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Statistica

Prof.univ.dr.Eugenia LILEA; Lect.univ.dr.Mihaela VATUI; Lect.univ.dr.Doina BOLDEANU; Conf.univ.dr.Zizi GOSCHIN


Cuprinsul crii: Partea I Capitolul 1 Culegerea, prelucrarea i prezentarea datelor statistice Capitolul 2 Mrimi relative Capitolul 3 Serii de distribuie a frecvenelor Capitolul 4 Cercetarea selectiv Capitolul 5 Analiza legturilor dintre fenomenele i procesele economice Capitolul 6 Analiza seriilor cronologice Capitolul 7 Indici statistici Capitolul 8 Indicatori macroeconomici de rezultate Partea a II-a Probleme complexe ntrebri recapitulative Proiect de statistic Breviar de formule Anexe Bibliografie Cuprinsul testelor: Teste

Partea I

Culegerea, prelucrarea
L SUH]HQWDUHD

datelor statistice
*UXSDUHD L FODVLILFDUHD GDWHORU VWDWLVWLFH

'XS

FRQ LQXWXO FDUDFWHULVWLFLL GH JUXSDUH

putem avea:
R YDULDELO GH

JUXS

UL FURQRORJLFH vQ FD]XO vQ FDUH VLVWHPDWL]DUHD GDWHORU VH IDFH GXS

timp;
JUXS JUXS UL WHULWRULDOH

cnd sistematizaUHD GDWHORU VH IDFH GXS

R YDULDELO

GH VSD LX

UL DWULEXWLYH SHQWUX WRDWH FDUDFWHULVWLFLOH vQ DIDUD FDUDFWHULVWLFLORU GH WLPS L VSD LX DWULEXWLYH SRW IL FDUDFWHULVWLFL FDQWLWDWLYH QXPHULFH L FDOLWDWLYH

&DUDFWHULVWLFLOH

(nenumerice).
*UXS ULOH VLPSOH GXS R VLQJXU YDULDELO

pot fi:
QLYHOXO XQLW LORU

a) gruparea pe variante GDF DPSOLWXGLQHD YDULD LHL HVWH PLF L OD individuale s-DX vQUHJLVWUDW XQ QXP U PLF GH YDORUL GLVWLQFWH YDULDQWH  b)
JUXSDUHD SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH GDF DFHVW FD] YDULD LH H QHFHVDU V VH VWDELOHDVF QXP UXO GH JUXSH L

DPSOLWXGLQHD YDULD LHL HVWH PRGHUDW  Q P ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL GH

1XP

UXOXL GH JUXSH

(k vQ FD]XO XQHL FROHFWLYLW

L IRUPDW

GLQ

n XQLW

L

propunerea lui H.A. Sturges: k = 1 + 3,322 lg n


UHOD LH PDL SUDFWLF 

2k n

ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL

de grupare (h):

h=

x max x min , k
vQUHJLVWUDW  vQUHJLVWUDW 

unde: xmax - YDORDUHD PD[LP


xmin - YDORDUHD PLQLP
'H UH LQXW

GDF

UDSRUWXO GLQWUH DPSOLWXGLQHD YDULD LHL L QXP UXO GH JUXSH QX HVWH XQ FkW H[DFW

DWXQFL VH URWXQMHWH vQ SOXV FHO SX LQ OD QXP U vQWUHJ vQ IXQF LH GH RUGLQXO GH P ULPH

al valorilor caracteristicii;

GDF UH]XOWDWXO HVWH XQ QXP U vQWUHJ VH GHVFKLGH LQWHUYDOXO H[WUHP FRUHVSXQ] WRU D LQFOXGH L YDORDUHD FDUH FRLQFLGH FX R OLPLW D LQWHUYDOXOXL FX OLPLWD D XOWLPXOXL LQWHUYDO GDF LQWHUYDOHOH VXQW vQFKLVH OD VWkQJD UHVSHFWLY FX LQWHUYDOHOH VXQW vQFKLVH OD GUHD SHQWUX

VXSHULRDU

OLPLWD LQIHULRDU

D SULPXOXL LQWHUYDO GDF

pta).
V VH

c)

JUXSDUHD SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH QHHJDOH GDF PDUH Q FD]XO vQ FDUH SULQ JUXSDUHD SH VWUXFWXUH]H FROHFWLYLWDWHD SH WLSXUL FDOLWDWLYH GDF

DPSOLWXGLQHD YDULD LHL HVWH IRDUWH QHHJDOH VH XUP UHWH QX VH FXQRVF YDORULOH SUDJXULOH

LQWHUYDOH

caUH

VHSDU

WLSXULOH FDOLWDWLYH VH SURFHGHD]

PDL vQWkL OD JUXSDUHD SH LQWHUYDOH HJDOH

L DSRL VH SRDWH IRORVL FULWHULXO PHGLHL SHQWUX IRUPDUHD WLSXULORU FDOLWDWLYH PLF

mediu, mare. d) n cazul unei variabile calitative care presupune includerea n WXWXURU XQLW LORU OD FDUH V-D vQUHJLVWUDW DFHHDL IRUP GH manifestare a caracteristicii.
DFHHDL JUXS FODV D SUHVXSXQH VLVWHPDWL]DUHD GDWHORU GXS GRX VDX PDL PXOWH FDUDFWHULVWLFL LPSXQH VWDELOLUHD QXPHULFH LVDX FDOLWDWLYH *UXSDUHD FRPELQDW GLQWUH YDULDELOH DFHDVWD WUHEXLH V vQGHSOLQHDVF FHO SX LQ JUXSDUHD SH PRGDOLW L

*UXSDUHD FRPELQDW

de grupare care pot fi variDELOH


,QGLIHUHQW GH VFRSXO L

RUGLQLL GH JUXSDUH SH ED]D UHOD LHL GH LQWHUGHSHQGHQ RELHFWXO JUXS ULL

XUP WRDUHOH FRQGL LL

completitudinea datelor;
RPRJHQLWDWHD JUXSHORU L VXEJUXSHORU XQLFLWDWHD LQFOXGHULL XQLW LORU

;
JUXS FODV GDF JUXSDUHD HVWH VLPSO 

ntr-R VLQJXU

FRQWLQXLWDWHD YDULD LHL JUXSHORU vQ FD]XO YDULDELOHORU QXPHULFH FHHD FH SUDFWLF vQVHDPQ V QX H[LVWH JUXSH FX IUHFYHQ H QXOH FDUH DU GXFH OD vQWUHUXSHUHD JUXS ULL YDULDELOH QHQXPHULFH FDOLWDWLYH L DUH GH UHJXO  XQ

Clasificarea VH HIHFWXHD] GXS caracter oficial (de exemplu CAEN).

352%/(0
3HQWUX 

5(=2/9$7

GLQ VDODULD LL SH VH[H DL XQHL ILUPH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH SULYLQG YHFKLPHD vQ PXQF

vQ DQL L YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V SW PkQDOH vQ PLL OHL UHDOL]DWH vQ OXQD PDUWLH 

9HFKLPHD YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V

SW

PkQDOH L VH[XO vQUHJLVWUDWH vQ HDQWLRQ SHQWUX FHL  GH VDODULD L

Tabelul 1.1. Cod salariat A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Total Vechimea (ani) 1 2 23 10 28 3 9 14 25 21 24 24 2 6 9 17 6 24 23 24 19 12 15 18 19 32 34 20 22 30 16 2 24 22 22 16 38 13 24 27 29 748 Venituri salariale
V SW PkQDOH PLL OHL

Sexul 3 F M F F F F M F F M M F F F F M M M F M F F M F F F M M F M F M F F F M F F M M 16 E UED L 24 femei

2 740 910 850 920 790 770 770 810 870 900 930 790 730 780 830 730 910 810 810 790 810 820 830 810 870 960 810 860 870 790 720 860 860 860 830 980 840 820 810 990 33440

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH SUHFL]H]H QR LXQLOH GH ED] VH HIHFWXH]H WRWDOXULOH L V IRORVLW L FH FX FDUH VH RSHUHD] vQ WDEHOXO  V vQ SDUWH DU W 6 VH VH SUHFL]H]H FH RSHUD LH VWDWLVWLF ILHFDUH YDULDELO D IHO GH UHSDUWL LH UH]XOWDW

VH JUXSH]H FHL  GH PXQFLWRUL GXS

-a efectuat; ndu-se ce fel


UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF

de grupare s-D 4. 5.
V V GRX L V

UH]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH VH JUXSH]H FRPELQDW FHL  GH PXQFLWRUL vQ IXQF LH GH FHOH WUHL YDULDELOH OXDWH FkWH VH SUHFL]H]H FH IHO GH VHULL GH UHSDUWL LH V DX RE LQXW

VH FHQWUDOL]H]H SH JUXSH GH YHFKLPH YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V SW PkQDOH L V

VH

reprezinte grafic fondul de salarii pe grupe. Rezolvare 1. n tabelul 1.1. s-D RSHUDW FX XQHOH QR LXQL VWDWLVWLFH GH ED]
&ROHFWLYLWDWHD VWDWLVWLF VHOHF LH  R FROHFWLYLWDWH GH

este fRUPDW
VDODULDWXO

GLQ FHL  GH VDODULD L L UHSUH]LQW

Unitatea de observare HVWH


L UHSUH]LQW

R XQLWDWH VLPSO 

&DUDFWHULVWLFD YDULDELOD VWDWLVWLF

. n tabel sunt nregistrate trei variabile:


 L QHDOWHPDWLY  L IRUPD GH

sexul este o variabila atriEXWLY  FDOLWDWLY  DOWHUQDWLY  vechimea HVWH R YDULDELO DWULEXWLY  FDQWLWDWLY L QHDOWHUQDWLY
YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V VXQW YDORULOH SW PkQDOH HVWH R YDULDELO DOH FHORU LQGLYLGXDOH GRX

DWULEXWLY  FDQWLWDWLY YDULDELOH

Variantele

QXPHULFH

PDQLIHVWDUH SHQWUX YDULDELOD QHQXPHULF

FDOLWDWLY  YDORULOH FHORU GRX YDULDELOH FDQWLWDWLYH PHQ LRQDWH

Datele statistice SRW IL LQGLYLGXDOH DGLF

PDL VXV SUHFXP L WRDWH UH]XOWDWHOH FH VH YRU RE LQH GLQ SUHOXFUDUHD DFHVWRUD

2. n uUPD HIHFWX ULL RSHUD LHL GH FHQWUDOL]DUH VLPSO s-DX RE LQXW XUP SHQWUX YHFKLPH QRWDW FX X:

WRDUHOH YDORUL

x = x
i =1 i i =1

40

= 2 + 23 + ... + 27 + 29 = 748 ani vechime

SHQWUX YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V SW PkQDOH QRWDWH FX

Y:

y =y
i =1 i i =1
E UED L L IHPHL 

40

= 740 + 910 + ... + 810 + 990 = 33440 mii lei


QX VH SRDWH IDFH R FHQWUDOL]DUH VLPSO FL GRDU SH FHOH GRX YDULDQWH

Pentru variabila "sex"

3.
Q

*UXSDUHD HIHFWXDW XUPD XQHL JUXS UL

GXS

R VLQJXU UH]XOW

YDULDELO R

JUXSDUHD VLPSO

L RE LQHUHD VHULLORU GH YH]L GH H[HPSOX

GLVWULEX LH GH IUHFYHQ H

.
GLVWULEX LH XQLGLPHQVLRQDO

VLPSOH

tabelul 1.2.).

3.1. *UXSDUHD PXQFLWRULORU GXS


IUHFYHQ H

YHFKLPH L UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

D VHULLORU GH GLVWULEX LH GH

3.1.1. *UXSDUHD SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH Etapele de lucru sunt: a. calculul amplitudinii absolutH D YDULD LHL (Ax) Ax = x max x min Ax = 38 2 = 36 ani b.
VWDELOLUHD QXP UXOXL GH JUXSH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH  Q IXQF LH GH

amplitudinea
HVWH JUXSH FX

YDULD LHL GH YROXPXO FROHFWLYLW

LL vQUHJLVWUDWH L GH VFRSXO SURSXV V D DSUHFLDW F

convenabil uQ
IUHFYHQ H QXOH

QXP U GH  JUXSH

  'H UH LQXW F

QX WUHEXLH V

VH RE LQ

c.

GHWHUPLQDUHD P

A 36 hx = x = = 6 ani kx 6

ULPLL LQWHUYDOXOXL GH YDULD LH

(h)

1RW

 5RWXQMLUHD GDF

HVWH FD]XO VH IDFH vQ SOXV LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HVWH SUHFHGDW L OLPLWD VXSHULRDU GH

Repartizarea muncitorilor pe cele 6 control logic.


1RWkQG OLPLWD LQIHULRDU

efectuarea unui

D SULPXOXL LQWHUYDO FX

cu xL DSUHFLHP F LQWHUYDOHOH DX IRVW VWDELOLWH FRUHFW GDF xl x min x L x max


6H FRQVWDW F SHQWUX H[HPSOXO OXDW VH UHVSHFW

xl

D XOWLPXOXL LQWHUYDO

VXQW UHVSHFWDWH FRQGL LLOH

DFHVWH FRQGL LL

d.

SUHFL]DUHD FHORU N LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH

2 8 14 20 26 32 n continuare, s-D RE LQXW XUP

: 8 *UXSDUHD ILLQG FX LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH FRQWLQX WUHEXLH 14 VWDELOLW FDUH OLPLW HVWH LQFOXV vQ LQWHUYDO 6H DOHJH GH RELFHL 20 YDULDQWD GH JUXSDUH FDUH DVLJXU FHO PDL ELQH WHQGLQ D GH 26 UHSDUWL LH QRUPDO DGLF XQ JUDG GH FRQFHQWUDUH D IUHFYHQ HORU 32 F WUH centrul seriei. 38 s-DX UHSDUWL]DW VDODULD LL SH JUXSH FX OLPLWD LQIHULRDU LQFOXV vQ LQWHUYDO L
YHFKLPH DQL

WRDUHD GLVWULEX LH GH IUHFYHQ H YH]L WDEHOXO  

'LVWULEX LD VDODULD LORU GLQ HDQWLRQXO vQUHJLVWUDW OD ILUPD $ GXS

Tabelul 1.2. Grupe de muncitori


GXS YHFKLPH DQL 1XP UXO VDODULD LORU

2-8 8-14 14-20 20-26 26-32 32-38 Total


1RW  /LPLWD LQIHULRDU LQFOXV

6 5 8 14 4 3 40
vQ LQWHUYDO

3.1.2.
YDULD LH VH FXPXODWLY

5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF SULQ

D VHULHL

GH GLVWULEX LH GXS   SROLJRQXO

YHFKLPH

cu intervale egale de
ILJXUD   FXUED

UHDOL]HD]

KLVWRJUDP

ILJXUD

IUHFYHQ HORU

ILJXUD  L JUDILFXO GH FRQFHQWUDUH ILJXUD   L SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU VFDUD GH UHSUH]HQWDUH HVWH  SHUVRDQH IUHFYHQ D  DQL P ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL LDU SH 2\  FP

)LLQG LQWHUYDOH HJDOH SHQWUX KLVWRJUDP XUP WRDUHD SH D[D 2[ OFP PD[LP ILLQG GH  

16 14
U VDODULD L

14

12 10 8 6 4 2 0 6 5 8

1XP

14

20

26

32

38

Vechime (ani)
)LJXUD  'LVWULEX LD VDODULD LORU vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH

16 14
U VDODULD L 1XP

12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 8 14 20 26 32 38 44

Vechime (ani)
)LJXUD  'LVWULEX LD VDODULD LORU vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH

Pentru curba

FXPXODWLY

JUDILFXO

GH

FRQFHQWUDUH

WUHEXLH

I FXWH

XQHOH

FDOFXOH

YH]L

WDEHOXO  SHQWUX IUHFYHQ H FXPXODWH L JUHXW

L VSHFLILFH SDUWH ID HVWH F WUH R

GH vQWUHJ  UHSDUWL LH QRUPDO

3H ED]D UHSDUWL LHL GH IUHFYHQ H FXPXODWH FUHVF WRU L GHVFUHVF WRU VH SRDWH FRQVWUXL FXUED

cumuODWLY D IUHFYHQ HORU RJLY FkQG Gauss-/DSODFH  3H D[D 2[ VFDUD HVWH HJDO
VFDUD YD IL  FP

WHQGLQ D

legea

WRW FX P ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL GH JUXSDUH GDU SH D[D 2\

 VDODULD L GHRDUHFH QXP UXO PD[LP DO DFHVWRUD HVWH GH  VXPD IUHFYHQ HORU

seriei) (vezi figura 1.3.).

5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU GXS

YHFKLPH

Tabelul 1.3.
1U VDODULD L )UHFYHQ H FXPXODWH

Total vechime
WR

*UHXWDWH VSHFLILF FXPXODW

Intervale
GH YDULD LH

persoane 1 6 5 8 14 4 3 40

ID

&UHVF

WRU

de total A 2-8 8-14 14-20 20-26 26-32 32-38 Total 2 15.0 12.5 20.0 35.0 10.0 7.5 100 3 6 11 19 33 37 40

Descresc r 4

ani 5

ID

IUHFYHQ H

vechime 8 2.8 9.9 27.8 70.9 86.1 100.0 LUXUL GH

de total 6 2.8 7.1 17.9 43.1 15.2 13.9 100 40 34 29 21 21 53 134 322 114 104 748 7 15.0 27.5 47.5 82.5 92.5 100.0 -

Graficul lui Lorenz


IUHFYHQ H L JUHXW

JUDILFXO GH FRQFHQWUDUH VH HODERUHD] FX  L FXUED VH WUDVHD]

SH ED]D FHORU GRX

L VSHFLILFH FXPXODWH FRORDQHOH  L  GLQ WDEHOXO   3H DPEHOH D[H VFDUD XQLQG SXQFWHOH GH FRRUGRQDWH GLQWUH FHOH

tUHEXLH
GRX

ILH SURSRU LRQDO

JUHXW

L VSHFLILFH SHUHFKL YH]L ILJXUD  

45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2 8 14 20 26 32 38

1U VDODULD L

Vechime (ani)

)LJXUD  5HSDUWL LD IUHFYHQ HORU FXPXODWH vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH

100

% vechime cumulate

80

60

40

20

0 0 20
IUHFYHQ H FXPXODWH

40

60

80

100

)LJXUD  &XUED GH FRQFHQWUDUH D IUHFYHQ HORU FXUED OXL /RUHQ] vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH

3.1.3. *UXSDUHD SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH QHHJDOH.


L vQ FD]XO JUXS ULL SH LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH WUHEXLH V GH VFRSXO SHQWUX FDUH VH HIHFWXHD] DFHDVW VH LQ VHDPD GH DPSOLWXGLQHD YDULD LHL L vQ FDGUXO FROHFWLYLW LL RSHUD LH &HO PDL IUHFYHQW JUXSDUHD SH LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH UHSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU vQ VH IDFH FX VFRSXO GH D HYLGHQ LD WLSXULOH FDOLWDWLYH FH VH FRQWXUHD]

n cazul nostru, pentru variabila vechime interesea] V VH FXQRDVF cele trei grupe tipice: VDODULD L FX YHFKLPH PLF  VDODULD L FX YHFKLPH PHGLH VDODULD L FX YHFKLPH PDUH Folosim n acest scop criteriul mediei. Vechimea medie este: x=
FDUH VH SODVHD] *UXSD DO WXUDWH LDU

x
i =1

748 = 18,7 ani vechime/salariat, 40


YD RE LQH VH GLQ LQWHUYDOXO SkQ FDUH OD FRQ LQH YDORDUHD PHGLD PLQLP SOXV FHOH GRX LQWHUYDOH JUXS FXPXOHD] RE LQkQG SULPD

vQ LQWHUYDOXO DO WUHLOHD ,QWHUYDOHOH QHHJDOH VH RE LQ SULQ UHJUXSDUHD FHORU HJDOH VH FHOHODOWH JUXSH

PLMORFLH

vQWkPSO WRU DLFL HVWH R VLQJXU UHSDUWL LH YH]L WDEHOXO  

JUXS L SkQ

OD YDORDUHD PD[LP

UH]XOWkQG FHD GH D WUHLD JUXS 

&HOH DVH LQWHUYDOH HJDOH OH

-am regrupat astfel: 2-8; 8-26; 26-

L D UH]XOWDW XUP WRDUHD

5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU GXS

P ULPHD YHFKLPLL

Tabelul 1.4. Grupe tipice A


YHFKLPH PLF ,QWHUYDOXO GH YDULD LH 1XP UXO

vechime mijlocie vechime mare Total

al vechimii (ani) B 2-8 8-26 26-38 -

VDODULD LORU

1 6 27 7 40

3.1.4. 5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF D VHULLORU GH UHSDUWL LH FX LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH VH IDFH FX DFHOHDL tipuri de grafice ca n cazul intervalelor egale. Deosebirea apare prin necesitatea de a alege un
LQWHUYDO GH ED]  FDUH GHYLQH XQLWDWH D VF ULL GD UHSUH]HQWDUH L SULQ UHGXFHUHD SURSRU LRQDO D

freFYHQ HORU

$FHVWH FDOFXOH VXQW QHFHVDUH QXPDL SHQWUX KLVWRJUDP

LVDX SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU

YH]L WDEHOXO  L ILJXUD  

5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU GXS

YHFKLPH SH JUXSH WLSLFH

Tabelul 1.5. Grupe tipice A


YHFKLPH PLF ,QWHUYDOXO GH YDULD LH

NuP 1

UXO

ULPHD

5DSRUWXO ID

GH

)UHFYHQ H

al vechimii (ani) B 2-8 8-26 26-38

VDODULD LORU

intervalului 2 6 18 12

primul interval 3 1 3 2

reduse 4 6,0 9,0 3,5

vechime mijlocie vechime mare

6 27 7

Pe axa Ox: 1 diviziune = 6 ani, iar pe axa Oy: 1 diviziuQH


10

 VDODULD L

27

8
U VDODULD L

6 7

1XP

26 Vechime (ani)

38

)LJXUD  5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU SH JUXSH WLSLFH GH YHFKLPH

3.2. *UXSDUHD VDODULD LORU GXS

YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH

3.2.1. *UXSDUHD SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH


)RORVLQG DFHODL PRGHO VH RE LQH

A y = 990 720 = 270 mii lei


k y = 6; h y = Ay ky = 270 = 45 mii lei 6

&HOH DVH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH VXQW 

(IHFWXkQG XQ UD LRQDPHQW DQDORJ FX FHO GH OD SXQFWXO  DP RE LQXW UHSDUWL LD GLQ WDEHOXO 

-765; 765-810; 810-855; 855-900; 900-945; 945-990. .

5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU GXS

YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V

SW PkQDOH PLL OHL

Tabelul 1.6.
*UXSH GH VDODULD L GXS YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH 1XP UXO V SWDPkQDOH PLL OHL VDODULD LORU

720 - 765 765 - 810 810 - 855 855-900 900 - 945 945 - 990 Total

1 4 7 14 7 5 3 40

5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

VH IDFH GXS

DFHOHDL SULQFLSLL GDU

LQkQG FRQW GH YDORULOH QXPHULFH

DOH YDULDELOHL GH JUXSDUH L DOH IUHFYHQ HORU YH]L ILJXULOH 

-1.4.).

3.2.2. *UXSDUHD SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH QHHJDOH


5HSHWkQG UD LRQDPHQWXO GH OD SXQFWXO  L V SW PkQDOH LQkQG VHDPD GH YHQLWXULOH PHGLL VDODULDOH

y=

y
i =1

33440 = 836 mii lei/salariat 40 - 765; 765 - 900; 900 -


L D UH]XOWDW UHSDUWL LD

DP RE LQXW WUHL LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH QHHJDOH 

din tabelul 1.7.


5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU GXS P ULPHD YHQLWXULORU VDODULDOH V SW PkQDOH

Tabelul.1.7. Grupe tipice A


YHFKLPH PLF *UXSH GXS VDODULDOH V P SW ULPHD YHQLWXULORU PkQDOH PLL OHL 1XP UXO VDODULD LORU

vechime mijlocie vechime mare Total

B 720 - 765 765 - 900 900 -990

1 4 28 8 40

L SHQWUX YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V SW PkQDOH JUDILF VH IDFH GXS

pentru seria cu intervale neegale, reprezentarea

PRGHOXO SUH]HQWDW OD  ILJXUD  

3.3. Gruparea muncitorilor pe sexe


Q DFHVW FD] ILLQG R YDULDELO DOWHUQDWLY QX SRW IL IRORVLWH GHFkW GRX JUXSH YH]L WDEHOXO  

5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU SH VH[H

Tabelul 1.8. Sexul A Feminin Masculin Total


1XP UXO VDODULD LORU

1 24 16 40

28 24 20 16 12 8 4 0 24 16

Feminin

Masculin

)LJ  5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU SH VH[H

4. Gruparea combiQDW
6H SRW IRORVL FHO SX LQ GRX YDULDELOH &RPELQkQG FkWH GRX YDULDELOH DP RE LQXW VHULL ELGLPHQVLRQDOH GH IUHFYHQ H WDEHOHOH 

-1.11.).
SW PkQDOH

4.1. *UXSDUHD VDODULD LORU GXS (vezi tabelul 1.9.)

YHFKLPH L YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V

5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

YHFKLPH L YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V

SW PkQDOH

Tabelul 1.9. Vechime (ani) A 2-8 8-14 14-20 20-26 26-32 32-38 Total
9HQLWXUL VDODULDOH V SW PkQDOH PLL OHL

Total

720765 1 4 4

765810 2 2 2 3 7

810855 3 3 5 5 1 14

855900 4 5 1 1 7

900945 5 4 1 5

945990 6 1 2 3

7 6 5 8 14 4 3 40

4.2. *UXSDUHD VDODULD LORU GXS

VH[ L YHFKLPH

(vezi tabelul 1.10.)

5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU SH VH[H L YHFKLPH

Tabelul 1.10. Sexul 2-8 A Feminin Masculin Total 1 5 1 6 8-14 2 5 5 Vechime 14-20 20-26 3 4 4 8 4 6 8 14 Total 26-32 5 2 2 4 32-38 6 2 1 3 8 24 16 40

4.3. *UXSDUHD VDODULD LORU GXS (vezi tabelul 1.11.)

VH[ L GXS

YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V

SW

PkQDOH

5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU SH VH[H L GXS

YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V

SW

PkQDOH

Tabelul 1.11.
9HQLWXUL VDODULDOH V SW PkQDOH PLL OHL

Sexul A Feminin Masculin Total

720765 1 3 1 4

765810 2 4 3 7

810855855 900 3 4 10 5 4 2 14 7

900945 5 1 4 5

945- Total 990 6 7 1 24 2 16 3 40

4.4. Repre]HQWDUHD

JUDILF

D VHULLORU ELGLPHQVLRQDOH GH IUHFYHQ

se face prin graficul de

FRUHOD LH FXQRVFXW L VXE GHQXPLUHD GH FRUHORJUDP

VDX JUDILFXO QRUXOXL GH SXQFWH YH]L ILJXUD 

pe exemplul datelor din tabelul 1.9.).


1035 990 945 900 mii lei 855 810 765 720 675 2 8 14 20ani 26 32 38

FiJXUD  &RUHOD LD GLQWUH YHFKLPH L YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH V

SW PkQDOH

5.

&HQWUDOL]DUHD SH JUXSH D IUHFYHQ HORU L D YDORULORU YDULDELOHORU vQUHJLVWUDWH FDUH DX IRVW vQUHJLVWUDWH )RORVLQG GUHSW FDUDFWHULVWLF GH ED] YHFKLPHD YRP

)RORVLQG JUXSDUHD VH SRW FHQWUDOL]D QX QXPDL IUHFYHQ HOH FD OD SXQFWHOH  L  FL L YDORULOH

unor caractHULVWLFL

FHQWUDOL]D GDWHOH L SHQWUX FHOHODOWH YDULDELOH YH]L WDEHOXO   6FRSXO ILLQG DFHOD GH D FXQRDWH UHOD LLOH GLQWUH FHOH WUHL YDULDELOH YRP IDFH FHQWUDOL]DUHD GDWHORU PDL vQWkL SH LQWHUYDOH HJDOH L DSRL

pe grupele tipice de vechime (vezi tabelul 1.13.).


5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU GXS YHFKLPH

Tabelul 1.13. Intervalul Grupe tipice de vechime A


YHFKLPH PLF GH YDULD LH 1XP UXO

al vechimii (ani) B 2-8 8-26 26-38

VDODULD LORU

vechime mijlocie vechime mare Total

1 6 27 7 40

Date centralizate pentru: Sexul Vechime Venituri salariale Masculin Feminin (ani) V SW PkQDOH PLL OHL (pers.) (pers.) 2 3 4 5 1 5 21 4500 12 15 509 22540 3 4 218 6400 16 24 748 33440

3HQWUX D HYLGHQ LD FX PDL PXOW

FODULWDWH UHOD LD GLQWUH YHFKLPH L IRQGXO GH VDODULL YRP

UHSUH]HQWD JUDILF SULQ S WUDWH L FHUFXUL GDWHOH GLQ WDEHOXO  3HQWUX D VWDELOL VFDUD GH UHSUH]HQWDUH

sunt necesare unele calcule (vezi tabelul 1.14.).


CalcXOXO VF
ULL GH UHSUH]HQWDUH SHQWUX S WUDWH L FHUFXUL

Tabelul 1.14. Grupele A


YHFKLPH PLF

Fondul de salarii pe grupe (lei) 1 4.500.000 22.540.000 6.400.000 1) 1 cm = l000 lei

WUDW

vechime mijlocie vechime mare Scara:

Latura de Latura1) reprezentare graficului 2 3 2121 2.1 4748 4.7 2530 2.5 2) 1 cm = 1000 lei

Cerc Raza de Raza2) reprezentare graficului 4 5 1197 1.2 2679 2.7 1428 1.4

CENTRALIZAREA PE GRUPE
Tabelul 1.12.

Pe intervale egale
2-8 1 F F F F 2 2 3 2 6 3 740 790 790 730 1 F F F F 8 - 14 2 1 0 9 9 1 2 1 3 3 85 0 77 0 78 0 81 0 84 0 1 M F M F 14 - 20 2 1 4 1 7 1 9 1 5 1 8 1 9 1 0 1 6 1 3 4 3 77 0 83 0 79 0 82 0 83 0 81 0 79 0 83 0 64 70 1 M F F M 20 - 26 2 2 3 2 5 2 1 2 4 2 4 2 4 2 3 2 4 2 0 2 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 4 3 2 2 3 910 810 870 900 26 - 32 1 2 F 2 8 F 3 0 M 2 7 M 2 9 M =2 F =2 n5 =4 1 1 4 3 92 0 87 0 81 0 99 0 35 90 1 F F M M =1 F= 2 n 6= 3 32 - 38 2 3 2 3 4 3 8 1 0 4 3 87 0 96 0 98 0 28 10

730

930

F M=1 F=5 n1=6

2 21

720 4500 M=0 F=5 n2=5 5 3 40 50

F M F M= 4 F=4 n 3= 8

M M F M

910 810 810 810

M M F F F M=8

860 860 860 860 820 120 20

F=6 n4=1 4

Scara: 1 cm = 1000 lei

22540000 4500000 6400000

vechime mic

vechime mijlocie

vechime mare

Figura 1.8. Fondul de salarii pe grupe de vechime

Scara: 1cm = 1000 lei

4500000

22540000

6400000

vechime mic

vechime mijlocie
Figura 1.9. Fondul de salarii pe grupe

vechime mare

Q FRQFOX]LH PHQ LRQ P FkWHYD UHJXOL FH WUHEXLH DYXWH vQ YHGHUH OD HIHFWXDUHD JUXS ULORU

HYLWDUHD DSDUL LHL IUHFYHQ HL PD[LPH OD XQXO GLQ LQWHUYDOHOH VLWXDWH OD H[WUHPH SHQWUX D QX RE LQH UHSDUWL LL DFFHQWXDW DVLPHWULFH Q DFHVW FD] VH UHLD JUXSDUHD FX DOW QXP U GH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH L RSHUD LD VH UHSHW QRUPDOLWDWH UHSDUWL LH VLPHWULF  SkQ OD RE LQHUHD XQHL UHSDUWL LL FH WLQGH VSUH

GDF

LQWHUYDOHOH H[WUHPH DX IUHFYHQ H IRDUWH PLFL vQ UDSRUW FX FHOH DQDOL] R SUHDODELO

lalte se poate deschide -zisele


VWDELOLUHD P ULPLL

JUXSDUHD ILH OD XQ FDS W ILH OD DPEHOH FDSHWH Q VLWXD LD vQ FDUH FD]XULOH H[WUHPH VXQW

evenimente rare, printr-R


FD]XUL DEHUDQWH L

D GDWHORU SULPDUH VH SRW HOLPLQD DD D YDULD LHL SHQWUX

FDOFXOD

QRX

DPSOLWXGLQH

intervalelor;

UHOXDUHD JUXS ULL GDF UHSDUWL LD SUH]LQW   IUHFYHQ H PD[LPH DO WXUDWH

vQ FD]XO JUXS ULORU SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH QHHJDOH UHJUXSDUHD LQWHUYDOHORU HJDOH VH YD IDFH vQ DD IHO vQFkW JUXSHOH VDX JUXSD GH OD PLMORFXO VHULHL V FRPSDUDWLY FX JUXSHOH GH OD H[WUHPH FDUH WUHEXLH V GH LQ R SRQGHUH PDL PDUH ILH PDL SX LQ UHSUH]HQWDWH Q DFHVW

scop se va aplica criteriul mediei;

SH FkW SRVLELO OD ED]D XQHL JUXS UL FRPELQDWH YRU VWD YDULDELOH vQWUH FDUH H[LVW GH FRUHVSRQGHQ IDFWRU GH LQIOXHQW ORJLF VDX R UHOD LH GH LQWHUGHSHQGHQ  FDUDFWHULVWLFD SULPDU SHQWUX FHD GH D GRXD YDULDELO  R OHJ WXU SXWkQG IL

352%/(0

352386
D XQXL RUD V

3HQWUX  GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GLQ UH HDXD FRPHUFLDO

-au nregistrat datele

SULYLQG SURILWXO vQ OXQD ; L JUDGXO GH LQVWUXLUH D PDQDJHUXOXL YH]L WDEHOXO  

Tabelul 1.15. Cod agent economic A 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30


&HULQ H HIHFWXD L FHQWUDOL]DUHD VLPSO JUXSD L FHL  D GDWHORU GLQ WDEHO JUDGXO GH LQVWUXLUH D PDQDJHUXOXL L GXS

Studii 1 medii medii superioare medii superioare medii medii medii medii superioare superioare superioare medii medii medii medii medii superioare medii medii medii superioare medii medii medii superioare medii medii medii superioare

Profitul (mil.lei) 2 210 220 420 240 350 270 310 290 260 350 390 290 270 350 250 280 260 360 270 310 340 380 320 320 290 330 280 230 200 280

1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS

P ULPHD SURILWXOXL SH DVH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH  HYLGHQ LD L WLSXULOH FDOLWDWLYH FH VH SRW FRQWXUD vQ FDGUXO FROHFWLYLW LL IRORVLQG FULWHULXO

mediei;
JUXSD L FRPELQDW FHL  GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS GXS P ULPHD SURILWXOXL JUDGXO GH LQVWUXLUH D PDQDJHUXOXL L FRQVWUXL L JUDILFHOH DGHFYDWH ILHF UXL SXQFW L SUHFL]D L WLSXO GH UHSDUWL LH RE LQXW

ULPL UHODWLYH

ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXU

056

IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

( ni* ):

n i* =

ni

ni
i =1

sau

n * (%) = i

ni

ni
i =1

100

i =1

* ni

= 1 , respectiv

n i*( % ) = 100 %
i =1

ponderea sau greutatea ( x i ):


i =1 n

VSHFLILF

( g i ) a unui element ( xi

vQ WRWDOXO FROHFWLYLW

LL

gi =

x
n

sau

g i (%) =

x
n

100

i = 1

xi

i =1

xi

ponderea sau JUHXWDWHD VSHFLILF ( g i ) a volumului totalizat al caracteristici la nivelul grupei i n volumul totalizat al caracteristicii la nivelul ansamblului: cnd dispunem de date individuale
ni

ni

gi =

j =1

x ij

sau

g i (%) =

j =1

x ij 100 ,

i =1 j =1

x ij

k ni

i =1 j =1

x ij

k ni

unde: xij valorile individuale; ni volumul grupei; k QXP UXO GH JUXSH vQ FD]XO GLVWULEX LLORU XQLGLPHQVLRQDOH FkQG VH FXQRVF QXPDL SURGXVHOH GH IUHFYHQ H

gi =

xi ni
i =1

xi ni

sau

g i (%) =

xi ni
i =1

xi ni

100 ,

unde xi este varianta sau mijlocul intervalului de grupare.

ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH FRRUGRQD

re (MRC)
vQ GRX JUXSH SHQWUX FDUH QLYHOXO SH JUXSH DO YDULDELOHL

3HQWUX R FROHFWLYLWDWH vPS U LW

studiate este xA L xB :
K A/ B = xA xB

sau

KB/ A =

xB xA

0 ULPL UHODWLYH GH FRRUGRQDUH VH SRW FDOFXOD L SRUQLQG GH OD IUHFYHQ H

K A/ B =

nA nB

sau K B / A =

nB nA

ULPLOH UHODWLYH DOH GLQDPLFLL 05' SXWHP FDOFXOD IL[

Q IXQF LH GH ED]D GH FRPSDUD LH DOHDV P ULPL UHODWLYH DOH GLQDPLFLL FX ED]

a)

: k t/ 0 =

xt x0

E P ULPL UHODWLYH DOH GLQDP

icii FX ED]

PRELO

(YDULDELO sau vQ ODQ : k t / t 1 =

xt xt 1

5HOD LL GH WUHFHUH

kt / 0 : kt 1/ 0 = kt / t 1

k
t =1

t / t 1

= km / 0 ,

unde este semnul produsului

3XWHP FDOFXOD P ULPL UHODWLYH DOH GLQDPLFLL OD QLYHOXO DQVDPEOXOXL

kt / 0 =

x x

respectiv

k t / t 1 =

x x

t 1

ULPLOH UHODWLYH DOH SURJUDP P ULPLORU UHODWLYH

ULL SODQLILF SODQXOXL

ULL 053O SUHVXSXQH SUHOXDUHD GLQ HYLGHQ HOH XQLW LL

&DOFXOXO

DOH

HFRQRPLFH DQDOL]DWH D LQIRUPD LLORU UHIHULWRDUH OD

nivelul fHQRPHQXOXL DQDOL]DW vQ SHULRDGD GH ED]


QLYHOXO UHDOL]DW vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW

x0);

QLYHOXO SODQLILFDW SURJUDPDW SHQWUX SHULRDGD FXUHQW

xpl)

x1).

'LQ FRPSDUDUHD VXE IRUP

GH UDSRUW D FHORU WUHL LQGLFDWRUL UH]XOW 

coeficientul sarcinii de plan: k pl / 0 =

x pl x0
x1 x pl

coeficientul ndeplinirii planului: k 1 / pl =


FRHILFLHQWXO GH GLQDPLF

: k1 / 0 =

x1 x0

QWUH FHL WUHL FRHILFLHQ L H[LVW

k 1 / 0 = k pl / 0 . k1 / pl

UHOD LD

3XWHP FDOFXOD P ULPL UHODWLYH DOH SODQXOXL OD QLYHO GH DQ

k pl / 0 =
H[SULP SURFHQWXDO

x pl x0

respectiv

k 1 / pl =

x x

samblu:
1

pl

'H FHOH PDL PXOWH RUL P ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH GLQDPLF

L P ULPLOH UHODWLYH DOH SODQXOXL VH

ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH LQWHQVLWDWH 05,

OD QLYHO SDU LDO

xi =

yi zi

la nivelul ansamblului: x =

y z

sau

x=

x z z
i i

PROBLEME REZOLVATE

1.
Se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 2.1. Magazine Valoarea
vQFDV ULORU vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW

% sarcinii de plan

% ndeplinirii planului 3 94 102 107

0 A B C

(PC) (mil. lei) 1 100 240 140

2 105 120 110

Se cere: 1. procentul ndeplinirii planului, pe total; 2. procentul sarcinii de plan, pe total; 3. GLQDPLFD vQFDV ULORU SH ILHFDUH PDJD]LQ L SH WRWDO 4. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VWUXFWXUD vQFDV ULORU vQ SHULRDGD
FXUHQW 3& L V VH DQDOL]H]H PXWD LLOH VWUXFWXUDOH

GH ED]

3% L vQ SHULRDGD

Rezolvare 1.
3HQWUX GHWHUPLQDUHD VDUFLQLL GH SODQ WUHEXLH RE LQXWH YDORULOH SODQLILFDWH DOH SURGXF LHL

pornind de la procentul ndeplinirii planului pe fiecare magazin: x1 x 1 100 K 1 pl ( % ) = 100 , de unde x pl = x pl K 1 pl


x pl = 100 100 = 106 , 3 mil. lei (pentru magazinul A) 94 240 100 = = 235 , 2 mil. lei (pentru magazinul B) 102 140 100 = = 130 , 8 mil. lei (pentru magazinul C) 107

x pl
x pl

Pe total (pe ansamblu): x 1 = 480 = 1 , 0163 sau 101,63% K 1ans = pl x pl 472 , 3 2. Pentru determinarea sarcinii de plan, pe total, trebuie determinate valorile
UHDOL]DWH vQ SHULRDGD GH ED]  vQFDV ULORU

pl 0

x pl x0

100 , de unde

x0 =

x pl 100 K
pl 0

x0 = x0 = x0 =

106 , 3 100 105 235 , 2 100 120 130 , 8 100 110

= 101 , 2 mil. lei (pentru magazinul A) = 196 mil. lei (pentru magazinul B) = 118 , 9 mil. lei (pentru magazinul C)

Pe total:
ans

K pl

x pl x0

472,3 = 1,1351 sau 113,51% 416,1

3.

'LQDPLFD vQFDV ULORU SH ILHFDUH PDJD]LQ

K1

K1
K1

K1
Pe total:

x1 x0 100 = = 0,9881 sau 98,81% (pentru magazinul A) 101,2 240 = = 1,2245 sau 122,45% (pentru magazinul B) 196 140 = = 1,1775 sau 117,75% (pentru magazinul C) 118,9

ans

K1
Verificare:

x1 x0
ans

480 = 1,1536 sau 115,36% 416,1

ans

K1

= K1

pl K pl

ans 0

= 1,0163 1,1351 = 1,1536

$'(9

5$7

6LWXD LD FHD PDL IDYRUDELO V-a nregistrat la magazinul C R FUHWHUH GH  ID 10% ct s-D SUHY ]XW LDU FHD PDL QHIDYRUDELO OD PDJD]LQXO A, unde s-D SUHY ]XW R FUHWHUH  L V-D UHDOL]DW R VF GHUH GH   6WUXFWXUD vQFDV ULORU YH]L WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  L  VH UHSUH]LQW JUDILF

GH GH

4.

SULQ

GUHSWXQJKLXO GH VWUXFWXU

vezi figura 2.1.).


Tabelul 2.2.

Magazine A A B C Total

Valoarea desfacerilor (mil. lei) PB PC 1 2 101,20 100 196 240 118,90 140 416,10 480

Structura desfacerilor (%) PB PC 3 4 24,32 20,83 47,10 50,00 28,58 29,17 100,00 100,00

Structura desfacerLORU vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW


100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

24,32

20,83 Magazinul "A"

47,1

50

Magazinul "B" Magazinul "C"

28,58

29,17

PB

PC

Figura 2.1.

Ponderea desfacerilor realizate de magazinul A


FUHWHUHD SRQGHULL GHVIDFHULORU vQ SULPXO UkQG OD PDJD]LQXO vQ PDL PLF GH ED] P VXU OD  vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW 

D VF ]XW DFHDVWD ILLQG FRPSHQVDW

GH

GH FUHWHUHD SRQGHULL GHVIDFHULORU OD PDJD]LQXO

B (de la 47,1% n PB la 50% n P& L C (de la 28,58% n perioada

2.

3HQWUX GRL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL FH GHVI RDU

DFHHDL DFWLYLWDWH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 2.3.
$JHQ L 3URGXF LD vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW

Dinamica
SURGXF LHL

1U GH VDODULD L

economici 0 A B Total

n perioada
GH ED]

(mil. lei) 1 900 600 1500

2 80 125 ...

3 100 50 150

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
GLQDPLFD SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO FDOFXODUHD P ULPLORU UHODWLYH SHUPLVH GH GDWHOH GLQ HQXQ  FDOFXODUHD P ULPLORU GH LQWHQVLWDWH SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO

Rezolvare: 1.
3HQWUX FDOFXODUHD GLQDPLFLL SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO WUHEXLH FDOFXODW ED] SH FHL GRL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL SURGXF LD vQ SHULRDGD GH

K1

x1 x0

100

x0 =
respectiv

x 1 100 K 1/ 0

900 100 = 1125 mil. lei 80 600 100 x0 = = 480 mil. lei 125 x 1 = 1500 = 0 , 9346 = 93 , 46% ans K1 0 = x 0 1605 x0 =
vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW ID GH SHULRDGD GH ED] 

3URGXF LD D VF ]XW SH WRWDO FX 

2. 3H ED]D GDWHORU GLQ HQXQ MRS penWUX SURGXF LH

PDL SXWHP FDOFXOD L SHQWUX QXP UXO GH VDODULD L

(rezultatele calculelor sunt


Tabelul 2.4.

SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  L  

$JHQ L

3URGXF LD vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW

Structura
SURGXF LHL

1U VDODULD L

Structura
VDODULD LORU

economici 0 A B Total

n perioada
GH ED]

(mil. lei) 1 900 600 1500

2 60 40 100

3 100 50 150

4 66,67 33,33 100,00

MRC SHQWUX SURGXF LH L SHQWUX QXP SHQWUX SURGXF LH

UXO GH VDODULD L

KA KB
-

900 = 1,5 600 600 = = 0,6667 sau 66,67% 900 = 100 =2 50 50 = = 0,3333 sau 33,33% 100 =
GH LQWHQVLWDWH VH SRDWH FDOFXOD SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PHGLH vQ SHULRDGD GH

SHQWUX QXP UXO GH VDODULD L

KA
KB

3.

&D P ULPH UHODWLY ED]

YH]L WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  

Tabelul 2.5.
$JHQ L 3URGXF LD vQ 1U VDODULD L

economici

perioada de ED] (mil. lei) (Qi) 1 1125 480 Q i = 1500

n perioada de
ED] SHUV

Productivitatea n perioada de
ED]

(Ti) 2 100 50 T i = 150

0 A B Total

(mil. lei/pers.) (wi) 3 11,25 9,6

w = 10,0

pe fiecare agent economic Q wi = i Ti unde: Qi SURGXF LD Ti QXP U VDODULD L pe total

w=

Qi Ti

Rezultatele calculelor sunt prezentate n tabelul 2.5. (coloana 3).

3.

3HQWUX WUHL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL FH GHVI RDU

DFHOD

i tip de activitate se cunosc datele:


Tabelul 2.6.

$JHQ L

Structura
SURGXF LHL vQ SHULRDGD GH ED]

economici

% sarcinii de plan pentru perioada


FXUHQW

% ndeplinirii planului n perioada


FXUHQW

0 A B C

(%) 1 25 40 35

2 104,7 115 100

3 102 106 98

Se cere: 1. procentul sarcinii de plan, pe total; 2. procentul ndeplinirii planului, pe total; 3. GLQDPLFD SURGXF LHL SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO 4. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF P ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH GLQDPLF L DOH SODQXOXL SHQWUX FHL WUHL DJHQ L economici. Rezolvare:

1.

ans pl 0

x pl = x0
= =

x pl
0

x0 =

x0
0

K pl 0 x 0 = K pl x0

g x0 =

K pl

g x0 ( % )

100

104 , 7 25 + 115 40 + 100 35 = 100

2617 , 5 + 4600 + 3500 10717 , 5 = = 1 , 07175 sau 107 , 175% 100 100

2.

'LQDPLFD SURGXF LHL SHQWUX ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD XWLOL]kQG UHOD LD

K1

= K1

pl

K pl

pentru agentul economic A

K1

102 104,7 = 1,06794 sau 106,97% 100 100

pentru agentul economic B


K1 = 106 115 = 1,219 sau 121,9% 100 100

pentru agentul economic C


K1 = 98 100 = 0,98 sau 98% 100 100
FD PHGLH D LQGLFLORU GH GLQDPLF SDU LDOL IRORVLQG FD

'LQDPLFD SH WRWDO VH FDOFXOHD]

SRQGHUH VWUXFWXUD SURGXF LHL vQ SHULRDGD GH ED] 

K 1ans0 = = =

x1 = K 1 x0
100

g x0 (% ) = 100
0

106 , 79 25 + 121 , 9 40 + 98 35 10975 , 75 100

2669 , 75 + 4876 + 3430 100

= 1 , 09757 sau 109 , 757%

3.

3URFHQWXO vQGHSOLQLULL SODQXOXL VH GHWHUPLQ

IRORVLQG XUP WRDUHD UHOD LH

ans K1anspl = K1ans : K pl 0 = 0

1,09757 = 1,02409 sau 102,409% 1,07175


R VLWXD LH QHJDWLY 

3HQWUX WR L FHL WUHL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL SURFHQWXO vQGHSOLQLULL SODQXOXL D IRVW PDL PLF GHFkW

procentul sarcinii de SODQ FHHD FH UHSUH]LQW

4.

3HQWUX UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

D P ULPLORU UHODWLYH GH GLQDPLF

L DOH SODQXOXL VH IRORVHWH

diagrama prin coloane.


Scara Oy: 20%

140
121,9%

% sarcinii de plan % ndeplinirii planului dinamica

120
104,7% 102% 106,79%

115% 106%

100%

100

98%

98%

80

60

40

20

0 agentul economic "A" agentul economic "B"


Figura 2.2.

agentul economic "C"

4.

3HQWUX WUHL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL FX DFHODL

profil de activitate se cunosc datele:


Tabelul 2.7.

$JHQ L

economici

Structura cifrei de afaceri n


SHULRDGD FXUHQW

% ndeplinirii planului

Dinamica cifrei de afaceri

0 A B C

(%) 1 20 48 32

2 102 105 98

3 107,1 120,75 107,8

Se cere: 1. procentul ndeplinirii planului pe total; 2. dinamica cifrei de afaceri pe total; 3. SURFHQWXO VDUFLQLL GH SODQ SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO 4. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF P ULPLOH UHODWLYH DOH SODQXOXL L GH GLQDPLF economic.

SHQWUX ILHFDUH DJHQW

Rezolvare: 1. Procentul

vQGHSOLQLULL SODQXOXL SH WRWDO VH FDOFXOHD] FD PHGLH DUPRQLF GH P ULPL UHODWLYH SDU LDOH /D QLYHO SDU LDO

K1

pl

x1 x1 , de unde x pl = x pl K1 pl

La nivel de ansamblu: x1 = x1 = K 1ans pl = x pl x 1 K 1 pl


=

1
1 pl

= gx1

100

1
1 pl

gx1

(% )

100 100 = = 1 1 1 19 , 6078 + 45 , 7143 + 32 , 6531 20 + 48 + 32 1 , 02 1 , 05 0 , 98 100 = 1 , 0207 sau 102,07 % 97 , 9752
VH FDOFXOHD] WRW FD PHGLH DUPRQLF GH P ULPL

2. Dinamica cifrei de afaceri, pe toWDO


UHODWLYH SDU LDOH

K 1ans0 =

x1 = x1 x0 1 K
1

100

x1

1
1 0

gx1

(% )

100 100 = = 1 1 1 18 , 6741 + 39 , 7515 + 29 , 6848 20 + 48 + 32 1 , 071 1 , 2075 1 , 078 100 = 1 , 1349 sau 113 , 49 % 88 , 1102

3. Procentul sarcinii de plan:

pe fiecare agent economic:

K pl

K1 K1

0 pl

1,071 = 1,05 sau 105% pentru agentul economic A 1,02

K pl

1,2075 = 1,15 sau 115% pentru agentul economic B 1,05

K pl

1,078 = 1,1 sau 110% pentru agentul economic C 0,98

pe total: K ans 0 = pl K1ans 0 K1anspl


=

1,1349 = 1,1119 sau 111,19% 1,0207


C R VLWXD LH QHIDYRUDELO


5H]XOW

OD DJHQWXO HFRQRPLF

Scara Oy:

20%

140 % sarcinii de plan


120,75%

% ndeplinirii planului
110%

120
105% 107,1% 102%

115% 105%

100

80

60

40

20

0 agentul economic "A" agentul economic "B" agentul economic "C"

Figura 2.3.

    
107,8% 98%

PROBLEME PROPUSE

1.

3HQWUX WUHL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL FX DFHODL SURILO GH DFWLYLWDWH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 2.8. Structura cifrei de afaceri n


SHULRDGD GH ED]

$JHQ L

economici 0 A B C

% sarcinii de plan 2 105 120 108

(%) 1 25 45 30

Dinamica cifrei de afaceri (%) 3 94,5 123 108

Se cere: 1. procentul sarcinii de plan pe total; 2. dinamica cifrei de afaceri pe total; 3. SURFHQWXO vQGHSOLQLULL SODQXOXL SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO 4. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF P ULPLOH UHODWLYH DOH SODQXOXL

2.
Pentru o ntreprindere se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 2.9.
6HF LD 3URGXF LD vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW 1U VDODULD L vQ

Dinamica
SURGXF LHL

perioada
FXUHQW

0 A B

(buc) 1 120 80

2 30 16

(%) 3 110 96

Se cere: 1. GLQDPLFD SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO 2. productivitatea muncLL OD QLYHO GH VHF LH L SH WRWDO L vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW 3&  3. V VH VWDELOHDVF FH DOWH WLSXUL GH P ULPL UHODWLYH VH SRW FDOFXOD SH ED]D GDWHORU GLQ HQXQ 
H[HPSOLILFD L

4.

VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF SURGXF LD SH WRWDO vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW  vQ IXQF LH GH SURGXF

tivitatea

PHGLH D PXQFLL L GH QXP UXO GH VDODULD L

3.

3HQWUX WUHL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL FDUH GHVI RDU

DFHHDL DFWLYLWDWH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 2.10. Agent economic 0 A B C Structura


SURGXF LHL vQ 3%

% sarcinii de plan 2 104,7 115 100

Dinamica
SURGXF LHL

(%) 1 25 40 35

(%) 3 107 121 98

Se cere: 1. procentul sarcinii de plan pe total; 2. GLQDPLFD SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO 3. SURFHQWXO vQGHSOLQLULL SODQXOXL SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO 4. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF JUDGXO GH vQGHSOLQLUH D SODQXOXL SHQWUX FHL WUHL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL

4.
Pentru un agent economic se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 2.11. Activitate 0 A B Salariu mediu n PB (mii lei/pers.) 1 2250 1800
1U VDODULD L vQ

Dinamica nr.
GH VDODULD L

PC (pers.) 2 42 18

3 105 90

Se cere: 1. dinDPLFD QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L SH WRWDO 2. VDODULXO PHGLX vQ SHULRDGD GH ED] DO QLYHOXO DJHQWXOXL HFRQRPLF 3. V VH VWDELOHDVF FH DOWH WLSXUL GH P ULPL UHODWLYH VH SRW FDOFXOD SH ED]D GDWHORU GLQ HQXQ 
H[HPSOLILFD L

4.

VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF IRQGXO GH VDODULL vQ SHULRDGD GH ED]  SH WRWDO vQ IXQF LH GH

VDODULXO PHGLX L GH QXP UXO GH VDODULD L

5.
Un agent economic dispune de trei magazine pentru care se cunosc datele din tabelul 2.12.:
Tabelul 2.12. Valoarea desfacerilor (mil. lei) Realizat Plan Realizat octombrie noiembrie noiembrie 1 2 3 168 175 180 180 188 192 1105 1120 1125
1XP U SHUsonal Plan Realizat noiembrie noiembrie 5 6 32 33 35 35 45 43

Magazinul A I II III

Realizat octombrie 4 30 32 40

Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH FDOFXOH]H WRDWH P ULPLOH UHODW

ive permise de date, prin toate procedeele cunoscute;

VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF UH]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH OD SXQFWXO SUHFHGHQW

6.

