 100 8 50 12 45 14 110 9 70 11 55 13 20 16 15 17
1.
de regresie este
Y i = 17 , 687 0 , 089 x i ; 2. 3.
FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU 6SHDUPDQ FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU .HQGDOO
VSXQVXUL
n yt . t =1
absolute
FX ED]
IL[
t/1):
t/1=yt - y1 ,
FX ED] vQ ODQ
unde
t/t-1):
t = 2, n
t/t-1=yt - yt-1 ,
5HOD LL XWLOH
unde
t = 2, n
:
t / t 1
t =2
= m /1 ,
unde unde
mn
t = 3,n
Indicatorii relativi
,QGLFH GH GLQDPLF
FX ED]
IL[
I t /1 =
FX ED]
yt y1
I t / 1(%) =
yt 100 , unde y1
t = 2, n
vQ ODQ
I t / t 1 =
5HOD LL XWLOH
yt y t 1
:
= I m / 1 , unde
mn
I
t =2
t / t 1
I t /1 = I t / t 1 , unde t = 3 , n I t 1 / 1
5LWPXO GH GLQDPLF
FX ED]
IL[
(Rt/1):
y t y1 y1 100
Rt
sau
Rt
= I t 1( % ) 100 % ,
t = 2,n
FX ED]
vQ ODQ
(Rt/t-1): sau
Rt / t 1 =
yt yt 1 100 yt 1
R t / t 1 = I t / t 1 (%) 100% ,
t = 2, n
9DORDUHD DEVROXW
FX ED]
IL[
At / 1 =
t /1 Rt / 1
At / 1 =
y1 100
FX ED]
vQ ODQ
At / t 1 =
t / t 1 Rt / t 1
Indicatorii medii
GH LQWHUYDOH GH WLPS IRUPDWH GLQ LQGLFDWRUL DEVROX L
y=
y
t =1
n
VLPSO
):
SRQGHUDW
FURQRORJLF
y cr =
d i 1 + d i 2
+ ... + y n
d n1 2
d i
FURQRORJLF 'H UH LQXW F SHQWUX VH SRQGHUDW HVWH VLQJXUXO LQGLFDWRU PHGLX FH FDUDFWHUL]HD]
t / t 1
n 1
sau
yn y1 n 1
sau
PXO L
I = n 1
LQGLFL
yn y1
PHGLL GH GLQDPLF vQWUHDJD SHULRDG FH FDUDFWHUL]HD] VH FDOFXOHD] PDL PXOWH
astfel:
I = i =1
n care:
ni
I1
n1
I2
n2
... I i
ni
... I k
nk
I Ii ni k
- LQGLFHOH PHGLX JHQHUDO GH GLQDPLF - LQGLFLL PHGLL SDU LDOL GH GLQDPLF - QXP - QXP
UXO LQGLFLORU FX ED] vQ ODQ UXO VXESHULRDGHORU DGLF
FH LQWU
R = (I (%) ) 100%
altora de tip aleator. Componentele sistematice sunt: trendul WHQGLQ D JHQHUDO sezonalitatea FDUH VH PDQLIHVW
VXE IRUP
OD LQWHUYDOH
VXE IRUP
Prin
WHUPHQLORU
DMXVWDUHD WHUPHQLORU XQHL VHULL GH GDWH VWDWLVWLFH VH vQ HOHJH RSHUD LD GH vQORFXLUH D UHDOL FX WHUPHQL WHRUHWLFL GDWHOH FH H[SULP OHJLWDWHD VSHFLILF GH GH]YROWDUH RELHFWLY D
'LVSHUVLD WRWDO
( )
2 y
i
VH FDOFXOHD]
GXS
IRUPXOD
2 y
(y =
y)
Dispersia termenilor seriei de la valorile ajustate y / r VLQWHWL]HD] reziduali - IDFWRUL QHvQUHJLVWUD L - vQ FD]XO VHULLORU FURQRORJLFH WR L IDFWRULL FX
2
WLPS L VH FDOFXOHD] FX IRUPXOD
2 y/r
(y =
Yti n
,
WHRUHWLF D YDULDELOHL
n care Y t i
UHSUH]LQW
YDORDUHD
2 y/t
2 y/t
(Y =
ti
Q SUDFWLF
ntr-XQ QXP
( )
t
FDUH VH SODVHD]
( )
t
FDUH VH SODVHD]
0HWRGD JUDILF
AceVW
ID
KLVWRULRJUDP XUPDW
0HWRGD PRGLILF
ULL PHGLL
absolute
DSURSLDWH FD YDORDUH XQHOH GH DOWHOH
$MXVWDUHD SULQ DFHVW SURFHGHX VH IRORVHWH DWXQFL FkQG SUHOXFUkQG VHULD GH GDWH VH RE LQ PRGLILF UL DEVROXWH FX ED] )XQF LD GH DMXVWDUH vQ ODQ
Y t = y 1 + ( t 1) ,
sau
unde
t = 1, n
Yti = y 0 + t i ,
unde: y0 UHSUH]LQW ti
UHSUH]LQW WHUPHQXO OXDW FD ED] GH DMXVWDUH DFHD YDORDUH FDUH VH DSURSLH FHO PDL PXOW GH SR]L LD SH FDUH WHUPHQXO
YL]XDO vQ JUDILF
UHVSHFWLY R DUH ID
0HWRGD LQGLFHOXL PHGLX GH GLQDPLF $FHVW SURFHGHX VH IRORVHWH DWXQFL FkQG WHUPHQLL VHULHL DX WHQGLQ D GH FUHWHUH GH IRUPD XQHL SURJUHVLL JHRPHWULFH vQ FDUH UD LD SRDWH IL FRQVLGHUDW )XQF LD GH DMXVWDUH FD HJDO FX LQGLFHOH PHGLX GH GLQDPLF
( I ).
Yt = y1 I t 1
sau
Yti = y0 I ti ,
unde: y0 UHSUH]LQW ti UHSUH]LQW
WHUPHQXO OXDW FD ED] GH DMXVWDUH SR]L LD SH FDUH WHUPHQXO
UHVSHFWLY R DUH ID
YDORULOH YDULDELOHL LQGHSHQGHQWH WLPSXO YDORULOH YDULDELOHL GHSHQGHQWH IHQRPHQHOH FDUH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ VHULD
FURQRORJLF
$OHJHUHD WLSXOXL GH IXQF LH FDUH VH SRWULYHWH FH IDFH SH ED]D XUP WRDUHORU FULWHULL DSOLFDELOH RS LRQDO
FULWHULXO ED]DW SH UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF IRUPD WHQGLQ HL GH HYROX LH FULWHULXO GLIHUHQ HORU 6H SURFHGHD] RUGLQXO XQX GRL HWF SkQ DMXVWDUHD I FkQGX VH GXS
vQ ODQ
GH
i aproximativ constante
LQGLFLL FX ED] SUH]LQW VH LPSXQH R vQ ODQ WHQGLQ
i.
UHVSHFWLY
'DF VXQW
FRQVWDQ L Q XUPD
H[SRQHQ LDO
It/t-1
DGPLWHP GH
VHULD GXS
FURQRORJLF FULWHULLOH
DOHJHULL
DMXVWDUH
SUH]HQWDWH
HVWLPDUHD
SDUDPHWULORU DFHVWRU IXQF LL XWLOL]kQG PHWRGD FHORU PDL PLFL S WUDWH $FHDVW
PHWRG
DUH FD IXQF LH
RELHFWLY PLQLPL]DUHD VXPHL S WUDWHORU DEDWHULORU YDORULORU UHDOH GH OD FHOH DMXVWDWH GHFL
min y i Yti
Trend liniar
Y t i = a + bt i ,
n care:
Yt i a -
UHSUH]LQW UHSUH]LQW
YDORULOH DMXVWDWH FDOFXODWH vQ IXQF LH GH YDORULOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL IDFWRULDOH SDUDPHWUXO FDUH DUH VHQV GH P ULPH PHGLH L DUDW FH QLYHO DU IL DWLQV
ti);
y GDF
SH WRDW
perioada; b ti UHSUH]LQW UHSUH]LQW SDUDPHWUXO FDUH VLQWHWL]HD] QXPDL LQIOXHQ D FDUDFWHULVWLFLL IDFWRULDOH
t);
timpul. Parametrii a
L
VH GHWHUPLQ
[y i
( a + bt i ) ] = min ):
2
na + b t i = y i 2 a t i + b t i = t i y i
Pentru
na = y i 2 b t i = t i y i
, de unde
yi a = n b = t i y i t i2
QORFXLQG YDORULOH FDOFXODWH DOH FHORU GRL SDUDPHWUL vQ HFXD LD GH UHJUHVLH L DSRL vQORFXLQG VXFFHVLY YDORULOH YDULDELOHL WLPS VH RE LQ YDORULOH DMXVWDWH DOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL UH]XOWDWLYH
ti
yi .
Trend parabolic
Y t i = a + bt i + ct i2
3XQkQG WHRUHWLFH V DFHHDL FRQGL LH FD VXPD S WUDWHORU DEDWHULORU WHUPHQLORU VHULHL GH OD YDORULOH ILH PLQLP VH RE LQH
(y
(a + bt i + ct i2 )) 2 = minim
na + b t i + c t i2 = y i 2 3 a t i + b t i + c t i = t i y i 2 3 4 2 a t i + b t i + c t i = t i y i
Pentru
FD] vQ FDUH L
3 i
na + c t i2 = y i 2 b t i = t i y i 2 4 2 a t i + c t i = t i y i
Rezolvnd sistemul de
t VH DMXVWHD]
Trend hiperbolic
Yti = a + 1 b ti
1 na + b t = y i i a 1 + b 1 = 1 y i ti ti t i2
7UHQG H[SRQHQ LDO
Yti = a b ti
3ULQ ORJDULWPDUH PRGHOXO VH WUDQVIRUP vQWU
lg Yti = lg a + t i lg b
6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH YD IL
n lg a + lg b t i = lg y i lg a t i + lg b t i2 = ( t i lg y i )
2SHUD LD GH DMXVWDUH vQ DFHVW FD] VH YD IDFH GXS LQGLYLGXDOH GH DMXVWDUH $MXVWDUHD GXS R IXQF LH FH VH YRU FDOFXOD ORJDULWPLL HFXD LLORU VH IDFH SULQ DQWLORJDULWPDUHD H[SRQHQ LDO
ti.
ajustate
yt Yt
y
b)
Yt = min .
FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH
6H FDOFXOHD]
V y/ t =
d y/t y
100
DEDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU D YDORULORU UHDOH GH OD YDORULOH DMXVWDWH
n care d y / t
FDOFXODW GXS
UHSUH]LQW IRUPXOD
d y/t =
Yti
Yt i
L FHL H[WUDSROD L
tot termenii teoretici - VH YRU QRWD WHUPHQLL H[WUDSROD L FX Yt , iar variabila de timp cu ti. i Deci, formulele de calcul vor fi:
Yt = y 0 + t i i
Y ti = y 0 I
t i
DWXQ
Yt = y 0 + t i , i
t i Y ti = y 0 I ,
n care:
I = kI
Coeficientul k SRDWH V ILH PDL PDUH VDX PDL PLF GHFkW 'DF k<1, DWXQFL vQVHDPQ F VH UHGXFH YDULD LD PHGLH DEVROXW
DSOLF OD SULPXO VDX OD DO GRLOHD SURFHGHX F 'DF k>1, atunci nseaPQ dect n perioada de analizat. GDWHOH V
FXP VH
3HQWUX H[WUDSRODUHD SH ED]D PHWRGHORU DQDOLWLFH GH FDOFXO VH SXQH vQ SULPXO UkQG FRQGL LD FD VH GHWHUPLQH DVWIHO vQFkW V
ti = 0.
QX PRGLILFH RULJLQHD YDULD LHL GH WLPS FDUH HVWH vQ PLMORFXO 'HFL YDULD LD GH WLPS VH H[WLQGH vQ DPEHOH VHQVXUL GHL
SULQ H[WLQGHUHD VHULHL SHQWUX SHULRDGD XUP WRDUH WHUPHQLL H[WUDSROD L VH YRU QRWD FX
Yti ,
astfel:
Yt = a + bt i i Yt = ab ti i
Yt = a + bt i + ct i i
'DF
IHQRPHQHOH VH DQDOL]HD]
vQ LQWHUGHSHQGHQ
GLQDPLF DWXQFL VH DOHJ FDUDFWHULVWLFLOH IDFWRULDOH FDUH VXQW SUHYL]LELOH QXPDL vQ IXQF LH GH WLPS L DSRL DSUHFLLQG F SHUVSHFWLY V DU S VWUD DFHHDL WHQGLQ
YDORULOH GH UH]XOWDWLY
DQDOL]DW WHQGLQ
X 1 = a x1 + bx1 t
X 2 = a x2 + b x 2 t
$FHVWH YDORUL VH LQWURGXF vQ HFXD LD IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH PXOWLSO H[WUDSRODWH DOH YDULDELOHL < GXS YDORULOH PRGLILFDWH DOH FHORU GRL IDFWRUL
calculndu-se valorile
Yx1 x2 = a 0 + a1 x1 + a 2 x 2
PROBLEME REZOLVATE
1.
$QDOL]D VWDWLVWLF 3URGXF LD LQWHUQ D XQHL VHULL FURQRORJLFH GH LQWHUYDOH GH DOXPLQLX D vQUHJLVW
WRDUHOH YDORUL
1992
1993
1994
1995 144
1996 145
1997 164
1998 175
1999 176
2000 178
120 116 122 aluminiu (mii tone) Sursa: Revista Capital nr. 23 din 7 iunie 2001.
Se cere: 1.
V VH FDUDFWHUL]H]H HYROX LD SURGXF LHL GH DOXPLQLX IRORVLQG LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L
V V V
relativi; medii;
VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD YDORULORU DEVROXWH VH GHWHUPLQH WUHQGXO GH HYROX LH SH ED]D PHWRGHORU PHFDQLFH L DQDOLWLFH VH DOHDJ FHD PDL DGHFYDW PHWRG FDUH DMXVWHD] IHQRPHQXO L V VH H[WUDSROH]H VHULD
2. 3. 4.
Rezolvare: 1.
&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU DEVROX L
Nivelul absolut ( y t
n
Nivelul totalizat:
yt
t =1
0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW
( ):
FX ED]
IL[
( t 1 ):
t
2
1
1
9
FX ED]
( t
t 1
):
t 1
2
9
t 1:
t
1
t 1
=t
2
1
8
+3
++ 9
= 9
4 + 6 + 22 + 1 + 19 + 11 + 1 + 2 = 58
t 1
= t
8
t 1
= 9
58 56 = 2
Tabelul 6.2.
0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW PLL WRQH
Anul A 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total
3URGXF LD
(mii tone) 1 120 116 122 144 145 164 175 176 178 1340
FX ED]
= y t y1
2 -4 2 24 25 44 55 56 58 -
IL[
FX ED]
t 1
= y t y t 1
3 -4 6 22 1 19 11 1 2 58
vQ ODQ
( I ):
I t 1( % ) =
I 9 1( % ) =
FX ED]
vQ ODQ
(I t
t 1
It
t 1( %
) =
yt y t 1
100
I 2 1( % ) =
I 9 8( % ) =
5HOD LLOH vQWUH
It
t 1 :
It
It
1
1
: I t 1 : I8
1
= It
8
t 1
I9
= I9
Ritmul
FX ED]
1% din ritm
FX ED] FX ED] ODQ vQ
(mii tone)
FX ED]
IL[
FX ED]
vQ ODQ
It 1 =
yt y1
I t t 1 =
yt y t 1
R t 1 = I t 1 1 100 R t t 1 = I t t 1 1 100
IL[
FX ED]
vQ ODQ
IL[
At 1 =
y1 100
A t t 1 =
y t 1 100
A 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total
1 120 116 122 144 145 164 175 176 178 1340
Rt
Rt R2
y1
100 = I t
1 100
R9
FX ED]
Rt R2
t 1
t 1
y t 1
100 = I t
t 1
1 100
R9
9DORDUHD DEVROXW
FX ED]
IL[
At
At
t Rt
1 1
y1 100
A2
A9
FX ED]
At
=
t 1
At
t 1
t Rt
t 1 t 1
y t 1 100
A2
A9
( )
lul mediu se
y=
yt
t =1
( ):
=
t 1
n 1
n 1
vQ SHULRDGD
It
t 1
= n 1 I n
Ritmul mediu
R = I 1 100 = (1 , 0505 1 ) 100 = 5 , 05%
3URGXF LD V
2.
190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 anii
-2000
3.
Metode mecanice
0HWRGD PRGLILF ULL PHGLL DEVROXWH UHOD LD
( )
t 1
5H]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH SULYLQG DMXVWDUHD WHUPHQLORU SULQ DFHVWH GRX vQ WDEHOXO FRORDQHOH L
Tabelul 6.4. Valori ajustate prin: Anul A 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total
yt
1 120 116 122 144 145 164 175 176 178 1340
Y t = y 1 + (t 1 )
indicele mediu
Yt = y1 I
3
( )(
t 1 )
Y 1 = 120
Y 2 = 120 1 , 0505 = 126 , 06
Y 3 = 120 + 7 , 25 2 = 134 , 5
Y 4 = 120 + 7 , 25 3 = 141 , 75
Y 3 = 120 1 , 0505
Y 4 = 120 1 , 0505
= 132 , 43
= 139 , 1
Y 5 = 120 + 7 , 25 4 = 149 , 0 Y 6 = 120 + 7 , 25 5 = 156 , 25 Y 7 = 120 + 7 , 25 6 = 163 , 5 Y 8 = 120 + 7 , 25 7 = 170 , 25 Y 9 = 120 + 7 , 25 8 = 178
1340,5
Y 5 = 120 1 , 0505
= 146 , 14
5 6
7 8
= 153 , 52 = 161 , 27
= 169 , 42 = 178
1325,95
Metode analitice
'LQ FURQRJUDPD SUH]HQWDW OLQLDU 3HQWUX DMXVWDUHD OLQLDU ILJ VH REVHUY UHOD LD F DMXVWDUHD VH SRDWH IDFH SULQ PHWRGD L SH ED]D SDUDEROHL GH JUDGXO GRL VH XWLOL]HD]
Yt = a + b t i
WUDWH
= min
n a + b t i = y i a t i + b t i2 = t i y i
'DF VH SXQH FRQGL LD FD
t i
= 0 sistemul devine:
na = yi b t i2 = t i y i a=
yi
n
; b=
t i y i t i2
e n tabelul 6.5.
Anul A 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total
yi
1 120 116 122 144 145 164 175 176 178 1340
ti
2 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
t i2
3 16 9 4 1 0 1 4 9 16 = 60
t i4
4 256 81 16 1 0 1 16 81 256 t i4 = 708
ti yi
5 -480 -348 -244 -144 0 164 350 528 712
t i2 y i
t i
=0
t i2
6 1920 1044 488 144 0 164 700 1584 2848 2 t i y i = 538 t i y i = 8892
Y i
= 1340
Y i
= 1340
Y i = a + b t i + c t i2
6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH SHQWUX FDOFXODUHD SDUDPHWULORU
n a + b t i + c t i2 = y i 2 3 a t i + b t i + c t i = t i y i a t i2 + b t i3 + c t i4 = t i2 y i
'DF
t i
= 0 , sistemul devine:
n a + c t i2 = y i 2 b t i = t i y i a t i2 + c t i4 = t i2 y i
Calculele sunt prezentate n tabelul 6.5. Deci:
9 a + 60 c = 1340 a = 149 , 75 60 b = 538 b = 8 , 96 60 a + 708 c = 8892 c = 0 , 13
(FXD LD SHQWUX DMXVWDUHD SULQ WUHQGXO SDUDEROLF HVWH
Y t i = 149 , 75 + 8 , 96 t i 0 , 13 t i2
4.
sunt:
cu cel teoretic
Yt
i =1
GH FHOH HPSLULFH
i =1
y i Yti
(y i
n i =1
Yt i
UHOD LLOH
(y i
n
v=
i =1
Yt i n y
yi
100 =
100
sau
i =1
y i Yt i n y 100 ,
v =
yi
100 =
unde y =
yi
i =1
(tabelul 6.7.).
Tabelul 6.7.
Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4
(y i
Yt
yt
V yt =
yi
100
y
5,12 5,37 4,71 4,30
([WUDSRODUHD SUHYL]LRQDUHD SURGXF LHL GH DOXPLQLX SHQWUX XUP WRULL DQL VH IDFH FRQW F
LQkQG
VXQW DFHOHDL FRQGL LL 9DORULOH H[WUDSRODWH SULQ PHWRGHOH IRORVLWH OD DMXVWDUH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH
n tabelul 6.8..
Tabelul 6.8. Nr. Metoda de crt. ajustare prin: 2001 A 1 2 1 modificarea medie Y 2001 = 120 + 7 , 25 9 = 185 , 25
DEVROXW
Y 2002
2 3 4
indicele mediu
IXQF LD OLQLDU
IXQF LD SDUDEROLF
Se cunRVF 1991-1998:
2.
XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG YDORDUHD H[SRUWXULORU OD SURGXVHOH GLQ OHPQ vQ SHULRDGD
1992 40
1993 22
1994 45
1995 36
1996 38
1997 42
1998 47
precendent (mil. $)
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH YDORUL DEVROXWH WLLQG F VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL L V VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQWU VH LQWHUSUHWH]H YDORDUHD H[SRUWXOXL D FUHVFXW vQ
Rezolvare: 1.
'LQ GDWHOH SUH]HQWDWH UH]XOW F
t
t =2
t 1
= y t y 1 = y 1998 y 1991
40 + 22 + 45 + 36 + 38 + 42 + 47 = 270
'H DVHPHQHD VH WLH F
I = n1
Deci:
y 98 y 91
=7
y 98 y 91
= 1 , 1884
y 1998 y 1991 = 270 y 1991 = 115 mil.$ y 1998 7 y 1998 = 385 mil. $ = (1 , 1884 ) = 3 , 3478 y 1991
DVWIHO
Tabelul 6.10. Anul Export produse din lemn (mil. $) 1991 115 1992 155 1993 177 1994 222 1995 258 1996 296 1997 338 1998 385
2. Indicatorii medii
t =2
t 1
n 1
y n y1 n 1
y 1998 y 1991 8 1
nivelul mediu:
yt
y=
t =1
Q DFHDVW
SHULRDG
-au exportat n medie, anual, produse n valoare de 243,25 mil. $. -a calculat indicele mediu.
3.
1995
1996
1997
1998
Figura 6.2.
*UDILFXO VXJHUHD] (FXD LD GUHSWHL XQ WUHQG OLQLDU
Yt i = a + bt i
6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH
n a + b t i = y i a t i + b t i2 = t i y i
&X FRQGL LD FD
t i
=0
na = yi b t i2 = t i y i
n yi i =1 1946 a = n = 8 = 243 , 25 b = y i t i = 3198 = 19 , 04 t i2 168
&DOFXOHOH QHFHVDUH GHWHUPLQ ULL SDUDPHWULORU L YDORULOH DMXVWDWH WHRUHWLFH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ
tabelul 6.11.
Tabelul 6.11. Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Total
yi
1 115 155 177 222 258 296 338 385
ti
2 -7 -5 -3 -1 1 3 5 7
t i2
3 49 25 9 1 1 9 25 49
yi ti
4 805 775 531 222 258 888 1690 2695
Y t i = 243 , 25 + 19 , 04 t i
(y
Yt i
6 25,3 48,3 83,36 4,88 18,4 19,1 0,2 71,74
yi
4.
= 1946
t i
=0
t i2
= 168
yi ti
= 3198
Yt
= 1946
(y i
Yt i
)= 271 , 28
v yt =
Yt
Y
100 , unde
yt
(yi
Yt i n
= 5 , 82
v yt =
5 , 82 243 , 25
100 = 2 , 39 %
3.
6H vQGHOXQJDW
FXQRVF
XUP WRDUHOH
GDWH
FX
SULYLUH
OD
vQ]HVWUDUHD
SRSXOD LHL
FX
EXQXUL
GH
IRORVLQ
1998.
Tabelul 6.12.
Anul
0RGLILF UL GH DEVROXWH ID
1992 6,5
1993 8,3
1994 9,3
1995 7,3
1996 8,2
1997 8,9
1998 8,9
1999 6,7
10,58
12,22
12,20
8,54
8,84
8,81
8,10
5,64
Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH YDORU
i absolute;
Rezolvare: 1.
3HQWUX UHFRQVWLWXLUHD VHULHL FURQRORJLFH VH XWLOL]HD] PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY L YDORDUHD DEVROXW UHOD LD vQWUH PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D XQXL SURFHQW GLQ ULWPXO PRGLILF ULL
At
t 1
t Rt
t 1
t 1
100
y t 1 100
De exemplu,
A 92 = 92 R 92
91 91
91
y 91 100
A 92
91
y 91 = 0 , 614 100 = 61 , 4 buc Pentru anul 1999 valoarea indicatorului se poate calcula astfel:
y 99 = y 98 + 99
98
= 118 , 8 + 6 , 7 = 125 , 5
sau
y 99 = y 98 I 99
98
2.
6HULD UHFRQVWLWXLW
Tabelul 6.13.
Anul A 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
,QGLFDWRUL DEVROX L
Indicatori relativi
t 1
I t 1(% )
4 100 110,52 124,10 139,25 151,14 164,49 178,99 193,48 204,39
It
t 1 ( %
Rt
Rt
t 1
At
At
t 1
4.
Q DQLL L V DX vQUHJLVWUDW XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG VWRFXULOH H[LVWHQWH vQ GHSR]LWHOH
XQHL VRFLHW
L FRPHUFLDOH WDEHOXO
6.14.).
Tabelul 6.14.
1999
'DWD vQUHJLVWU ULL
Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULLOH FURQRORJLFH VH FDOFXOH]H VWRFXO PHGLX vQ FHL GRL DQL
Rezolvare: 1. Seria se timp pentru anul 1999 este o serie de momente cu intervale egale ntre PRPHQWH 5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF VH IDFH SULQWU-o cronograP ILJ Seria din anul 2000 este tot o serie de momente cu intervale neegale ntre momente.
3HQWUX UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF VH IRORVHWH XQ JUDILF SULQ FRORDQH ILJ
31.12.99
GDWD vQUHJLVWU
270 240
260
280
25.03.2000
1.08.2000
GDWD vQUHJLVWU ULL
20.10.2000
31.12.2000
2. Stocul mediu
3HQWUX SULPD VHULH VH FDOFXOHD] PHGLH FURQRORJLF SRQGHUDW R PHGLH FURQRORJLF VLPSO LDU SHQWUX VHULD D GRXD R
y1 y cr 1999 = 2
+ y2 + y3 + y4 + n 1
y5
y cr 2000 =
y1
d1 2
+ y2
d1 + d 2 2
+ y3
+ y4
d3 +d4 2
+ y5
d4 2
d i
unde d i
d 1 = 84 ; d 2 = 126 ; d 3 = 79 ; d 4 = 71 .
240 y cr 2000 = =
5.
Ponderea sectorului privat n PIB a evoluat astfel n perioada 1991 - 1992.
Tabelul 6.15. Anul
0RGLILF ID GH UL
1992 2,8
1993 11,2
1994 15,3
1995 21,7
1996 31,3
1997 37
1998 38,4
1999 39,7
anul 1991(%)
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GDF SRQGHUHD VHFWRUXOXL SULYDW vQ 3,% D FUHVFXW vQ DQXO ID
Rezolvare: 1.