3HQWUX GRL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL FH GHVI RDU

DFHHDL DFWLYLWDWH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 2.13. Agent economic Salariu mediu n


SHULRDGD FXUHQW 1U VDODULD L vQ

perioada
FXUHQW SHUV

(mii lei/pers.) 0 A B 1 2250 1800

2 42 18

Dinamica fondului de salarii PC/PB (%) 3 105 90

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
VDODULXO PHGLX SH WRWDO vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW V V FXUHQW  VH VWDELOHDVF FH DOWH WLSXUL GH P ULPL UHODWLYH VH SRW FDOFXOD SH ED]D GDWHORU GLQ HQXQ  3&  VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VWUXFWXUD IRQGXOXL GH VDODULL L IRQGXO GH VDODULL GLQ SHULRDGD

6HULL GH GLVWULEX LH D IUHFYHQ HORU

SERII SIMPLE (date negrupate)


0 ULPL PHGLL

0HGLD DULWPHWLF 0HGLD QLYHOXULORU DULWPHWLF LORU HVWH UH]XOWDWXO VLQWHWL] ULL SULQ vQWU R VLQJXU YDORULL H[SUHVLH WRWDOL]DWH QXPHULF D FDUDF D WXWXURU

LQGLYLGXDOH

REVHUYDWH

RE LQXW

UDSRUWDUHD

teristicii la

QXP UXO WRWDO DO XQLW

x=

xi
i =1

n
QLYHOXULOH LQGLYLGXDOH DOH YDULDELOHL

unde: xi

UHSUH]LQW

x
i =1

UHSUH]LQW UHSUH]LQW

YROXPXO FHQWUDOL]DW DO YDULDELOHL QXP UXO XQLW LORU

observate.

3URSULHW

a) b) c) d)

GDF

x1=x2=...=xi=...=xn=xc , x min < x < x max


n i =1 i

atunci

x = xc

(x
GDF

x) = 0

x= xi # a , atunci x = x # a , de unde x = x a

e)

xi x , atunci x = , de unde x = x h , h h respectiv :


GDF

x" =

GDF

x" = xi h , atunci x = x h

, de unde x =

x h

Formule de calcul simplificat al mediei aritmetice:


a n n x hi x = i =1 h sau n n x a i h h+ a x = i =1 n
i =1
0HGLD DUPRQLF

x=

(x

# a)

x=

(x h)
i =1 i

:h

xh VH GHILQHWH inverse ale termenilor aceleLDL VHULL n xh = n 1 x i =1 i


0HGLD S WUDWLF

0HGLD DUPRQLF

FD ILLQG LQYHUVD PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH FDOFXODW

GLQ YDORULOH

0HGLD S WUDWLF PRGLILF

(x p )

HVWH DFHD YDORDUH FDUH vQORFXLQG WHUPHQLL VHULHL ULGLFD L OD S WUDW QX

VXPD S WUDWHORU ORU

xp =

x
i =1

2 i

0HGLD JHRPHWULF 0HGLD JHRPHWULF

x g UHSUH]LQW

DFHD YDORDUH FX FDUH GDF

VH vQORFXLHVF WR L WHUPHQLL VHULHL

L VH IDFH SURGXVXO ORU YDORDUHD OD FDUH VH DMXQJH HVWH HJDO

FX SURGXVXO WHUPHQLORU UHDOL

xg = n

x
i =1
n i =1

3ULQ ORJDULWPDUH VH RE LQH

lg x g =

lg x
n

QWUH PHGLLOH SUH]HQWDWH H[LVW

XUP WRDUHD UHOD LH GH RUGLQH

xh < xg < xa < x p

9DORUL PHGLL GH SR]L LH VDX GH VWUXFWXU UHSUH]LQW YDORDUHD FHQWUDO D XQHL VHULL VWDWLVWLFH RUGRQDWH FUHVF WRU VDX

Mediana (Me) Locul Me =

GHVFUHVF WRU FDUH vPSDUWH WHUPHQLL VHULHL vQ GRX

n +1 unde n UHSUH]LQW 2

S U L HJDOH

QXP UXO WHUPHQLORU VHULHL

Valoarea medianei: GDF QXP UXO WHUPHQLORU VHULHL HVWH LPSDU n=2p+1):

GDF QXP UXO WHUPHQLORU HVWH SDU

Me = x p + 1
x p + x p +1 2

n=2p):

Me =

Modul (Mo)

HVWH YDORDUHD FDUH VH UHSHW

GH FHOH PDL PXOWH RUL PRWLY SHQWUX FDUH PDL HVWH

FXQRVFXW vQ OLWHUDWXUD GH VSHFLDOLWDWH L VXE GHQXPLUHD GH

dominanta seriei.

,QGLFDWRULL YDULD LHL

a)

,QGLFDWRULL VLPSOL DL YDULD LHL VH FDOFXOHD] FD GLIHUHQ vQWUH QLYHOXO PD[LP

Amplitudinea abVROXW (Aa minim (xmin) al caracteristicii: Aa = xmax - xmin


$PSOLWXGLQHD UHODWLY YDULD LHL L QLYHOXO PHGLX DO FDUDF

xmax

L QLYHOXO

D YDULD LHL

A% teristicii:

VH FDOFXOHD]

FD UDSRUW vQWUH DPSOLWXGLQHD DEVROXW

A% =

Aa 100 x
VH FDOFXOHD] FD GLIHUHQ vQWUH ILHFDUH YDULDQW D DFHVWRUD

vQUHJLVWUDW

Abaterile individuale absolute (di)


L PHGLD DULWPHWLF

d i = xi x

i = 1, n
VH FDOFXOHD] UDSRUWkQG DE

Abaterile individuale relative (di%) mediu al caracteristicii: d x x d i % = i 100 = i 100 x x altul. b)


,QGLFDWRULL VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL

aterile absolute la nivelul

i = 1, n

Q DQDOL]D YDULD LHL GH PXOWH RUL QH OLPLW P OD D FDOFXOD DEDWHULOH PD[LPH vQWU

-un sens sau

$EDWHUHD

PHGLH

OLQLDU

(d )

VH

FDOFXOHD]

FD

PHGLH

DULWPHWLF

VLPSO

GLQ

DEDWHULOH

WHUPHQLORU VHULHL GH OD PHGLD ORU OXDWH vQ YDORDUH DEVROXW 

d=

x
i =1

$EDWHUHD PHGLH S

WUDWLF

sau abaterea standard ( )

VH FDOFXOHD]

FD R PHGLH S WUDWLF

din

DEDWHULOH WXWXURU YDULDQWHORU VHULHL GH OD PHGLD ORU DULWPHWLF 

(x
i =1

x)2

n
UHOD LD

&DOFXOD L SHQWUX DFHHDL VHULH FHL GRL LQGLFDWRUL YHULILF

Q OLWHUDWXUD GH VSHFLDOLWDWH VH DSUHFLD] QRUPDOLWDWH DEDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU HVWH HJDO

>d

SHQWUX R VHULH GH GLVWULEX LH FX WHQGLQ

FODU

GH

FX  GLQ YDORDUHD DEDWHULL PHGLL S WUDWLFH

Dispersia

YDULDQ D

XQHL

FDUDFWHULVWLFL

( 2 )

VH

FDOFXOHD]

FD

PHGLH

DULWPHWLF

VLPSO

S WUDWHORU DEDWHULORU WHUPHQLORU ID

GH PHGLD ORU

Formulele de calcul sunt:

2 =

(x
i =1

x)

sau

n x xi 2 = i =1 i =1 n n
n 2 i

&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

(v

VH FDOFXOHD]

FD UDSRUW vQWUH DEDWHUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF

L QLYHOXO

mediu al seriei:

100 x Coeficientul GH YDULD LH VH PDL SRDWH FDOFXOD L GXS d v = 100 x


v=

UHOD LD

6(5,, '( ',675,%8

,( 81,',0(16,21$/( GDWH JUXSDWH

,QGLFDWRUL GH IUHFYHQ H

)UHFYHQ HOH IUHFYHQ HORU

UHODWLYH

( ni*

VH

RE LQ

UDSRUWkQG

IUHFYHQ D

ILHF UHL

JUXSH

ni) la totalul

( ni ) :
i =1

ni* =

ni

n
i =1

sau
i

ni*(%) =

ni

n
i =1

100
i

)UHFYHQ HOH FXPXODWH VH QRWHD]

FX

Fi sau Fi*

vQ IXQF LH GH IHOXO IUHFYHQ HORU LQFOXVH vQ

calcul (absolute sau relative):


F i = n j ; i = 1 , 2 , 3 ,..., k ;
j =1
0 ULPL PHGLL

respectiv

F i* = n * ; i = 1 , 2 , 3 ,... k ; j
j =1

0HGLD DULWPHWLF &DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

x=

xi ni
i =1

ni
i =1
3URSULHW PHGLD L VH vQFDGUHD] vQ LQWHUYDOXO FX IUHFYHQ D PD[LP VDX vQ XQXO GLQ FHOH GRX

a) b)

intervale nvecinate.

(x
i =1
GDF

x ) ni = 0

c)

x = xi # a , atunci x =

( xi
i =1 k i =1

# a )ni = x#a

ni
k

d)

GDF

x =

xi , atunci x = h

x hi ni i =1

n
i =1

x h

UHVSHFWLY GDF

x = xi h , atunci x =
SXQFWHOH

(x
i =1
OD

h) ni
i

n
i =1

= hx

3URSULHW 6H XWLOL]HD]

LOH

GH OD

F L G VHUYHVF

calculul simplificat al mediei aritmetice.

vQ DFHVW VFRS IRUPXOHOH

x=

(xi
i =1 k i =1

# a )n i a

ni
x= xi h ni i =1
k

ni
i =1

, respectiv

x=

( x i h )n i
i =1

ni
i =1

x=

xi a ni h i =1
k

ni
i =1

h + a ,

unde: a - mijlocul unui intHUYDO GH RELFHL FHQWUXO LQWHUYDOXOXL FX IUHFYHQ D FHD PDL PDUH h - P ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL GDF VHULD DUH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH e)
GDF vQWU R VHULH VH UHGXF SURSRU LRQDO WRDWH IUHFYHQ HOH PHGLD FDOFXODW

SH ED]D QRLORU

IUHFYHQ H U PkQH QHVFKLPEDW 

x
$FHDVW

ni c =x ni c
i

n acest caz c = ni :

SURSULHWDWH

VHUYHWH

OD

FDOFXOXO

PHGLHL

FX

DMXWRUXO

IUHFYHQ HORU

UHODWLYH

x = xi ni* sau x =
0HGLD DUPRQLF

x n
i

* i (%)

100

&DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

xh =

n
i =1

x
i =1
k

1
i

ni
100 1 x ni*(%) i =1 i
k

&DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

xh =

1 1 x ni* i =1 i

sau

xh =

)RUP

WUDQVIRUPDW

D PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH

&DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

xh =

x n
i =1 i k

1 x xi ni i =1 i
1 1 x xi ni* i =1 i
k

=x

&DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

xh =

sau

xh =

100 1 x xi ni*(%) i =1 i
k

0HGLD S

WUDWLF

&DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

xp =

x
i =1 k i =1

2 i

ni
i

&DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

xp =

x
i =1

2 i

ni*

sau

xp =

x
i =1

2 i

ni*(%)

100

0HGLD JHRPHWULF

xg =

ni
i =1

i =1
i

x in i

Prin lRJDULWPDUH VH YD RE LQH


lg x g =

n
i =1

lg x i
i
XUP WRDUH UHOD LH GH RUGLQH

n
i =1

QWUH PHGLLOH SUH]HQWDWH H[LVW

xh < x g < xa < x p

9DORUL PHGLL GH SR]L LH VDX GH VWUXFWXU

Modul (modulul, dominanta)


Q FD]XO XQHL VHULL GH GLVWULEX LH SH YDULDQWH PRGXO HVWH YDULDQWD FX IUHFYHQ D PD[LP  Q FD]XO JUXS ULL SH LQWHUYDOH ORFXO PRGXOXL HVWH LQWHUYDOXO FX IUHFYHQ D PD[LP VH FDOFXOHD] DVWIHO LDU YDORDUHD

Mo = x0 + h
n care: x0 h 1 2 UHSUH]LQW P U

1 1 + 2
OLPLWD LQIHULRDU D LQWHUYDOXOXL PRGDO

imea intervalului modal;

GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH IUHFYHQ D LQWHUYDOXOXL PRGDO L D FHOXL SUHFHGHQW GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH IUHFYHQ D LQWHUYDOXOXL PRGDO L D FHOXL XUP WRU

Mediana (Me) a) n cazul datelor grupate pH


FXPXODW YDULDQWH

HVWH SULPD PDL PDUH GHFkW

n +1 iar valoarea medianei este chiar varianta 2

ORFXO

PHGLDQHL

HVWH

YDULDQWD

F UHL

IUHFYHQ

UHVSHFWLY 

b)

Q FD]XO GDWHORU JUXSDWH SH LQWHUYDOH ORFXO PHGLDQHL HVWH LQWHUYDOXO D F UXL IUHFYHQ

FXPXODW

HVWH SULPD PDL PDUH GHFkW

n
i =1

+1
 LDU YDORDUHD PHGLDQHL VH FDOFXOHD] GXS

formula:

n
i =1

+1

Me = x0 + h

2 nm

ni
i =1

m 1

unde: h m

n
i =1

m 1

- P ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL PHGLDQ - indexul intervalului median; - VXPD IUHFYHQ HORU SUHFHGHQWH LQWHUYDOXOXL a intervalului precedent celui median); IUHFYHQ D DEVROXW D LQWHUYDOXOXL PHGLDQ

PHGLDQ

IUHFYHQ D

FXPXODW

nm

Cuartilele VXQW DFHOH YDORUL DOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL FDUH VHSDU


1

VHULD vQ SDWUX S U L HJDOH

Q1 = x0 + h

( ni + 1) ni
i =1 i =1

u 1

nu

unde u HVWH LQGH[XO LQWHUYDOXOXL FDUH FRQ LQH Q1

Q2 = Me

Q3 = x 0 + h

( ni + 1) ni
i =1 i =1

v 1

nv

unde v HVWH LQGH[XO LQWHUYDOXOXL FDUH FRQ LQH Q3 Decilele GLYLG VHULD vQ ]HFH S
1
k
U L HJDOH IRORVLQG vQ DFHVW VFRS QRX GHFLOH

D1 = x0 + h

10

( ni + 1) ni
i =1 i =1

d 11

nd 1

unde d1 HVWH LQGH[XO LQWHUYDOXOXL FDUH FRQ LQH D1 D5 = M e


9

D9 = x 0 + h

10

( n i + 1)
i =1

d 9 1 i =1

nd 9

unde d9 HVWH LQGH[XO LQWHUYDOXOXL FDUH FRQ LQH D9.

,QGLFDWRULL YDULD LHL

a)

,QGLFDWRULL VLPSOL DL YDULD LHL

$PSOLWXGLQHD DEVROXW

(Aa)

Aa=xL-xl , unde: xL liPLWD VXSHULRDU xl OLPLWD LQIHULRDU


D XOWLPXOXL LQWHUYDO D SULPXOXL LQWHUYDO D YDULD LHL

$PSOLWXGLQHD UHODWLY

A%)

A% =

Aa 100 x

b)

,QGLFDWRULL VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL

$EDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU

(d ) lute:

&DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVR

d =

x
i =1

x ni
i

n
i =1 k

&DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

d = xi x n sau d =
i =1 * i
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF

x
i =1

x n * i (%) 100

sau abaterea standard () :

&DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

(x
i =1

i k

x ) 2 ni
i

n
i =1

Calculul cu fUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

(x
i =1

x ) 2 n *i

sau

(x
i =1

x ) 2 ni (%) 100

&HL GRL LQGLFDWRUL YHULILF

UHOD LD

>d
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

(v):
v = d 100 x

v=

100 , respectiv x

Dispersia (variaQ D ( 2 ) : IRUPXOH GHULYDWH GLQ GHILQL LH

FDOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

2 =

(x
i =1

i k

x ) 2 ni
i

n
i =1
k

FDOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

2 = ( xi x ) 2 n * i
i =1

sau

2 =

(x
i =1

x ) 2 ni* (%) 100

ca moment centrat de ordinul doi calculul cu freFYHQ H DEVROXWH

FDOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

k x ni xi ni = i =1k i =1k ni ni i =1 i =1
k 2 i

k k 2 = x 2 i ni* xi ni* i =1 i =1

sau

2 =

xi2 ni*(%)
i =1

100

k xi ni*(%) i =1 100

prin formula de calcul simplificat


SHQWUX R VHULH GH IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

x a i h ni 2 = i =1 k h 2 ( x a) 2 ni
k 2 i =1

pentru o serie cu frecven H UHODWLYH 2 k xi a * 2 2 = ni h ( x a ) 2 sau h i =1


k 2

1RW

x a i h ni*(%) 2 2 = i =1 h ( x a) 2 100  a L h DX DFHOHDL VHPQLILFD LL FD OD FDOFXOXO PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH

&RUHF LD OXL 6KHSSDUG

( 2 ) = 2
unde h
$FHDVW

HVWH P ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL GH JUXSDUH FRUHF LH VH DSOLF QXPDL SHQWUX VHULLOH FDUH SUH]LQW VDX XRU DVLPHWULF  XUP WRDUHOH SURSULHW L

h2 , 12

UHSDUWL LD HVWH QRUPDO

UHSDUWL LD DUH LQWHUYDOH GH JUXSDUH HJDOH

9DULD LD LQWHUFXDUWLOLF

L LQWHUGHFLOLF

$EDWHUHD LQWHUFXDWLOLF

Qd): ( Me Q1 ) + (Q3 Me) Q3 Q1 Qd = = 2 2

CoeILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH LQWHUFXDUWLOLF Q3 Q1 Qd Q Q1 2 Vq = = = 3 Me Me 2 Me


$EDWHUHD LQWHUGHFLOLF

9T

: ( Me D1 ) + ( D9 Me) D9 D1 Dd = = 2 2

&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH LQWHUGHFLOLF

: D9 D1 D D D1 2 Vd = d = = 9 Me Me 2 Me

0HGLD L GLVSHUVLD FDUDFWHULVWLFLL DOWHUQDWLYH 'LVWULEX LD GH IUHFYHQ H D FDUDFWHULVWLFLL DOWHUQDWLYH VH SUH]LQW vQWU

-un tabel de forma:


Tabel 3.1.

Valoarea caracteristicii 0 x1 = 1

VSXQVXO

nregistrat 1 DA

)UHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

)UHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

2 M
QXP UXO XQLW FDUH SRVHG LORU

p=

caracteristica) (N-M) x2 = 0 Total NU


QXP UXO GH XQLW FDUH QX SRVHG L

M N

q=

caracteristica) N = M + (N - M)

NM = 1 p N
p+q=1

Media:
p= M N

Dispersia:
2 2 p = p q sau p = p (1 p)

$EDWHUHD PHGLH S

WUDWLF

p = pq

Asimetria
$VLPHWULD DEVROXW

&RHILFLHQ LL GH DVLPHWULH SURSXL GH .DUO 3HDUVRQ SHQWUX VHULL GH GLVWULEX LH XRU DVLPHWULFH 

( As ) As = x Mo

C as

C as = 0 x Mo = C as > 0 C as < 0

VHULH VLPHWULF DVLPHWULH SR]LWLY DVLPHWULH QHJDWLY

Acest coeficient poate lua valori cuprinse ntre -


DEVROXW FX DWkW DVLPHWULD HVWH PDL PLF 

+1; cu ct este mai mic n valoare


(C as ) se poate calcula

Q FD]XO FkQG VH FXQRDWH PHGLDQD VHULHL FRHILFLHQWXO GH DVLPHWULH XWLOL]kQG UHOD LD

C as =
IRUPDW

3HDUVRQ PDL SURSXQH L XQ D

3( x Me)

lt coeficient pentru calculul gradului de asimetrie al unei serii

GLQWU XQ QXP U IRDUWH PDUH GH REVHUYD LL

C as =

2 3 3 2

3 = , unde 2 =

( xi x ) 3 ni ni ( xi x ) 2 ni ni
=
2

Coeficientul propus de Yule: (Q Me) ( Me Q1 ) C asY = 3 , (Q3 Me) + ( Me Q1 ) unde C asY [ 1 , 1 ] Coeficientul propus de Bowley: ( D Me) ( Me D1 ) C asB = 9 , ( D9 Me) + ( Me D1 ) unde C asB [ 1,1]

,QGLFDWRULL FRQFHQWU

ULL

Coeficientul de concentrare propus de statisticianul italian Corado Gini: CG = unde :

g
xi ni
k

2 i

i = 1, k ,

gi =

xi ni
i = 1

Acest coeficient ia valori n intervalul

,1 . n

Coeficientul de concentrare propus de R. Struck:

n 1 Acest coeficient ia valori n intervalul [0,1].

CS =

n g i2 1

6(5,, '( ',675,%8

,( %,',0(16,1$/(

$ &DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

O serie de distrLEX LH ELGLPHQVLRQDO

VH SUH]LQW

vQWU

-un tabel de forma:


Tabel 3.2.

Valorile caracteristicii de grupare X x1 x2 ... xi ... xr Total

Variantele sau valorile caracteristicii dependente Y y1 n11 n21 ... ni1 ... nr1 n.1 y2 n12 n22 ... ni2 ... nr2 n.2 ... yj n1j n2j ... nij ... nrj n.j ym n1m n2m ... nim ... nrm n.m

Volumul grupei (ni.) n1. n2. ... ni. ... nr.


i =1

Medii pe grupe
(y i )
(y1 ) (y 2 )

...
(y i )

...
(yr )
m

ni. = n. j
j =1

9ROXPXO IUHFYHQ D JUXSHL

i:

n
j =1
0

ij

= ni .

ULPL PHGLL

0HGLLOH GH JUXS

( y i ):

yi =

y
j =1 m j =1

nij
ij

Media pe total:

y j n. j
y=
j =1

n. j
j =1
,QGLFDWRULL YDULD LHL

sau

y=

yi ni .
i =1

ni .
i =1

'LVSHUVLD GH JUXS

sau GLVSHUVLD SDU LDO ( i2 ) :

=
2 i

(y
i =1

y i ) 2 nij
,
ij

n
j =1

unde: yj UHSUH]LQW YDULDQWD VDX PLMORFXO LQWHUYDOXOXL j al caracteristicii dependente; y i media grupei i; nij IUHFYHQ HOH FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH ILHF UHL YDULDQWH LQWHUYDO GH YDORUL GLQ FDGUXO JUXSei.

0HGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

( 2 = 2 / r ) y

i2 n i .
i =1

ni .
i =1

unde: i2 - dispersia grupei i; n i . - volumul grupei i.

Dispersia dintre grupe ( 2 = 2 / x ) : y

2 y/ x

( y i
i =1 r

y ) 2 ni .

ni .
i =1
m

2 DisSHUVLD WRWDO ( 2 = y ) :

2 2 = y =

(y
j =1

j m

y ) 2 n. j
.j

n
j =1

5HJXOD DGXQ

ULL GLVSHUVLLORU

=
2

2 y/x

2 y/r

Pe baza regulii de adunare a dispersiilor se pot calcula indicatori statistici cu caracter de


P ULPL UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXU 

2 Gradul de dHWHUPLQD LH ( R y / x ) :

2 Ry / x =
'DF

(R y / x ) ! 

2 y/x 100 2

DGPLWHP F

IDFWRUXO GH JUXSDUH HVWH KRW UkWRU VHPQLILFDWLY GHWHUPLQDQW

SHQWUX YDULD LD IDFWRUXOXL GHWHUPLQDW

Y).

*UDGXO GH QHGHWHUPLQD LH

2 Ky/x =

2 y/r

100
WUDWLF OD QLYHOXO JUXSHL

$EDWHUHD PHGLH S

i = i2
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF SH WRWDO

= 2
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH OD QLYHOXO JUXSHL

vi =

i 100 , yi

unde: i - DEDWHUHD PHGLH S y i - media grupei.

WUDWLF

D JUXSHL

&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH SH WRWDO

v=

100 , y

unde: - DEDWHUHD PHGLH S y - media pe total.

WUDWLF

SH WRWDO

% &DOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWL

ve
VH SUH]LQW vQWU

2 VHULH GH GLVWULEX LH ELGLPHQVLRQDO

-un tabel de forma:


Tabel 3.3.

Valorile caracteristicii de grupare X x1 x2 ... xi ... xr Total y1 n*11 n*21 ... n*i1 ... n*r1

)UHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

Total (%) ym n*1m n*2m ... n*im ... n*rm 100 100 ... 100 ... 100

Ponderea grupei (ni(%)) n1(%) n2(%) ... ni(%) ... nr(%) 100

y2 n*12 n*22 ... n*i2 ... n*r2

... ... ... ...

yj n*1j n*2j ... n*ij ... n*rj

0HGLLOH GH JUXS

( y i ):

yi =

y
j =1

n * ij

100

Media pe total:

y i n i (%)
y=
i =1

100
VDX GLVSHUVLD SDU LDO

'LVSHUVLD GH JUXS

( i2 ) :

i2 =

( y j
i =1

y i ) 2 n * ij 100
(
2

0HGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

2 y/r

i2 n i (%)

i =1

100
2

Dispersia dintre grupe (

2 y/x

):

( y i

2 y/x

y ) 2 n i (%) 100

=
2

i =1

'LVSHUVLD WRWDO

(
2 y

=
2

2 y

):
2

,QGLFDWRULL PHGLL L DL YDULD LHL SHQWUX FDUDFWHULVWLFL DOWHUQDWLYH

'LVSHUVLD GH JUXS

( 2i ): p
i

2 = pi qi sau 2 = pi (1 pi ) , p p
i

n care: pi - UHSUH]LQW PHGLL GH JUXS  qi - IUHFYHQ HOH UHODWLYH DOH XQLW


0HGLD GLVSHUVLLORU SDU LDOH

LORU FDUH QX SRVHG

FDUDFWHULVWLFD vQ ILHFDUH JUXS 

2 ( p ) :

=
2 p

i =1 r i =1

2 pi

Ni

,
i
QXP UXO WRWDO DO XQLW LORU REVHUYDWH vQ ILHFDUH JUXS 

n care Ni UHSUH]LQW

2 Dispersia dintre grupe ( p ) :

p2 =

(p
i =1

i r

p) 2 N i

N
i =1

,
i

n care p este media caracteristicii alternative pe ntreaga colectivitate.


'LVSHUVLD WRWDO

( 2 ) : p

2 = pq p
5HJXOD DGXQ

dispersiilor: = + p2
2 p 2 p

ULL

9HULILFDUHD VHPQLILFD LHL IDFWRUXOXL GH JUXSDUH IRORVLQG WHVWXO )

Fcalculat =
unde:
2 Sy/x = r

2 Sy/x 2 Sy/r

(y
i =1
r m

y ) ni .
2

2 Sy/r =

(y
i =1 j =1

r 1
j

(r - QXP
2

UXO GH JUXSH

y i ) nij

nr

> Ftabelar factorul de grupare este semnificativ < Ftabelar factorul de grupare nu este semnificativ Ftabelar VH GHWHUPLQ vQ IXQF ie de un anumit nivel de semnifica gradele de libertate f1=r-1 L f2=n-r.
'DF )calculat

'DF

)calculat

LH GH H[HPSOX  L GH

PROBLEME REZOLVATE

ntr-un magazLQ OXFUHD]  YkQ] WRUL FDUH vQ OXQD RFWRPEULH  DX UHDOL]DW XQ YROXP desfacerilor (mil. lei) astfel: 138,8; 146,0; 150,0; 152,3; 158,2; 163,1; 165,0; 170,4; 176,2; 180,0. Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
V V V V V V VH IRUPH]H VHULD SULYLQG YROXPXO GHVIDFHULORU SULQ FHQWUDOL]DU VH FDOFXOH]H L V YROXPXO PHGLX DO GHVIDFHULORU GLQ DFHVW VH YHULILFH SULQFLSDOHOH SURSULHW HOH ID GH PHGLD DULWPHWLF  L DOH DFHVWHLD VH DUDWH vQ FH U

1.

DO

ea datelor individuale;
IRORVLQG PHGLD

PDJD]LQ

DULWPHWLF

VH IRORVHDVF

SHQWUX DFHHDL VHULH L DOWH WLSXUL GH PHGLL L V

aport de

P ULPH VH DIO

VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL GH SR]L LH PHGLL GH VWUXFWXU  VH FDUDFWHUL]H]H JUDGXO GH YDULD LH DO GLVWULEX LHL FDOFXOkQG vQ DFHVW VFRS LQGLFDWRULL

VLPSOL L VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL SUHFXP L VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD

gradul de asimetrie;

Rezolvare 1.
6HULD VH IRUPHD] SULQ RUGRQDUHD YDORULORU YH]L WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  L  

Notnd cu xi termenii individuali, volumul centralizat este

x
i =1

x
i =1

10

= 138,8 +146,0 +150,0 +....+180,0 = 1600 mil. lei


L DOH DFHVWHLD

2.

&DOFXOXO PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH L YHULILFDUHD SULQFLSDOHORU SURSULHW

se poate

face cu ajutorul unui tabel de calcul (Vezi tabelul 3.4.).


&DOFXOXO PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH VLPSOH L YHULILFDUHD SULQFLSDOHORU SURSULHW L

Tabelul 3.4. Volumul desfacerilor (mil. lei) 1 138,8 146,0 150,0 152,3 158,2 163,1 165,0 170,4 176,2 180,0 1600,0

Nr.crt. A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total

xi x
2 -21,2 -14,0 -10,0 -7,7 -1,8 +3,1 +5,0 +10,4 +16,2 +20,0 0

xi a
a = 138,8 3 0 7,2 11,2 13,5 19,4 24,3 26,2 31,6 37,4 41,2 212

xi ; h = 20 h
4 6,94 7,3 7,5 7,615 7,91 8,155 8,25 8,52 8,01 9,0 80

x
i =1

10

(x
i =1

10

x)

(x
i =1

10

a)

h
i =1

10

xi

2.1. Calculul mediei aritmetice simple (vezi coloana 1 din tabelul 3.4.): xi = 1600 = 160 PLO OHLYkQ] WRU x= n 10 2.2. 9HULILFDUHD SULQFLSDOHORU SURSULHW a) x min < x < x max 138,8 < x < 180 b)
L DOH PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH

x ) = 0 (vezi tabelul 3.4., coloana 2) Media fiind un ct exact, suma abaterilor pozitive s-a compensat cu suma abaterilor negative:(-54,7) + (54,7) = 0
i

(x
x
i =1 n

c)

= n x

10 160,0 = 1600 mil. lei

d) x =

= x a n Alegnd arbitrar a = 138,8 - primul termen - L FDOFXOkQG


i =1
 VH RE LQH

(x

a)
YDORULOH

xi - a (vezi tabelul

x =

(x
i =1

a) =

212 = 21,2 mil. OHLYkQ] 10

WRU

deci: x x = a 160-21,2=138,8 de unde: x = x + a x = 

 PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

e)

h
n

xi = x h

/XkQG DUELWUDU XQ K

 YH]L WDEHOXO  FRORDQD  VH RE LQH

x =

xi = 80 =8 10
PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

n x = x h x = 8 20 = 160

3. &DOFXOXO PHGLHL S 3.1. &DOFXOXO PHGLHL S

WUDWLFH DO PHGLHL DUPRQLFH L DO PHGLHL JHRPHWULFH WUDWLFH

(x ) (vezi tabelul 3.5., coloana 3):


p
PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

xp = n

257613,18 160,5 n 10 x p > x; 160,5 > 160 = 10

2 i

&DOFXOXO PHGLHL DUPRQLFH S

WUDWLFH L JHRPHWULFH

Tabelul 3.5. Volumul desfacerilor (mil. lei) 1 138,8 146,0 150,0 152,3 158,2 163,1 165,0 170,4 176,2 180,0 1600,0

Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total

1 xi
2 0,0072046 0,0068000 0,0066670 0,0065659 0,0063211 0,0061312 0,0060606 0,0058685 0,0056753 0,0055550 0,0628986

xi2
3 19265,44 21316,00 22500,00 23195,29 25027,24 26601,61 27225,00 29036,16 31046,44 32400,0 257613,18

lg xi
4 2,14239 2,16425 2,17605 2,18270 2,19921 2,21245 2,21748 2,23045 2,24601 2,25527 22,02640

3.2. Calculul mediei armonice ( x h ) (vezi tabelul 3.5., coloana 2) n 10 xh = = = 158,98 PLOOHLYkQ] WRU 1 0,0628986 x i xh < x ; 158,98 < 160,0 Deci: x h < x < x p 3.3. Calculul mediei geometrice ( x g ) (vezi tabelul 3.5., coloana 4):

xg = n
lg x g =

xi ;
i =1

lg x g =

lg x
i =1

22,02640 2,20264 10 antilog 2,20264 = 159,5 => x g =  PLOOHL YkQ]


Deci: x g < x a ; x a = x = 160,0 159,5 < 160

WRU

5HFDSLWXOkQG YDORULOH PHGLLORU RE LQXWH DYHP PLOOHLYkQ] WRU WRU

x p =160,5 PLOOHLYkQ]

WRU WRU

x h = 158,98 PLOOHLYkQ]
5HOD LD GLQWUH PHGLL HVWH

x g = 159,50 PLOOHLYkQ]

xh < xg < xa < x p 158,98 < 159,5 < 160 < 160.5
$EDWHULOH vQWUH FHOH SDWUX P ULPL PHGLL ILLQG IRDUWH PLFL VH SRDWH WUDJH FRQFOX]LD F DFHDVW VHULH RULFH PHGLH V DU IRORVL HD P VRDU SHQWUX VXILFLHQW GH FRUHFW WHQGLQ D FHQWUDO L GHFL PHGLD

vQ DFHVW FD] SRDWH IL R YDORDUH WLSLF 

4.

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU PHGLL GH SR]L LH

4.1. Calculul medianei (Me)


locul medianei: U ( Me) =

n + 1 10 + 1 = = 5,5 2 2

valoarea medianei: x + x 6 158,2 + 163,1 Me = 5 = = 160,65 mil. lei 2 2


L QHDYkQG WHUPHQL FDUH V VH UHSHWH QX HVWH FD]XO

4.2. Calculul modului


)LLQG VHULH VLPSO

4.3. Calculul cuartilelor Calculul cuartilelor presupune stabilirea locului cuartilelor U(Q2 L DSRL FDOFXODUHD YDORULORU lor:

U (Q1 ) =
Q1 =

n + 1 11 = = 2,75 4 4

x 2 + x3 146 + 150 = = 148 mil. lei 2 2

Q 2 = M e = 160 , 65 mil. lei

U (Q3 ) =
Q3 =

3(n + 1) = 8,25 4

x8 + x9 170,4 + 176,2 = = 173,3 mil. lei 2 2

Potrivit celor trei cuartile, seria se poate structura astfel:


6WUXFWXUD VHULHL vQ IXQF LH GH YDORULOH FHORU WUHL FXDUWLOH

Tabelul 3.6.
,QWHUYDO GH YDULD LH

138,80-148,00 148,00-160,65 160,65-173,30 173,30-180,00

Structura seriei (%) 25 25 25 25

5.

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU GH YDULD LH L DVLPHWULH

PenWUX FDOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU GH YDULD LH VH IRORVHWH WDEHOXO 


&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU GH YDULD LH

Tabelul 3.7. Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

xi
1 138,8 146,0 150,0 152,3 158,2 163,1 165,0 170,4 176,2 180,0 1600,0
n i =1 i

xi x
2 21,2 14,0 10,0 7,7 1,8 3,1 5,0 10,4 16,2 20,0 109,4

(xi x )2
3 449,44 196,00 100,00 59,29 3,24 9,61 25,0 108,16 262,44 400,00 1613,18

xi2
4 19265,44 21316,00 22500,00 23195,24 25027,24 26601,61 27225,00 29036,16 31046,44 32400,00 257613,18
2

xi x x

100

5 - 13,25 - 8,75 - 6,25 - 4,81 - 1,13 1,94 3,13 6,50 10,13 12,50

xi x

(xi x )
i =1

5.1. ,QGLFDWRULL VLPSOL DL YDULD LHL

$PSOLWXGLQHD YDULD LHL

Aa = xmax - xmin =180-138,8 = 41,2 mil. lei x x min 41,2 A% = max = 100 = 25,75% x 160

Abaterile absolute DOH ILHF UHL YDULDELOH ID GH PHGLH di): d i = xi x (vezi tabelul 3.7., coloana 2) Abaterile relative (di(%)) x x d i (%) = i 100 (vezi tabelul 3.7., coloana 5) x

5.2. ,QGLFDWRULL VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL

$EDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU

(d )
x

L VH IRORVHVF GDWHOH GLQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQD 

dx =

x
i =1

x =

109,4 = 10,94 10

PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

2 Dispersia ( x ) VH FDOFXOHD]
2 x =

FX GDWHOH GLQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQD

3:

(x
i =1

x)

1613,18 = 161,318 10

'LVSHUVLD VH PDL SRDWH FDOFXOD L FX IRUPXOD

x2 n Datele necesare VH J VHVF vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  L  257613,18 2 x = 160 2 = 161,318 10 Deci s-D DMXQV OD DFHODL UH]XOWDW
i =1

2 x =

2 i

$EDWHUHD PHGLH S

WUDWLF

x =

(xi x )2
n

sH FDOFXOHD]

H[WU JkQG U G FLQD S WUDW

din dispersie:
2 x = x = 161,318 = 12,70
PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

&RHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH

(v, v) dx 10 , 94 v = 100 = 100 = 6 , 84% x 160 x 12 , 70 100 = 100 = 7 , 84% v= x 160 v' v    GHFL VH SRDWH DILUPD F VHULD DUH XQ JUDG PDUH GH RPRJHQLWDWH L PHGLD L
HVWH UHSUH]HQWDWLY SHQWUX vQWUHDJD VHULH

6.
UDGLDO

5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

Q DFHVW FD] YDULD LD QHILLQG FRQWLQX  VH SRDWH IRORVL XQ JUDILF SULQ FRORDQH L R GLDJUDP FX ]HFH UD]H YH]L ILJXULOH  L  

200

mil. lei

180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 2 3 138,8 146 150

152,3

158,2 163,1

165

173,4 176,2

180

10

)LJXUD  5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU vQ IXQF LH GH YROXPXO GHVIDFHULORU PLO OHL

1 10 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2

7 6

)LJXUD  5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU vQ IXQF LH

de volumul desfacerilor (mil. lei)

2.
3HQWUX R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO VH FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLWRU OD YHFKLPHD vQ SURGXF LH vQVFULVH vQ WDEHOXO  GDWH FRQYHQ LRQDOH 
5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU GLQWU R VHF LH GXS

YHFKLPH

Tabelul 3.8. Grupe dH VDODULD L


GXS YHFKLPH DQL 1XP UXO VDODULD LORU

Sub 5 10

5-10 40

10-15 60

15-20 80

20-25 50

25-30 30

30-35 20

 L

peste 10

Se cere: 1. UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF D VHULHL IRORVLQG IUHFYHQ HOH UHDOH L FHOH FXPXODWH 2. vechimea medie a muncitorilor prin caOFXOXO PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH FX IUHFYHQ H
UHODWLYH L SULQ FDOFXOXO VLPSOLILFDW VSHFLILFkQG FH SURSULHW DEVROXWH

L DOH PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH VWDX

OD ED]D FDOFXOXOXL PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH L SULQ FDOFXOXO VLPSOLILFDW

3. LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL GH SR]L ie; 4. LQGLFDWRULL VLPSOL L VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL 5. indicatorii de asimetrie; 6. PHGLD L GLVSHUVLD SHQWUX PXQFLWRULL cu o vechime mai mare dect vechimea medie.

Rezolvare 1.
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF D VHULHL

+LVWRJUDPD L SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU YH]L ILJXUD &XUED FXPXODWLY

3.3.);

D IUHFYHQ HORU YH]L ILJXUD  

90 80 70

U VDODULD L

QXP

2. Calculul vechimii medii n acest scop se vor folosi datele din tabelul 3.9.
Tabelul 3.9. Grupe de
VDODULD L GXS 1XP UXO VDODULD LORU

vechime (ani) 0 0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 35-40 Total

abs. (ni) 1 10 40 60 80 50 30 20 10 300

n i*( % )

2 3,33 13,33 20,00 26,67 16,67 10,00 6,67 3,33 100

ni
i =1

n i*( % )
i =1

60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 vechime (ani)
)LJXUD  'LVWULEX LD VDODULD LORU vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH

350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

vechime (ani)
)LJXUD  'LVWULEX LD VDODULD LORU vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH

Centrul de interval (xi) 3 2,5 7,5 12,5 17,5 22,5 27,5 32,5 37,5 -

xi ni
4 25 300 750 1400 1125 825 650 375 5450

x i n i*( % )
5 8,325 99,975 250,000 466,725 375,075 275,000 216,775 124,875 1816,75

xi a h
a=17,5 h=5 6 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 -

xi a ni h
7 -30 -80 -60 0 50 60 60 40 40

)UHFYHQ H

absolute cumulate cres- descresF WRU F WRU

8 10 50 110 190 240 270 290 300 -

9 300 290 250 190 110 60 30 10 -

xi ni
i =1

xi ni* (%)
i =1

i =1

xi a ni h

2.1. Calculul mediei aritmetice pe baza:

frecven HORU DEVROXWH


x=

xi ni
i =1

ni
i =1

5450 = 18.167 18 , 2 ani/salariat 300

IUHFYHQ HORU UHODWLYH

x=

x i n i*( % )
i =1

100

18 , 2 ani/salariat
SH SURSULHWDWHD

&DOFXOXO PHGLHL IRORVLQG IUHFYHQWHOH UHODWLYH VH ED]HD]

n xi ci k i =1 = x ; n acest caz c = ni k n i =1 ci i =1 2.2. Calculul simplificat al mediei aritmetice: k xi a h n i 40 i =1 x= h + a = 5 + 17 , 5 = 18 , 1667 18 , 2 ani/salariat k 300 ni
i =1

Calculul mediei prin acest procedeu s-D ED]DW SH GRX anume: x =

SURSULHW

L DOH PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH L

(x
i =1 k

i k

a ) ni
i

n
i =1

= x a ,

de unde:

x= xi

(x
i =1

i k

a ) ni
i

n
i =1

+ a;

x =

x hi ni i =1

n
i =1

x , de unde: h

x=

hn
i =1 k

n
i =1

&kQG VXQW LQWHUYDOH HJDOH HVWH FRQYHQDELO V IUHFYHQ D PD[LP  DGLF DGLF

se ia a egal cu centrul intervalului cu


R YDORDUH HJDO FX P ULPHD LQWHUYDOHORU

a  h = 5 (vezi tabelul 3.9.).

L SHQWUX

3.

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU PHGLL GH SR]L LH

3.1. &DOFXOXO PHGLDQHL 0H L D FHORUODOWH PHGLL GH SR]L LH:

FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

U ( Me) =

n
i =1

+1 =

300 + 1 = 150,5 , 2

deci

15 < Me < 20

n
i =1

+1

Me = x 0 + h

2 nm

ni
i =1

m 1

= 15 + 5

150,5 110 = 17,5 ani 80

U (Q1 ) =

n
i =1

+1 =

301 = 75,25 , deci 2

10< Q1 <15

1 k u 1 n i + 1 n i 4 i =1 i =1 = 10 + 5 75,25 50 = 12,125 ani Q1 = x0 + h nu 60

Q 2 = M e = 17 , 5 ani U (Q3 ) = 3 k 3 ni + 1 = 301 = 225,75 4 i =1 4 deci 20 < Q3 < 25

3 k v 1 n i + 1 n i 4 i =1 i =1 = 20 + 5 225,75 190 = 23,525 ani Q3 = x 0 + h nv 50

FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

U ( Me ) =

n *(
i =1
i

+1 =

2
k

100 + 1 = 50 , 5 , 2

deci

15 < Me < 20

n i*( % ) + 1
i =1

Me = x 0 + h

n *i ( % )
i =1

m 1

* nm (%

= 15 + 5

50 , 5 36 , 66 = 17 , 59 ani 26 , 67

U ( Q1 ) =

n *(
i =1

i %

+1 =

101 = 25 , 25 , 2

deci

10 < Q1 < 15

Q1 = x 0 + h

u 1 1 k * n + 1 n *i ( % ) 4 i =1 i ( % ) i =1
* nu(%

= 10 + 5

25 , 25 16 , 66 = 12 , 148 ani 20

Q 2 = M e = 17 , 59 ani

U ( Q3 ) =

3 3 k * n + 1 = 101 = 75 , 75 , 4 i =1 i ( % ) 4
v 1 3 k * n i ( % ) + 1 n i*( % ) 4 i =1 i =1
* nv (%

deci

20 < Q3 < 25

Q3 = x0 + h

= 20 + 5

75 , 75 63 , 33 = 23 , 725 ani 16 , 67

'LIHUHQ HOH GLQWUH LQGLFDWRULL FDOFXOD L FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH L FHL FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH VXQW QHVHPQLILFDWLYH L SURYLQ GLQ URWXQMLUHD IUHFYHQ HORU UHODWLYH

3.2. Calculul modului (Mo):

FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

Locul Mo vO FRQVWLWXLH LQWHUYDOXO FX IUHFYHQ D PD[LP 1 20 Mo = x 0 + h = 15 + 5 = 17 ani 1 + 2 20 + 30

  

Mo < 20.

cu frecven H UHODWLYH 1 26,67 20 Mo = x 0 + h = 15 + 5 = 17,27 ani 1 + 2 (26,67 20) + (26,67 16,67)


9DORULOH WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH FRQVLGHUDWH FD P ULPL WLSLFH FH GHILQHVF DFHDVW VHULH SHQWUX

FDOFXOXO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH VXQW

x =18,2 ani; Me=17,5 ani; Mo=17 ani.

4. Calculul indicatorilor GH YDULD LH (vezi tabelul 3.10.). 4.1. Calculul indicatorilor simpli
Q DFHVW FD] QX VXQW FRQFOXGHQ L

4.2. Calculul indicatorilor sintetici $EDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU d i ) VH RE LQH GLQ vQVXPDUHD YDORULORU GLQ FRORDQD  YH]L WDEHOXO 3 I U V VH LQ VHDPD GH VHPQ dx =

x
i =1

i k

x ni
i

n
i =1

1956 = 6,5 ani/salariat 300

2 Dispersia ( x ): - FDOFXOXO RELQXLW

2 x =

(x
i =1

x ) ni
2 k i

n
i =1

20367 = 67,89 300

calculul simplificat:
x a i h ni 2 820 2 x = i =1 k h ( x a) 2 = 25 (18,2 17,5) 2 = 67,84 300 ni
k 2 i =1

$EDWHUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF

x)

2 x = x = 67,84 = 8,2 ani/salariat

&RHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH

v L v)

GDF

VH SRUQHWH GH OD DEDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU 

d 6,5 v = x 100 = 100 = 35,7% x 18,2


GDF

v=

x 8,2 100 = 100 = 45% x 18,2

VH SRUQHWH GH OD DEDWHUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF 

Interpretnd valoarea coeficientului de YDULD LH VH SRDWH DILUPD F


UHSUH]HQWDWLY  FD XUPDUH D IDSWXOXL F V DSDU LQ WR L VDODULD LL HUD GH DWHSWDW FD YHFKLPHD PHGLH V DLE OD vQWUHJXO LQWHUYDO GH YDULD LH D YHFKLPLL

PHGLD QX HVWH VXILFLHQW GH

VHULD QX HVWH VXILFLHQW GH RPRJHQ  'H DOWIHO ILLQG YRUED GH R GLVSHUVLH PDUH VDODULD LL vQ DQVDPEOX

l lor

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL

Tabelul 3.10. Grupe de


VDODULD L GXS 1XP UXO

muncitorilor abs. (ni) 1 10 40 60 80 50 30 20 10 300

vechime (ani) 0 0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 35-40 Total

n i* ( %

Centrul de interval (xi) 3 2,5 7,5 12,5 17,5 22,5 27,5 32,5 37,5 -

xi x

(xi x ) ni

(xi x )2 .ni
a = 17,5 h=5

xi a ni h
2

2 3,33 13,33 20,00 26,67 16,67 10,00 6,67 3,33 100

4 -15,7 -10,7 -5,7 -0,7 4,3 9,3 14,3 19,3 -

ni
i =1
'HRDUHFH

n i*( % )
i =1
QX HVWH XQ FkW

5 -157 -428 -342 -56 215 279 286 193 -10 1) (xi x ) ni

(x

6 2464,9 4579,6 1949,4 39,2 924,5 2594,7 4089,8 3724,9 20367,0


i

x ) .ni
2
QX

7 90 160 60 0 60 120 180 160 820

x a i h ni i =1
k 2
SURSULHWDWHD

1)

(xi x ) ni = 0 . 'LIHUHQ D ILLQG IRDUWH PLF -10), rotunjirea medie ntr-R P VXU IRDUWH PLF P ULPHD FHORUODO L LQGLFDWRUL
5. Calculul indicatorilor de asimetrie

PHGLD

H[DFW

IRVW

URWXQMLW 

YHULILF

QX YD LQIOXHQ D GHFkW

Q DFHVW VFRS YRP FDOFXOD FRHILFLHQ LL GH DVLPHWULH SURSXL GH 3HDUVRQ

(Cas

L &as L

Yule:
C as =

( x Mo) 18,2 17 = = 0,146 x 8,2

C as =

3( x Me) 3(18,2 17,5) = = 0,256 x 8,2

AS =

q 2 q1 , q 2 + q1

unde

q1=Me - Q1; q2 =Q3 Me

q1 = 17,5 12,125 = 5,375 q2 = 33,575 17,5 = 6,075


AS = 6,075 5,375 = 0,061 6,075 + 5,375
R DVLPHWULH PRGHUDW SR]LWLY 

&HL WUHL LQGLFDWRUL GH DVLPHWULH FDOFXOD L LQGLF

6. 0HGLD L GLVSHUVLD FDUDFWHULVWicii alternative Media (p) M p= , N unde: M QXP UXO PXQFLWRULORU FX R YHFKLPH ! x = 18,2 ani; M =110; N QXP UXO WRWDO DO PXQFLWRULORU 1  M 110 p= = = 0,3667 N 300 Dispersia ( 2 ) p

2 = p(1 p) = 0,3667(1 0,3667) = 0,2322 p

3.
ntr-R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO s-DX RE LQXW XUP WRDUHOH GDWH
 FDUH DUH  GH PXQFLWRUL V D RUJDQL]DW R REVHUYDUH VWDWLVWLF

5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU vQ IXQF LH GH SURGXF LD RE LQXW

EXF

Tabelul 3.11. Grupe de muncitori


GXS SURGXF LD RE LQXW EXF 1XP U PXQFLWRUL

Sub 120 120-140 140-160 160-180 180-200 200-220 220-240


 L SHVWH

Total

10 18 23 38 51 40 15 5 200

5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH DQL

Tabelul 3.12. Grupe de muncitori GXS YHFKLPH (ani) Sub 2 2-4 4-8 8-12 12-18 18-24
 L SHVWH

Structura muncitorilor
vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH

Total

4,2 8,5 12,9 30,2 26,2 10,2 7,8 100,0

Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH FDUDFWHUL]H]H VWDWLVWLF FHOH GRX VH SUHFL]H]H GXS VHULL IRORVLQG PHWRGD JUDILF  LQGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH PHGLLOH GH VWUXFWXU  LQGLFDWRULL GH YDULD LH L VRFLHW LL FRPHUFLDOH UHVSHFWLYH

asimetrie;
FROHFWLYLWDWHD GH PXQFLWRUL DL

FDUH GLQ YDULDELOH HVWH PDL RPRJHQ

Rezolvare 1.
6HULD SULYLQG UHSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU vQ IXQF LH GH SURGXF LD LQGLYLGXDO FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH L HVWH JUXSDW 3HQWUX FDUDFWHUL]DUHD VWDWLVWLF SH  LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH HVWH SUH]HQWDW

D DFHVWHL VHULL GH IUHFYHQ H VH YD IDFH UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF D IUHFYHQ HORU YH]L ILJ  L  IRORVLQG FRO L

SULQ KLVWRJUDP  SROLJRQXO L FXUED FXPXODWLY

7 din tabelul 3.13. Graficul de concentrare se face analog cu cel din figura 1.4. (vezi capitolul 1).

60

51
50

38
&' 2( 1 0 &% '( %) 0
40 30

40

23 18 15 5

20

10
10 0 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280

)LJXUD  'LVWULEX LD PXQFLWRULORU vQ IXQF LH GH SURGXF LD ]LOQLF

$ " !   #     
EXF L

225 200 175 nr. muncitori 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260
SURGXF LD EXF

)LJXUD  'LVWULEX LD PXQFLWRULORU vQ IXQF LH GH SURGXF LD ]LOQLF

EXF

)LLQG LQWHUYDOH HJDOH SHQWUX PHGLH L GLVSHUVLH VH YRU XWLOL]D IRUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO VLPSOLILFDW

x=

xi a h i =1
k

ni

ni
i =1

h + a ,

respectiv

x a i h ni 2 2 x = i =1 k h ( x a) 2 ni
k 2 i =1

Pentru calculul indicatorilor se va folosi tabelul 3.13.


&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU FDUH FDUDFWHUL]HD] vQ IXQF LH GH P UHSDUWL LD FHORU  GH PXQFLWRUL ULPHD SURGXF LHL ]LOQLFH RE LQXWH

Tabelul 3.13. Grupe de muncitori


GXS SURGXF LD RE LQXW 1XP U

muncitori (ni)

Centre de interval (xi)

xi a h
a=190 h=20 3 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

2 xi x x a ni i ni h h

)UHFYHQ H FXPXODWH

&UHVF

WRU

DescresF WRU

(buc.) 0 sub 120 120-140 140-160 160-180 180-200 200-220 220-240


 L SHVWH

Total

1 10 18 23 38 51 40 15 5 200

2 110 130 150 170 190 210 230 250

4 -40 -54 -46 -38 0 40 30 15 -93

5 160 162 92 38 0 40 60 45 597

6 10 28 51 89 140 180 195 200 -

7 200 190 172 149 111 60 20 5 -

x=

93 20 + 190 = 180 , 7 buc./muncitor 200 = 597 20 2 ( 180 , 7 190 ) 2 = 1107 , 51 200

2 x

x = 1107,51 = 33,28 buc./muncitor


v=

x 33,28 100 = 100 = 18,42% x 180,7


PHGLD HVWH UHSUH]HQWDWLY

3H ED]D FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH YDULD LH VH SRDWH WUDJH FRQFOX]LD F   FHHD FH vQVHDPQ vQ DFHODL WLPS F

pentru cele mai multe valori individuale ale serieL GHRDUHFH DP RE LQXW XQ FRHILFLHQW PLF GH YDULD LH
GDWHOH VXQW GHVWXO GH RPRJHQH vQWUH HOH 'LQ DFHODL WDEHO VH SRW FDOFXOD L FHLODO L GRL LQGLFDWRUL DL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH YDORDUH PRGDO L YDORDUH PHGLDQ  ,QWHUYDOXO FX IUHFYHQ PD[LP  FXSULQGH L PRGXO

180 < Mo < 200, de unde:

Mo = x 0 + h

1 (51 38) = 180 + 20 = 190,83 1 + 2 (51 38) + (51 40)

EXF

Locul medianei n serie:

U ( Me) =

n
i =1

+1 =

200 + 1 = 100,5 2

Q LQWHUYDOXO DO FLQFLOHD VXPD IUHFYHQ HORU FXPXODWH HVWH PDL PDUH GHFkW ORFXO PHGLDQHL vQ

seULH DGLF

180 < Me < 200

n
i =1

+1

Me = x 0 + h
Deci, x , Me
UHOD LD L

2 nm

ni
i =1

m 1

= 180 + 20

100,5 89 = 184,5 51

EXF

Mo

VH J VHVF vQ DFHODL LQWHUYDO VHULD HVWH XRU DVLPHWULF

L SXWHP YHULILFD

3( x -Me) = x -Mo 3(180,700-184,5) =-11,4

x -Mo = 180,7-190,83 =-10,13


QVHDPQ F SHQWUX VHULD QRDVWU  FX R GLIHUHQ QHVHPQLILFDWLY  VH YHULILF UHOD LD GLQWUH FHL WUHL LQGLFDWRUL DL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH H[LVWHQW vQ FD]XO UHSDUWL LLORU PRGHUDW DVLPHWULFH

Pentru stabilirea gradului de asimetrie vom avea: C as = ( x Mo )


=

180 , 7 190 , 83 10 , 13 = = 0 , 30 33 , 28 33 , 28

C as =

3( x Me) 3(180,7 184,5) 11,4 = = = 0,34 x 33,28 33,28

AS =

q 2 q1 , q 2 + q1

unde

q1=Me - Q1;

q2 =Q3 Me

U (Q1 ) =

n
i =1

+1 =

201 = 50,25 4

140 < Q1 < 160


1 k u 1 n i + 1 n i 4 i =1 i =1 = 140 + 20 50,25 28 = 159,34 Q1 = x0 + h nu 23

EXF

U (Q3 ) =

3 k 3 ni + 1 = 201 = 150,75 4 i =1 4

200 < Q3 < 220


3 k v 1 n i + 1 n i 4 i =1 i =1 = 200 + 20 150,75 140 = 205,375 Q3 = x 0 + h nv 40

EXF

q1 = 184,5-159,34 = 25,16 q2 = 205,375-184,5 = 20,875


AS = 20,875 25,16 = 0,093 20,875 + 25,16
RE LQXW YDORUL QHJDWLYH UHODWLY PLFL SHQWUX FRHILFLHQ LL GH DVLPHWULH YDORULOH PDL PDUL L FD DWDUH LQGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH VXQW PDL DEDWHUL QHJDWLYH vQ FRPSDUD LH FX FHL FDUH SUH]LQW SUHGRPLQ

n toate cazurile s-DX


FHHD FH vQVHDPQ F

UHSUH]HQWDWLYL SHQWUX WHUPHQLL FDUH SUH]LQW

abateri pozitive ( x < Me < Mo). 2.


6HULD SULYLQG UHSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS YHFKLPH HVWH SH LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH L FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH 3HQWUX UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF HVWH QHFHVDU V VH IDF R VHULH GH FDOFXOH SUHJ WLWRDUH

&DOFXOXO IUHFYHQ HORU UHGXVH L D IUHFYHQ HORU FXPXODWH

pentru seria referitoare la vechime Tabelul 3.14.

*UXSH GXS

vechime (ani)

Structura muncitorilor (n*i(%))

ULPHD

5DSRUWXO ID

GH

)UHFYHQ H

)UHFYHQ H

intervalulu i (hi)

primul interval

reduse

h Ki = i h1
3 1,0 1,0 2,0 2,0 3,0 3,0 3,0 15

n i* (%) Ki
4 4,2 8,5 6,5 15,1 8,7 3,4 2,6 -

relative cumulate
FUHVF

- descresF WRU

A 0-2 2-4 4-8 8-12 12-18 18-24 24-30 Total

1 4,2 8,5 12,9 30,2 26,2 10,2 7,8 100

2 2 2 4 4 6 6 6 -

tor 5 4,2 12,7 25,6 55,8 82,0 92,2 100 -

6 100,0 95,8 87,3 74,4 44,2 18,0 7,8 -

Folosind datele din tabelul 3.14. se constituie: histograma, polLJRQXO


FXPXODWLY YH]L ILJ  L  

IUHFYHQ HORU L FXUED

16 structura muncitorilor (%) 14 12 10 8 6 4,2 4 2 0 0 4 8


8,5 12,9

30,2

26,2

10,2 7,8

12

16

20

24

28

32

vechime (ani)

)LJXUD  5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH

structura muncitorilor (%)

100 80 60 40 20 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30

vechime (ani)

)vJXUD  5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPH

L vQ DFHVW FD] WUHEXLH FDOFXOD L LQGLFDWRULL FDUH FDUDFWHUL]HD] VLPSOLILFDW 'H UHJXO  VH RSWHD] QXPDL SHQWUX IRORVLUHD XQHL

VWDWLVWLF DFHDVW SURSULHW

VHULH )LLQG GH FDOFXO L

LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH WUHEXLH FDOFXODWH FHQWUHOH GH LQWHUYDO L DSRL VH YD DSOLFD R IRUPXO VLQJXUH PLFRUDUHD WHUPHQLORU FX R FRQVWDQW

bazate pe

a" (vezi tabelul 3.15.).


ntr-o serie cu intervale neegale Tabelul 3.15.

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH D PHGLLORU GH SR]L LH L D LQGLFDWRULORU GH YDULD LH

)UHFYHQ

Intervale
GH YDULD LH

reODWLY (n
* i (%) )

Centrul intervalului ( xi ) 2 1 3 6 10 15 21 27 -

(xi - a) a = 10 3 -9 -7 -4 0 5 11 17 -

( xi a ) ni*(%) ( xi a ) 2 ni*(%)
4 -37,8 -59,5 -51,6 0 31 112,2 132,6 226,9 5 340,2 416,5 206,4 0 655 1234,3 2554,2 5113,5

)UHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

cumulative 6 4,2 12,7 25,6 5,5,8 82,0 92,2 100,0 -

A 0-2 2-4 4-8 8 - 12 12 - 18 18 - 24 24 - 30 Total

1 4,2 8,5 12,9 30,2 26,2 10,2 7,8 100

(x x=

2 x

a ) ni*(%) 100

226,9 + 10 12,3 ani/muncitor 100


( x a )2 = 5113 , 5 ( 12 , 3 10 ) 2 = 45 , 84 100

(xi =

a ) 2 n i*(%) 100

x = 45,84 = 6,77 ani/muncitor


v=

x 6,77 100 = 100 = 55% x 12,3

8 < Mo < 12
Mo = x 0 + h 1 (30,2 12,9) =8+4 = 11,25 ani 1 + 2 (30,2 12,9) + (30,2 26,2)

Locul medianei n serie:

U ( Me) =

n
i =1

+1 =

100 + 1 = 50,5 2

8 <Me < 12

n*
i =1

i (%)

+1

Me = x 0 + h

2 n
*
m

n *i (%)
i =1

m 1

=8+4

50 , 5 26 , 6 30 , 2

= 11 , 298 ani

(% )

U (Q1 ) =

101 = 25,25 4

4 < Q1 <8

Q1 = 4 + 4

25,25 12,7 = 7,89 ani 12,9

Q 2 = M e = 11 , 298 ani
U (Q3 ) = 3 101 = 75,75 4

12 < Q3 < 18
Q3 = 12 + 6 75,75 55,8 = 16,568 ani 26,2

C as =

( x Mo) 12,3 11,25 = = 0,155 6,77 x 3( x Me) 3(12,3 11,298) = = 0,44 x 6,77

C as =

q1 = Me-Q1=11,298 7,89 = 3,488 q2 = Q3 Me = 16,568 11,298 = 5,27


AS = q 2 q1 5,2 3,488 = = 0,203 q 2 + q1 25,2 + 3,488
F VHULD DUH FDUDFWHU QHRPRJHQ GHRDUHFH FRHILFLHQWXO GH VLWXD LH HUD GH DWHSWDW VHULD DYkQG  5HIHULQGX QH OD YHFKLPH DFHDVW

$QDOL]kQG UH]XOWDWHOH VH FRQVWDW YDULD LH WRWDO HVWH GH 

LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH GH YDULD LH L IUHFYHQ HOH GLVWULEXLQGX &DOFXOkQG FRHILFLHQ LL GH DVLPHWULH VH FRQVWDW Q ILQDO VH SRDWH VSXQH F RPRJHQ  FDUDFWHUL]DW vQWUHSULQGHUHD UHVSHFWLY

-se neuniform. R DVLPHWULH spre valorile mici (Mo < Me < x ).


L HVWH PXOW PDL vQ PRG FRUHFW vQ WUDJHP FRQFOX]LD F

VHULD SULYLQG GLVWULEX LD SURGXF LHL vQ EXF

GH LQGLFDWRUL FX YDORUL PLFL SHQWUX YDULD LH L DVLPHWULH L HVWH QHRPRJHQ SURGXF LLOH LQGLYLGXDOH RE LQXWH QX GHSLQG vQ SULQFLSDO GH YHFKLPH FL GH

SHQWUX VHULD SULYLQG YHFKLPHD PHGLH FHHD FH QH SHUPLWH V DO L IDFWRUL HVHQ LDOL VSHFLILFL

4.
SULQ XQLW

ntr-R

VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO  V DX vQUHJLVWUDW FX SULYLUH OD XQ SURGXV GH ED]

GHVWLQDW YkQ] ULL LL PXQFLL

LOH SURSULL GDWHOH QHFHVDUH GHWHUPLQ ULL QLYHOXOXL PHGLX DO SURGXFWLYLW GH WLPS GH PXQF

consumului specific

FKHOWXLHOLOH WRWDOH GH WLPS GH PXQF

zi UHSUH]LQW

yi 

'DWHOH VH SUH]LQW

vQWU R VHULH ELGLPHQVLRQDO

(xi) L DO

vQ FDUH

IUHFYHQ HOH FRPXQH SHQWUX FHOH GRX

YDULDELOH

Tabelul 3.16. Produs Nivelul


SURGXFWLYLW LL

Consumul specific de timp Cheltuielile GH PXQF RUH-om la 1000 lei totale de timp
SURGXF LH GH PXQF

muncii orare
PLL OHLRU

(yi)

(xi) A A B C Total 1 10,0 6,25 7,47 8,65 2 0,100 0,160 0,134 0,116

(mii ore-om) (zi) 3 11624 6444 100 18168

Se cere: 1. calculul nivelului mediu al SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL ( w = x ); 2. FDOFXOXO FRQVXPXOXL PHGLX GH WLPS GH PXQF ( t = y ). 1RW  V VH VSHFLILFH FH IHO GH PHGLL V-DX XWLOL]DW L GH FH "

Rezolvare
'DF FHOH GRX FDUDFWHULVWLFL VXQW FRQVLGHUDWH LQWHUGHSHQGHQWH vQWUH HOH VH SXQH SUREOHPD SURSRU LRQDOLWDWH L DOHJHULL FHOXL PDL SRWULYLW WLS GH PHGLH SHQWUX D S VWUD DFHHDL UHOD LH GH LQYHUV vQWUH P ULPLOH PHGLL FDOFXODWH QWUH FHOH GRX YDULDELOH DSDU UHOD LLOH

xi =

ELGLPHQVLRQDO 3ULPD HVWH IRUPDW

FX IUHFYHQ H FRPXQH VHULH GH GLVWULEX LH D

(n ).
xi yi
QLYHOXULORU

1 yi

SHQWUX

FDUH

VH

YD

RE LQH

UHSDUWL LH

SURGXFWLYLW

LL

PXQFLL

HVWH

IRUPDW

GLQ

GDWHOH

FRORDQHORU  L  LDU FHD GH

-a doua sHULH GH GLVWULEX LH - D FRQVXPXULORU VSHFLILFH GH WLPS GH PXQF


VHULL DX DFHOHDL SRQGHUL YDULDELOH L vQWUH P ULPLOH IRORVL PHGLD DULWPHWLF QXP UXO WRWDO GH RP PHGLX DO

GLQ GDWHOH FRORDQHORU  L  $VWIHO SUH]HQWDWH FHOH GRX

SHQWUX DPEHOH FDUDFWHULVWLFL DGLF PHGLL SHQWUX FDOFXOXO QLYHOXOXL

-ore lucrate.
LL PXQFLL YRP VH YD DSOLFD PHGLD DUPRQLF

3HQWUX D S VWUD UHOD LD GH LQYHUV SRQGHUDW SRQGHUDW 

SURSRU LRQDOLWDWH GLQWUH FHOH GRX SURGXFWLYLW

LDU SHQWUX FDOFXOXO FRQVXPXOXL PHGLX GH WLPS GH PXQF

1.

&DOFXOXO QLYHOXOXL PHGLX DO SURGXFWLYLW

LL PXQFLL

w=x=

x n
i =1 k i

xi yi

n
i =1

10 11624 + 6,25 6444 + 7,47 100 = 8,65 mii lei/ore-om 18168

xi yi

2.

&DOFXOXO FRQVXPXOXL PHGLX GH WLPS GH PXQF

t =y=

n
i =1

xi y i

y
i =1

1
i

n xi yi

18168 = 0,116 ore-om/1000 lei 1 1 1 11624 + 6444 + 100 0,10 0,16 0,134
PHGLL vQ PLL OHL

9HULILFDUHD UHOD LHL GLQWUH FHOH GRX

1 x= ; y
'LIHUHQ D PHGLD DULWPHWLF SRDWH FkQG VH

1 = 8,62; 0,116
SURYHQL GLQ URWXQMLUHD FDOFXOXOXL IUHFYHQ 'HFL L QX PHGLD DUPRQLF SRDWH 8Q VXEVWLWXL DVWIHO GH FXQRVF SURGXVHOH GH IUHFYHQ HOH ,QGLFL  UHDOH

exemplu poate fi cel al indiceluL DUPRQLF DO SUH XULORU YH]L FDSLWROXO

5.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH FX SULYLUH OD GLVWULEX LD YkQ] WRULORU GLQWU

-un complex comercial


Tabelul 3.17.

vQ IXQF LH GH YHFKLPHD vQ PXQF

L YDORDUHD YkQ] ULORU UHDOL]DWH vQWU R V SW PkQ 

6XEJUXSH GH YkQ]

WRUL GXS

YROXPXO YkQ]

ULORU PLO OHL

Grupe GH YkQ]
GXS

WRUL

YHFKLPH DQL

sub 190 1 5 5

190-200 2 15 12 27

200-210 3 5 35 7 47

210-220 4 8 15 23

220
L SHVWH

Total 6 25 55 30 110

A sub 10 10-20
 L SHVWH

5 8 8

Total

Se cere: 1. 2.
SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU SULYLQG UHSDUWL LD YkQ] WRULORU GXS YROXPXO YkQ] ULORU SH WRWDO L

pe grupe de vechime;
UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF JUDILFXO SULQ S WUDW D QXP UXOXL YkQ] WRULORU GXS YHFKLPH SH FHOH

trei grupe, folosind

3. calculul mediiloU SH JUXSH GH YHFKLPH L SH WRWDO 4. LQGLFDWRULL VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL SH ILHFDUH JUXS L SH WRWDO 5. LQWHUSUHWDUHD JUDGXOXL GH RPRJHQLWDWH SH JUXSH L SH WRWDO 6. verificarea regulii de adunare a dispersiilor; 7. ce indicatori statistici se pot calcula pe baza UHJXOLL GH DGXQDUH
LQWHUSUHWHD] VWDWLVWLF DFHWL LQGLFDWRUL YkQ]

D GLVSHUVLLORU L FXP VH

8.

FDOFXOXO L LQWHUSUHWDUHD GLVSHUVLLORU SHQWUX FDUDFWHULVWLFD PHGLD YkQ] ULORU SH WRWDO 

WRUL FDUH VH DIO

SHVWH

Rezolvare 1.
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF D GLVWULEX LHL YkQ] WRULORU ILJXULOH  L  

50 45
WRUL 1XP U YkQ]

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 170 180
9ROXPXO YkQ] ULORU PLO OHL

190

200

210

220

230

240

)LJXUD  5HSDUWL LD YkQ]

WRULORU vQWU XQ FRPSOH[ FRPHUFLDO GXS

YROXPXO GHVIDFHULORU

50 45
WRUL

Total gr. I gr. II gr. III

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

1XP

U YkQ]

170

180

9ROXPXO YkQ]

190

200

ULORU PLO OHL

210

220

230

240

)LJXUD  5HSDUWL LD YkQ]

WRULORU GXS

YROXPXO GHVIDFHULL SH WRWDO L SH JUXSH GH YHFKLPH

2.

5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

D QXP

UXOXL YkQ]

WRULORU GXS

YHFKLPH

(vezi figura 3.11.).

Scara: 1 cm = 2 persoane

55 25 30

sub 10 ani
)LJXUD  1XP

10-20 ani
UXO GH YkQ]

 DQL L SHVWH

WRUL SH JUXSH GH YHFKLPH

3. Calculul mediilor PHGLLOH GH JUXS :


yi =

y n
j =1 j

ij

n
j =1

ij

y1 =

185 5 + 195 15 + 205 5 = 195 25

PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

y2 =
y3 =

195 12 + 205 35 + 215 8 = 204,27 55


205 7 + 215 15 + 225 8 = 215,33 30

PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

PHGLD JHQHUDO

(y ):
j

independent:
y=

y n
j =1 j

n
j =1

y=
-

185 5 + 195 27 + 205 47 + 215 23 + 225 8 = 205,18 110




PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

pe baza mediilor de JUXS y=

y n
i =1 r i

n
i =1

y=

195 25 + 204,27 55 + 215,33 30 = 205,18 110

PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

4.

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS

( ): m ( y j y i )2 n ij
2 i

i2 =

j =1

n ij
j =1

12 =

(185 - 195) 2 5 + (195 - 195 ) 2 15 + (205 - 195 ) 2 5 = 40 25

2 2 =

(195 - 204,27 ) 2 12 + (205 - 204,27 ) 2 35 + (215 - 204,27 ) 2 8 = 35,83 55

2 3 =

(205 - 215,33

)2

7 + (215 - 215,33 ) 2 15 + (225 - 215,33 ) 2 8 30

= 49 , 89

PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU SDU LDOH

( ):
2

2 =

i =1 r i =1

2 i

ni
i

n
r

40 25 + 35,83 55 + 49,89 30 = 40,63 110

2 dispersia dintre grupe 2 = y / x :

( y i
i =1 r

y ) n i
2

n i
i =1

( 195 205 , 18 ) 2 25 + ( 204 , 27 205 , 18 ) 2 55 + ( 215 , 33 205 , 18 ) 2 30 110

= 52 , 06

GLVSHUVLD WRWDO

( ): m ( y j y )2 n j
2

=
2

j =1

n j
j =1

(185 205,18) 2 5 + (195 205,18) 2 27 + ( 205 205,18) 2 47


110

( 215 205,18) 2 23+ ( 225 205,18) 2 8


110

= 92, 69

5. Aprecierea gradului de omRJHQLWDWH SH JUXSH L SH WRWDO


&DOFXOXO FRHILFLHQ LORU GH YDULD LH

pe grupe

1 = 12 = 40 = 6,32
v1 =

PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

1 6,32 100 = 100 = 3,24% y1 195


PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

2 2 = 2 = 35,83 = 5,98

v2 =

2 5,98 100 = 100 = 2,93% y2 204,27


PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

3 = 32 = 49,89 = 7,06
v3 =

3 7,06 100 = 100 = 3,18% y3 215,33

pe total

= 2 = 92,69 = 9,62
v=

PLO OHLYkQ] WRU

9,62 100 = 100 = 4,69% y 205,18


F  GHFkW FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO GLQ FDUH D IRVW

&RPSDUkQG UH]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH VH FRQVWDW

ILHFDUH JUXS H[WUDV 

OXDW

VHSDUDW HVWH PDL RPRJHQ

grupD D GRXD HVWH PDL RPRJHQ


JUDG GH RPRJHQLWDWH ULGLFDW

GHFkW FHOHODOWH GRX  L SH WRWDO DWHVW L GHFL XQ JUDG XQ GH

YDORULOH PLFL DOH FRHILFLHQ LORU GH YDULD LH FDOFXOD L SH ILHFDUH JUXS DO JUXSHORU L FROHFWLYLW LL WRWDOH

UHSUH]HQWDWLYLWDWH FRUHVSXQ] WRU SHQWUX PHGLLOH FDUH OH FDUDFWHUL]HD] 

6. Verificarea regulii de adunare a dispersiilor 2 = 2 + 2 92,69 = 52,06 + 40,63 7.


3H ED]D UHJXOLL GH DGXQDUH D GLVSHUVLLORU VH SRW FDOFXOD DO L GRL LQGLFDWRUL VWDWLVWLFL

*UDGXO GH GHWHUPLQD LH

2 ( Ry / x )

2 Ry / x =

2 52,06 100 = 100 = 56,16% 2 92,69


2 ( Ky/x )

*UDGXO GH QHGHWHUPLQD LH

2 Ky/x =
6H

40,63 2 100 = 100 = 43,84% 2 92,69


F  GLQ YDULD LD WRWDO D YROXPXOXL YkQ] ULORU HVWH H[SOLFDW GH

SRDWH DILUPD

YDULD LD SURGXV GH 

GH IDFWRUXO GH JUXSDUH YHFKLPHD

factor dominant deoarece

2 Ry x>

50%), restul

ILLQG LQIOXHQ D UHODWLY

D FHORUODO L IDFWRUL QHvQUHJLVWUD L

8.
*

&DOFXOXO

LQWHUSUHWDUHD

GLVSHUVLLORU

SHQWUX

YkQ]

WRULL

FDUH

VH

DIO

SHVWH

YROXPXO

PHGLX DO YkQ]

ULORU SH WRWDO

"

Calculul mediilor

PHGLLOH SH JUXS

: wi =

mi , ni

de unde: 0 w1 = =0 25 8 w2 = = 0,1455 55
w3 = 23 = 0,7667 30

media pe total: w =

m 31 = = 0,2818 n 110

Calculul dispersiilor

GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS

2 w = wi ( w ), 1
i i

de unde:
2 w = w 1 (1 w 1 ) = 0 (1 0 ) = 0
1

2 w

= w 2 (1 w 2 ) = 0 , 1455 (1 0 , 1455 ) = 0 , 1243

2 w = w 3 (1 w 3 ) = 0 , 7667 (1 0 , 7667 ) = 0 , 1789


3

PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU SDU LDOH

2 ( w ):

=
2 w

i =1 r i =1

2 wi

ni
i

n (w
i =1 r

0 25 + 0,1243 55 + 0,1789 30 = 0,1109 110

2 dispersia dintre grupe ( w ):

=
2 w

w ) ni
2 r i

n
i =1

(0 0,2818)2 25 + (0,1455 0,2818)2 55 + =


110

(0,7667 0,2818)2 30 = 0,0914


110

2 w = w( w) = 0,2818 ( 0,2818 ) = 0,2023 1 1


L vQ FD]XO FDUDFWHULVWLFLL DOWHUQDWLYH

2 dispersia total ( w ):

5HJXOD DGXQ ULL GLVSHUVLLORU VH S VWUHD]

= + 0,2023 = 0,1109 + 0,0914


2 w 2 w 2 w

3HQWUX XQ DJHQW HFRQRPLF FH GHVI RDU WUHL DFWLYLW L V-au nregistrat datele privind veniturile salariale ale personalului pentru luna mai 2001 (vezi tabelul 3.18.).

6.

5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU SH DFWLYLW

L vQ IXQF LH GH P

ULPHD YHQLWXULORU VDODULDOH vQ OXQD PDL 

Tabelul 3.18.
vQ ID GH WRWDOXO JUXSHL

Grupe duS VDODULL (zeci mii lei) A sub 250 250 - 270 270 - 290 290 - 310 310 - 330 330 - 350 350 - 370  L Seste Total

Activitatea I 1 10 12 25 28 15 10 100

Activitatea II 2 20 35 20 15 10 100

Activitatea III 3 20 47 23 10 100

1XP UXO GH VDODULD L D vQUHJLVWUDW XUP WRDUHD VWUXFWXU  DFWLYLWDWHD O

- 20%; activitatea II -

- 

L DFWLYLWDWHD ,,,

- 30%.

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH DSOLFH UHJXOD GH DGXQDUH D GLVSHUVLLORU L V VH VSHFLILFH GDF IDFWRUXO G

e grupare

este semnificativ sau nu;


VH DUDWH JUDGXO GH RPRJHQLWDWH SH FHOH WUHL DFWLYLW L L SH WRWDO L V VH LQWHUSUHWH]H UH]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH SHQWUX FDUDFWHUL]DUHD YDULD LHL VH FDOFXOH]H QXP UXO GH VDODULD L IUHFYHQ HOH DEVROXWH WLLQG F SH WRWDO QXP UXO ORU D IRVW GH  L V VH YHULILFH SH ED]D IUHFYHQ HORU DEVROXWH GLVSHUVLD WRWDO 

Rezolvare 1.
)LLQG LQWHUYDOH HJDOH PHGLLOH L GLVSHUVLLOH VH SRW GHWHUPLQD FX IRUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO VLPSOLILFDW FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

yj a * nij (%) h j =1 yi = h + a 100

yj a * h nij (%) j =1 2 i = h 2 (y a )2 100

1.1. Pentru activitatea I VH YD PHGLH S WUDWLF (vezi tabelul 3.19.).

H[WUDJH VHULD L VH YRU FDOFXOD PHGLD GLVSHUVLD

abaterea

&DOFXOXO PHGLHL L GLVSHUVLHL VDODULLORU SHQWUX DFWLYLWDWHD ,

Tabelul 3.19. Grupe GXS salarii (zeci mii lei) Structura


VDODULD LORU

(n

* 1 j (%)

Centrul de interval

(y )
j

yj a h
a = 300 h = 20 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 -

yj a * h n1 j (%)
4 -30 -24 -25 0 15 20 -44

yj a * h n1 j (%)
2

A 230-250 250-270 270-290 290-310 310-330 330-350 Total

1 10 12 25 28 15 10 100

2 240 260 280 300 320 340 -

5 90 48 25 0 15 40 218

y1 =

44 20 + 300 = 291,200 zeci mii lei/salariat 100


218 2 20 2 (291,2 300 ) = 794,56 100

12 =

1 = 794,56 = 28,187 zeci mii lei/salariat


v1 = 28,187 100 = 9,68% 291,2

1.2. Pentru activitatea II (vezi calculele n tabelul 3.20.)


&DOFXOXO PHGLHL L GLVSHUVLHL VDODULLORU SHQWUX DFWLYLWDWHD D ,,,

-a

Tabelul 3.20.
*UXSH GXS

Structura
VDODULD LORU

salarii (zeci mii lei)

(n

* 2 j (%)

Centrul de interval

(y )
j

yj a h
a = 300 h = 20 3 -1 0 1 2 3 -

y j a h

* n2

j (%)

y j a h

* n2

j (%)

A 270-290 290-310 310-330 330-350 350-370 Total

1 20 35 20 15 10 100

2 280 300 320 340 360 -

4 -20 0 20 30 30 60

5 20 0 20 60 90 190

y2 =

60 20 + 300 = 312 ]HFL PLL OHLVDODULDW DGLF 100

 OH

i/salariat

2 2 =

190 2 20 2 (312 300 ) = 616 100

2 = 616 = 24,82 zeci mii lei/salariat


v2 = 24,82 100 = 7,95% 312

1.3. Pentru activitatea a III-a vezi calculele n tabelul 3.21.


&DOFXOXO PHGLHL L GLVSHUVLHL VDODULLORU SHQWUX DFWLYLWDWHD D 

-a Tabelul 3.21.

*UXSH GXS

Structura
VDODULD LORU

salarii (zeci mii lei)

(n

* 3 j (%)

Centrul de interval

(y )
j

yj a h
a = 300 h = 20 3 -1 0 1 2 -

y a * j h n 2 j (%)
4 -20 0 23 20 23

y j a h

* n 3 j (%)
5 20 0 23 40 83

A 310-330 330-350 350-370 3 L SHVWH Total

1 20 47 23 10 100

2 320 340 360 380 -

y3 =

23 20 + 340 = 344,6 zeci mii lei/salariat sau 3446000 lei/salariat 100

83 2 20 2 (310,84 340 ) = 310,84 100 3 = 310,84 = 17,6 zeci mii lei/salariat

32 =

v3 =

17,06 100 = 5,11% 344,84


PHGLLOH SDU LDOH L SRQGHULOH VDODULD LORU DFWLYLW LORU UHVSHFWLYH VH SRDWH

1.4. &XQRVFkQG calcula media pe total:


r

y i n i*( % ) ( 291, 2 20 )+ (312 50 ) (344, 6 30 ) i =1 y= = = 317 , 62


100 100
1.5.
GRX $SOLFkQG UHJXOD DGXQ ULL GLVSHUVLLORU V GLQWUH HOH XUPkQG FD GLVSHUVLD WRWDO ILH FDOFXODW

zeci mii lei/salariat


SXW

2 = 2 + 2

VH FRQVWDW

em calcula doar

SH ED]D UHOD LHL GH PDL VXV

i2 n i*(%)
i =1

100

(794,56 20) + (616 50) + (310,84 30) 100

= 560 , 164

( y i y )2 n i*(%)
i =1

100

= = 378 , 24

( 291, 2 317 , 62 ) 2 20 + ( 312 317 , 62 ) 2 50 + ( 344 , 6 317 , 62 ) 2 30 100

2 = 2 + 2 = 560,164 + 378,24 = 938,404


1.6. &DOFXOXO JUDGXOXL GH GHWHUPLQD LH L QHGHWHUPLQD LH:
2 Ry / x

378,276 2 = 2 100 = 100 = 40,31% 938,404

2 K y/x =

2 560,164 100 = 100 = 59,69% 2 938,404


IDFWRU GH JUXSDUH QHUHSUH]HQWDWLY FHHD FH vQVHDPQ SURSRU LH GH  GLIHUHQ H VSHFLILFH vQWUH F vQ OXQD QRLHPEULH QX L vQ

2 2 K y / x > Ry / x a existat dect ntr-R

FHOH WUHL DFWLYLW

cazul

YHQLWXULORU VDODULDOH FHHD FH HUD GH DWHSWDW

2.

3HQWUX DQDOL]D RPRJHQLW

LL VH YRU IRORVL LQGLFDWRULL SUH]HQWD L vQ

tabelul 3.22. (coloana 5).

5HSDUWL LD SH FHOH WUHL DFWLYLW

L D VDODULLORU PHGLL L D LQGLFDWRULORU GH YDULD LH

Tabelul 3.22. AFWLYLW


L

Structura Salariile medii personalului (zeci mii lei) 1 20% 50% 30% 100% 2 291,2 312,0 344,6 317,62

Dispersiile

Abaterile medii
S WUDWLFH

&RHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH

A I II III Total

3 794,56 616,00 310,84 938,404

(zeci mii lei) 4 28,187 24,820 17,600 30,63

5 9,68% 7,95% 5,11% 9,64%

Q H[HPSOXO DQDOL]DW VH SRW WUDJH XUP WRDUHOH FRQFOX]LL

DWkW SH vQWUHDJD VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO

FkW L SH ILHFDUH DFWLYLWDWH VHULLOH VXQW RPRJHQH VH LHUDUKL]HD] LORU HVWH DFWLYLWDWHD D ,,,

deoarece s-DX
VHULLOH GXS

RE LQXW YDORUL PLFL SHQWUX FRHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH 'DF  L PDL SX LQ RPRJHQ

FULWHULXO YHQLWXULORU VDODULDOH RUGLQHD RPRJHQLW

-a

(5,11%); activitatea a II-D

UHSUH]HQWDWLYLWDWH ID

SULPD DFWLYLWDWHD 

FDUH

GHS HWH FX IRDUWH SX LQ JUDGXO GH RPRJHQLWDWH SH

total (9,64%);

DYkQG FRHILFLHQ L PLFL GH YDULD LH PHGLLOH VXQW vQ WRDWH FD]XULOH FX XQ JUDG PDUH GH GH YDORULOH LQGLYLGXDOH GLQ FDUH DX IRVW FDOFXODWH GHRDUHFH WR L  FRHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH VXQW VXE 

3. Seriile din tabelul 3.1 VH SRW SUH]HQWD L FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH


WLLQG F VH RE LQH QXP UXO WRWDO DO VDODULD LORU D IRVW GH  L DYkQG UHSDUWL LD ORU UHODWLY SH DFWLYLW L


IUHFYHQ HOH

20 = 80 VDODULD L 100 50 activitatea a II-a 400 = 200 salaria L 100 30 activitatea a III-a 400 = 120 VDODULD L 100
activitatea I

400

$SOLFkQG JUHXW DEVROXWH

LOH VSHFLILFH GLQ ILHFDUH DFWLYLWDWHD OD QXP UXO GH VDODULD L VH FDOFXOHD] FDUH VH GHWHUPLQ QXPDL vQ QXPHUH vQWUHJL UHIHULQGX

-se la persoane

(vezi tabelul 3.23).

5HSDUWL LD VDODULD LORU SH FHOH WUHL DFWLYLW

L vQ IXQF LH GH YHQLWXULOH VDODULDOH

Tabelul 3.23.
*UXSH GXS VDODULL

Activitatea I 8 10 20 22 12 8 80

Activitatea II 40 70 40 30 20 200

Activitatea III 24 56 28 12 120

Total 8 10 60 92 76 94 48 12 400

(zeci mii lei) sub 250 250-270 270-290 290-310 310-330 330-350 350-370
 L SHVWH

Total

&DOFXOXO PHGLHL L GLVSHUVLHL SH WRWDO SH ED]D IUHFYHQ HORU DEVROXWH

Tabelul 3.24.
*UXSH GXS VDODULL 1XP UXO LORU

(zeci mii lei)

salDULD
j

(n )
1 8 10 60 92 76 94 48 12

Centrul de interval

(y )
j

yj a h
a = 340 h = 20 3 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2

yj a h nj
4 -40 -40 -180 -184 -76 0 48 24 -448

yj a h nj
2

A sub 250 250-270 270-290 290-310 310-330 330-350 350-370


 L SHVWH

2 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 380 -

5 200 160 540 368 76 0 48 48 1440

Total

400

y=

i =1

xj a h

nj

n
i =1
k

h+ a =

448 20 + 340 = 317,6 zeci mii lei/salariat 400

yj a h n j 1440 i =1 2 y = k h 2 ( y a) 2 = 400 (340 317,6) 2 = 938,24 400 nj


2 i =1

Deci s-a ajuns la aceleDL


IUHFYHQ HORU UHODWLYH

YDORUL L SHQWUX PHGLH L SHQWUX GLVSHUVLH FD vQ FD]XO IRORVLULL

PROBLEME PROPUSE

Pentru 40 de agen L HFRQRPLFL FH DFWLYHD] vQ DFHODL GRPHQLX GH DFWLYLWDWH s-au nregistrat datele privind profitul realizat (mil. lei) n luna august: 40, 63, 59, 52, 62, 50, 45. 51, 54, 50, 48, 55, 59, 47, 57, 53, 46, 55, 64, 53, 42, 51, 53, 56, 52, 58, 49, 54, 60, 46, 41, 47, 42, 44, 63, 58, 49, 55, 50, 53. Se cere:
1.
V VH JUXSH]H FHL  GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH GXS SURILWXO UHDOL]DW

1.

2. 3. 4. 5. 6.

V V V V V

VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF UHSDUWL LD RE LQXW VH YHULILFH UHSUH]HQWDWLYLWDWHD PHGLHL VH GHWHUPLQH LQGLFDWRULL FDUH VHSDU VH P VRDUH JUDGXO GH DVLPHWULH

OD SXQFWXO SUHFHGHQW VH LQWHUSUHWH]H UHOD LD GLQWUH HL

VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH L V 

GLQ DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL VLWXD L OD FHQWUXO

UHSDUWL LHL

2.

3HQWUX R XQLWDWH HFRQRPLF

VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 3.25. Grupe de muncitori


GXS P ULPHD SURGXF LHL PLL EXF

Nr. muncitori 2 6 10 20 18 6 60

Sub 10 10-12 12-14 14-16 16 -18


 L SHVWH

Total

Se cere:
1.
V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF GLVWULEX LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS P ULPHD SURGXF LHL

2. 3. 4.

V V V

VH YHULILFH GDF

GLVWULEX LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

P ULPHD SURGXF LHL HVWH RPRJHQ 

VH FDOFXOH]H QLYHOXO FHQWUDOL]DW DO SURGXF LHL SHQWUX PXQFLWRULL FX SURGXF LD GH FHO VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRUXO FDUH VHSDU  GLQ PXQFLWRUL GH UHVWXO PXQFLWRULORU

SX LQ  PLL EXF

3.

3HQWUX  GH VDODULD L DL XQHL VRFLHW

L FRPHUFLDOH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 3.26. Grupe GH VDODULD


GXS L 1XP U

YHFKLPH DQL

VDODULD L

Timpul mediu nelucrat (min.)

Abaterea medie
S WUDWLF SULYLQG

A sub 10 10-20
 L SHVWH

1 20 90 40

2 30 45 55

timpul nelucrat (min.) 3 4,8 9,0 6,6

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VWUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU GXS VH YHULILFH RPRJHQLWDWHD SH JUXSH L SH WRWDO VH GHWHUPLQH vQ FH P VXU YDULD LD WLPSXOXL QHOXFUDW VH GDWRUHD] GHRVHELULORU SULYLQG YHFKLPH

YHFKLPHD vQ PXQF 

4.
Dintr-XQ VRQGDM VWDWLVWLF GH 
SURSRU LRQDO VWUDWLILFDW V DX RE LQXW GD

tele:
Tabelul 3.27.

*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS P ULPHD FDSLWDOXOXL

*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS

ULPHD SURILWXOXL

sub 10 1 5 5

10-14 2 10 10 20

(mil. lei) 14-18 18-22 3 5 15 10 30 4 25 20 45

22-26 5 15 15 30

 L

Total 7 20 70 50 140

(mil. lei) A I II III Total

peste 6 5 5 10

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF GLVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS VH YHULILFH UHJXOD GH DGXQDUH D GLVSHUVLLORU L V VH FDUDFWHUL]H]H RPRJHQLWDWHD SH ILHFDUH JUXS P ULPHD SURILWXOXL SH WRWDO IDFWRUXO GH JUXSDUH HVWH VH DUDWH GDF L SH WRWDO

semnificativ sau nu;

4. 5.

V V

VH P VRDUH JUDGXO GH DVLPHWULH SHQWUX JUXSD D ,,

-a;

VH YHULILFH UHJXOD DGXQ ULL GLVSHUVLLORU SHQWUX FDUDFWHULVWLFD DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL FX

profitul mai mic dect 18 mil.lei.

5.
3HQWUX XQ HDQWLRQ GH  GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 3.28. Grupe tipice de


DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS FLIUD

Structura
DJHQ LORU

Profitul mediu (mil.lei/ag.ec.)

Dispersia privind
P ULPHD

de afaceri A sub 20 20-30


 L SHVWH

economici (%) 1 50 30 20

profitului 2 14,4 19,68 30,8 3 11,52 11,28 5,76

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH SUHFL]H]H vQ FH SURSRU LH FLIUD GH DIDFHUL LQIOXHQ HD] VH SUHFL]H]H FDUH JUXS HVWH PDL RPRJHQ   YDULD LD SURILWXOXL

VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF SURILWXO WRWDO vQ IXQF LH GH IDFWRULL GH LQIOXHQ

&HUFHWDUHD VHOHFWLY

3ULQFLSDOHOH QR LXQL SHUHFKH GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO

L GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD GH VHOHF LH

Tabelul 4.1. Denumirea indicatorului A Media


&DUDFWHULVWLFD QHDOWHUQDWLY &ROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO &DUDFWHULVWLFD DOWHUQDWLY

Colectivitatea GH VHOHF ie 2

Colectivitatea
JHQHUDO

Colectivitatea
GH VHOHF LH

x0 =
N

xi
i =1

x=
n

xi
i =1

P=

M N

w=

m n

n
2 2 = p(1 p) w = w(1 w) p

Dispersia

2 0 =

( x i x 0 ) 2
i =1

2 =

( xi x ) 2
i =1

Abaterea medie
S WUDWLF

0 = 02

= 2

p = 2 p

2 w = w

Eroarea de reprezentativitate: E r = x x0
&RQGL LD FD PHGLD HDQWLRQXOXL V ILH UHSUH]HQWDWLY 

x x0 100 5% x0

Eroarea medie de reprezentativitate:

x = x

( x s
=
s =1

x0 ) 2 ns

ns
s =1

n care: k - UHSUH]LQW QXP UXO HDQWLRDQHORU SRVLELOH ns - IUHFYHQ HOH PHGLLORU GH VHOHF LH SRVLELOH
(URDUH OLPLW PD[LP DGPLV

( x ) :

x = z x ,

unde coeficientul z UHSUH]LQW DUJXPHQWXO ( z ) FX FDUH VH JDUDQWHD] UH]XOWDWHOH


6(/(& ,$ $/($72$5( 6,03/ VH DSOLF

IXQF LHL *DXVV

- Laplace pentru probabilitatea

6HOHF LD DOHDWRDUH VLPSO

vQ FD]XO FROHFWLYLW

LORU RPRJHQH GLQ FDUH VH H[WUDJ XQLW

VLPSOH IRORVLQG SURFHGHH GH VHOHF LH DOHDWRDUH

Eroarea medie de reprezentativitate:

SHQWUX VHOHF LH UHSHWDW 

xrep =

2 02 n n

SHQWUX VHOHF LH QHUHSHWDW 

x nerep

N n n N 1

2 0

N n n N 1

n 1 n N

Pentru cDUDFWHULVWLFD DOWHUQDWLY

SHQWUX VHOHF LD UHSHWDW 

 HURDUHD PHGLH GH UHSUH]HQWDWLYLWDWH VH YD QRWD FX

w , deci:

wrep =

p(1 p) w(1 w) n n

SHQWUX VHOHF LD QHUHSHWDW 

wnerep =
(URDUHD OLPLW

p ( 1 p ) n

( 1
:

w ( 1 w ) n n )= ( 1 ) N n N

PD[LP

DGPLV

pentru selHF LH UHSHWDW

x = z x rep

, respectiv

x = z w rep

SHQWUX VHOHF LH UHSHWDW

x = z x nerep

, respectiv

x = z w nerep
LL JHQHUDOH

Intervalul de ncredere al mediei FROHFWLYLW

pentru caracterisWLFD QHDOWHUQDWLY x x < x0 < x + x

SHQWUX FDUDFWHULVWLFD DOWHUQDWLY 

w w < p < w + w
,QWHUYDOXO GH YDULD LH DO QLYHOXOXL WRWDOL]DW

al caracteristicii:

SHQWUX FDUDFWHULVWLFD QHDOWHUQDWLY 

N x x

) < x
N i =1

<N x+x

SHQWUX FDUDFWHULVWLFD DOWHUQDWLY 

N (w w

) < M < N (w + w )

9ROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL

pentru sondajul simplu repetat:

x = z

2 0

de unde:

n=

2 2 z 0 2x

pentru sondajul simplu nerepetat:

x = z

2 0

n (1 ) , n N

de unde:

n= 2x

2 z

2 0 2 0

2 z

5HGLPHQVLRQDUHD HDQWLRQXOXL

prin modificarea erorii limite maxime admise ( x ):

SHQWUX VHOHF LH UHSHWDW 

n=

( )

2 z 2 2 x

SHQWUX VHOHF LH QHUHSHWDW 

n =

( )

2 z 2 z 2 2 x + N

6(/(& 6HOHF LD

,( 7,3,& WLSLF VH

675$7,),&$7 vQ FD]XO

LORU QHRPRJHQH IRUPDWH GLQ XQLW L VLPSOH

DSOLF

FROHFWLYLW

vPS U LWH vQ JUXSH VWUDWXUL VXEFROHFWLYLW SURFHGHH GH VHOHF LH DOHDWRDUH

L FkW PDL RPRJHQH FX HYLGHQ LHUHD WLSXULORU FDOLWDWLYH

(DQWLRQXO VH RE LQH SULQ H[WUDJHUHD GH VXEHDQWLRDQH GLQ VWUDWXULOH SRSXOD LHL WRWDOH SULQ

Q YHGHUHD UHSDUWL] ULL HDQWLRQXOXL SH VXEHDQWLRDQH FRUHVSXQ] WRU WLSXULORU FDOLWDWLYH VH SRW

aplica WUHL PRGDOLW


XQLW

:
vQ PRG HJDO D HDQWLRQXOXL SH VXEHDQWLRDQH LQGLIHUHQW GH QXP UXO

1. RepartizaUHD

LORU FH FRPSXQ VWUDWXULOH SRSXOD LHL WRWDOH

ni =

n , k

unde: ni GLPHQVLXQHD ILHF UXL VXEHDQWLRQ k QXP UXO GH VWUDWXUL vQ SRSXOD LD WRWDO Acest tip de seleF LH PDL SRDUW 2.
(DQWLRQXO VH VHSDU SH FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO 

 VWUDWLILFDW QHSURSRU LRQDO GH SRQGHUHD ILHF UXL VWUDW

GHQXPLUHD GH VHOHF LH WLSLF VXEHDQWLRQH vQ IXQF LH

 vQ

n1 N1 de unde:

n2 N2

= ... =

ni Ni

= ... =

ni = n Ni Ni

ni = n

Ni Ni
VWUDWLILFDW SURSRU LRQDO SRQGHUHD

Acest tip de VHOHF LH VH PDL QXPHWH VHOHF LD WLSLF 3.


/D IRUPDUHD VXEHDQWLRDQHORU VH LD vQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO PHGLH S WUDWLF 

.
VWUDW vQ

FRQVLGHUD LH

DWkW

ILHF UXL

FkW L JUDGXO GH RPRJHQLWDWH DO VWUDWXULORU UHSUH]HQWDW GH DEDWHUHD

ni = n

N i i

N
i =1 i

$FHVW WLS GH VHOHF LH VH PDL QXPHWH VHOHF LD WLSLF PLFL HURUL vQ SUDFWLF  GDU HVWH JUHX GH DSOLFDW

VWUDWLILFDW

RSWLP

GHRDUHFH G

FHOH PDL

5HOD LLOH GH FDOFXO vQ FD]XO VRQGDMXOXL WLSLF SURSRU LRQDO

eroarea medie de reprezentativitate:

y =

2
n

SHQWUX VHOHF LD UHSHWDW

y =

2 n 1 n N
PD[LP DGPLV

SHQWUX VHOHF LD QHUHSHWDW

HURDUHD OLPLW

y = z

2
n

SHQWUX VHOHF LD UHSHWDW

2 n y = z 1 n N

SHQWUX VHOHF LD QHUHSHWDW

HVWLPDUHD PHGLHL OD QLYHOXO FROHFWLYLW

LL JHQHUDOH

y y < y0 < y + y ) ,
unde:

y=

yn n
i i

estimarea nivelului totalizat al caracteristicii

N * N ( y y ) < yi < N ( y + y ) i =1

GLPHQVLRQDUHD HDQWLRQXOXL

n=

z 2 2x

pentru VHOHF LH UHSHWDW


2
SHQWUX VHOHF LH QHUHSHWDW

n=

z 2
2x +

z 2 2 N

'H UH LQXW

3HQWUX

RE LQH

DFHODL

JUDG

GH

SUHFL]LH

UH]XOWDWHORU

HDQWLRQXO

FRQVWLWXLW

SULQ

stratificare este mai mic dect cel pentru sondajul aleator simplu.
*
3HQWUX DFHODL YROXP DO HDQWLRQXOXL SUHFL]LD HVWH PDL PDUH vQ FD]XO VRQGDMXOXL

stratificat dect n cazul sondajului aleator simplu.


*
(DQWLRQXO WUHEXLH GLPHQVLRQDW DVWIHO vQFkW ILHFDUH VXEHDQWLRQ V VXILFLHQW GH XQLW FRQ LQ XQ QXP U L SHQWUX D SHUPLWH FDOFXODUHD GLVSHUVLLORU OD QLYHOXO VXEHDQWLRDQHORU

(ni > 35).

6(/(&

,$ '( 6(5,,

6H

IRORVHWH

vQ

FD]XO

vQ

FDUH

FROHFWLYLWDWHD

JHQHUDO

HVWH

IRUPDW

GLQ

XQLW

FRPSOH[H

HFKLSH EULJ ]L IHUPH HWF

Cu ct mediile din serii sunt mai apropiate ntre ele, vor estima mai corect valoarea medie a L UHOL]kQGX-VH FRQGL LD GH UHSUH]HQWDWLYLWDWH D HDQWLRQXOXL (DQWLRQDUHD I FkQGX-VH SH ED] GH VHULL HDQWLRQXO HVWH IRUPDW GLQWU-XQ QXP U GH VHULL QRWDW cu r, iar vQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO QXP UXO VHULLORU VH YD QRWD FX R.
vQWUHJLL FROHFWLYLW

Eroarea medie de reprezentativitate:

pentru caracteristici nealternative

x rep

2 x

x nerep

2 x

Rr R 1

pentru caracteristici alternative

w rep =

2 p

w nerep =
(URDUHD OLPLW

2 p

Rr R 1
DGPLV

PD[LP

x = z

2
r

SHQWUX VHOHF LD UHSHWDW

x = z

2 Rr r R 1

SHQWUX VHOHF LD QHUHSHWDW

'LPHQVLRQDUHD HDQWLRQXOXL

n=

z 2 2 2x

SHQWUX VHOHF LH UHSHWDW

n=

Rz 2 2 ( R 1)2x + z 2 2

SHQWUX VHOHF LH QHUHSHWDW

7HVWH GH VHPQLILFD LH 6H SRUQHWH GH OD LSRWH]D GLIHUHQ HL QXOH FDUH SUHVXSXQH F QX H[LVW GLIHUHQ H

VHPQLILFDWLYH vQWUH YDORULOH GH VRQGDM L SDUDPHWULL SRSXOD LHL VDX vQWUH YDORULOH GH VRQGDM D GRX HDQWLRDQH DOHDWRDUH

&RPSDUDUHD PHGLHL GH VRQGDM FX PHGLD SRSXOD LHL vQWU R UHSDUWL LH QRUPDO

t=
'DF

x x0

/ n


SHQWUX XQ QLYHO GH VHPQLILFD LH GH 

t > 1 , 96

VH UHVSLQJH LSRWH]D GLIHUHQ HL QXOH

&RPSDUDUHD PHGLLORU D GRX

HDQWLRDQH PDUL

t=

x1 x 2
2 12 2 + n1 n2
LSRWH]D L VH FRQVLGHU GLIHUHQ HOH QHVHPQLILFDWLYH  GDF _W_  QLYHO GH

Se

DFFHSW 

VHPQLILFD LH 

Se respinge LSRWH]D GDF


&RPSDUDUHD D GRX

_ W _

!  QLYHO GH VHPQLILFD LH 

SURSRU LL GH VRQGDM SHQWUX R FDUDFWHULVWLF

DOWHUQDWLY

Cazul 1 QX FXQRDWHP SURSRU LD p vQ FHOH GRX n w + n 2 w2 $GPLWHP F  p= 1 1 n1 + n2 w1 w2 'DF >3, 1 1 p q + n1 n 2


GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH FHOH GRX SURSRU LLOH vQ FHOH GRX

SRSXOD LL GLQ FDUH V DX IRUPDW HDQWLRDQHOH

SURSRU LL HVWH VHPQLILFDWLY  SRSXOD LL GLQ FDUH V DX IRUPDW HDQWLRDQHOH QX VXQW HJDOH

Cazul 2
'DF

IDSW SHQWUX FDUH VH IRORVHVF GLVSHUVLLOH HDQWLRDQHORU

w1 w 2 w 1 (1 w 1 ) n1 + w 2 (1 w 2 ) n2

>3 ,

GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH FHOH GRX

SURSRU LL HVWH VHPQLILFDWLY 

Cazul 3 (FRPSDU

P SURSRU LLOH HDQ

tioanelor cu p =

n1 w1 + n 2 w 2 n1 + n 2

&DOFXO P GH H[HPSOX

t1 =
'DF W1 ! 

p w1 p q n2 n1 + n2 n1
GLIHUHQ D HVWH VHPQLILFDWLY 

3HQWUX HDQWLRDQHOH GH YROXP UHGXV VH IRORVHWH

testul lui Student. -o rHSDUWL LH 6WXGHQW

&RPSDUDUHD PHGLHL GH VRQGDM FX PHGLD SRSXOD LHL vQWU

t calc =

x x0

/ n 1
SHQWUX XQ DQXPLW QLYHO GH VHPQLILFD LH L Q

ttabelar
'DF

VH GHWHUPLQ Wcalculat

-1) grade de libertate

<ttabelar VH DGPLWH LSRWH]D GLIHUHQ HL QXOH


HDQWL

&RPSDUDUHD GLVSHUVLLORU QHFXQRVXWH D GRX

oane de volum redus

t calc = S
n1

x1 x 2 1 n1 + 1 n2

unde S =
'DF Wcalculat

( x i x 1 ) 2 + ( x i x 2 ) 2
i =1 i =1

n2

n1 + n 2 2
VH VWDELOHWH SHQWUX

QXP

< ttabelar VH DGPLWH LSRWH]D GLIHUHQ HL QXOH YDORDUHD WDEHODU UXO JUDGHORU GH OLEHUWDWH V = n 1 + n 2 2 ). Testul F (Fisher) pHQWUX YHULILFDUHD HJDOLW de volum redus
Fcalc =
Ftabelar
LL GLVSHUVLLORU D GRX

HDQWLRDQH

S12 2 S2
SHQWUX XQ DQXPLW QLYHO GH VHPQLILFD LH L SHQWUX JUDGHOH GH OLEHUWDWH

VH GHWHUPLQ L

f 1 = n1 1
'DF

f 2 = n 2 1. Fcalc > Ftabelar , rezultatul sondajului trebuie interpretat ca fiind semnificativ, deci
HDQWLRDQH WUHEXLH H[SOLFDW GH LQIOXHQ D DOWRU IDFWRUL GHFkW FHL HURULOH GH VRQGDM

GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH GLVSHUVLLOH FHORU GRX FDUH GHWHUPLQ

PROBLEME REZOLVATE

1.

3HQWUX XQ HDQWLRQ GH  GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL V DX RE LQXW XUP WRDUHOH UH]XOWDWH

profitul mediu: 505 mil. lei / agent economic;


DEDWHUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF SULYLQG SURILWXO  PLO OHL  GLQ WRWDOXO DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL V D IRUPDW SULQ VHOHF LH HDQWLRQXO UHSUH]LQW

WLLQG F QHUHSHUDW

L UH]XOWDWHOH VH JDUDQWHD]

FX R SUREDELOLWDWH GH  ]

  VH FHUH LL JHQHUDOH HVWH GH  PLO OHL

1. 2.

HVWLPDUHD SURILWXOXL PHGLX L D SURILWXOXL WRWDO OD QLYHOXO FROHFWLYLW GLPHQVLRQDUHD XQXL QRX HDQWLRQ GDF HURDUHD OLPLW PD[LP

DGPLV

Rezolvare 1.
3HQWUX HVWLPDUHD SDUDPHWULORU vQ SRSXOD LD WRWDO OLPLW PD[LP DGPLV  HVWH QHFHVDU V VH FDOFXOH]H HURDUHD

x =z

2 n

n 1 = 3 N

4096 0 , 9 = 12 , 88 mil. lei 200

Estimarea profitului mediu: x de unde: 505 12,88 < x0 < 505 + 12,88 492,12 < x0 < 517,88 mil. lei / agent economic Estimarea profitului total:
x

< x0 < x +

N ( x x ) < xi < N ( x + x )
i =1
2000 i =1

2000 492 , 12 <


2000 i =1

xi

< 2000 517 , 88

984240 <

xi

< 1035760 mil. lei

2. Pentru GLPHQVLRQDUHD QRXOXL HDQWLRQ VH IRORVHWH UHOD LD


n= z 2
2 2
DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL

( x )
n=

z 2 + N
2

z 2

( x )

z 2 + N

9 4096 = 88 9 4096 400 + 2000

DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL

2.

3HQWUX XQ HDQWLRQ GH  GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

'LVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS

QXP

UXO GH DQJDMD L L GXS

ULPHD SURILWXOXL

Tabelul 4.2.
*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS QXP UXO GH DQJDMD L *UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS P ULPHD SURILWXOXL

Total 600
L SHVWH

sub 400

400440

440480

(mil. lei) 480520

520560

560600

A Sub 20
 L SHVWH

Total

1 5 5

2 25 5 30

3 20 20 40

4 10 40 50

5 30 30

6 25 25

7 20 20

8 60 140 200

Se cere: 1.
V VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH WLLQG FDUH F VH YD vQFDGUD SURILWXO L PHGLX  L SURILWXO WRWDOXO JDUDQWHD] GH FHO WRWDO FX vQ R FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO HDQWLRQXO UHSUH]LQW GLQ VH DJHQ LORU

economici, s-D IRUPDW SULQ VHOHF LH probabilitate de 0,9973 (z = 3); 2.


V VH HVWLPH]H SURFHQWXO PD[LP DO

QHUHSHWDW DJHQ LORU

UH]XOWDWHOH FX XQ

HFRQRPLFL

SURILW

SX LQ

500 mil. lei. Rezolvare 1. Pentru estimarea paramHWULORU prealabile:

SRSXOD LHL WRWDOH VXQW QHFHVDUH R VHULH GH FDOFXOH

calculul mediei generale:

y j nj
y=
j =1

nj
j =1

y=

380 5 + 420 30 + 460 40 + 500 50 + 540 30 + 580 25 + 620 20 = 200

= 505 mil.lei/ag.ec .

FDOFXOXO PHGLLORU GH JUXS

y j n ij
yi =
j =1

n ij
j =1

y1 =

380 5 + 420 25 + 460.20 + 500 10 = 443,333 mil. lei / agent economic 60

y2 =

420 5 + 460 20 + 500.40 + 540 30 + 580 25 + 620 20 = 140 = 531 , 429 mil. lei / agent economic

FDOFXOXO GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

(y j
m

2 i

j =1

yi

)2

n ij

n ij
j =1

2 1

(380 - 443,333) 2 5 + (420 - 443,333 ) 2 25 + (460 - 443,333 ) 2 20 60


= 1188 , 889

(500 - 443,33) 2 10 60

2 2 = 3012,245

FDOFXOXO PHGLHL GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

i2 n i
i =1

n i
i =1

1188 , 889 60 + 3012 , 245 140 200

= 2465 , 238

calculul erorii limite maxime admise:

=z

n 1 = 3 n N
2

2465 , 238 200

0 , 9 10 mil. lei

Estimarea profitului mediu:

y y < y0 < y + y ,
de unde: 505 10< y 0 <505+10 495 < y 0 < 515 mil. lei / agent economic Estimarea profitului total: N ( y y ) < yi < N ( y + y )
i =1 N

2000 495 <

2000 i =1

yi

< 2000 515

990000 <

2000 i =1

yi

< 1030000 mil. lei

2.