'LQ GDWHOH SUH]HQWDWH UH]XOW F
y 96 y 91 = 31 , 3 y 91 = 23 , 6 y 96 y 96 = 54 , 9 = 2 , 326 y 91
6HULD GH GDWH UHFRQVWLWXLW HVWH SUH]HQWDW vQ WDEHOXO L V D RE LQXW DVWIHO
y 91 = 23 , 6 y 92 = 23 , 6 + 2 , 8 = 63 , 3
y 98 = 23 , 6 + 39 , 7 = 63 , 3
Tabelul 6.16. Anii Ponderea sectorului privat n PIB (%) 1991 23,6 1992 26,4 1993 34,8 1994 38,9 1995 45,3 1996 54,9 1997 60,6 1998 62,0 1999 63,3
2.
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF
KLVWRJUDP
70
anii
Figura 6.4.
PHFDQLF
L XQD
0HWRGD PHFDQLF
0HWRGD PRGLILF
y t i = y 1 + (t 1 )
=
'DF
t 1
n 1
y n y1 n 1
y 99 y 91 8
63 , 3 23 , 6 8
= 4 , 9625 %
vor fi:
y ti = a + bt i
ApOLFkQG PHWRGD normale devine:
FHORU PDL PLFL S WUDWH L DSRL FRQGL LD
t i
= 0
VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL
na = yi b t i2 = t i y i
y i = 409 , 8 = 45 , 53 a = 9 n y i t i = 332 = 5 , 55 b = t 2 60
Tabelul 6.17. Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Total
yi
ti
2 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
t i2
yiti
4 -94,9 -79,2 -69,6 -38,9 0 54,9 121,2 186,0 253,2
Y t i = 45 , 53 + 5 , 55 t i
5 23,32 28,88 34,43 39,98 45,53 51,08 56,63 62,19 67,74
i
yi
3 16 9 4 1 0 1 4 9 16
= 409 , 8
t i
=0
t i2
= 60
yi ti
= 333 , 2
Y t
= 409 , 8
VH REVHUY
DX IRVW
vQ XOWLPLL PLFL
3 ani (1997
PRGLILF ULOH
FUHWHULOH
IRDUWH
PROBLEME PROPUSE
1.
&RQVXPXO PHGLX DQXDO GH ODSWH L SURGXVH GLQ ODSWH O ORFXLWRU GLQ 5RPkQLD D FXQRVFXW vQ
Tabelul 6.18. Anul Consum (l) 1989 135,9 1990 140,1 1991 163,3 1992 163,7 1993 176,9 1994 179,5 1995 188,6 1996 192,7 1997 192,4 1998 194,4
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD FURQRORJLF VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L UHODWLYL L PHGLL FH FDUDFWHUL]HD] VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQ PHWRGH PHFDQLFH L DQDOLWLFH VH SUHFL]H]H PHWRGD FDUH DMXVWHD] FHO PDL ELQH WHQGLQ D GH HYROX LH D IHQRPHQXOXL VHULD FURQRORJLF
2.
WRDUHD
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
122,11
107,08
77,94
148,11
205,73
85,34
127,77
97,62
103,23
136,86
92,83
WLLQG F V V V
VH FHUH
1. 2. 3.
VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH GDWH VH FDOFXOH]H WR L LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L UHODWLYL L PHGLL VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQ PHWRGH PHFDQLFH
3RSXOD LD RFXSDW
3.
vQ
tabelul 6.20..
Tabelul 6.20. Anul
3RSXOD LD RFXSDW
1990 10,840
1991 10,786
1992 10,458
1993 10,062
1994 10,011
1995 9,493
1996 9,379
1997 9,023
1998 8,813
1999 8,420
(mii persoane)
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQWU R PHWRG DQDOLWLF L V VH FDOFXOH]H HURDUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF D
4.
&UHWHULOH
vQUHJLVWUDWH
SULYLQG
YDORDUHD
H[SRUWXULORU
5RPkQLHL
OD
SURGXVHOH
GH
OHPQ
vQ
WRDUHOH
1992 40
1993 22
1994 45
1995 36
1996 38
1997 42
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH YDORUL DEVROXWH WLLQG F GH DQXO FX VH L VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL L V YDORDUHD H[SRUWXOXL D FUHVFXW vQ DQXO ID
nterpreteze;
DUJXPHQWD L SURFHGHXO FHO PDL ELQH HYROX LD H[SRUWXULORU vQ
ales;
SUHFL]D L FDUH GLQ FHOH GRX DFHDVW SHULRDG SURFHGHH DMXVWHD]
5.
1992 88,17
1993 82,24
1994 88,56
1995 97,02
1996 92,91
1997 85,16
1998 87,62
1999 85,39
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH GDWH WLLQG F vQ DQXO YDORDUHD 3,% D IRVW GH
6.
6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG HYROX LD XQXL IHQRPHQ vQ SHULRDGD
1998:
Tabelul 6.22.
Anul Modificarea
DEVROXW ID GH
1992 25
1993 32
1994 28
1995 22
1996 31
1997 24
1998 30
anul precedent
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
V ID V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH YDORUL DEVROXWH FXQRVFkQG F GH FX VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L UHODWLYL L PHGLL VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQWU XQ SURFHGHX PHFDQLF L XQXO DQDOLWLF DUJXPHQWD L SURFHGHHOH IHQRPHQXO D FUHVFXW vQ DQXO
alese;
SUHFL]D L SHULRDG H[WUDSROD L VHULD SHQWUX XUP WRUL FDUH GLQ PHWRGHOH XWLOL]DWH DMXVWHD] FHO PDL ELQH IHQRPHQXO vQ DFHDVW
i doi ani.
Indici statistici
i 1/ 0 =
y
y1 y0
x1 f 1 x0 f0
unde: y x f
i 1x/ 0 =
x1 x0
i 1/ 0 =
f
f1 f0
vQWRWGHDXQD UHOD LD GH VLVWHP
i 1 / 0 = i 1x/ 0 i 1 / 0
y f
5HOD LL XWLOH
i 1 / 0 ( % ) = r1 / 0 + 100
y y
unde:
r1y 0 - ULWPXO GH GLQDPLF / r1x/ 0 - ritmuO GH GLQDPLF r1 /f 0 - ULWPXO GH GLQDPLF
SHQWUX IHQRPHQXO FRPSOH[
x f
Sisteme de ponderare folosite la construirea indicilor de grup factoriali a) Sistemul de ponderare propus de E. Laspeyres, la care ponderile folosite sunt cele din
SHULRDGD GH ED]
I 1y/ (0f ) =
x x
0 0
f1 f0
I 1y/(0x ) =
x x
1 0
f0 f0
b) Sistemul de ponderare propus de H. Paasche, la care ponderile utilizate sunt cele din
SHULRDGD FXUHQW
I 1y/ (0f ) =
x x
f1 f0
I 1y/ (0x ) =
x x
1 0
f1 f1
SH FXPXODUHD FDQWLW LORU GLQ SHULRDGD GH ED] LQGLFHOH HVWH FX L IRORVLUHD DFHVWRUD FD SRQGHUH OD P VXUDUHD YDULD LHL UHODWLYH D FDOLWDWLY UHOD LD JHQHUDO GLQ FDUH UH]XOW
) I 1(/x0 =
x (f x (f
1 0
1 1
+ f0 ) + f0 )
I1
y ( x ) 0
x1 x0
f f
0 0
x1 x0
f1 f1
I1
y( f ) 0
x 0 f 1 x1 f1 x 0 f 0 x1 f 0
0RGDOLW
I 1/ 0
y ( x,f )
x1 f 1 x0 f 0
I 1/ 0
y( f )
x0 f1 x0 f0
I 1/ 0
y(x)
x1 f 1 x0 f1
Indicii de gruS
L DQXPH
UHOD LD GH VLVWHP
I 1/ 0
y ( x ,f )
= I
y( f )
( L )1 / 0
VH
y(x)
( P )1 / 0
vQ JHQHUDO FD GLIHUHQ vQWUH QXP U WRUXO L QXPLWRUXO
0RGLILFDUHD
DEVROXW
FDOFXOHD]
indicelui:
y ( x , f ) = x1 f 1 x 0 f 0 y ( f ) = x0 f1 x0 f 0 y ( x ) = x1 f 1 x 0 f 1
y ( x ,f
pe total:
= y (
f )
+ y ( x )
FRQWULEX LD UHODWLY D ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW
y( f )
y(
f )
y ( x,f )
100 ,
respectiv
y(x)
y(x)
y ( x ,f )
100
I 1/ 0
FS ( S ,T )
S 1 T1 S 0T0
I 1/ 0
FS ( T )
S 0 T1 S 0T0 S 1 T1 S 0 T1
= I 1/ 0
FS ( T )
I 1/ 0
FS ( S )
I 1/ 0
FS ( S ,T )
I 1/ 0
FS ( S )
FS ( S ,T )
= S 1 T1 S 0 T 0
FS ( T )
= S 0 T1 S 0 T 0 = S 1 T1 S 0 T1
FS ( S )
FS ( S ,T ) = FS ( T ) + FS ( S )
K
FS ( T )
FS ( T ) FS ( S ,T ) FS ( S ) FS ( S ,T )
100
FS ( S )
100
i 1/ 0 x 0 f 0 = x0 f0
y
sau
I 1/ 0
y ( x,f )
x1 f 1
1
y i 1/ 0
x1 f1
i 1/ 0 x 0 f 0 = x0 f0
f
I 1/ 0
y(x)
x1 f 1
1 i 1x/ 0 x1 f 1
v ( p ,q ) 1/ 0
i 1v/ 0 p 0 q 0 = p0q0
q
sau
I 1/ 0
v ( p ,q )
p1 q1
1 i 1v/ 0 p1 q1
v(q) 1/ 0
i 1/ 0 p 0 q 0 = p0q0
=
I 1/ 0
v( p)
p1 q1
1 i 1/ 0
p
p1 q1
PHGLL
YDULDELO
x ( x ,f SV
x1 x0
x ( x ,f SV
x1 x0
x 1 f 1* = x 0 f 0*
unde
fi
fi
fi
I VS
x( f
x* x0
x0 f1 : x0 f 0 = f1 f 0
sau
x( f SV
* x * x0 f1 = = x 0 x 0 f 0*
IL[
x(x) SF
x1 x
*
x1 f 1 : x 0 f 1 = f1 f1
IL[
sau
x(x) SF
x1 x*
x 1 f 1* = x 0 f 1*
vPSUHXQ XQ
,QGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU
YDULDELO FX VWUXFWXU
sistem de indici:
I
GLIHUHQ
x ( x ,f SV
= I
D
x ( x ) SF
I VS
x ( f
MoGLILFDUHD
DEVROXW
PHGLHL
VXE
LQIOXHQ D
XQXLD
VDX
DOWXLD
GLQ
IDFWRUL
VH
FDOFXOHD]
FD
GLQWUH QXP U WRUXO L QXPLWRUXO LQGLFHOXL IDFWRULDO FRUHVSXQ] WRU 5HOD LLOH GH FDOFXO YRU IL
x ( x ) =
x1 f 1 x 0 f 1 = x f * x f * 1 1 0 1 f1 f1
=
= x1 x*
x (
x0 f1 x0 f 0 = x f * x f * 0 1 0 0 f1 f0
= x* x 0
x (x, f
= x(x) + x( f
LL PXQFLL
I SV
w ( w ,T
w1 w0
w1 T1 : w 0 T 0 = p 0 q 1 : p 0 q 0 T1 T 0 T1 T 0
, unde T i
Ti
Ti
I VS
w (T
w* = w0
=
w 0 T1 : w 0 T 0 T1 T 0
I SF
w(w)
w1 w*
*
w1 T1 : w 0 T1 T1 T1
=I
w ( w ) SF
w ( w ,T SV
I VS
w (T
w ( w ,T *) =
w1 T1 w 0 T 0 T1 T 0
= w1 w 0
w ( w ) =
w1 T1 w 0 T1 T1 T1
w 0 T1 w 0 T 0 T1 T 0
*
= w1 w *
w ( T *) =
= w * w0
w ( w ,T
w (T
w ( w )
Metoda indicilor
Q WHRULD L SUDFWLFD VWDWLVWLF QXPHWH GHVFRPSXQHUH JHRPHWULF GHVFRPSXQHUHD LQGLFHOXL JHQHUDO vQ SURGXVXO LQGLFLORU IDFWRULDOL VH LDU VHSDUDUHD PRGLILF ULL DEVROXWH WRWDOH vQ VXPD PRGLILF ULORU GHVFRPSXQHUH DQDOLWLF
XQ IDFWRU RGDW
I1
x0 f1 x0 f 0
y(
f )
= x0 f1 x0 f 0 = x0 f
I1
y(x) 0
x1 f 1 ; x0 f1
y ( x ) = x1 f 1 x 0 f 1 = f 1 x
Varianta II (se substituie mai nti factorul calitativ)
y(x) 0
I1
x1 f 0 x0 f 0
y ( x ) = x1 f 0 x 0 f 0 = f 0 x
I1
y( f ) 0
x1 f 1 ; x1 f 0
y(
f )
= x1 f 1 x1 f 0 = x1 f
(L )
y( f )
x0 f1 x0 f0
respectiv
SH ED]D UHOD LLORU
(L )
y(x)
x1 f 0 x0 f0
y(
f )
= x0 f1 x0 f 0 = x0 f
)RORVLQG DFHODL VLVWHP GH SRQGHUDUH SHQWUX DPELL IDFWRUL QX VH PDL YHULILF GHRDUHFH U PkQH XQ UHVW QHGHVFRPSXV FDUH DUDW LQIOXHQ D VLPXOWDQ
y ( x ) = x1 f 0 x 0 f 0 = f 0 x
UHOD LD GH VLVWHP
D DPELORU IDFWRUL
y ( x f )
x1 f 1 : x1 f 0 x0 f1 x0 f 0
y ( x f ) = ( x 1 f 1 x 0 f 1 ) ( x 1 f 0 x 0 f 0 ) = x f
ModificarHD DEVROXW
SH WRWDO
y ( x ,f
= x0 f + f 0 x +x f
VH SRDWH IDFH vQ XUP WRDUHOH YDULDQWH
a) VH DWULEXLH LQWHJUDO XQXLD GLQ IDFWRUL VLWXD LH FDUH FRQGXFH OD SURFHGHXO VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ b) se repartizHD] vQ PRG HJDO SH IDFWRUL c) VH UHSDUWL]HD] SURSRU LRQDO FX LQIOXHQ HOH L]RODWH DOH IDFWRULORU (kx, kf) FDUH VH GHWHUPLQ astfel:
k =
x
x + f
f 0
x
0
respectiv
x = x + f
f 0 f 0
y(
f )
=x0 f + k
x f
y ( x ) = f 0 x + k
&RQWULEX LD UHODWLY
x f
y ( x ) 100
y (
f ) )
y ( x ,f
100 , respectiv
y ( x ,f
PROBLEME REZOLVATE
1.
vQ GRX
6LWXD LD FDQWLW
Tabelul 7.1.
&DQWLW L YkQGXWH 3UH XO XQLWDU
UIXULOH
U/M
perioada
GH ED]
perioada
FXUHQW
A I II III Total
B buc. buc. Kg -
3 20 12 30 -
4 30 20 60 -
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
V V V V V VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU SHQWUX FHOH WUHL VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DO SUH XULORU L V VH FDOFXOH]H SH WRWDO PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH SHQWUX YDORDUH SUH XUL L VH YHULILFH IL]LF P UIXUL UHOD LD GLQWUH HL YROXP
perioade.
Rezolvare 1.
&DOFXOXO LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU
i 1v/ 0 =
3HQWUX
v1 v0
p1 q1 p0q0
i 1/ 0 =
q
QHFHVDU V
q1 q0
VH
;
FDOFXOH]H
i 1/ 0 =
p
p1 p0
GLQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH
LQGLFHOH
YDORULL
HVWH
YDORULOH
Tabelul 7.2.
&DQWLW LOH YkQGXWH 3UH XO XQLWDU 9DORDUHD P UIXULORU
(U.M.)
0 UIXUL
U.M.
SHU GH ED]
(po) 3 20 12 30 -
perioada
FXUHQW
n per. crt. n
SUH XULOH SHU GH ED]
i 1/ 0 =
q
q1 q0
600 ( pentru marfa I ) 500 100 = 120% 1000 = 100 = 125% ( pentru marfa II ) 800 200 100 = 66 , 67% ( pentru marfa III ) 300 30 ( pentru marfa I ) 20 100 = 150% 20 = 100 = 166 , 67% ( pentru marfa II ) 12 60 100 = 200% ( pentru marfa III ) 30 18000 ( pentru marfa I ) 10000 100 = 180% 20000 = 100 = 208 , 3% ( pentru marfa II ) 9600 12000 100 = 133 , 33% ( pentru marfa III ) 9000
i 1/ 0 =
p
p1 p0
i 1v/ 0 =
p1 q1 p0q0
GH LQGLFL DJUHJD L
p1 q1 p0q0
=
I 1/ 0
v(q)
p 0 q1 p0q0 p1 q1 p 0 q1
= I 1/ 0
v(q)
30000 = 1 , 0489 sau 104 , 89% 28600 50000 = 1 , 6667 sau 166 , 67% 30000
I 1/ 0
v( p)
I 1/ 0
v ( p ,q )
I 1/ 0
v( p)
3.
0RGLILF
1/ 0
v ( p ,q )
1/ 0 1/ 0
v(q)
= p 0 q 1 p 0 q 0 = 30000 28600 = 1400 mii lei = p 1 q 1 p 0 q 1 = 50000 30000 = 20000 mii lei = 1/ 0
v(q)
v( p)
1/ 0
v ( p ,q )
+ 1/ 0
v( p)
1/ 0 1/ 0
v(q)
v ( p ,q )
100 =
v( p)
1/ 0 1/ 0
v( p)
v ( p ,q )
100 =
4. Orice indice agregat se poate substitui printr-un indice mediu aritmetic sau armonic al indicilor individuali FRUHVSXQ] WRUL
v(q) I 1/ 0
i q p 0 q 0 = p0 q0
30000 , 3 28600
= 1 , 0489
sau 104,89%
I 1v/(0p ) =
pq 1 i p q
1 1 p
1 1
sau 166,67%
5.
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF
Tabelul 7.3.
0 UIXUL 6WUXFWXUD YDORULL YkQ] SHULRDGD GH ED] 3% ULORU 3&
A I II III Total
80
60 33,60 40
40,00
III II I
20
35,00
36,00
0 PB PC
UIXUL
2.
i:
9DORDUHD P
L FXUHQW
Tabelul 7.4.
0 UIXUL 9DORDUHD P UIXULORU
A A B C Total
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DO SUHWXULORU PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH DOH YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DOH SUH XULORU FRQWULEX LD FHORU GRL IDFWRUL DVXSUD GLQDPLFLL YDORULL P UIXULORU YkQGXWH
Rezolvare 1. Indicii individuali ai valorii se pot calcula pe baza datelor din tabel, iar indicii individuali ai
SUH XULORU SH ED]D UHOD LHL GLQWUH FHL WUHL LQGLFL
UIX
ri:
i 1v/ 0 =
p1 q1 p0q0
1500 (pentru marfa A) 500 = 3 sau 300% 900 = = 1 , 5 sau 150% (pentru marfa B) 600 1400 = 1 , 75 sau 175% (pentru marfa C) 800
i 1/ 0 ( % ) = r q
q
i 1v/ 0 = i 1 / 0
q
i 1/ 0 ,
p
de unde:
3 1 , 07 = 2 , 804 sau 280 , 4% 1, 5 = = 1 , 3636 sau 136 , 36% 1,1 1 , 75 = 2 , 1875 sau 218 , 75% 0,8 ( pentru marfa A )
p i 1/ 0
i 1v/ 0 i 1/ 0
q
( pentru marfa B )
( pentru marfa C )
2.
p1 q1 p0q0
indicele de grup al volumului fizic nu se poate calcula aici dect ca un indice mediu DULWPHWLF SRQGHUDW FX YDORDUHD P UIXULORU GLQ SHULRDGD GH ED] 3Hntru aceasta se
SRUQHWH GH OD UHOD LD
v(q) I 1/ 0
i q p 0 q 0 = p0 q0
q
LQGLFHOH GH JUXS DO SUH XULORU SRUQHWH FD L vQ FD]XO LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL GH OD UHOD LD
I 1v/ 0 = I 1 / 0
I 1/ 0 ,
p
de unde:
p I 1/ 0
I 1v/ 0 I 1/ 0
q
2 = 2 , 0706 0 , 9659
sau
207,06%
3.
0RGLILF
ULOH DEVROXWH DOH YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DOH SUH XULORU VH FDOFXOHD]
SH ED]D
= 1/ 0
v(q)
+ 1/ 0
v( p)
de unde:
1/ 0
v( p)
= 1/ 0
v ( p ,q )
1/ 0
v(q)
4.
&RQWULEX LD FHO
or doi factori
1/ 0
v(q)
v(q)
1/ 0
v ( p ,q )
100 =
v( p)
1/ 0 1/ 0
v( p)
v ( p ,q )
100 =
3.
Se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 7.5. Categorii de confort A 1 2 3 4 Total
9DORDUHD vQFDVDW PLOOHL
Modificarea
SUH XULORU
perioada de
ED]
perioada
FXUHQW
Se cere:
1. 2.
FDOFXOXO LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU FDOFXOXO LQGLFHOXL GH JUXS DO SUH XULORU SUHFL]kQGX VH FH IHO GH IRUPXO
VH SRDWH DSOLFD L GH
ce; 3. indicele de grup DO YDORULL L DO YROXPXOXL IL]LF 4. PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH DOH YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L SUH XULORU JUDGXO GH LQIOXHQ
IDFWRUL DVXSUD GLQDPLFLL vQFDV ULORU
D FHORU GRL
Rezolvare 1.
&DOFXOXO LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XU
ilor
i 1v/ 0 =
p1 q1 p0q0
LQGLFHOH
SUH XULORU
ULWPXO GH
modificare
75 + 100 100 = 1 , 75 sau 175 % 125 + 100 = 2 , 25 sau 225 % r q + 100 100 = = 100 0 + 100 100 = 1 sau 100% 25 + 100 = 0 , 75 sau 75% 100
i 1/ 0
i 1/ 0 ,
p
de unde:
1 , 6667 1 , 75 = 0 , 952 sau 95 , 2 % 2 , 75 = 1 , 222 sau 122 , 2 % 2 , 25 = 1, 3 1 , 0 = 1 , 3 sau 130 % 1 , 2667 = 1 , 6889 sau 168 , 89 % 0 , 75
q i 1/ 0
i 1v/ 0 i 1/ 0
p
2.
&DOFXOXO LQGLFHOXL GH JUXS DO SUH XULORU VH YD IDFH vQ DFHVW H[HPSOX FD PHGLH DUPRQLF SH ED]D UHOD LHL
I 1/ 0
v( p)
p1 q1
1 i
p
p1 q1
XQ
8900 8900 = = 1 , 816 sau 181,6% 2500 5500 520 380 4899 , 7 + + + 1 , 75 2 , 25 1 0 , 75
LQGLFH DJUHJDW DO SUH XULORU GHRDUHFH QX VH FXQRVF VHSDUDW
1RW
Nu s-D
FDQWLW
SXWXW
FDOFXOD
3.
I 1/ 0
v ( p ,q )
p1 q1 p0q0
=
sau
211,9%
q I 1/ 0
I 1v/ 0 I 1/ 0
p
sau
116,67%
4.
0RGLILF
1/ 0
v ( p ,q )
1/ 0
v( p)
= p1 q1
= 1/ 0
v ( p ,q )
1 i
p
1/ 0
v(q)
1/ 0
v( p)
v(q)
1/ 0
v(q)
v ( p ,q ) 1/ 0
100 =
699 , 7 4700
100 = 14 , 9%
v( p)
1/ 0 1/ 0
v( p)
v ( p ,q )
100 =
Deoarece K v ( p ) > K v (q )
GH SHULRDGD GH ED] VHDPD FDQWLW LORU
UH]XOW
% pe
4.
VH FXQRVF GDWHOH
0 A B C Total
Modificarea
SUH XULORU
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL L DL SUH XULORU LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DO SUH XULORU V VH GHVFRPSXQ YDORDUHD DEVROXW SH WRWDO
Rezolvare: 1.
,QGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL SUH XULORU VH GHWHUPLQ XWLOL]kQG UHOD LLOH
i 1 0 ( % ) = r1
p
p 0
+ 100
i 1v
= i1
q 0
i1
p 0
i 1v
= 1 , 2 2 , 5 = 3 pentru marfa A.
n PB
p0 q0
0 A B C Total (mil. lei) 1 100 400 600 1100
iq
2
iv
4 3 3,53 1,95 2,62
p1 q1 = p 0 q 0 i v
5 300 1412 1170 2882
p 0 q1 = i q p 0 q 0
6 120 428 780 1328
p1 q 0 =
p1 q1 iq
2. PeQWUX FDOFXOXO LQGLFLORU GH JUXS VH FDOFXOHD] YDORDUHD vQFDV ULORU vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW ( p 1 q 1 L YDORDUHD vQFDV ULORU vQ SUH XUL FRPSDUDELOH p 0 q 1 YH]L FRORDQHOH L
v( p, q 0
I1
p1 q1 p0 q0
=
I1
v( q 0
p 0 q1 p0q0 p1 q1 p 0 q1
1328 = 1 , 2073 sau 120,73% 1100 2882 = 2 , 1702 sau 217,02% 1378
LOH SHQWUX GHVFRPSXQHUHD SH IDFWRUL vQ ODQ
I1
v( p 0
p 0 q 1 sunt prezentate n
ii
v( q
) )
ii
v( p
$SRL GH GHWHUPLQ
RN = v ( p , q ) vi i = 1782 ( 228 + 1370 ) = 1782 1598 = 184 mil lei , unde vi i = 1598
VH SRDWH XWLOL]D XQD GLQ
variantele: Varianta I: Se atribuie, n cazul nostru, tot restul nedescompus factorului calitativ:
Varianta a II-a: Se distribXLH vQ PRG HJDO UHVWXO QHGHVFRPSXV SH FHL GRL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ
v( q ) = ii 1 RN = 228 + 92 = 320 mil. lei 2 1 v( p ) v ( p ) = i i + RN = 1370 + 92 = 1462 mil. lei 2 +
D IDFWRULORU vQ DFHVW FD]
v( q
&RQWULEX LD UHODWLY
K v ( q ) = 17 , 96% K v ( p ) = 82 , 04%
Varianta a III-a:
6H UHSDUWL]HD] UHVWXO QHGHVFRPSXV SH IDFWRULL GH LQIOXHQ LQkQG FRQW GH SRQGHUHD IDFWRULORU vQ PRGLILFDUHD GDWRUDW LQIOXHQ HL L]RODWH D DFHVWRUD
v( q
v( q ii
ii ii
v( q
) ) ) )
v( p,q
v( p
v( p ii
ii ii
v( p
v( p,q
&RQWULEX LD UHODWLY
D IDFWRULORU vQ
K v ( q ) = 14 , 25% K v ( p ) = 85 , 75%
2EVHUYD LH
Valorile cele mai realiste sunt cele de la varianta a III-a a metodei restului nedescompus deoarece PHWRGD VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ DFFHQWXHD] LQIOXHQ D XOWLPXOXL IDFWRU VXEVWLWXLt, n
FD]XO QRVWUX LQIOXHQ D SUH XULORU
5.
Modificarea PC 4 17 25 42
SUH XULORU
PB 3 23 22 45
5 +15 +20
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO vQ FHOH GRX LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL SURGXFWLYLW LQGLFLL SURGXFWLYLW PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW LL PXQFLL YDULDELO FX VWUXFWXU IL[ L DO YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL LL PHGLL D PXQFLL FX HYLGHQ LHUHD LQIOXHQ HL IDFWRULORU LL PXQFLL FX VWUXFWXU D SURGXFWLYLW SHULRDGH
PRGLILFDUHD SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO SH VHDPD PRGLILF ULL QXP UXOXL VDODULD LORU
( p 0 q1 =
p1 q1 i1
p 0
w0 =
p0q0 T0 p 0 q1 T1
PLO OHLSHUVRDQ
w1 =
PLO OHLSHUVRDQ
w0 =
p0 q0 T0
w1 =
p 0 q1 T1
w 0 T1
(mil. lei) 5 192,168 227,2725 419,4405
i 1w 0
6 1,3574 0,88 1,0734
4 15,345 8 10,973
diul mediei w :
( )
w0 =
p 0 q 0 = w0 T0 T 0 T 0 p 0 q1 T1
=
460 = 10 , 222 45
w1 =
2.
LL PXQFLL VH FDOFXOHD]
GXS
UHOD LD
i 1w 0 =
L DQXPH
w1 w0
i 1w 0 =
15 , 345 11 , 304
i 1w 0 = 3.
a)
YDULDELO
I sv
w w, g T
(
(
)
)
w1 w0
q1 p 0 T1
p 0 q 0 = w1 T1 T 0 T1
sau 107,34%
w0 T0 T 0
I sv
w w, g T
10 , 973 10 , 222
= 1 , 0734
3HQWUX FDOFXOXO LQGLFLORU GH JUXS IDFWRULDOL WUHEXLH FDOFXODW IRORVLQG XUP WRDUHD UHOD LH
SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL
w*
w* =
w 0 T1 T1
w* =
419 , 4405 42
= 9 , 9867
b)
I sv
(g ) =
T
F
w* w0
sau
97,70%
GDF V
5H]XOW
-ar fi modificat
c)
FX VWUXFWXU
IL[
GH WLS 3DDVFKH
I SF
w(w
w1 w*
sau 109,87%
'DF V-DU IL PRGLILFDW QXPDL SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL OD QLYHOXO ILHF UXL DJHQW HFRQRPLF productivitatea medie a muncii ar fi crescut cu 9,87%. Pe ansamblu, productivitatea medie a muncii a crescut doar cu 7,34%, deoarece o parte GLQ FUHWHUHD GDWRUDW VF GHUHD SURGXFWLYLW 0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW PRGLILF ULL SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL D PXQFLL GDWRUDW LL PXQFLL SDU LDOH D IRVW FRPSHQVDW PXWD LLORU vQ VWUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU GH
4.
D SURGXFWLYLW
w ( w, g
= w 1 w 0 = 10 , 973 10 , 222 = 0 , 751 mil. lei / pers. = 751 mii lei / pers.
D SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL SH VHDPD PXWD LLORU vQ VWUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU
0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW
w (g
= w * w 0 = 9 , 987 10 , 222 = 0 , 235 mil. lei / pers. = - 235 mii lei / pers.
D SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL SH VHDPD PRGLILF ULL SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL
0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW
) = w ( gT ) + w ( w )
5.
I Q (T ) =
W 0 T1 W 0 T 0
PROBLEME PROPUSE
1.
3HQWUX GRX
Tabelul 7.12.
9DORDUHD YkQ] ULORU PLO OHL
Modificarea
SURFHQWXDO SUH XULORU D
Produs 0 A B
PB 1 300 600
PC 2 375 900
3 +20 +60
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW WLLQG F ED] FX V L UHODWLY D YDORULL GHVIDFHULORU SH WRWDO L LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU ID GH SHULRDGD GH D SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL QXP UXO SHUVRQDOXOXL SH WRWDO D FUHVFXW vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW VH GHWHUPLQH PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY
2.
/D R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO
ULORU
Modificarea
UHODWLY D SUH XULORU
4 50 66,7 100
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL SUH XULORU L DL YDORULL YkQ] ULORU PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY V D YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L D SUH XULORU SH WRWDO SHULRDGH VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VWUXFWXUD YDORULL YkQ] ULORU vQ FHOH GRX
3.
Tabelul 7.14. Agent economic 0 A B Salariul mediu (mii. lei/pers.) PB PC 1 2 2400 2880 2700 3200 Structura DQJDMD PB 3 50 50
LORU
PC 4 45 55
Se cere: 1. dinamica salariului mediu pe fiecare agent economic; 2. VDODULXO PHGLX SH WRWDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 3. LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL VDODULXOXL PHGLX FX VWUXFWXU YDULDELO structurii; 4. PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH SH WRWDO
FX VWUXFWXU
IL[
L DO YDULD LHL
4.
Se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 7.15. Structura valorii Produs 0 A B C
YkQ] ULORU vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW
1 35 40 25
Modificarea
SUH XULORU
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL L DL SUH XULORU LQGLFLL GH JUXS SULYLQG YDORDUHD YROXPXO IL]LF L SUH XULOH WLLQG F ED] FX QXP UXO SHUVRQDOXOXL SH WRWDO V D UHGXV vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW ID GH SHULRDGD
de
V
D SURGXFWLYLW
LL PXQFLL
-un
XJDWH
- YDORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW FUHDW vQ VHFWRUXO i OD SUH XULOH GH ED] - SURGXF LD JOREDO EUXW vQ VHFWRUXO i; - consumul intermediar din sectorul i.
3ULQ vQVXPDUHD YDORULORU DG XJDWH EUXWH FUHDWH vQ VHFWRDUHOH VDX UDPXULOH HFRQRPLHL VH RE LQH EUXW OD QLYHOXO HFRQRPLHL
VAB = VAB i
9DORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW VH H[SULP OD SUH XULOH GH ED] SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU FDUH LQFOXG VXEYHQ LLOH SH SURGXV GDU H[FOXG LPSR]LWHOH SH SURGXV L WD[D SH YDORDUHD DG XJDW
3HQWUX D RE LQH
PIB = VAB + IP + TV SP ,
unde: VAB IP TV SP
- YDORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW OD SUH XULOH GH ED] - LPSR]LWH SH SURGXV LQFOXVLY WD[D SH YDORDUH DG - taxe vamale; - VXEYHQ LL SH SURGXV L SHQWUX LPSRUW
PHWRGD XWLOL] ULL ILQDOH
XJDW
b) Metoda cheltuielilor
SUHVXSXQH
HYLGHQ LHUHD
FKHOWXLHOLORU
SHQWUX EXQXULOH L VHUYLFLLOH ILQDOH vQ IXQF LH GH GHVWLQD LD DFHVWRUD FRQVXPXO SRSXOD LHL
(CP FRQVXPXO DGPLQLVWUD LHL CA IRUPDUHD EUXW (EXN). Valoarea PIB OD SUH XULOH SLH HL VH RE LQH
FRQIRUP UHOD LHL XUP WRDUH
GH FDSLWDO SULQ
FBC
vQVXPDUHD
DFHVWRU
unde: CF FBCF S EX IM
consumul final;
IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ VDX LQYHVWL LL FDSLW
ale brute;
- compensarea factorului PXQF UHPXQHUDUHD VDODULD LORU - excedentul brut de exploatare; - LPSR]LWH OHJDWH GH SURGXF LH L GH LPSRUW - VXEYHQ LL GH H[SORDWDUH L GH LPSRUW
-un an de
PIN VH FDOFXOHD]
PIN = PIB A
352'868/ 1$ UHSUH]LQW
,21$
L BRUT (PNB)
D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH RE LQXWH vQWU ULL FkW L vQ H[WHULRUXO
PNB
LQWHULRUXO
-un an
PIB
(SVFS):
PNB = PIB + SVFS
352'868/ 1$ P VRDU ,21$/ 1(7
PNN)
D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH RE LQXWH vQWU vQ H[WHULRUXO ULL GDU FDUH DX UHYHQLW
PNN
DJHQ LL
YDORDUHD DG XJDW vQ
QHW
-un an de
HFRQRPLFL
UH]LGHQ L
LQWHULRUXO
VDX
VXELHFWHORU
economice interne:
PNN = PNB A
9(1,78/ 1$ 91 H[SULP ,21$/
sau
VN)
YHQLWXUL
din
PXQF
L GLQ SURSULHWDWH 9HQLWXO QD LRQDO HVWH SURGXVXO QD LRQDO QHW OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU
VN = PNN
pb
9(1,78/ 1$
,21$/ %587
VNB)
VNB = VN + A
9(1,78/ 1$ ,21$/ ',6321,%,/
VND = VN + STCS ,
UL PLQXV SO
unde: VAS
YHQLWXUL FDUH UHYLQ DOWRU VHFWRDUH FRQWULEX LD SHQWUX DVLJXU ULOH VRFLDOH
TM
WUDQVIHUXUL F WUH PHQDMH SHQVLL DMXWRU GH RPDM DOWH DMXWRDUH EXUVH DORFD LL
HVWH
YDORDUHD U PDV
GXS
SODWD
,1',&$725, '(5,9$
,
FRPSRQHQWH
SRQGHUHD LQYHVWL LLORU EUXWH VDX QHWH vQ DUDW FH SURFHQW GLQ VXE IRUP
VN GH LQH DFHDVW
PIB;
PIB/locuitor P
VRDU
productivitatea muncii = PIBSRSXOD LH RFXSDW productivitatea capitalului fix = PIBYDORDUHD PHGLH DQXDO D FDSLWDOXOXL IL[ HILFLHQ D FRQVXPXOXL HQHUJHWLc= PIB/consum de energie etc.
LL QD LRQDOH L YHQLWXO GLVSRQLELO EUXW DO UDWD GH HFRQRPLH D PHQDMHORU HVWH UDSRUWXO GLQWUH HFRQRPLD EUXW
menajelor;
UDWD GH HFRQRPLH ILQDQFLDU VH FDOFXOHD] FD UDSRUW vQWUH FDSDFLWDWHD QHFHVDUXO GH ILQDQ DUH L YHQLWXO GLVSRQLELO EUXW SH WRWDO HFRQRPLH UDWD H[FHGHQWXOXL EUXW HVWH UH]XOWDWXO vPS U LULL H[FHGHQWXOXL EUXW GH H[SORDWDUH OD YDORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW UHSUH]LQW SRQGHUHD LPSR]LWHORU vQFDVDWH GH DGPLQLVWUD LD SXEOLF vQ
PIB;
UDWD GH SUHVLXQH VRFLDO H[SULP SRQGHUHD FRWL]D LLORU VRFLDOH HIHFWLYH vQFDVDWH GH VWDW vQ
PIB.
&203$5$
,, 1 7,03
PIB real (PIB*) VH RE LQH SULQ GHIOD LRQDUHD PIB nominal. 1. utilizarea unui indice de pre XUL de tip Paasche. Acest LQGLFH VH RE LQH LQGLUHFW GLQ UHOD LD GH VLVWHP GLQWUH LQGLFHOH YDORULL I v (indicele PIB nominal), indicele volumului fizic I q GH WLS /DVSH\UHV L LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU I p .
'HIOD LRQDUHD 3,% QRPLQDO SULQ
=I
I q,
unde:
v
p1 q1 p0q0
PIB I
p
p 0 q1 p0q0
OD LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU
unde
C* = j
C IC
p
PIB
UHDO VH FDOFXOHD]
FX
PIB * = VAB i* ,
unde: VAB i* -
YDORDUHD DG XJDW
EUXW
GLQ UDPXUD
i
GHIOD LRQDW
FD
D=
PIB1
* PIB1
* PIB 1
PIB 0
6$/$5,8/ 5($/ , ',1$0,&$ $&(678,$ VH FDOFXOHD] FD UDSRUW vQWUH VDODULXO QRPLQDO QHW L LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH
DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL DOF WXLW GLQ VXEHDQWLRDQH UHSUH]HQWDWLYH SHQWUX ILHFDUH UDPXU
( FBS i R i ) , T i
unde: FBS i - fondul brut de salarii la nivelul agentului economic i; - WRWDOXO UH LQHULORU GLQ VDODULL OD QLYHOXO DJHQWXOXL HFRQRPLF i; Ri - QXP UXO PHGLX GH VDODULD L OD QLYHOXO DJHQWXOXL HFRQRPLF i; Ti
6DODULXO PHGLX QHW OD QLYHOXO ILHF UHL UDPXUL
2.
r:
SN r =
SN s Ts , Ts
UXO PHGLX GH VDODULD L OD QLYHOXO VXEUDPXULL
unde: Ts - QXP
s.
3.
e:
SN =
SN r Tr Tr
, r.
unde: Tr QXP
(tip Laspeyres):
IPC =
I p p0 q0 = I p g 0c(%) , 100 p 0 q0
unde: Ip c g 0(%) -
LQGLFL GH SUH XUL SHQWUX SURGXVH DOLPHQWDUH SURGXVH QHDOLPHQWDUH L VHUYLFLL SRQGHUHD FKHOWXLHOLORU GH FRQVXP SHQWUX P UIXUL DOLPHQWDUH P UIXUL QHDOLPHQWDUH L VHUYLFLL vQ WRWDOXO FKHOWXLHOLORU GH FRQVXP vQ SHULRDGD GH ED]
RI = IPC% - 100
,QGLFHOH SXWHULL GH FXPS UDUH D EDQLORU
IPCB):
IPCB =
1 IPC
'LQDPLFD VDODULXOXL UHDO vQ IXQF LH GH VDODULXO QRPLQDO L GH SXWHUHD GH FXPS UDUH D EDQLORU
I SR = I SN IPCB
PROBLEME REZOLVATE
1.
6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SHQWUX HFRQRPLD 5RPkQLHL vQ SHULRDGD
1998:
Tabelul 8.1.
curente (mld. lei) de 1990 (%) 0 1 2 1990 857,9 100 1991 2203,9 87,1 1992 6029,2 79,4 1993 20035,7 80,6 1994 49773,2 83,8 1995 72135,5 89,8 1996 108919,6 93,4 1997 252925,7 87,7 1998 371193,8 83,5 1999 539356,9 81,6 Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997, pag. 354, 357; anul 2000, pag. 280-281.
Anii
,QGLFLL 3,% ID
Se cere: 1. deflatorul PIB vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID GH L ID GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW 2. UDWD LQIOD LHL vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID GH L ID GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW 3. 3,% UHDO ID GH L ID GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW 4. dinamica PIB UHDO vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW 5. dinamica PIB UHDO L UDWD LQIOD LHL ID GH
PIB nominal
I tPIB = 0
PIBt PIB0
unde
t = 0, 9
De exemplu:
I1PIB = /0 PIB1 2203,9 = = 2,5689 PIB0 857,9
sau
256,89%
Rezultatele calculelor sunt prezentate n tabelul 8.2., coloana 3. Deflatorul PIB ILLQG XQ LQGLFH DO SUH XULORU vQ VLVWHP 3DDVFKH VH SRDWH FDOFXOD FD UDSRUW ntre dinamica PIB QRPLQDO LQGLFHOH YDORULL L GLQDPLFD PIB real (indicele volumului fizic):
Dt 0 = I tv 0 I tq0 = I tPIB /0 I tPIB /0
*
De exemplu:
D1 = 2 , 5689 0 , 871 = 2 , 9494
sau
294,94%
Rezultatele calculelor sunt prezentate n tabelul 8.2., coloana 4. Pentru a calcula deflatorul PIB vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID
GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW
I tPIB1 = t
PIBt , PIBt 1
indicii PIB
IL[ OD ED]
I tPIB1 = t
I tPIB 0
I tPIB0 1
Rezultatele calculelor sunt prezentate n tabelul 8.2., coloana 6. Deflatorul PIB vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID
GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW
Dt t 1 =
I tPIB1 t I tPIB1 t
*
ID
GH
RIt
ID
GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW
RIt
t 1
= Dt
t 1 ( %
vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID
FD UDSRUW vQWUH
GH
PIB * =
PIBt Dt 0
vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID
PIB * =
PIBt Dt t 1
DVWIHO
PIBt* PIBt 1
5H]XOWDWHOH FDOFXOHORU VXQW LGHQWLFH FX UH]XOWDWHOH GLQ WDEHOXO FRORDQD GDU VH RIHU
GH
t = 4 ):
I tPIB 4
PIB * t 1 0
, unde t = 5 , 9
Prin urmare: I
PIB *
5 4
PIB I5 0 PIB I4 0
89 , 8 83 , 8
= 1 , 0716
sau 107,16%
PIB
6 4
PIB I6 0 PIB I4 0
93 , 4 83 , 8
= 1 , 1145
sau 111,45%
PIB
7 4
PIB I7 0 PIB I4 0
87 , 7 83 , 8
= 1 , 0465
sau 104,65%
PIB
8 4
I 8PIB 0 I
PIB * 4 0
*
83 , 5 83 , 8
PIB
8 4
PIB I9 0
PIB * 4 0
81 , 6 83 , 8
5DWD LQIOD LHL FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH ILHF UXL LQGLFH VH FDOFXOHD] DFHVWXLD H[SULPDW SURFHQWXDO
VF ]kQG
GLQ YDORDUHD
astfel:
RI5
= +7 , 16%
R I 6 4 = +11,45%
R I 7 4 = +4,65%
R I 8 4 = 0,36%
R I 9 4 = 2,63%
2.
6H
FXQRVF
XUP WRULL
LQGLFDWRUL
SHQWUX
HFRQRPLD
5RPkQLHL
SHQWUX
DQLL
1994 1 38452,4 31442,0 6851,8 158,6 10095,7 2252,6 -1027,5 12394,2 13421,7
1996 2 89939,4 75288,8 14273,9 376,7 24998,5 3161,4 -9179,7 30651,1 39830,8
Consumul final )RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ Modificarea stocurilor Export Import Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1998, pag. 343, 347, 536
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. PIB QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH PIB UHDO vQ ID GH Dinamica PIB real; Deflatorul PIB L UDWD LQIOD LHL vQ ID GH Structura PIB GXS PHWRGD FKHOWXLHOLORU vQ FHOH GRX structurale.
PIB = CF + FBCF + S + EXN PIB0 = 38452,4 + 10095,7 + 2252,6 - 1027,5 = 49773,2 mld. lei PIB1 = 89939,4 + 24998,5 + 3161,4 - 9179,7 = 108919,6 mld. lei 2.
3,% UHDO vQ ID GH VH FDOFXOHD] FRQIRUP UHOD LHL
89939 , 4 1 , 973
= 45585 , 09 mld.lei
FBCF * =
FBCF 1 I
p FBCF
24998 , 5 2 , 191
= 11409 , 63 mld.lei
S * =
S 1 I
p S
3161 , 4 0 , 834 =
= 3790 , 64 mld.lei
EXP * =
EXP1 I EXP
p
= 16292 , 51 mld.lei
IMP * =
IMP1 I
p IMP
= 21599 , 04 mld.lei
= 55478 , 83 mld.lei
PIB *
* PIB 1
PIB 0
sau 111,46%
GH
FD UDSRUW vQWUH
3.
6H FXQRVF GDWHOH PLOLDUGH OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH
2. Amortizarea capitalului fix )RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSital fix 4. Excedentul brut de exploatare
,PSR]LWH OHJDWH GH SURGXF LH L LPSRUW 6XEYHQ LL GH H[SORDWDUH 5DWD LQIOD LHL
Se cere: 1. PIB QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 2. PIB real; 3. Dinamica PIB UHDO vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW
ID
GH
Rezolvare 1. Pentru calculul PIB nominal VH IRORVHWH PHWRGD YHQLWXULORU PIB = RS + EBE + IPRI SE PIB0 = 22250 + 19750 + 10300 2600 = 49700 mld. lei PIB1 = 82000 + 122500 + 55500 10000 = 250000 mld. lei 2. Produsul intern brut real (PIB*)
* PIB 0 = PIB 0 = 49000 mld. lei
* PIB 1 =
PIB 1 D
* PIB 1 * PIB 0
51546 , 39 49700
vQ ID
4.
Perioada
GH ED]
Perioada
FXUHQW
2. Amortizarea capitalului fix 3. Impozite indirecte nete 4. Excedentul net de exploatare 5. Soldul veniturilor factorilor n raport cu
VWU LQ WDWHD
Se cere: 1. PIB QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 2. PIN OD SUH XULOH SLH HL L PIN OD SUH XO IDFWRULORU SUH XULOH GH ED] 3. UHPXQHUDUHD VDODULD LORU 4. YHQLWXO QD LRQDO GLVSRQLELO
Rezolvare 1. PIB = VN + IIN +A SVFS, unde IIN LPSR]LWH OHJDWH GH SURGXF LH L LPSRUW PLQXV
VXEYHQ LL GH H[SORDWDUH
PIB0 = 38000 + 5000 + 5800 - (-900) = 49700 mld. lei PIB1 = 182000 + 12000 + 20400 (-35600) = 250000 mld. lei 2. PINpp = PIB A PIN0,pp= 49700 5800 = 43900 mld. lei PIN1,pp = 250000 20400 = 229600 mld. lei PINpf = PINpp IIN PIN0,pf = 43900 5000 = 38900 mld. lei PIN1,pf = 229600 12000 = 217600 mld. lei 3.
5HPXQHUDUHD VDODULD LORU 56
PIB = RS + ENE + A + IIN, unde ENE excedentul net de exploatare, de unde: RS = PIB ENE A IIN RS0 = 49700 22500 5800 - 5000 = 16400 mld. lei RS1 = 250000 82000 20400 12000 = 135600 mld.lei 4. Venitul na LRQDO GLVSRQLELO 91' VND = VN + STCS VND0 = 38000 + 1400 = 39400 mld. lei VND1 = 182000 + 2000 = 184000 mld. lei
5.
Productivitatea muncii
PLL OHLSHUVRDQ
ocupate (%) 1994 1996 3 4 35,09 33,93 36,19 34,89 28,72 31,18 100,0 100,0
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
GLQDPLFD SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL SH ILHFDUH UDPXU SHULRDGH IL[ L LL PHGLL D PXQFLL FX VWUXFWXU YDULDELO FX VWUXFWXU D SURGXFWLYLW LL SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PHGLH D PXQFLL OD QLYHOXO vQWUHJLL HFRQRPLL vQ FHOH GRX LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL SURGXFWLYLW DO YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL V VH GHWHUPLQH FRQWULEX LD ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW PHGLL
i: I
Wi
Wi1 Wi0
2.
3URGXFWLYLWDWHD PHGLH OD QLYHOXO vQWUHJLL HFRQRPLL VH FDOFXOHD] SRQGHUDW D SURGXFWLYLW LORU SH UDPXUL IRORVLQG GUHSW SRQGHUH
ocupare pe ramuri:
W0 =
Wi 0 g iPO 0 (%)
i =1
100
= 4581,69
3
PLL OHLSHUVRDQ
W1 =
100 = 5408,38
PLL OHLSHUVRDQ
3.
3HQWUX
FDOFXODUHD
LQGLFLORU
GH
JUXS
HVWH
QHFHVDU
GHWHUPLQDUHD
vQ
SUHDODELO
SURGXFWLYLW
SRQGHUDWH FX
W* =
Wi 0 g iPO 1(%)
i =1
100 = 4602,46
PLL OHLSHUVRDQ
I VS = I W ( g
PO
I SF = I W (W ) = 4.
0RGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH VH RE LQ VF ]kQG QXPLWRUXO GLQ QXP U WRU SHQWUX ILHFDUH LQGLFH
astfel:
W (W , g W (
PO PO
W (W , g
PO
= W ( g
PO
otal:
W ( g
PO )
W ( g
PO
) )
W (W , g
PO
K
5H]XOW
W (W )
W (W )
W (W , g PO )
DSURDSH LQIOXHQ D
),
RFXSDWH
QHVHPQLILFDWLY
(2,58%).
6.
Tabelul 8.8. Indicator 0 1. Salariul mediu net (lei) 2. Structura cheltuielilor de consum (%): 0 UIXUL DOLPHQWDUH 0 UIXUL QHDOLPHQWDUH Servicii
0RGLILFDUHD SUH XULORU ID GH OD
0 UIXUL DOLPHQWDUH 0 UIXUL QHDOLPHQWDUH Servicii Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1998, pag. 168, 184
Se cere: 1. LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP 2. salariul real; 3. dinamica salariului real; 4. UDWD LQIOD LHL vQ GRPHQLXO FRQVXPXOXL
Rezolvare 1.
,QGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP
IPC =
I p g 0C (%)
100
vQ SHULRDGD GH ED]
C g 0 (%)
I p g 0C(%) IPC =
100 2. Salariul real (SR)
SR =
SN IPC
'HFL SXWHUHD GH FXPS UDUH D VDODULXOXL PHGLX QRPLQDO QHW D VF ]XW vQ ID FX 'DF SUH XULOH
7.
1695 5744 Indicii volumului fizic (%) pentru : 100 93,69 - consumul final 100 85,60 - IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO - export net 100 72,91 Sursa: calcule pe baza Anuarului Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997; date CNS pentru anul 1997
Se cere: 1. exportul net n cei doi ani; 2. PIB real; 3. GLQDPLFD QRPLQDO L UHDO D PIB; 4. deflatorul PIB L UDWD LQIOD LHL
Rezolvare:
1. PURGXVXO
PHWRGD XWLOL]
CF IRUPDUHD EUXW
FD VXP
D XUP WRDUHORU
GH FDSLWDO IL[
RIB) este:
RIB =
FBCF96= 0,2313108391 = 25076 mld. lei pUH XUL FXUHQWH FBCF97= 0,192
POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH
EXN = PIB-CF-FBCF- S
EXN96= 108391 90711- 25076-1695 = -9091 EXN97=249750 213536 47952 5744 = -17482 2. PIB real VH GHWHUPLQ
LQGLFLORU GH SUH XUL FDOFXOHD] vQ DFHVW FD] FD VXP FRUHVSXQ] WRUL D FRPSRQHQWHORU VDOH GHIOD LRQDWH FX DMXWRUXO SUH XULORU FRPSRQHQWHORU
,QGLFLL
Cj ale PIB se
q p p v IC j = ICj IC j ICj =
v IC j q IC j
unde:
v IC j
q IC j p IC j
- indicele valorii nominale a componentei j; - indicele volumului fizic a componentei j; LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU FRPSRQHQWHL
j. CF
IRUPDUHD EUXW
&RQIRUP UHOD LHL DQWHULRDUH LQGLFLL GH SUH XUL SHQWUX FRQVXPXO ILQDO
I CF
213536 90711 = = 2 , 513 0 , 9369 47952 + 5744 25076 + 1695 = = 2 , 343 0 , 856 17482 9091 = = 2 , 637 0 , 7291
I FBC
I EXN
FX UHOD LD
PIB * = C * = j
j j
Cj I cpj
unde:
* PIB97 =
CF
p I CF
FBC
p I FBC
EXN
p I EXN
3.
'LQDPLFD QRPLQDO
D 3,%
: sau 230,42%
I PIB =
'LQDPLFD UHDO
I PIB =
&X WRDWH F
* PIB97 * PIB96
PIB nominal a crescut cu 130,42%, dinamica PIB H[SULPDW vQ SUH XUL F vQ UHDOLWDWH V-a nregistrat o reducere cu 6,58% a PIB 'LIHUHQ D GLQWUH
SULQ FUHWHUHD SUH XULORU FRPSRQHQWHORU L VH RE LQH FD
4. Deflatorul PIB HVWH XQ LQGLFH VLQWHWLF DO SUH XULORU raport ntre PIB real (PIB* L QRPLQDO PIB):
D= PIB PIB *
PIB
(RI):
8.