3RUQLQG GH OD GLVWULEX LD ELGLPHQVLRQDO

GLQ WDEHOXO  VH RE LQH XUP WRUXO WDEHO

'LVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS

QXP

UXO GH DQJDMD L L P

ULPHD SURILWXOXL

Tabelul 4.3.
*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS QXP UXO GH $JHQ L $JHQ L

DQJDMD L

economici cu profit < 500 mil. lei 1 55 45 100

economici cu profit 500 mil. lei ( mi ) 2 5 95 m = 100

Total

( ni )
3 60 140 n = 200

wi =

mi 2 wi = wi (1 wi ) ni
5 0,0764 0,2181 0,25

A Sub 20
 L SHVWH

Total

4 0,0833 0,6786 w = 0,5

Q YHGHUHD HVWLP ULL SURFHQWXOXL PD[LP VXQW QHFHVDUH R VHULH GH FDOFXOH

FDOFXODUHD PHGLLORU GH JUXS

wi L D PHGLHL SH WRWDO w) (vezi tabelul 4.3. coloana 4);


calcularea dispersiilRU GH JUXS

2 w ) (vezi tabelul 4.3., coloana 5);


i

FDOFXODUHD PHGLHL GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS 

2 w

2 w ni = ni
i

0,0764 60 + 0,2181 140 = 0,1756 200

FDOFXODUHD HURULL OLPLWH PD[LPH DGPLV 

w = z

2 w n 0,1756 200 1 = 3 1 = 0,084 n N 200 2000


i

Procentul maxim admis: p = w + w = 0,5 + 0,084 = 0,584 sau 58,4%


5H]XOW F FHO PXOW  GLQ WRWDOXO DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO DX XQ SURILW GH FHO SX LQ  PLO OHL

3.

3HQWUX XQ HDQWLRQ GH  GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL VH FXQRVF


'LVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS QXP

GDWHOH
FLIUD GH DIDFHUL

UXO GH DQJDMD L L GXS

Tabelul 4.4.
*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS QXP UXO GH DQJDMD L 1XP U GH DJHQ L

A Sub 20 20-40
 L SHVWH

economici 1 40 100 60

Cifra medie de afaceri (mil. lei / agent economic) 2 1440 2140 2300

Total

200
VH FHUH

WLLQG F  SH WRWDO FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH D IRVW GH  V

1.

VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH FDUH VH YD vQFDGUD FLIUD PHGLH GH DIDFHUL L FLIUD WRWDO GDF HDQWLRQXO UHSUH]LQW  GLQ WRWDO V L UH]XOWDWHOH VH JDUDQWHD] FX R SUREDELOLWDWH GH  ] HURDUHD OLPLW

GH

DIDFHUL vQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO SULQ VHOHF LH QHUHSHWDW V  VH VWDELOHDVF  V

-a format
 

2.

FDUH DU IL GLPHQVLXQHD HDQWLRQXOXL GDF

DU FUHWH FX

VH GLVWULEXLH QRXO HDQWLRQ SH VXEHDQWLRDQH

Rezolvare 1. Pentru estimarea paramHWULORU prealabile:

SRSXOD LHL WRWDOH VXQW QHFHVDUH R VHULH GH FDOFXOH

calculul mediei generale:

y=

y n
j =1 j

n
j =1

y=

1440 40 + 2140 100 + 2300 60 = 2048 mil. lei /agent economic 200

calculul dispersiei pe total:

v=

100 y
=
v y 24,37 2048 = = 505,856 2 = 255890,292736 100 100

de unde

calculul dispersiei dintre grupe:

(y i
i =1 r

y ) ni
2

ni
i =1

( 1440 2048 ) 2 40 + ( 2140 2048 ) 2 100 + ( 2300 2048 ) 2 60 200


VH GHWHUPLQ

= 97216

PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

SH ED]D UHJXOLL GH DGXQDUH D GLVSHUVLLORU

2 = 2 2 = 255890,292736 97216 = 158674,292736

HURDUHD OLPLW

DGPLV

( )
y

y =

n 158674,292736 200 2 1 = 1 80 n N 200 2000

Estimarea cifrei medii de afaceri:


y y < y0 < y + y ,

de unde: 2048 80< y 0 < 2048 + 80 1968 < y 0 < 2128 mil. lei / agent economic Estimarea cifrei totale de afaceri:
N ( y y ) < yi < N ( y + y )
i =1 N

2000 1968 <

2000 i =1

y
i

< 2000 2128

3936000 <

2000 i =1

< 4256000 mil. lei

2.

&DOFXOXO YROXPXOXL HDQWLRQXOXL

n =

z 2 2 , z 2 2 2 ( y ) + N

unde
y = 1,2 y = 96 mil. lei

n =

9 158674,292736 = 153 9 158674,292736 2 96 + 2000

DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL

5HSDUWL]DUHD SH VXEHDQWLRDQH OXkQG vQ FDOFXO VRQGDMXO WLSLF QHUHSHWDW Q

 WXULWL 

QHSURSRU LRQDO

ni =

n 153 = 51 r 3

DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL

SURSRU LRQDO SULPXO HDQWLRQ UHVSHFW VWUXFWXUD SRSXOD LHL JUXSD ,  

&RQVLGHUkQG F

grupa a II-a: 50%, grupa a III-D 


n1 = 20 153 = 31 100

 RE LQHP

DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL

n = 2
n3 =

50 153 = 76 100
30 153 = 46 100

DJHQ L HFRQRPL

ci

DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL

4.

3HQWUX HVWLPDUHD FKHOWXLHOLORU VXSOLPHQWDUH HIHFWXDWH GH WXULWLL GLQ FDGUXO XQXL VHMXU GH  ]LOH SUHOXFUDW L UH]XOWDWHOH V

s-a efectuat un sondaj stratificat, datele nregistrate s-DX tabelul 4.5.

-au trecut n

&KHOWXLHOLOH PHGLL ]LOQLFH L FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH vQ HDQWLRQ

Tabelul 4.5.
*UXSH GH WXULWL GXS YkUVW 1XP UXO

(ani) 0 Sub 30 30-50 50 si peste Total

WXULWLORU

1 130 180 90 400

Cheltuieli suplimentare medii zilnice (mii lei) 2 200 300 400

&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH DO

cheltuielilor suplimentare (%) 3 20 25 33 ...

Se cere: 1.
FRQVLGHUkQG F FHOH  GH SHUVRDQH UHSUH]LQW XQ HDQWLRQ VWUDWLILFDW GH   VHOHFWDW vQ PRG DOHDWRU L QHUHSHWDW GLQ QXP UXO WRWDO DO WXULWLORU GLQWU  ]LOH GH VIkULW GH V SW PkQ  V VWD LXQH vQWU

-o

-un sejur de

VH GHWHUPLQH vQWUH FH OLPLWH VH YRU vQFDGUD FKHOWXLHOLOH

VXSOLPHQWDUH PHGLL L WRWDOH ]LOQLFH DOH WXULWLORU GLQ vQWUHDJD FROHFWLYLWDWH UH]XOWDWHOH VH

vor garanta cu P = 0,9545 (z = 2); 2. 3.


V V VH VWDELOHDVF VH VWDELOHDVF FH YROXP DO HDQWLRQXOXL DU IL IRVW QHFHVDU GDF FH YROXP GH VHOHF LH YD IL QHFHVDU GDF DGPLV FDOFXODW V

-ar fi utilizat sondajul


R QRX FHUFHWDUH  FHOHODOWH

aleatoriu simplu;
VH RUJDQL]HD] VHOHFWLY L HURDUHD OLPLW OD SULPXO SXQFW VH YD P UL FX  FRQGL LL U PkQkQG QHVFKLPEDWH

Rezolvare 1.

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU GH VHOHF LH L HVWLPDUHD SDUDPHWULORU FROHFWLYLW LL JHQHUDOH

PHGLD PHGLLORU GH JUXS

y=

y n
i =1 r i

n
i =1

200 130 + 300 180 + 400 90 = 290 mii lei / turist 400

GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS

( )
2 i

vi =

i 100 , yi

de unde:

i =

vi y i 100

1 =
2 =

20 200 = 40 mii lei / turist 100


25 300 = 75 mii lei / turist 100

12 = 1600
2 2 = 5625

3 =

33 400 = 132 mii lei / turist 100

32 = 17424

PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

( )
2

=
2

i =1 r i =1

2 i

ni

1600 130 + 5625 180 + 17424 90 = 6971,65 400

eroarea medie de reprezentativitate ( y )

y =

2 n

n 1 = N
DGPLV

6971,65 400 1 = 4,069 mii lei 400 800

HURDUHD OLPLW

( )
y

y = z y = 2 4,069 = 8,138 mii lei

estimarea cheltuielilor medii zilnice suplimentare pe total colectivitate:


y y < y0 < y + y ,

de unde: 290 8,138< y 0 <290 + 8,138 281,862 < y 0 < 298,138 mii lei / turist

estimarea cheltuielilor zilnice suplimentare totale


N ( y y ) < yi < N ( y + y )
i =1 N

8000 281,862 <


8000 i =1

8000 i =1

< 8000 298,138

2154896 <

< 2385104 mii lei

2.

'HWHUPLQDUHD YROXPXOXL HDQWLRQXOXL SHQWUX VRQGDMXO DOHDWRULX VLPSOX QHUHSHWDW

n=

2 z 2 0 2 z 2 0 2y + N
QX FXQRDWHP IRUPDW GLVSHUVLD WRWDO GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD XQHL JHQHUDO FL QXPDL GDWHOH

'HRDUHFH GHVSUH

HDQWLRQXO

SULQ

UHVSHFWDUHD

SULQFLSLLORU

VFKHPH

probabilistice, putem
UHJXOD GH DGXQDUH D

vQORFXL DFHVW LQGLFDWRU SULQ GLVSHUVLD WRWDO 'LVSHUVLD WRWDO D HDQWLRQXOXL VH

D GDWHORU GLQ HDQWLRQ GHWHUPLQ vQ DFHVW FD] GLQ

dispersiilor:

2 = 2 + 2
2 ( y i y ) n i i=1 r

2 =

n i
i=1

( 200 290) 2 130+ ( 300 290) 2 180+ ( 400 290) 2 90 400

= 5400

2 = 5400 + 6971,65 = 12371,65


n= 2 2 12371,65 = 684 2 2 12371,65 2 8,138 + 8000
vQ FD]XO XWLOL] ULL XQXL WXULWL

'HFL

VRQGDM

DOHDWRU

VLPSOX

SHQWUX

DFHODL

JUDG

GH

UHSUH]HQWDWLYLWDWH WUHEXLH OXD L vQ VWXGLX  WXULWL ID SRSXOD LD VH VWUDWLILF SH FHOH WUHL JUXSH GH YkUVW 

GH QXPDL  FkW VXQW QHFHVDUL GDF

3.

&DOFXOXO YROXPXOXL QRXOXL HDQWLRQ

n =

z 2 2 , z 2 2 2 ( y ) + N

unde:

y = 1,05 y = 8,545 mii lei / turist


n = 4 6971,65 = 364 4 6971,65 2 8,545 + 8000
WXULWL

5HSDUWL]DUHD SH VXEHDQWLRDQH OXkQG vQ FDOFXO VRQGDMXO WLSLF QHUHSHWDW Q

 WXULWL 

neproSRU LRQDO

ni =

n 364 = 121 r 3

WXULWL

SURSRU LRQDO

ni = n

Ni

N
i =1

Rezultatele calculelor sunt prezentate n tabelul 4.6.


5HGLPHQVLRQDUHD HDQWLRQXOXL

Tabelul 4.6. %
WXULWLORU

*UXSH GH WXULWL GXS YkUVW

1XP

UXO

WXULWLORU

(ani) 0 Sub 30 30-50 50 si peste Total

( Ni ) 1 2600 3600 1800 8000

Ni 100 Ni
2 32,5 45,0 22,5 100,0

ni

4 118 164 82 364

5.

/D R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO

FX ED]

GH WUDWDPHQW L RGLKQ

vQ OXQD LXOLH  V

-au nregistrat

3200 GH WXULWL UHSDUWL]D L DVWIHO SH VH[H 1376 masculin; 1824 feminin. Se cere: 1.
V VH VWDELOHDVF YROXPXO QHFHVDU DO HDQWLRQXOXL  ] IRORVLQG GUHSW FDUDFWHULVWLF DGPLV GH HVWH UHSUH]HQWDWLYLWDWH UHSDUWL LD SH VH[H 3  LDU HURDUHD PD[LP

de 5%; 2.
HIHFWXkQG XQ VRQGDM SLORW L SUHOXFUkQG GDWHOH GLQ HDQWLRQ V D RE LQXW R GXUDW

PHGLH D

VHMXUXOXL GH  ]LOH  WXULVW FX R DEDWHUH VWDQGDUG GH  ]LOH V HDQWLRQ JDUDQWkQG UH]XOWDWHOH FX R SUREDELOLWDWH 3  ]

VH GLPHQVLRQH]H XQ QRX  

Rezolvare 1. )RORVLQG

GUHSW

FDUDFWHULVWLF

GH

DVLJXUDUH

UHSUH]HQWDWLYLW

LL

YDULDELO

DOWHUQDWLY

VH[XO  YRP RE LQH

n=

z 2 p (1 p ) x2 + z 2 p (1 p ) N

1 , 96 2 0 , 43 ( 1 0 , 43 ) 0 , 05 2 + 1 , 96 2 0 , 43 ( 1 0 , 43 ) 3200

337

WXULWL

n formula de mai sus:


p= M 1376 = = 0,43 N 3200
HURDUHD OLPLW GH  L vQ DFHVW

Q SUDFWLF  VH FRQVLGHU Q  WXULWL

caz:

2.

'HRDUHFH GXUDWD VHMXUXOXL HVWH YDULDELO

QXPHULF  HURDUHD OLPLW

VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD

astfel:

x =

5 10 = 0,5 100

9ROXPXO QRXOXL HDQWLRQ

n=
2x

z 2
+

1 , 96 16 0 , 25 + 1 , 96 16 3200

= 121

WXULWL

6.
Pentru verificarea duratei medii de ardere a unui bec s-a organizat un sondaj de 5% dintr-un
ORW GH  GH EHFXUL DPEDODWH vQ FXWLL GH FkWH  EXF L Q XUPD FURQRPHWU ULL GXUDWHL GH DUGHUH D

becurilor din fiecare cutie (serie) s-a calculat durata medie de ardere (vezi tabelul 4.7. coloana 1).
Mediile seriilor Tabelul 4.7. Nr.crt. al seriei A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total
WLLQG F JDUDQWHD]

Durata medie de ardere (n ore)

( xi )
1 2100 2250 2080 1950 2325 2230 2170 2050 2175 2200 21530

( xi x s ) 2
2 2809 9409 5329 41209 29584 5929 289 10609 484 2209 107860
LDU SUREDELOLWDWHD FX FDUH VH

OD VHOHFWDUHD FXWLLORU V D IRORVLW H[WUDJHUHD QHUHSHWDW

UH]XOWDWHOH HVWH  ] V

 VH FHUH

1. 2.

VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH FDUH VH YD vQFDGUD GXUDWD PHGLH GH DUGHUH SH vQWUHJXO ORW GH VH UHSHW VRQGDMXO FDUH YD IL YROXPXO QHFHVDU DO HDQWLRQXOXL GDF VH IRORVHWH R

becuri;
GDF

probabilitate p = 0,9973 pentru care z = 3.

Rezolvare 1.
'HRDUHFH FXWLLOH VHULLOH VXQW GH DFHHDL GLPHQVLXQH SHQWUX FDOFXOXO PHGLHL SH WRWDO VH IRORVHWH UHOD LD

xs =

x
r

21530 = 2153 ore / bec 10


FDOFXODUHD GLVSHUVLHL GLQWUH VHULL YH]L WDEHOXO

3HQWUX FDOFXODUHD HURULL PHGLL HVWH QHFHVDU

4.7., coloana 2):

s2 =

(x
i =1

xs )

107860 = 10786 10
 HURDUHD OLPLW VH FDOFXOHD] DVWIHO

Fiind un sondaj de serii unde R = 200, r


x = z

s2 R r 10786 200 10 = 1,96 = 62,9 ore r R 1 10 200 1

Limitele ntre care se va ncadra media pe total: x s x < x0 < x s + x , de unde: 2153 - 62,9 < x0 < 2153 + 62,9 2090,1 < x0 < 2215,9 ore / bec

2. Noul volum de sondaj va fi:

r =

R (z ) s2 200 3 2 10786 = = 21,95 22 cutii (R 1) 2x + (z )2 s2 199 62,9 2 + 32 10786


2

PROBLEME PROPUSE

1.
3HQWUX R XQLWDWH HFRQRPLF VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 4.8.
*UXSH GH PXQFLWRUL GXS P ULPHD

SURGXF LHL PLL EXF

Sub 10 10-12 12-14 14-16 16 -18


 L SHVWH

Total

Nr. muncitori 2 6 12 22 18 6 66

Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH YHULILFH GDF GLVWULEX LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS GDF P ULPHD SURGXF LHL HVWH RPRJHQ  vQ  GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO L V VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH FDUH VH YD vQFDGUD SURGXF LD PHGLH L SURGXF LD WRWDO HDQWLRQXO UHSUH]LQW

FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO

-a

IRUPDW SULQ VHOHF LH QHUHSHWDW  SUREDELOLWDWHD FX FDUH VH JDUDQWHD]

UH]XOWDWHOH HVWH GH FDUH VH JDUDQWHD]

0,9545 (z=2); 3. 4.
V V VH GHWHUPLQH YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL GDF SUREDELOLWDWHD FX

rezultatele este de 0,9973 (z=3);


VH GHWHUPLQH QXP UXO PD[LP DO PXQFLWRULORU FDUH DX UHDOL]DW vQ PHGLH FHO SX LQ L  PLL EXF

2.

Dintr-XQ VRQGDM VWDWLVWLF GH 

 VHOHFWDW vQWkPSO WRU L QHUHSHWDW V DX RE LQXW GDWHOH

Tabelul 4.9.
*UXSH WLSLFH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS P ULPHD 1U DJHQ L

capitalului (mil. lei) A I II

economici 1 20 75

Profit pe agent economic (mil.lei/ag.ec.) 2 14 21

III
WLLQG F YDORDUHD PRGDO D SURILWXOXL SH

55
WRWDO HDQWLRQ

23
D IRVW GH  PLO OHL FX XQ

coeficient de asimetrie de - 0,21, se cere: 1. 2.


V V VH VWDELOHDVF VH VWDELOHDVF GDF IDFWRUXO GH JUXSDUH P ULPHD FDSLWDOXOXL HVWH VHP

nificativ pentru


YDULD LD SURILWXOXL OLPLWHOH vQWUH FDUH VH YRU vQFDGUD SURILWXO PHGLX L SURILWXO WRWDO vQ GDF SUREDELOLWDWHD FX FDUH VH JDUDQWHD] UH]XOWDWHOH HVWH 3 FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO

(z=1,96).

3.

ntr-o unitate economLF

VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 4.10. Grupe de muncitori


GXS P ULPHD SURGXF LHL EXF

Nr. muncitori 4 12 24 44 36 10 130

37 38 39 40 41 42 Total

Se cere: 1.
V VH FDOFXOH]H HURDUHD  PHGLH GH UHSUH]HQWDWLYLWDWH L HURDUHD OLPLW DGPLV GDF HDQWLRQXO UHSUH]LQW V V GLQ QXP UXO WRWDO DO PXQFLWRULORU LDU UH]XOWDWHOH VH JDUDQWHD] LL JHQHUDOH HURDUHD OLPLW VH P UHWH GH GRX RU

cu o probabilitate de 0,95 (z = 1,96); 2. 3.


VH HVWLPH]H SDUDPHWULL FROHFWLYLW VH GHWHUPLQH QRXO YROXP DO HDQWLRQXOXL GDF

i.

4.
Dintr-XQ VRQGDM VWDWLVWLF GH 
SURSRU LRQDO VWUDWLILFDW V DX RE LQXW GDWHOH

Tabelul 4. 11.
*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS QXP UXO GH VDODULD L *UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS P ULPHD SURILWXOXL PLO

lei) sub 12 1 8 8 12-16 2 20 15 35 16-20 3 12 25 37 20-24 4 30 30 24-28 5 20 20 2 L peste 6 10 10

Total 7 40 100 140

A I II Total

Se cere: 1.
V VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH FDUH VH YD vQFDGUD SURILWXO PHGLX L SURILWXO WRWDO vQ DO GRLOHD GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO  GDF UH]XOWDWHOH VH JDUDQWHD] LL JHQHUDOH GDF FX R SUREDELOLWDWH GH FX R VWUDW V V

0,9973 (z = 3); 2. 3.
VH HVWLPH]H SDUDPHWULL FROHFWLYLW UH]XOWDWHOH VH JDUDQWHD]

probabilitate de 0,9973 (z = 3);


VH GHWHUPLQH YROXPXO XQXL QRX HDQWLRQ GDF  L V SUREDELOLWDWH FX FDUH VH JDUDQWHD] UH]XOWDWHOH HVWH  ] VH GLVWULEXLH HDQWLRQXO SH VXEHDQWLRDQH

5.
Pentru verificarea duratei medii de ardere a unui bec s-a organizat un sondaj de 5% dintr-un
ORW GH  GH EHFXUL DPEDODWH vQ FXWLL GH FkWH  EXF L Q XUPD FURQRPHWU ULL GXUDWHL GH DUGHUH D

becurilor din fiecare cutie (serie) s-a calculat durata medie de ardere (vezi tabelul 4.12., coloana 1).
Mediile seriilor Tabelul 4.12. Nr. crt. al seriei A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
WLLQG F JDUDQWHD]

Durata medie de ardere (sute ore)

( xi )
1 8 10 7,2 7 10,2 8,5 9 9,6 7,5 8
LDU SUREDELOLWDWHD FX FDUH VH

OD VHOHFWDUHD FXWLLORU V D IRORVLW H[WUDJHUHD QHUHSHWDW

UH]XOWDWHOH HVWH  ] V V

 VH FHUH

1. 2.

VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH FDUH VH YD vQFDGU

a durata medie de ardere pe ntregul lot de


HURDUHD OLPLW VH P UHWH FX  

becuri;
VH GHWHUPLQH YROXPXO XQXL QRX HDQWLRQ GDF

$QDOL]D OHJ

WXULORU

dintre fenomenele
L SURFHVHOH HFRQRPLFH

5(*5(6,$ 6,03/

81,)$&725,$/

Modelul liniar
)XQF LD GH UHJUHVLH

Yxi = a + bxi

Parametrul a UHSUH]LQW ordonata la origine L DUDW caracteristicii Y GDF WR L IDFWRULL - PDL SX LQ FHO vnregistrat - DU
IRUP ULL HL

OD

FH

QLYHO

DU

IL

DMXQV

YDORDUHD DVXSUD

IL DYXW R DF LXQH FRQVWDQW

Parametrul b VH PDL QXPHWH L coeficient de regresie L UHSUH]LQW  vQ VHQV JHRPHWULF panta liniei drepte. Coeficientul de regresie b DUDW FX FkW VH VFKLPE vQ PHGLH YDULDELOD Y n cazul n care variabila X VH PRGLILF FX R XQLWDWH $FHVW SDUDPHWUX HVWH SR]LWLY vQ FD]XO OHJ WXULL GLUHFWH L
QHJDWLY vQ FD]XO OHJ WXULL LQYHUVH

Parametrii a L b VH GHWHUPLQ GLQ VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH RE LQXW SULQ PHWRGD FHORU 2 = minim ). PDL PLFL S WUDWH ( y Y ) i xi
Q FD]XO vQ FDUH GLVSXQHP GH XQ QXP U PLF GH SHUHFKL GH YDORUL

xi, yi):

na + b xi = y i 2 a x i + b x i = x i y i

'DF

VH IRORVHWH PHWRGD GHWHUPLQDQ LORU VH RE LQH

a=

y x x y x n x x x
i i i i i 2 i

i 2 i

y x x y x n x ( x )
i 2 i i i 2 i 2 i

b=

n xi n

y x y x x
i i i 2 i

n xi y i xi y i n xi2 ( xi ) 2

n cazul n care perechile de valori (xi, yi VH UHSHW

GH Qi

ori:

na + b xi ni = y i ni , 2 a x i n i + b x i n i = x i y i n i
'DF

unde

n = ni

VH IRORVHWH PHWRGD GHWHUPLQDQ LORU VH RE LQH

y i n i x i2 n i x i y i n i x i n i a= n x i2 n i ( x i n i ) 2
b= n xi yi ni xi ni n x i2 n i ( x i n i ) 2
-

yi ni
LQ

Q FD]XO VLVWHPDWL]

ULL GDWHORU vQWU XQ WDEHO FX GXEO

trare n care perechile de valori

(xi, yj VH UHSHW

GH Qij

ori:

k m na + b xi ni. = y j n. j i =1 j =1 , k k k m a x n + b x 2 n = i i. x i y j nij i i. i =1 i =1 j =1 i =1

unde:

n = ni. = n. j = nij
i =1 j =1 i =1 j =1

xi y j nij = xi y j nij = y j xi nij


i =1 j =1 i =1 j =1 j =1 i =1

'DF

VH IRORVHWH PHWRGD GHWHUPLQDQ LORU VH RE LQH

y a=
b=

n. j x i2 ni. xi y j nij xi ni. n xi2 ni. ( xi ni. ) 2

n xi y i nij xi ni. y j n. j n xi2 ni. ( xi ni. ) 2

Modelul parabolei de gradul doi


Y x i = a + bx i + cx i2
3XQkQG WHRUHWLFH V DFHHDL FRQGL LH FD VXPD S WUDWHORU DEDWHULORU WHUPHQLORU VHULHL GH OD YDORULOH ILH PLQLP  VH RE LQH

(y

(a + bxi + cxi2 )) 2 = minim

LDU VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH

na + b xi + c xi2 = y i 2 3 a x i + b x i + c x i = x i y i 2 3 4 2 a x i + b x i + c x i = x i y i
5H]ROYkQG VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH SULQ PHWRGD GHWHUPLQDQ LORU VH FDOFXOHD] FHORU WUHL SDUDPHWUL L vQ IXQF LH GH YDORULOH LQGLYLGXDOH DOH YDULDELOHL YDORDUHD YDORULOH

X

VH DMXVWHD]

caracteristicii rezultative. Modelul hiperbolic

Yxi = a +

1 b xi

6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QHFHVDU DIO ULL SDUDPHWULORU IXQF LHL HVWH

1 na + b x = y i i a 1 + b 1 = 1 y i xi xi xi2
0RGHOXO H[SRQHQ LDO

Yxi = a b xi

3ULQ ORJDULWPDUH PRGHOXO VH WUDQVIRUP

vQWU

-un model liniar de forma:

lg Y xi = lg a + xi lg b

SisWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH YD IL


n lg a + lg b xi = lg y i 2 lg a xi + lg b xi = ( xi lg y i )
2SHUD LD GH DMXVWDUH vQ DFHVW FD] VH YD IDFH GXS LQGLYLGXDOH GH UHJUHVLH $MXVWDUHD GXS R IXQF LH HFXD LLORU GH UHJUHVLH FDOFXODWH vQ IXQF LH GH FH VH YRU FDOFXOD ORJDULWPLL HFXD LLORU VH IDFH SULQ DQWLORJDULWPDUHD

H[SRQHQ LDO

xi.

5(*5(6,$ 08/7,3/

Modelul liniar
Yx1 , x2 ,..., xn = a 0 + a1 x1 + a 2 x 2 + ... + a n x n ,

n care:
FRQVWDQW  vQ DIDUD FHORU FRQVLGHUD L GUHSW FDUDFWHULVWLFL

a0 -

UHSUH]LQW

SDUDPHWUXO

FDUH

H[SULP

IDFWRULL

QHvQUHJLVWUD L

FRQVLGHUD L

FX

DF LXQH

factoriale;
FDUDFWHULVWLFD UH]XOWDWLY GDF

FDUDFWHULVWLFD IDFWRULDO

a1, a2, ... ,an - FRHILFLHQ LL GH UHJUHVLH FDUH DUDW


UHVSHFWLY VH PRGLILF

FkW VH PRGLILF FX R XQLWDWH

x1, x2, ... , xn - caracteristicile factoriale incluse n raportul de interdHSHQGHQ Parametrii a1,a2, ... ,an VH GHWHUPLQ
GLQ VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH

na 0 + a1 x1i + ... + a n x ni = y i .......................................................... 2 a 0 x1i + a1 x1i + ... + a n x1i x ni = x1i y i ............................................................ 2 a 0 x ni + a1 x1i x ni + ... + a n x ni = x ni y i
Cunoscnd cei n SDUDPHWUL DL IXQF LHL GH DMXVWDUH VH FDOFXOHD] de regresie pe baza valorilor x1, x2,, xn. ModelXO H[SRQHQ LDO
SHQWUX ILHFDUH XQLWDWH HFXD LD

Y x1

, x 2 ,..., x n

= a 0 x1 1

x 2 2 ... x n n
vQ PRGHO OLQLDU

3ULQ ORJDULWPDUH PRGHOXO H[SRQHQ LDO VH WUDQVIRUP

0(72'$ &25(/$

,(,

&RUHOD LD VLPSO

&RYDULDQ D

(cov(x,y))

cov( x, y ) =

(x

x )( yi y ) n

&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH 6H IRORVHWH SHQWUX P VXUDUHD LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULL OLQLDUH GLQWUH GRX Q FD]XO vQ FDUH GLVSXQHP GH XQ QXP U PLF GH SHUHFKL GH YDORUL YDULDELOH VWDWLVLFH

xi, yi):

ry / x =

(x

x )( yi y ) n x y
VLPSO SRDWH V LD YDORUL vQWUH

&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU

- L 

ntre - L  OHJ cu ct se apropie de 1. se apropie de 1.


)RUPXO

WXUD GLQWUH FHOH GRX

YDULDELOH HVWH GH VHQV LQYHUV L HVWH FX DWkW PDL LQWHQV  YDULDELOH HVWH GLUHFW L HVWH FX DWkW PDL LQWHQV  FX FkW

QWUH  L  OHJ WXUD GLQWUH FHOH GRX

GH FDOFXO VLPSOLILFDW

r y/x =

n x i y i ( x i )( y i )

[n x
(x i

2 i

( x i ) 2 n y i2 ( y i ) 2
GH Qi

][

n cazul n care perechile de valori (xi, yi VH UHSHW

ori:

ry/ x =

x )( y i y ) n i n x
y

Formula de calcul simplificat:

n x i y i n i ( x i n i )( y i n i ) ry/x =
i i i

2 2 nxi ni ( xi ni ) i i
unde n = ni

2 2 n y i ni ( y i ni ) i i

Q FD]XO VLVWHPDWL]

ULL GDWHORU vQWU

-un tabel cu

GXEO

LQWUDUH vQ FDUH SHUHFKLOH GH YDORUL

(xi, yj VH UHSHW
ry/x =

GH Qij

ori:
x )( y j y ) n ij n x
y

( x i

iar pentru calculul simplificat:

n x i y j n ij ( x i n i . )( y j n . j ) r y/x =
i j i j

2 2 n x i n i . ( x i n i . ) i i
'DF

2 2 ny j n. j (y j n. j ) j j

R y / x = ry / x

VH FRQILUP

LSRWH]D OHJ WXULL OLQLDUH

5DSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH

Q FD]XO vQ FDUH GLVSXQHP GH XQ QXP

U PLF GH SHUHFKL GH YDORUL [i

, yi):

y/x

(Yx ( yi

y) y)

2 2

sau

R y/x =

( yi Yx )2 1 ( yi y)2
i

unde Y

UHSUH]LQW

YDORULOH DMXVWDWH LQGLIHUHQW GH PRGHOXO GH UHJUHVLH VHOHFWDW

5DSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH SRDW

e lua valori de la zero la +1.


GH Qi

n cazul n care perechile de valori (xi, yi VH UHSHW

ori:

y/x

( y j Yx )2 ni ( y j y )2 ni
i

sau R

y/x

( y i Y x ) 2 ni 1 ( y i y ) 2 ni
i

Q FD]XO VLVWHPDWL]

ULL GDWHORU vQWU XQ WDEHO FX GXEO

LQWUDUH vQ FDUH SHUHFKLOH GH YDORUL

(xi, yj VH UHSHW

GH Qij

ori:

R y/x =

(Yx
i

y ) 2 n i. y)
2

( y j
sau R y / x =

Yxi ) 2 ni j y ) 2 n.
j

( y j
j

n.

( y j

Pentru

FRUHOD LD QHOLQLDU

 P VXUDUHD JUDGXOXL GH LQWHQVLWDWH D OHJ WXULL VH IDFH QXPDL SULQ

UDSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH

5DSRUWXO HPSLULF GH FRUHOD LH

y / x

(y
i =1 m

y y

n
2

i .

( y j
r m

yi y

sau
n
. j

(y
j =1

R y/ x =

i =1 j =1 m

)2 n ij

(y j
j =1

)2 n . j

&RUHOD LD PXOWLSO

&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH PXOWLSO

r y / x1
L

,x 2

r y2/ x + r y2/ x 2 r y / x r y / x r x 1 x 2
1 2 1 2

r x2 x 1 2

GDF

r x1

,x 2

ry/x

,x 2

r y2/ x

+ r y2/ x

GDF

r x1

,x 2

=0

5DSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH PXOWLSO

Ry
x 1 , x 2 ,...., x i ,...., x n

(y i 1

Y x1

, x 2 ,...., x i ,...., x n

( y i

y)

3HQWUX YHULILFDUHD RELHFWLYLW

LL IXQF LHL DOHDV

SHQWUX DMXVWDUH VH IRORVHVF vQ DFHVW FD] vQ

special SURFHGHHOH GH DQDOL]

GLVSHUVLRQDO

6H SRUQHWH GH OD UHOD LD

(y

y)=(y

y / x i ) + ( y / x i Y xi ) + (Y x i y )

6H RE LQ GHYLDQ HOH

( y j y )
m j =1

n. j = y j y / x i
i =1 j =1

)2 ni j + ( y / xi Yx )2 ni . + (Yx
r r i =1
i

i =1

y 2 ni .

SH ED]D F URUD VH FDOFXOHD]

GLVSHUVLLOH FRUHFWDWH

( y j y / xi )2 ni j
r m 2 S1 = i =1 j =1

nr
i=1

( y / x i Y x )2 n i
r
i

2 S2

r f 1
i=1

(Yx
r

y 2 ni f
,

2 S3 =

n care: n - QXP UXO WRWDO DO XQLW LORU REVHUYDWH r - QXP UXO GH JUXSH vQ IXQF LH GH IDFWRUXO vQUHJLVWUDW f - parameWULL YDULDELOL DL IXQF LH GH UHJUHVLH
3H ED]D GLVSHUVLLORU FRUHFWDWH VH GHWHUPLQ 

F 1 calc =

2 S3

S 12
2 S2

F 2 calc =
VH FRPSDU

S 12
FX OHJ WXUD GLQWUH

'DF

F1 calc F2 calc

F1 tab cu f

n-r grade de libertate.


; L L < HVWH VHPQLILFDWLY 

F1 calc > F1 tab


VH FRPSDU

FX

'DF 'DF

F2 calc > F2 tab -

OHJ WXUD GLQWUH

F2 tab cu r-f-1

n-r grade de libertate. Y HVWH OLQLDU 


VLPSO  DWXQFL VH DSOLF FHO PDL IUHFYHQW

V D XWLOL]DW L FRHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU

testul t:

t=

ry/ x 1 r y2/ x

n2,

unde n UHSUH]LQW
9DORDUHD VHPQLILFD LH

YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL VH FRPSDU FX FHD WDEHODU VWDELOLW SUREDELOLVWLF SHQWUX XQ QLYHO GH

P = 1 / 2

FDOFXODW

L FX

n-2 grade de libertate.

'DF

calculat

> t

VWXGLH]H FRUHOD LD

calculat

<t

tabelar

OHJ WXUD HVWH QHVHPQLILFDWLY

tabelar

VH

YHULILF

LSRWH]D

VHPQLILFD LHL

UHOD LHL

GH

FRUHOD LH

GDF VH

L WUHEXLH F XWDW XQ DOW IDFWRU HVHQ LDO FX FDUH V

&RUHOD LH QHSDUDPHWULF

Coeficientul de asociere AceaVW PHWRG VH XWLOL]HD] SHQWUX P VXUDUHD alternative prezentate ntr-un tabel de asociere de forma:
LQWHQVLW LL OHJ WXULL D GRX FDUDFWHULVWLFL

Tabelul 5.1.

y x x1 x2 Total
DUDW

y1 a c a+c

y2 b d b+d

Total a+b c+d a+b+c+d


L

Produsul ad
GH OHJ WXU LQYHUV

JUDGXO GH UHDOL]DUH D OHJ WXULL GLUHFWH GLQWUH FDUDFWHULVWLFL FHUFHWDWH

Y, iar produsul bc gradul


LQGLFH H[LVWHQ D L

vQWUH FHOH GRX

3HQWUX VWDELOLUHD YDORULL QXPHULFH D FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH DVRFLHUH FDUH V LQWHQVLWDWHD XQHL OHJ WXUL IRUPXOD FHD PDL XWLOL]DW HVWH FHD SURSXV GH <XOH

Q=

ad bc ad + bc
LD YDORUL vQWUH

$FHVW LQGLFDWRU SRDWH V DVRFLHULL FHORU GRX

-

L  DU WkQG QX QXPDL JUDGXO GH LQWHQVLWDWH DO

FDUDFWHULVWLFL GDU L VHQVXO HL

&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJX

rs =1

6d

rilor propus de Spearman

2 i

n3 n

n care: di - UHSUH]LQW GLIHUHQ D vQWUH UDQJXULOH SHUHFKLL GH YDORUL xi , yi); n - QXP UXO GH SHUHFKL GH YDORUL
&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU

propus de Kendall:

rk =

2S , n (n 1)

n care S = ( Pi Qi ) , unde: Pi - QXP UXO UDQJXULORU PDL PDUL FDUH XUPHD] Qi - QXP UXO UDQJXULORU PDL PLFL FDUH XUPHD]

UDQJXOXL FXUHQW SHQWUX YDULDELOD GHSHQGHQW  UDQJXOXL FXUHQW SHQWUX YDULDELOD GHSHQGHQW 

PROBLEME REZOLVATE

1.

Pentru 1 XQLW

L HFRQRPLFH GLQ DFHODL VHFWRU GH DFWLYLWDWH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH XUP WRDUH

Tabelul 5.2. Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total Capital fix (mld. lei) 1,4 0,9 1,1 2,2 0,8 0,6 1,3 1,0 1,5 2,0 12,8
3URGXF LD POG OHL

0,8 0,5 0,6 1,2 0,4 0,3 0,7 0,6 0,9 1,1 7,1

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V V VH DUJXPHQWH]H FX DMXWRUXO PHWRGHORU VLPSOH H[LVWHQ D GLUHF LD L IRUPD OHJ WXULL VH GHWHUPLQH SDUDPHWULL IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH FDOFXOH]H YDORULOH IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH DIOH YDORDUHD FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH

Rezolvare: 1. Metoda seriilor paralele interdependente presupune ordonarea valorilor caracteristicii factoriale xi FDSLWDOXO IL[ L vQUHJLVWUDUHD vQ SDUDOHO D YDORULORU FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH DOH caracteristicii dependente yi SURGXF LH  GXS FXP VH SRDWH YHGHD vQ WDEHOXO 
Tabelul 5.3. Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

xi (mld. lei)
0,6 0,8 0,9 1,0 1,1 1,3 1,4 1,5 2,0 2,2

y i (mld. lei)
0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,1 1,2

&HOH GRX

LUXUL GH GDWH GLQ WDEHOXO  LQGLF R OHJ WXU

H[LVWHQ D XQHL OHJ WXUL GLUHFWH vQWUH FDSLWDOXO VH WUDVH]H JUDILFXO

IL[ L P ULPHD SURGXF LHL 3HQWUX D SXWHD DSUHFLD L IRUPD OHJ WXUL HVWH QHFHVDU V GH FRUHOD LH ILJXUD   FDUH VXJHUHD] GH WLS OLQLDU

SURGXF LH

(mld. lei)

1,4 1,2 1 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 capital fix (mld. lei)

)LJXUD  /HJ

WXUD GLQWUH FDSLWDOXO IL[ L SURGXF LH

2.

$IODUHD SDUDPHWULORU IXQF LHL OLQLDUH GH UHJUHVLH QHFHVLW GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH

UH]ROYDUHD XUP WRUXOXL VLVWHP

n a + b x i = y i a xi + b xi2 = xi y i
&DOFXOHOH QHFHVDUH UH]ROY ULL VLVWHPXOXL DX IRVW VLVWHPDWL]DWH vQ WDEHOXO 

Tabelul 5.4. Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total

xi
1 0,6 0,8 0,9 1,0 1,1 1,3 1,4 1,5 2,0 2,2 12,8

yi
2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,1 1,2 7,1

xi2
3 0,36 0,64 0,81 1,00 1,21 1,69 1,96 2,25 4,00 4,84 18,76

xi y i
4 0,18 0,32 0,45 0,60 0,66 0,91 1,12 1,35 2,20 2,64 10,43

yi2
5 0,09 0,16 0,25 0,36 0,36 0,49 0,64 0,81 1,21 1,44 5,81

Yxi
6 0,326 0,439 0,496 0,552 0,609 0,721 0,778 0,835 1,117 1,230 7,103

6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH HVWH

10 a + 12 , 8 b = 7 , 1 , 12 , 8 a + 18 , 76 b = 10 , 43
FX VROX LLOH

a = 0,013 b = 0,565

(FXD LD PHGLH GH HVWLPDUH D OHJ WXULL OLQLDUH GLQWUH FDSLWDOXO IL[ L SURGXF LH HVWH

Yxi = 0,013 + 0,565 xi


/D R FUHWHUH FX XQ PLOLDUG GH OHL D FDSLWDOXOXL IL[ SURGXF LD VH P UHWH vQ PHGLH FX

0,565 mld. lei. 3.


9DORULOH DMXVWDWH DOH SURGXF LHL VH FDOFXOHD] vQORFXLQG ILHFDUH YDULDQW D FDUDFWHULVWLFLL vQ IXQF LD GH UHJUHVLH YH]L WDEHOXO 

factoriale xi

.).

Yx1 = 0,013 + 0,565 0,6 = 0,326  Yx10 = 0,013 + 0,565 2,2 = 1,230
4.
&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU VLPSO HVWH

ry / x =

[n x

n xi yi x i
2 i

( x )
i

][n y

yi
2 i

( y i

10 10 , 43 12 , 8 7 , 1

(10 18 , 76 163 , 84 )(10 5 , 81 50 , 41 )


R OHJ WXU GLUHFW

13 , 420 13 , 517

= 0 , 9928

$FHVW UH]XOWDW DUDW

IRDUWH SXWHUQLF  DSURDSH IXQF LRQDO  vQWUH YDULDELOHOH

nregistrate.

2.
Num
LQGXVWULDO UXO PHGLX GH DQJDMD L L SURILWXO DQXDO vQUHJLVWUDW GH  ILUPH GLQWU R

VXEUDPXU

VH SUH]LQW

DVWIHO

Tabelul 5.5. Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total


1XP U PHGLX GH DQJDMD L SHUVRDQH

Profit anual (mil. lei) 2 115 45 100 50 55 85 40 50 45 70 655

1 13 4 12 5 6 8 3 4 5 7 67

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V V VH DQDOL]H]H H[LVWHQ D GLUHF LD L IRUPD OHJ WXULL VH GHWHUPLQH SDUDPHWULL IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH FDOFXOH]H YDORULOH IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH P VRDUH LQWHQVLWDWHD FRUHOD LHL GLQWUH FHOH GRX YDULDELOH IRORVLQG FRHILFLHQWXO L

UDSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH

Rezolvare: 1.
Q UHOD LD GLQWUH FHOH GRX

(xi )

YDULDELOH IDFWRUXO GH LQIOXHQ D HVWH QXP UXO PHGLX GH DQJDMD L HVWH P ULPHD SURILWXOXL

 LDU YDULDELOD UH]XOWDWLY

(y i ) .

'LQWUH PHWRGHOH VLPSOH GH HYLGHQ LHUH D FRUHOD LHL GLQWUH GRX JUDILF  DFHDVWD RIHULQG FHOH PDL PXOWH LQIRUPD LL 'LQ ILJXUD  UHLHVH F GLUHFW 

YDULDELOH DP DOHV PHWRGD R OHJ WXU

vQWUH QXP UXO GH DQJDMD L L P ULPHD SURILWXOXL H[LVW

de tip liniar.
yi (mil. lei) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 xi (pers.)

)LJXUD  /HJ

WXUD GLQWUH QXP

UXO PHGLX GH DQJDMD L

xi L YDORDUHD SURILWXOXL yi )
L

2.

6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH QHFHVDU SHQWUX DIODUHD SDUDPHWULORU

b ai func LHL

OLQLDUH

este:
n a + b x i = y i a xi + b xi2 = xi yi

Folosind rezultatele calculelor intermediare prezentate n tabelul 5.5. (coloanele 1 - 4),


VH RE LQH VLVWHPXO

10 a + 67b = 655 , 67 a + 553b = 5170

FX VROX LLOH

a = 15,2017 b = 7,5072

3. Valorile teoretice ale profitului ( Yxi ) se vor calcula nlocuind fiecare valoare a variabilei factoriale xi
vQ IXQF LD GH UHJUHVLH

Yxi = 15,2017 + 7,5072 xi


Rezultatele calculelor efectuate sunt prezentate n tabelul nr. 5.6., coloana 5.
Tabelul 5.6. Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total

xi
1 13 4 12 5 6 8 3 4 5 7 67

yi
2 115 45 100 50 55 85 40 50 45 70 655

xi y i
4 1.495 180 1.200 250 330 680 120 200 225 490 5.170

xi2
3 169 16 144 25 36 64 9 16 25 49 553

yi2
5 13.225 2.025 10.000 2.500 3.025 7.225 1.600 2.500 2.025 4.900 49.025

Yxi
6 112,80 45,23 105,29 52,74 60,24 75,26 37,72 45,23 52,74 67,75 655,00

(y

Yxi

7 4,86 0,05 27,96 7,50 27,51 94,88 5,18 22,75 59,87 5,05 225,62

4. Rezultatele calculelor efectuate pentru determinarea parametrilor a L b DL IXQF LHL OLQLDUH GH UHJUHVLH WDEHOXO  SRW IL XWLOL]DWH L SHQWUX DSOLFDUHD IRUPXOHL GH FDOFXO VLPSOificat
D FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH

ry

[n x

n xi yi xi
2 i

( x i

][n y
R

yi
2 i

( y i

10 5170 67 655

[10 553 67 ][10 49025 655 ]


2 2
DSURSLDW GH  LQGLF FX IRUPXOD

= 0 , 9789

$FHDVW

YDORDUH

OHJ WXU

IRDUWH

SXWHUQLF

vQWUH

FHOH

GRX

variabile.
5DSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH VH GHWHUPLQ

Ry

( y i Y x )2 1 2 (y i y )
i

unde

y=

yi
n

655 = 65 , 5 10

Utiliznd datele din tabeluO  FDOFXO


= 1
L

P

Ry

255 , 62 6122 , 50

= 0 , 9789
FRUHOD LH DX YDORUL HJDOH FHHD FH FRQILUP OLQLDULWDWHD

&RHILFLHQWXO OHJ WXULL

UDSRUWXO

GH

3.
ntr-R VXEUDPXU LQGXVWULDO V-au nregistrat ntr-R cheltuielile de prRGXF LH L SURGXF LD RE LQXW 
OXQ XUP WRDUHOH LQIRUPD LL SULYLQG

Tabelul 5.7.
3URGXF LH &KHOWXLHOL GH SURGXF LH PLO OHL

(mii buc.) 0 31-36 26-31 21-26 16-21 11-16 Total:

sub 30 1 1 1 1 5 2 10

30-60 2 6 3 2 2 13

60-90 3 3 4 4 11

90-120 4 3 1 4

 L

peste 5 2 2

Total 6 7 14 8 7 4 40

3H ED]D DFHVWRU GDWH VH FHUH V FHOH GRX YDULDELOH L V

VH GHWHUPLQH IXQF LD GH UHJUHVLH FDUH H[SULP

OHJ WXUD GLQWUH

VH P VRDUH LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULL

Rezolvare:
'LVWULEX LD IUHFYHQ HORU vQ WDEHO LQGLF R WHQGLQ GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU  Q FD]XO GLVWULEX LHL ELGLPHQVLRQDOH GH IUHFYHQ H VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH DUH IRUPD

n a + b x i ni . = y i n. j i j a x i n i . +b x i2 n i . = x i y j n i j i i i j
&DOFXOXO GRX YDULDELOH HOHPHQWHORU QHFHVDUH SHQWUX DIODUHD SDUDPHWULORU VLVWHPXOXL GH HFXD LL HVWH

sistematizat n tabelul nr. 5.8.. PHQWUX XXULQ

 vQ WDEHO VH WUHF GLUHFW FHQWUHOH GH LQWHUYDO SHQWUX FHOH

Tabelul 5.8.

yj

15 1 1 1 1 5 2 10

45 2 6 3 2 2 13 585 26325

75 3 3 4 4 11 825 61875

105 4 3 1 4 420 44100

135 5 2 2 270 36450 81,9855

ni .
6 7 14 8 7 4 40 2250 171000 -

xi ni .
7 234,5 399,0 188,0 129,5 54,0 1005,0

x i2 n i .
8 7855,75 11371,50 4418,00 2395,75 729,00 26770,00

xi

y j ni j

xi
0 33,5 28,5 23,5 18,5 13,5 9 18592,5 27360,0 10575,0 3052,5 1620,0 61200,0

nj
y j n.
j

150 2250

y 2 n. j

xi

20,5255 35,8905

51,255 66,6205

Cu elementele calculate n tabelul  RE LQHP VLVWHPXO GH GRX


40 a + 1005 b = 2250 2250 a + 26770 b = 61200
5H]ROYkQG VLVWHPXO RE LQHP

HFXD LL

a = 20 , 96

b = 3 , 073 .

5H]XOW

GUHDSWD GH UHJUHVLH YD DYHD HFXD LD

Y x i = 20 , 96 + 3 , 073 x i
QORFXLQG vQ DFHDVW UHOD LH

pe fiecare xi

FX FHQWUXO GH LQWHUYDO FRUHVSXQ] WRU DP RE LQXW

YDORULOH QXPHULFH DOH HFXD LLORU GH UHJUHVLH YH]L WDEHOXO   )LLQG R UHSDUWL LH GH IUHFYHQ H SHQWUX P VXUDUHD JUDGXOXL GH FRUHOD LH FDOFXO P UDSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH XWLOL]kQG IRUPXOD GH FDOFXO SUH]HQWDW vQ FRQWLQXDUH

( y j
Ry
x

Yxi y

)
2

ni j

y j n. j
, unde y =
j

( y j
j

n.

n. j
j
FDOFXO P vQ

Pentru aplicarea acestei formule vom folosi datele conform calculelor efectuate
vQ WDEHOXO  6H REVHUY  F SHQWUX GHWHUPLQDUHD UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH HVWH QHFHVDU V SUHDODELO PHGLD L GLVSHUVLD SH WRWDO  PLL EXF L  

Tabelul 5.9.

Yxi
20,5255 35,8905 51,255

yj
15 45 15 45 15 45 75 15 45 75 105 135 15 75 105

ni j
2 2 5 2 1 3 4 1 6 4 1 2 1 3 3

(y

Y xi

ni j

66,6205

81,9855 Total

61,062 1198,002 21,82,065 165,966 1314,425 117,375 2255,300 2664,676 2804,676 280,864 1472,986 9351,512 4487,057 146,392 1589,002 30091,36

30091 , 360 = 0 , 568 44437 , 499

Valoarea raportulXL
GRX YDULDELOH VH FDOFXOHD]

GH

FRUHOD LH

LQGLF

OHJ WXU

GH

LQWHQVLWDWH

PHGLH

vQWUH

FHOH

GRX

YDULDELOH OXDWH vQ VWXGLX 3HQWUX YHULILFDUHD OLQLDULW

LL IXQF LHL FDUH HVWLPHD]

OHJ WXUD GLQWUH FHOH

FRHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH XWLOL]kQG vQ DFHVW VFRS GD

tele din tabelul 5.8.

n xi y j n ry
x

ij

xi ni . i
2

y j n. j

=
j

n x i2 n i . x i n i . i i =

n y 2 n. j y j n. j j j = 0 , 57

40 61200 2250 1005

(40 26770 1005 )(40 171000 2250 )


2 2

Q H[HPSOXO OXDW HJDOLWDWHD DILUP P F F

GLQWUH FHL GRL LQGLFDWRUL VLQWHWLFL

GH FRUHOD LH

QH SHUPLWH V

OHJ WXUD HVWH OLQLDU  (IHFWXkQG GHFL FDOFXOXO L FRPSDUkQG UH]XOWDWHOH VH SRDWH DFFHSWD GDF 

OHJ WXUD HVWH OLQLDU

y x=

y x

LDU vQ FD] FRQWUDU VH UHVSLQJH LSRWH]D L vQ DFHDVW YHULILFH IRUPD GH OHJ WXU GLQWUH FHOH GRX

VLWXD LH VH UHFXUJH OD R DOW

IXQF LH GH DMXVWDUH FDUH V

YDULDELOH 3HQWUX YHULILFDUHD RELHFWLYLW

LL IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH SRW IRORVL L UH]XOWDWHOH DQDOL]HL

dispersionale.

4.

3HQWUX

FLQFLVSUH]HFH

ILUPH

GLQ

DFHHDL

UDPXU

V DX

vQUHJLVWUDW

XUP WRDUHOH

LQIRUPD LL

UHIHULWRDUH OD R OXQ

GH DFWLYLWDWH

Tabelul 5.10. Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Profit (mil. lei) 1 15 17 13 23 16 21 14 20 24 17 16 18 23 15 16


1U VDODULD L

(pers.) 2 10 12 8 17 10 15 10 14 19 10 11 13 16 10 12

Capital fix (mld. lei) 3 2,40 2,72 2,08 3,68 2,56 3,36 2,24 3,20 3,84 2,72 2,07 2,33 2,98 1,94 2,17

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V VH VWXGLH]H OHJ WXUD GLQWUH FHOH WUHL YDULDELOH vQUHJLVWUDWH L V FDUH H[SULP DFHDVW OHJ WXU  VH J VHDVF IXQF LD GH UHJUHVLH PXOWLSO V V V

VH P VRDUH LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULORU VLPSOH vQWUH VH FDOFXOH]H FRHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU

x1

y , x2

y , x1

x2 ;

PXOWLSO 

VH GHWHUPLQH YDORDUHD UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH PXOWLSO 

Rezolvare: 1.
Q YHGHUHD GHWHUPLQ UL H[LVWHQ HL L IRUPHL OHJ WXULL YRP IRORVL PHWRGD VHULLORU SDUDOHOH LQWHUGHSHQGHQWH WDEHOXO  L PHWRGD JUDILF ILJXULOH 

5.5.)
Tabelul 5.11.

Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

1U VDODULD L

( x1 ) 1 8 10 10 10 10 10 11 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 19

Capital fix ( x2 ) 2 2,08 1,94 2,24 2,40 2,56 2,72 2,07 2,17 2,72 2,33 3,20 3,36 2,98 3,68 3,84

Profit (y) 3 13 15 14 15 16 17 16 16 17 18 20 21 23 23 24

Seriile paralele trei variabile.

LQWHUGHSHQGHQWH DUDW

H[LVW

vQ JHQHUDO R WHQGLQ

GH FUHWHUH SHQWUX FHOH

Profit 30 (mil. lei) 25 20 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 20

)LJXUD  /HJ

WXUD GLQWUH SURILW

y1

L QXP

30 Profit (mil. lei) 25 20 15 10 5 0 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 4 4,5 5 Capital fix (mld. lei)

)LJXUD  /HJ

WXUD GLQWUH SURILW

y L FDSLWDOXO IL[ x2 )

      
UXO GH VDODULD L

x1 )

1U VDODULD L

20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 Capital fix (mld. lei))

(pers.)