Tabelul 8.10. Indicatori 0 Venitul disponibil brut* POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH
(FRQRPLD EUXW )RUPDUHD EUXW
9DULD LD VWRFXULORU POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH ([SRUW QHW POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH ,PSR]LWH SH SURGXV POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 6XEYHQ LL POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 7D[H YDPDOH POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 6WUXFWXUD YDORULL DG XJDWH EUXWH DJULFXOWXU L VLOYLFXOWXU
industrie
FRQVWUXF LL
alte ramuri
,QGLFLL GH SUH XUL DL 9$% DJULFXOWXU L VLOYLFXOWXU
1997 2 253746 40210 47952 5744 - 17482 18981 2498 3497 100 20,43 38,70 5,87 35,00 224,1 252,5 231,0 256,1
(%) n:
100 100 FRQVWUXF LL 100 alte ramuri 100 Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997; date CNS pentru anul 1997. industrie
Se cere: 1. PIB OD SUH XULOH SLH HL 2. YDORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW 3. PIB UHDO OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU 4. UDWD LQIOD LHL Rezolvare 1.
3,% OD SUH XULOH SLH HL VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD SULQ PHWRGD FKHOWXLHOLORU FRQIRUP UHOD LHL
Consumul final poate fi calculat ca diferHQ HFRQRPLD EUXW EB): CF = VDB EB CF96 = 110890 CF97 = 253746
VDB
POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH
PIB OD SUH XULOH SLH HL POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH PIB96 = 90711 + 25076 + 1695 9091 = 108391 mld. lei PIB97 = 213536 + 47952 + 5744 17482 = 249750 mld. lei 2.
9DORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW SH DQVDPEOXO HFRQRPLHL VH GHWHUPLQ
PLQXV VXEYHQ LL
3.
3,% UHDO OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU VH GHWHUPLQ DOH HFRQRPLHL GHIOD LRQDW
EUXW
SH UDPXUL
PIB * = VABi* = pf
VABi I ip
unde: VABi VABi - ponderea VAB din ramura i n total; LQGLFHOH GH SUH XUL DO
I ip
* PIB96 = PIB96
35 20,43 38,70 5,87 * PIB97 = 229770 + + + = 93403,4 224,1 252,5 231 256,1 4.
5DWD LQIOD LHL
9.
UM 1
OHLJRVSRG ULH
1995 2 518790
1996 3 759958
% 56,1 11,8 15,0 1,2 7,1 4,5 4,3 % 138,7 132,0 138,5 136,4 151 141,1 135,5 1907,423 5939 56,4 11,3 15,7 1,5 6,3 4,1 4,7
vQ]HVWUDUHD FX EXQXUL
alte cheltuieli
(1995=100) P UIXUL DOLPHQWDUH L E XWXUL vPEU F PLQWH L vQF O PLQWH ORFXLQ L vQ]HVWUDUHD FX bunuri PHGLFDPHQWH L VHUYLFLL PHGLFDOH WUDQVSRUW L FRPXQLFD LL vQY PkQW FXOWXU alte cheltuieli Fond lunar de salarii
mld. lei
SUH XUL FXUHQWH
1302,058 6160
1XP U PHGLX GH VDODULD L mii persoane Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997, p.190-191, 196, 412.
Se cere: 1. LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP 2. VDODULXO QRPLQDO L UHDO GLQDPLFD DFHVWRUD 3. FRQWULEX LD IDFWRULORU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D IRQGXOXL UHDO GH VDODULL 4. indicele puterii dH FXPS UDUH D EDQLORU 5. GLQDPLFD QRPLQDO L UHDO D FRQVXPXOXL IDPLOLLORU GH VDODULD L Rezolvare 1.
,QGLFHOH LQGLFLORU SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP SUH XUL
(IPC
SH
VH
FDOFXOHD] GH
FD
PHGLH
DULWPHWLF FD
SRQGHUDW
LQGLYLGXDOL
GH
JUXSH
P UIXUL
IRORVLQG
SRQGHUH
structura
IPC =
I jp g 0Cj (%)
j
100
DQXO
IPC0= 100% IPC1= (138,7 56,1 + 132 11,8 + 138,5 15 + 136,4 1,2 + 151 7,1 + + 141,1 4,5 + 135,5 4,3) = 139% 2. Salariul mediu nominal se poate calcula ca raporW vQWUH IRQGXO PHGLX OXQDU GH VDODULL L
QXP UXO GH VDODULD L 6H H[SULP vQ SUH XULOH FXUHQWH DOH ILHF UXL DQ
SN =
FS , T
unde: SN - salariul nominal; FS - fondul de salarii; T - QXP U GH VDODULD L Salariul nominal mediu pe economie n L D IRVW
SN 0 =
SN 1 =
H[SULP
IPC:
SR =
* FS1 =
Pentru anul 1996, fondul nominal de salarii este egal cu fondul real de salarii: FS0 = FS0 = 1302,058 mild. lei
0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D IRQGXOXL UHDO GH VDODULL
FS * =
SN T = SR T IPC
,QIOXHQ D FUHWHULL VDODULXOXL UHDO DVXSUD PRGLILF ULL IRQGXOXL UHDO GH VDODULL
FS ( SR) = ( SR1 SR0 ) T1 = (231057 211373) 5939 = = 116909270 mii lei 116,903 mld lei
,QIOXHQ D UHGXFHULL QXP UXOXL VDODULD LORU
FS * (T ) = (T1 T0 ) SR0 = (5939 6160) 211373 = 46713,433 mii lei 46,713 mld. lei
Verificare: 70,189 116,903 46,713 4.
,QGLFHOH SXWHULL GH FXPS UDUH D EDQLORU
(IPCB):
IPCB = IPCB =
5H]XOW F
5.
'LQDPLFD QRPLQDO
I CN =
CN 1 CN 0
100 ,
I CN =
DFHDVW
&RQVXPXO QRPLQDO OXQDU DO IDPLOLLORU GH VDODULD L D FUHVFXW FX FUHWHUH HVWH GDWRUDW
CR 0 = CN 0 = 518790
CR 1 =
759958 = 546732 1 , 39
'LQDPLFD UHDO
I CR =
CR 1 CR 0
'HL YDORDUHD FRQVXPXOXL D FUHVFXW FX VDODULD L &UHWHUHD UHDO PRGHVW D FDQWLW
de
PROBLEME PROPUSE
1.
6H
FXQRVF
XUP WRULL
LQGLFDWRUL
SHQWUX
HFRQRPLD
5RPkQLHL
SHQWUX
DQLL
Tabelul 8.12. 1994 1 3URGXF LD EUXW 100339,4 2. Consumul intermediar 54384,7 9DORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW )RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ 10095,7 5. Consumul final 38452,4 6. Consumul final al SRSXOD LHL 31442,0 7. Impozite pe produs (inclusiv TVA) 3848,2 8. Taxe vamale 648,9 6XEYHQ LL SH SURGXV 678,6 9. Modificarea stocurilor 2252,6 10. Export net -1027,5 Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1998, pag. 340-343 Indicator 0 1997 2 229445,3 55074,2 213772,8 188416,2 19306,7 3808,2 2080,0 -501,3 -17865,5
Se cere: 1. PIB QRPLQDO IRORVLQG PHWRGHOH FH SRW IL DSOLFDWH vQ IXQF LH GH GDWHOH GLVSRQLELOH 2. PIB UHDO GDF SUH XULOH SURGXVHORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH DX FUHVFXW vQ ID GH FX 385,3%; dinamica PIB UHDO ID GH
2.
6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG FRQVXPXO GH HQHUJLH HOHFWULF SH UDPXUL SHQWUX L
L YDORDUHD DG XJDW
EUXW
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
FRQVXPXO GH HQHUJLH HOHFWULF V V FRQVXPDW FH UHYLQH OD OHL
VAB*
UDPXUL L SH DQVDPEOXO HFRQRPLHL VH GHWHUPLQH LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU DVXSUD PRGLILF ULL FRQVXPXOXL PHGLX GH HQHUJLH SH vQWUHDJD HFRQRPLH SH DQVDPEOXO HFRQRPLHL VH FRPSDUH GLQDPLFD FRQVXPXOXL PHGLX GH HQHUJLH HOHFWULF HOHFWULF
cu dinamica PIB WLLQG F PIB nominal a fost de 49773,2 mld. lei n 1994, de 108919,6 mld. lei n 1996 iar UDWD LQIOD LHL vQ ID GH D IRVW GH 4.
V VH GHWHUPLQH FRQWULEX LD ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW SH vQWUHDJD HFRQRPLH D FRQVXPXOXL PHGLX GH HQHUJLH HOHFWULF
3.
6H FXQRVF XUP WRULL LQGLFDWRUL SHQWUX HFRQRPLD 5RPkQLHL SHQWUX DQLL L PLOLDUGH OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH
2. Consumul intermediar 3. Impozite pe produs (inclusiv TVA) 4. Taxe vamale 5. SuEYHQ LL SH SURGXV
0RGLILFDUHD SUH XULORU ID GH OD
1996 2 240598,8 138744,6 7458,7 1852,3 2245,6 +132,84 +141,59 +73,38 +205,52 +171,49
3URGXF LD EUXW
Se cere: 1. PIB QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 2. PIB UHDO vQ ID GH
4.
Tabelul 8.15.
(ILFLHQ D IRORVLULL PLMORDFHORU
Ramura 0
,QGXVWULH FRQVWUXF LL $JULFXOWXU VLOYLFXOWXU
fixe (lei VAB*/1000 lei F) 1994 1996 1 2 1088 980 3533 2474 1563 1455
Structura mijloacelor fixe (%) 1994 1996 3 4 60,5 59,0 9,0 12,4 30,5 28,6 100,0 100,0
Se cere: 1. GLQDPLFD HILFLHQ HL IRORVLULL PLMORDFHORU IL[H SH ILHFDUH UDPXU 2. efiFLHQ D PHGLH D IRORVLULL PLMORDFHORU IL[H OD QLYHOXO vQWUHJLL HFRQRPLL perioade; 3. LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL HILFLHQ HL PHGLL D IRORVLULL PLMORDFHORU IL[H FX VWUXFWXU
VWUXFWXU IL[ L DO YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL D HILFLHQ HL PHGLL D vQ FHOH GRX YDULDELO FX
4.
5.
6H
FXQRVF
XUP WRULL
LQGLFDWRUL
SHQWUX
HFRQRPLD
5RPkQLHL
SHQWUX
DQLL
Se cere: 1. PIB QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 2. PIN QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 3. PIB UHDO GDF SUH XULOH SURGXVHORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH DX FUHVFXW vQ ID cu 50%; 4. Dinamica PIB real.
GH
Partea a II-a
Probleme complexe
1.
3HQWUX GH PXQFLWRUL DL XQHL VRFLHW OXFUDW vQWUH R V SW PkQ L FRPHUFLDOH V
RUH
39, 40, 38, 43, 40, 40, 40, 38, 39, 39, 40, 40, 41, 43, 42, 40, 42, 38, 40, 39, 40, 37, 38, 38, 37, 39, 40, 39, 39, 40, 40, 41. Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.
V V V V DIO V V V VH JUXSH]H PXQFLWRULL GLQ HDQWLRQ GXS VH FDOFXOH]H SURGXF LD VH VWDELOHDVF HOH ID VH VH PHGLH SH WLPSXO OXFUDW WLPSXO OXFUDW L V VH VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF UHSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS LOH DFHVWHLD FH DOWH WLSXUL GH PHGLL VH PDL SRW FDOFXOD L vQ FH UDSRUW GH P ULPH VH
YHULILFH SURSULHW
GH PHGLD DULWPHWLF LQGLFDWRULL SDUDPHWULL VLQWHWLFL FROHFWLYLW DL LL YDULD LHL JHQHUDOH L V VH SUHFL]H]H VH GDF PHGLD HVWH FX R
FDOFXODW FRQGL LL
FHOHODOWH
neschimbate. Rezolvare 1.
$PSOLWXGLQHD YDULD LHL ILLQG PLF vQUHJLVWUDWH ILLQG GH DVHPHQHD PLF VH SRDWH HIHFWXD JUXSDUHD SH YDULDQWH L RE LQHP
A0 = xmax xmin = 43
WLPSXO OXFUD
t (ore) Tabelul 1.
Grupe de
PXQFLWRUL GXS
1XP
UXO
muncitorilor (ni)
1 5 6 8 13 7 5 6 50
JUDILF SULQ GLDJUDPD SULQ
2.
bastoane.
14 12 nr. muncitori 10 8 6 4 2 0 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
3.
L DOH DFHVWHLD
37 5 + 38 6 + 39 8 + 40 13 + 41 7 + 42 5 + 43 6 = 50
b)
c)
2000 = 40 50 d)
Pentru a
RE LQHP
(xi a)ni = (37 2)5 + (38 2)6 + (39 2)8 + (40 2)13 + (41 2)7 + (42 2)5 + (43 2)6 = 50 ni
= 1900 = 38 = 40 2 = x a 50
e)
hi ni = h
RE LQHP
Pentru h
37 38 39 40 41 42 43 5 + 6 + 8 + 13 + 7 + 5+ 6 x 200 40 x hi ni = 10 10 10 1050 10 10 10 = 50 = 4 = 10 = h
4.
ni 1 x ni
&DOFXOXO PHGLHL S
( x p ):
xp =
xh < x < x p
39,92 < 40 < 40,04
ni
+1
50 + 1 = 25 , 5 2
FXPXODW HVWH SULPD PDL PDUH
6.
$EDWHULOH ILHF
xi x 100 x
di(%) max(+) =
( d ):
37 40 5 + 38 40 6 + ... + 43 40 6 50
d =
xi x ni
ni
70 = 1 , 4 ore / muncitor 50
Dispersia:
( xi x ) 2 ni = ni
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S
WUDWLF
raport
/D DFHHDL FRQFOX]LH VH SRDWH DMXQJH L GLQ DQDOL]D LQGLFDWRULORU WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH FDUH
4 . 5
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH
6HOHF LD UHSHWDW
x = z
6HOHF LD QHUHSHWDW
x = z
2 n
x - x < x 0 < x + x
6HOHF LD UHSHWDW
40 0,754 < x0 < 40 + 0,754 39,246 buc. / muncitor < x0 < 40,754 buc. / muncitor
Selec LD QHUHSHWDW
40 0,715 < x0 < 40 + 0,715 39,285 buc. / muncitor < x0 < 40,715 buc. / muncitor
/LPLWHOH SHQWUX SURGXF LD WRWDO D PXQFLWRULORU GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO
N( x - x) <
xi < N( x + x)
i =1
6HOHF LD UHSHWDW
xi
i =1
500
xi
i =1
500
6HOHF LD QHUHSHWDW
xi
i =1
500
xi
n=
2.
Total
L
Sub 12 1 8 8
12-16 2 20 15 35
16-20 3 12 25 8 45
20-24 4 30 35 65
24-28 5 20 12 32
peste 6 10 5 15
7 40 100 60 200
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF GLVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS FLIUD GH DIDFHUL JUDGXO GH RPRJHQLWDWH DO GLVWULEX LHL DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS P ULP VH VWDELOHDVF SURILW SHQWUX JUXSD D ,,
-a
GXS
ea
interpreWHD]
V
peste media profitului pe total. Rezolvare Pentru punctele 1. L 2. YRP SUH]HQWD vQ WDEHOXO XUP profit (mil. lei) pentru grupa a II-D GXS FLIUD GH DIDFHUL
WRU GLVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS
Tabelul 3. Grupe de
DJHQ L 1U DJHQ L
xi a
economici
GXS SURILW
Centul de interval xi 2 14 18 22 26 30
r
xini
xi a h
h=4 a = 22 4 -2 -1 0 1 2
=
ni
(xi - x )2ni
xi a ni h
2
5 -30 -25 0 20 20
8 60 25 0 20 40
xi a h
2
xi ni
i =1
xi a ni h
(xi - x )
=2140
=15
ni
= 145
1.
35 30
30 25 20 15 10
25 20
15
2.
*UDGXO
GH
RPRJHQLWDWH
VH
GHWHUPLQ
FX
DMXWRUXO
FRHILFLHQWXOXL
GH
YDULD LH
SHQWUX
Media ( x ):
&DOFXOXO RELQXLW
x=
xi ni
i =1 r
ni
i =1
Calcul simplificat:
x=
xi a h i =1
r
ni
i =1
h + a =
d ):
d=
i =1
xi x ni
ni
i =1
Dispersia (2)
&DOFXO RELQXLW
( xi x ) 2 ni = ni
Calculul simplificat:
i h 2 = ni
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S
=
2
d 3,92 100 = 100 = 18,32% x 21,4 4,78 v = 100 = 100 = 22,33% x 21,4 v=
5H]XOW F VHULD UHSUH]HQWkQG JUXSD D ,, D HVWH RPRJHQ
3. Pentru a determina gradul de asimetrie al grupei a II-a vom calcula coeficientul de asimetrie propus de Pearson (Cas):
C as = x Mo
M 0 = x0 + h
1 1 + 2
= 20 + 4
( 30 25 ) ( 30 25 ) + ( 30 20 )
C as =
5H]XOW F
21 , 4 21 , 33 4 , 78
= 0,0146
4. Pe baza regulii de adunare a dispersiilor se pot calcula doi indicatori statistici: - JUDGXO GH GHWHUPLQD LH R 2 / x ); y JUDGXO GH QHGHWHUPLQD LH
K y / x ).
VH FDOFXOH]H
PHGLL GH JUXS
( yi )
y j n ij
yi =
j =1
n ij
j =1
y1 =
y2 =
2.).
y3 =
PHGLD JHQHUDO
y=
y j n. j
j =1 m
n. j
j =1
10 8 + 14 35 + 18 45 + 22 65 + 26 32 + 30 15 = 200
GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS
i2 =
( y j yi ) 2 nij
j =1
nij
j =1
2
= FDOFXODW
2 2
OD SXQFWXO
3 =
2
( 2 )
2 =
i2 ni .
i =1 r
ni .
i =1
=
2
(yi y0 )2 ni .
i=1
ni .
i=1
= 9,62
GLVSHUVLD WRWDO
( 2 )
2 Ry / x =
gradul de nHGHWHUPLQD LH
2 y/r
2 2
100 =
15 , 92 100 = 62 , 33% 25 , 54
F YDULD LD SURILWXOXL SH WRWDO HVWH LQIOXHQ DW GH YDULD LD
'LQ DQDOL]D FHORU GRL LQGLFDWRUL VH REVHUY vQ SURSRU LH PDL PLF IDFWRULORU QHvQUHJLVWUD
i.
5.
p=
3.
V DX RE LQXW GDWH
le:
Tabelul 4. Total
ULPHD SURILWXOXL
Sub 12 1 8 8
12-16 2 20 15 35
24-28 5 20 12 32
L SHVWH
6 10 5 15
7 40 100 60 200
Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH FDOFXOH]H PHGLD L GLVSHUVLD SHQWUX GLVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH GDF FDUH VH YRU VH vQFDGUD SURILWXO FX PHGLX R L SURILWXO GH P ULPHD WRWDO vQ
HURDUHD OLPLW
FUHWH FX
VH FDOFXOH]H GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH SULQ SURFHGHHOH FXQRVFXWH L V GLQ YDULD LD SURILWXOXL VH GDWRUHD]
Rezolvare 1.
&DOFXOXO PHGLHL L GLVSHUVLHL SH WRWDO
y=
y j nij nij
10 8 + 14 35 + 18 45 + 22 65 + 26 32 + 30 15 = 8 + 35 + 45 + 65 + 32 + 15
2 y
( y j y ) = n . j
n. j
( 10 20 , 46 ) 2 8 + ( 14 20 , 46 ) 2 35 + ( 18 20 , 46 ) 2 65 200 = 25 , 54
( 26 20 , 46 ) 2 32 + 30 20 , 46 ) 2 15 200
PHGLL GH JUXS
yi =
y j nij nij
10 8 + 14 20 + 18 12 = 14,4 mil.lei / agent economic 40 14 15 + 18 25 + 22 30 + 26 20 + 30 10 = 21,4 mil.lei / agent economic 100
18 8 + 22 35 + 26 12 + 30 5 = 22,93 mil.lei / agent economic 60
y1 =
y2 =
y3 =
GLVSHUVLL GH JUXS
i2 =
12 =
(y j yi )2 nij nij
(10 14,4) 2 8 + (14 14,4) 2 20 + (18 14,4) 2 12 = 7,84 40 (14 21,4) 2 15 + (18 21,4) 2 15 + (22 21,4) 2 30 + (26 21,4) 2 20 2 2 = + 100 (30 21,4) 2 10 + = 22,84 100 (18 22,93) 2 8 + (22 22,93) 2 35 + (26 22,93) 2 12 + (30 22,93) 2 5 2 3 = = 9,79 60
y =
(URDUHD OLPLW
y = z y = z
n 2 1 =30,2676 = 0,803 n N
y y < y0 < y + y
20,46 0,803 < y 0 < 20,46 + 0,803 19,657 mil. lei/agent economic < y 0 < 21,263 mil. lei/agent economic Intervalul n care va fi cuprins profitul total: N( y - y ) < 200019,657<
y
i =1
< N( y - y )
2000
yi
VH P UHWH FX
( )
y
y2 N
(URDUHD OLPLW
P ULW
FX
4.
Dintr-un sondaj organizat n cadrul unei S.C. se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 5.
*UXSH GH PXQFLWRUL GXS QXP U GH RUH
3URGXF LD PHGLH
&RHILFLHQW GH YDULD LH
(buc./muncitor) 2 25 30 32 -
(%) 3 10 25 8 -
VH FHUH V V V V VH YHULILFH JUDGXO GH RPRJHQLWDWH DO HDQWLRQXOXL VH FDOFXOH]H vQWUH FH OLPLWH VH YD vQFDGUD SURGXF LD WRWDO VH GHWHUPLQH P ULPHD HDQWLRQXOXL SHQWUX R QRX vQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO VH YRU IRORVL DFHOHDL
1. 2. 3. 4.
Rezolvare 1.
6H FDOFXOHD] FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH SH WRWDO HDQWLRQ
v=
100 , y
media pe total
y=
y i ni
i =1 r
ni
i =1
25 30 + 30 60 + 32 10 = 28,7 buc./muncitor 30 + 60 + 10
( y i
i =1
y0
)2
ni
=
( 25 28 , 7 ) 2 30 + ( 30 28 , 7 ) 2 60 + ( 32 28 , 7 ) 2 10 30 + 60 + 10
n i
i =1
621 = 6 , 21 100 ( i2 )
2
GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS
vi =
i v y 100 i2 = i i yi 100
2 1 = 6,25
2 = 56,25 2
2 3 = 6,5536
( 2 )
2 =
i2 ni
i =1 r
ni
i =1
2 =
GLVSHUVLD WRWDO
DEDWHUHD PHGLH S
WUDWLF
:
HDQWLRQXO HVWH RPRJHQ
v=
2.
6H FDOFXOHD]
HURDUHD OLPLW
(y)
N ( y0 y ) < yi < N ( y0 + y )
i =1
1000 i =1
n =
2 2
+ z
2 2
( )
y
, unde :
n=
2 2 36,28 129,12 129,12 = = 150 muncitori 2 0,86 2 36,28 0,731 + 0,12913 2 (0,855) + 1000
ILH
4.
3HQWUX
UHSDUWL]DUHD
SH
JUXSH
YROXPXOXL
QRXOXL
HDQWLRQ
FRQIRUP
VHOHF LHL
WLSLFH
Ni N i
= N i*
iNi
3 750 4500 256
i Ni
i N i
4 0,1362 0,8173 0,0465 1,00
Ni= 1000
VHOHF LD WLSLF SURSRU LRQDO
N*i= 1,00
i N i
i =1
= 5506
n1 = 45 Ni ni = n = n2 = 90 N i n3 = 15
VHOHF LD WLSLF
RSWLP
n i = n
i Ni
i N i
i =1
5.
6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG HYROX LD H[SRUWXOXL WRWDO GH P UIXUL GLQ 5RPkQLD vQ
1992 2,27
1993 12,13
1994 25,74
1995 28,6
1996 2,21
1997 4,28
1998 -1,53
1999 2,42
2000 21,92
Se cere: 1.
V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH YDORUL DEVROXWH WLLQG F H[SRUWXO D FUHVFXW vQ DQXO ID GH
anul 1995 cu 2457 mil.$; 2. V VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL 3. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD 4. s VH DMXVWH]H HYROX LD H[SRUWXOXL vQWUH DQLL 2000 printr-XQ SURFHGHX PHFDQLF L unul analitic; 5. V VH VWDELOHDVF FDUH GLQ FHOH GRX SURFHGHH H[SULP FHO PDL ELQH WHQGLQ D vQ SHULRDGD
UHVSHFWLY
6.
-1995 printr-XQ
SURFHGHX PHFDQLF L
unul analitic.
Rezolvare 1.
3HQWUX D UHFRQVWLWXL VHULD GH YDORUL DEVROXWH VH FDOFXOHD] PDL vQWkL LQGLFLL FX ED]D vQ ODQ SRUQLQG GH OD XQD GLQ IRUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO DOH ULWPXULORU GH FUHWHUH FX ED]D vQ ODQ
Rt / t 1 = I t / t 1(%) 100 ,
de unde: It/t-1(%) = Rt/t-1 + 100 I1992/1991 = 2,27 + 100 = 102,27% I1993/1992 = 12,13 + 100 = 112,13% I2000/1999 = 21,92 + 100 = 121,92%
,QGLFLL GH GLQDPLF VXQW WUHFX L vQ WDEHOXO
Tabelul 8. Anii
,QGLFLL GH GLQDPLF vQ ODQ FX ED]D
1992 102,27
1993 112,13
1994 125,74
1995 128,6
1996 102,21
1997 104,28
1998 98,47
1999 102,42
2000 121,92
VH RE LQH
Deci:
Tabelul 9. Anii
([SRUW WRWDO GH P UIXUL
1991 4266
1992 4363
1993 4892
1994 6151
1995 7910
1996 8085
1997 8431
1998 8302
1999 8503
2000 10367
(mil. $)
2. Indicatorii medii:
nivelul mediu
y=
yt
n
y n y1 n 1
I = n 1
yn y1
=9
ritmul mediu
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Anii
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
)LJXUD
(YROX LD H[SRUWXOXL GH P
-2000
0HWRGD PHFDQLF SHQWUX PHWRGD PRGLILF ULL PHGLL DEVROXWH FDUH VH DMXVWHD] WHUPHQLL VHULHL
6H RSWHD]
5HOD LD GXS
Yti = y1 + (t 1)
5H]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH
Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total
yt
1 4266 4363 4892 6151 7910 8085 8431 8302 8503 10367
Y t i = 4266 + 677 , 89 ( t 1 )
( yt Yti )
3
yt = 71270
2 Y1 = 4266 + 677,89(1-1) = 4266 Y2 = 4266 + 677,89(2-1) = 4943,89 Y3 = 5621,78 Y4 = 6299,67 Y5 = 6977,56 Y6 = 7655,45 Y7 = 8333,34 Y8 = 9011,23 Y9 = 9689,12 Y10 = 10367 Y t i = 73165
0,0 337433,19 532578,85 22102,77 869444,35 184513,20 9537,47 503007,19 1406880,65 0,0 2 ( y t Y t i ) = 3865497,67
Metoda anaOLWLF
[yi (a + b ti )]
= min
n n na + b t i = y i i =1 i =1 n n n a t +b t 2 = i i y i t i i =1 i =1 i =1
a=
yi
i =1
; b=
yiti
i =1
t i2
i =1
Tabelul 11. Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total
yt
1 4266 4363 4892 6151 7910 8085 8431 8302 8503 10367
0HWRGD DQDOLWLF
ti
2 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 1 3 5 7 9
2 i
yiti
4 -38394 -30541 -24460 -18453 -7910 8085 25293 41510 59521 93303
Y t i = a + bti
5 Y1 = 7127+1327,13(-9)=4182,83 Y2 = 7127+327,13(-7)=4837,09 Y3 = 5491,35 Y4 = 6145,61 Y5 = 6799,87 Y6 = 7454,13 Y7 = 8108,39 Y8 = 8762,65 Y9 = 9416,91 Y10 = 10071,17
( yt Yti ) 2
6 6912,25 224761,32 359220,42 29,05 1232388,62 397996,96 104077,21 212198,42 835231,49 87515,39
3 81 49 25 9 1 1 9 25 49 81
( y t Yt )
i
=3460336,13
a=
b=
5. Pentru alegerea FHOHL PDL DGHFYDWH PHWRGH VH FRPSDU n n volumul total empiric y i cu cel teoretic Y t i ; i =1 i =1 2 (yi - Y t i ) VH UH LQH PHWRGD FDUH vQGHSOLQHWH FRQGL LD GH PLQLP
ormula:
vy =
t
yt
y
100 , unde: yt =
( y i Yti ) 2 n
6H DOHJH PHWRGD FX FHO PDL PLF FRHILFLHQW GH YDULD LH &DOFXOHOH LQWHUPHGLDUH QHFHVDUH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOHOH FRORDQD L WDEHOXO
Y t
(yi - Y t )2
i
yt
4 621,73 588,25
Vyt(%)
5 8,72 8,25
Trend liniar
QWUH FHOH GRX PHWRGH H[LVW
2 73165 71270
R GLIHUHQ
3 3865497,67 3460336,13
IRDUWH PLF
6H RSWHD]
Y t i = y1 I
( t 1 )
I = n 1
=4
PHWRG
Tabelul 13. Valori ajustate prin metoda indicelui mediu Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Total
( t 1 )
yi
1 4266 4363 4892 6151 7910
Y t i = y1 I
(yi -Y t i )2
3 0 378274,2 840742,3 393743,7 0 1.612.760,0
yi = 27582
Y t i = 29741,45
Metoda analitLF
*UDILFXO GLQ ILJXUD DUDW SHQWUX DFHDVW SHULRDG R WHQGLQ GH HYROX LH GH WLS
parabolic.