)LJXUD  /HJ

WXUD GLQWUH QXP

UXO SHUVRQDOXOXL

x1 L FDSLWDOXO IL[ x2 )

*UDILFHOH DUDW

OHJ WXULOH VLPSOH VXQW GH IRUP

OLQLDU  GHFL IXQF LD GH UHJUHVLH PXOWLSO

este: Y = a 0 + a1 x1 + a 2 x 2
(VWLPDUHD SDUDPHWULORU DFHVWHL IXQF LL SUHVXSXQH UH]ROYDUHD VLVWHPXOXL GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH

n a 0 + a1 x1 + a 2 x 2 = y 2 a 0 x1 + a1 x1 + a 2 x1 x 2 = x1 y a x + a x x + a x 2 = x y 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 0

Efectund calculele din tabelul 5.12., sistemul anterior devine:


15 a 0 + 187 a1 + 40,29 a 2 = 268 , 187 a 0 + 2.469 a1 + 525,38 a 2 = 3.490 40,29 a 0 + 525,38 a1 + 113,34 a 2 = 746,62
FX VROX LLOH

a 0 = 3,53 a1 = 0,84 a 2 = 1,44

Tabelul 5.12. Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Total

yi
15 17 13 23 16 21 14 20 24 17 16 18 23 15 16 268

x1
10 12 8 17 10 15 10 14 19 10 11 13 16 10 12 187

x2
2,40 2,72 2,08 3,68 2,56 3,36 2,24 3,20 3,84 2,72 2,07 2,33 2,98 1,94 2,17 40,29

y i2
225 289 169 529 256 441 196 400 576 289 256 324 529 225 256 4.960

x1 y
150 204 104 391 160 315 140 280 456 170 176 234 368 150 192 3.490
HVWH

x2 y
36,00 46,24 27,04 84,64 40,96 70,56 31,36 64,00 92,16 46,24 33,12 41,94 68,54 29,10 34,72 746,62

x1 x 2
24,00 32,64 16,64 62,56 25,60 50,40 22,40 44,80 72,96 27,20 22,77 30,29 47,68 19,40 26,04 525,38

x 12
100 144 64 289 100 225 100 196 361 100 121 169 256 100 144 2.469

2 x2

5,7600 7,3984 4,3264 13,5424 6,5536 11,2896 5,0176 10,2400 14,7456 7,3984 4,2849 5,4289 8,8804 3,7636 4,7089 113,3400

)XQF LD OLQLDU

GH UHJUHVLH PXOWLSO

Yx 1x 2 = 3,53 + 0,84 x1 + 1,44 x 2

2.

,QWHQVLWDWHD

FRUHOD LHL

GLQWUH

QXP UXO

GH

VDODULD L

x1

SURILW

VH

P VRDU

FX

DMXWRUXO FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH

ry

[n x

n x1 y x1
2 1

( x 1

] [n y

y
2

( y ) =

[15 2.469 (187 ) ] [15 4.960 ( 268 ) ]


2 2

15 3.490 187 268

2.234 2.066 2.576

= 0 , 9684

,QWHQVLWDWHD FRUHOD LHL GLQWUH FDSLWDOXO IL[ L SURILW HVWH

ry

[n x

nx2 y x2
2 2

( x 2

] [n y

y
2

( y )

15 746 , 62 40 , 29 268

[15 113 , 34 ( 40 , 29 ) ] [15 4.960 ( 268 ) ]


2 2

401 , 58 76 , 82 2.576

401 , 58 444 , 85

= 0 , 9027

,QWHQVLWDWHD FRUHOD LHL GLQWUH QXP UXO GH VDODULD L L FDSLWDOXO IL[

rx 1

[n

n x1 x 2 x1 x 12 ( x 1

] [n

x2
2 x2

( x 2 =

15 525 , 38 187 40 , 29

346 , 47 2.066 76 , 82

[15 2.469 (187 ) ] [15 113 , 34 ( 40 , 29 ) ]


2 2

346 , 47 398 , 37

= 0 , 8697

3.

&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU

PXOWLSO

HVWH

ry

,x

r y2/ x

+ r y2/ x

2 ry/x 1 r x2
1

ry/x
2

rx

/x

/x

0 , 9684 2 + 0 , 9027 2 2 0 , 9684 0 , 9027 0 , 8697 1 ( 0 , 8697 ) 2

0 , 4818 0 , 4936

= 0 , 976

4.

5DSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH PXOWLSO

VH FDOFXOHD]

FX IRUPXOD

Ry

,x

= 1

(y i

Y x 1

(y i

9DORULOH WHRUHWLFH VH RE LQ vQORFXLQG

x1

x2

vQ IXQF LH GH UHJUHVLH

Y1 = 3,53 + 0,84 10 + 1,44 2,40 = 15,386


Y2 = 3,53 + 0,84 12 + 1,44 2,72 = 17,527
DPG

Profitul mediu este:

y=

yi
n

268 = 17,867 15

9DORDUHD UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH PXOWLSO

HVWH

Ry

x1,x2

= 1

8,101 = 0,976 171,733

Deoarece R y

x1,x2

= ry

x1, x 2

 OHJ WXUD GLQWUH FHOH WUHL YDULDELOH HVWH OLQLDU

L QX VXQW

necesare alte teste de verificare.

5.
&HOH  PDJD]LQH GH DFHODL SURILO GLQWU R ORFDOLWDWH VH FDUDFWHUL]HD]

SULQ XUP WRDUHOH GDWH

Tabelul 5.13. Desfaceri (mil.lei)


6XSUDID PS

52 41

60 38

74 72

20 16

25 21

34 22

49 23

38 21,5

45 32

12 15

6H FHUH V

VH P VRDUH OHJ WXUD GLQWUH FHOH GRX

YDULDELOH IRORVLQG PHWRGH QHSDUDPHWULFH

Rezolvare
Q YHGHUHD DSOLF ULL PHWRGHL FRUHOD LHL YRP RUGRQD FUHVF WRU YDORULOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL IDFWRULDOH ; VXSUDID XQ  WUHFkQG ILHF UXLD vQWU R FRORDQ  DO WXUDW vQ YDORULOH IXQF LH FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH GH P ULPHD DOH FDUDF

teristicii
UDQJXUL

GHSHQGHQWH < GHVIDFHUL  GXS FkWH UDQJ GLQ

FXP VH SRDWH YHGHD vQ WDEHOXO XUP WRU FRORDQHOH  L  9RP DFRUGD FHOH PDJD]LQH VXSUDIH HL FRPHUFLDOH

FRORDQD  L QLYHOXO GHVIDFHULORU FRORDQD  L YRP P VXUD GLIHUHQ HOH GLQWUH FHOH GRX $FHVWH GLIHUHQ H YRU IL ULGLFDWH OD S WUDW FRORDQD   VXPD ORU XUPkQG D IL IRORVLW FRHILFLHQWXOXL 6SHDUPDQ GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU

SHQWUX FDOFXODUHD

rS = 1

6 d i2 n n 2 1

unde: d i - GLIHUHQ D GH UDQJ n - QXP UXO REVHUYD LLORU r S = 0 , 9636 xi


1 15 16 21 21,5 22 23 32 38 41 72 Total
OHJ WXU SXWHUQLF 

Tabelul 5.14.

yi
2 12 20 25 38 34 49 45 60 52 74 -

R xi
3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 -

R yi
4 1 2 3 5 4 7 6 9 8 10 -

d i2
5 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 6

Pi
6 9 8 7 5 5 3 3 1 1 0 42

Qi
7 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 3

Pentru a calcula
FDUH DSDU GXS

FRHILFLHQWXO .HQGDOO GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU

vom stabili pentru fiecare ectiv inferioare)


WDEHOXOXL OD VIkULWXO

PDJD]LQ vQ SDUWH QXP UXO WRWDO GH PDJD]LQH FDUH DX XQ QLYHO VXSHULRU DO GHVIDFHULORU FRORDQD   UHVSHFWLY LQIHULRU FRORDQD   3HQWUX DFHDVWD YRP QXP UD UDQJXULOH VXSHULRDUH UHVS

Ry

UkQGXO

FRUHVSXQ] WRU

PDJD]LQXOXL

UHVSHFWLY

SkQ

'H H[HPSOX PDJD]LQXO FX GHVIDFHUL GH  PLO OHL DUH UDQJXO  GXS

GHVIDFHUL 'LQWUH FHOH SDWUX

magazine nscrise pe rnduriOH XUP obligatoriu ca rangurile R x V calcula coeficientul Kendall:

WRDUH  DX UDQJXUL

R y VXSHULRDUH L  DUH UDQJ R y inferior. Este

ILH RUGRQDWH FUHVF WRU )RORVLQG WRWDOXULOH GLQ FRORDQHOH  L  SXWHP

rk =

Pi Q i
n (n 1 )

r k = 0 , 87
'DWHOH GLQ WDEHOXO LQL LDO SRW IL IRORVLWH SHQWUX D FRQVWUXL XQ DP WUDQVIRUPDW FHOH GRX vQUHJLVWU UL vQ GRX

tabel de asociere. Pentru aceasta

DP FDOFXODW YDORDUHD PHGLH D GHVIDFHULORU  PLO OHL L VXSUDID D PHGLH D XQXL PDJD]LQ  PS L YDULDELOH DQDOL]DWH vQ FDUDFWHULVWLFL DOWHUQDWLYH SULQ UHVWUkQJHUHD FHORU  JUXSH YDORUL VXE PHGLH UHVSHFWLY SHVWH PHGLH

Tabelul 5.15.
6XSUDID

(mp) sub 30 peste 30

Desfaceri (mil. lei) sub 41 5 0 peste 41 1 4

3HQWUX D DSUHFLD LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULL VH IRORVHWH FRHILFLHQWXO GH DVRFLHUH FDOFXODW FX UHOD LD

Q=

ad bc a d + bc

5 4 1 0 5 4 + 1 0

Q =1

6.
'LQ GRULQ D GH D L FXQRDWH PDL ELQH FLWLWRULL XQ FRWLGLDQ D LQL LDW R DQFKHW

vQ

rndul acestora.

3ULQWUH vQWUHE ULOH LQFOXVH vQ FKHVWLRQDU HUDX L FHOH UHIHULWRDUH OD VH[XO FLWLWRULORU L IUHFYHQ D DFKL]L LRQ ULL ]LDUXOXL 3H ED]D U VSXQVXULORU FRQVHPQDWH OD DFHVWH GRX OHJ WXULL GLQWUH FHOH GRX YDULDELOH vQWUHE UL YH]L WDEHOXO   DSUHFLD L LQWHQVLWDWHD

Tabelul 5.16. Sexul cititorului


&XPS U ]LDUXO )UHFYHQ D U VSXQVXOXL

masculin

feminin

foarte rar uneori deseori zilnic foarte rar uneori deseori zilnic

10 10 25 5 20 15 10 5

Rezolvare:
3HQWUX D HYLGHQ LD L P VXUD OHJ WXUD GLQWUH VH[XO FLWLWRUXOXL L IUHFYHQ D FX FDUH FXPS U FRWLGLDQXO DP UHRUJDQL]DW LQIRUPD LLOH vQWU XQ WDEHO GH DVRFLHUH YH]L WDEHOXO   $ IRVW QHFHVDU

UHJUXSDUHD YDULDQWHORU GH U VSXQV UHIHULWRDUH OD IUHFYHQ D DFKL]L LRQ ULL FRWLGLDQXOXL SHQWUX D RE LQH R YDULDELO DOWHUQDWLY  FXPS FXPS U U WRULL RFD]LRQDOL VXQW FHL FDUH DFKL]L LRQHD] WRULL ILGHOL ]LDUXO IRDUWH UDU VDX XQHRUL

sunt cei care-O DFKL]L LRQHD]

GHVHRUL VDX ]LOQLF

Tabelul 5.17. Sexul cititorului feminin masculin Total Cititori ocazionali 35 20 55 fideli 15 30 45 Total 50 50 100

Pe baza datelor din tabelul 5.17. poate fi calculat coeficientul de asociere:


Q= 35 30 20 15 750 = = 0 , 556 35 30 + 20 15 1350
YDULDELOH DQDOL]DWH HVWH GH LQWHQVLWDWH PRGHUDW 

$DGDU FRUHOD LD GLQWUH FHOH GRX

PROBLEME PROPUSE

1.
date:

Pentru cei 8 muncitori dintr-R

VHF LH D XQHL XQLW

L HFRQRPLFH V DX vQUHJLVWUDW XUP WRDUHOH

Tabelul 5.18. Vechime (ani)


3URGXF LH EXF

3 22

6 30

4 20

5 25

2 18

5 26

4 22

1 19

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF GDWHOH L V VH DOHDJ IXQF LD GH UHJUHVLH SRWULYLW  VH GHWHUPLQH SDUDPHWULL IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH LQWHUSUHWH]H GLQ SXQFW GH YHGHUH HFRQRPLF FRHILFLHQWXO GH UHJUHVLH

VSXQVXUL

1. IXQF LH OLQLDU  2. Y i = 14 , 77 + 2 , 13 x i ; 3. pentru fiecare an suplimentar dH YHFKLPH SURGXF LD XQXL PXQFLWRU FUHWH vQ PHGLH cu 2,13 buc..

2.
ntr-R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO
V DX vQUHJLVWUDW XUP WRDUHOH GDWH

Tabelul 5.19. Vechime (ani) Salariu lunar (mil. lei)


WLLQG OHJ WXUD GLQWUH FHOH GRX

12 2,7

34 4,0

2 2,0

36 4,2

14 2,8

22 3,5

5 2,1

10 2,6

YDULDELOH HVWH H[SULPDW

SULQ IXQF LD

Y i = 1 , 895 + 0 , 0648 x i se cere: 1. 2. 3.


FDOFXOD L UDSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH GHWHUPLQD L vQ FH P VXU LQIOXHQ HD] YHFKLPHD VDODULXOXL OXQDU HVWLPD L VDODULXO OXQDU DO XQHL SHUVRDQH FX  DQL YHFKLPH

VSXQVXUL

1. 0,9935; 2. 98,7%; 3. 3,19 mil. lei.

3.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH UHIHULWRDUH OD R XQLWDWH HFRQRPLF 

Tabelul 5.20.
'RWDUH WHKQLF

14-16 16-18 18-20 Total

Productivitate (mil. lei / munc.) 10-12 12-14 14-16 100 40 20 80 20 40 100 120 160 120

Total 140 120 140 400

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
0 VXUD L LQWHQVLWDWHD FRUHOD LHL GLQWUH GRWDUHD WHKQLF OHJ WXUL OLQLDUH Q FH SURSRU LH LQIOXHQ HD] GRWDUHD WHKQLF SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL" GH  PLO OHL  SHQWUX (VWLPD L FH SURGXFWLYLWDWH DUH XQ PXQFLWRU FX GRWDUH WHKQLF L SURGXFWLYLWDWH vQ LSRWH]D XQHL

&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH HVWH VHPQLILFDWLY VWDWLVWLF SHQWUX R SUREDELOLWDWH GH 

care t tabelat este de 1,965?

VSXQVXUL

1. r y x = R y x = 0 , 77 ; 2. 59%; 3. 13,1 mil. lei; 4. da.

4.
ntr-o localitate datele:

vL GHVI RDU

DFWLYLWDWHD  DJHQ LL LPRELOLDUH SHQWUX FDUH V

-au nregistrat
Tabelul 5.21.

Profit (mil. lei) Y 32 47 18 25 49 41 52 38 36 29 43 28 24 36 41

&KHOWXLHOL UHFODP

1U DJHQ L

(mii lei) 249 292 183 201 310 248 246 241 288 191 248 210 256 275 241

X1

X2
15 18 14 16 21 20 18 14 13 15 21 18 20 16 19

WLLQG F

IXQF LD GH UHJUHVLH HVWH

Y i = 19 , 5 + 0 , 158 X 1 + 0 , 962 X 2 ,
V VH GHWHUPLQH P ULPHD UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH FH SURILW YD DYHD R DJHQ LH LPRELOLDU FX  GH DJHQ L L FKHOWXLHOL GH UHFODP

1. 2.

de 300 mii lei.

VSXQVXUL

1. 0,724; 2. 49 mil. lei.

5.
2SW DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GLQ DFHODL GRPHQLX GH DFWLYLWDWH DX vQUHJLVWUDW XUP WRDUHOH UHDOL] UL

Tabelul 5.22. Cifra de afaceri (mil. lei) Profit (mil. lei)


WLLQG F

540 47

580 59

600 52

640 56

700 64

620 58

610 50

470 40

OHJ WXUD GLQWUH FHOH GRX

YDULDELOH DUH FDUDFWHU OLQLDU P VXUD L LQWHQVLWDWHD DFHVWHLD

prin intermediul: 1. UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH 2. coeficientXOXL GH FRUHOD LH 3. FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU 6SHDUPDQ 4. FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU .HQGDOO

VSXQVXUL

1. 2. 3. 4.

0,8857; 0,8857; 0,714; 0,571.

6.

/D R ILUP

V DX vQUHJLVWUDW XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG FRVWXULOH GH SURGXF LH L SURILWXO RE LQXW

Tabelul 5.23. Costuri (mil. lei) Profit (mil. lei) 90 10 30 15 100 8 50 12 45 14 110 9 70 11 55 13 20 16 15 17

0 VXUD L LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULL GLQWUH FHOH GRX

YDULDELOH FX DMXWRUXO IXQF LD

1.

FRHILFLHQWXOXL L UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH GDF

de regresie este

Y i = 17 , 687 0 , 089 x i ; 2. 3.
FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU 6SHDUPDQ FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU .HQGDOO

VSXQVXUL 

1.  L 2. 0,9758; 3. 0,9111.

Analiza seriilor cronologice

INDICATORII SERIILOR CRONOLOGICE


*
,QGLFDWRULL DEVROX L VXQW FKLDU WHUPHQLL XQHL VHULL IRUPDWH GLQ LQGLFDWRUL DEVROX L

Indicatorii de nivel (y1, ...yt, ..., yn.).

Nivelul totalizat al termenilor


0RGLILF ULOH

n yt . t =1

absolute

FX ED]

IL[

t/1):

t/1=yt - y1 ,
FX ED] vQ ODQ

unde
t/t-1):

t = 2, n

t/t-1=yt - yt-1 ,
5HOD LL XWLOH

unde

t = 2, n

:
t / t 1

t =2

= m /1 ,

unde unde

mn

t/1 - t-1/1 = t/t-1 ,

t = 3,n

Indicatorii relativi

,QGLFH GH GLQDPLF

FX ED]

IL[

It/1): sau (It/t-1): sau


I t / t 1(%) = yt 100 , unde y t 1
t = 2, n

I t /1 =

FX ED]

yt y1

I t / 1(%) =

yt 100 , unde y1

t = 2, n

vQ ODQ

I t / t 1 =
5HOD LL XWLOH

yt y t 1

:
= I m / 1 , unde
mn

I
t =2

t / t 1

I t /1 = I t / t 1 , unde t = 3 , n I t 1 / 1
5LWPXO GH GLQDPLF

FX ED]

IL[

(Rt/1):
y t y1 y1 100

Rt

sau

Rt

= I t 1( % ) 100 % ,

t = 2,n

FX ED]

vQ ODQ

(Rt/t-1): sau

Rt / t 1 =

yt yt 1 100 yt 1

R t / t 1 = I t / t 1 (%) 100% ,

t = 2, n

9DORDUHD DEVROXW

D XQXL SURFHQW GH GLQDPLF

FX ED]

IL[

(At/1): sau (At/t-1): sau


At / t 1 = y t 1 100

At / 1 =

t /1 Rt / 1

At / 1 =

y1 100

FX ED]

vQ ODQ

At / t 1 =

t / t 1 Rt / t 1

Indicatorii medii
GH LQWHUYDOH GH WLPS IRUPDWH GLQ LQGLFDWRUL DEVROX L

Nivelului mediu SHQWUX R VHULH FURQRORJLF

y=

y
t =1

n
VLPSO

pentru o serie de momente cu intervale egale ntre momente (PHGLD FURQRORJLF


y y1 + y 2 + y 3 + ... + y i +... + y n1 + n 2 y cr = 2 n 1

):

SRQGHUDW

pentru o serie de momente cu intervale neegale ntre momente (mHGLD :


d1 y1 2 + y2 d1 + d 2 2 + ... y i
n1 i =1

FURQRORJLF

y cr =

d i 1 + d i 2

+ ... + y n

d n1 2

d i
FURQRORJLF 'H UH LQXW F  SHQWUX VH SRQGHUDW HVWH VLQJXUXO LQGLFDWRU PHGLX FH FDUDFWHUL]HD]

ria de momente cu intervale neegale ntre datele nregistrate, media


VHULD

0RGLILFDUHD PHGLH DEVROXW

t / t 1

n 1

sau

yn y1 n 1

Indicele mediu de GLQDPLF (I ) : I = n 1 I t / t 1


'DF GLVSXQHP GH PDL

sau
PXO L

I = n 1
LQGLFL

yn y1
PHGLL GH GLQDPLF vQWUHDJD SHULRDG FH FDUDFWHUL]HD] VH FDOFXOHD] PDL PXOWH

VXESHULRDGH VXFFHVLYH GH WLPS LQGLFHOH PHGLX FH FDUDFWHUL]HD]

astfel:

I = i =1
n care:

ni

I1

n1

I2

n2

... I i

ni

... I k


nk

I Ii ni k

- LQGLFHOH PHGLX JHQHUDO GH GLQDPLF - LQGLFLL PHGLL SDU LDOL GH GLQDPLF  - QXP - QXP
UXO LQGLFLORU FX ED] vQ ODQ UXO VXESHULRDGHORU DGLF

FH LQWU

vQ FRPSRQHQ D ILHF UXL LQGLFH PHGLX SDU LDO

DO LQGLFLORU PHGLL SDU LDOL

5LWPXO PHGLX GH GLQDPLF

R = (I (%) ) 100%

AJUSTAREA SERIILOR CRONOLOGICE


(YROX LD RULF UXL IHQRPHQ vQ WLPS HVWH UH]XOWDQWD XQRU LQIOXHQ H GH QDWXU VLVWHPDWLF L D

altora de tip aleator. Componentele sistematice sunt: trendul WHQGLQ D JHQHUDO  sezonalitatea FDUH VH PDQLIHVW

VXE IRUP

GH DEDWHUL GH OD WHQGLQ D JHQHUDO

OD LQWHUYDOH

UHJXODWH GH WLPS PDL PLFL GH XQ DQ VHPHVWUX WULPHVWUX OXQ  GHFDG 

ciclicitatea FDUH VH SUH]LQW perioade mai mari de un an.

VXE IRUP

GH IOXFWXD LL vQ MXUXO WHQGLQ HL vQUHJLVWUDWH OD

Componentele aleatoare VH PDQLIHVW


VLVWHPDWLF HYROX LD YDULDELOHL DQDOL]DWH

VXE IRUPD XQRU DEDWHUL vQWkPSO WRDUH GH OD FHHD FH DUH

Prin
WHUPHQLORU

DMXVWDUHD WHUPHQLORU XQHL VHULL GH GDWH VWDWLVWLFH VH vQ HOHJH RSHUD LD GH vQORFXLUH D UHDOL FX WHUPHQL WHRUHWLFL GDWHOH FH H[SULP OHJLWDWHD VSHFLILF GH GH]YROWDUH RELHFWLY D

IHQRPHQHORU OD FDUH VH UHIHU

'LVSHUVLD WRWDO

( )
2 y
i

VH FDOFXOHD]

GXS

IRUPXOD

2 y

(y =

y)

Dispersia termenilor seriei de la valorile ajustate y / r VLQWHWL]HD] reziduali - IDFWRUL QHvQUHJLVWUD L - vQ FD]XO VHULLORU FURQRORJLFH WR L IDFWRULL FX
2
WLPS L VH FDOFXOHD] FX IRUPXOD

LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU H[FHS LD IDFWRUXOXL

2 y/r

(y =

Yti n

,
WHRUHWLF D YDULDELOHL

n care Y t i

UHSUH]LQW

YDORDUHD

y vQ IXQF LH GH WLPS sLQWHWL]HD]


YDULD LD SURGXV QXPDL

Dispersia valorilor ajustate de la valoarea medie de modificarea factorului timp:

2 y/t

2 y/t

(Y =

ti

Metode simple de ajustare a seriilor cronologice Metoda mediilor mobile


6H IRORVHWH SHQWUX VHULLOH FDUH SUH]LQW RVFLOD LL VH]RQLHUH L FLFOLFH U SUHVWDELOLW GH WHUPHQL vQ FDUH VH ILH DMXVWDW  vQ VHULD FDUH WUHEXLH V

Mediile mobile VXQW PHGLL SDU LDOH FDOFXODWH GLQWU-XQ QXP


vQORFXLHWH SH UkQG SULPXO WHUPHQ FX WHUPHQXO FH XUPHD]

Q SUDFWLF

SXWHP FDOFXOD PHGLL PRELOH GLQWU XQ QXP U LPSDU GH WHUPHQL VDX GL

ntr-XQ QXP

SDU GH WHUPHQL vQ IXQF LH GH SHULRGLFLWDWHD LQIOXHQ HL IDFWRULORU VH]RQLHUL

Cnd ajustarea se face pe baza mediilor mobile calculate dintr-XQ


PHGLLOH PRELOH VH RE LQ vQ GRX WUHSWH

QXP U SDU GH WHUPHQL

1) medii mobile provizorii Y


L UHSUH]LQW

( )
t

FDUH VH SODVHD]

2) medii mobile definitive sau centrate Y

YDORULOH DMXVWDWH DOH WHUPHQLORU UHVSHFWLYL GLQ VHULD LQL LDO 

( )
t

vQWUH WHUPHQLL VHULHL vQ GUHSWXO WHUPHQLORU VHULHL

 FDUH VH SODVHD]

0HWRGD JUDILF

AceVW
ID

SURFHGHX SUHVXSXQH UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF GH WUDVDUHD YL]XDO

D VHULHL GH GDWH HPSLULFH SULQ FURQRJUDP DLE DEDWHUL PLQLPH

KLVWRULRJUDP  XUPDW

D GUHSWHL VDX FXUEHL DVWIHO vQFkW V

GH SR]L LD YDORULORU UHDOH vQ JUDILF

0HWRGD PRGLILF

ULL PHGLL

absolute
DSURSLDWH FD YDORDUH XQHOH GH DOWHOH

$MXVWDUHD SULQ DFHVW SURFHGHX VH IRORVHWH DWXQFL FkQG SUHOXFUkQG VHULD GH GDWH VH RE LQ PRGLILF UL DEVROXWH FX ED] )XQF LD GH DMXVWDUH vQ ODQ

Y t = y 1 + ( t 1) ,
sau

unde

t = 1, n

Yti = y 0 + t i ,
unde: y0 UHSUH]LQW ti
UHSUH]LQW WHUPHQXO OXDW FD ED] GH DMXVWDUH DFHD YDORDUH FDUH VH DSURSLH FHO PDL PXOW GH SR]L LD SH FDUH WHUPHQXO

GUHDSWD VDX FXUED WUDVDW

YL]XDO vQ JUDILF 

YDULDELOD GH WLPS vQ UDSRUW FX ED]D GH DMXVWDUH IRORVLW GH WHUPHQXO DOHV FD ED] 

UHVSHFWLY R DUH ID

0HWRGD LQGLFHOXL PHGLX GH GLQDPLF $FHVW SURFHGHX VH IRORVHWH DWXQFL FkQG WHUPHQLL VHULHL DX WHQGLQ D GH FUHWHUH GH IRUPD XQHL SURJUHVLL JHRPHWULFH vQ FDUH UD LD SRDWH IL FRQVLGHUDW )XQF LD GH DMXVWDUH FD HJDO FX LQGLFHOH PHGLX GH GLQDPLF

( I ).

Yt = y1 I t 1
sau

Yti = y0 I ti ,
unde: y0 UHSUH]LQW ti UHSUH]LQW
WHUPHQXO OXDW FD ED] GH DMXVWDUH SR]L LD SH FDUH WHUPHQXO

YDULDELOD GH WLPS vQ UDSRUW FX ED]D GH DMXVWDUH IRORVLW GH WHUPHQXO DOHV FD ED] 

UHVSHFWLY R DUH ID

Metode analitice de ajustare


0HWRGHOH DQDOLWLFH DX OD ED] H[SULP FD R IXQF LH GH WLPS IXQF LH GH DMXVWDUH XQ PRGHO PDWHPDWLF vQ FDUH WHQGLQ D FHQWUDO D HYROX LHL VH

y = f(t) QXPLW n care: t - UHSUH]LQW y - UHSUH]LQW

YDORULOH YDULDELOHL LQGHSHQGHQWH WLPSXO  YDORULOH YDULDELOHL GHSHQGHQWH IHQRPHQHOH FDUH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ VHULD

FURQRORJLF 

$OHJHUHD WLSXOXL GH IXQF LH FDUH VH SRWULYHWH FH IDFH SH ED]D XUP WRDUHORU FULWHULL DSOLFDELOH RS LRQDO

l mai bine pentru exprimarea trendului se

FULWHULXO ED]DW SH UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF IRUPD WHQGLQ HL GH HYROX LH FULWHULXO GLIHUHQ HORU 6H SURFHGHD] RUGLQXO XQX GRL HWF SkQ DMXVWDUHD I FkQGX VH GXS

 6H FRQVWUXLHWH FURQRJUDPD L VH DSUHFLD]

OD FDOFXOXO GLIHUHQ HORU DEVROXWH FX ED]

vQ ODQ

GH

FkQG RE LQHP GLIHUHQ HOH GH RUGLQ SROLQRPXO GH JUDGXO

i aproximativ constante
LQGLFLL FX ED] SUH]LQW VH LPSXQH R vQ ODQ WHQGLQ

i.
UHVSHFWLY

'DF VXQW

IHQRPHQXO FHUFHWDW V D GH]YROWDW vQ SURJUHVLH JHRPHWULF  DGLF

FRQVWDQ L Q XUPD

H[SRQHQ LDO 

It/t-1

FRQVWDQW  IXQF LHL

DGPLWHP GH

VHULD GXS

FURQRORJLF FULWHULLOH

DOHJHULL

DMXVWDUH

SUH]HQWDWH

HVWLPDUHD

SDUDPHWULORU DFHVWRU IXQF LL XWLOL]kQG PHWRGD FHORU PDL PLFL S WUDWH $FHDVW

PHWRG

DUH FD IXQF LH

RELHFWLY PLQLPL]DUHD VXPHL S WUDWHORU DEDWHULORU YDORULORU UHDOH GH OD FHOH DMXVWDWH GHFL

min y i Yti

, unde ti= 1, 2, ... , n

Trend liniar

Y t i = a + bt i ,
n care:

Yt i a -

UHSUH]LQW UHSUH]LQW

YDORULOH DMXVWDWH FDOFXODWH vQ IXQF LH GH YDORULOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL IDFWRULDOH SDUDPHWUXO FDUH DUH VHQV GH P ULPH PHGLH L DUDW FH QLYHO DU IL DWLQV

ti);

y GDF

LQIOXHQ D WXWXURU IDFWRULORU FX H[FHS LD FHOXL vQUHJLVWUDW DU IL IRVW FRQVWDQW

SH WRDW

perioada; b ti UHSUH]LQW UHSUH]LQW SDUDPHWUXO FDUH VLQWHWL]HD] QXPDL LQIOXHQ D FDUDFWHULVWLFLL IDFWRULDOH

t);

YDORULOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL IDFWRULDOH FDUH vQ FD]XO VHULLORU FURQRORJLFH HVWH

timpul. Parametrii a
L

VH GHWHUPLQ

PHWRGD FHORU PDL PLFL S WUDWH

[y i

( a + bt i ) ] = min ):
2

SULQ UH]ROYDUHD VLVWHPXOXL GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH RE LQXW SULQ

na + b t i = y i 2 a t i + b t i = t i y i

Pentru

 VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH GHYLQH

na = y i 2 b t i = t i y i

, de unde

yi a = n b = t i y i t i2

QORFXLQG YDORULOH FDOFXODWH DOH FHORU GRL SDUDPHWUL vQ HFXD LD GH UHJUHVLH L DSRL vQORFXLQG VXFFHVLY YDORULOH YDULDELOHL WLPS VH RE LQ YDORULOH DMXVWDWH DOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL UH]XOWDWLYH

Verificarea coUHFWLWXGLQLL FDOFXO

ULL HFXD LLORU GH UHJUHVLH VH IDFH SH ED]D UHOD LHL

ti

yi .

Trend parabolic
Y t i = a + bt i + ct i2
3XQkQG WHRUHWLFH V DFHHDL FRQGL LH FD VXPD S WUDWHORU DEDWHULORU WHUPHQLORU VHULHL GH OD YDORULOH ILH PLQLP  VH RE LQH

(y

(a + bt i + ct i2 )) 2 = minim

LDU VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH

na + b t i + c t i2 = y i 2 3 a t i + b t i + c t i = t i y i 2 3 4 2 a t i + b t i + c t i = t i y i

Pentru

 FD] vQ FDUH L

3 i

 VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH GHYLQH

na + c t i2 = y i 2 b t i = t i y i 2 4 2 a t i + c t i = t i y i

Rezolvnd sistemul de

HFXD LL QRUPDOH VH FDOFXOHD]

YDORDUHD FHORU WUHL SDUDPHWUL L vQ

IXQF LH GH YDORULOH LQGLYLGXDOH DOH YDULDELOHL

t VH DMXVWHD]

YDORULOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL UH]XOWDWLYH

Trend hiperbolic
Yti = a + 1 b ti

6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL HVWH

1 na + b t = y i i a 1 + b 1 = 1 y i ti ti t i2
7UHQG H[SRQHQ LDO

Yti = a b ti
3ULQ ORJDULWPDUH PRGHOXO VH WUDQVIRUP vQWU

-un model liniar de forma:

lg Yti = lg a + t i lg b
6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH YD IL

n lg a + lg b t i = lg y i lg a t i + lg b t i2 = ( t i lg y i )
2SHUD LD GH DMXVWDUH vQ DFHVW FD] VH YD IDFH GXS LQGLYLGXDOH GH DMXVWDUH $MXVWDUHD GXS R IXQF LH FH VH YRU FDOFXOD ORJDULWPLL HFXD LLORU VH IDFH SULQ DQWLORJDULWPDUHD H[SRQHQ LDO

HFXD LLORU GH DMXVWDUH FDOFXODWH vQ IXQF LH GH

ti.

Criterii de alegere a procedeelor de ajustare a)


6H FDOFXOHD] VXPD DEDWHULORU OXDWH vQ YDORDUH DEVROXW  GLQWUH GDWHOH HPSLULFH L FHOH  6H FRQVLGHU FHO PDL SRWULYLW SURFHGHXO OD FDUH VH RE LQH

ajustate

yt Yt

y
b)

Yt = min .
FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

6H FDOFXOHD]

V y/ t =

d y/t y

100
DEDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU D YDORULORU UHDOH GH OD YDORULOH DMXVWDWH

n care d y / t
FDOFXODW GXS

UHSUH]LQW IRUPXOD

d y/t =

Yti

EXTRAPOLAREA SERIILOR CRONOLOGICE Extrapolarea datelor unei serii statistiFH ajustare.


DUH OD ED] PHWRGHOH L SURFHGHHOH IRORVLWH OD

3HQWUX D IDFH GLVWLQF LH vQWUH WHUPHQLL DMXVWD L

Yt i

L FHL H[WUDSROD L

FDUH VXQW FRQVLGHUD L

tot termenii teoretici - VH YRU QRWD WHUPHQLL H[WUDSROD L FX Yt , iar variabila de timp cu ti. i Deci, formulele de calcul vor fi:

pentru extrapolarea pe baza sporului mediu:

Yt = y 0 + t i i

SHQWUX H[WUDSRODUHD SH ED]D LQGLFHOXL PHGLX GH FUHWHUH

Y ti = y 0 I

t i

$FHVWH IRUPXOH VH DSOLF

DWXQ

H[SLUDW  Q FD]XO FkQG DFHWLD VH PRGLILF  SDUDPHWULL VH PRGLILF

ci cnd se folosesc valorile parametrilor ( , I ) din perioada FX XQ FRHILFLHQW k, astfel: n care:


= k

Yt = y 0 + t i , i
t i Y ti = y 0 I ,

n care:

I = kI

Coeficientul k SRDWH V ILH PDL PDUH VDX PDL PLF GHFkW  'DF k<1, DWXQFL vQVHDPQ F VH UHGXFH YDULD LD PHGLH DEVROXW
DSOLF OD SULPXO VDX OD DO GRLOHD SURFHGHX F 'DF k>1, atunci nseaPQ dect n perioada de analizat. GDWHOH V

VDX UHODWLY  GXS

FXP VH

YDORDUHD SDUDPHWULORU IRORVL L vQ H[WUDSRODUH HVWH PDL PDUH

3HQWUX H[WUDSRODUHD SH ED]D PHWRGHORU DQDOLWLFH GH FDOFXO VH SXQH vQ SULPXO UkQG FRQGL LD FD VH GHWHUPLQH DVWIHO vQFkW V

VHULHL FURQRORJLFH L SHQWUX FDUH LQWHUHVHD]

ti = 0.

QX PRGLILFH RULJLQHD YDULD LHL GH WLPS FDUH HVWH vQ PLMORFXO 'HFL YDULD LD GH WLPS VH H[WLQGH vQ DPEHOH VHQVXUL GHL

QXPDL WHQGLQ D RE LQXW

SULQ H[WLQGHUHD VHULHL SHQWUX SHULRDGD XUP WRDUH WHUPHQLL H[WUDSROD L VH YRU QRWD FX

L vQ DFHVW FD] VH YRU IRORVL DFHOHDL QRWD LL DGLF

Yti ,

astfel:

Yt = a + bt i i Yt = ab ti i

Yt = a + bt i + ct i i
'DF

IHQRPHQHOH VH DQDOL]HD]

vQ LQWHUGHSHQGHQ

FX YDULD LD IDFWRULORU FDUH OH GHWHUPLQ

GLQDPLF  DWXQFL VH DOHJ FDUDFWHULVWLFLOH IDFWRULDOH FDUH VXQW SUHYL]LELOH QXPDL vQ IXQF LH GH WLPS L DSRL DSUHFLLQG F SHUVSHFWLY V DU S VWUD DFHHDL WHQGLQ

GH UHDOL]DUH D OHJ WXULL VH FDOFXOHD]

YDORULOH GH UH]XOWDWLY 

L SHQWUX FDUDFWHULVWLFD GHSHQGHQW  'H H[HPSOX SHQWUX R FDUDFWHULVWLF

DQDOL]DW WHQGLQ

vQ IXQF LH GH GRL IDFWRUL FX FDUH HVWH OHJDW SH SHULRDGD H[SLUDW  DGLF 

OLQLDU VH FDOFXOHD]  PDL vQWkL HFXD LD PHGLH GH

Yt = a0 + a1x1 + a2x2 n care x1, x2 sunt variabile factoriale luate n timp.


6HSDUDW H[WUDSROHD] VH DQDOL]HD] VHULL WHQGLQ D GH GH]YROWDUH D ILHF UHL YDULDELOH LQGHSHQGHQWH L VH FHOH GRX

X 1 = a x1 + bx1 t

X 2 = a x2 + b x 2 t
$FHVWH YDORUL VH LQWURGXF vQ HFXD LD IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH PXOWLSO  H[WUDSRODWH DOH YDULDELOHL < GXS YDORULOH PRGLILFDWH DOH FHORU GRL IDFWRUL

calculndu-se valorile

Yx1 x2 = a 0 + a1 x1 + a 2 x 2

PROBLEME REZOLVATE

1.
$QDOL]D VWDWLVWLF 3URGXF LD LQWHUQ D XQHL VHULL FURQRORJLFH GH LQWHUYDOH GH DOXPLQLX D vQUHJLVW

rat n perioada 1992- XUP

WRDUHOH YDORUL

Tabelul 6.1. Anul


3URGXF LD GH

1992

1993

1994

1995 144

1996 145

1997 164

1998 175

1999 176

2000 178

120 116 122 aluminiu (mii tone) Sursa: Revista Capital nr. 23 din 7 iunie 2001.

Se cere: 1.
V VH FDUDFWHUL]H]H HYROX LD SURGXF LHL GH DOXPLQLX IRORVLQG LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L


V V V

relativi; medii;
VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD YDORULORU DEVROXWH VH GHWHUPLQH WUHQGXO GH HYROX LH SH ED]D PHWRGHORU PHFDQLFH L DQDOLWLFH VH DOHDJ FHD PDL DGHFYDW PHWRG FDUH DMXVWHD] IHQRPHQXO L V VH H[WUDSROH]H VHULD

2. 3. 4.

SHQWUX DQLL  L 

Rezolvare: 1.
&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU DEVROX L

Nivelul absolut ( y t
n

) este reprezentat de termenii seriei (vezi tabelul 6.1.).

Nivelul totalizat:

yt
t =1

0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW

( ):

FX ED]

IL[

( t 1 ):

t
2

1
1

= y t y 1 (tabelul 6.2., coloana 2)


= y 2 y 1 = 116 120 = 4 (mii tone) = y 9 y 1 = 178 120 = 58 (mii tone)
vQ ODQ

 9

FX ED]

( t

t 1

):

t 1

= y t y t 1 (tabelul 6.2., coloana 3)

2
 9

= y 2 y 1 = 116 120 = 4 (mii tone) = y 9 y 8 = 178 176 = 2 (mii tone)


t
t 1
L

5HOD LLOH vQWUH

t 1:

t
1

t 1

=t
2

1
8

+3

++ 9

= 9

4 + 6 + 22 + 1 + 19 + 11 + 1 + 2 = 58

t 1

= t
8

t 1

= 9

58 56 = 2
Tabelul 6.2.
0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW PLL WRQH

Anul A 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total

3URGXF LD

(mii tone) 1 120 116 122 144 145 164 175 176 178 1340

FX ED]

= y t y1
2 -4 2 24 25 44 55 56 58 -

IL[

FX ED]

t 1

= y t y t 1
3 -4 6 22 1 19 11 1 2 58

vQ ODQ

Calculul indicatorilor relativi:


,QGLFHOH GH GLQDPLF FX ED] IL[ FUHWHUHGHVFUHWHUH

( I ):

( I t 1 ) (vezi tabelul 6.3., coloana 2)


yt

I t 1( % ) =

100 y1 116 I 2 1( % ) = 100 = 96 , 66% 120

 I 9 1( % ) =
FX ED]

178 100 = 148 , 33% 120

vQ ODQ

(I t

t 1

) (vezi tabelul 6.3., coloana 3)

It

t 1( %

) =

yt y t 1

100

I 2 1( % ) =


116 100 = 96 , 66% 120

I 9 8( % ) =
5HOD LLOH vQWUH

178 100 = 101 , 14% 176


It
1
L

It

t 1 :

= It 1 0 , 9666 1 , 0517  1 , 0114 1 , 4833


t 1

It
It
1
1

: I t 1 : I8
1

= It
8

t 1

I9

= I9

1,4833 : 1,4666 1 , 0114


Tabelul 6.3.
9DORDUHD DEVROXW D

Indicele de dinDPLF Anul


3URGXF LD

Ritmul
FX ED]

1% din ritm
FX ED] FX ED] ODQ vQ

(mii tone)

FX ED]

IL[

FX ED]

vQ ODQ

It 1 =

yt y1

I t t 1 =

yt y t 1

R t 1 = I t 1 1 100 R t t 1 = I t t 1 1 100

IL[

FX ED]

vQ ODQ

IL[

At 1 =

y1 100

A t t 1 =

y t 1 100

A 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total

1 120 116 122 144 145 164 175 176 178 1340

2 0,9666 1,0166 1,2000 1,2083 1,3666 1,4583 1,4666 1,4833 -

3 1,0000 0,9666 1,0517 1,1803 1,0069 1,1310 1,0670 1,0057 1,0114 -

4 -3,34 1,66 20,00 20,83 36,66 45,83 46,66 48,33 -

5 -3.34 5,17 18,03 0,69 13,1 6,70 0,57 1,14 -

6 1,2 1,2 1,2 1,2 1,2 1,2 1,2 1,2 -

7 1,20 1,16 1,22 1,44 1,45 1,64 1,75 1,76 -

Ritmul de modificare (FUHWHUHGHVFUHWHUH 5 :


FX ED] IL[ 

Rt

(vezi tabelul 6.3., coloana 4)

Rt R2


y1

100 = I t

1 100

= ( 0 , 9666 1 ) 100 = 3 , 34% = (1 , 4833 1 ) 100 = 48 , 33%


vQ ODQ YH]L WDEHOXO  FRORDQD 

R9

FX ED]

Rt R2


t 1

t 1

y t 1

100 = I t

t 1

1 100

= ( 0 , 9666 1 ) 100 = 3 , 34% = (1 , 0114 1 ) 100 = 1 , 14%


D XQXL SURFHQW GLQ ULWPXO PRGLILF ULL $ 

R9

9DORDUHD DEVROXW

FX ED]

IL[ 

At

(vezi tabelul 6.3., coloana 6)

At

t Rt

1 1

y1 100

A2


120 = 1 , 2 mii tone 100 120 = 1 , 2 mii tone 100


vQ ODQ 

A9

FX ED]

At
=

t 1

(vezi tabelul 6.3., coloana 7)

At

t 1

t Rt

t 1 t 1

y t 1 100

A2


120 = 1 , 2 mii tone 100 176 = 1 , 76 mii tone 100

A9

Calculul indicatorilor medii Nivelul mediu y :


6HULD FURQRORJLF FDOFXOHD] SUH]HQWDW HVWH R VHULH GH LQWHUYDOH SHQWUX FDUH QLYH

( )

lul mediu se

DSOLFkQG IRUPXOD PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH

y=

yt
t =1

1340 148 , 89 mii tone 9


GH DOXPLQLX D IRVW GH  PLL WRQH

3URGXF LD PHGLH DQXO

0RGLILFDUHD PHGLH DEVROXW

( ):
=

t 1

n 1

n 1

58 = 7 , 25 mii tone 8 -2000 a fost de 7,25 mii tone.

n medie creWHUHD DQXDO Indicele mediu


I = n1

vQ SHULRDGD 

It

t 1

= n 1 I n

= 8 1 , 4833 = 1 , 0505 sau 105,05%

Ritmul mediu
R = I 1 100 = (1 , 0505 1 ) 100 = 5 , 05%
3URGXF LD V

-a modificat n medie cu 5,05% anual.


D VHULHL VH FRQVWUXLHWH FURQRJUDPD KLVWRULRJUDPD 

2.

3HQWUX UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100

)LJXUD  'LQDPLFD SURGXF LHL GH DOXPLQLX D 5RPkQLHL vQ DQLL 

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 anii

-2000

3.

'HWHUPLQDUHD WUHQGXOXL WHQGLQ HL JHQHUDOH

Metode mecanice
0HWRGD PRGLILF ULL PHGLL DEVROXWH UHOD LD

Pentru ajustarea termHQLORU VH XWLOL]HD]


Y t = y 1 + (t 1 )

Metoda indicelui mediu:


Yt = y1 I

( )

t 1

5H]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH SULYLQG DMXVWDUHD WHUPHQLORU SULQ DFHVWH GRX vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  L 

PHWRGH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH

Tabelul 6.4. Valori ajustate prin: Anul A 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total

yt
1 120 116 122 144 145 164 175 176 178 1340

PRGLILFDUHD PHGLHL DEVROXW

Y t = y 1 + (t 1 )

indicele mediu

Yt = y1 I
3

( )(

t 1 )

2 Y 1 = 120 + 7 , 25 0 = 120 Y 2 = 120 + 7 , 25 1 = 127 , 25

Y 1 = 120
Y 2 = 120 1 , 0505 = 126 , 06

Y 3 = 120 + 7 , 25 2 = 134 , 5
Y 4 = 120 + 7 , 25 3 = 141 , 75

Y 3 = 120 1 , 0505
Y 4 = 120 1 , 0505

= 132 , 43
= 139 , 1

Y 5 = 120 + 7 , 25 4 = 149 , 0 Y 6 = 120 + 7 , 25 5 = 156 , 25 Y 7 = 120 + 7 , 25 6 = 163 , 5 Y 8 = 120 + 7 , 25 7 = 170 , 25 Y 9 = 120 + 7 , 25 8 = 178
1340,5

Y 5 = 120 1 , 0505

= 146 , 14

Y 6 = 120 1 , 0505 Y 7 = 120 1 , 0505


Y 8 = 120 1 , 0505 Y 9 = 120 1 , 0505

5 6
7 8

= 153 , 52 = 161 , 27
= 169 , 42 = 178

1325,95

Metode analitice
'LQ FURQRJUDPD SUH]HQWDW OLQLDU 3HQWUX DMXVWDUHD OLQLDU ILJ   VH REVHUY UHOD LD F DMXVWDUHD VH SRDWH IDFH SULQ PHWRGD L SH ED]D SDUDEROHL GH JUDGXO GRL VH XWLOL]HD]

Yt = a + b t i

Pentru calculul parametrilor a L b VH DSOLF meWRGD FHORU PDL PLFL S


2 [Y t ( a + b t i )]
6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL HVWH

WUDWH

= min

n a + b t i = y i a t i + b t i2 = t i y i
'DF VH SXQH FRQGL LD FD

t i

= 0 sistemul devine:

na = yi b t i2 = t i y i a=

yi
n

; b=

t i y i t i2
e n tabelul 6.5.

&DOFXOHOH QHFHVDUH UH]ROY ULL VLVWHPXOXL VXQW SUH]HQWDW

9 a = 1340 60 b = 538 a= 1340 = 148 , 89 ; b = 8 , 96 9

Deci: Y i = 148 , 89 + 8 , 96 t i Valorile ajustate sunt prezentate n tabelul 6.5., coloana 7.


Tabelul 6.5. Valori ajustate prin
IXQF LD OLQLDU SDUDEROLF

Anul A 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total

yi
1 120 116 122 144 145 164 175 176 178 1340

ti
2 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

t i2
3 16 9 4 1 0 1 4 9 16 = 60

t i4
4 256 81 16 1 0 1 16 81 256 t i4 = 708

ti yi
5 -480 -348 -244 -144 0 164 350 528 712

t i2 y i

t i

=0

t i2

6 1920 1044 488 144 0 164 700 1584 2848 2 t i y i = 538 t i y i = 8892

7 113,05 122,00 131,69 139,93 148,89 157,85 166,09 175,77 188,73

8 111,83 121,77 132,03 140,66 149,75 158,58 166,43 175,53 183,51

Y i

= 1340

Y i

= 1340

Pentru trendul parabolic rela LD HVWH

Y i = a + b t i + c t i2
6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH SHQWUX FDOFXODUHD SDUDPHWULORU

n a + b t i + c t i2 = y i 2 3 a t i + b t i + c t i = t i y i a t i2 + b t i3 + c t i4 = t i2 y i
'DF

t i

= 0 , sistemul devine:

n a + c t i2 = y i 2 b t i = t i y i a t i2 + c t i4 = t i2 y i
Calculele sunt prezentate n tabelul 6.5. Deci:
9 a + 60 c = 1340 a = 149 , 75 60 b = 538 b = 8 , 96 60 a + 708 c = 8892 c = 0 , 13
(FXD LD SHQWUX DMXVWDUHD SULQ WUHQGXO SDUDEROLF HVWH

Y t i = 149 , 75 + 8 , 96 t i 0 , 13 t i2

Valorile ajustate sunt prezentate n tabelul 6.5., coloana 8.

4.

&ULWHULLOH IRORVLWH SHQWUX DOHJHUHD PHWRGHL FDUH DMXVWHD]

FHO PDL ELQH VHULD SUH]HQWDW

sunt:

n compararea volumului total empiric y i i =1

cu cel teoretic

Yt
i =1

FRPSDUDUHD DEDWHULORU DEVROXWH DOH YDORULORU WHRUHWLFH DMXVWDWH ID

GH FHOH HPSLULFH

i =1

y i Yti

FRPSDUDUHD S WUDWHORU DEDWHULORU GLQWUH YDORULOH HPSLULFH L FHOH WHRUHWLFH

(y i
n i =1

Yt i

FRPSDUDUHD FRHILFLHQ LORU GH YDULD LH FDOFXOD L GXS

UHOD LLOH

(y i
n

v=

i =1

Yt i n y

yi

100 =

100

sau

i =1

y i Yt i n y 100 ,

v =

yi

100 =

unde y =

yi
i =1

Calculele necesare sunt prezentate n tabelul 6.6..


6H UH LQH PHWRGD PRGHOXO GH DMXVWDUH SHQWUX FDUH FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH HVWH FHO PDL PLF

(tabelul 6.7.).

&DOFXOXO FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH YDULD LH

Tabelul 6.7.

Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4

Metoda de ajustare prin:


PRGLILFDUHD PHGLH DEVROXW

(y i

Yt

yt

V yt =

yi

100

y
5,12 5,37 4,71 4,30

indicele mediu trend liniar trend parabolic

523,80 576,83 442,40 367,76

7,62 8,01 7,01 6,39

([WUDSRODUHD SUHYL]LRQDUHD SURGXF LHL GH DOXPLQLX SHQWUX XUP WRULL  DQL VH IDFH FRQW F

LQkQG

VXQW DFHOHDL FRQGL LL 9DORULOH H[WUDSRODWH SULQ PHWRGHOH IRORVLWH OD DMXVWDUH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH

n tabelul 6.8..
Tabelul 6.8. Nr. Metoda de crt. ajustare prin: 2001 A 1 2 1 modificarea medie Y 2001 = 120 + 7 , 25 9 = 185 , 25
DEVROXW

Anii 2002 3 = 120 + 7 , 25 10 = 192 , 5

Y 2002

2 3 4

indicele mediu
IXQF LD OLQLDU

Y 2001 = 120 (1 , 0505 )9 = 186 , 99


Y 2001 = 148 , 89 + 8 , 96 5 = 193 , 69
Y 2001 = 149 , 75 + 8 , 96 5 0 , 13 25 = 189 , 5

Y 2002 = 120 (1 , 0505 )10 = 196 , 43

Y 2002 = 148 , 89 + 8 , 96 6 = 202 , 65


Y 2002 = 149 , 75 + 8 , 96 6 0 , 13 36 = 198 , 83

IXQF LD SDUDEROLF

Se cunRVF 1991-1998:

2.

XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG YDORDUHD H[SRUWXULORU OD SURGXVHOH GLQ OHPQ vQ SHULRDGD

Tabelul 6.9. Anul


0RGLILF ID UL GH DQXO

1992 40

1993 22

1994 45

1995 36

1996 38

1997 42

1998 47

precendent (mil. $)

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH YDORUL DEVROXWH WLLQG F VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL L V VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQWU VH LQWHUSUHWH]H YDORDUHD H[SRUWXOXL D FUHVFXW vQ

perioada 1991-1998, n medie, cu 18,84%; -un procedeu analitic;


VH FDOFXOH]H FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

Rezolvare: 1.
'LQ GDWHOH SUH]HQWDWH UH]XOW F 

t
t =2

t 1

= y t y 1 = y 1998 y 1991

40 + 22 + 45 + 36 + 38 + 42 + 47 = 270
'H DVHPHQHD VH WLH F 

R = 18 , 84 % I ( % ) = R + 100 = 18 , 84 + 100 = 118 , 84%

I = n1
Deci:

y 98 y 91

=7

y 98 y 91

= 1 , 1884

y 1998 y 1991 = 270 y 1991 = 115 mil.$ y 1998 7 y 1998 = 385 mil. $ = (1 , 1884 ) = 3 , 3478 y 1991

7HUPHQLL VHULHL VH FDOFXOHD]

DVWIHO

y 1991 = 115 y 1992 = 115 + 40 = 155




y 1997 = 296 + 42 = 338 y 1998 = 338 + 47 = 385


6HULD UHFRQVWLWXLW HVWH SUH]HQWDW vQ WDEHOXO 

Tabelul 6.10. Anul Export produse din lemn (mil. $) 1991 115 1992 155 1993 177 1994 222 1995 258 1996 296 1997 338 1998 385

2. Indicatorii medii

PRGLILFDUHD PHGLH DEVROXW 

t =2

t 1

n 1

y n y1 n 1

y 1998 y 1991 8 1

385 115 = 38 , 57 mil. $ 7

Exportul a crescut n medie cu 47,5 mil. lei.

nivelul mediu:

yt
y=
t =1

1946 = 243 , 25 mil. $ 8

Q DFHDVW

SHULRDG

-au exportat n medie, anual, produse n valoare de 243,25 mil. $. -a calculat indicele mediu.

5LWPXO PHGLX D IRVW GDW L SH ED]D OXL V

3.

3HQWUX DMXVWDUHD SULQ PHWRGD DQDOLWLF

VH FRQVWUXLHWH FURQRJUDPD KLVWRULRJUDPD 

450 400 350


exportul (mil. $)

300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1991 1992 1993 1994


anii

1995

1996

1997

1998

Figura 6.2.
*UDILFXO VXJHUHD] (FXD LD GUHSWHL XQ WUHQG OLQLDU

Yt i = a + bt i
6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH

n a + b t i = y i a t i + b t i2 = t i y i
&X FRQGL LD FD

t i

=0

VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL GHYLQH

na = yi b t i2 = t i y i
n yi i =1 1946 a = n = 8 = 243 , 25 b = y i t i = 3198 = 19 , 04 t i2 168

&DOFXOHOH QHFHVDUH GHWHUPLQ ULL SDUDPHWULORU L YDORULOH DMXVWDWH WHRUHWLFH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ

tabelul 6.11.
Tabelul 6.11. Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Total

yi
1 115 155 177 222 258 296 338 385

ti
2 -7 -5 -3 -1 1 3 5 7

t i2
3 49 25 9 1 1 9 25 49

yi ti
4 805 775 531 222 258 888 1690 2695

Y t i = 243 , 25 + 19 , 04 t i

(y

Yt i
6 25,3 48,3 83,36 4,88 18,4 19,1 0,2 71,74

yi
4.

= 1946

t i

=0

t i2

= 168

yi ti

= 3198

Yt

5 109,97 148,05 186,13 224,21 262,29 300,37 338,45 376,53


i

= 1946

(y i

Yt i

)= 271 , 28

&DOFXOXO FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH VH IDFH FX DMXWRUXO UHOD LHL

v yt =

Yt
Y

100 , unde

yt

(yi

Yt i n

= 5 , 82

3HQWUX DEDWHUHD HURDUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF  FDOFXOHOH VX

nt prezentate n tabelul 6.11, coloana 6.

v yt =

5 , 82 243 , 25

100 = 2 , 39 %

3.
6H vQGHOXQJDW

FXQRVF

XUP WRDUHOH

GDWH

FX

SULYLUH

OD

vQ]HVWUDUHD

SRSXOD LHL

FX

EXQXUL

GH

IRORVLQ

DXWRPRELOH   ORFXLWRUL vQ SHULRDGD 

1998.
Tabelul 6.12.

Anul
0RGLILF UL GH DEVROXWH ID

1992 6,5

1993 8,3

1994 9,3

1995 7,3

1996 8,2

1997 8,9

1998 8,9

1999 6,7

anul precedent (buc.)


0RGLILF UL GH UHODWLYH ID

anul precedent (%)

10,58

12,22

12,20

8,54

8,84

8,81

8,10

5,64

Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH YDORU

i absolute;

VH FDOFXOH]H WR L LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L L UHODWLYL

Rezolvare: 1.
3HQWUX UHFRQVWLWXLUHD VHULHL FURQRORJLFH VH XWLOL]HD] PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY L YDORDUHD DEVROXW UHOD LD vQWUH PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW  D XQXL SURFHQW GLQ ULWPXO PRGLILF ULL

At

t 1

t Rt
t 1

t 1

100

y t 1 100

De exemplu,
A 92 = 92 R 92
91 91

91

y 91 100

A 92

91

y 91 6,5 = 0 , 614 = 10 , 58 100

y 91 = 0 , 614 100 = 61 , 4 buc Pentru anul 1999 valoarea indicatorului se poate calcula astfel:
y 99 = y 98 + 99
98

= 118 , 8 + 6 , 7 = 125 , 5

sau
y 99 = y 98 I 99
98

= 118 , 8 1 , 0564 = 125 , 5

2.

6HULD UHFRQVWLWXLW

L LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L L UHODWLYL VXQW SUH]HQWD L vQ WDEHOXO 

Tabelul 6.13.

Anul A 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

yt (auto / 1000 locuitori)


1 61,4 67,9 76,2 85,5 92,8 101,0 109,9 118,8 125,5

,QGLFDWRUL DEVROX L

Indicatori relativi

t 1

I t 1(% )
4 100 110,52 124,10 139,25 151,14 164,49 178,99 193,48 204,39

It

t 1 ( %

Rt

Rt

t 1

At

At

t 1

2 6,5 14,8 24,1 31,4 39,6 48,5 57,4 64,1

3 6,5 8,3 9,3 7,3 8,2 8,9 8,9 6,7

5 110,52 112,22 112,20 108,53 108,83 108,81 108,10 105,64

6 10,52 24,10 39,25 51,14 64,49 78,99 93,48 104,39

7 10,58 12,22 12,20 8,54 8,84 8,81 8,10 5,64

8 0,614 0,614 0,614 0,614 0,614 0,614 0,614 0,614

9 0,614 0,679 0,762 0,855 0,928 1,010 1,099 1,188

4.

Q DQLL  L  V DX vQUHJLVWUDW XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG VWRFXULOH H[LVWHQWH vQ GHSR]LWHOH

XQHL VRFLHW

L FRPHUFLDOH WDEHOXO

6.14.).
Tabelul 6.14.

1999
'DWD vQUHJLVWU ULL

2000 Cantitatea (kg) 180 200 250 270 240


'DWD vQUHJLVWU ULL

1 ianuarie 1 aprilie 1 iulie 1 octombrie 31 decembrie

1 ianuarie 25 martie 1 august 20 octombrie 31 decembrie

Cantitatea (kg) 240 270 240 260 280

Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULLOH FURQRORJLFH VH FDOFXOH]H VWRFXO PHGLX vQ FHL GRL DQL

Rezolvare: 1. Seria se timp pentru anul 1999 este o serie de momente cu intervale egale ntre PRPHQWH 5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF VH IDFH SULQWU-o cronograP ILJ   Seria din anul 2000 este tot o serie de momente cu intervale neegale ntre momente.
3HQWUX UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF VH IRORVHWH XQ JUDILF SULQ FRORDQH ILJ  

300 cantitatea (kg) 250 200 150 100 50 0


1.01.99 1.04.99 1.07.99 1.10.99
ULL

31.12.99

GDWD vQUHJLVWU

)LJXUD  9DULD LD VWRFXULORU GH P

UIXUL vQ DQXO 

300 cantitatea (kg) 250 200 150 100 50 0


1.01.2000 240

270 240

260

280

25.03.2000

1.08.2000
GDWD vQUHJLVWU ULL

20.10.2000

31.12.2000

)LJXUD  9DULD LD VWRFXULORU GH P

UIXUL vQ DQXO 

2. Stocul mediu
3HQWUX SULPD VHULH VH FDOFXOHD] PHGLH FURQRORJLF SRQGHUDW  R PHGLH FURQRORJLF VLPSO LDU SHQWUX VHULD D GRXD R

y1 y cr 1999 = 2

+ y2 + y3 + y4 + n 1

y5

180 240 + 200 + 250 + 200 + 2 2 2 = = 232 , 5 kg 5 1


d2 +d3 2
n 1 i =1

y cr 2000 =

y1

d1 2

+ y2

d1 + d 2 2

+ y3

+ y4

d3 +d4 2

+ y5

d4 2

d i

unde d i

VXQW LQWHUYDOHOH GH WLPS GLVWDQ HOH GLQWUH PRPHQWH

d 1 = 84 ; d 2 = 126 ; d 3 = 79 ; d 4 = 71 .

240 y cr 2000 = =

84 84 + 126 126 + 79 79 + 71 71 + 280 + 270 + 240 + 260 2 2 2 2 2 360

92605 = 256 , 86 kg 360

5.
Ponderea sectorului privat n PIB a evoluat astfel n perioada 1991 - 1992.
Tabelul 6.15. Anul
0RGLILF ID GH UL

1992 2,8

1993 11,2

1994 15,3

1995 21,7

1996 31,3

1997 37

1998 38,4

1999 39,7

anul 1991(%)

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GDF SRQGHUHD VHFWRUXOXL SULYDW vQ 3,% D FUHVFXW vQ DQXO  ID

de anul 1991 de 2,326 ori;


VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD UHFRQVWLWXLW  VH H[WUDSROH]H YDORULOH SHQWUX DQLL  L 

Rezolvare: 1.
'LQ GDWHOH SUH]HQWDWH UH]XOW F 

y 96 y 91 = 31 , 3 y 91 = 23 , 6 y 96 y 96 = 54 , 9 = 2 , 326 y 91
6HULD GH GDWH UHFRQVWLWXLW HVWH SUH]HQWDW vQ WDEHOXO  L V D RE LQXW DVWIHO

y 91 = 23 , 6 y 92 = 23 , 6 + 2 , 8 = 63 , 3


y 98 = 23 , 6 + 39 , 7 = 63 , 3

Tabelul 6.16. Anii Ponderea sectorului privat n PIB (%) 1991 23,6 1992 26,4 1993 34,8 1994 38,9 1995 45,3 1996 54,9 1997 60,6 1998 62,0 1999 63,3

2.

5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

VH IDFH SULQ FURQRJUDP

KLVWRJUDP 

70

ponderea sectorului privat n PIB (%)

60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

anii
Figura 6.4.

3. Pentru extrapolarea valoriORU SHQWUX DQLL  L  IRORVLP R PHWRG


DQDOLWLF GH DMXVWDUH FRQVLGHUkQG F FHOH GRX PHWRGH DMXVWHD]

PHFDQLF

L XQD

FHO PDL ELQH IHQRPHQXO

0HWRGD PHFDQLF

0HWRGD PRGLILF

ULL PHGLL DEVROXWH

5HOD LD GH DMXVWDUH HVWH

y t i = y 1 + (t 1 )

=
'DF

t 1

n 1

y n y1 n 1

y 99 y 91 8

63 , 3 23 , 6 8

= 4 , 9625 %

IHQRPHQXO VH GHVI RDU

vQ DFHOHDL FRQGL LL YDORULOH SHQWUX DQLL  L 

vor fi:

y 2001 = y 1 + (11 1 ) = 23 , 6 + 4 , 9625 10 = 73 , 225 % y 2002 = y 1 + (12 1 ) = 23 , 6 + 4 , 9625 11 = 78 , 1875 %


0HWRGD DQDOLWLF *UDILFXO VXJHUHD] XQ WUHQG OLQLDU

y ti = a + bt i
ApOLFkQG PHWRGD normale devine:
FHORU PDL PLFL S WUDWH L DSRL FRQGL LD

t i

= 0

VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL

na = yi b t i2 = t i y i

y i = 409 , 8 = 45 , 53 a = 9 n y i t i = 332 = 5 , 55 b = t 2 60

Calculele pentru determinarea parametrilor a L b sunt prezentate n tabelul 6.17..

Tabelul 6.17. Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Total
yi

ti
2 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

t i2

yiti
4 -94,9 -79,2 -69,6 -38,9 0 54,9 121,2 186,0 253,2

Y t i = 45 , 53 + 5 , 55 t i
5 23,32 28,88 34,43 39,98 45,53 51,08 56,63 62,19 67,74
i

yi

1 23,6 26,4 34,8 38,9 45,3 54,9 60,6 62,0 63,3

3 16 9 4 1 0 1 4 9 16

= 409 , 8

t i

=0

t i2

= 60

yi ti

= 333 , 2

Y t

= 409 , 8

Pentru anLL  L  YDORULOH YRU IL Y 2001 = 45 , 53 + 5 , 55 6 = 78 , 83 % Y 2002 = 45 , 53 + 5 , 55 7 = 84 , 38 %


(VWH GLILFLO GH SUHVXSXV F IHQRPHQXO XUPHD] DX IRVW DFHHDL HYROX LH UHGXVH

VH REVHUY
DX IRVW

vQ XOWLPLL PLFL

3 ani (1997



PRGLILF ULOH

FUHWHULOH

IRDUWH

FRPSDUD LH FX DQLL SUHFHGHQ L 

PROBLEME PROPUSE

1.

&RQVXPXO PHGLX DQXDO GH ODSWH L SURGXVH GLQ ODSWH O  ORFXLWRU GLQ 5RPkQLD D FXQRVFXW vQ

perioada 1989  XUP

WRDUHD HYROX LH

Tabelul 6.18. Anul Consum (l) 1989 135,9 1990 140,1 1991 163,3 1992 163,7 1993 176,9 1994 179,5 1995 188,6 1996 192,7 1997 192,4 1998 194,4

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD FURQRORJLF  VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L UHODWLYL L PHGLL FH FDUDFWHUL]HD] VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQ PHWRGH PHFDQLFH L DQDOLWLFH VH SUHFL]H]H PHWRGD FDUH DMXVWHD] FHO PDL ELQH WHQGLQ D GH HYROX LH D IHQRPHQXOXL VHULD FURQRORJLF 

2.

Dinamica exporturilor produsului Y n perioada 1989  D IRVW XUP

WRDUHD

Tabelul 6.19. Anul Dinamica


ID GH

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

anul precedent (%)

122,11

107,08

77,94

148,11

205,73

85,34

127,77

97,62

103,23

136,86

92,83

WLLQG F V V V

YDORDUHD H[SRUWXOXL vQ DQXO  D IRVW GH  PLO

VH FHUH

1. 2. 3.

VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH GDWH VH FDOFXOH]H WR L LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L UHODWLYL L PHGLL VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQ PHWRGH PHFDQLFH

3RSXOD LD RFXSDW

3.

WRWDO D 5RPkQLHL vQWUH 

 OD VIkULWXO DQXOXL HVWH SUH]HQWDW

vQ

tabelul 6.20..
Tabelul 6.20. Anul
3RSXOD LD RFXSDW

1990 10,840

1991 10,786

1992 10,458

1993 10,062

1994 10,011

1995 9,493

1996 9,379

1997 9,023

1998 8,813

1999 8,420

(mii persoane)

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQWU R PHWRG DQDOLWLF L V VH FDOFXOH]H HURDUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF D

DMXVW ULL L FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

4.

&UHWHULOH

vQUHJLVWUDWH

SULYLQG

YDORDUHD

H[SRUWXULORU

5RPkQLHL

OD

SURGXVHOH

GH

OHPQ

vQ

perioada 1991  DX IRVW XUP


Anul
&UHWHUL ID GH

WRDUHOH

1992 40

1993 22

1994 45

1995 36

1996 38

1997 42

Tabelul 6.21. 1998 47

anul precedent (mil. $)

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH YDORUL DEVROXWH WLLQG F GH DQXO  FX   VH L VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL L V YDORDUHD H[SRUWXOXL D FUHVFXW vQ DQXO  ID

nterpreteze;
DUJXPHQWD L SURFHGHXO FHO PDL ELQH HYROX LD H[SRUWXULORU vQ

VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQWU XQ SURFHGHX PHFDQLF L XQXO DQDOLWLF

ales;
SUHFL]D L FDUH GLQ FHOH GRX DFHDVW SHULRDG  SURFHGHH DMXVWHD]

5.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG G

inamica PIB (1991 = 100).


Tabelul 6.22.

Anii Dinamica PIB (%)

1992 88,17

1993 82,24

1994 88,56

1995 97,02

1996 92,91

1997 85,16

1998 87,62

1999 85,39

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
V V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH GDWH WLLQG F vQ DQXO  YDORDUHD 3,% D IRVW GH

2138,2 mld. OHL vQ SUH XULOH DQXOXL  


VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD GH GDWH VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L UHODWLYL L PHGLL L V VH LQWHUSUHWH]H

6.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG HYROX LD XQXL IHQRPHQ vQ SHULRDGD 

1998:
Tabelul 6.22.

Anul Modificarea
DEVROXW ID GH

1992 25

1993 32

1994 28

1995 22

1996 31

1997 24

1998 30

anul precedent

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
V ID V V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH YDORUL DEVROXWH FXQRVFkQG F GH  FX   VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL DEVROX L UHODWLYL L PHGLL VH DMXVWH]H VHULD SULQWU XQ SURFHGHX PHFDQLF L XQXO DQDOLWLF DUJXPHQWD L SURFHGHHOH IHQRPHQXO D FUHVFXW vQ DQXO 

alese;
SUHFL]D L SHULRDG  H[WUDSROD L VHULD SHQWUX XUP WRUL FDUH GLQ PHWRGHOH XWLOL]DWH DMXVWHD] FHO PDL ELQH IHQRPHQXO vQ DFHDVW

i doi ani.

Indici statistici

INDICI INDIVIDUALI Indicii individuali


YDULDELO OD QLYHOXO XQLW VH FDOFXOHD] FD LQGLFL VLPSOL IRORVLQG GDWHOH vQUHJLVWUDWH SHQWUX ILHFDUH LL GH REVHUYDUH IRORVLW 

Pentru fenomenul complex y:

i 1/ 0 =
y

y1 y0

x1 f 1 x0 f0

unde: y x f

fenomenul complex, de tipul y = x f factorul de tip calitativ factorul de tip cantitativ

Pentru factorul calitativ x:

i 1x/ 0 =

x1 x0

Pentru factorul cantitativ f:

i 1/ 0 =
f

f1 f0
vQWRWGHDXQD UHOD LD GH VLVWHP

&HL WUHL LQGLFL YHULILF

i 1 / 0 = i 1x/ 0 i 1 / 0
y f
5HOD LL XWLOH

i 1 / 0 ( % ) = r1 / 0 + 100
y y

i 1x/ 0 ( % ) = r1x 0 + 100 /


i 1 / 0 ( % ) = r1 / 0 + 100 ,
f f

unde:
r1y 0 - ULWPXO GH GLQDPLF / r1x/ 0 - ritmuO GH GLQDPLF r1 /f 0 - ULWPXO GH GLQDPLF
SHQWUX IHQRPHQXO FRPSOH[

SHQWUX IDFWRUXO FDOLWDWLY

x f

SHQWUX IDFWRUXO FDOLWDWLY

INDICI DE GRUP Indicii de grup VH FDOFXOHD]


OD QLYHOXO JUXSHL VDX SH vQWUHJXO DQVDPEOX

Sisteme de ponderare folosite la construirea indicilor de grup factoriali a) Sistemul de ponderare propus de E. Laspeyres, la care ponderile folosite sunt cele din
SHULRDGD GH ED] 

pentru factorul cantitativ:

I 1y/ (0f ) =

x x

0 0

f1 f0

pentru factorul calitativ:

I 1y/(0x ) =

x x

1 0

f0 f0

b) Sistemul de ponderare propus de H. Paasche, la care ponderile utilizate sunt cele din
SHULRDGD FXUHQW 

pentru factorul cantitativ:

I 1y/ (0f ) =

x x

f1 f0

pentru factorul calitativ:

I 1y/ (0x ) =

x x

1 0

f1 f1
SH FXPXODUHD FDQWLW LORU GLQ SHULRDGD GH ED] LQGLFHOH HVWH FX L IRORVLUHD DFHVWRUD FD SRQGHUH OD P VXUDUHD YDULD LHL UHODWLYH D FDOLWDWLY  UHOD LD JHQHUDO GLQ FDUH UH]XOW

c) Sistemul propus de Edgeworth VH ED]HD]


FHOH GLQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW SUH XULORU 3UH XO ILLQG R YDULDELO

) I 1(/x0 =

x (f x (f
1 0

1 1

+ f0 ) + f0 )

d) Sistemul de ponderare propus de I. Fisher presupune calcularea indicelui de grup al


SUH XULORU FD R PHGLH JHRPHWULF D FHORU GRL LQGLFL DJUHJD L GH WLS /DVSH\UHV L GH WLS

Paasche. Generaliznd, pentru factorul calitativ:

I1

y ( x ) 0

x1 x0

f f

0 0

x1 x0

f1 f1

pentru factorul cantitativ:

I1

y( f ) 0

x 0 f 1 x1 f1 x 0 f 0 x1 f 0

0RGDOLW

L GH FDOFXO DO LQGLFLORU GH JUXS

I 1/ 0

y ( x,f )

x1 f 1 x0 f 0

pentru fenomenul complex

I 1/ 0

y( f )

x0 f1 x0 f0

pentru factorul cantitativ

I 1/ 0

y(x)

x1 f 1 x0 f1

pentru factorul calitativ

Indicii de gruS
L DQXPH

IDFWRULDOL FDOFXOD L FX VLVWHPH GLIHULWH GH SRQGHUDUH YHULILF

UHOD LD GH VLVWHP

I 1/ 0

y ( x ,f )

= I

y( f )

( L )1 / 0
VH

y(x)

( P )1 / 0
vQ JHQHUDO FD GLIHUHQ vQWUH QXP U WRUXO L QXPLWRUXO

0RGLILFDUHD

DEVROXW

FDOFXOHD] 

indicelui:

y ( x , f ) = x1 f 1 x 0 f 0 y ( f ) = x0 f1 x0 f 0 y ( x ) = x1 f 1 x 0 f 1

pentru fenomenul complex pentru factorul cantitativ pentru factorul calitativ


UHOD LD GH VLVWHP

L vQ FD]XO PRGLILF ULORU DEVROXWH VH YHULILF

y ( x ,f
pe total:

= y (

f )

+ y ( x )
FRQWULEX LD UHODWLY D ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW 

3H ED]D DFHVWHL UHOD LL VH FDOFXOHD]

y( f )

y(

f )

y ( x,f )

100 ,

respectiv

y(x)

y(x)
y ( x ,f )

100


Exemplificare pentru fond de salarii (FS) salariul mediu ( S


L QXP UXO GH VDODULD L 7 

FD IHQRPHQ FRPSOH[ FX GRL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ

I 1/ 0

FS ( S ,T )

S 1 T1 S 0T0

I 1/ 0

FS ( T )

S 0 T1 S 0T0 S 1 T1 S 0 T1
= I 1/ 0
FS ( T )

I 1/ 0

FS ( S )

I 1/ 0

FS ( S ,T )

I 1/ 0

FS ( S )

FS ( S ,T )

= S 1 T1 S 0 T 0

FS ( T )

= S 0 T1 S 0 T 0 = S 1 T1 S 0 T1

FS ( S )

FS ( S ,T ) = FS ( T ) + FS ( S )
K
FS ( T )

FS ( T ) FS ( S ,T ) FS ( S ) FS ( S ,T )

100

FS ( S )

100

,QGLFL GH JUXS FDOFXOD L FD PHGLH GH LQGLFL LQGLYLGXDOL

pentru fenomenul complex:


y ( x ,f ) 1/ 0

i 1/ 0 x 0 f 0 = x0 f0
y

sau

I 1/ 0

y ( x,f )

x1 f 1
1
y i 1/ 0

x1 f1

pentru factorul cantitativ:


y( f ) 1/ 0

i 1/ 0 x 0 f 0 = x0 f0
f

pentru factorul calitativ:

I 1/ 0

y(x)

x1 f 1
1 i 1x/ 0 x1 f 1

([HPSOLILFDUH SHQWUX LQGLFLL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DO SUH XULORU

v ( p ,q ) 1/ 0

i 1v/ 0 p 0 q 0 = p0q0
q

sau

I 1/ 0

v ( p ,q )

p1 q1
1 i 1v/ 0 p1 q1

v(q) 1/ 0

i 1/ 0 p 0 q 0 = p0q0
=

I 1/ 0

v( p)

p1 q1
1 i 1/ 0
p

p1 q1

,QGLFLL GH JUXS FDOFXOD L FD UDSRUW D GRX

PHGLL

SHQWUX IHQRPHQXO FRPSOH[ LQGLFH FX VWUXFWXU

YDULDELO 

x ( x ,f SV

x1 x0

x 1 f 1 : x 0 f 0 = x 1 f 1*( % ) : x 0 f 0*( % ) = 100 100 f1 f 0

x ( x ,f SV

x1 x0

x 1 f 1* = x 0 f 0*

unde

fi

fi

fi

SHQWUX IDFWRUXO FDQWLWDWLY LQGLFHOH YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL 

I VS

x( f

x* x0

x0 f1 : x0 f 0 = f1 f 0

sau

x( f SV

* x * x0 f1 = = x 0 x 0 f 0*

SHQWUX IDFWRUXO FDOLWDWLY LQGLFH FX VWUXFWXU

IL[ 

x(x) SF

x1 x
*

x1 f 1 : x 0 f 1 = f1 f1
IL[

sau

x(x) SF

x1 x*

x 1 f 1* = x 0 f 1*
vPSUHXQ XQ

,QGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU

YDULDELO  FX VWUXFWXU

L DO YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL IRUPHD]

sistem de indici:

I
GLIHUHQ

x ( x ,f SV

= I
D

x ( x ) SF

I VS

x ( f

MoGLILFDUHD

DEVROXW

PHGLHL

VXE

LQIOXHQ D

XQXLD

VDX

DOWXLD

GLQ

IDFWRUL

VH

FDOFXOHD]

FD

GLQWUH QXP U WRUXO L QXPLWRUXO LQGLFHOXL IDFWRULDO FRUHVSXQ] WRU 5HOD LLOH GH FDOFXO YRU IL

x ( x ) =

x1 f 1 x 0 f 1 = x f * x f * 1 1 0 1 f1 f1
=

= x1 x*

x (

x0 f1 x0 f 0 = x f * x f * 0 1 0 0 f1 f0

= x* x 0

L vQ DFHVW FD] PRGLILFDUHD PHGLHL HVWH HJDO LQIOXHQ  UHVSHFWLY

FX VXPD PRGLILF ULORU GDWRUDWH IDFWRULORU GH

x (x, f

= x(x) + x( f

([HPSOLILFDUH SHQWUX LQGLFLL SURGXFWLYLW

LL PXQFLL

I SV

w ( w ,T

w1 w0

w1 T1 : w 0 T 0 = p 0 q 1 : p 0 q 0 T1 T 0 T1 T 0

, unde T i

Ti

Ti

I VS

w (T

w* = w0
=

w 0 T1 : w 0 T 0 T1 T 0

I SF

w(w)

w1 w*
*

w1 T1 : w 0 T1 T1 T1
=I
w ( w ) SF

w ( w ,T SV

I VS

w (T

w ( w ,T *) =

w1 T1 w 0 T 0 T1 T 0

= w1 w 0

w ( w ) =

w1 T1 w 0 T1 T1 T1
w 0 T1 w 0 T 0 T1 T 0
*

= w1 w *

w ( T *) =

= w * w0

w ( w ,T

w (T

w ( w )

'(6&20381(5($ 3( )$&725, $ 9$5,$

,(, 818, )(120(1 &203/(;

Metoda indicilor
Q WHRULD L SUDFWLFD VWDWLVWLF QXPHWH GHVFRPSXQHUH JHRPHWULF GHVFRPSXQHUHD LQGLFHOXL JHQHUDO vQ SURGXVXO LQGLFLORU IDFWRULDOL VH  LDU VHSDUDUHD PRGLILF ULL DEVROXWH WRWDOH vQ VXPD PRGLILF ULORU GHVFRPSXQHUH DQDOLWLF

DEVROXWH GDWRUDWH IDFWRULORU HVWH GHQXPLW

MetRGD VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ


3UHVXSXQH DSOLFDUHD XUP WRDUHORU UHJXOL

LQGLFHOH LQIOXHQ HL SULPXOXL IDFWRU GH UHJXO SRQGHUH FHDODOW

FHO FDQWLWDWLY VH FRQVWUXLHWH IRORVLQG GUHSW

VDX FHOHODOWH YDULDELOH OD QLYHOXO SHULRDGHL GH ED] 

XQ IDFWRU RGDW

VXEVWLWXLW U PkQH GUHSW SRQGHUH OD QLYHOXO SHULRDGHL FXUHQWH SH WRW SDUFXUVXO

GHVFRPSXQHULL SHQWUX FHLODO L LQGLFL IDFWRULDOL SH ED]D UHOD LLORU

,QGLFLL IDFWRULDOL L PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH VH FDOFXOHD]

Varianta I (se substituie mai nti factorul cantitativ)


y( f ) 0

I1

x0 f1 x0 f 0

y(

f )

= x0 f1 x0 f 0 = x0 f

I1

y(x) 0

x1 f 1 ; x0 f1

y ( x ) = x1 f 1 x 0 f 1 = f 1 x
Varianta II (se substituie mai nti factorul calitativ)
y(x) 0

I1

x1 f 0 x0 f 0

y ( x ) = x1 f 0 x 0 f 0 = f 0 x
I1
y( f ) 0

x1 f 1 ; x1 f 0

y(

f )

= x1 f 1 x1 f 0 = x1 f

0HWRGD LQIOXHQ HORU L]RODWH D IDFWRULORU PHWRGD UHVWXOXL QHGHVFRPSXV

Pentru cazul a doi facWRUL


/DVSH\UHV L DQXPH

LQGLFLL IDFWRULDOL VH RE LQ DSOLFkQG VLVWHPXO GH SRQGHUDUH SURSXV GH

(L )

y( f )

x0 f1 x0 f0

respectiv
SH ED]D UHOD LLORU

(L )

y(x)

x1 f 0 x0 f0

LDU PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH VH FDOFXOHD]

y(

f )

= x0 f1 x0 f 0 = x0 f

)RORVLQG DFHODL VLVWHP GH SRQGHUDUH SHQWUX DPELL IDFWRUL QX VH PDL YHULILF GHRDUHFH U PkQH XQ UHVW QHGHVFRPSXV FDUH DUDW LQIOXHQ D VLPXOWDQ

y ( x ) = x1 f 0 x 0 f 0 = f 0 x

UHOD LD GH VLVWHP

D DPELORU IDFWRUL

y ( x f )

x1 f 1 : x1 f 0 x0 f1 x0 f 0

y ( x f ) = ( x 1 f 1 x 0 f 1 ) ( x 1 f 0 x 0 f 0 ) = x f

ModificarHD DEVROXW

SH WRWDO

y ( x ,f

= x0 f + f 0 x +x f
VH SRDWH IDFH vQ XUP WRDUHOH YDULDQWH

5HSDUWL]DUHD UHVWXOXL QHGHVFRPSXV SH IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ

a) VH DWULEXLH LQWHJUDO XQXLD GLQ IDFWRUL VLWXD LH FDUH FRQGXFH OD SURFHGHXO VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ  b) se repartizHD] vQ PRG HJDO SH IDFWRUL c) VH UHSDUWL]HD] SURSRU LRQDO FX LQIOXHQ HOH L]RODWH DOH IDFWRULORU (kx, kf) FDUH VH GHWHUPLQ astfel:

k =
x

x + f
f 0

x
0

respectiv

x = x + f
f 0 f 0

Sporul total al variabilei y care revine factorului f:

y(

f )

=x0 f + k

x f

Sporul total al variabilei y care revine factorului x:

y ( x ) = f 0 x + k
&RQWULEX LD UHODWLY

x f
y ( x ) 100

D IDFWRULORU OD IRUPDUHD VSRUXOXL WRWDO

y (

f ) )

y ( x ,f

100 , respectiv

y ( x ,f

PROBLEME REZOLVATE

1.
vQ GRX

ntr-R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO

-au nregistUDW XUP

WRDUHOH GDWH FX SULYLUH OD WUHL P UIXUL $ % L & 

OXQL FRQVHFXWLYH YH]L WDEHOXO  

6LWXD LD FDQWLW

LORU L SUH XULORU GH YkQ]DUH SHQWUX WUHL SURGXVH SULQFLSDOH

Tabelul 7.1.
&DQWLW L YkQGXWH 3UH XO XQLWDU

UIXULOH

U/M

perioada
GH ED]

perioada
FXUHQW

(mii lei/U.M.) perioada perioada


GH ED] FXUHQW

A I II III Total

B buc. buc. Kg -

1 500 800 300 -

2 600 1000 200 -

3 20 12 30 -

4 30 20 60 -

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
V V V V V VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU SHQWUX FHOH WUHL VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DO SUH XULORU L V VH FDOFXOH]H SH WRWDO PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH SHQWUX YDORDUH SUH XUL L VH YHULILFH IL]LF P UIXUL UHOD LD GLQWUH HL YROXP

specificndu-VH FDUH HVWH SRQGHUHD IDFWRULORU GHWHUPLQDQ L


VH YHULILFH HJDOLWDWHD GLQWUH LQGLFLL DJUHJD L L LQGLFLL GH JUXS FDOFXOD L FD PHGLH DULWPHWLF D LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VWUXFWXUD YDORULL vQ IXQF LH GH YDORDUHD FHORU WUHL P UIXUL vQ FHOH GRX VDX DUPRQLF

perioade.

Rezolvare 1.
&DOFXOXO LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU

i 1v/ 0 =
3HQWUX

v1 v0

p1 q1 p0q0

i 1/ 0 =
q
QHFHVDU V

q1 q0
VH

;
FDOFXOH]H

i 1/ 0 =
p

p1 p0
GLQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH

LQGLFHOH

YDORULL

HVWH

YDORULOH

(vezi tabelul 7.2.).

&DOFXOXO LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL L GH JUXS DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU

Tabelul 7.2.
&DQWLW LOH YkQGXWH 3UH XO XQLWDU 9DORDUHD P UIXULORU

(U.M.)
0 UIXUL

(mii lei/ U.M.) per.de


ED]

(mii. lei) per. de


ED]

U.M.
SHU GH ED]

(qo) A I II III Total B buc. buc. Kg 1 500 800 300 -

per. crt. (q1) 2 600 1000 200 -

(po) 3 20 12 30 -

per. crt. (p1) 4 30 20 60 -

perioada
FXUHQW

n per. crt. n
SUH XULOH SHU GH ED] 

(q0p0) 5 10000 9600 9000 28600

(q1p1) 6 18000 20000 12000 50000

(q1p0) 7 12000 12000 6000 30000

i 1/ 0 =
q

q1 q0

600 ( pentru marfa I ) 500 100 = 120% 1000 = 100 = 125% ( pentru marfa II ) 800 200 100 = 66 , 67% ( pentru marfa III ) 300 30 ( pentru marfa I ) 20 100 = 150% 20 = 100 = 166 , 67% ( pentru marfa II ) 12 60 100 = 200% ( pentru marfa III ) 30 18000 ( pentru marfa I ) 10000 100 = 180% 20000 = 100 = 208 , 3% ( pentru marfa II ) 9600 12000 100 = 133 , 33% ( pentru marfa III ) 9000

i 1/ 0 =
p

p1 p0

i 1v/ 0 =

p1 q1 p0q0

2. Indicii de grup VH SRW FDOFXOD vQ DFHVW FD] VXE IRUP I 1/ 0


v ( p ,q )

GH LQGLFL DJUHJD L

p1 q1 p0q0
=

50000 = 1 , 748 sau 174 , 8% 28600

I 1/ 0

v(q)

p 0 q1 p0q0 p1 q1 p 0 q1
= I 1/ 0
v(q)

30000 = 1 , 0489 sau 104 , 89% 28600 50000 = 1 , 6667 sau 166 , 67% 30000

I 1/ 0

v( p)

5HOD LD GLQWUH FHL WUHL LQGLFL

I 1/ 0

v ( p ,q )

I 1/ 0

v( p)

1 , 0489 1 , 6667 = 1 , 74816 1 , 748

3.

0RGLILF

ULOH DEVROXWH DOH YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DOH SUH XULORU

1/ 0

v ( p ,q )

= p 1 q 1 p 0 q 0 = 50000 28600 = 21400 mii lei

1/ 0 1/ 0

v(q)

= p 0 q 1 p 0 q 0 = 30000 28600 = 1400 mii lei = p 1 q 1 p 0 q 1 = 50000 30000 = 20000 mii lei = 1/ 0
v(q)

v( p)

1/ 0

v ( p ,q )

+ 1/ 0

v( p)

= 1400 + 20000 = 21400 mii lei

Ponderea celor doi factori:


v(q)

1/ 0 1/ 0

v(q)

v ( p ,q )

100 =

1400 100 = 6 , 54% 21400

v( p)

1/ 0 1/ 0

v( p)

v ( p ,q )

100 =

2000 100 = 93 , 46% 21400

4. Orice indice agregat se poate substitui printr-un indice mediu aritmetic sau armonic al indicilor individuali FRUHVSXQ] WRUL
v(q) I 1/ 0

i q p 0 q 0 = p0 q0

1 , 2 10000 + 1 , 25 9600 + 0 , 6667 9000 28600

30000 , 3 28600

= 1 , 0489

sau 104,89%
I 1v/(0p ) =

pq 1 i p q
1 1 p

1 1

50000 50000 = = 1,6667 18000 20000 12000 29997,6 + + 1,5 1,6667 2


OXQL FRQVHFXWLYH

sau 166,67%

5.

5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

D VWUXFWXULL YDORULL GLQ FHOH GRX

Tabelul 7.3.
0 UIXUL 6WUXFWXUD YDORULL YkQ] SHULRDGD GH ED] 3% ULORU 3&

A I II III Total

1 35,0 33,6 31,4 100%

perioada cXUHQW 2 36 40 24 100%

100 31,40 24,00

80

60 33,60 40

40,00

III II I

20

35,00

36,00

0 PB PC

)LJXUD  6WUXFWXUD YDORULL GHVIDFHULORU GH P

UIXUL

2.

ntr-R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO

VH FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH FX SULYLUH OD GHVIDFHULOH GH P UIXU

i:

9DORDUHD P

UIXULORU YkQGXWH vQ SHULRDGD GH ED]

L FXUHQW

Tabelul 7.4.
0 UIXUL 9DORDUHD P UIXULORU

(mil. lei) perioada perioada


GH ED] FXUHQW

Modificarea volumului fizic (%) 4 +7 + 10 - 20

A A B C Total

1 500 600 800 1900

2 1500 900 1400 3800

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DO SUHWXULORU PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH DOH YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DOH SUH XULORU FRQWULEX LD FHORU GRL IDFWRUL DVXSUD GLQDPLFLL YDORULL P UIXULORU YkQGXWH

Rezolvare 1. Indicii individuali ai valorii se pot calcula pe baza datelor din tabel, iar indicii individuali ai
SUH XULORU SH ED]D UHOD LHL GLQWUH FHL WUHL LQGLFL

indicii valorii GHVIDFHULORU GH P

UIX

ri:

i 1v/ 0 =

p1 q1 p0q0

1500 (pentru marfa A) 500 = 3 sau 300% 900 = = 1 , 5 sau 150% (pentru marfa B) 600 1400 = 1 , 75 sau 175% (pentru marfa C) 800

indicii volumului fizic


7 + 100 = 107% + 100 = 10 + 100 = 110% 20 + 100 = 80% ( pentru marfa A ) ( pentru marfa B ) ( pentru marfa C )

i 1/ 0 ( % ) = r q
q

LQGLFLL SUH XULORU VH FDOFXOHD]

SH ED]D UHOD LHL

i 1v/ 0 = i 1 / 0
q

i 1/ 0 ,
p

de unde:
3 1 , 07 = 2 , 804 sau 280 , 4% 1, 5 = = 1 , 3636 sau 136 , 36% 1,1 1 , 75 = 2 , 1875 sau 218 , 75% 0,8 ( pentru marfa A )

p i 1/ 0

i 1v/ 0 i 1/ 0
q

( pentru marfa B )

( pentru marfa C )

2.

&DOFXOXO LQGLFLORU GH JUXS DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DO SUH XULORU

indicele de grup al valorii VH RE LQH GLUHFW GLQ GDWHOH GLQ WDEHO I 1/ 0


v ( p ,q )

p1 q1 p0q0

3800 = 2 sau 200% 1900

indicele de grup al volumului fizic nu se poate calcula aici dect ca un indice mediu DULWPHWLF SRQGHUDW FX YDORDUHD P UIXULORU GLQ SHULRDGD GH ED]  3Hntru aceasta se
SRUQHWH GH OD UHOD LD

v(q) I 1/ 0

i q p 0 q 0 = p0 q0
q

1 , 07 500 + 1 , 1 600 + 0 , 8 800 1900

1835 = 0 , 9659 1900

LQGLFHOH GH JUXS DO SUH XULORU SRUQHWH FD L vQ FD]XO LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL GH OD UHOD LD

I 1v/ 0 = I 1 / 0

I 1/ 0 ,
p

de unde:
p I 1/ 0

I 1v/ 0 I 1/ 0
q

2 = 2 , 0706 0 , 9659

sau

207,06%

3.

0RGLILF

ULOH DEVROXWH DOH YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DOH SUH XULORU VH FDOFXOHD]

SH ED]D

indicilor de grup respectivi:

v1(/ p ,q ) = p1 q1 p 0 q0 = 3800 1900 = 1900 mil. lei 0

v1(/q0) = i q p0 q 0 p 0 q0 = 1835 1900 = 65 mil. lei


1/ 0
v ( p ,q )

= 1/ 0

v(q)

+ 1/ 0

v( p)

de unde:
1/ 0
v( p)

= 1/ 0

v ( p ,q )

1/ 0

v(q)

= 1900 ( 65 ) = 1965 mil. lei

4.

&RQWULEX LD FHO

or doi factori
1/ 0
v(q)

v(q)

1/ 0

v ( p ,q )

100 =

65 100 = 3 , 42% 1900

v( p)

1/ 0 1/ 0

v( p)

v ( p ,q )

100 =

1965 100 = 103 , 42% 1900

3.
Se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 7.5. Categorii de confort A 1 2 3 4 Total
9DORDUHD vQFDVDW PLOOHL

Modificarea
SUH XULORU

perioada de
ED]

perioada
FXUHQW

1 1500 2000 400 300 4200

2 2500 5500 520 380 8900

(%) 4 +75 +125 -25

Se cere:

1. 2.

FDOFXOXO LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU FDOFXOXO LQGLFHOXL GH JUXS DO SUH XULORU SUHFL]kQGX VH FH IHO GH IRUPXO

VH SRDWH DSOLFD L GH

ce; 3. indicele de grup DO YDORULL L DO YROXPXOXL IL]LF 4. PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH DOH YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L SUH XULORU JUDGXO GH LQIOXHQ
IDFWRUL DVXSUD GLQDPLFLL vQFDV ULORU

D FHORU GRL

Rezolvare 1.
&DOFXOXO LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XU

ilor

indicii individuali ai valorii:


2500 1500 = 1 , 6667 sau 166 , 67% ( pentru categoria 1 de confort ) 5500 = 2 , 75 sau 275% ( pentru categoria 2 de confort ) 2000 = 520 ( pentru categoria 3 de confort ) 400 = 1 , 3 sau 130% 380 = 1 , 2667 sau 126 , 67% ( pentru categoria 4 de confort ) 300
VH YD FDOFXOD SH ED]D UHOD LHL GLQWUH LQGLFH L ULWP GHRDUHFH vQ

i 1v/ 0 =

p1 q1 p0q0

LQGLFHOH

SUH XULORU

WDEHOXO  vQ FRORDQD  VH G

SURFHQWXO GH PRGLILFDUH D SUH XULORU DGLF

ULWPXO GH

modificare
75 + 100 100 = 1 , 75 sau 175 % 125 + 100 = 2 , 25 sau 225 % r q + 100 100 = = 100 0 + 100 100 = 1 sau 100% 25 + 100 = 0 , 75 sau 75% 100

i 1/ 0

indicele volumului fizic VH RE LQH GLQ UHOD LD


i 1v/ 0 = i 1 / 0
q

i 1/ 0 ,
p

de unde:
1 , 6667 1 , 75 = 0 , 952 sau 95 , 2 % 2 , 75 = 1 , 222 sau 122 , 2 % 2 , 25 = 1, 3 1 , 0 = 1 , 3 sau 130 % 1 , 2667 = 1 , 6889 sau 168 , 89 % 0 , 75

q i 1/ 0

i 1v/ 0 i 1/ 0
p

2.

&DOFXOXO LQGLFHOXL GH JUXS DO SUH XULORU VH YD IDFH vQ DFHVW H[HPSOX FD PHGLH DUPRQLF  SH ED]D UHOD LHL

I 1/ 0

v( p)

p1 q1
1 i
p

p1 q1
XQ

8900 8900 = = 1 , 816 sau 181,6% 2500 5500 520 380 4899 , 7 + + + 1 , 75 2 , 25 1 0 , 75
LQGLFH DJUHJDW DO SUH XULORU GHRDUHFH QX VH FXQRVF VHSDUDW

1RW

Nu s-D
FDQWLW

SXWXW

FDOFXOD

LOH L SUH XULOH

3.

,QGLFHOH GH JUXS DO YDORULL L DO YROXPXOXL IL]LF

I 1/ 0

v ( p ,q )

p1 q1 p0q0
=

8900 = 2 , 119 4200

sau

211,9%

q I 1/ 0

I 1v/ 0 I 1/ 0
p

2 , 119 = 1 , 1667 1 , 816

sau

116,67%

4.

0RGLILF

ULOH DEVROXWH DOH YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DOH SUH XULORU

1/ 0

v ( p ,q )

= p 1 q 1 p 0 q 0 = 8900 4200 = 4700 mil. lei

1/ 0

v( p)

= p1 q1
= 1/ 0
v ( p ,q )

1 i
p

p 1 q 1 = 8900 4899 , 7 = 4000 , 3 mil. lei


= 4700 4000 , 3 = 699 , 7 mil. lei

1/ 0

v(q)

1/ 0

v( p)

&RQWULEX LD FHORU GRL IDFWRUL

v(q)

1/ 0

v(q)

v ( p ,q ) 1/ 0

100 =

699 , 7 4700

100 = 14 , 9%

v( p)

1/ 0 1/ 0

v( p)

v ( p ,q )

100 =

4000 , 3 100 = 85 , 1% 4700


vQ SULQFLSDO FUHWHUHD VXPHL vQFDV ULORU vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW L QXPDL  ID

Deoarece K v ( p ) > K v (q )
GH SHULRDGD GH ED] VHDPD FDQWLW LORU

UH]XOW

FX  PLO OHL VH GDWRUHD]

vQ SULQFLSDO FUHWHULL SUHWXULORU 

% pe

4.

3HQWUX R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO

VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 7.8. Valoarea


0 UIXUL vQFDV ULORU vQ

0 A B C Total

PB (mil. lei) 1 100 400 600 1100

Dinamica volumului fizic (%) 2 120 107 130 ...

Modificarea
SUH XULORU

(%) 3 150 230 50 ...

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL L DL SUH XULORU LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DO SUH XULORU V VH GHVFRPSXQ YDORDUHD DEVROXW SH WRWDO

IRORVLQG PHWRGD VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ

folosind metoda restului nedescompus.

Rezolvare: 1.
,QGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL SUH XULORU VH GHWHUPLQ XWLOL]kQG UHOD LLOH

i 1 0 ( % ) = r1
p

p 0

+ 100

De exemplu, pentru marfa A: i 1 0 ( % ) = 150 + 100 = 250%


p
,QGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL VH GHGXF GLQ UHOD LD GH VLVWHP

i 1v

= i1

q 0

i1

p 0

i 1v

= 1 , 2 2 , 5 = 3 pentru marfa A.

5H]XOWDWHOH FDOFXOHORU VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH   L  

Tabelul 7.9. Valoarea


vQFDV 0 UIXUL ULORU

n PB

p0 q0
0 A B C Total (mil. lei) 1 100 400 600 1100

iq
2

iv
4 3 3,53 1,95 2,62

p1 q1 = p 0 q 0 i v
5 300 1412 1170 2882

p 0 q1 = i q p 0 q 0
6 120 428 780 1328

p1 q 0 =

p1 q1 iq

3 1,2 2.5 1,07 3,3 1,3 1,5 1,2073 2,1702

7 250 1320 900 2470

2. PeQWUX FDOFXOXO LQGLFLORU GH JUXS VH FDOFXOHD] YDORDUHD vQFDV ULORU vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW ( p 1 q 1 L YDORDUHD vQFDV ULORU vQ SUH XUL FRPSDUDELOH p 0 q 1 YH]L FRORDQHOH  L  
v( p, q 0

I1

p1 q1 p0 q0
=

2882 = 2 , 62 sau 262% 1100

I1

v( q 0

p 0 q1 p0q0 p1 q1 p 0 q1

1328 = 1 , 2073 sau 120,73% 1100 2882 = 2 , 1702 sau 217,02% 1378
LOH SHQWUX GHVFRPSXQHUHD SH IDFWRUL vQ ODQ

I1

v( p 0

3. a) 'HRDUHFH SUH XULOH DX FUHVFXW PDL UDSLG GHFkW FDQWLW


D PRGLILF ULL DEVROXWH IRORVLQG PHWRGD VXEVWLWX LHL

, vom utiliza varianta I

(se substituie mai nti factorul cantitativ): v ( q ) = p 0 q 1 p 0 q 0 = 228 mil. lei

v ( p ) = p 1 q 1 p 0 q 1 = 1782 mil. lei


0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW SH WRWDO

v ( p , q ) = p 1 q 1 p 0 q 0 = 1782 mil. lei


3H ED]D DFHVWHL UHOD LL VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD FRQWULEX LD IDFWRULORU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW SH

total: v ( q ) K v( q ) = 100 = 12 , 79% v ( p ,q ) v ( p ) K v( p ) = 100 = 87 , 21% v ( p ,q ) b) Metoda restului nedescompus


6H GHWHUPLQ PDL vQWkL LQIOXHQ D L]RODW D IDFWRULORU YDORULOH

p 0 q 1 sunt prezentate n

tabelul 7.9., coloana 6).

ii

v( q

) )

= p 0 q 1 p 0 q 0 = 228 mil. lei = p 1 q 0 p 0 q 0 = 1370 mil. lei


UHVWXO QHGHVFRPSXV

ii

v( p

$SRL GH GHWHUPLQ

RN = v ( p , q ) vi i = 1782 ( 228 + 1370 ) = 1782 1598 = 184 mil lei , unde vi i = 1598
VH SRDWH XWLOL]D XQD GLQ

3HQWUX UHSDUWL]DUHD UHVWXOXL QHGHVFRPSXV SH IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ

variantele: Varianta I: Se atribuie, n cazul nostru, tot restul nedescompus factorului calitativ:

v ( q ) = 228 mil. lei


v( p ) = ii
v( p

+ RN = 1370 + 184 = 1554 mil. lei


.

&RQWULEX LD IDFWRULORU HVWH FHD GH OD PHWRGD VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ

Varianta a II-a: Se distribXLH vQ PRG HJDO UHVWXO QHGHVFRPSXV SH FHL GRL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ
v( q ) = ii 1 RN = 228 + 92 = 320 mil. lei 2 1 v( p ) v ( p ) = i i + RN = 1370 + 92 = 1462 mil. lei 2 +
D IDFWRULORU vQ DFHVW FD] 

v( q

&RQWULEX LD UHODWLY

K v ( q ) = 17 , 96% K v ( p ) = 82 , 04%

Varianta a III-a:
6H UHSDUWL]HD] UHVWXO QHGHVFRPSXV SH IDFWRULL GH LQIOXHQ LQkQG FRQW GH SRQGHUHD IDFWRULORU vQ PRGLILFDUHD GDWRUDW LQIOXHQ HL L]RODWH D DFHVWRUD

v( q

v( q ii

ii ii

v( q

) ) ) )

v( p,q

RN = 228 + 14 , 27% 184 = 254 , 2568 mil. lei

v( p

v( p ii

ii ii

v( p

v( p,q

RN = 1370 + 85 , 73% 184 = 1527 , 7432 mil. lei

&RQWULEX LD UHODWLY

D IDFWRULORU vQ

acest caz este:

K v ( q ) = 14 , 25% K v ( p ) = 85 , 75%
2EVHUYD LH

Valorile cele mai realiste sunt cele de la varianta a III-a a metodei restului nedescompus deoarece PHWRGD VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ DFFHQWXHD] LQIOXHQ D XOWLPXOXL IDFWRU VXEVWLWXLt, n
FD]XO QRVWUX LQIOXHQ D SUH XULORU

5.

3HQWUX GRL DJHQ L FDUH GHVI RDU

DFHHDL DFWLYLWDWH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 7.10. Agent economic 0 A B Total


3URGXF LD vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH PLO OHL 1U VDODULD L

Modificarea PC 4 17 25 42
SUH XULORU

PB 1 260 200 460

PC 2 300 240 540

PB 3 23 22 45

5 +15 +20

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF L SH WRWDO vQ FHOH GRX LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL SURGXFWLYLW LQGLFLL SURGXFWLYLW PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW LL PXQFLL YDULDELO  FX VWUXFWXU IL[ L DO YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL LL PHGLL D PXQFLL FX HYLGHQ LHUHD LQIOXHQ HL IDFWRULORU LL PXQFLL FX VWUXFWXU D SURGXFWLYLW SHULRDGH

PRGLILFDUHD SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO SH VHDPD PRGLILF ULL QXP UXOXL VDODULD LORU

Rezolvare 1. Pentru calculul


SURGXF LHL vQ SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL GLQ SHULRDGD DGLF FXUHQW vQ WUHEXLH FDOFXODW SHULRDGHL YDORDUHD GH ED] SUH XUL FRPSDUDELOH FRQVWDQWH  SUH XULOH

( p 0 q1 =

p1 q1 i1
p 0

). Rezultatele calculului sunt prezentate n tabelul 7.11., coloana 2.

w0 =

p0q0 T0 p 0 q1 T1

260 = 11 , 304 23 200 = 9 , 0909 22

PLO OHLSHUVRDQ

w1 =

PLO OHLSHUVRDQ

Tabelul 7.11. Agent economic 0 A B Total


9DORDUHD SURGXF LHL vQ SUH XUL

constante (mil. lei) PB PC 1 2 260 260,86956 200 200 460 460,86956

w0 =

p0 q0 T0

w1 =

p 0 q1 T1

w 0 T1
(mil. lei) 5 192,168 227,2725 419,4405

i 1w 0
6 1,3574 0,88 1,0734

3 11,304 9,0909 10,222

4 15,345 8 10,973

3H WRWDO DJUHJDUHD YDORULORU LQGLYLGXDOH SRDWH IL UHDOL]DW

QXPDL SULQ LQWHUPH

diul mediei w :

( )

w0 =

p 0 q 0 = w0 T0 T 0 T 0 p 0 q1 T1
=

460 = 10 , 222 45

PLO OHL  SHUVRDQ

w1 =

460 , 869 = 10 , 973 42

PLO OHL  SHUVRDQ

2.

,QGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL SURGXFWLYLW

LL PXQFLL VH FDOFXOHD]

GXS

UHOD LD

i 1w 0 =
L DQXPH

w1 w0

i 1w 0 =

15 , 345 11 , 304

= 1 , 3574 sau 135,74%

pentru agentul economic A

i 1w 0 = 3.

8 = 0 , 88 sau 88% 9 , 0909


LL PHGLL D PXQFLL

pentru agentul economic B

,QGLFLL SURGXFWLYLW FX VWUXFWXU

a)

YDULDELO

I sv

w w, g T

(
(

)
)

w1 w0

q1 p 0 T1

p 0 q 0 = w1 T1 T 0 T1
sau 107,34%

w0 T0 T 0

I sv

w w, g T

10 , 973 10 , 222

= 1 , 0734

3HQWUX FDOFXOXO LQGLFLORU GH JUXS IDFWRULDOL WUHEXLH FDOFXODW IRORVLQG XUP WRDUHD UHOD LH

SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL

w*

w* =

w 0 T1 T1

Valorile w 0 T 1 sunt prezentate n tabelul 7.11., coloana 5.

w* =

419 , 4405 42

= 9 , 9867

b)

DO YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL GH WLS /DVSH\HUV

I sv

(g ) =
T
F

w* w0

9 , 9877 = 0 , 977 10 , 222

sau

97,70%
GDF V

5H]XOW

SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PHGLH D PXQFLL DU IL VF ]XW FX 

-ar fi modificat

QXPDL VWUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU

c)

FX VWUXFWXU

IL[

GH WLS 3DDVFKH

I SF

w(w

w1 w*

10 , 973 = 1 , 0987 9 , 9867

sau 109,87%

'DF V-DU IL PRGLILFDW QXPDL SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL OD QLYHOXO ILHF UXL DJHQW HFRQRPLF productivitatea medie a muncii ar fi crescut cu 9,87%. Pe ansamblu, productivitatea medie a muncii a crescut doar cu 7,34%, deoarece o parte GLQ FUHWHUHD GDWRUDW VF GHUHD SURGXFWLYLW 0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW PRGLILF ULL SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL D PXQFLL GDWRUDW LL PXQFLL SDU LDOH D IRVW FRPSHQVDW PXWD LLORU vQ VWUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU GH

4.

D SURGXFWLYLW

LL PHGLL D PXQFLL SH WRWDO

w ( w, g

= w 1 w 0 = 10 , 973 10 , 222 = 0 , 751 mil. lei / pers. = 751 mii lei / pers.
D SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL SH VHDPD PXWD LLORU vQ VWUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU

0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW

w (g

= w * w 0 = 9 , 987 10 , 222 = 0 , 235 mil. lei / pers. = - 235 mii lei / pers.
D SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL SH VHDPD PRGLILF ULL SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL

0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW

SDU LDOH SH ILHFDUH DJHQW HFRQRPLF 

w ( w ) = w 1 w * = 10 , 973 9 , 987 = 0 , 986 mil. lei = 986 mii lei Verificare:


w ( w, g
T

) = w ( gT ) + w ( w )

= 235 + 986 = 751 mii lei

5.

I Q (T ) =

W 0 T1 W 0 T 0

419 , 4405 = 0 , 9118 sau 91,18% 460

Q ( T ) = W 0 T 1 W 0 T 0 = 40 , 5595 mil. lei


9DORDUHD SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO D VF ]XW FX  VF GHUH FX  FHHD FH vQ YDORDUHD DEVROXW UHSUH]LQW R

40,5595 mil. lei.

PROBLEME PROPUSE

1.