$MXVWDUHD VH IDFH GXS UHOD LD
Y ti = a + bti + cti2
6H DSOLF PHWRGD FHORU PDL PLFL S WUDWH SHQWUX FDOFXOXO SDUDPHWULORU
a, b, c.
ti = 0 sistemul devine:
na + ct i2 = y i 2 bt i = y i t i at 2 + ct 4 = y t 2 i i i i
&DOFXOHOH QHFHVDUH UH]ROY ULL VLVWHPXOXL GH HFXD LL VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO
yi
1 4266 4363 4892 6151 7910 -2 -1 0 1 2
ti
2 4 1 0 1 4
2 i
t
16 1 0 1 16
4 i
yiti
5 -8532 -4363 0 6151 15820
yit i2
6 17064 4363 0 6151 31640
Y t i =a+bti+ cti2
7 4280,34 4319,23 7939,26 6134,43 7910,74
(yi-Y t i )2
8 196 1915,81 2048,47 274,56 0,55
yi=27582
ti=0
t i =10
t i =34
yiti=9076
yit i =59218
Y t i =27582
(yi-Y t i )2=
=4435,39
v yt =
yt
100 , unde:
y t
( y i Yt i ) 2 n
Tabelul 15. Nr. crt. 0 1. 2. Metoda de ajustare 1 Metoda indicelui mediu Trend parabolic
Y t
(yi-Y t )2
i
yt
v y t (%)
5 10,29 0,54
2 29741,45 27582
3 1.612.760,2 4435,39
LQGLF
4 567,94 29,78
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH FX YDORDUHD FHD PDL PLF SRWULYLW Q FD]XO QRVWUX IXQF LD SDUDEROLF
GH JUDGXO ,, DMXVWHD]
6.
3HQWUX WUHL VRFLHW L FRPHUFLDOH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH
Modificarea
SUH XULORU
1U GH VDODULD L
Perioada de
ED]
3HULRDGD FXUHQW
(PC) 5 45 150 58
(%) 3 80 100 90
(PB) 4 50 150 60
Se cere: 1. LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL SUH XULORU L DL YDORULL 2. indicii de grup ai YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DO SUH XULORU 3. PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY L DEVROXW D YDORULL SURGXF LHL FX HYLGHQ LHUHD LQIOXHQ HL IDFWRULORU 4. LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL L GH JUXS DL QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L 5. SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL SH ILHFDUH VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO L SH WRWDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 6. LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL L GH JUXS DL SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL 7. PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY L DEVROXW D SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL D PXQFLL FX HYLGHQ LHUHD
IDFWRULORU GH LQIOXHQ SH VHDPD SURGXFWLYLW LL L D SHQWUX QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L FX
8. 9.
PRGLILFDUHD V
SURGXF LHL
GHVFRPSXQHUHD SH GRL IDFWRUL L SH WUHL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF SURGXF LD SH WRWDO FD]XO D GRL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ
Rezolvare 1.
)RUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO L UH]XOWDWHOH FDOFXOHORU SH ED]D GDWHORU GLQ HQXQ VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO FRORDQHOH L
p1q1)
r 1/ 0
2 +50 +80 +100
GH
0 A B C Total
p p i 1 / 0 =r 1 / 0 +100 q i% (%)
4 80 100 90
RE LQXWH
XUP WRDUHOH
I 1/ 0
v ( p ,q )
p1 q1 p0q0
v(q) I 1/ 0
i q p 0 q 0 = p0 q0
= i p 1 q 1 1
p
I 1/ 0
v( p)
p1 q1
3.
PRGLILF
: v(q) pentru factorul cantitativ: Rv(q) = I (%) - 100 = - 8% pentru factorul calitativ: Rv(p) = I (%) - 100 = + 73,91%
v(p)
v( p pe total: Rv(p,q) = I (%) , q ) - 100 = + 60%
ULOH UHODWLYH
PRGLILF
: pe seama factorului cantitativ: v ( q ) = i q p 0 q 0 p 0 q 0 = - 100 mil. lei 1 pe seama factorului calitativ: v ( p ) = p1q1 p p1q1 = 850 mil. lei i v( p,q ) = p1q1 p 0q 0 = 750 mil. lei pe total:
DVWIHO
ULOH DEVROXWH
4.
T i 1/ 0
45 50 = 0 , 9 sau 90% pentru SC " A" T1 150 = = 1 sau 100% pentru SC " B" T0 150 58 60 = 0 , 9667 sau 96,67% pentru SC " C"
T I 1/ 0 =
T 1 T 0
5.
VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO
)RUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO L UH]XOWDWHOH FDOFXOHORU SHQWUX SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL SH ILHFDUH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO FRORDQHOH L
p0q0
1 416,667 666,667 166,667 1250
p0q1
2 333,333 666,667 150 1150
T0
3 50 150 60 260
T1
4 45 150 58 253
w0 =
p0 q0 T0
w1 =
p 0 q1 T1
iw=
w1 w0
w0T1
8 373,985 666,600 161,067 1202,652
iT
9 0,9 1 0,9667 0,9731
p 0 q 1 T1
LL PHGLL D PXQFLL WUHEXLH FDOFXODWH
T 0
6.
SURGXFWLYLW
w0 =
w 0 T 0 T 0
w 1 T 1 T 1
w 0 T 1 T 1
p 0 q 0 T 0
= 4 , 808 mil.lei/salariat
w1 =
w* =
p 0 q 1 T 1
= 4 , 545 mil.lei/salariat
I SV
w ( w ,g T )
w1 w0 =
4 , 545 4 , 808
= 0 , 9453
VDX
LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU
YDULDELO
I VS
w( g
w* w0 =
4 , 753 4 , 808
= 0 , 9896
VDX
I SF
w(w)
w1 w*
VDX
LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU
IL[
w ( w ,g w ( g
T
PRGLILF
ULOH UHODWLYH
R w ( w ,g Rw(g
T
= 5 , 47%
= 1 , 14%
R w ( w ) = 4 , 38%
8.
VH SRDWH UHDOL]D
n mai multe
moduri: * Varianta I
I Q ( w ,T ) =
L
w1 T1 = p 0 q 1 w0 T0 p 0 q 0
= 1202 , 652 1250
= 0 , 92 sau 92% R Q ( w ,T ) = 8%
I Q(T ) =
L
w 0 T1 w0 T0 w1 T 1 w0T 1
Q ( T ) = 47 , 348 mil. lei = 1150 = 0 , 9562 sau 95 , 62% R Q ( w ) = 4 , 38% 1202 , 652
I Q(w) =
L
Varianta II
I Q ( w ,T ) =
L
T 1 w 0 T 0
w1
= 0 , 92 sau 92% , R Q ( w ,T ) = 8%
Q ( w ,T ) = 100 mil.lei
I Q ( T ) =
w0
T 1 w 0 T 0
T1 w 0 T 1
w1
Verificare:
I
Q ( w ,T )
=I
Q ( w , g T ,T )
w 1 g 1T T 1 = T w 0 g 0 T 1
= w0
= 0 , 92 sau 92%, Q ( w , g
, T )
Q ( T )
T w 0 g 0 T 1 = T w 0 g 0 T 0
T1 w 0 T 0
Q( gT )
w 0 g 1T T1 = T w 0 g 0 T1
T1 w 0 T1
w*
Q ( g
I Q(w) =
w 1 g 1T T1 w 0 g 1T T1
T1 w * T1
w1
9.
9DORDUHD
SURGXF LHL
vQ FHOH GRX
GH
p0q0 = w 0 T 0 = 4,808 260 1250 mil. lei p0q1 = w1 T1 = 4,545 253 1150 mil. lei
L: (1 cm = 1 milion lei)
O FP VDODULD L
VDODULD L
VDODULD
7.
Se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 19. Firma 0 A B C Total Fond de salarii (mil. lei) )60) Perioada cuUHQW 1 2 750 567 900 828 310 335 1960 1730
1XP )61 U VDODULD L
3HULRDGD GH ED]
3HULRDGD GH ED]
70
3HULRDGD FXUHQW
71
Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V V IL[ VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL IRQGXOXL GH VDODULL L DL QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L VH FDOFXOH]H VDODULLOH PHGLL SH ILHFDUH ILUP vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH L LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL D DFHVWXLD L
ai salariului mediu;
VH FDOFXOH]H GLQDPLFD IRQGXOXL GH VDODULL SH WRWDO PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW VH FDOFXOH]H VDOD FRQWULEX LD IDFWRULORU GHWHUPLQDQ L
GRX V V
5. 6.
VH FDOFXOH]H PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH DOH VDODULXOXL PHGLX SH WRWDO L FRQWULEX LD IDFWRULORU VH FDOFXOH]H VDODULXO PHGLX SH WRWDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH L LQGLFLL VDODULXOXL PHGLX
GH LQIOXHQ
Rezolvare 1. Indicii individuali ai fondului de salDULL L DL QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L VH SRW FDOFXOD SH ED]D datelor din tabel: indicii fondului de salarii: 567 750 = 0,756 sau 75,6% (pentru firma " A" ) FS1 828 i1FS = = = 0,92 sau 92% (pentru firma " B" ) /0 FS 0 900 335 = 1,0806 sau 108,06% (pentru firma " C" ) 310 LQGLFLL QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L
210 300 = 0,70 sau 70% (pentru firma " A" ) 230 T = 1 = = 0,92 sau 92% (pentru firma " B" ) T0 250 100 = 1,00 sau 100% (pentru firma " C" ) 100
T i1 / 0
2.
750 300 = 2500 FS 0 900 S0 = = = 3600 T0 250 310 = 3100 100 567 210 = 2700 828 FS S1 = 1 = = 3600 T1 230 335 = 3350 100
mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "A") mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "B") mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "C")
mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "A") mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "B") mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "C")
i1S/ 0
Tabelul 20. Firma 0 A B C Total Salariu mediu (mii lei/salariat) 60) 3HULRDGD FXUHQW 1 2 2500 2700 3600 3600 3100 3350 S0T1 (mii lei)
61
3HULRDGD GH ED]
S 0 = 3015,38
S 1 = 3203,7
3.
I 1/ 0
FS ( T )
I 1/ 0
FS ( S )
FS 1 = S 1 T 1 = 1730 = 0 , 8826 sau 88 , 26% FS 0 S 0 T 0 1960 S 0 T 1 = 1663 = 0 , 8485 sau 84 , 85% = S 0 T 0 1960 S 1 T 1 = 1730 = 1 , 0403 sau 104 , 03% = S 0 T 1 1663
=
= I 1/ 0
FS ( T )
I 1/ 0
FS ( S ,T )
I 1/ 0
FS ( S )
FS 1 / 0( S ,T ) = 1 / 0
FS( T )
FS + 1 / 0(S)
- 230 = - 297 + 67
4.
S0 =
FS 0 T0
S1 =
mii lei/salariat
I1S/ (0S , g
S1 = S0
I1S/ 0 =
LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU
I1S/(0S ) =
S1T1 : S0T1 = 3203,7 : 1663 103 = S1 = 3203,7 = 1,0403 sau 104,03% 540 S* 3079,6 T1 T1 S 0T1 : S 0T0 T1 T0
= I1S/ (0S ) I1S/(0g
T
I1S/ (0g
5HOD LD GH VLVWHP
I1S/ (0S , g
5.
S S /(0 , g 1
6H YHULILF
UHOD LD
S S /(0 , g 1
S g = S /(0 ) + S /(0 1 1
4.
Tabelul 21. Salariu mediu (mii lei/salariat) Perioada Perioada de FXUHQW ED] 60) (S1) 1 2 2500 2700 3600 3600 3100 3350
6WUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU 3HULRDGD GH ED]
%)
Firma
Perioada
FXUHQW
S0g T (%) 0
5 115400 138456 47678 301534
T S1g 1 (%)
T S0g 1 (%)
g1 )
6 105003 153324 62042 320369 7 97225 153324 57412 307961
0 A B C Total
s 0 =3015,38
s 1 =3203,7
g T =100,0 0
100
S1 =
S1 g1T(%)
100
320369 = 3203,69 mii lei/salariat 100 307961 = 3079,61 mii lei/salariat 100
S*
s0 g1T(%) =
100
I1s/ 0 =
LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU
s I 1s/(0 ) =
g I 1s/(0
8.
Modificarea
SUH XULORU vQ
VABi 1994 0
,QGXVWULH FRQVWUXF LL
1996/1994
p RVABi (%)
1996
1 2 3 21269,6 43248,9 3520 $JULFXOWXU VLOYLFXOWXU 9897,6 20949,2 3630 Alte ramuri 14787,5 37656,1 2880 Total 45954,7 101854,2 10030 Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1998, pag. 118, 340-342
Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL SH UDPXUL L SH vQWUHDJD HFRQ V V
omie;
LL PXQFLL SH vQWUHDJD D SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL
VH GHWHUPLQH LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU DVXSUD PRGLILF ULL SURGXFWLYLW VH GHWHUPLQH FRQWULEX LD ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW
Wi),
Wi 0 =
VABi 0 , unde i = 1,3 POi 0 SHQWUX VH IRORVHWH VAB vQ SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH
VAB i*1 PO i 1
Wi1 =
VAB i 1
p I VAB i
n care I VAB
(%)
= R VAB + 100
p
i
Tabelul 22.
Ramura 0
,QGXVWULH FRQVWUXF LL $JULFXOWXU VLOYLFXOWXU
I VAB
1 1,8148 2,1082 2,185
VAB i 1
i
VAB i*1
(mld.lei) 3 23831,22 9937,01 17233,91 51002,13
Productivitatea muncii (mii lei/pers.) Wi0 Wi1 4 5 6042,5 7447,2 2726,6 3020,3 5134,5 5861,8 4581,7 5408,4
VH FDOFXOHD]
DVWIHO
W0 =
VAB i 0
i =1 3
PO i 0
i =1
W1 =
VAB i 1
i =1 3
PO i 1
i =1
2.
'LQDPLFD SURGXFWLYLW
LL PXQFLL
pe ntreaga economie:
VDX FHHD FH UHSUH]LQW R FUHWHUH
I W (W , g
PO
cu 18,04%
0RGLILFDUHD SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL SH HFRQRPLH
SRDWH IL DQDOL]DW
vQ IXQF LH GH
( )
IW
unde:
(g
PO
W* W0
W* =
W i 0 PO i 1
i =1
PO i 1
i =1
PO
IW
(g
W* W0
4602 , 53 4581 , 7
W1 W*
5408 , 4 4602 , 5
5H]XOW
WRWDOLWDWH
VWUXFWXULL SRSXOD LHL SH UDPXUL ILLQG QHJOLMDELO &RQWULEX LD ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW HFRQRPLHL VH GHWHUPLQ DVWIHO D SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL OD QLYHOXO
3.
(g
PO
(W )
0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW
(g
PO
,W )
(g
PO
,W )
= W
(g
PO
+ W
(W )
3H ED]D UHOD LHL GH PDL VXV VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD FRQWULEX LD UHODWLY PRGLILFDUHD SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL D PXQFLL
( g PO )
W W
W
(g
PO
(g
PO
20 , 8 826.7
= 2 , 58%
,W )
(W )
(W )
PO
805 , 9 826.7
= 97 , 42%
W (g
,W )
9.
industrie
FRQVWUXF LL
alte ramuri
&RQVXP LQWHUPHGLDU POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH GF DJULFXOWXU L VLOYLFXOWXU
industrie
FRQVWUXF LL
alte ramuri
9DORDUH DG XJDW DJULFXOWXU EUXW POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH GF
1995 1 150115 25160 72093 11042 41820 83516 10894 48381 6287 17954
1996 2
1997 3
L VLOYLFXOWXU
industrie
FRQVWUXF LL
alte ramuri
Indicatori 0
,PSR]LWH SH SURGXV LQFOXVLY 79$ POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 6XEYHQ LL POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 7D[H YDPDOH POGOHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH &RQVXP ILQDO POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH GF SRSXOD LH DGPLQLVWUD LH )RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH
9DULD LD VWRFXULORU PDWHULDOH POGOHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH ([SRUW QHW POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 5HPXQHUDUHD PXQFLL POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH ([FHGHQWXO EUXW GH H[SORDWDUH POG OHL SUH XUL FXUH 0RGLILFDUHD SUH XULORU ID GH DQXO OD
nte)
1995 1 5579 1231 1189 58662 48545 10117 15425 2085 -4036 28035 38564 0 0 0 0 0
1996 2 7900 1849 1853 90711 77733 12978 25076 1695 - 9091 44,4 38,7 56,5 94,0 74,2
1997 3 18981 2498 3497 213536 187562 25974 47952 5744 - 17482 268,9 211,9 255,8 503,1 359,4
FRQVXPXO ILQDO DO SRSXOD LHL FRQVXPXO ILQDO DO DGPLQLVWUD LHL IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ YDULD LD VWRFXULORU
export net
,QGLFLL GH SUH XUL DL 9$% DJULFXOWXU L VLOYLFXOWXU ID GH vQ
100 149,6 335,2 100 146,2 369,2 100 151,3 349,5 FRQVWUXF LL alte ramuri 100 141,5 362,4 ,QGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP 100 138,8 353,6 Deflatorul PIB (%) 100 144,78 357,83 )RQGXUL IL[H PLOG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH PHGLH DQXDO 159390,3 Dinamica fondurilor fixe (%) 100 109,06 104 3RSXOD LD RFXSDW PLL SHUVRDQH PHGLH DQXDO 9752 9436 Sursa: calcule pe baza Anuarului Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997, p. 125, 355-356, 359-362, 367-369, 391-392; date CNS pentru anul 1997. industrie
Se cere: 1. VAB SH UDPXUL L SH WRWDO HFRQRPLH vQ DQXO VWUXFWXUD VAB pe ramuri n anii 1995, 1996, 1997; 2. PIB GXS PHWRGD SURGXF LHL VWUXFWXUD PIB; 3. PIB GXS PHWRda veniturilor; structura PIB; 4. PIB GXS PHWRGD FKHOWXLHOLORU VWUXFWXUD PIB; 5. GHIOD LRQDUHD PIB utiliznd mai multe metode; 6. dinamica PIB UHDO L QRPLQDO 7. FRQVXPXO ILQDO UHDO DO SRSXOD LHL GLQDPLFD DFHVWXLD 8. UDWD LQIOD LHL 9. GHWHUPLQD L L LQWHUSUHWD L SULQFLSDOHOH FRUHOD LL PDFURHFRQRPLFH 10. LQGLFDWRULL PDFURHFRQRPLFL GHULYD L Rezolvare
9DORDUHD DG SHULRDGD GH FDOFXO VH XJDW RE LQH EUXW FD
VAB)
H[SULP vQWUH
GLIHUHQ
SURGXF LD
EUXW
UDPXU
(PB
total econoPLH H[SULPDW vQ SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU indicatorului pe ramuri (vezi tabelul 24.).
SURGXF LH
RE LQH
QLYHOXULORU
Structura VAB (%) n anul 1995 2 21,42 35,60 7,14 35,84 100 1996 3 20,56 36,87 7,44 35,13 100
LQGXVWULD
Ramura 0
$JULFXOWXU L VLOYLFXOWXU
Industrie
&RQVWUXF LL
-L
SR]L LD GRPLQDQW
vQ HFRQRPLH vQ WLPS FH DJULFXOWXUD D vQUHJLVWUDW XQ XRU GHFOLQ H[SULP YDORDUHD EUXW D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH
DFWLYLWDWHD vQ LQWHULRUXO
Determinarea PIB
PHWRGD YDORULL DG
PIB pf = ( PB i CI i ) = VAB i
i i
ind PIB pp = VAB i + I n i
ind I n = IP S + TV ,
unde: PIBpf PIBpp ind In IP S TV - SURGXVXO LQWHUQ EUXW OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU - SURGXVXO LQWHUQ EUXW OD SUH XULOH SLH HL - impozite indirecte nete; - impozite pe produs (inclusiv TVA); - VXEYHQ LL - taxe vamale.
Q FHOH FH XUPHD] Y
PIB OD SUH XULOH SLH HL POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH VH RE LQH DG PIB0 = 66599 + 5537 = 72136 ind I n = 5579 1231 + 1189 = 5537
0
VFKLPE UL VHPQLILFDWLYH vQ SHULRDGD DQDOL]DW PHWRGD UHSDUWL LHL VH RE LQH vQVXPkQG YHQLWXULOH RE LQXWH
3. PIB
metoda veniturilor
unde: - UHPXQHUDUHD VDODULD LORU VDODULL LPSR]LWH SH VDODULL &$6 - excedentul net de exploatare (dividende, impozit pe profit, profit nedistribuit, rente, dobnzi nete); - amortizarea; A EBE - excedentul brut de exploatare; EBE = ENE + A
RS ENE
PIB0 = 28035 + 38564 + 5537 = 72136 mild lei. Structura PIB n anul 1995: remunerarea muncii: 38,86% excedentul brut de exploatare: 53,46% impozite indirecte nete: 7,68% 4. PIB
GXS
metoda cheltuielilor
unde:
CP CA FBC FBCF VS EXN
- consumul final aO SRSXOD LHL - FRQVXPXO ILQDO DO DGPLQLVWUD LHL - IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO - IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[
YDULD LD VWRFXULORU PDWHULDOH
export net. PIB0 = 48545 + 10117 + (15425 + 2085) 4036 = 72136 mld lei PIB1 = 77733 + 12978 + (25076 + 1695) 9091 = 108391 mld lei PIB2 = 187562 + 25974 + (47952 + 5744) 17482 = 249750 mld lei
Tabelul 26. Componente Ponderea n PIBpp 1995 1996 67,30 71,72 14,02 11,97 21,38 23,13 2,89 1,56 -5,59 -8,39 100,0 100,0
(%)
1997 75,10 10,40 19,2 2,30 -6,70 100,0
R
Structura PIB
FUHWHUH
FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH XWLOL] ULL ILQDOH D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU WDEHOXO DUDW D SRQGHULL FRQVXPXOXL SULYDW vQ SHULRDGD GH]HFKLOLEUDW
VHPQLILFDWLY
-1997 n detrimentul
LPSRUWXO D GHS LW
FRQVXPXOXL DGPLQLVWUD LHL L DO LQYHVWL LLORU %DODQ D FRPHUFLDO H[SRUWXO D LQIOXHQ DW QHJDWLY P ULPHD
PIB se poate realiza global sau pe componente. deflatorul PIB LQGLFHOH VLQWHWLF GH SUH XUL DO FRPSRQHQWHORU EUXW P ULPHD PIB real se poate calcula raportnd PIB nominal la deflatorul
FXQRDWH
PIB t* = unde:
PIB t Dt
PIB t* PIBt Dt
DateOH
- P ULPHD PIB UHDO vQ SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH vQ DQXO t; - PIB QRPLQDO vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH vQ DQXO t; - deflatorul PIB pentru anul t.
DSOLFD LHL QH SHUPLW V H[SULP P
PIB
* PIB 96 =
PIB 96 D 96 / 95 PIB 97 D 97 / 95
108391 = 74866 mld. lei 1 , 4478 249750 = 69795 , 7 mld. lei 3 , 5783
* PIB 97 =
0 ULPHD GHIOD L
PIB
UHDO
VH
PDL
SRDWH
GHWHUPLQD
SULQ
unde:
C i* Ci P IC
i.
PIB
PIB * =
CP
P I CP
CA
P I CA
FBCF
P I FBCF
VS
P I VS
EXN
P I EXN
* PIB 96 =
77733 12978 25076 1695 9091 + + + = 74866 , 6 mld. lei 1 , 444 1 , 387 1 , 565 1 , 940 1 , 742 187562 25974 47952 5744 17482 + + + = 69795 , 5 mld. lei. 3 , 689 3 , 119 3 , 558 6 , 031 4 , 594
GH GHIOD LRQDUH DSOLFDWH DQWHULRU FRQGXF OD DFHODL UH]XOWDW FX PLFL
* PIB 97 =
&HOH 'DF
GRX
PHWRGH
IDFWRULORU VH GHWHUPLQ
FX UHOD LD
PIB = VAB i =
unde:
VAB i I iP
VAB i VABi I iP
- VAB FUHDW vQ UDPXUD i H[SULPDW vQ SUH XUL FRPSDUDELOH - VAB FUHDW vQ UDPXUD i H[SULPDW vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH - LQGLFHOH GH SUH XUL FRUHVSXQ] WRU UDPXULL i.
PIB 96 =
20662 37054 7469 35302 + + + = 69048 , 2 mld. lei. 1 , 496 1 , 462 1 , 513 1 , 415
46953 88911 13487 80419 + + + = 64139 , 4 mld. lei. 3 , 352 3 , 692 3 , 495 3 , 624
PIB 97 =
unde: PIBt PIB0 - valoarea PIB QRPLQDO H[SULPDW vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH GLQ DQXO t; - valoarea PIB nominal n DQXO GH ED]
PIB96 108391 100 = 100 = 150,26% PIB95 72136 249750 PIB97 100 = 100 = 346,22% PIB95 72136
LQFOXGH DWkW YDULD LD FDQWLW LL IL]LFH D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU FXSULQVH vQ
GLQDPLF D
PIB
YDULD LD HIHFWLY
. Dinamica PIB real surprinde PIB LQGHSHQGHQW GH VFKLPEDUHD SUH XULORU SH SDUFXUVXO SHULRDGHL FRQVLGHUDWH 6H FDOFXOHD] SH ED]D YDORULORU GHIOD LRQDWH DOH PIB:
I tPIB = /0
PIBt*
* PIB0
100,
unde: PIB t* valoarea PIB real n anul t. ntruct pentru exprimarea PIB * F PIB 0 = PIB 0 .
UHDO DP XWLOL]DW SUH XULOH DQXOXL SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH
UH]XOW
I 1PIB /0
* PIB 96
PIB 95
* PIB 97
100 =
PIB I 2/0
PIB 95
* PIB 97 * PIB 96
100 =
PIB * 2 /1
100 =
Comparativ cu dinamica PIB QRPLQDO FDUH LQGLF R FUHWHUH IRDUWH PDUH GH OD XQ DQ OD DOWXO dinamica PIB UHDO DUDW R FUHWHUH PRGHVW GH vQ ID GH XUPDW GH R UHGXFHUH
FX vQ ID GH 'LIHUHQ D GLQWUH FHOH GRX GLQDPLFL HVWH H[SOLFDW SULQ FUHWHUHD FRQVLGHUDELO D SUH XULORU vQGHRVHEL vQ DQXO
I 1PIB /0
PIB I 2/0
= =
VH GHWHUPLQ
IPC
CPt* = unde:
CPt IPC t
t; t;
FRQVXPXO ILQDO QRPLQDO DO SRSXOD LHL vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH vQ DQXO LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP vQ DQXO
t.
F
= =
77733 = 49543 mld. lei 1 , 569 187562 = 53043 , 6 mld. lei 3 , 536
* CP97 =
49543 100 = 102 , 06% 48545 53043 , 6 100 = 107 , 07% 49543
vQ ID GH L FX vQ
CP I 97 / 96 =
R=D%-100
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9. &RPSDUD LD GLQWUH dinamica PIB* L GLQDPLFD IRQGXULORU fixe: 1996/1995: I PIB = 103 , 78% I F = 109 , 06% 1997/1995: I PIB = 96 , 76% I F = 104% Dinamica fondurilor fixe a devansat dinamica PIB GHWHUPLQkQG UHGXFHUHD HILFLHQ HL PHGLL D
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e:
CP + CA 100 PIB
- n 1995 58662: 72136 = 71,32%; - n 1996 90711: 108391 = 83,69%; - n 1997 213536: 249750 = 85,50%.
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- n 1995 15425: 72136 = 21,38%; - n 1996 25076: 108391 = 23,13%; - n 1997 47952: 249750 = 19,20%.
PIB / perVRDQ
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SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL
PLO OHL SUH XUL SHUVRDQ PLO OHL SUH XUL SHUVRDQ
- n 1995 72136: 159390,3 = 0,453 lei/ 1 leu sau 453 lei/ 1000 lei; - n 1996 74866: (159390,3 OHL OHX SUH XUL - n 1997 69795,7: (159390,3 OHL OHX SUH XUL
coeficientul capitalului (necesarul de capital fix la 1 leu PIB): - n 1995 1: 0,453 = 2,21 lei/ 1 leu ; - n 1996 OHL OHX SUH XUL - n 1997 OHL OHX SUH XUL
3,%&,
D PXQFLL
- n 1995 PLO OHL SUH XUL SHUVRDQ - n 1996 (159390,3 PLO OHL SUH XUL SHUVRDQ
rata excedentului brut = excedentul brut de exploatare/ VAB - n 1995 38564: 66599 = 57,9%.
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Concepte utilizate
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32.
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Serii statistice
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Tabelul 1. Cod muncitor 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
9HFKLPH vQ PXQF DQL 3URGXF LH EXF L
1 6 24 23 24 19 12 15 18 19 32 34 20 22 30 16 2 24 22 22 16 37 13 24 27 29 14 18 28 10 16 19 18 20 29 19 26 22 8 4 2
2 48 72 62 57 68 52 53 55 58 67 76 61 57 67 59 51 65 59 57 48 78 45 67 66 79 57 58 66 41 56 63 56 51 70 62 65 55 53 54 41
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(buc) 48 51 54 41 194
(buc) 52 45 41 53 191
Grupa a III-a (14 20) Tabelul 4. Nr. Vechime 3URGXF LH crt. (ani) (buc) 1 19 68 2 15 53 3 18 55 4 19 58 5 16 59 6 16 48 7 14 57 8 18 58 9 16 56 10 19 63 11 18 56 12 19 62 Total 207 693 Grupa a V-a (26 32) Tabelul 6. Vechime 3URGXF LH (buc) (ani) 30 67 27 66 29 79 28 66 29 70 16 65 169 413
YDULDELOD SURGXF LHL < L
Grupa a IV-a (20 26) Tabelul 5. Vechime 3URGXF LH (ani) (buc) 24 72 23 62 24 57 20 61 22 57 24 65 22 59 22 57 24 67 20 51 22 55 247 663
Grupa a VI-a (32 38) Tabelul 7. Nr. crt. 1 2 3 Total Vechime (ani) 32 34 37 103
3URGXF LH
(buc) 67 76 78 221
41 48 48 55 55 62 62 69 69 76 76 83
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5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS
L GXS
SURGXF LH
i valorile centralizate pe
Grupe de muncitori
GXS YHFKLPH DQL
1XP
U PXQFLWRUL
0 2-8 8 14 14 20 20 26 26 32 32 38 Total
1RW
1 4 4 12 11 6 3 40
ILLQG LQFOXV
Tabelul 8. Valori centralizate pentru: Vechime (ani) 3URGXF LH EXF 2 3 14 194 43 191 207 693 247 663 169 413 103 221 783 2375
vQ LQWHUYDO
SURGXF LD UHDOL]DW
Grupe de muncitori
GXS SURGXF LH EXF
1XP
U PXQFLWRUL
0 41 - 48 48 55 55 62 62 69 69 76 76 83 Total
1RW
1 3 8 13 11 2 3 40
ILLQG LQFOXV
Tabelul 9. Valori centralizate pentru: Vechime 3URGXF LH EXF 2 3 25 127 83 410 251 745 271 718 53 142 100 233 783 2375
vQ LQWHUYDO
1.3. 5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF D FHORU GRX UHSDUWL LL VH IDFH SULQ - KLVWRJUDP ILJ .); - SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU ILJ - FXUED FXPXODWLY D IUHFYHQ HORU ILJ DFHDVW UHSUH]HQWDUH
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14 12 10 12 11
8 6 4 2 0 2 8 14 20 26 32 38 vechime (ani) 4 4 3 6
YHFKLPH
14 12
10
8 6 4 2 0 2 8 14 20 26 32 38 vechime (ani)
Grupe de muncitori
GXS YHFKLPH DQL
0 2-8 8 14 14 20 20 26 26 32 32 38 Total
QXP
U PXQFLWRUL
YHFKLPH
Curba cumulDWLY
1XP U PXQFLWRUL
D IUHFYHQ HORU
Tabelul 10.
)UHFYHQ H FXPXODWH &UHVF WRU 'HVFUHVF WRU
1 4 4 12 11 6 3 40
2 4 8 20 31 37 40 -
3 40 36 32 20 9 3 -
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2 8 14 20 vechime (ani) 26 32 38
YHFKLPH
3HQWUX YDULDELOD SURGXF LH UHSUH]HQW ULOH JUDILFH DOH VHULHL GH UHSDUWL LH VXQW
14 12 10
13 11
14 12
gc f e e
10
ab `d
8 6 4 2 0 34 41 48 55 62 69 76 83 90
Y "PDWUS R DPHFDB X Q I VT Q I G E C
Grupe de muncitori
GXS SURGXF LH EXF
1XP
U PXQFLWRUL
0 41 - 48 48 55 55 62 62 69 69 76 76 83 Total
1 3 8 13 11 2 3 40
56
6 4 2 0 41 48 55 62 69 76 83
3 2 3
54 76
A7 @ 9 48 a` cb
SURGXF LH
SURGXF LH
Tabelul 11.
)UHFYHQ H FXPXODWH &UHVF WRU 'HVFUHVF WRU
2 3 11 24 35 37 40 -
3 40 37 29 16 5 3 -
45 40 35 30
1.4. Gruparea muncitorilor pe intervale neegale Un criteriu de repartizare pe grupe neegale l constituie nivelul mediu al variabilei: - vechimea medie pe muncitori; - produc LD PHGLH SH PXQFLWRU
9RU IL WUHL JUXSH FDOLWDWLYH GH WLSXO PLF PLMORFLX L PDUH Q JUXSD D GRXD VXQW FXSULQVH JUXSD LQWHUYDOXO FDUH FRQ LQH QLYHOXO PHGLX DO YDULDELOHL L LQWHUYDOHOH vQYHFLQDWH FX DFHDVWD Q SULPD L XOWLPD JUXS VXQW FXSULQVH LQW
x=
xi
i =1
0 2-8 8 14 26 38 Total
(ni) 1 4 27 9 40
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF
D UHSDUWL LLORU SH LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH VH SRDWH IDFH SULQ KLVWRJUDP D IUHFYHQ HORU SUHDODELO DO IUHFYHQ HORU UHGXVH YH]L
2y xv u "q$h t s w t s r p i
25 20 15 10 5 0 34 41 48 55 62 69 76 83 90
SURGXF LH
Tabelul 11. Valori centralizate pentru: 3URGXF LH EXF Vechime (ani) 2 3 14 194 497 1547 272 634 783 2375
Coeficient de reducere
D IUHFYHQ HORU
)UHFYHQ H UHGXVH
(ni)
intervalului (hi) 2 6 18 12 -
ki =
hi h1 )
nri =
ni ki
3 1 3 2 -
U PXQFLWRUL
QXP
y=
yi
i =1
0 41 - 48 48 69 69 83 Total
&DOFXOXO IUHFYHQ HORU
Grupe de
PXQFLWRUL GXS
1XP
H
U PXQFLWRUL
27
8 vechime (ani)
26
38
YHFKLPH DQL
SURGXF LH
(ni) 1 3 32 5 40
UHGXVH HVWH SUH]HQWDW
Tabelul 13. Valori centralizate pentru: 3URGXF LH EXF Vechime (ani) 2 3 25 127 605 1873 153 375 783 2375
vQ WDEHOXO LDU KLVWRJUDPD L SROLJRQXO
Tabelul 14.
0 ULPHD
Coeficient de reducere
D IUHFYHQ HORU
)UHFYHQ H UHGXVH
(ni)
intervalului (hi) 2 7 21 14 -
ki =
hi h1
nri =
ni ki
3 1 3 2 -
4 3 10,66 2,5 -
12 10
U PXQFLWRUL
32
8 6 4 2 0 34 41
)LJ
QXP
48
55
62
69
76
83
90
97
1.5. *UXSDUHD FRPELQDW D PXQFLWRULORU GXS n tabelul 15. WDEHO FX GXEO LQWUDUH
5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS
YHFKLPH L GXS
SURGXF LH EXF
Grupe de muncitori
GXS YHFKLPH
41 - 48 1 1 2 3
LQFOXV
76 - 83 6 1 2 3
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF
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62
55 48 41 2
8 14 20 26 vechimea (ani)
32
38
SURGXF LH
YHFKLPH L GXS
2.
&DOFXOXO P
ULPLORU GH VWUXFWXU
GH FRRUGRQDUH L GH LQWHQVLWDWH
&DOFXOXO P
ULPLORU UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXU ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXU DWkW SH ED]D IUHFYHQ HORU DEVROXWH
SH SRW FDOFXOD P
VDX JUHXW
LOH VSHFLILFH gi FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH Se vor utLOL]D UHSDUWL LLOH SH LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH GLQ WDEOHOH L n ni*(%) = n i 100 - IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH ni
ni*
i =1
g i (%) =
5H]XOWDWHOH
xi
xi
i =1
L VSHFLILFH
FDOFXOHORU
PXQFLWRULORU
GXS
YDORDUHD
SURGXF LHL
VXQW
muncitori (ni) 1 3 32 5 40
Valori centralizate pentru: 3URGXF LH Vechime (ani) (buc.) 2 25 605 153 783 3 127 1873 375 2375
)UHFYHQ H
gi(%))
3URGXF LH
(vezi fig.10.).
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 7,5% 3,2% vechime 80% 77,3% 18,5% 19,5%
5,3%
78,9%
15,8%
l g H"$i d j f k
gd g f W"i h q$ePd
&DOFXOXO P 'DF
0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH FRRUGRQDUH VH FDOFXOHD] QRW P IUHFYHQ HOH FHORU WUHL JUXSH FX FHQWUDOL]DWH DOH FHORU GRX
n1, n2, n3
K 2 /1 =
%D]
GH
muncitorilor dup
Tabelul 17.
*UXSH GH PXQFLWRUL GXS SURGXF LH EXF 1XP U
muncitori (ni) 1 3 32 5
Valori centralizate pentru: Vechime 3URGXF LH (buc.) Yi (ani) Xi 2 3 25 127 605 1873 153 375
1XP
3URGXF
ie
6 1 14,74 2,95
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF
e prin coloane
(figura 11.).
)LJ 5DSRUWXO GLQWUH QXP UXO GH PXQFLWRUL GLQ FHOH WUHL JUXSH
&DOFXOXO P
ULPLORU UHODWLYH GH LQWHQVLWDWH QLYHOXO PHGLX SHQWUX ILHFDUH YDULDELO FDQWLWDWLY OD QLYHOXO ILHF UHL
0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH LQWHQVLWDWH VH RE LQ SULQ UDSRUWDUHD D GRL LQGLFDWRUL LQWHUGHSHQGHQ L 5H]XOWDWXO RE LQXW VLQWHWL]HD] JUXSH L SH WRWDO 5H]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO
Grupe de muncitori
GXS SURGXF LH EXF
1XP
muncitori (ni) 1 3 32 5 40
Valori centralizate pentru Vechime (ani) 3URGXF LH (Xi) (buc.) (Yi) 2 25 605 153 783 3 127 1873 375 2375
tr n
m sr
3.
Grupe de
PXQFLWRUL GXS
1XP
U GH
muncitori (ni) 1 4 4 12 11 6 3 40
xi ni
3 20 44 204 253 174 105 800
ni*(%)
n = i 100 ni
4 10,0 10,0 30,0 27,5 15,0 7,5 100
xi ni*(%)
5 50 110 510 632,5 435 262,5 2000
xi a h a=17;h=6 6 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -
Tabelul 19. xi a ni h 7 -8 -4 0 11 12 9 20
xi ni
i =1 k
ni
i =1
800 = 20 ani/muncitor 40
VLPSO D
unde xi -
FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH
2000 = 20 ani / muncitor 100 100 Calculul simplificat al mediei aritmetice: k x a i h ni 20 x = i =1 k h + a = 6 + 17 = 20 ani / muncitor. 40 ni x=
i =1
xi ni*
i =1
Calculul modului (M0): Locul M0 HVWH LQWHUYDOXO FX IUHFYHQ D PD[LP -20). Valoarea modului: 1 (12 4) M 0 = x0 + h = 14 + 6 = 14 + 5,33 = 19,33 ani/muncitor 1 + 2 (12 4) + (12 11) Calculul medianei (Me) Locul medianei: LM e =
0HGLDQD HVWH FXSULQV
ni + 1 = 41 = 20,5
2 2
vQ SULPXO LQWHUYDO D F UXL IUHFYHQ FXPXODW HVWH PDL PDUH GHFkW
ni
M e = x0 + h 2
+1
ni
i =1
m 1
= 20 + 6
20 , 5 20 = 20 , 27 ani / muncitor, 11
L PRGXO YH]L FDSLWROXO
de muncitori (ni) 1 4 4 12 11 6 3 40
xi x
xi x ni
4 60 36 36 33 54 45 264
(xi x )
ni
xi a h
a = 17; h=6 6 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -
Tabelul 20.
xi a ni h
7 16 4 0 11 24 27 82
3 -15 -9 -3 3 9 15 -
d ):
d =
xi x .ni
i =1
ni
i =1 2
k
( xi x ) 2 ni 2 = i =1 ni
calcul simplificat:
2592 = 64,8 40
2 =
x a i h ni i =1
k
ni
i =1
WUDWLF
h 2 ( x a) 2 =
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S
d 6,6 100 = 100 = 33% x 20 8,0498 v = 100 = 100 = 40,249% x 20 v= SHULD GH UHSDUWL LH QX HVWH RPRJHQ
L PHGLD QX HVWH UHSUH]HQWDWLY SHQWUX VHULH
Calculul coeficientului de asimetrie x Mo 20 19,33 Cas = = = 0,083 VHULD HVWH XRU DVLPHWULF DVLPHWULH SR]LWLY 8,0498 Pentru variabila SURGXF LH LQGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH L YDULD LHL VXQW FDOFXOD L FX DMXWRUXO
GDWHORU GLQ WDEHOHOH L
Grupe de
PXQFLWRUL GXS SURGXF LH EXF
1XP
U GH
muncitori (ni) 1 3 8 13 11 2 3 40
y i ni
ni*(%) =
ni 100 ni
y i ni*(%)
5 333,75 1030 1901,25 1801,25 362,5 596,25 6025
yi a h a = 58,5; h=7 6 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -
Tabelul 21. yi a ni h
7 -6 -8 0 11 4 9 10
FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH
FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH
y i ni y = i =1 ni
k
y=
yi ni*
i =1
100
Calculul simplificat al mediei aritmetice: k y a i h ni 10 y = i =1 h + a = 7 + 58,5 = 60,25 buc. / muncitor 40 ni Calculul modului (M0):
0RGXO VH DIO
vQ LQWHUYDOXO
ni
i =1
+1
Me = y 0 + h
ni
i =1
m 1
nm
= 55 + 7
20 , 5 11 = 60 , 12 buc. / muncitor 13
muncitori (ni) 1 3 8 13 11 2 3 40
yi y
3 -15,75 -8,75 -1,75 5,25 12,25 19,25 -
y i y ni
4 47,25 70,00 22,75 57,75 24,50 57,75 280
(y i y )
ni
yi a h
a = 58,5; h=7 6 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -
yi a ni h
7 12 8 0 11 8 27 66
d)
d =
y i y ni
i =1
ni
i =1 k
2 =
( y i y ) 2 ni
i =1
ni
i =1
3111,495 = 77,787 40
calculul simplificat
2 =
y a i h ni i =1
k
ni
i =1
WUDWLF
h 2 ( y a) 2 =
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S
DVLPHWULH SR]LWLY
QHVHPQLILFDWLY
SURGXF LH EXF
41-48 1 1 2 3
48-55 2 3 5 8
55-62 3 13 13
62-69 4 6 5 11
69-76 5 1 1 2
76-83 6 3 3
( y i ):
yi =
y j nij
j =1 m
nij
j =1
44,5 1 + 51,5 3 = 49,75 buc./muncitor 4 44,5 2 + 51,55 5 + 58,5 13 + 65,5 6 + 72,5 1 y2 = = 58,2407 buc./muncitor 27 65,5 5 + 72,5 1 + 79,5 3 y3 = = 70,944 buc./muncitor 9 y1 =
0HGLD JHQHUDO
y ):
SURGXF LH
y=
y j n. j
j =1 m
n. j
j =1
y=
-
y=
y i ni .
i =1 r
ni.
i =1
GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS
i2 ):
i2 =
( y j yi ) 2 nij
j =1
nij
j =1
(44,5 49,75) 2 1 + (51,5 49,75) 2 3 = 9,1875 4 (44,5 58,24) 2 # 2 + (51,5 58,24) 2 5 + (58,5 58,24) 2 13 + (65,5 58,24) 2 6 2 2 = + 27 (72,5 58,24) 2 1 + = 41,6736 2
12 =
2 3 =
2 = y/r =
2 =
i2 ni. ni .
):
2 = 2/ x = y
( yi y ) 2 ni.
i =1
ni .
i =1
2 =
2 =2 = y
( y j y ) 2 n. j
j =1
n. j
j =1
2 =
(44,5 60,25) 2 3 + (51,5 60,25) 2 8 + (58,5 60,25) 2 13 + 40 (65,5 60,25) 2 11 + (72,5 60,25) 2 2 + (79,5 60,25) 2 3 + = 77,78 40
ULL GLVSHUVLLORU
5HJXOD DGXQ
2 y = 2/ r + 2/ x y y
stici:
):
vQ DSURDSH DFHHDL
pURSRU LH
DWkW IDFWRUXOXL GH JUXSDUH YHFKLPHD vQ PXQF FkW L FHORUODO L IDFWRUL FDUH QX DX IRVW PDL PDUH GHFkW LQIOXHQ D
vQUHJLVWUD L ,QIOXHQ D IDFWRUXOXL GH JUXSDUH YHFKLPH HVWH GRDU FX IDFWRULORU QHvQUHJLVWUD L
LD PHGLH D FROHFWLYLW
y = y =
(URDUHD OLPLW
y y < y0 < y + y
60,25 4,1834 < y 0 < 60,25 + 4,1834 56,0666 < y 0 <64,4334 buc./muncitor
N y y < yi < N y + y
i =1 400 i =1
400
22426,64 < yi < 25773,36 buc. 5.2. Sondajul aleatoriu simplu nerepetat
y =
2 n
n 1 = N
(URDUHD OLPLW
y y < y0 < y + y 60,25 3,9686 < y 0 < 60,25 + 3,9686 56,2814 < y 0 < 64,2186 buc./muncitor
SURGXF LD WRWDO
SH vQWUHDJD FROHFWLYLWDWH
N y y < yi < N y + y
i =1 400 i =1
400
yi)
2 48 52 53 55 58 68 62 57 72 67
R OHJ WXU GLUHFW
80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 vechime (ani)
~
z{| ~}
Figura 12.
H[LVWHQ D XQHL OHJ WXUL GLUHFWH GH IRUP OLQLDU
Metode analitice
5HJUHVLD OLQLDU
Yxi = a + bxi
6H DSOLF PHWRGD FHORU PDL PLFL S WUDWH L VH RE LQH VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH
n n na + b xi = yi i =1 i =1 , n n n 2 a x i + b x i = x i y i i =1 i =1 i =1
yi xi2 xi xi yi
unde: a =
i =1 i =1
n
i =1
xi2
n xi i =1
n n
n xi y i xi y i
b=
i =1
i =1
n xi2 xi i =1 i =1
n n
i =1 2
'DWHOH QHFHVDUH FDOFXO ULL FHORU GRL SDUDPHWULL VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO
24..
xi
1 6 12 15 18 19 19 23 24 24 32 192
yi
2 48 52 53 55 58 68 62 57 72 67 592
xi y i
3 288 624 795 990 1102 1292 1426 1368 1728 2144 11757
x i2
4 36 144 225 324 361 361 529 576 576 1024 4156
yi2
5 2304 2704 2809 3025 3364 4624 3844 3249 5184 4489 35596
Yxi = a + bxi
6 48.2202 53.2104 55.7055 58.2006 59.0323 59.0323 62.3591 63.1908 63.1908 69.8444 591.9864
(y
Yx x
Tabelul 24.
(yi y )2
7 0.048488 1.465068 7.319730 10.243840 1.065643 80.419643 0.128953 38.326004 77.602004 8.090611 224.70997
8 125.44 51.84 38.44 17.64 1.44 77.44 7.84 4.84 163.84 60.24 549
a= b=
592 4156 192 11757 = 43,23 104156 36864 10 11757 192 592 = 0,8317 b > 0 OHJ 10 4156 36864
WXUD GLUHFW
,QWHQVLWDWHD OHJ
YDULDELOH VH P VRDU
FX LQGLFDWRU
ii:
FRHILFLHQW GH FRUHOD LH
ry/x):
n n i =1 i =1
ry / x
= 2 n n n n n xi2 xi n yi2 yi i =1 i =1 i =1 i =1 10 11757 192 592 = 0,768 10 4156 (192) 2 10 3596 (592) 2
2
n xi y i xi y i
i =1
][
ry/x = 0,768
UDSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH
Ry/x):
i
Ry / x =
( yi Yx ) 2 1 ( yi y ) 2
yi
vQWUXFkW
VH XWLOL]HD]
testul t: t= pentru
L Q
ry / x 1 ry2/ x
n2 =
0,59069 1 0,59069
10 2 = 2,6116
'DF
tcalc
2 = 8 grade de libertate ttab = 2,306. > ttab UH]XOW F ry/x HVWH VHPQLILFDWLY
L P VRDU
vQWUH
(tabelul 25):
Tabelul 25.
Vechimea
vQ PXQF
3URGXF LD
Ranguri
(yi) 2 48 52 53 55 58 68 62 57 72 67 -
(xi) 1 6 12 15 18 19 19 23 24 24 32 -
rxi
3 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 -
r yi
4 1 2 3 4 6 9 7 5 10 8 -
d i = rxi ryi
5 0 0 0 0 -1 -4 1 2 -3 0 -
d i2
6 0 0 0 0 1 16 1 4 9 0 d i =31
2
Pi 7 9 8 7 6 4 1 2 2 0 0 Pi=39
Qi 8 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 1 0 Qi=6
Si=Pi-Qi 9 9 8 7 6 3 -2 1 2 -1 0 Si =33
rK < rS.
R OHJ WXU
GLUHFW
GHVWXO GH SXWHUQLF
6.2. &RUHOD
Grupe de muncitori GXS YHFKLPH [i) 0 2-8 8-14 14-20 20-26 26-32 32-38 Total (n.j)
41-48 1 1 2 3
48-55 2 3 2 2 1 8
55-62 3 7 6 13
62-69 4 3 3 4 1 11
) 69-76 5 1 1 2
76-83 6 1 2 3
Metode simple
0HWRGD WDEHOXOXL GH FRUHOD LH 'DF YDORULOH FHORU GRX VH RUGRQH]H vQ WLQG V
YDULDELOH ; L < VXQW RUGRQDWH FUHVF WRU LDU IUHFYHQ HOH FRQGL LRQDWH
nij
yi ):
y1 = 49,75 buc/muncitor y 2 = 48 buc/muncitor y3 = 59,083 buc/muncitor y 4 = 61,045 buc/muncitor y5 = 69 buc/muncitor y 6 = 74,83 buc/muncitor
6H REVHUY FUHWHUH 5H]XOW F F SH P VXU H[LVW FH FUHWH YHFKLPHD vQ PXQF GLUHFW *UDILFXO VXJHUHD] H[LVWHQ D XQHL L SURGXF LD PHGLH DUH R WHQGLQ GH R OHJ WXU
0HWRGD JUDILF
'DWHOH QHFHVDUH FDOFXO ULL FHORU GRL SDUDPHWUL VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO
xi
1 5 11 17 23 29 35 i
ni.
2 4 4 12 11 6 3
xi ni.
3 20 44 204 253 174 105 xini.=800
2
x i n i.
4 100 484 3468 5819 5046 3675 x i ni.=18592
yj
5 44,5 51,5 58,5 65,5 72,5 79,5 -
n. j
6 3 8 13 11 2 3 40
y j n. j
7 133,5 412,0 760,5 720,5 145,0 238,5 yjn.j=410
y j n. j
8 5940,75 21218,0 44489,25 47192,75 10512,5 18960,75 y j n.j=148314
2
i
xi y j nij
j
ni. = 40
xi y j nij = 50463
j
b > 0 OHJ
xi2 ni. y j n. j xi ni. xi y j nij = 2410 18592 800 50468 = 42,75 a= 2 40 18952 800 2 n xi2 ni. ( xi ni. ) n xi y j nij y j n. j xi ni. 40 50468 2410 800 = = 0,875 b= 2 40 18952 800 2 n xi2 ni. ( xi ni. )
WXUD GLUHFW
Y x i = 42,75 + 0,875xi Valorile teoretice ale pURGXF LHL GHWHUPLQDWH GH YHFKLPH VXQW Y X1 = 47,125 Y X 2 = 52,375 Y X 3 = 57,625 Y X 4 = 62,875 Y X 5 = 68,125 Y X 6 = 73,375
0HWRGHOH GH P VXUDUH D LQWHQVLW LL OHJ WXULL
ry / x = =
-
[n x n
F
2 i i.