3HQWUX GRX

SURGXVH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 7.12.
9DORDUHD YkQ] ULORU PLO OHL

Modificarea
SURFHQWXDO SUH XULORU D

Produs 0 A B

PB 1 300 600

PC 2 375 900

3 +20 +60

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DL SUH XULORU PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW WLLQG F ED] FX   V L UHODWLY D YDORULL GHVIDFHULORU SH WRWDO L LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU ID GH SHULRDGD GH D SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL QXP UXO SHUVRQDOXOXL SH WRWDO D FUHVFXW vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW VH GHWHUPLQH PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY

2.

/D R VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO

-au nregistrat datele:


Tabelul 7.13.

Structura valorii vQ] Marfa 0 A B C PB 1 35,0 33,6 31,4

ULORU

PC 2 35,0 40,0 25,0

Dinamica volumului fizic (%) 3 120 125 66,7

Modificarea
UHODWLY D SUH XULORU

4 50 66,7 100

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL SUH XULORU L DL YDORULL YkQ] ULORU PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY V D YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L D SUH XULORU SH WRWDO SHULRDGH VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VWUXFWXUD YDORULL YkQ] ULORU vQ FHOH GRX

3.

3HQWUX GRL DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 7.14. Agent economic 0 A B Salariul mediu (mii. lei/pers.) PB PC 1 2 2400 2880 2700 3200 Structura DQJDMD PB 3 50 50
LORU

PC 4 45 55

Se cere: 1. dinamica salariului mediu pe fiecare agent economic; 2. VDODULXO PHGLX SH WRWDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 3. LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL VDODULXOXL PHGLX FX VWUXFWXU YDULDELO structurii; 4. PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH SH WRWDO

 FX VWUXFWXU

IL[

L DO YDULD LHL

4.
Se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 7.15. Structura valorii Produs 0 A B C
YkQ] ULORU vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW

1 35 40 25

Dinamica volumului fizic (%) 2 120 125 66,7

Modificarea
SUH XULORU

(%) 3 50 66,7 100

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL YDORULL L DL SUH XULORU LQGLFLL GH JUXS SULYLQG YDORDUHD YROXPXO IL]LF L SUH XULOH WLLQG F ED] FX  QXP UXO SHUVRQDOXOXL SH WRWDO V D UHGXV vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW ID GH SHULRDGD

de

 V

VH GHWHUPLQH PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY

D SURGXFWLYLW

LL PXQFLL

Indicatori macroeconomici de rezultate

PRODUSUL INTERN BRUT (PIB) PIB H[SULP


YDORDUHD EUXW  GH SLD D SURGXF LHL ILQDOH GH EXQXUL L VHUYLFLL RE LQXW DFWLYLWDWHD vQ LQWHULRUXO ULL vQWU

-un

DQ GH DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL DXWRKWRQL L VWU LQL FDUH vL GHVI RDU

a) Metoda de produF LH PHWRGD YDORULL DG VAB i = PB i CI i , unde: VAB i PB i CI i


YDORDUHD DG XJDW

XJDWH

- YDORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW FUHDW vQ VHFWRUXO i OD SUH XULOH GH ED] - SURGXF LD JOREDO EUXW vQ VHFWRUXO i; - consumul intermediar din sectorul i.

3ULQ vQVXPDUHD YDORULORU DG XJDWH EUXWH FUHDWH vQ VHFWRDUHOH VDX UDPXULOH HFRQRPLHL VH RE LQH EUXW OD QLYHOXO HFRQRPLHL

VAB = VAB i
9DORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW VH H[SULP OD SUH XULOH GH ED] SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU  FDUH LQFOXG VXEYHQ LLOH SH SURGXV GDU H[FOXG LPSR]LWHOH SH SURGXV L WD[D SH YDORDUHD DG XJDW 

3HQWUX D RE LQH

PIB, FDUH VH H[SULP

OD SUH XULOH SLH HL VH IRORVHWH UHOD LD

PIB = VAB + IP + TV SP ,

unde: VAB IP TV SP

- YDORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW OD SUH XULOH GH ED]  - LPSR]LWH SH SURGXV LQFOXVLY WD[D SH YDORDUH DG - taxe vamale; - VXEYHQ LL SH SURGXV L SHQWUX LPSRUW
PHWRGD XWLOL] ULL ILQDOH

XJDW 

b) Metoda cheltuielilor

SUHVXSXQH

HYLGHQ LHUHD

FKHOWXLHOLORU

SHQWUX EXQXULOH L VHUYLFLLOH ILQDOH vQ IXQF LH GH GHVWLQD LD DFHVWRUD FRQVXPXO SRSXOD LHL

(CP  FRQVXPXO DGPLQLVWUD LHL CA  IRUPDUHD EUXW (EXN). Valoarea PIB OD SUH XULOH SLH HL VH RE LQH
FRQIRUP UHOD LHL XUP WRDUH

GH FDSLWDO SULQ

FBC

L H[SRUWXO QHW FKHOWXLHOL

vQVXPDUHD

DFHVWRU

PIB = CP + CA + FBC + EXN CF = CP + CA FBC = FBCF + S EXN = EX IM ,

unde: CF FBCF S EX IM

consumul final;
IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ VDX LQYHVWL LL FDSLW

ale brute;

modificarea stocurilor; export; import.

c) Metoda veniturilor PHWRGD UHSDUWL LHL


PIB = RS + EBE + IPRI SE ,

unde: RS EBE IPRI SE

- compensarea factorului PXQF UHPXQHUDUHD VDODULD LORU  - excedentul brut de exploatare; - LPSR]LWH OHJDWH GH SURGXF LH L GH LPSRUW - VXEYHQ LL GH H[SORDWDUH L GH LPSRUW

PRODUSUL INTERN NET (PIN)


3,1 H[SULP GH ED]  YDORDUHD DG XJDW QHW D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH SURGXVH vQWU

-un an de

WR L DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL LQWHUQL

PIN VH FDOFXOHD]

DWkW OD SUH XO SLH HL FkW L OD SUH XO IDFWRULORU SUH XUL

PIN = PIB A

352'868/ 1$ UHSUH]LQW

,21$

L BRUT (PNB)
 D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH RE LQXWH vQWU ULL FkW L vQ H[WHULRUXO

PNB
LQWHULRUXO

YDORDUHD EUXW  GH SLD

-un an

GH DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL UH]LGHQ L DWkW vQ LQWHULRUXO ULL 6H RE LQH FRUHFWkQG

ULL FDUH DX IRVW XWLOL]DWH vQ

PIB

FX VROGXO YHQLWXULORU IDFWRULORU vQ UDSRUW FX VWU LQ WDWHD

(SVFS):
PNB = PIB + SVFS
352'868/ 1$ P VRDU ,21$/ 1(7

PNN)
D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH RE LQXWH vQWU vQ H[WHULRUXO ULL GDU FDUH DX UHYHQLW

PNN
DJHQ LL

YDORDUHD DG XJDW vQ

QHW

-un an de

HFRQRPLFL

UH]LGHQ L

LQWHULRUXO

VDX

VXELHFWHORU

economice interne:
PNN = PNB A
9(1,78/ 1$ 91 H[SULP ,21$/

sau

PNN = PIN + SVFS

VN)
YHQLWXUL

YHQLWXULOH IDFWRULORU GH SURGXF LH LPSOLFD L vQ DFWLYLWDWHD HFRQRPLF

din

PXQF

L GLQ SURSULHWDWH  9HQLWXO QD LRQDO HVWH SURGXVXO QD LRQDO QHW OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU

SUH XULOH GH ED] 

VN = PNN

pb

9(1,78/ 1$

,21$/ %587

VNB)

VNB = VN + A
9(1,78/ 1$ ,21$/ ',6321,%,/

(VND) este VN corectat cu transferuri cu

VWU LQ WDWHD FDUH QX DX OHJ WXU

FX SURFHVXO GH SURGXF LH FRWL]D LL DMXWRDUH WD[H HWF 

VND = VN + STCS ,

unde: STCS - VROGXO vQFDV

UL PLQXV SO

L WUDQVIHUXULORU FXUHQWH FX VWU LQ WDWHD

VENITUL PERSONAL AL MENAJELOR (VPM) repre]LQW care revine menajelor:


VP = VN VAS + TM ,

SDUWHD GLQ YHQLWXO QD LRQDO

unde: VAS

YHQLWXUL FDUH UHYLQ DOWRU VHFWRDUH  FRQWULEX LD SHQWUX DVLJXU ULOH VRFLDOH

profituri nedistribuite ale firmelor, impozitul pe profit;

TM

WUDQVIHUXUL F WUH PHQDMH SHQVLL DMXWRU GH RPDM DOWH DMXWRDUH EXUVH DORFD LL

VENITUL DISPONIBIL AL MENAJELOR (VDM)


LPSR]LWHORU L WD[HORU SO WLWH GH SRSXOD LH

HVWH

YDORDUHD U PDV

GXS

SODWD

VDM = VPM Imp.pop.

Venitul SHUVRQDO GLVSRQLELO HVWH IRORVLW SHQWUX FXPS


L SHQWUX HFRQRPLVLUH

UDUHD EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU GH FRQVXP

,1',&$725, '(5,9$

,

rata consumului H[SULP


UDWD LQYHVWL LLORU P VRDU UDWD YHQLWXULORU GLQ PXQF

SRQGHUHD FRQVXPXOXL ILQDO VDX D XQHLD GLQ FHOH GRX

FRPSRQHQWH

FRQVXP SULYDW L FRQVXP SXEOLF vQ

PIB; PIB, respectiv PIN;


FRPSRQHQW 

SRQGHUHD LQYHVWL LLORU EUXWH VDX QHWH vQ DUDW FH SURFHQW GLQ VXE IRUP

VN GH LQH DFHDVW

UDWD FRPHU XOXL H[WHULRU FRPSDU

GH UDSRUW LPSRUWXO VDX H[SRUWXO FX

PIB;

PIB/locuitor P

VRDU

UH]XOWDWHOH FH UHYLQ vQ PHGLH SH R SHUVRDQ 

HILFLHQ D IDFWRULORU GH SURGXF LH

productivitatea muncii = PIBSRSXOD LH RFXSDW  productivitatea capitalului fix = PIBYDORDUHD PHGLH DQXDO D FDSLWDOXOXL IL[ HILFLHQ D FRQVXPXOXL HQHUJHWLc= PIB/consum de energie etc.
LL QD LRQDOH L YHQLWXO GLVSRQLELO EUXW DO UDWD GH HFRQRPLH D PHQDMHORU HVWH UDSRUWXO GLQWUH HFRQRPLD EUXW

UDWH VSHFLILFH FRQWDELOLW

menajelor;
UDWD GH HFRQRPLH ILQDQFLDU VH FDOFXOHD] FD UDSRUW vQWUH FDSDFLWDWHD QHFHVDUXO GH ILQDQ DUH L YHQLWXO GLVSRQLELO EUXW SH WRWDO HFRQRPLH UDWD H[FHGHQWXOXL EUXW HVWH UH]XOWDWXO vPS U LULL H[FHGHQWXOXL EUXW GH H[SORDWDUH OD YDORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW  UHSUH]LQW SRQGHUHD LPSR]LWHORU vQFDVDWH GH DGPLQLVWUD LD SXEOLF vQ

UDWD GH SUHVLXQH ILVFDO

PIB;
UDWD GH SUHVLXQH VRFLDO H[SULP SRQGHUHD FRWL]D LLORU VRFLDOH HIHFWLYH vQFDVDWH GH VWDW vQ

PIB.

&203$5$

,, 1 7,03

3,% 5($/ , ',1$0,&$ $&(678,$

PIB real (PIB*) VH RE LQH SULQ GHIOD LRQDUHD PIB nominal. 1. utilizarea unui indice de pre XUL de tip Paasche. Acest LQGLFH VH RE LQH LQGLUHFW GLQ UHOD LD GH VLVWHP GLQWUH LQGLFHOH YDORULL I v (indicele PIB nominal), indicele volumului fizic I q GH WLS /DVSH\UHV L LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU I p .
'HIOD LRQDUHD 3,% QRPLQDO SULQ

=I

I q,

unde:
v

p1 q1 p0q0
PIB I
p

p 0 q1 p0q0
OD LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU

PIB UHDO VH RE LQH UDSRUWkQG PIB QRPLQDO GLQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW


PIB * =

2. Calculul PIB real FD VXP


PIB * = C * , j
j

D FRPSRQHQWHORU VDOH GHIOD LRQDWH

unde

C* = j

C IC
p

'H H[HPSOX SRUQLQG GH OD HOHPHQWHOH GH XWLOL]DUH ILQDO  UHOD LD

PIB real se poate determina cu

PIB * = CP * + CA* + FBC * + EXN *

Atunci cnd se cunosc indicii


UHOD LD 

GH SUH XUL SH UDPXUL HFRQRPLFH

PIB

UHDO VH FDOFXOHD]

FX

PIB * = VAB i* ,

unde: VAB i* -

YDORDUHD DG XJDW

EUXW

GLQ UDPXUD

i

GHIOD LRQDW

FX LQGLFHOH GH SUH XUL

FRUHVSXQ] WRU UDPXULL

Deflatorul PIB VH FDOFXOHD]

FD

raport ntre PIB QRPLQDO L PIB real:

D=

PIB1
* PIB1

5DWD LQIOD LHL

RI = D% -100% Dinamica PIB real


I 1PIB /0
*

* PIB 1

PIB 0

6$/$5,8/ 5($/ , ',1$0,&$ $&(678,$ VH FDOFXOHD] FD UDSRUW vQWUH VDODULXO QRPLQDO QHW L LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH

Salariul real (SR) consum.

Salariul nominal net (SN activitate. Etape de calcul:

OD QLYHOXO HFRQRPLHL VH FDOFXOHD]

SH ED]D XQXL HDQWLRQ GH VXEUDPXU GH

DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL DOF WXLW GLQ VXEHDQWLRDQH UHSUH]HQWDWLYH SHQWUX ILHFDUH UDPXU

1. Salariul mediu net la nivelul subramurii s: SN s =

( FBS i R i ) , T i

unde: FBS i - fondul brut de salarii la nivelul agentului economic i; - WRWDOXO UH LQHULORU GLQ VDODULL OD QLYHOXO DJHQWXOXL HFRQRPLF i; Ri - QXP UXO PHGLX GH VDODULD L OD QLYHOXO DJHQWXOXL HFRQRPLF i; Ti
6DODULXO PHGLX QHW OD QLYHOXO ILHF UHL UDPXUL

2.

r:

SN r =

SN s Ts , Ts
UXO PHGLX GH VDODULD L OD QLYHOXO VXEUDPXULL

unde: Ts - QXP

s.

3.

6DODULXO PHGLX QHW OD QLYHOXO HFRQRPLHL QD LRQDO

e:

SN =

SN r Tr Tr

, r.

unde: Tr QXP

UXO PHGLX GH VDODULD L OD QLYHOXO UDPXULL

,QGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

(tip Laspeyres):

IPC =

I p p0 q0 = I p g 0c(%) , 100 p 0 q0

unde: Ip c g 0(%) -

LQGLFL GH SUH XUL SHQWUX SURGXVH DOLPHQWDUH SURGXVH QHDOLPHQWDUH L VHUYLFLL SRQGHUHD FKHOWXLHOLORU GH FRQVXP SHQWUX P UIXUL DOLPHQWDUH P UIXUL QHDOLPHQWDUH L VHUYLFLL vQ WRWDOXO FKHOWXLHOLORU GH FRQVXP vQ SHULRDGD GH ED] 

Salariul real (SR): SR0 = SN0


SR1 = SN 1 IPC

Dinamica salariului real: I SR = SR1 I SN = SR0 IPC :

5DWD LQIOD LHL vQ GRPHQLXO FRQVXPXOXL

RI = IPC% - 100
,QGLFHOH SXWHULL GH FXPS UDUH D EDQLORU

IPCB):

IPCB =

1 IPC

'LQDPLFD VDODULXOXL UHDO vQ IXQF LH GH VDODULXO QRPLQDO L GH SXWHUHD GH FXPS UDUH D EDQLORU

I SR = I SN IPCB

PROBLEME REZOLVATE

1.
6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SHQWUX HFRQRPLD 5RPkQLHL vQ SHULRDGD 

1998:
Tabelul 8.1.

curente (mld. lei) de 1990 (%) 0 1 2 1990 857,9 100 1991 2203,9 87,1 1992 6029,2 79,4 1993 20035,7 80,6 1994 49773,2 83,8 1995 72135,5 89,8 1996 108919,6 93,4 1997 252925,7 87,7 1998 371193,8 83,5 1999 539356,9 81,6 Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997, pag. 354, 357; anul 2000, pag. 280-281.

Anii

3,% vQ SUH XUL

,QGLFLL 3,% ID

Se cere: 1. deflatorul PIB vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID GH  L ID GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW 2. UDWD LQIOD LHL vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID GH  L ID GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW 3. 3,% UHDO ID GH  L ID GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW 4. dinamica PIB UHDO vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW 5. dinamica PIB UHDO L UDWD LQIOD LHL ID GH 

Rezolvare 1. Pentru a calcula deflatorul PIB HVWH QHFHVDU V


FX ED] IL[   VH FDOFXOH]H PDL vQWkL LQGLFLL

PIB nominal

I tPIB = 0

PIBt PIB0

unde

t = 0, 9

De exemplu:
I1PIB = /0 PIB1 2203,9 = = 2,5689 PIB0 857,9

sau

256,89%

Rezultatele calculelor sunt prezentate n tabelul 8.2., coloana 3. Deflatorul PIB ILLQG XQ LQGLFH DO SUH XULORU vQ VLVWHP 3DDVFKH VH SRDWH FDOFXOD FD UDSRUW ntre dinamica PIB QRPLQDO LQGLFHOH YDORULL L GLQDPLFD PIB real (indicele volumului fizic):
Dt 0 = I tv 0 I tq0 = I tPIB /0 I tPIB /0
*

De exemplu:
D1 = 2 , 5689 0 , 871 = 2 , 9494

sau

294,94%

Rezultatele calculelor sunt prezentate n tabelul 8.2., coloana 4. Pentru a calcula deflatorul PIB vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID

GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW VH FDOFXOHD] 

indicii PIB QRPLQDO vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID

GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW

I tPIB1 = t

PIBt , PIBt 1

rezultatele calculelor fiind prezentate n tabelul 8.2., coloana 5.

indicii PIB
IL[ OD ED]

UHDO vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID vQ ODQ 

GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW SULQ UHOD LD GH WUHFHUH GH OD ED]

I tPIB1 = t

I tPIB 0

I tPIB0 1

Rezultatele calculelor sunt prezentate n tabelul 8.2., coloana 6. Deflatorul PIB vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID
GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW

Dt t 1 =

I tPIB1 t I tPIB1 t
*

Rezultatele calculelor sunt prezentate n tabelul 8.2., coloana 7. 2.


5DWD LQIOD LHL

ID

GH 

RIt

ID

= D t 0 ( % ) 100% (vezi tabelul 8.2., coloana 8)

GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW

RIt

t 1

= Dt

t 1 ( %

) 100% (vezi tabelul 8.2., coloana 9)

3. PIB UHDO VH FDOFXOHD]

vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID

FD UDSRUW vQWUH

PIB QRPLQDO L GHIODWRUXO PIB astfel:

GH 

PIB * =

PIBt Dt 0

(vezi tabelul 8.2., coloana 10)


GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW

vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID

PIB * =

PIBt Dt t 1

(vezi tabelul 8.2., coloana 11)

4. Dinamica PIB UHDO vQ ILHFDUH DQ ID


I PIB =
*

GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW VH FDOFXOHD]

DVWIHO

PIBt* PIBt 1

5H]XOWDWHOH FDOFXOHORU VXQW LGHQWLFH FX UH]XOWDWHOH GLQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQD  GDU VH RIHU

un alt mod de calcul.

5. Dinamica PIB UHDO ID I tPIB 0 I


*

GH 

t = 4 ):

I tPIB 4

PIB * t 1 0

, unde t = 5 , 9

Prin urmare: I
PIB *
5 4

PIB I5 0 PIB I4 0

89 , 8 83 , 8

= 1 , 0716

sau 107,16%

PIB
6 4

PIB I6 0 PIB I4 0

93 , 4 83 , 8

= 1 , 1145

sau 111,45%

PIB
7 4

PIB I7 0 PIB I4 0

87 , 7 83 , 8

= 1 , 0465

sau 104,65%

PIB
8 4

I 8PIB 0 I

PIB * 4 0
*

83 , 5 83 , 8

= 0 , 9964 sau 99,64%

PIB
8 4

PIB I9 0

PIB * 4 0

81 , 6 83 , 8

= 0 , 9737 sau 97,37%

5DWD LQIOD LHL FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH ILHF UXL LQGLFH VH FDOFXOHD] DFHVWXLD H[SULPDW SURFHQWXDO

VF ]kQG 

GLQ YDORDUHD

RI t / 4 = I tPIB (%) 100% , unde t = 5 , 9 , 4

astfel:

RI5

= +7 , 16%

R I 6 4 = +11,45%
R I 7 4 = +4,65%

R I 8 4 = 0,36%
R I 9 4 = 2,63%

2.
6H

FXQRVF

XUP WRULL

LQGLFDWRUL

SHQWUX

HFRQRPLD

5RPkQLHL

SHQWUX

DQLL





PLOLDUGH OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 

Tabelul 8.3. Indicator 0 1. Consumul final


 &RQVXPXO ILQDO DO SRSXOD LHL  &RQVXPXO ILQDO DO DGPLQLVWUD LHL SXEOLFH  &RQVXPXO ILQDO DO DGPLQLVWUD LHL SULYDWH  )RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[

6. Modificarea stocurilor 7. Export net 6. Export 7. Import


 0RGLILFDUHD SUH XULORU ID GH  OD

1994 1 38452,4 31442,0 6851,8 158,6 10095,7 2252,6 -1027,5 12394,2 13421,7

1996 2 89939,4 75288,8 14273,9 376,7 24998,5 3161,4 -9179,7 30651,1 39830,8

Consumul final )RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ Modificarea stocurilor Export Import Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1998, pag. 343, 347, 536

+97,36 +119,12 -16,6 +88,13 +84,41

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. PIB QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH PIB UHDO vQ  ID GH  Dinamica PIB real; Deflatorul PIB L UDWD LQIOD LHL vQ  ID GH  Structura PIB GXS PHWRGD FKHOWXLHOLORU vQ FHOH GRX structurale.

SHULRDGH L DQDOL]D PXWD LLORU

Rezolvare 1. PIB nominal vQ FHOH GRX


SHULRDGH VH DIO IRORVLQG PHWRGD FKHOWXLHOLORU

PIB = CF + FBCF + S + EXN PIB0 = 38452,4 + 10095,7 + 2252,6 - 1027,5 = 49773,2 mld. lei PIB1 = 89939,4 + 24998,5 + 3161,4 - 9179,7 = 108919,6 mld. lei 2.
3,% UHDO vQ  ID GH  VH FDOFXOHD] FRQIRUP UHOD LHL

PIB* = CF* + FBCF* + S* + EXP* - IMP* , unde:


CF * = CF1
p I CF

89939 , 4 1 , 973

= 45585 , 09 mld.lei

FBCF * =

FBCF 1 I
p FBCF

24998 , 5 2 , 191

= 11409 , 63 mld.lei

S * =

S 1 I
p S

3161 , 4 0 , 834 =

= 3790 , 64 mld.lei

EXP * =

EXP1 I EXP
p

30651 , 1 1 , 8813 39830 , 8 1 , 8441

= 16292 , 51 mld.lei

IMP * =

IMP1 I
p IMP

= 21599 , 04 mld.lei

* PIB 1 = 45585 , 09 + 11409 , 63 + 3790 , 64 + 16292 , 51 21599 , 04 =

= 55478 , 83 mld.lei

3. Dinamica PIB real

PIB *

* PIB 1

PIB 0

55478 , 83 = 1 , 1146 49773 , 2


ID

sau 111,46%
GH 

PIB UHDO D FUHVFXW vQ  FX  4. Deflatorul PIB VH FDOFXOHD] D= PIB1


* PIB1

FD UDSRUW vQWUH

PIB QRPLQDO L PIB real din 1996:

108919,6 = 1,9633 sau 196,33% 55478,83

5DWD LQIOD LHL

RI = D(%) 100% = 196,33% 100% = +96,33%

3.
6H FXQRVF GDWHOH PLOLDUGH OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 

Tabelul 8.4. Indicator 0


 5HPXQHUDUHD VDODULD LORU

2. Amortizarea capitalului fix  )RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSital fix 4. Excedentul brut de exploatare
 ,PSR]LWH OHJDWH GH SURGXF LH L LPSRUW  6XEYHQ LL GH H[SORDWDUH  5DWD LQIOD LHL

1994 1 22250 4870 12200 19750 10300 2600 -

1997 2 82000 20400 53000 122500 55500 10000 385

Se cere: 1. PIB QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 2. PIB real; 3. Dinamica PIB UHDO vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW

ID

GH 

Rezolvare 1. Pentru calculul PIB nominal VH IRORVHWH PHWRGD YHQLWXULORU PIB = RS + EBE + IPRI SE PIB0 = 22250 + 19750 + 10300 2600 = 49700 mld. lei PIB1 = 82000 + 122500 + 55500 10000 = 250000 mld. lei 2. Produsul intern brut real (PIB*)
* PIB 0 = PIB 0 = 49000 mld. lei

* PIB 1 =

PIB 1 D

PIB 1 RI + 100 100

250000 250000 = = 51546 , 39 mld.lei 385 + 100 4 , 85 100

3. Dinamica PIB real


PIB *

* PIB 1 * PIB 0

51546 , 39 49700

= 1 , 0371 sau 103,71%


GH 

PIB UHDO D FUHVFXW FX 

vQ  ID

4.

Se cunosc datele (miliaUGH OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 


Tabelul 8.5. Indicator 0
 9HQLWXO QD LRQDO

Perioada
GH ED]

Perioada
FXUHQW

2. Amortizarea capitalului fix 3. Impozite indirecte nete 4. Excedentul net de exploatare 5. Soldul veniturilor factorilor n raport cu
VWU LQ WDWHD

1 38000 5800 5000 22500 -900 -1000 +1400

2 182000 20400 12000 82000 -35600 -17000 +2000

6. Exportul net 7. Soldul transferurilor curente n raport cu


VWU LQ WDWHD

Se cere: 1. PIB QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 2. PIN OD SUH XULOH SLH HL L PIN OD SUH XO IDFWRULORU SUH XULOH GH ED] 3. UHPXQHUDUHD VDODULD LORU 4. YHQLWXO QD LRQDO GLVSRQLELO


Rezolvare 1. PIB = VN + IIN +A SVFS, unde IIN LPSR]LWH OHJDWH GH SURGXF LH L LPSRUW PLQXV
VXEYHQ LL GH H[SORDWDUH

PIB0 = 38000 + 5000 + 5800 - (-900) = 49700 mld. lei PIB1 = 182000 + 12000 + 20400 (-35600) = 250000 mld. lei 2. PINpp = PIB A PIN0,pp= 49700 5800 = 43900 mld. lei PIN1,pp = 250000 20400 = 229600 mld. lei PINpf = PINpp IIN PIN0,pf = 43900 5000 = 38900 mld. lei PIN1,pf = 229600 12000 = 217600 mld. lei 3.
5HPXQHUDUHD VDODULD LORU 56

PIB = RS + ENE + A + IIN, unde ENE excedentul net de exploatare, de unde: RS = PIB ENE A IIN RS0 = 49700 22500 5800 - 5000 = 16400 mld. lei RS1 = 250000 82000 20400 12000 = 135600 mld.lei 4. Venitul na LRQDO GLVSRQLELO 91' VND = VN + STCS VND0 = 38000 + 1400 = 39400 mld. lei VND1 = 182000 + 2000 = 184000 mld. lei

5.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH

Tabelul 8.6. Ramura 0


,QGXVWULH  FRQVWUXF LL $JULFXOWXU  VLOYLFXOWXU

Productivitatea muncii
PLL OHLSHUVRDQ

6WUXFWXUD SRSXOD LHL

Alte ramuri Total

1994 1 6042,5 2726,6 5134,5

1996 2 7447,25 3020,36 5861,87

ocupate (%) 1994 1996 3 4 35,09 33,93 36,19 34,89 28,72 31,18 100,0 100,0

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
GLQDPLFD SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL SH ILHFDUH UDPXU  SHULRDGH IL[ L LL PHGLL D PXQFLL FX VWUXFWXU YDULDELO  FX VWUXFWXU D SURGXFWLYLW LL SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PHGLH D PXQFLL OD QLYHOXO vQWUHJLL HFRQRPLL vQ FHOH GRX LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL SURGXFWLYLW DO YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL V VH GHWHUPLQH FRQWULEX LD ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW PHGLL

a muncii pe ntreaga economie. Rezolvare 1.


'LQDPLFD SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL SHQWUX UDPXUD

i: I

Wi

Wi1 Wi0

(vezi tabelul 8.7., coloana 1)


Tabelul 8.7. Ramura 0
,QGXVWULH  FRQVWUXF LL $JULFXOWXU  VLOYLFXOWXU 'LQDPLFD SURGXFWLYLW LL

Alte ramuri Total

muncii 1 1,2325 1,1077 1,1417

2.

3URGXFWLYLWDWHD PHGLH OD QLYHOXO vQWUHJLL HFRQRPLL VH FDOFXOHD] SRQGHUDW D SURGXFWLYLW LORU SH UDPXUL IRORVLQG GUHSW SRQGHUH

FD PHGLH DULWPHWLF VWUXFWXUD SRSXOD LHL

ocupare pe ramuri:

W0 =

Wi 0 g iPO 0 (%)
i =1

100

6042,5 35,09 + 2726,6 36,19 + 5134,5 28,72 = 100

= 4581,69
3

PLL OHLSHUVRDQ

W1 =

Wi1 g iPO 1(%)


i =1

100 = 5408,38

7447,25.33,93 + 3020,36.34,89 + 5861.31,18 = mii lei 100

PLL OHLSHUVRDQ

3.

3HQWUX

FDOFXODUHD

LQGLFLORU

GH

JUXS

HVWH

QHFHVDU

GHWHUPLQDUHD

vQ

SUHDODELO

SURGXFWLYLW

LL PHGLL XWLOL]kQG SURGXFWLYLW

LOH SDU LDOH GLQ SHULRDGD GH ED]

SRQGHUDWH FX

VWUXFWXUD SRSXOD LHL RFXSDWH GLQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW 

W* =

Wi 0 g iPO 1(%)
i =1

100 = 4602,46

6042,5 33,93 + 2726,6 34,89 + 5134,5 31,18 = 100

PLL OHLSHUVRDQ

Calculul indicilor de grup: I SV = I W (W , g


PO

W1 5408,38 = = 1,1804 sau 118,04% W0 4581,69 sau 100,45%

I VS = I W ( g

PO

W* 4602,46 = = 1,0045 W0 4581,69

I SF = I W (W ) = 4.

W1 5408,38 = = 1,1751 sau 117,51% W* 4602,46

0RGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH VH RE LQ VF ]kQG QXPLWRUXO GLQ QXP U WRU SHQWUX ILHFDUH LQGLFH

astfel:
W (W , g W (
PO PO

= W1 W0 = 5408,38 4581,69 = 826,69 mii lei

= W* W0 = 4602,46 4581,69 = 20,77 mii lei

W (W ) = W1 W* = 5408,38 4602,46 = 805,92 mii lei


0RGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH YHULILF UHOD LD GH VLVWHP

W (W , g

PO

= W ( g

PO

+ W (W ) = 20,77 805,92 = 826,69 mii lei


D ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD LL PHGLL D PXQFLL SH W

3H ED]D DFHVWHL UHOD LL VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD FRQWULEX LD UHODWLY PRGLILFDUHD SURGXFWLYLW

otal:

W ( g

PO )

W ( g

PO

) )

W (W , g

PO

20,77 = 0,0258 sau 2,58% 826,69

K
5H]XOW

W (W )

W (W )
W (W , g PO )

805,92 = 0,9742 sau 97,42% 826,69


D SURGXFWLYLW OD QLYHOXO UDPXUL SH LL PXQFLL VH GDWRUHD] UDPXULORU ILLQG  SURGXFWLYLW SRSXOD LHL LL PXQFLL

F  SH WRWDO HFRQRPLH PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW vQ WRWDOLWDWH FUHWHULL VWUXFWXULL PRGLILF ULL

DSURDSH LQIOXHQ D

),

RFXSDWH

QHVHPQLILFDWLY

(2,58%).

6.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH

Tabelul 8.8. Indicator 0 1. Salariul mediu net (lei) 2. Structura cheltuielilor de consum (%): 0 UIXUL DOLPHQWDUH 0 UIXUL QHDOLPHQWDUH Servicii
 0RGLILFDUHD SUH XULORU ID GH  OD

1996 1 321169 56,4 28,5 15,1

1997 2 632086 58,10 25,50 16,40 +151,36 +152,52 +176,47

0 UIXUL DOLPHQWDUH 0 UIXUL QHDOLPHQWDUH Servicii Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1998, pag. 168, 184

Se cere: 1. LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP 2. salariul real; 3. dinamica salariului real; 4. UDWD LQIOD LHL vQ GRPHQLXO FRQVXPXOXL

Rezolvare 1.
,QGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

IPC =

I p g 0C (%)
100
vQ SHULRDGD GH ED]

Se cunosc datele privind structura cheltXLHOLORU


PRGLILFDUHD SUH XULORU L WDULIHORU

C g 0 (%)

(Rp = IP(%) - 100). Deci, I

+ 100 , de unde: 100

I p g 0C(%) IPC =
100 2. Salariul real (SR)

2,5136 56,4 + 2,5252 28,5 + 2,7647 15,1 = 2,5548 100

SR =

SN IPC

SR0 = SN 0 = 321169 lei/salariat


SR1 = SN1 632086 = = 247411,14 lei/salariat IPC 2,5548

3. Dinamica salariului real


I SR = SR1 247411,14 = = 0,7703 sau 77,03% SR0 321169
GH  FX   FHHD FH vQVHDPQ DX FUHVFXW F FX VDODULLOH DX FUHVFXW PDL SX LQ GHFkW SUH XULOH GH FRQVXP   VDODULXO QRPLQDO QHW D FUHVFXW

'HFL SXWHUHD GH FXPS UDUH D VDODULXOXL PHGLX QRPLQDO QHW D VF ]XW vQ  ID FX  'DF SUH XULOH

632086 .100 100 . 321169

7.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWHOH

Tabelul 8.9. Indicatori 0


3,% POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH

Rata consumului final (%)


5DWD LQYHVWL LLORU EUXWH 9DULD LD VWRFXULORU PDWHULDOH POGOHL

1996 1 108391 83,69 23,13

1997 2 249750 85,50 19,20

1695 5744 Indicii volumului fizic (%) pentru : 100 93,69 - consumul final 100 85,60 - IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO - export net 100 72,91 Sursa: calcule pe baza Anuarului Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997; date CNS pentru anul 1997

SUH XUL FXUHQWH

Se cere: 1. exportul net n cei doi ani; 2. PIB real; 3. GLQDPLFD QRPLQDO L UHDO D PIB; 4. deflatorul PIB L UDWD LQIOD LHL
Rezolvare:

1. PURGXVXO

HOHPHQWH FRQVXP ILQDO DO SRSXOD LHL L DGPLQLVWUD LHL

LQWHUQ EUXW GXS

PHWRGD XWLOL]

ULL ILQDOH VH GHWHUPLQ

(FBCF  YDULD LD VWRFXULORU S L H[SRUW QHW EXN).

CF  IRUPDUHD EUXW

FD VXP

D XUP WRDUHORU

GH FDSLWDO IL[

Rata consumului final este:


RCF = CF RCF PIB 100 CF = PIB 100
 POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH

CF96= 0,8369 CF97= 0,855

 POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH

5DWD LQYHVWL LLORU EUXWH

RIB) este:

RIB =

FBCF RIB PIB 100 FBCF = PIB 100

FBCF96= 0,2313108391 = 25076 mld. lei pUH XUL FXUHQWH FBCF97= 0,192
 POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH

([SRUWXO QHW POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 

PIB = CF + FBCF + S + EXN

EXN = PIB-CF-FBCF- S

EXN96= 108391 90711- 25076-1695 = -9091 EXN97=249750 213536 47952 5744 = -17482 2. PIB real VH GHWHUPLQ
LQGLFLORU GH SUH XUL FDOFXOHD] vQ DFHVW FD] FD VXP FRUHVSXQ] WRUL D FRPSRQHQWHORU VDOH GHIOD LRQDWH FX DMXWRUXO SUH XULORU FRPSRQHQWHORU

,QGLFLL

Cj ale PIB se

SRUQLQG GH OD UHOD LD

q p p v IC j = ICj IC j ICj =

v IC j q IC j

unde:
v IC j
q IC j p IC j

- indicele valorii nominale a componentei j; - indicele volumului fizic a componentei j; LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU FRPSRQHQWHL

j. CF
IRUPDUHD EUXW

&RQIRUP UHOD LHL DQWHULRDUH LQGLFLL GH SUH XUL SHQWUX FRQVXPXO ILQDO

de capital FBC FD VXP exportul net EXN sunt:

vQWUH IRUPDUHD EUXW

GH FDSLWDO IL[ L YDULD LD VWRFXULORU L

I CF

213536 90711 = = 2 , 513 0 , 9369 47952 + 5744 25076 + 1695 = = 2 , 343 0 , 856 17482 9091 = = 2 , 637 0 , 7291

I FBC

I EXN

PIB real (PIB *) sH GHWHUPLQ

FX UHOD LD

PIB * = C * = j
j j

Cj I cpj

unde:

C * - componenta j GHIOD LRQDW j


POG OHL SUH XUL 

* PIB96 = PIB96 = 108391

* PIB97 =

CF
p I CF

FBC
p I FBC

EXN
p I EXN

213536 53696 17482 + = 2,513 2,343 2,637

 POG OHL SUH XUL 

3.

'LQDPLFD QRPLQDO

D 3,%

: sau 230,42%

I PIB =

PIB97 249750 = = 2,3042 PIB96 108391


D 3,%

'LQDPLFD UHDO

I PIB =
&X WRDWH F

* PIB97 * PIB96

101261 = 0,9342 sau 93,42% 108391

FRQVWDQWH DUDW FHOH GRX

PIB nominal a crescut cu 130,42%, dinamica PIB H[SULPDW vQ SUH XUL F vQ UHDOLWDWH V-a nregistrat o reducere cu 6,58% a PIB 'LIHUHQ D GLQWUH
SULQ FUHWHUHD SUH XULORU FRPSRQHQWHORU L VH RE LQH FD

GLQDPLFL HVWH H[SOLFDW

4. Deflatorul PIB HVWH XQ LQGLFH VLQWHWLF DO SUH XULORU raport ntre PIB real (PIB* L QRPLQDO PIB):
D= PIB PIB *

PIB

Pentru anul 1997, deflatorul PIB este:


D= 249750 = 2,467 101261

5DWD LQIOD LHL

(RI):

RI = D% 100% = 246,7% 100% = +146,7%

8.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH

Tabelul 8.10. Indicatori 0 Venitul disponibil brut* POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH
(FRQRPLD EUXW )RUPDUHD EUXW

POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH

GH FDSLWDO IL[ POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH

9DULD LD VWRFXULORU POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH ([SRUW QHW POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH ,PSR]LWH SH SURGXV POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 6XEYHQ LL POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 7D[H YDPDOH POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 6WUXFWXUD YDORULL DG XJDWH EUXWH DJULFXOWXU L VLOYLFXOWXU 

1996 1 110890 20179 25076 1695 - 9091 7900 1849 1853 .

industrie
FRQVWUXF LL

alte ramuri
,QGLFLL GH SUH XUL DL 9$% DJULFXOWXU L VLOYLFXOWXU

1997 2 253746 40210 47952 5744 - 17482 18981 2498 3497 100 20,43 38,70 5,87 35,00 224,1 252,5 231,0 256,1

(%) n:

100 100 FRQVWUXF LL 100 alte ramuri 100 Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997; date CNS pentru anul 1997. industrie

Se cere: 1. PIB OD SUH XULOH SLH HL 2. YDORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW  3. PIB UHDO OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU 4. UDWD LQIOD LHL Rezolvare 1.
3,% OD SUH XULOH SLH HL VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD SULQ PHWRGD FKHOWXLHOLORU FRQIRUP UHOD LHL

PIB pp = CF + FBCF + S + TV + EXN ,


unde: CF FBCF S TV EXN - FRQVXPXO ILQDO DO SRSXOD LHL L DGPLQLVWUD iei); - IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ - YDULD LD VWRFXULORU - taxe vamale; - export net (export minus import).
vQWUH YHQLWXO GLVSRQLELO EUXW

Consumul final poate fi calculat ca diferHQ HFRQRPLD EUXW EB): CF = VDB EB CF96 = 110890  CF97 = 253746 

VDB

 POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH  POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH

PIB OD SUH XULOH SLH HL POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH  PIB96 = 90711 + 25076 + 1695 9091 = 108391 mld. lei PIB97 = 213536 + 47952 + 5744 17482 = 249750 mld. lei 2.
9DORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW SH DQVDPEOXO HFRQRPLHL VH GHWHUPLQ

impozitele indirecte nete (impozite pe produs IP TV):


VABi = PIB (IP - S + TV) VAB96 = 108391 (7900 -    VAB97 = 249750 (18981 -   

PLQXV VXEYHQ LL

VF ]kQG GLQ PIB, S plus taxe vamale

 POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH

 POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH

3.

3,% UHDO OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU VH GHWHUPLQ DOH HFRQRPLHL GHIOD LRQDW

vQVXPkQG YDORDUHD DG XJDW

EUXW

SH UDPXUL

FX LQGLFLL FRUHVSXQ] WRUL GH SUH XUL

PIB * = VABi* = pf

VABi I ip

VABi 1 = PIB pf p , VAB I i i

unde: VABi VABi - ponderea VAB din ramura i n total; LQGLFHOH GH SUH XUL DO

I ip

VAB din ramura i;

* PIB96 = PIB96

 POG OHL SUH XUL 

35 20,43 38,70 5,87 * PIB97 = 229770 + + + = 93403,4 224,1 252,5 231 256,1 4.
5DWD LQIOD LHL

POG OHL SUH XUL 

(RI) se poate calcula pe baza deflatorului PIB (D  FRQIRUP UHOD LHL

RI = D% - 100% Deflatorul PIB: D97 = PIB97


* PIB97

229770 = 2,45997 sau 245,997% 93403,4

5DWD LQIOD LHL vQ DQXO  HVWH

RI97 = 245,997% 100% = +145,997%.

9.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG YHQLWXULOH L FRQVXPXO IDPLOLLORU GH VDODULD L

Tabelul 8.11. Indicatori 0


&RQVXPXO OXQDU DO IDPLOLLORU GH VDODULD L SUH XUL

UM 1
OHLJRVSRG ULH

1995 2 518790

1996 3 759958

curente) Structura cheltuielilor de consum ale familiilor de


VDODULD L

% 56,1 11,8 15,0 1,2 7,1 4,5 4,3 % 138,7 132,0 138,5 136,4 151 141,1 135,5 1907,423 5939 56,4 11,3 15,7 1,5 6,3 4,1 4,7

P UIXUL DOLPHQWDUH L E XWXUL vPEU F PLQWH L vQF O ORFXLQ L PLQWH

vQ]HVWUDUHD FX EXQXUL

PHGLFDPHQWH L VHUYLFLL PHGLFDOH WUDQVSRUW L FRPXQLFD LL vQY PkQW FXOWXU

alte cheltuieli

,QGLFLL SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP SH JUXSH GH P UIXUL

(1995=100) P UIXUL DOLPHQWDUH L E XWXUL vPEU F PLQWH L vQF O PLQWH ORFXLQ L vQ]HVWUDUHD FX bunuri PHGLFDPHQWH L VHUYLFLL PHGLFDOH WUDQVSRUW L FRPXQLFD LL vQY PkQW FXOWXU alte cheltuieli Fond lunar de salarii

mld. lei
SUH XUL FXUHQWH

1302,058 6160

1XP U PHGLX GH VDODULD L mii persoane Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997, p.190-191, 196, 412.

Se cere: 1. LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP 2. VDODULXO QRPLQDO L UHDO GLQDPLFD DFHVWRUD 3. FRQWULEX LD IDFWRULORU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D IRQGXOXL UHDO GH VDODULL 4. indicele puterii dH FXPS UDUH D EDQLORU 5. GLQDPLFD QRPLQDO L UHDO D FRQVXPXOXL IDPLOLLORU GH VDODULD L Rezolvare 1.
,QGLFHOH LQGLFLORU SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP SUH XUL

(IPC
SH

VH

FDOFXOHD] GH

FD

PHGLH

DULWPHWLF FD

SRQGHUDW

LQGLYLGXDOL

GH

JUXSH

P UIXUL

IRORVLQG

SRQGHUH

structura

FKHOWXLHOLORU GH FRQVXP GLQ SHULRDGD GH ED] 

IPC =

I jp g 0Cj (%)
j

100

unde: I jp - LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU SHQWUX JUXSD j;


C g 0 j (%) - Structura cheltuielilor de consum pentru grupei j (anul 1995).

Q FHOH FH XUPHD] FXUHQW

YRP QRWD FX  SHULRDGD GH ED]

DQXO  L FX SHULRDGD GH

DQXO  

IPC0= 100% IPC1= (138,7 56,1 + 132 11,8 + 138,5 15 + 136,4 1,2 + 151 7,1 + + 141,1 4,5 + 135,5 4,3) = 139% 2. Salariul mediu nominal se poate calcula ca raporW vQWUH IRQGXO PHGLX OXQDU GH VDODULL L
QXP UXO GH VDODULD L 6H H[SULP vQ SUH XULOH FXUHQWH DOH ILHF UXL DQ

SN =

FS , T

unde: SN - salariul nominal; FS - fondul de salarii; T - QXP U GH VDODULD L Salariul nominal mediu pe economie n  L  D IRVW

SN 0 =

1302 , 058 10 9 6160 10 3


1907 , 423 10 9 5939 10 3

= 211373 lei / salariat

SN 1 =

= 321169 lei / salariat

Dinamica salariului nominal n perioada 1995 - 1996 a fost: I SN = SN 1 SN 0


100 =

321169 100 = 151 , 94% 211373


SXWHUHD GH FXPS UDUH D VDODULXOXL QRPLQDO L VH RE LQH FD

Salariul real (SR) SN IPC

H[SULP

UDSRUW vQWUH VDODULXO QRPLQDO L

IPC:

SR =

SR0 = SN0 SR 1 = SN 1 IPC 1


=

321169 = 231057 lei / salariat 1 , 39


GH 

Dinamica salariului real vQ  ID


I SR =

SR1 231057 100 = 100 = 109,3% SR0 213373


 QLYHOXO ULGLFDW DO LQIOD LHL D SHUPLV XQ VSRU GH

'HL VDODULXO QRPLQDO D FUHVFXW FX 

numai 9,3% al salariului real.

3. Fondul real de salarii

vQ SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH 

VH RE LQH vPS U LQG IRQGXO QRPLQDO

GH VDODULL OD LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

* FS1 =

FS1 1907,423 = = 1372,247 mild. lei IPC 1,39

Pentru anul 1996, fondul nominal de salarii este egal cu fondul real de salarii: FS0 = FS0 = 1302,058 mild. lei
0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D IRQGXOXL UHDO GH VDODULL

* * FS * = FS1 FS 0 = 1372,247 1302,058 = 70,189 mld. lei


)RQGXO UHDO GH VDODULL GHSLQGH GH VDODULXO UHDO L GH QXP UXO GH VDODULD L

FS * =

SN T = SR T IPC

,QIOXHQ D FUHWHULL VDODULXOXL UHDO DVXSUD PRGLILF ULL IRQGXOXL UHDO GH VDODULL

FS ( SR) = ( SR1 SR0 ) T1 = (231057 211373) 5939 = = 116909270 mii lei 116,903 mld lei
,QIOXHQ D UHGXFHULL QXP UXOXL VDODULD LORU

FS * (T ) = (T1 T0 ) SR0 = (5939 6160) 211373 = 46713,433 mii lei 46,713 mld. lei
Verificare: 70,189 116,903 46,713 4.
,QGLFHOH SXWHULL GH FXPS UDUH D EDQLORU

(IPCB):

IPCB = IPCB =
5H]XOW F

1 IPC 1 = 0 , 719 sau 71 , 9% 1 , 39


vQ DQXO  SXWHUHD GH FXPS UDUH D EDQLORU UHSUH]LQW  QXPDL  GLQ

QLYHOXO DQXOXL  5HGXFHUHD SXWHULL GH FXPS UDUH D IRVW GH 

5.

'LQDPLFD QRPLQDO

D FRQVXPXOXL OXQDU DO IDPLOLLORU GH VDODULD L D IRVW

I CN =

CN 1 CN 0

100 ,

unde: CN1 L CN0

FRQVXPXO QRPLQDO OXQDU H[SULPDW vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH DO IDPLOLLORU GH VDODULD L

I CN =
DFHDVW

759958 100 = 146 , 49% 518790


 2 SDUWH GLQ D FRQVXPXOXL LQIOD LHL 3HQWUX D GHWHUPLQD GLQDPLFD UHDO

&RQVXPXO QRPLQDO OXQDU DO IDPLOLLORU GH VDODULD L D FUHVFXW FX  FUHWHUH HVWH GDWRUDW

vom calcula n prealabil consumul lunar real (CR  consum:


CR = CN IPC
OHL  JRVSRG ULH

FX DMXWRUXO LQGLFHOXL SUH XULORU GH

CR 0 = CN 0 = 518790

CR 1 =

759958 = 546732 1 , 39

OHL  JRVSRG ULH

'LQDPLFD UHDO

a consumului OXQDU DO IDPLOLLORU GH VDODULD L D IRVW


100 =

I CR =

CR 1 CR 0

546732 100 = 105 , 39% 518790


 DFHDVW GLQDPLF VH GDWRUHD] vQ FHD PDL vQ FRQVXPXO IDPLOLLORU

'HL YDORDUHD FRQVXPXOXL D FUHVFXW FX  VDODULD L &UHWHUHD UHDO PRGHVW   D FDQWLW

PDUH SDUWH FUHWHULL SUH XULORU OD EXQXULOH L VHUYLFLLOH FDUH LQWU

de

LL GH EXQXUL L VHUYLFLL FRQVXPDWH D IRVW PXOW PDL

PROBLEME PROPUSE

1.
6H

FXQRVF

XUP WRULL

LQGLFDWRUL

SHQWUX

HFRQRPLD

5RPkQLHL

SHQWUX

DQLL





PLOLDUGH OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 

Tabelul 8.12. 1994 1  3URGXF LD EUXW 100339,4 2. Consumul intermediar 54384,7  9DORDUHD DG XJDW EUXW  )RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ 10095,7 5. Consumul final 38452,4 6. Consumul final al SRSXOD LHL 31442,0 7. Impozite pe produs (inclusiv TVA) 3848,2 8. Taxe vamale 648,9  6XEYHQ LL SH SURGXV 678,6 9. Modificarea stocurilor 2252,6 10. Export net -1027,5 Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1998, pag. 340-343 Indicator 0 1997 2 229445,3 55074,2 213772,8 188416,2 19306,7 3808,2 2080,0 -501,3 -17865,5

Se cere: 1. PIB QRPLQDO IRORVLQG PHWRGHOH FH SRW IL DSOLFDWH vQ IXQF LH GH GDWHOH GLVSRQLELOH 2. PIB UHDO GDF SUH XULOH SURGXVHORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH DX FUHVFXW vQ  ID GH  FX 385,3%; dinamica PIB UHDO ID GH 

2.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG FRQVXPXO GH HQHUJLH HOHFWULF SH UDPXUL SHQWUX  L 

L YDORDUHD DG XJDW

EUXW 

Tabelul 8.13. VAB* (miliarde lei Ramura


SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH (QHUJLH HOHFWULF FRQVXPDW PLO. kWh) 1994 1996 1994 1996 0 1 2 3 4 ,QGXVWULH  FRQVWUXF LL 21269,6 23831,2 34583 39759 $JULFXOWXU  VLOYLFXOWXU 9897,6 9937,0 1834 1332 Alte ramuri 14787,5 17233,9 20509 22501 Total 45954,7 51002,1 56926 63592 Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997, pag. 543; anul 1998, pag. 118, 340-342

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
FRQVXPXO GH HQHUJLH HOHFWULF V V FRQVXPDW FH UHYLQH OD  OHL

VAB*

OD QLYHOXO ILHF UHL

UDPXUL L SH DQVDPEOXO HFRQRPLHL VH GHWHUPLQH LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU DVXSUD PRGLILF ULL FRQVXPXOXL PHGLX GH HQHUJLH SH vQWUHDJD HFRQRPLH SH DQVDPEOXO HFRQRPLHL VH FRPSDUH GLQDPLFD FRQVXPXOXL PHGLX GH HQHUJLH HOHFWULF HOHFWULF

cu dinamica PIB WLLQG F PIB nominal a fost de 49773,2 mld. lei n 1994, de 108919,6 mld. lei n 1996 iar UDWD LQIOD LHL vQ  ID GH  D IRVW GH   4.
V VH GHWHUPLQH FRQWULEX LD ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW SH vQWUHDJD HFRQRPLH D FRQVXPXOXL PHGLX GH HQHUJLH HOHFWULF

3.
6H FXQRVF XUP WRULL LQGLFDWRUL SHQWUX HFRQRPLD 5RPkQLHL SHQWUX DQLL  L  PLOLDUGH OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 

Tabelul 8.14. Indicator 0


 3URGXF LD EUXW

2. Consumul intermediar 3. Impozite pe produs (inclusiv TVA) 4. Taxe vamale 5. SuEYHQ LL SH SURGXV
 0RGLILFDUHD SUH XULORU ID GH  OD

1994 1 100339,4 54384,7 3848,2 648,9 678,6

1996 2 240598,8 138744,6 7458,7 1852,3 2245,6 +132,84 +141,59 +73,38 +205,52 +171,49

3URGXF LD EUXW

Consumul intermediar Impozite pe produs Taxe vamale


6XEYHQ LL SH SURGXV

Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1998, pag. 354, 360

Se cere: 1. PIB QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 2. PIB UHDO vQ  ID GH 

4.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH

Tabelul 8.15.
(ILFLHQ D IRORVLULL PLMORDFHORU

Ramura 0
,QGXVWULH  FRQVWUXF LL $JULFXOWXU  VLOYLFXOWXU

Alte ramuri Total

fixe (lei VAB*/1000 lei F) 1994 1996 1 2 1088 980 3533 2474 1563 1455

Structura mijloacelor fixe (%) 1994 1996 3 4 60,5 59,0 9,0 12,4 30,5 28,6 100,0 100,0

Se cere: 1. GLQDPLFD HILFLHQ HL IRORVLULL PLMORDFHORU IL[H SH ILHFDUH UDPXU  2. efiFLHQ D PHGLH D IRORVLULL PLMORDFHORU IL[H OD QLYHOXO vQWUHJLL HFRQRPLL perioade; 3. LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL HILFLHQ HL PHGLL D IRORVLULL PLMORDFHORU IL[H FX VWUXFWXU
VWUXFWXU IL[ L DO YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL D HILFLHQ HL PHGLL D vQ FHOH GRX YDULDELO  FX

4.

VH GHWHUPLQH FRQWULEX LD ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW

folosirii mijloacelor fixe pe ntreaga economie.

5.
6H

FXQRVF

XUP WRULL

LQGLFDWRUL

SHQWUX

HFRQRPLD

5RPkQLHL

SHQWUX

DQLL





PLOLDUGH OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 

Tabelul 8.16. Indicator 0 1. Consumul final


 )RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[

3. Modificarea stocurilor 4. Export net 5. Amortizarea capitalului fix

1998 1 335000 68000 -1600 -30000 8400

1999 2 470000 97000 -4500 -23000 12000

Se cere: 1. PIB QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 2. PIN QRPLQDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 3. PIB UHDO GDF SUH XULOH SURGXVHORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH DX FUHVFXW vQ  ID cu 50%; 4. Dinamica PIB real.