][
( y j n. j )2 ]
= 0,7986
L GLUHFW
5H]XOW
Y xi
0 47,125 52,375 57,625 62,875 68,125 73,375 (yj-Y X i )
2
yj
44,5 1 6,8906 124,0312 130,9218 744,186 51,5 2 57,4218 1,5312 75,0312 129,3906 263,3748 612,496 58,5 3 5,3593 114,8437 120,203 39,806 65,5 4 186,0468 20,6718 27,5625 62,0156 296,2967 303,182 72,5 5 92,6406 19,1406 111,7812 300,124 79,5 6 129,3906 75,0312 204,4218 1111,686
(y j Yx ) nij
2
i
Tabelul 28.
nij
(yj - y )2n.j
7 64,3124 125,5624 266,4377 357,5467 176,0937 137,0468 (yj Yxi)2nij= =1126,9997 (yj - y )2n. j= =3111,48
Ry / x = 1
(y j Yx )2 nij (y j y )2 n. j
i
GH YHFKLPH VH FDOFXOHD]
2 y/x
p liniar.
Breviar de formule
xh =
ni
i =1
x
i =1
1
i
xp =
x i2 n i
i =1
ni
ni
i =1
i =1
i=1
n i
ni + 1
i =1
Mo = x 0 + h
1 1 + 2
Me = x0 + h
m
ni
i =1
m 1
nm
=
yi =
y j nij
j =1 m
nij
j =1
r 2 y/x
y=
yi ni .
i =1
ni .
i =1
2
i2 =
( y j y i ) 2 nij
i =1
nij
j =1
i =1 r
2 i n i.
n i.
i =1
(y i y) 2 n i.
i =1
n i.
i =1
2 p =
2 Ni p
i =1
i
Ni
i =1
2 0
2 p
(p i p) 2 N i
i =1
Ni
i =1
x = z
2 0 n
n=
2 2 z 0
2x
=z
(1
n ) N
n=
2 2 z 0
2x +
2 2 z 0 N
Yxi = a + bxi
na + b xi = y i 2 a x i + b x i = x i y i
k m na + b xi ni. = y j n. j i =1 j =1 k k k m a x n + b x 2 n = i i. x i y j nij i i. i =1 i =1 i =1 j =1
ry / x =
[n x
i
n xi yi ( xi )( yi )
2 i
( xi ) 2 n yi2 ( yi ) 2
][
i
ry / x =
n xi y j nij ( xi ni. )( y j n. j )
j j
2 2 2 2 n xi ni. ( xi ni. ) n y j n. j ( y j n. j ) i j i j
Ry/x =
(Y x ( yi
y)2 y)2
R y/x =
(y i Yx ) 2 1 (y i y) 2
i
R y/x = 1
(y j Yx ) 2 n ij
i
(y j y) 2 n .j
rs = 1
y1 y cr = 2
R y/x =
6 d i2 n n
3
(Yx y) 2 n i. (y j y) 2 n .j
i
ad bc Q= ad + bc
rk =
yn 2
2S n (n 1)
+ y 2 + ... + y i +... + y n 1 + n 1
d d + d2 d + di d + d n 1 d y1 1 + y 2 1 + ...y i i1 + ...y n -1 n -2 + y n n 1 2 2 2 2 2 y cr = n 1 di
i =1
yn y1 n 1
I = n 1
yn y1
I =
ni
i =1
Yt = y1 + (t 1)
Yt = y1 I t 1
na + b t i = y i 2 a t i + b t i = t i yi
Yti = a + b ti
i1y/ 0 =
I 1y/(0x , f ) =
x1 f1 x0 f 0 i1y/ 0 x0 f 0 y ( x, f ) I1/ 0 = x0 f 0
I 1y/(0f ) =
y1 x f = 1 1 y 0 x0 f 0
I 1y/(0f ) =
sau
i1f/ 0 =
x0 f1 x0 f 0
f1 f0
i1x/ 0 =
x1 x0
I 1y/(0x ) =
I 1y/(0x , f ) =
x1 f1 1 i y x1 f1
1/ 0
x1 f1 x0 f1
x0 f 0 x0 f 0
i1f/ 0
I 1y/(0x ) =
x1 f1 1 i x x1 f1
)
x( I SVx , f
x1 = x0
x1 f1 : x0 f 0 f1 f 0
x( I SF x ) =
x I VS( f
1/ 0 *
x1 x
*
x1 f1 : x0 f1 f1 f 1
x = x0
x 0 f1 : x 0 f 0 f1 f 0
Anexa 1
7DEHO FX YDORULOH IXQF LHL *DXVV
-Laplace
( z ) = 1 2
z e
(z)
+z
z2 2 dz
z 0,00 0,01 0,02 0,03 0,04 0,05 0,06 0,07 0,08 0,09 0,10 0,11 0,12 0,13 0,14 0,15 0,16 0,17 0,18 0,19 0,20 0,21 0,22 0,23 0,24 0,25 0,26 0,27 0,28 0,29 1,50 1,51 1,52 1,53
(z) 0,0000 0,0080 0,0160 0,0239 0,0319 0,0399 0,0478 0,0558 0,0638 0,0717 0,0797 0,0876 0,0955 0,1034 0,1113 0,1192 0,1271 0,1350 0,1428 0,1507 0,1585 0,1663 0,1741 0,1819 0,1897 0,1974 0,2051 0,2128 0,2205 0,2282 0,8664 0,8690 0,8715 0,8740
z 0,30 0,31 0,32 0,33 0,34 0,35 0,36 0,37 0,38 0,39 0,40 0,41 0,42 0,43 0,44 0,45 0,46 0,47 0,48 0,49 0,50 0,51 0,52 0,53 0,54 0,55 0,56 0,57 0,58 0,59 1,72 1,73 1,74 1,75
(z) 0,2358 0,2434 0,2510 0,2586 0,2661 0,2737 0,2812 0,2886 0,2961 0,3035 0,3108 0,3182 0,3255 0,3328 0,3401 0,3473 0,3545 0,3626 0,3688 0,3759 0,3829 0,3899 0,3969 0,4039 0,4108 0,4177 0,4245 0,4313 0,4331 0,4448 0,9146 0,9164 0,9181 0,9199
z 0,60 0,61 0,62 0,63 0,64 0,65 0,66 0,67 0,68 0,69 0,70 0,71 0,72 0,73 0,74 0,75 0,76 0,77 0,78 0,79 0,80 0,81 0,82 0,83 0,84 0,85 0,86 0,87 0,88 0,89 1,94 1,95 1,96 1,97
z 0,90 0,91 0,92 0,93 0,94 0,95 0,96 0,97 0,98 0,99 1,00 1,01 1,02 1,03 1,04 1,05 1,06 1,07 1,08 1,09 1,10 1,11 1,12 1,13 1,14 1,15 1,16 1,17 1,18 1,19 2,32 2,34 2,36 2,38
(z) 0,6319 0,6372 0,6424 0,6476 0,6528 0,6579 0,6629 0,6680 0,6729 0,6778 0,6827 0,6875 0,6923 0,6970 0,7017 0,7063 0,7109 0,7154 0,7199 0,7243 0,7287 0,7330 0,7375 0,7415 0,7457 0,7499 0,7540 0,7560 0,7620 0,7660 0,9797 0,9807 0,9817 0,9827
z 1,20 1,21 1,22 1,23 1,24 1,25 1,26 1,27 1,28 1,29 1,30 1,31 1,32 1,33 1,34 1,35 1,36 1,37 1,38 1,39 1,40 1,41 1,42 1,43 1,44 1,45 1,46 1,47 1,48 1,49 2,76 2,78 2,80 2,82
(z) 0,7699 0,7737 0,7775 0,7813 0,7850 0,7887 0,7923 0,7959 0,7995 0,8030 0,8064 0,8098 0,8132 0,8165 0,8198 0,8230 0,8262 0,8293 0,8324 0,8355 0,8385 0,8415 0,8444 0,8473 0,8501 0,8529 0,8557 0,8584 0,8611 0,8638 0,9942 0,9946 0,9949 0,9952
0,4515 0,4581 0,4647 0,4713 0,4778 0,4843 0,4907 0,4971 0,5035 0,5098 0,5161 0,5223 0,5285 0,5346 0,5407 0,5467 0,5527 0,5587 0,5646 0,5705 0,5763 0,5821 0,5878 0,5935 0,5991 0,6047 0,6102 0,6157 0,6211 0,6265 0,9476 0,9488 0,9500 0,9512
z 1,54 1,55 1,56 1,57 1,58 1,59 1,60 1,61 1,62 1,63 1,64 1,65 1,66 1,67 1,68 1,69 1,70
(z) 0,8764 0,8789 0,8812 0,8836 0,8859 0,8882 0,8904 0,8926 0,8948 0,8969 0,8990 0,9011 0,9031 0,9051 0,9070 0,9090 0,9109
z 1,76 1,77 1,78 1,79 1,80 1,81 1,82 1,83 1,84 1,85 1,86 1,87 1,88 1,89 1,90 1,91 1,92
(z) 0,9216 0,9233 0,9249 0,9265 0,9281 0,9297 0,9312 0,9328 0,9342 0,9357 0,9371 0,9385 0,9399 0,9412 0,9426 0,9439 0,9451
z 1,98 1,99 2,00 2,02 2,04 2,06 2,08 2,10 2,12 2,14 2,16 2,18 2,20 2,22 2,24 2,26 2,28
(z) 0,9523 0,9534 0,9545 0,9566 0,9587 0,9606 0,9625 0,9643 0,9660 0,9676 0,9692 0,9707 0,9722 0,9736 0,9749 0,9762 0,9774
z 2,40 2,42 2,44 2,46 2,48 2,50 2,52 2,54 2,56 2,58 2,60 2,62 2,64 2,66 2,68 2,70 2,72
(z) 0,9836 0,9845 0,9853 0,9861 0,9869 0,9876 0,9883 0,9889 0,9895 0,9901 0,9907 0,9912 0,9917 0,9922 0,9926 0,9931 0,9935
z 2,84 2,86 2,88 2,90 2,92 2,94 2,96 2,98 3,00 3,20 3,40 3,60 3,80 4,00 4,50 5,00
(z) 0,9955 0,9958 0,9960 0,9962 0,9965 0,9967 0,9969 0,9971 0,9973 0,9986 0,9993 0,99968 0,99986 0,9999 0,99999 0,99999
Anexa 2
7DEHO FX YDORULOH UHSDUWL LHL 678'(17 vQ IXQF LH GH SUREDELOLWDWHD L QXP UXO I DO JUDGHORU GH OLEHUWDWH
P(t t )
0,50 1,000 0,816 0,765 0,741 0,727 0,718 0,711 0,706 0,703 0,700 0,697 0,695 0,694 0,692 0,691 0,690 0,689 0,688 0,688 0,687 0,686 0,686 0,685 0,685 0,684 0,684 0,684 0,683 0,683 0,683 0,682 0,681 0,680 0,679 0,679 0,678 0,678 0,677 0,677 0,677 0,676 0,675 0,675 0,675 0,25
0,20 3,078 1,886 1,638 1,533 1,476 1,440 1,415 1,397 1,383 1,372 1,363 1,356 1,350 1,345 1,341 1,337 1,333 1,330 1,328 1,325 1,323 1,321 1,319 1,318 1,316 1,315 1,314 1,313 1,312 1,310 1,306 1,303 1,301 1,299 1,296 1,294 1,292 1,291 1,290 1,289 1,286 1,283 1,282 1,282 0,10
0,10 6,314 2,920 2,353 2,132 2,015 1,943 1,895 1,860 1,833 1,812 1,796 1,782 1,771 1,761 1,753 1,746 1,740 1,734 1,729 1,725 1,721 1,717 1,714 1,711 1,708 1,706 1,703 1,701 1,699 1,697 1,690 1,684 1,679 1,676 1,671 1,667 1,664 1,662 1,660 1,658 1,653 1,648 1,646 1,645 0,05
0,05 12,706 4,303 3,482 2,776 2,571 2,447 2,365 2,306 2,262 2,228 2,201 2,179 2,160 2,145 2,131 2,120 2,110 2,101 2,093 2,086 2,080 2,074 2,069 2,064 2,060 2,056 2,052 2,048 2,045 2,042 2,030 2,021 2,014 2,009 2,000 1,994 1,990 1,987 1,984 1,980 1,972 1,965 1,962 1,960 0,025
0,02 31,821 6,965 4,541 3,747 3,365 3,143 2,998 2,896 2,821 2,764 2,718 2,681 2,650 2,624 2,602 2,583 2,567 2,552 2,539 2,528 2,518 2,508 2,500 2,492 2,485 2,479 2,473 2,467 2,462 2,457 2,438 2,423 2,412 2,403 2,390 2,381 2,374 2,368 2,364 2,358 2,345 2,334 2,330 2,326 0,01
0,01 63,657 9,925 5,841 4,604 4,032 3,707 3,499 3.355 3,250 3,169 3,106 3,055 3,102 2,977 2,947 2,921 2,898 2,878 2,861 2,845 2,831 2,819 2,807 2,797 2,787 2,779 2,771 2,763 2,756 2,750 2,724 2,704 2,690 2,678 2,660 2,648 2,639 2,632 2,626 2,617 2,601 2,586 2,581 2,576 0,005
0,002 318,309 22,327 10,214 7,173 5,893 5,208 4,785 4,501 4,297 4,144 4,025 3,930 3,852 3,787 3,733 3,686 3,646 3,610 3,579 3,552 3,527 3,505 3,485 3,467 3,450 3,435 3,421 3,408 3,396 3,385 3,340 3,307 3,281 3,261 3,232 3,211 3,195 3,183 3,174 3,160 3,131 3,107 3,098 3,090 0,001
0,001 636,618 31,598 12,924 8,610 6,869 5,959 5,408 5,041 4,781 4,587 4,437 4,318 4,221 4,140 4,073 4,015 3,965 3,922 3,883 3,850 3,819 3,792 3,767 3,745 3,725 3,707 3,690 3,674 3,659 3,646 3,591 3,551 3,520 3,496 3,460 3,435 3,416 3,402 3,390 3,373 3,340 3,310 3,300 3,290 0,0005
0,0001 6366,198 99,992 28,000 15,544 11,178 9,082 7,885 7,120 6,594 6,211 5,921 5,694 5,513 5,363 5,239 5,134 5,014
4,897 4,837 4,784 4,736 4,693 4,654 4,619 4,587 4,558 4,530 4,506 4,482 4,389 4,321 4,269 4,288 4,169 4,127 4,096 4,072 4,053 4,025 3,970 3,922 3,906 3,891 0,00005
Anexa 3
5HSDUWL LD ) )LVKHU 6QHGHFRU 9DORULOH IXQF LHL
l2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 40 60 120
l1 = 1 l1 = 2 l1 = 3 l1 = 4 l1 = 5 = 0,05 = 0,01 = 0,05 = 0,01 = 0,05 = 0,01 = 0,05 = 0,01 = 0,05 = 0,01 161,40 4052,00 199,50 4999,00 215,70 5403,00 224,60 5625,00 230,20 5764,00 18,51 98,49 19,00 99,00 19,16 99,17 19,25 99,25 19,30 99,30 10,13 34,12 9,55 30,81 9,28 29,46 9,12 28,71 9,01 28,24 7,71 21,20 6,94 18,00 6,59 16,69 6,39 15,98 6,26 15,52 6,61 16,26 5,79 13,27 5,41 12,06 5,19 11,39 5,05 10,97 5,99 13,74 5,14 10,91 4,76 9,78 4,53 9,15 4,39 8,75 5,59 12,25 4,74 9,55 4,35 8,45 4,12 7,85 3,97 7,45 5,32 11,26 4,46 8,65 4,07 7,59 3,84 7,01 3,69 6,63 5,12 10,56 4,26 8,02 3,86 6,99 3,63 6,42 3,48 6,06 4,96 10,04 4,10 7,56 3,71 6,55 3,48 5,99 3,33 5,64 4,84 9,65 3,98 7,20 3,59 6,22 3,36 5,67 3,20 5,32 4,75 9,33 3,88 6,93 3,49 5,95 3,26 5,41 3,11 5,06 4,67 9,07 3,80 6,70 3,41 5,74 3,18 5,20 3,02 4,86 4,60 8,86 3,74 6,51 3,34 5,56 3,11 5,03 2,96 4,69 4,54 8,68 3,68 6,36 3,29 5,42 3,06 4,89 2,90 4,56 4,49 8,53 3,63 6,23 3,24 5,29 3,01 4,77 2,85 4,44 4,45 8,40 3,59 6,11 3,20 5,18 2,96 4,67 2,81 4,34 4,41 8,28 3,55 6,01 3,16 5,09 2,93 4,58 2,77 4,25 4,38 8,18 3,52 5,93 3,13 5,01 2,90 4,50 2,74 4,17 4,35 8,10 3,49 5,85 3,10 4,94 2,87 4,43 2,71 4,10 4,32 8,02 3,47 5,78 3,07 4,87 2,84 4,37 2,68 4,04 4,30 7,94 3,44 5,72 3,05 4,82 2,82 4,31 2,66 3,99 4,28 7,88 3,42 5,66 3,03 4,76 2,80 4,26 2,64 3,94 4,26 7,82 3,40 5,61 3,01 4,72 2,78 4,22 2,62 3,90 4,24 7,77 3,38 5,57 2,99 4,68 2,76 4,18 2,60 3,86 4,22 7,72 3,37 5,53 2,98 4,64 2,74 4,14 2,59 3,82 4,21 7,68 3,35 5,49 2,96 4,60 2,73 4,11 2,57 3,78 4,20 7,64 3,34 5,45 2,95 4,57 2,71 4,07 2,56 3,75 4,18 7,60 3,33 5,42 2,93 4,54 2,70 4,04 2,54 3,73 4,17 7,56 3,32 5,39 2,92 4,51 2,69 4,02 2,53 3,70 4,08 7,31 3,23 5,18 2,84 4,31 2,61 3,83 2,45 3,51 4,00 7,08 3,15 4,98 2,76 4,13 2,52 3,65 2,37 3,34 3,92 6,85 3,07 4,79 2,68 3,95 2,45 3,48 2,29 3,17 3,84 6,64 2,99 4,60 2,60 3,78 2,37 3,32 2,21 3,02
Anexa 4
2 Valorile variabilei n func
LH GH SUREDELOLWDWHD
2 = P( 2 > )
a l 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
0,990
0,975
0,950
0,900
0,100
0,050
0,025
0,010
0,001
0,0002 0,02 0,12 0,30 0,55 0,87 1,24 1,65 2,09 2,56 3,05 3,57 4,11 4,66 5,23 5,81 6,41 7,01 7,63 8,26 8,90 9,54 10,20 10,86 11,52 12,20 12,88 13,57 14,26 14,95
0,0010 0,05 0,22 0,48 0,83 1,24 1,69 2,18 2,70 3,25 3,82 4,40 5,01 5,63 6,26 6,91 7,56 8,23 8,91 9,59 10,28 10,98 11,69 12,40 13,12 13,84 14,57 15,31 16,05 16,79
0,0039 0,10 0,35 0,71 1,15 1,64 2,17 2,73 3,33 3,94 4,57 5,23 5,89 6,57 7,26 7,96 8,67 9,39 10,12 10,85 11,59 12,34 13,09 13,85 14,61 15,38 16,15 16,93 17,71 18,49
0,0158 0,21 0,58 1,06 1,61 2,20 2,83 3,49 4,17 4,87 5,58 6,30 7,04 7,79 8,55 9,31 10,08 10,86 11,65 12,44 13,24 14,04 14,85 15,66 16,47 17,29 18,11 18,94 19,77 20,60
2,71 4,61 6,25 7,78 9,24 190,64 12,02 13,36 14,68 15,99 17,27 18,55 19,81 21,06 22,31 23,54 24,77 25,99 27,20 28,41 29,61 30,81 32,01 33,20 34,38 35,56 36,74 37,92 39,09 40,26
3,84 5,99 7,81 9,49 11,07 12,59 14,07 15,51 16,92 18,31 19,67 21,03 22,36 23,68 25,00 26,30 27,59 28,87 30,14 31,41 32,67 33,92 35,17 36,41 37,65 38,88 40,11 41,34 42,56 43,77
5,02 7,38 9,35 11,14 12,83 14,45 16,01 17,53 19,02 20,48 21,92 23,34 24,74 26,12 27,49 28,84 30,19 31,53 32,85 34,17 35,48 36,78 38,08 39,37 40,65 41,92 43,19 44,46 45,72 46,98
6,63 9,21 11,34 13,28 15,09 16,81 18,47 20,09 21,67 23,21 24,72 26,22 27,69 29,14 30,58 32,00 33,41 34,80 36,19 37,57 38,93 40,29 41,64 42,98 44,31 45,64 46,96 48,28 49,59 50,89
10,83 13,82 16,27 18,47 20,52 22,46 24,32 26,13 27,88 29,59 31,26 32,91 34,53 36,12 37,70 39,25 40,79 42,31 43,82 45,32 46,80 48,27 49,73 51,18 52,62 54,05 55,48 56,89 58,30 59,70
WRDUH
Anexa 5
3 02.673 70.786 33.004 88.634 97.090 82.504 07.171 75.095 76.916 36.132 24.290 19.706 21.267 56.747 66.081 01.015 14.647 30.470 05.505 58.852 73.957 43.668 84.726 84.635 34.027 76.718 67.301 25.409 82.120 58.256 23.917 97.387 44.998 66.063 58.869
4 25.475 93.930 51.795 60.285 20.601 19.880 02.103 77.720 72.657 51.971 08.618 30.094 56.501 75.195 54.076 68.025 08.473 40.200 90.074 51.175 35.969 12.611 17.512 43.079 56.734 99.556 50.949 37.498 17.890 47.702 20.417 34.822 17.833 73.570 15.677
5 84.953 34.880 86.477 07.190 78.940 93.747 99.057 39.729 58.992 32.155 66.798 69.430 95.182 06.818 67.442 19.703 34.124 46.558 24.783 11.534 21.598 01.714 39.450 52.724 09.365 16.026 91.298 00.816 40.963 74.724 11.315 53.775 94.563 86.860 78.598
6 61.793 73.059 46.736 07.795 20.228 80.910 98.775 03.205 32.576 60.735 25.889 92.399 72.442 83.043 52.964 77.313 10.740 61.742 86.299 87.218 47.287 77.266 43.618 14.262 20.008 00.013 74.968 99.262 55757 89.419 52.805 91.674 23.062 68.125 43.520
7 50.243 06.823 60.460 27.011 22.803 78.260 37.997 09.313 01.154 64.867 52.860 98.749 21.445 47.403 23.823 04.555 40.839 11.643 20.900 04.876 39.394 55.079 30.629 05.750 93.559 78.411 73.631 14.471 13.492 08.025 33.072 76.549 95.725 40.436 97.521
8 63.423 80.257 70.345 85.941 96.070 25.136 18.325 43.545 84.890 35.424 57.375 22.081 17.276 58.266 02.718 83.425 05.620 92.121 15.144 85.584 08.778 24.690 24.356 89.373 78.384 95.107 57.397 10.232 68.294 68.519 07.723 37.635 38.463 31.303 83.248
Seria 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
9 18.752 61.691 49.197 19.436 39.143 82.244 55.847 94.095 11.751 69.902 21.850 75.850 29.648 82.740 36.842
10 43.693 04.944 63.948 87.291 64.893 67.549 56.155 95.970 69.469 08.995 25.352 46.992 22.086 28.443 42.092
)
11 32.867 43.111 38.947 71.684 14.606 76.491 42.878 07.826 25.521 27.821 25.556 25.165 42.581 42.734 52.075
12 53.017 28.325 60.207 74.859 13.543 09.761 23.708 25.991 44.097 11.758 92.161 55.906 85.677 25.518 83.926
13 22.661 82.319 70.667 76.501 09.621 74.494 97.999 37.584 07.511 64.989 23.592 62.339 20.251 82.827 42.875
14 39.610 65.589 39.843 93.456 68.301 91.307 40.131 56.966 88.976 61.902 43.294 88.958 39.641 35.825 71.500
15 03.796 66.048 60.607 95.714 69.817 64.222 52.360 68.623 30.122 32.121 10.479 91.717 65.786 90.288 69.216
16 02.622 98.498 15.328 92.518 52.140 66.592 90.398 83.454 67.542 28.165 37.879 15.756 80.689 32.911 01.350
5HSURGXV GXS
Bibliografie
1.
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vQ HFRQRPLH %XFXUHWL
GOSCHIN, Z. CRISTACHE, S. E. 2. BIJI, E. LILEA, E. WAGNER, P. BIJI, E. LILEA, E. WAGNER, P. BIJI, E. WAGNER, P. LILEA, E. PETCU, N.
9 78, 0
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L HFRQRPLF
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(GLWXUD 'LGDFWLF
L 3HGDJRJLF
3.
6WDWLVWLF
4.
6WDWLVWLF
L 3HGDJRJLF
1995
5. 6.
6WDWLVWLF
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Expert, 1999
6WDWLVWLF
BOLDEANU, D. 8. VOINEAGU, V.
0,758 & 6WDWLVWLF WHRUHWLF L PDFURHFRQRPLF 7HVWH OXFU UL
ISAIC-MANIU, AL.
, $1 (
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,d); C(c,d).
2.
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3.
E XQLWDWHD VWDWLVWLF
H LQIRUPD LD
4.
XQLWDWHD VWDWLVWLF
HVWH G PRGHOXO
E XQLWDWHD VWDWLVWLF
F FDUDFWHULVWLFD VWDWLVWLF
E GHULYDW
7. Variabila QXP
D FDOLWDWLY
este o caracWHULVWLF
VWDWLVWLF
F GLVFUHW
G DOWHUQDWLY
8.
profesie este:
F GLVFUHW G DOWHUQDWLY
E FRQWLQX
9. Productivitatea muncii HVWH R FDUDFWHULVWLF VWDWLVWLF a) calitDWLY E GHULYDW F GLVFUHW G DOWHUQDWLY 10. Caracteristicile statistice pot fi:
D GH WLPS E GH VSD LX F DWULEXWLYH G UHSUH]HQWDWLYH $OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW $DEF %DEFG &DG
11.
&ROHFWLYLW
a) dH WLPS GH VSD LX VDX DWULEXWLYH E DOWHUQDWLYH VDX QHDOWHUQDWLYH c) primare sau derivate; d) calitative sau cantitative; e) statice sau dinamice. 12.
(VWH R REVHUYDUH WRWDO D DQFKHWD VWDWLVWLF E UHFHQV PkQWXO F VRQGDMXO VWDWLVWLF
d) obsHUYDUHD S
U LL SULQFLSDOH
13.
G REVHUYDUHD S U LL SULQFLSDOH
H UDSRUWXO VWDWLVWLF
14.
15.
16.
SUH]LQW
d) gruparea pe tipuri calitative. 19. Elementele obligatorii ale unui tabel statistic sunt: a) subiectuO E SUHGLFDWXO F UH HDXD GH UkQGXUL L FRORDQH
G WLWOXO JHQHUDO L WLWOXULOH LQWHULRDUH H VXUVD GDWHORU $OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW $DEFGH %FG &DE
21.
Q YHGHUHD SUH]HQW ULL FDUDFWHULVWLFLORU DWULEXWLYH QXPHULFH VH IRORVHVF VHULL VWDWLVWLFH D GH WLPS E GH VSD LX F GH GLVWULEX LH D IUHFYHQ HORU G RULFH WLS
22.
Q YHGHUHD SUH]HQW ULL HYROX LHL vQ WLPS D XQXL IHQRPHQ VH IRORVHVF VHULL VWDWLVWLFH D FURQRORJLFH E WHULWRULDOH F GH UHSDUWL LH G RULFH WLS
23.
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a) cronolRJLFH
E WHULWRULDOH
F GH UHSDUWL LH
G RULFH WLS
25.
a) histograma; b) corelograma; c) cronograma; d) diagrama de volum. 26. Tipul de grafic folosit pentru seriile interdependente este: a) histograma; b) corelograma; c) cronograma; d) diagrama de volum. 27. Tipul de grafic folosit pentru seriile cronologice este: a) histograma; b) corelograma; c) cronograma; d) diagrama de volum.
Indicatori statistici
1.
3ULQWUH IXQF LLOH LQGLFDWRULORU VWDWLVWLFL QX VH LQFOXG D IXQF LLOH GH P VXUDUH L FRPSDUDUH F IXQF LLOH GH SODQLILFDUH L FRQWURO E IXQF LLOH GH DQDOL] L VLQWH]
G IXQF LD GH HVWLPDUH
2.
* VL L FODVLILFDUHD LQFRUHFW
3.
Q FD]XO FROHFWLYLW
e pot calcula:
4.
0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH VH P VRDU D QXPDL vQ SURFHQWH F vQ XQLWDWHD GH P VXU E vQ FRHILFLHQ L SURFHQWH SURPLOH SURGHFLP D FDUDFWHULVWLFLL VWDWLVWLFH UHVSHFWLYH
G VXQW P ULPL DGLPHVLRQDOH /D FDOFXODUHD XQHL P ULPL UHODWLYH QX HVWH REOLJDWRULX FD
5.
a) b) c) d) 6.
ILH FRPSDUDELOL
GH FRQGL LRQDUH vQWUH WHUPHQLL FRPSDUD L ILH VHPQLILFDWLY V ILH RPRJHQ VH UHSUH]LQW JUDILF SULQ F GLDJUDPH GH VWUXFWXU SHQWUX IHQRPHQXO DQDOL]DW
9.
10.
E DOH SODQXOXL
11.
3HQWUX D P VXUD HYROX LD vQ WLPS D IHQRPHQXOXL DQDOL]DW IRORVLP P ULPL UHODWLYH D GH VWUXFWXU E DOH SODQXOXL F GH FRRUGRQDUH G GH LQWHQVLWDWH H GH GLQDPLF
12.
3HQWUX D FRPSDUD GRL LQGLFDWRUL GLIHUL L GDU LQWHUGHSHQGHQ L IRORVLP P ULPL UHODWLYH D GH VWUXFWXU E DOH SODQXOXL F GH FRRUGRQDUH G GH LQWHQVLWDWH H GH GLQDPLF
13.
3HQWUX D FRPSDUD QLYHOXO UHDOL]DW DO XQXL IHQRPHQ FX FHO SURJUDPDW IRORVLP P ULPL
relative:
D GH VWUXFWXU E DOH SODQXOXL F GH FRRUGRQDUH G GH LQWHQVLWDWH H GH GLQDPLF
14.
3HQWUX
FRPSDUD
QLYHOXO
DEVROXW
DO
XQHL
JUXSH
FX
DQVDPEOXO
FROHFWLYLW
LL
IRORVLP
16.
L HFRQRPLFH UHSUH]LQW
ID
GH
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a) diagrama prin cerc; b GLDJUDPD SULQ GUHSWXQJKLF GLDJUDPD SULQ S d) diagrama prin benzi.
1.
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2.
-o colectivitate este:
G PHGLDQD H PHGLD
4.
media:
D DULWPHWLF E DUPRQLF F S WUDWLF G JHRPHWULF
PHGLD
E DUPRQLF
6.
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media:
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7.
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media:
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8.
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xh
PHGLD
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x p
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a) xh > x p ; b) xh = x p ; c) xh < x p ; 9.
QWUH PHGLD DULWPHWLF VWDWLVWLF H[LVW UHOD LD
d) nu se pot compara.
L PHGLD JHRPHWULF
x p
d) nu se pot compara.
VH vQWkOQHWH FHO PDL IUHFYHQW vQ FDGUXO VHULHL
salariul mediu lunar al firmei este de 3 mil. lei? a) 50%; b) 30%; c) 25%; d) 20%. 12. Studentele dintr-R
JUXS DX vQ O LPHD PHGLH GH FP LDU VWXGHQ LL FP &DUH HVWH GDF SRQGHUHD VWXGHQWHORU HVWH "
112%, 108%, 106%,111%,120%. Tipul de medie cel mai indicat a se calcula n acest caz este:
D DULWPHWLF E DUPRQLF F S WUDWLF G JHRPHWULF
15. ntr-XQ
LQGLFDW
PDJD]LQ GH vQF O
PLQW
XUP WRDUHOH P ULPL 'HQXPL L P ULPHD PHGLH FHD PDL D VH FDOFXOD vQ DFHVW FD] E PHGLD DUPRQLF F PRGXO G PHGLD JHRPHWULF H
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mediana.
16.
G JHRPHWULF
17. Temperaturile nregisWUDWH OD RUD SUkQ]XOXL OD R VWD LH PHWHR vQ SULPD V decembrie au fost(grade celsius): -2,-1,+1,+3,+1,-4,- 'HQXPL L WLSXO indicat a se calcula n acest caz.
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18.
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a) 30; b) 330; c) 270; d) 300. 19. Cele 10 hoteluri dintr-XQ RUD DX IRVW HYDOXDWH Dstfel: 2 hoteluri- 3stele, 5 hoteluri-2stele, 3 hoteluri-1stea. Care este valoarea medie pe total? a) 2 stele; b) 3 stele; c) 1,9 stele; d) nu se poate calcula. 20.
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):
D
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se calcula.
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21.
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n curs,
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23.
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l: zona A: 15%, respectiv 100 mii persoane zona B: 20%, respectiv 150 mii persoane.
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te:
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4 2
5 4
6 6
7 8
8 5
9 4
10 1
Total 30
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a) 5; b) 6; c) 7; d) 8; e) 9. 26.
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27. 25% din valorile individuale ale unei serii statistice sunt mai mari dect:
D FXDUWLOD LQIHULRDU E PRGXO F PHGLDQD G FXDUWLOD VXSHULRDU
28.
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sunt:
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c) egale cu mediana; d) cuprinse ntre FXDUWLOD LQIHULRDU e) mai mari dect mediana.
29.
a) mediana; b) modul;
F FXDUWLOHOH
G GHFLOHOH
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c) diagramele prin coloane; d) diagramele de volum. 32. Pentru calculul grafic al modului se folosesc:
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1.
JUDGXOXL
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2.
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3.
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a) b) c) d) e) 4.
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dintre grupe;
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5. n cazul unei
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6.
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7.
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8. ntr-o gruS
D VLPHWULF
GH VWXGHQ L YkUVWD PHGLH HVWH GH DQL GDU FHL PDL PXO L VWXGHQ L DX GH
9. Valoarea coeficientului de varia LH HVWH LQYHUV SURSRU LRQDO FX P ULPHD a) mediei; E GLVSHUVLHL F DEDWHULL PHGLL S WUDWLFH G DEDWHULL PHGLL OLQLDUH 10. ntr-R
VHF LH D XQHL XQLW L HFRQRPLFH SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PHGLH HVWH GH EXF L SH
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11.
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12.
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2.
a) YROXPXO V X HVWH PLF b) reproduFH vQ VWUXFWXUD VD VWUXFWXUD FROHFWLYLW LL JHQHUDOH c) eroarea medie de reprezentativitate este mare; d) s-D IRORVLW VHOHF LD DOHDWRDUH
3. Erorile probabile de sondaj sunt: a) GLUHFW SURSRU LRQDOH FX YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL b) LQYHUV SURSRU LRQDOH FX YROXPXO HDQWLRQului; c) LQGHSHQGHQWH GH YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL d) evitabile. 4.
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8.
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10.
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; ;
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fenomene pot fi :
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15.
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20.
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22. n sens economic, parametrul b al fXQF LHL OLQLDUH GH UHJUHVLH DUDW : a) FX FkW VH VFKLPE vQ PHGLH YDULDELOD GHSHQGHQW < DWXQFL FkQG YDULDELOD ; VH PRGLILF FX R XQLWDWH ; b) QLYHOXO PHGLX DO YDULDELOHL < GHWHUPLQDW GH YDULDELOD IDFWRULDO ; ; c) QLYHOXO PHGLX DO YDULDELOHL < GHWHUPLQDW GH DO L Iactori dect variabila X ; d) JUDGXO GH LQIOXHQ D YDULDELOHL IDFWRULDOH ; L D IDFWRULORU FX DF LXQH FRQVWDQW DVXSUD variabilei rezultative Y. 23.
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: ;
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a) b)
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24.
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a) b) c) d) e)
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iei.
25.
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26.
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a) [0-0,2);
b) [0,2-0,5);
c) (-0,2-0);
rvalul: d) (0,75-1).
27.
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28.
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E
r reale pozitive.
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30. IQWHUYDOXO GH YDULD LH D UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH HVWH a) (0; 1); b) (0; 1]; c) [0; 1]; d) [-1; 1]; e) (-1; 1). 31.
5DSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH
a) HVWH XQ LQGLFDWRU VLQWHWLF DO LQWHQVLW LL OHJ Wurilor dintre variabilele statistice; b) VH FDOFXOHD] FD U G FLQ S WUDW GLQ FRHILFLHQWXO GH GHWHUPLQD LH c) DUH YDORUL vQWUH L d) are valori ntre - L e) P VRDU LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULL LQGLIHUHQW GH IRUPD DFHVWHLD
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32.
L RUGRQDWD OD
b) Y= 16 - 9x; c) Y= 9 +16x;
d) nu se poate determina.
SULQ
esie: Y= 20+0,2x . Productivitatea unui muncitor cu vechime de 10 ani va fi: a) 22; b) 20,2; c) 24; d) nu se poate calcula. 34. ntr-R XQLWDWH HFRQRPLF D IRVW DQDOL]DW OHJ WXUD GLQWUH FKHOWXLHOLOH GH SURGXF LH L SURILW RE LQkQGX-se un coeficienW GH FRUHOD LH GH 0,9. Profitul depinde de cheltuielile de
SURGXF LH vQ SURSRU LH GH
a) 81%; 35.
6H FXQRVF
b) 9%;
c) 90%;
GDWH
d) 0,81%.
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-o
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3URGXF LH EXF
1 36
2 32
3 30
4 27
SULQWU
5 23
6 22
7 25
8 29
9 30
10 31
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36. 37.
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38.
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Serii cronologice
1.
'RX LUXUL GH GDWH SDUDOHOH vQ FDUH SULPXO DUDW YDULD LD FDUDFWHULVWLFLL GH WLPS L DO GRLOHD YDULD LD IHQRPHQXOXL DQDOL]DW UHSUH]LQW D FURQRORJLF E WHULWRULDO R VHULH VWDWLVWLF G GH UHSDUWL LH H GH VSD LX
F GH GLVWULEX LH
4.
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7.
a) GDWHOH SURYLQ GLQ DFHHDL VXUV b) XQLWDWHD GH P VXU HVWH DFHHDL c) VH RE LQ SULQ DFHHDL PHWRGRORJLH GH FDOFXO d) sunt valori sucFHVLYH DOH DFHOXLDL IHQRPHQ 8.
5HFHVLXQHD HFRQRPLF D VH]RQLHU HVWH R IOXFWXD LH F vQWkPSO WRDUH G FLFOLF
E SH WHUPHQ OXQJ
9.
F vQWkPSO WRDUH
10.
11.
atunci cnd: a) LQGLFLL FX ED] vQ ODQ VXQW DSURSLD L b) PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH FX ED] vQ ODQ VXQW DSURSLDWH c) graficul are un punct de maxim; d) graficul are un punct de minim.
12.
a) indiciL FX ED] vQ ODQ VXQW DSURSLD L b) PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH FX ED] vQ ODQ VXQW DSURSLDWH c) DPSOLWXGLQHD RVFLOD LLORU SHULRGLFH HVWH FRQVWDQW d) graficul are un punct de minim. 13.
&LIUD GH DIDFHUL D XQHL ILUPH D VF ]XW vQ SHULRDGD FX
L D FUHVFXW vQ
perioada 1993-
DQXO ID D D VF ]XW FX
FX
D FLIUHL GH DIDFHUL vQ
GH "
a) 30%; 15.
b) 16,67%;
c) 20%;
d) 25%.
vQ DQXO L FX vQ DQXO
&LIUD GH DIDFHUL D XQHL ILUPH D FUHVFXW FX &DOFXOD L FUHWHUHD WRWDO SH FHL GRL DQL
a) 38%;
b) 35%;
c) 17,5%;
d) 30%.
16. Desfacerile unui magazin au crescut cu 10% n primul trimestru al anului, s-au redus cu
vQ FHO GH DO GRLOHD WULPHVWUX L DX FUHVFXW FX UHVSHFWLY vQ XUP WRDUHOH GRX WULPHVWUH &DOFXOD L FUHWHUHD PHGLH WULPHVWULDO
a) 11,75%; 17.
b) 9,25%;
c) 8,86%;
d) 16%.
GH FX L vQ ID GH
UL D FUHVFXW vQ ID
n 1999?
a) 29,37%;
b) 30%;
c) 29%;
d) 29,03%.
1997 110
1998 120
1999 105
1990=100
&DOFXOD L PRGLILFDUHD SURFHQWXDO D SURGXF LHL vQ ID GH
a) 10%;
b) 15%;
c) -12,5%;
d) -25%.
1997 20
1998 15
1999 10
GH
a) 40buc.;
b) 45 buc.;
c) 50buc.
Indicii statistici
1.
,QGLFLL VXQW LQFOXL vQ FDWHJRULD D P ULPLORU PHGLL E P ULPLORU UHODWLYH F LQGLFDWRULORU WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH
H LQGLFDWRULORU DVLPHWULHL
2.
a) nivelurile nregistrate de un fenomen n momente diferite de timp; b) QLYHOXULOH vQUHJLVWUDWH GH XQ IHQRPHQ vQ XQLW L GLIHULWH GH VSD LX c) nivelul realizat al fenomenului la cel planificat; d) R SDUWH D FROHFWLYLW LL OD WRWDO 3. Atunci cnd elementele colectivit LL DQDOL]DWH DX indicilor este necesar: a) XQ FRP VXU WRU VXE IRUPD XQRU SRQGHUL b) VHSDUDUHD FROHFWLYLW LL vQ JUXSH PDL RPRJHQH c) vQVXPDUHD GLUHFW VXE IRUP GH DJUHJDW d) PHGLD DULWPHWLF D LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL e) media armRQLF D LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL 4.
FDUDFWHU HWHURJHQ SHQWUX FDOFXODUHD
FkQG
a) b) c) d) e) 5.
valorile individuale sunt nsumabile direct; valorile individuale nu sunt nsumabile direct; variabila are caracter cantitativ; variabila are caracter discret;
IRORVLUHD SRQGHULORU HVWH REOLJDWRULH vQ RULFH VLWXD LH
1X UHSUH]LQ
a) reversibilitatea n timp; b) reversibilitatea factorilor; c) transferabilitatea; d) interreversibilitatea; e) circularitatea. 6. Indicii de grup nu se pot calcula ca:
D PHGLH D LQGLFLLORU LQGLYLGXDOL F UDSRUW D GRX PHGLL E VXP D LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL G VXE IRUP GH DJUHJDW
7.
a) b) c) d) e) 8.
SURGXVH GLIHULWH DOH DFHOHLDL XQLW SURGXVH GH DFHODL IHO DOH XQRU XQLW
economice;
L HFRQRPLFH GLIHULWH
SURGXFWLYLW
* VL L IDFWRUXO FDOLWDWLY
a) proGXF LD IL]LF
9.
* VL L IDFWRUXO FDQWLWDWLY D FRVWXUL PHGLL GH SURGXF LH E SUH XUL XQLWDUH GH YkQ]DUH H SURGXF LH IL]LF
c) rentabilitate;
d) productLYLWDWH
10.
* VL L FODVLILFDUHD LQFRUHFW
a) b) c) d) e) 11.
LQGLFL FX SRQGHUL IL[H L YDULDELOH LQGLFL LQGLYLGXDOL L GH JUXS LQGLFL FX ED] IL[ L PRELO
LQGLFL DL GLQDPLFLL WHULWRULDOL L DL SODQXOXL LQGLFL GH JUXS L LQGLFL VXE IRUP GH PHG
ie.
a) b) c) d) e) 12.
GH UDSRUW D GRX
PHGLL
vQ ODQ
LQGLFL FX SRQGHUL IL[H L FX SRQGHUL FRQVWDQWH LQGLFL GH JUXS L LQGLFL FX SRQGHUL IL[H LQGLFL LQGLYLGXDOL L GH
grup.
$WXQFL FkQG VH FXQRVF LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL L YDORULOH GLQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW LQGLFLL GH JUXS VH FDOFXOHD] VXE IRUP PHGLL GH E DJUHJDW F PHGLH DULWPHWLF G PHGLH DUPRQLF
D UDSRUW D GRX
H PHGLH JHRPHWULF
13. Atunci cnd se cunosF LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL L YDORULOH GLQ SHULRDGD GH ED]
VH FDOFXOHD] VXE IRUP PHGLL GH E DJUHJDW F PHGLH DULWPHWLF D UDSRUW D GRX
LQGLFLL GH JUXS
G PHGLH DUPRQLF
H PHGLH JHRPHWULF
FXQRVFXWH
LQGLFLL
GH
JUXS
VH
F PHGLH DULWPHWLF
G PHGLH DUPRQLF
H PHGLH JHRPHWULF
15.
FD]XO
YDULDELOHORU
FDOLWDWLYH
FDUH
VH
IRUPHD] FD
FD
P ULPL
PHGLL
OD
QLYHOXO
XQHL
colectLYLW
D UDSRUW D GRX
F PHGLH DULWPHWLF
G PHGLH DUPRQLF
H PHGLH JHRPHWULF
16.
SHQWUX LQGLFLL
de grup ai factorilor este cel propus de: a) Laspeyres; b) Paasche; c) Edgeworth; d) Fischer; e) Dobrisch. 17.
6LVWHPXO GH SRQGHUDUH ED]DW SH IRORVLUHD SRQGHULORU GLQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW SHQWUX LQGLFLL
a) Laspeyres; 20.
b) Paasche;
c) Fischer; d) WR L
H QLFL XQXO
PHWRGD GH SRQGHUDUH
a) Fischer;
b) Laspeyres; c) Paasche;
d) Edgeworth;
e) oricare.
21.
XWLOL]HD]
a) b) c) d) e) 23.
D IDFWRUXOXL FDOLWDWLY D IDFWRUXOXL FDQWLWDWLY D IDFWRUXOXL FDOLWDWLY D IDFWRUXOXL FDQWLWDWLY D FHORU GRL IDF
LQIOXHQ D FRPELQDW
tori.
a) SURSRU LRQDO FX LQIOXHQ HOH GLUHFWH DOH IDFWRULORU b) atribuind ntregul rest nedescompus unuia din factori; c) vPS U LQG UHVWXO QHGHVFRPSXV vQ PRG HJDO SH IDFWRUL d) GXS RULFDUH Gin variantele anterioare; e) QLFL R YDULDQW QX HVWH FRUHFW 24.
)DFWRUXO FDUH QX LQIOXHQ HD] DOHJHUHD WLSXOXL GH LQGLFL GH JUXS IRORVL L HVWH
a) VHSDUDUHD IDFWRULORU GH LQIOXHQ vQ FDQWLWDWLYL L FDOLWDWLYL b) SRVLELOLWDWHD vQVXP ULL YDORULORU LQGLYLGXDOH DOH IDctorilor; c) alegerea bazei de raportare; d) natura datelor disponibile; e) IRUPD IXQF LHL GH UHSDUWL LH D FDUDFWHULVWLFLL 25. Indicele general este: a) PDL PDUH GHFkW WR L LQGLFLL IDFWRULDOL b) PDL PLF GHFkW WR L LQGLFLL IDFWRULDOL c) mai mare dect indicele factorului caOLWDWLY cantitativ; d) egal cu produsul indicilor factoriali. 26.
,QGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU IL[ HVWH
a) PDL PDUH GHFkW LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU YDULDELO b) PDL PLF GHFkW LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU YDULDELO c) mai mare dect indicele de variD LH D VWUXFWXULL d) PDL PLF GHFkW LQGLFHOH GH YDULD LH D VWUXFWXULL e) HJDO FX UDSRUWXO GLQWUH LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU structurii.
YDULDELO
LQGLFHOH
GH
YDULD LH
27. Restul nedescompus este: a) PDL PLF GHFkW PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW WRWDO D IHQRPHQXOXL b) mai mare deFkW PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW WRWDO c) PDL PLF GHFkW PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D IDFWRUXOXL FDOLWDWLY d) PDL PLF GHFkW PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D IDFWRUXOXL FDQWLWDWLY 28.
2 XQLWDWH FRPHUFLDO D UHDOL]DW vQ OXQD LXOLH GHVIDFHUL vQ YDORDUH GH PLO OHL Q OXQD GDWRULW UHGXFHULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L D
august, valoaUHD
FUHVFXW FX
GDWRULW
Valoarea desfacerilor n luna august a fost: c) 27 mil. lei; d) 37,5 mil. lei; e) 34,5 mil. lei.
29. ntr-R
SHULRDG
D PXQFLL D FUHVFXW FX
GDU HILFLHQ D
E D FUHVFXW FX
2. Soldul contului 3URGXF LH este: a) PIB; b) PNB; c) VN; d) nul. 3. Soldul contului Venituri este: a) PIN pp; b) PINpf; c) PIBpp; d) PIBpf. 4. Soldul contului Utilizarea veniturilor este: a) PNNpf; b) PINpf; c) PIBpp; d) PIBpf. 5. n ce indicatori macroeconomici este inclus consumul intemediar? a) PGB; b) PIB; c) PIN; d) VN. 6. Ce indicatori macroeconomici includ amortizarea?
D 3,1 E 91 F 31% G WR L H QLFL XQXO
7.
LQFOXVH vQ
a) VN; 8.
b) PIB; c) PIN;
d) PNN;
e) PNB.
vQWUH G 3,%SS L 3,%SI
&RQVXPXO GH FDSLWDO IL[ VH SRDWH FDOFXOD FD GLIHUHQ D 3,% L 3,1 H IRUPDUHD EUXW E LQYHVWL LLOH EUXWH L FHOH QHWH GH FDSLWDO IL[ L LQYHVWL LD EUXW
F 31% L 311
9.
)RUPDUHD EUXW
GH FDSLWDO UHSUH]LQW SOXV DPRUWL]DUHD SOXV YDULD LD VWRFXULORU SOXV DPRUWL]DUHD L YDULD LD VWRFXULORU SOXV YDULD LD VWRFXULORU
a) b) c) d) e)
LQYHVWL LD EUXW
10.
)RUPDUHD EUXW
GH FDSLWDO IL[ UHSUH]LQW SOXV DPRUWL]DUHD SOXV YDULD LD VWRFXULORU SOXV DPRUWL]DUHD L YDULD LD VW SOXV YDULD LD VWRFXULORU
a) b) c) d) e)
ocurilor;
LQYHVWL LD EUXW
c) consumul statului; d) consumul poSXOD LHL L YDULD LD VWRFXULORU 12. Excedentul net de exploatare cuprinde: a) GREkQGD L UHQWD b) GREkQGD UHQWD L SURILWXO EUXW c) GLYLGHQGH LPSR]LW SH SURILW L SURILW QHGLVWULEXLW d) GREkQGD UHQWD L LPSR]LWXO SH SURILW 13.
9HQLWXO QD LRQDO UHSUH]LQW
a) veniturile b) c) d)
WRWDOH
DOH
SURSULHWDULORU
IDFWRULORU
GH
SURGXF LH
LPSOLFD L
vQ
DFWLYLWDWHD
HFRQRPLF SURGXVXO QD LRQDO QHW OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU SURGXVXO QD LRQDO QHW OD SUH XULOH SLH HL SURGXVXO QD LRQDO EUXW OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU PLQXV DPRUWL]DUHD
14.
9DORDUHD WUDQVIHUXULORU F WUH PHQDMH SHQVLL DMXWRDUHEXUVH DORFD LL HVWH LQFOXV D YHQLWXO QD LRQDO E YHQLWXO QD LRQDO GLVSRQLELO F YHQLWXO SHUVRQDO
vQ
G 311
ei a fost:
d) 50%.
ILHFDUH OXQ D XQXL DQ SXWHP FDOFXOD LQGLFHOH DQXDO DO
a) b) c) d) 18.
D UDWHORU OXQDUH DOH LQIOD LHL D LQGLFLORU OXQDUL DL SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP
PHGLH JHRPHWULF
&XQRVFkQG UDWD LQIOD LHL SH ILHFDUH OXQ SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP FD
a) b) c) d) 19.
D UDWHORU OXQDUH DOH LQIOD LHL D LQGLFLORU OXQDUL DL SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP
PHGLH JHRPHWULF
Q SULPHOH WUHL OXQL DOH DQXOXL LQGLFLL OXQDUL DL SUH XULORU GH F 5DWD LQIOD LHL SHQWUX SULPXO WULPHVWUX DO DQXOXL HVWH
c) 3,3%;
d) 110,3%.
GHYHQLQG
22.
vQ LDQXDULH L D FUHVFXW
c) 16%.
YHQLWXO QD LRQDO HVWH GH PLL PLOLDUGH OHL FRQVXPXO GH FDSLWDO IL[ GH PLL
PLOLDUGH OHL LPSR]LWHOH LQGLUHFWH PLL PLOLDUGH OHL LDU VXEYHQ LLOH GH H[SORDWDUH GH PLL PLOLDUGH OHL FkW HVWH 31% OD SUH XULOH SLH HL"
a) 1120 mii miliarde lei; b) 1000 mii miliarde lei; c) 1320 mii miliarde lei; d) 1500 mii miliarde lei. 24. Salariul mediu nominal a crescut de la 2,5 milioane lei la 3,5 milioane lei, iar rata
LQIOD LHL D IRVW GH 6DODULXO UHDO E D VF ]XW FX F D VF ]XW FX G D U PDV FRQVWDQW
a) a crescut cu 40 25.
'DF
FDUH D
d) 4%.
L SUH]HQWDUHD GDWHORU
1.A; 2.b; 3.a; 4.c; 5.B, 6.a; 7.c; 8.a; 9.b; 10.A; 11.e; 12.b; 13.e; 14.A; 15.A; 16.a; 17.b; 18.c; 19.A; 20.A, 21.c; 22.a; 23.b; 24.A; 25.a; 26.b; 27.c.
Indicatori statistici
1.c; 2.b; 3.a; 4.b; 5.d; 6.c; 7.e; 8.a; 9.a; 10.c; 11.e; 12.d; 13.b; 14 a; 15.d; 16.c; 17.d.
1.a; 2.e; 3.b; 4.c; 5.b; 6.d; 7.d; 8.c; 9.a; 10.c; 11.c; 12.b; 13.a; 14.d; 15.c; 16.c; 17.c; 18.a; 19.a; 20.c; 21.b; 22.a; 23.b; 24.c; 25.c; 26.a; 27.d; 28.d; 29.a; 30.e; 31.a; 32.b.
1.a; 2.c; 3.a; 4.c; 5.b; 6.B; 7.b; 8.b; 9.a; 10.d; 11.a; 12.b, 13.c.
Serii cronologice
1.a; 2.d; 3.d; 4.d; 5.A; 6.B; 7.d; 8.d; 9.a; 10.a; 11.a; 12.b; 13.d; 14.b; 15.a; 16.c; 17.d; 18.c; 19.b.
Indicii statistici
1.b; 2.d; 3.a; 4.b; 5.d; 6.b; 7.b; 8.c; 9.e; 10.e; 11.e; 12.d; 13.c; 14.b: 15.a; 16.a; 17.b; 18.d: 19.c; 20.a; 21.a; 22.e; 23d; 24.e; 25.d; 26.e; 27.a; 28.b; 29.a.