GH 

Partea a II-a

Probleme complexe
1.
3HQWUX  GH PXQFLWRUL DL XQHL VRFLHW OXFUDW vQWUH R V SW PkQ L FRPHUFLDOH V

-au nregistrat datele privind timpul

RUH                   

39, 40, 38, 43, 40, 40, 40, 38, 39, 39, 40, 40, 41, 43, 42, 40, 42, 38, 40, 39, 40, 37, 38, 38, 37, 39, 40, 39, 39, 40, 40, 41. Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.
V V V V DIO V V V VH JUXSH]H PXQFLWRULL GLQ HDQWLRQ GXS VH FDOFXOH]H SURGXF LD VH VWDELOHDVF HOH ID VH VH PHGLH SH WLPSXO OXFUDW WLPSXO OXFUDW L V VH VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF UHSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS LOH DFHVWHLD FH DOWH WLSXUL GH PHGLL VH PDL SRW FDOFXOD L vQ FH UDSRUW GH P ULPH VH

XQ PXQFLWRU XWLOL]kQG PHGLD DULWPHWLF

YHULILFH SURSULHW

GH PHGLD DULWPHWLF  LQGLFDWRULL SDUDPHWULL VLQWHWLFL FROHFWLYLW DL LL YDULD LHL JHQHUDOH L V VH SUHFL]H]H VH GDF PHGLD HVWH FX R

VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL GH SR]L LH FDOFXOH]H HVWLPH]H

UHSUH]HQWDWLY  GDF UH]XOWDWHOH JDUDQWHD]

probabilitate P = 0,9973 (z = 3), iar ceL  GH PXQFLWRUL UHSUH]LQW al acestora; 8.


V VH GHWHUPLQH QRXO YROXP DO HDQWLRQXOXL GDF GH  RUL L VH XWLOL]HD] VHOHF LD HURDUHD OLPLW P UHWH QHUHSHWDW 



GLQ QXP UXO WRWDO DQWHULRU VH U PkQkQG

FDOFXODW FRQGL LL

FHOHODOWH

neschimbate. Rezolvare 1.
$PSOLWXGLQHD YDULD LHL ILLQG PLF vQUHJLVWUDWH ILLQG GH DVHPHQHD PLF VH SRDWH HIHFWXD JUXSDUHD SH YDULDQWH L RE LQHP

A0 = xmax xmin = 43 

 RUH L QXP UXO YDORULORU

datele prezentate n tabelul 1.

5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

WLPSXO OXFUD

t (ore) Tabelul 1.

Grupe de
PXQFLWRUL GXS

1XP

UXO

muncitorilor (ni)

timpul lucrat (ore) (xi) 0 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Total

1 5 6 8 13 7 5 6 50
JUDILF SULQ GLDJUDPD SULQ

2.

'LVWULEX LLOH RE LQXWH SULQ JUXSDUH SH YDULDQWH VH UHSUH]LQW

bastoane.

14 12 nr. muncitori 10 8 6 4 2 0 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44

timpul lucrat (ore)

)LJ 'LVWULEX LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

WLPSXO OXFUDW RUH

3.

&DOFXOXO PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH L YHULILFDUHD SULQFLSDOHORU SURSULHW

L DOH DFHVWHLD

Calculul mediei aritmetice ponderate: x=


x i n i =

n i 2000 = = 40 ore / muncitor 50

37 5 + 38 6 + 39 8 + 40 13 + 41 7 + 42 5 + 43 6 = 50

9HULILFDUHD SULQFLSDOHORU SURSULHW

L DOH PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH

a) xmin < x < xmax 37 < 40 < 43

b)

(xi x ) ni = (37 40)5 + (38 40)6 + (39 40) 8 + (40 40) 13 + xi ni = x xi


( xi a ) ni ni
= x a

+ (41 40) 7 + (42 40) 5 + (43 40) 6 = - 35 + 35 = 0

c)

2000 = 40 50 d)

Pentru a

 RE LQHP

(xi a)ni = (37 2)5 + (38 2)6 + (39 2)8 + (40 2)13 + (41 2)7 + (42 2)5 + (43 2)6 = 50 ni
= 1900 = 38 = 40 2 = x a 50

e)

hi ni = h
 RE LQHP

Pentru h

37 38 39 40 41 42 43 5 + 6 + 8 + 13 + 7 + 5+ 6 x 200 40 x hi ni = 10 10 10 1050 10 10 10 = 50 = 4 = 10 = h

4.

&DOFXOXO PHGLHL DUPRQLFH L DO PHGLHL S WUDWLFH

Calculul mediei armonice ( xh ):


xh = 50 = 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 + 6 + 8 + 13 + 7 + 5 + 6 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 i = 39,92 ore/muncitor =
WUDWLFH

ni 1 x ni

&DOFXOXO PHGLHL S

( x p ):

xp =

xi2 ni 37 2 5 + 38 2 6 + 39 2 8 + 40 2 13 + 412 7 + 42 2 5 + 43 2 6 = = n i 50 = 40,04 ore/muncitor

xh < x < x p
39,92 < 40 < 40,04

5. Calculul indicatorilRU PHGLL GH SR]L LH

Calculul medianei (Me) Locul M e =

ni

+1

2 5+6+8+13 = 32 > 25,5

50 + 1 = 25 , 5 2
FXPXODW HVWH SULPD PDL PDUH

9DORDUHD PHGLDQHL HVWH YDULDQWD D F UHL IUHFYHQ

dect 25,5, deci Me = 40 ore.

Calculul modului Valoarea modului este varianta FRUHVSXQ] Mo = 40 ore.


WRDUH IUHFYHQ HL PD[LPH

6.

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU GH YDULD LH

,QGLFDWRULL VLPSOL DL YDULD LHL

$PSOLWXGLQHD YDULD LHL

Aa = xmax xmin = 43 37 = 6 ore A% =

x max x min 6 100 = 100 = 15% 40 x


UHL YDULDQWH ID GH PHGLH

$EDWHULOH ILHF

Abaterile absolute: d i = xi x De exemplu: di max(+) = 43 40 = 3 ore di max(-) = 37 40 = -3 ore

Abaterile relative: di (%) = De exemplu:

xi x 100 x

3 100 = 7,5% 40 3 di(%) max(-) = 100 = 7,5% 40

di(%) max(+) =

,QGLFDWRULL VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL

$EDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU

( d ):
37 40 5 + 38 40 6 + ... + 43 40 6 50

d =

xi x ni

ni

70 = 1 , 4 ore / muncitor 50

Dispersia:

( xi x ) 2 ni = ni

(37 40) 2 5 + (38 40) 2 6 + ... + (43 40) 2 6 158 = = 3,16 50 50


:

$EDWHUHD PHGLH S

WUDWLF

= 2 = 3,16 =1,8 ore / muncitor


5DSRUWXO GLQWUH FHOH GRX DEDWHUL PHGLL

d 1,4 = = 0,79 1,8


6H SRDWH WUDJH FRQFOX]LD F UHSDUWL LD YDORULORU WLQGH F WUH QRUPDOLWDWH GHRDUHFH DFHVW

raport

/D DFHHDL FRQFOX]LH VH SRDWH DMXQJH L GLQ DQDOL]D LQGLFDWRULORU WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH FDUH

4 . 5

sunt egali ca valoare ( x = Me = Mo).

&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

1,8 100 = 100 = 4,5% x 40 d 1,4 v= 100 = 100 = 3,5% x 40


v=
v< v < 35%
VHULD HVWH RPRJHQ L PHGLD HVWH UHSUH]HQWDWLY SHQWUX VHULH

7. Extinderea rezultatelor asupra coOHFWLYLW


&DOFXOXO HURULL OLPLW DGPLV

LL JHQHUDOH GLQ FDUH D IRVW H[WUDV HDQWLRQXO

6HOHF LD UHSHWDW 

x = z

2 3,16 = 3 = 0,754 buc. n 50

6HOHF LD QHUHSHWDW 

x = z

2 n

n 3,16 50 1 = 3 1 = 0,715 buc. 50 500 N




/LPLWHOH SHQWUX SURGXF LD PHGLH

pe un muncitor din colectivLWDWHD JHQHUDO

x - x < x 0 < x + x

6HOHF LD UHSHWDW 

40 0,754 < x0 < 40 + 0,754 39,246 buc. / muncitor < x0 < 40,754 buc. / muncitor

Selec LD QHUHSHWDW

40 0,715 < x0 < 40 + 0,715 39,285 buc. / muncitor < x0 < 40,715 buc. / muncitor
/LPLWHOH SHQWUX SURGXF LD WRWDO D PXQFLWRULORU GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO 

N( x - x) <

xi < N( x + x)
i =1

6HOHF LD UHSHWDW 

500 (40 0,754) < 19623 buc. <

xi
i =1

500

< 500 (40 + 0,754)

xi
i =1

500

< 20377 buc.

6HOHF LD QHUHSHWDW 

500 (40 0,715) < 19642,5 buc. < 8.


500 i =1

xi
i =1

500

<500 (40 + 0,715)

xi

< 20357 buc. x = x 1,03 = 0,715 1,03 = 0,736

'HWHUPLQDUHD YROXPXOXL HDQWLRQXOXL SHQWUX

n=

z 2 2 3 2 3,16 = = 47 muncitori z 2 2 3 2 3,16 2 2 ( x ) + (0,736) + N 500

2.

Dintr-un sondaj statistic de 10% din colectivitate s-au RE LQXW GDWHOH


Tabelul 2.
*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS FLIUD GH 6XEJUXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS SURILW PLOOHL

Total
 L

Sub 12 1 8 8

12-16 2 20 15 35

16-20 3 12 25 8 45

20-24 4 30 35 65

24-28 5 20 12 32

afaceri (mil.lei) A I II III Total

peste 6 10 5 15

7 40 100 60 200

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
V V V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF GLVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS FLIUD GH DIDFHUL JUDGXO GH RPRJHQLWDWH DO GLVWULEX LHL DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS P ULP VH VWDELOHDVF SURILW SHQWUX JUXSD D ,,

-a

GXS

ea

profitului pentru grupa a doua;


VH FDUDFWHUL]H]H JUDGXO GH DVLPHWULH DO GLVWULEX LHL DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS P ULPHD

profitului pentru grupa a doua;


FH LQGLFDWRUL VWDWLVWLFL VH SRW FDOFXOD SH ED]D UHJXOLL GH DGXQDUH D GLVSHUVLLORU L FXP VH

interpreWHD]
V

VWDWLVWLF DFHWL LQGLFDWRUL

VH FDOFXOH]H PHGLD L GLVSHUVLD SHQWUX FDUDFWHULVWLFD DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL FDUH VH J VHVF

peste media profitului pe total. Rezolvare Pentru punctele 1. L 2. YRP SUH]HQWD vQ WDEHOXO XUP profit (mil. lei) pentru grupa a II-D GXS FLIUD GH DIDFHUL
WRU GLVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS

Tabelul 3. Grupe de
DJHQ L 1U DJHQ L

xi a

economici
GXS SURILW

economici (ni) 1 15 25 30 20 10 100

Centul de interval xi 2 14 18 22 26 30
r

xini

xi a h

(mil. lei) A 12-16 16-20 20-24 24-28 28-32 Total

h=4 a = 22 4 -2 -1 0 1 2
=

ni

( xi x ) 6 -111 -85 +18 92 86

(xi - x )2ni

xi a ni h
2

3 210 450 660 520 300

5 -30 -25 0 20 20

7 821,4 289,0 10,8 423,6 739,6

8 60 25 0 20 40
xi a h
2

xi ni
i =1

xi a ni h

(xi - x )

=2140

=15

(xi - x )2ni= =2284,4

ni

= 145

1.

3HQWUX UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

VH IRORVHVF KLVWRJUDPD L SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU YH]L ILJ 

35 30

30 25 20 15 10

Scara: pe Ox: 1 cm = 4 mil.


SH 2\  FP  DJHQ L

25 20

15

10 5 0 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 profit (mil. lei)

2.

)LJ  'LVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS

P ULPHD SURILWXOXL PLO OHL

*UDGXO

GH

RPRJHQLWDWH

VH

GHWHUPLQ

FX

DMXWRUXO

FRHILFLHQWXOXL

GH

YDULD LH

SHQWUX

GHWHUPLQDUHD F UXLD VXQW QHFHVDUH R VHULH GH FDOFXOH SUHDODELOH

Media ( x ):

&DOFXOXO RELQXLW

x=

xi ni
i =1 r

ni
i =1

2140 = 21,4 mil. lei / agent economic 100

Calcul simplificat:

x=

xi a h i =1
r

ni
i =1

h + a =

15 4 + 22 = 21,4 mil. lei/agent economic 100

$EDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU

d ):

d=

i =1

xi x ni

ni
i =1

392 = 3,92 mil. lei 100

Dispersia (2)

&DOFXO RELQXLW

( xi x ) 2 ni = ni

2284 = 22,84 100

Calculul simplificat:

i h 2 = ni
$EDWHUHD PHGLH S

x a h 2 ( x a ) 2 = 145 16 (21,4 22)2 = 22,84 100


WUDWLF

=
2

22,84 = 4,789 mil.lei


)

&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH Y VDX Y

d 3,92 100 = 100 = 18,32% x 21,4 4,78 v = 100 = 100 = 22,33% x 21,4 v=
5H]XOW F VHULD UHSUH]HQWkQG JUXSD D ,, D HVWH RPRJHQ

LDU PHGLD HVWH UHSUH]HQWDWLY 

3. Pentru a determina gradul de asimetrie al grupei a II-a vom calcula coeficientul de asimetrie propus de Pearson (Cas):
C as = x Mo

M 0 = x0 + h

1 1 + 2

= 20 + 4

( 30 25 ) ( 30 25 ) + ( 30 20 )

= 21,33 mil. lei

C as =
5H]XOW F

21 , 4 21 , 33 4 , 78

= 0,0146

VHULD HVWH DSURDSH VLPHWULF 

4. Pe baza regulii de adunare a dispersiilor se pot calcula doi indicatori statistici: - JUDGXO GH GHWHUPLQD LH R 2 / x ); y JUDGXO GH QHGHWHUPLQD LH

K y / x ).

3HQWUX D GHWHUPLQD DFHWL LQGLFDWRUL HVWH QHFHVDU V

VH FDOFXOH]H

PHGLL GH JUXS

( yi )

y j n ij
yi =
j =1

n ij
j =1

y1 =

10 8 + 14 20 + 18 12 = 14,4 mil.lei/agent economic 8 + 20 + 12


 PLOOHL DJHQW HFRQRPLF D IRVW FDOFXODW OD SFW

y2 =

2.).

y3 =

18 8 + 22 35 + 26 12 + 30 5 = 22,93 mil.lei/ agent economic 8 + 35 + 12 + 5


(y)

PHGLD JHQHUDO

y=

y j n. j
j =1 m

n. j
j =1

10 8 + 14 35 + 18 45 + 22 65 + 26 32 + 30 15 = 200

= 20 , 46 mil. lei/agent economic

GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS

i2 =

( y j yi ) 2 nij
j =1

nij
j =1
2

(10 14,4) 2 8 + (14 14,4) 2 20 + (18 14,4) 2 12 = 7,84 8 + 20 + 12


2.)
2 2 2

=  FDOFXODW
2 2

OD SXQFWXO

3 =
2

(18 22,93) 8 + (22 2,93) 35 + (26 22,93) 12 + (30 22,93) 5 = 9,79 8 + 35 + 12 + 5

PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

( 2 )

2 =

i2 ni .
i =1 r

ni .
i =1

7,84 10 + 22,84 100 + 9,79 60 = 15,925 200

dispersia dintre grupe (2)

=
2

(yi y0 )2 ni .
i=1

ni .
i=1

(144 2046)2 40+ (214 2046)2 100+ (2293 2046 2 60 , , , , , , ) = = 200

= 9,62

GLVSHUVLD WRWDO

( 2 )

2 = 2 + 2 = 9,62 + 15,92 = 25,54


Se pot calcula doi indicatori statistici:
JUDGXO GH GHWHUPLQD LH

2 Ry / x =

9,62 2 100 = 100 = 37,67% 2 25,54

gradul de nHGHWHUPLQD LH

2 y/r

2 2

100 =

15 , 92 100 = 62 , 33% 25 , 54
F YDULD LD SURILWXOXL SH WRWDO HVWH LQIOXHQ DW GH YDULD LD

'LQ DQDOL]D FHORU GRL LQGLFDWRUL VH REVHUY vQ SURSRU LH PDL PLF IDFWRULORU QHvQUHJLVWUD 

GH YDULD LD FLIUHL GH DIDFHUL L vQ SURSRU LH GH 

i.

5.

0HGLD L GLVSHUVLD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL FX XQ SURILW GH SHVWH  PLOLRDQH OHL

p=

m 32 + 15 47 = = = 0,235 n 200 200

2 = p(1-p) = 0,235(1-0,235) = 0,1797. p

3.

Dintr-XQ VRQGDM VWDWLVWLF GH 


*UXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS GH VDODULD L QXP UXO

GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO

V DX RE LQXW GDWH

le:
Tabelul 4. Total

6XEJUXSH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL GXS

ULPHD SURILWXOXL

A Sub 20 20-40 4 L SHVWH Total

Sub 12 1 8 8

12-16 2 20 15 35

(mil. lei) 16-20 20-24 3 4 12 25 30 8 35 45 65

24-28 5 20 12 32

 L SHVWH

6 10 5 15

7 40 100 60 200

Se cere: 1. 2.
V V VH FDOFXOH]H PHGLD L GLVSHUVLD SHQWUX GLVWULEX LD DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GXS VH HVWLPH]H OLPLWHOH vQWUH GDF FDUH VH YRU VH vQFDGUD SURILWXO FX PHGLX R L SURILWXO GH P ULPHD WRWDO vQ

profitului; coOHFWLYLWDWHD (z = 3); 3. 4.


V VXW JHQHUDO UH]XOWDWHOH JDUDQWHD] SUREDELOLWDWH  VH GHWHUPLQH FkW OD 

FDUH YD IL YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL GDF

HURDUHD OLPLW

FUHWH FX 

VH FDOFXOH]H GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH SULQ SURFHGHHOH FXQRVFXWH L V GLQ YDULD LD SURILWXOXL VH GDWRUHD]

GHRVHELULORU SULYLQG QXP UXO GH VDODULD L

Rezolvare 1.
&DOFXOXO PHGLHL L GLVSHUVLHL SH WRWDO

y=

y j nij nij

10 8 + 14 35 + 18 45 + 22 65 + 26 32 + 30 15 = 8 + 35 + 45 + 65 + 32 + 15

=20,46 mil.lei/agent economic

2 y

( y j y ) = n . j

n. j

( 10 20 , 46 ) 2 8 + ( 14 20 , 46 ) 2 35 + ( 18 20 , 46 ) 2 65 200 = 25 , 54

( 26 20 , 46 ) 2 32 + 30 20 , 46 ) 2 15 200

2. La sondajul stratificat, indicatorii de selHF LH VH FDOFXOHD]


JUXS

XWLOL]kQG PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH

 SHQWUX GHWHUPLQDUHD F UHLD VXQW QHFHVDUH XUP WRDUHOH FDOFXOH

PHGLL GH JUXS

yi =

y j nij nij
10 8 + 14 20 + 18 12 = 14,4 mil.lei / agent economic 40 14 15 + 18 25 + 22 30 + 26 20 + 30 10 = 21,4 mil.lei / agent economic 100
18 8 + 22 35 + 26 12 + 30 5 = 22,93 mil.lei / agent economic 60

y1 =

y2 =

y3 =

GLVSHUVLL GH JUXS

i2 =
12 =

(y j yi )2 nij nij

(10 14,4) 2 8 + (14 14,4) 2 20 + (18 14,4) 2 12 = 7,84 40 (14 21,4) 2 15 + (18 21,4) 2 15 + (22 21,4) 2 30 + (26 21,4) 2 20 2 2 = + 100 (30 21,4) 2 10 + = 22,84 100 (18 22,93) 2 8 + (22 22,93) 2 35 + (26 22,93) 2 12 + (30 22,93) 2 5 2 3 = = 9,79 60

PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

7,84 40 + 22,84 100 + 9,79 60 = 15,925 200

Eroarea medie de reprezentativitate:

y =

2 n 15,925 200 1 = 1 = 0,07166 = 0,2676 mil. lei n N 200 2000


PD[LP DGPLV

(URDUHD OLPLW

y = z y = z

n 2 1 =30,2676 = 0,803 n N


Intervalul n care va fi cuprins profitul mediu vQ WRWDO FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO

y y < y0 < y + y
20,46 0,803 < y 0 < 20,46 + 0,803 19,657 mil. lei/agent economic < y 0 < 21,263 mil. lei/agent economic Intervalul n care va fi cuprins profitul total: N( y - y ) < 200019,657<

y
i =1

< N( y - y )

2000

yi < 2000 21,263


i =1 2000 i =1

39314 mil.lei <

yi

< 42526 mil.lei

3. Volumul noXOXL HDQWLRQ vQ FD]XO vQ FDUH HURDUHD OLPLW n = z2


2

VH P UHWH FX 

( )
y

y2 N

, unde: - HVWH PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

(URDUHD OLPLW

P ULW

FX 

y = 0,803 + 0,2 0,803 = 0,9636


n = 3 2 15 , 925 ( 0 , 9636 ) 2 + 3 2 15 , 925 2000 = 143 , 325 1 , 00016 =  DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL

4.
Dintr-un sondaj organizat n cadrul unei S.C. se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 5.
*UXSH GH PXQFLWRUL GXS QXP U GH RUH

Nr. muncitori 1 30 60 10 100




3URGXF LD PHGLH

&RHILFLHQW GH YDULD LH

lucrate lunar A 150 160 170 Total


WLLQG F QHUHSHWDW HDQWLRQXO UHSUH]LQW

(buc./muncitor) 2 25 30 32 -

(%) 3 10 25 8 -

GLQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO

L D IRVW H[WUDV SULQ VHOHF LH

VH FHUH V V V V VH YHULILFH JUDGXO GH RPRJHQLWDWH DO HDQWLRQXOXL VH FDOFXOH]H vQWUH FH OLPLWH VH YD vQFDGUD SURGXF LD WRWDO VH GHWHUPLQH P ULPHD HDQWLRQXOXL SHQWUX R QRX vQ FROHFWLYLWDWHD JHQHUDO  VH YRU IRORVL DFHOHDL

1. 2. 3. 4.

probabilitatea fiind de 0,9545 (z = 2);


VHOHF LH GDF FX   FRQGL LL GH OD SXQFWXO  LDU HURDUHD OLPLW VH PLFRUHD] VH UHSDUWL]H]H YROXPXO QRXOXL HDQWLRQ SH JUXSH GXS QXP UXO GH RUH OXFUDWH FRQIRUP

SURFHGHXOXL VHOHF LHL WLSLFH SURSRU LRQDOH L RSWLPH

Rezolvare 1.
6H FDOFXOHD] FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH SH WRWDO HDQWLRQ

v=

100 , y

unde: y - HVWH PHGLD HDQWLRQXOXL - HVWH DEDWHUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF

3HQWUX D U VSXQGH FHULQ HL HVWH QHFHVDU

FDOFXODUHD vQ SUHDODELO D XUP WRULORU LQGLFDWRUL

media pe total

y=

y i ni
i =1 r

ni
i =1

25 30 + 30 60 + 32 10 = 28,7 buc./muncitor 30 + 60 + 10

dispersia dintre grupe ( )

( y i
i =1

y0

)2

ni
=

( 25 28 , 7 ) 2 30 + ( 30 28 , 7 ) 2 60 + ( 32 28 , 7 ) 2 10 30 + 60 + 10

n i
i =1

621 = 6 , 21 100 ( i2 )
2

GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS

vi =

i v y 100 i2 = i i yi 100

2 1 = 6,25

2 = 56,25 2
2 3 = 6,5536

PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

( 2 )

2 =

i2 ni
i =1 r

ni
i =1

2 =

6,25 30 + 56,25 60 + 6,5536 10 3628,04 = = 36,28 30 + 60 + 10 100


VH FDOFXOHD] XWLOL]kQG UHJXOD GH DGXQDUH D GLVSHUVLLORU

GLVSHUVLD WRWDO

2 = 2 + 2 = 6,21 + 36,28 = 42,49

DEDWHUHD PHGLH S

WUDWLF

= 2 = 42,49 = 6,518 buc.


&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

:
HDQWLRQXO HVWH RPRJHQ

v=

6,518 100 = 22,71% < 35% 28,7

2.

6H FDOFXOHD] 

eroarea medie de reprezentativitate ( y )


n 36,28 100 2 y = 1 = 1 = 0,3265 = 0,57 buc. n N 100 1000

HURDUHD OLPLW

(y)

y = z y = 2 0,57 = 1,14 buc.


,QWHUYDOXO GH vQFUHGHUH SHQWUX SURGXF LD WRWDO

N ( y0 y ) < yi < N ( y0 + y )
i =1

1000 (28,7 1,14) < 28560 buc. <


3.
1000 i =1

1000 i =1

yi < 1000) 28,7 1,14)

yi < 29840 buc.


n):

9ROXPXO QRXOXL HDQWLRQ

n =

2 2

+ z

2 2

( )
y

, unde :

y = y 0,25 y = 1,14 0,285 = 0,855 buc.

n=

2 2 36,28 129,12 129,12 = = 150 muncitori 2 0,86 2 36,28 0,731 + 0,12913 2 (0,855) + 1000

Q FRQGL LLOH XQHL HURUL PD[LPH GH

 EXF YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL WUHEXLH V

ILH

format din 150 de muncitori.

4.

3HQWUX

UHSDUWL]DUHD

SH

JUXSH

YROXPXOXL

QRXOXL

HDQWLRQ

FRQIRUP

VHOHF LHL

WLSLFH

SURSRU LRQDOH L RSWLPH VH vQWRFPHWH XUP WRUXO WDEHO

Tabelul 6. Grupe de muncitori


GXS QXP UXO GH

Nr. muncitori n colectivitatea


JHQHUDO

Ni N i

ore lucrate lunar A 150 160 170 Total

= N i*

iNi
3 750 4500 256

i Ni
i N i
4 0,1362 0,8173 0,0465 1,00

1 300 600 100

2 0,3 0,6 0,1

Ni= 1000
VHOHF LD WLSLF SURSRU LRQDO

N*i= 1,00

i N i
i =1

= 5506

n1 = 45 Ni ni = n = n2 = 90 N i n3 = 15

VHOHF LD WLSLF

RSWLP

n i = n

i Ni

i N i
i =1

n 1 = 20 , 43 20 = n 2 = 122 , 59 123 n 3 = 6 , 975 7

5.
6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH SULYLQG HYROX LD H[SRUWXOXL WRWDO GH P UIXUL GLQ 5RPkQLD vQ

perioada 1991 2000.


Tabelul 7. Anii
0RGLILFDUH UHODWLY ID

1992 2,27

1993 12,13

1994 25,74

1995 28,6

1996 2,21

1997 4,28

1998 -1,53

1999 2,42

2000 21,92

de anul precedent (%)

Se cere: 1.
V VH UHFRQVWLWXLH VHULD GH YDORUL DEVROXWH WLLQG F H[SRUWXO D FUHVFXW vQ DQXO  ID GH

anul 1995 cu 2457 mil.$; 2. V VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL 3. V VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF VHULD 4. s VH DMXVWH]H HYROX LD H[SRUWXOXL vQWUH DQLL  2000 printr-XQ SURFHGHX PHFDQLF L unul analitic; 5. V VH VWDELOHDVF FDUH GLQ FHOH GRX SURFHGHH H[SULP FHO PDL ELQH WHQGLQ D vQ SHULRDGD
UHVSHFWLY 

6.

VH DMXVWH]H HYROX LD H[SRUWXOXL vQWUH DQLL 

-1995 printr-XQ

SURFHGHX PHFDQLF L

unul analitic.

Rezolvare 1.
3HQWUX D UHFRQVWLWXL VHULD GH YDORUL DEVROXWH VH FDOFXOHD] PDL vQWkL LQGLFLL FX ED]D vQ ODQ SRUQLQG GH OD XQD GLQ IRUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO DOH ULWPXULORU GH FUHWHUH FX ED]D vQ ODQ 

Rt / t 1 = I t / t 1(%) 100 ,
de unde: It/t-1(%) = Rt/t-1 + 100 I1992/1991 = 2,27 + 100 = 102,27% I1993/1992 = 12,13 + 100 = 112,13%  I2000/1999 = 21,92 + 100 = 121,92%
,QGLFLL GH GLQDPLF VXQW WUHFX L vQ WDEHOXO 

Tabelul 8. Anii
,QGLFLL GH GLQDPLF vQ ODQ FX ED]D

1992 102,27

1993 112,13

1994 125,74

1995 128,6

1996 102,21

1997 104,28

1998 98,47

1999 102,42

2000 121,92

3OHFkQG GH OD UHOD LD vQWUH LQGLFL

It/t-1 = It/1 I1996/1995 I1997/1996 I1998/1997 I1999/1998 I2000/1999 = I2000/1995

VH RE LQH

I2000/1995 = 1,0221 1,0428 0,9847 1,0242 1,2192 = 1,3106

Deci:

y 2000 = 1 , 3106 y 1995 y 2000 y 1995 = 2457


(vezi tabelul 9).

y 1995 7910 mil. $ y 2000 10367 mil. $


FXQRVFXW

6H UHFRQVWLWXLH vQWUHDJD VHULH GH YDORUL DEVROXWH SH ED]D LQGLFLORU FX ED]D vQ ODQ

Tabelul 9. Anii
([SRUW WRWDO GH P UIXUL

1991 4266

1992 4363

1993 4892

1994 6151

1995 7910

1996 8085

1997 8431

1998 8302

1999 8503

2000 10367

(mil. $)

2. Indicatorii medii:

nivelul mediu
y=

yt
n

71270 = 7127 mil. $ 10

PRGLILFDUHD PHGLH DEVROXW

y n y1 n 1

10367 4266 677 , 89 mil. $ 9

indicele PHGLX GH GLQDPLF

I = n 1

yn y1

=9

10367 = 1 , 10369 sau 110,369% 4266

ritmul mediu

R = ( I 1 ) 100 = (1,10369 1) 100 = 10,369%.


3.
5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF VH IDFH SULQ FURQRJUDP KLVWRULRJUDP 

10400 9600 8800 8000


Export (mil.$)

7200 6400 5600 4800 4000 3200

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995
Anii

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

)LJXUD 

(YROX LD H[SRUWXOXL GH P

UIXUL vQ SHULRDGD 

-2000

4. Ajustarea termenilor seriei pe perioada 1991 2000:

0HWRGD PHFDQLF SHQWUX PHWRGD PRGLILF ULL PHGLL DEVROXWH FDUH VH DMXVWHD] WHUPHQLL VHULHL

6H RSWHD]

5HOD LD GXS

Yti = y1 + (t 1)
5H]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH

sunt trecute n tabelul 10., coloana 2.


Tabelul 10.

Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total

yt
1 4266 4363 4892 6151 7910 8085 8431 8302 8503 10367

0HWRGD PRGLILF ULL PHGLHL DEVROXWH

Y t i = 4266 + 677 , 89 ( t 1 )

( yt Yti )
3

yt = 71270

2 Y1 = 4266 + 677,89(1-1) = 4266 Y2 = 4266 + 677,89(2-1) = 4943,89 Y3 = 5621,78 Y4 = 6299,67 Y5 = 6977,56 Y6 = 7655,45 Y7 = 8333,34 Y8 = 9011,23 Y9 = 9689,12 Y10 = 10367 Y t i = 73165

0,0 337433,19 532578,85 22102,77 869444,35 184513,20 9537,47 503007,19 1406880,65 0,0 2 ( y t Y t i ) = 3865497,67

Metoda anaOLWLF

3HQWUX DMXVWDUH YRP DSOLFD R UHOD LH GH WLS OLQLDU

Y t i = a + bti Pentru calculul parametrilor a L b IRORVLP PHWRGD FHORU PDL PLFL S


WUDWH

[yi (a + b ti )]

= min

6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL HVWH

n n na + b t i = y i i =1 i =1 n n n a t +b t 2 = i i y i t i i =1 i =1 i =1

Cu conGL LD ti = 0 sistemul devine:


n na = y i i =1 n n b t 2 = i yi t i i =1 i =1

a=

yi
i =1

; b=

yiti
i =1

t i2
i =1

&DOFXOHOH QHFHVDUH UH]ROY ULL VLVWHPXOXL VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO 

Tabelul 11. Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total

yt
1 4266 4363 4892 6151 7910 8085 8431 8302 8503 10367

0HWRGD DQDOLWLF

ti
2 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 1 3 5 7 9

2 i

yiti
4 -38394 -30541 -24460 -18453 -7910 8085 25293 41510 59521 93303

Y t i = a + bti
5 Y1 = 7127+1327,13(-9)=4182,83 Y2 = 7127+327,13(-7)=4837,09 Y3 = 5491,35 Y4 = 6145,61 Y5 = 6799,87 Y6 = 7454,13 Y7 = 8108,39 Y8 = 8762,65 Y9 = 9416,91 Y10 = 10071,17

( yt Yti ) 2
6 6912,25 224761,32 359220,42 29,05 1232388,62 397996,96 104077,21 212198,42 835231,49 87515,39

3 81 49 25 9 1 1 9 25 49 81

yi = 71270 ti =0 t i2 =330 yiti =107954 Y t i =71270

( y t Yt )
i

=3460336,13

10 a = 71270 330 b = 107954

a=

71270 = 7127 10 107954 = 327,13 330

b=

5. Pentru alegerea FHOHL PDL DGHFYDWH PHWRGH VH FRPSDU  n n volumul total empiric y i cu cel teoretic Y t i ; i =1 i =1 2 (yi - Y t i ) VH UH LQH PHWRGD FDUH vQGHSOLQHWH FRQGL LD GH PLQLP

FRHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH FDOFXOD L GXS I

ormula:

vy =
t

yt
y

100 , unde: yt =

( y i Yti ) 2 n

6H DOHJH PHWRGD FX FHO PDL PLF FRHILFLHQW GH YDULD LH &DOFXOHOH LQWHUPHGLDUH QHFHVDUH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOHOH  FRORDQD  L WDEHOXO 

coloana 6, iar rezultatele n tabelul 12.


Tabelul 12. Nr. crt. 0 1 2 Metoda de ajustare 1
0RGLILFDUHD PHGLH DEVROXW

Y t

(yi - Y t )2
i

yt
4 621,73 588,25

Vyt(%)
5 8,72 8,25

Trend liniar
QWUH FHOH GRX PHWRGH H[LVW

2 73165 71270
R GLIHUHQ

3 3865497,67 3460336,13
IRDUWH PLF

vQ IDYRDUHD WUHQGXOXL OLQLDU

6. ajustarea termenilor seriei pe perioada 1991 1995

0HWRGD PHFDQLF SHQWUX PHWRGD LQGLFHOXL PHGLX GXS UHOD LD

6H RSWHD]

7HUPHQLL VHULHL VH DMXVWHD]

Y t i = y1 I

( t 1 )

Indicele mediu este:


y 1995 y 1991 7910 = 1 , 1669 sau 116,69% 4266

I = n 1

=4

6HULD GH GDWH L WHUPHQLL DMXVWD L SULQ DFHDVW

PHWRG

VXQW WUHFXWH vQ WDEHOXO 

Tabelul 13. Valori ajustate prin metoda indicelui mediu Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Total
( t 1 )

yi
1 4266 4363 4892 6151 7910

Y t i = y1 I

(yi -Y t i )2
3 0 378274,2 840742,3 393743,7 0 1.612.760,0

2 Y1 = 4266 1,1669(1-1) = 4266 Y2 = 4266 1,1669(2-1) = 4978,04 Y3 = 5808,92 Y4 = 6778,40 Y5 = 7910

yi = 27582

Y t i = 29741,45

Metoda analitLF
*UDILFXO GLQ ILJXUD  DUDW SHQWUX DFHDVW SHULRDG R WHQGLQ GH HYROX LH GH WLS

parabolic.
$MXVWDUHD VH IDFH GXS UHOD LD

Y ti = a + bti + cti2
6H DSOLF PHWRGD FHORU PDL PLFL S WUDWH SHQWUX FDOFXOXO SDUDPHWULORU

a, b, c.

SLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL HVWH


na + bt i + ct i2 = y i 2 3 at i + bt i + ct i = y i t i at 2 + bt 3 + ct 4 = y t 2 i i i i i
'DF

ti = 0 sistemul devine:

na + ct i2 = y i 2 bt i = y i t i at 2 + ct 4 = y t 2 i i i i
&DOFXOHOH QHFHVDUH UH]ROY ULL VLVWHPXOXL GH HFXD LL VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO 

Tabelul 14. Anii 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Total

yi
1 4266 4363 4892 6151 7910 -2 -1 0 1 2

9DORUL DMXVWDWH SULQ PHWRGD DQDOLWLF

ti
2 4 1 0 1 4

2 i

t
16 1 0 1 16

4 i

yiti
5 -8532 -4363 0 6151 15820

yit i2
6 17064 4363 0 6151 31640

Y t i =a+bti+ cti2
7 4280,34 4319,23 7939,26 6134,43 7910,74

(yi-Y t i )2
8 196 1915,81 2048,47 274,56 0,55

yi=27582

ti=0

t i =10

t i =34

yiti=9076

yit i =59218

Y t i =27582

(yi-Y t i )2=
=4435,39

5 a + 10 c = 27582 10 b = 9076 10 a + 34 c = 59218

a = 4937,26 b = 907,6 c = 289,57


3HQWUX DOHJHUHD FHOHL PDL DGHFYDWH PHWRGH VH FRPSDU 

n n volumul total empiric y i cu cel teoretic Yt i ; i =1 i =1


VXPD S WUDWHORU GLIHUHQ HORU GLQWUH YDORULOH HPSLULFH L FHOH WHRUHWLFH VH UH LQH PHWRGD FDUH vQGHSOLQHWH FRQGL LD GH PLQLP  FRHILFLHQ LL GH YDULD LH FDOFXOD L GXS IRUPXOD

v yt =

yt

100 , unde:

y t

( y i Yt i ) 2 n

CaOFXOHOH LQWHUPHGLDUH QHFHVDUH coloana 7, iar rezultatele n tabelul 15..

VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOHOH  FRORDQD  L WDEHOXO 

Tabelul 15. Nr. crt. 0 1. 2. Metoda de ajustare 1 Metoda indicelui mediu Trend parabolic

Y t

(yi-Y t )2
i

yt

v y t (%)
5 10,29 0,54

2 29741,45 27582

3 1.612.760,2 4435,39
LQGLF

4 567,94 29,78

&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH FX YDORDUHD FHD PDL PLF SRWULYLW  Q FD]XO QRVWUX IXQF LD SDUDEROLF

PHWRGD GH DMXVWDUH FHD PDL

GH JUDGXO ,, DMXVWHD]

FHO PDL ELQH VHULD GH GDWH

6.
3HQWUX WUHL VRFLHW L FRPHUFLDOH VH FXQRVF GDWHOH

Tabelul 16. Societate


FRPHUFLDO 9DORDUHD SURGXF LHL vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH

Modificarea
SUH XULORU

Dinamica volumului fizic


DO SURGXF LHL

1U GH VDODULD L

Perioada de
ED]

3HULRDGD FXUHQW

(mil. lei) 0 A B C 1 500 1200 300 2 +50 +80 +100

(PC) 5 45 150 58

(%) 3 80 100 90

(PB) 4 50 150 60

Se cere: 1. LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL SUH XULORU L DL YDORULL 2. indicii de grup ai YDORULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L DO SUH XULORU 3. PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY L DEVROXW D YDORULL SURGXF LHL FX HYLGHQ LHUHD LQIOXHQ HL IDFWRULORU 4. LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL L GH JUXS DL QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L 5. SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL SH ILHFDUH VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO L SH WRWDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH 6. LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL L GH JUXS DL SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL 7. PRGLILFDUHD UHODWLY L DEVROXW D SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL D PXQFLL FX HYLGHQ LHUHD
IDFWRULORU GH LQIOXHQ  SH VHDPD SURGXFWLYLW LL L D  SHQWUX QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L FX

8. 9.

PRGLILFDUHD V

SURGXF LHL

GHVFRPSXQHUHD SH GRL IDFWRUL L SH WUHL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ VH UHSUH]LQWH JUDILF SURGXF LD SH WRWDO  FD]XO D GRL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ

LQkQG VHDPD GH IDFWRULL GH LQIOXHQ

Rezolvare 1.
)RUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO L UH]XOWDWHOH FDOFXOHORU SH ED]D GDWHORU GLQ HQXQ  VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  L  

Tabelul 17. Societatea


FRPHUFLDO 9DORDUHD SURGXF LHL vQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW

p1q1)

r 1/ 0
2 +50 +80 +100
GH

0 A B C Total

(mil.lei) 1 500 1200 300 2000

p p i 1 / 0 =r 1 / 0 +100 q i% (%)

p q pq v iv=ipiq i (%) p0q0= 1 v 1 p0q1= 1p 1 i

3 150 180 200


JUXS WUHEXLH

4 80 100 90
RE LQXWH

5 1,2 1,8 1,8

6 120 180 180

7 416,667 666,667 166,667 1250


LQIRUPD LL

8 333,333 666,667 150 1150


YDORDUHD

2. Pentru calculul indiciORU

XUP WRDUHOH

SURGXF LHL vQ SHULRDGD GH ED]

p0q0  YDORDUHD SURGXF LHL vQ SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH p0q1).

5H]XOWDWHOH FDOFXOHORU VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  L 

I 1/ 0

v ( p ,q )

p1 q1 p0q0

2000 = 1 , 6 sau 160% 1250

v(q) I 1/ 0

i q p 0 q 0 = p0 q0
= i p 1 q 1 1
p

1150 = 0 , 92 sau 92% 1250

I 1/ 0

v( p)

p1 q1

2000 2000 = = 1 , 7391 sau 173,91% 500 1200 300 1150 + + 1, 5 1, 8 2

3.

PRGLILF

: v(q) pentru factorul cantitativ: Rv(q) = I (%) - 100 = - 8% pentru factorul calitativ: Rv(p) = I (%) - 100 = + 73,91%
v(p)
v( p pe total: Rv(p,q) = I (%) , q ) - 100 = + 60%

ULOH UHODWLYH

PRGLILF

: pe seama factorului cantitativ: v ( q ) = i q p 0 q 0 p 0 q 0 = - 100 mil. lei 1 pe seama factorului calitativ: v ( p ) = p1q1 p p1q1 = 850 mil. lei i v( p,q ) = p1q1 p 0q 0 = 750 mil. lei pe total:
DVWIHO

ULOH DEVROXWH

4.

,QGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL L GH JUXS DL QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L VH FDOFXOHD]

T i 1/ 0

45 50 = 0 , 9 sau 90% pentru SC " A" T1 150 = = 1 sau 100% pentru SC " B" T0 150 58 60 = 0 , 9667 sau 96,67% pentru SC " C"

T I 1/ 0 =

T 1 T 0

253 = 0 , 9731 sau 97,31% 260

5.

VRFLHWDWH FRPHUFLDO

)RUPXOHOH GH FDOFXO L UH]XOWDWHOH FDOFXOHORU SHQWUX SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL SH ILHFDUH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  L 

Tabelul 18. SC A A B C Total

p0q0
1 416,667 666,667 166,667 1250

p0q1
2 333,333 666,667 150 1150

T0
3 50 150 60 260

T1
4 45 150 58 253

w0 =

p0 q0 T0

w1 =

p 0 q1 T1

iw=

w1 w0

w0T1
8 373,985 666,600 161,067 1202,652

iT
9 0,9 1 0,9667 0,9731

5 8,333 4,444 2,777 4,808 p 0 q 0

6 7,407 4,444 2,586 4,545

7 0,8889 1 0,9312 0,9453

p 0 q 1 T1
LL PHGLL D PXQFLL WUHEXLH FDOFXODWH

T 0

6.
SURGXFWLYLW

,QGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL SURGXFWLYLW LOH PHGLL SH WRWDO DVWIHO

3HQWUX FDOFXOXO LQGLFLORU GH JUXS DL SURGXFWLYLW

LL PXQFLL VXQW SUH]HQWD L vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQD 

w0 =

w 0 T 0 T 0
w 1 T 1 T 1
w 0 T 1 T 1

p 0 q 0 T 0

= 4 , 808 mil.lei/salariat

w1 =
w* =

p 0 q 1 T 1

= 4 , 545 mil.lei/salariat

1202 , 652 = 4 , 753 mil.lei/salariat 253

3H ED]D DFHVWRUD VH FDOFXOHD]

XUP WRULL LQGLFDWRUL

I SV

w ( w ,g T )

w1 w0 =

4 , 545 4 , 808

= 0 , 9453

VDX 

LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU

YDULDELO

I VS

w( g

w* w0 =

4 , 753 4 , 808

= 0 , 9896

VDX 

LQGLFHOH YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL

I SF

w(w)

w1 w*

4 , 545 = 0 , 9562 4 , 753

VDX 

LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU

IL[ 

7. Pe baza indicilor de grup se pot calcula:

PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH

w ( w ,g w ( g
T

= w 1 w 0 = 4 , 545 4 , 808 = 0 , 263 mil. lei

= w * w 0 = 4 , 753 4 , 808 = 0 , 055 mil. lei

w ( w ) = w 1 w * = 4 , 545 4 , 753 = 0 , 208 mil. lei

PRGLILF

ULOH UHODWLYH

R w ( w ,g Rw(g
T

= 5 , 47%

= 1 , 14%

R w ( w ) = 4 , 38%

8.

D 'HVFRPSXQHUHD SURGXF LHL SH GRL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ

VH SRDWH UHDOL]D

n mai multe

moduri: * Varianta I
I Q ( w ,T ) =
L

w1 T1 = p 0 q 1 w0 T0 p 0 q 0
= 1202 , 652 1250

= 0 , 92 sau 92% R Q ( w ,T ) = 8%

Q ( w ,T ) = 100 mil. lei

I Q(T ) =
L

w 0 T1 w0 T0 w1 T 1 w0T 1

= 0 , 9621 sau 96 , 21% R Q ( T ) = 3 , 79%

Q ( T ) = 47 , 348 mil. lei = 1150 = 0 , 9562 sau 95 , 62% R Q ( w ) = 4 , 38% 1202 , 652

I Q(w) =
L

Q ( w ) = 52 , 652 mil. lei

Varianta II
I Q ( w ,T ) =
L

T 1 w 0 T 0
w1

= 0 , 92 sau 92% , R Q ( w ,T ) = 8%

Q ( w ,T ) = 100 mil.lei

I Q ( T ) =

w0

T 1 w 0 T 0

= 0 , 9731 sau 97 , 31%, R Q ( T ) = 2 , 69%

Q ( T ) = ( T 1 T 0 ) w 0 = ( 253 260 ) 4 , 808 = 33 , 656 mil. lei I Q(w) =

T1 w 0 T 1
w1

= 0 , 94531 sau 94 , 53%, R Q ( w ) = 5 , 47%

Q ( w ) = ( w 1 w 0 ) T 1 = ( 4 , 545 4 , 808 ) 253 = 66 , 539 mil. lei

Verificare:
I
Q ( w ,T )

=I

= 0,9453 0,9731=0,9199 0,92




E 'HVFRPSXQHUHD SURGXF LHL WRWDOH SH WUHL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ

Q ( w , g T ,T )

w 1 g 1T T 1 = T w 0 g 0 T 1
= w0

= 0 , 92 sau 92%, Q ( w , g

, T )

100 mil. lei

Q ( T )

T w 0 g 0 T 1 = T w 0 g 0 T 0

T1 w 0 T 0

= 0 , 9731 sau 97 , 31%,

Q ( T ) = ( T 1 T 0 ) w 0 = 33 , 656 mil. lei

Q( gT )

w 0 g 1T T1 = T w 0 g 0 T1

T1 w 0 T1
w*

= 0 , 9886 sau 98 , 86%,

Q ( g

= ( w * w 0 ) T 1 = 0 , 055 253 = 13 , 915 mil.lei

I Q(w) =

w 1 g 1T T1 w 0 g 1T T1

T1 w * T1
w1

= 0 , 9562 sau 95 , 62%

Q ( w ) = ( w 1 w * ) T 1 = 0 , 208 253 = 52 , 624 mil. lei

9.

9DORDUHD

SURGXF LHL

vQ FHOH GRX

SHULRDGH vQ IXQF LH FH SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PHGLH L

GH

QXP UXO GH VDODULD L

p0q0 = w 0 T 0 = 4,808 260 1250 mil. lei p0q1 = w1 T1 = 4,545 253 1150 mil. lei

PentrX UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF


VH IRORVHWH GUHSWXQJKLXO

D SURGXF LHL SH WRWDO vQ IXQF LH GH FHL GRL IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ

L: (1 cm = 1 milion lei)
O  FP  VDODULD L

1250 mil. lei

 VDODULD L

 VDODULD

1150 mil. lei

4,808 mil. lei


3HULRDGD GH ED]

4,545 mil. lei


3HULRDGD FXUHQW

7.
Se cunosc datele:
Tabelul 19. Firma 0 A B C Total Fond de salarii (mil. lei) )60) Perioada cuUHQW 1 2 750 567 900 828 310 335 1960 1730
1XP )61 U VDODULD L

3HULRDGD GH ED]

3HULRDGD GH ED]

70

3HULRDGD FXUHQW

71

3 300 250 100 650

4 210 230 100 540

Se cere: 1. 2. 3. 4.
V V V V IL[ VH FDOFXOH]H LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL DL IRQGXOXL GH VDODULL L DL QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L VH FDOFXOH]H VDODULLOH PHGLL SH ILHFDUH ILUP vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH L LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL D DFHVWXLD L

ai salariului mediu;
VH FDOFXOH]H GLQDPLFD IRQGXOXL GH VDODULL SH WRWDO PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW VH FDOFXOH]H VDOD FRQWULEX LD IDFWRULORU GHWHUPLQDQ L

riul mediu pe total (la nivel de ansamblu al celor 3 firme), pe cele


YDULDELO  FX VWUXFWXU

GRX V V

SHULRDGH L LQGLFLL GH JUXS DL VDODULXOXL PHGLX FX VWUXFWXU L DL YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL  

5. 6.

VH FDOFXOH]H PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH DOH VDODULXOXL PHGLX SH WRWDO L FRQWULEX LD IDFWRULORU VH FDOFXOH]H VDODULXO PHGLX SH WRWDO vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH L LQGLFLL VDODULXOXL PHGLX

GH LQIOXHQ

IRORVLQG SHQWUX FDOFXOH VWUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU SH FHOH WUHL ILUPH

Rezolvare 1. Indicii individuali ai fondului de salDULL L DL QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L VH SRW FDOFXOD SH ED]D datelor din tabel: indicii fondului de salarii: 567 750 = 0,756 sau 75,6% (pentru firma " A" ) FS1 828 i1FS = = = 0,92 sau 92% (pentru firma " B" ) /0 FS 0 900 335 = 1,0806 sau 108,06% (pentru firma " C" ) 310 LQGLFLL QXP UXOXL GH VDODULD L
210 300 = 0,70 sau 70% (pentru firma " A" ) 230 T = 1 = = 0,92 sau 92% (pentru firma " B" ) T0 250 100 = 1,00 sau 100% (pentru firma " C" ) 100

T i1 / 0

2.

VDODULXO PHGLX SH ILHFDUH ILUP 

750 300 = 2500 FS 0 900 S0 = = = 3600 T0 250 310 = 3100 100 567 210 = 2700 828 FS S1 = 1 = = 3600 T1 230 335 = 3350 100

mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "A") mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "B") mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "C")

mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "A") mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "B") mii lei /salariat (pentru firma "C")

indicii individuali ai salariului mediu:


2700 2500 = 1,08 = 108% (pentru firma " A" ) 3600 S = 1 = = 1,00 = 100% (pentru firma " B" ) S 0 3600 3350 = 1,0806 = 108,06% (pentru firma " C" ) 3100

i1S/ 0

Tabelul 20. Firma 0 A B C Total Salariu mediu (mii lei/salariat) 60) 3HULRDGD FXUHQW 1 2 2500 2700 3600 3600 3100 3350 S0T1 (mii lei)
61

3HULRDGD GH ED]

) 3 525 828 310 1663

S 0 = 3015,38

S 1 = 3203,7

3.

dinamica fondului de salarii pe total LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU GHWHUPLQDQ L


I 1/ 0
FS ( S ,T )

I 1/ 0

FS ( T )

I 1/ 0

FS ( S )

FS 1 = S 1 T 1 = 1730 = 0 , 8826 sau 88 , 26% FS 0 S 0 T 0 1960 S 0 T 1 = 1663 = 0 , 8485 sau 84 , 85% = S 0 T 0 1960 S 1 T 1 = 1730 = 1 , 0403 sau 104 , 03% = S 0 T 1 1663
=
= I 1/ 0
FS ( T )

5HOD LD GH VLVWHP GLQWUH FHL WUHL LQGLFL

I 1/ 0

FS ( S ,T )

I 1/ 0

FS ( S )

0 , 8826 = 0 , 8485 1 , 0403

PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH L FRQWULEX LD IDFWRULORU

FS 1 / 0( S ,T ) = S1T1 - S0T0 = 1730 1960 = - 230 mil.lei

1 / 0 = S0T1 - S0T0 = 1663 1960 = - 297 mil.lei


FS( T )

1 / 0 = S1T1 - S0T1 = 1730 1663 = 67 mil.lei


FS( S)
5HOD LD GH VLVWHP GLQWUH PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH

FS 1 / 0( S ,T ) = 1 / 0

FS( T )

FS + 1 / 0(S)

- 230 = - 297 + 67

4.

salariul mediu pe total:

S0 =

FS 0 T0

1960 10 3 = 3015,3 mii lei/salariat 650

S1 =

FS1 = 1730 10 3 = 3203,7 650 T1


YDULDELO

mii lei/salariat

indicii de grup ai salariului mediu:


LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU

I1S/ (0S , g

S1 = S0

FS1 : FS 0 = S1T1 : S 0T0 T1 T0 T1 T0

I1S/ 0 =

3203,7 = 1,0624 sau 106,24% 3015,3


IL[

LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU

I1S/(0S ) =

S1T1 : S0T1 = 3203,7 : 1663 103 = S1 = 3203,7 = 1,0403 sau 104,03% 540 S* 3079,6 T1 T1 S 0T1 : S 0T0 T1 T0
= I1S/ (0S ) I1S/(0g
T

LQGLFHOH YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL

I1S/ (0g

S * 3079,6 = = 1,021 sau 102,1%. S 0 3015,3

5HOD LD GH VLVWHP

I1S/ (0S , g

1,0624 = 1,0213 1,0403

5.

0RGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH DOH VDODULXOXL PHGLX

S S /(0 , g 1

= S 1 S 0 = 3203,7 3015,3 = 188,4 mii lei

S /( S ) = S1 S * = 3203,7 3079,6 = 124,1 mii lei 1 0


g S /( 0 1
T

= S * S 0 = 3079,6 3015,3 = 64,3 mii lei

6H YHULILF

UHOD LD

S S /(0 , g 1

S g = S /(0 ) + S /(0 1 1

188,4 = 124,1 + 64,3 6.


6WUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU vQ FHOH GRX SHULRDGH HVWH SUH]HQWDW vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  L

4.

Tabelul 21. Salariu mediu (mii lei/salariat) Perioada Perioada de FXUHQW ED] 60) (S1) 1 2 2500 2700 3600 3600 3100 3350
6WUXFWXUD VDODULD LORU 3HULRDGD GH ED]

%)

Firma

Perioada
FXUHQW

S0g T (%) 0
5 115400 138456 47678 301534

T S1g 1 (%)

T S0g 1 (%)

(g 0 ) 3 46,16 38,46 15,38

g1 )
6 105003 153324 62042 320369 7 97225 153324 57412 307961

0 A B C Total

4 38,89 42,59 18,52


T g 1 =100,0

s 0 =3015,38

s 1 =3203,7

g T =100,0 0

salariul mediu pe total (pe ansamblul celor 3 firme): S0 =


T S 0 g 0(%)

100

301534 = 3015,34 mii lei/salariat 100

S1 =

S1 g1T(%)
100

320369 = 3203,69 mii lei/salariat 100 307961 = 3079,61 mii lei/salariat 100

S*

s0 g1T(%) =
100

indicii salariului mediu:


LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU YDULDELO 

I1s/ 0 =

s1 3203,69 = = 1,0624 sau 106,24% s0 3015,34


IL[ 

LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU

s I 1s/(0 ) =

s1 3203,69 = = 1,0403 sau 104,03% s* 3079,61

LQGLFHOH YDULD LHL VWUXFWXULL

g I 1s/(0

s* 3079,61 = = 1,0213 sau 102,13% s 0 3015,34

8.

6H FXQRVF GDWHOH PLOLDUGH OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 

Tabelul 22. VAB (miliarde lei Ramura


SUH XUL FXUHQWH 3RSXOD LD RFXSDW

Modificarea
SUH XULORU vQ

VABi 1994 0
,QGXVWULH  FRQVWUXF LL

(mii persoane) POi 1994 1996 4 3200 3290 2940 9430

1996/1994
p RVABi (%)

1996

1 2 3 21269,6 43248,9 3520 $JULFXOWXU  VLOYLFXOWXU 9897,6 20949,2 3630 Alte ramuri 14787,5 37656,1 2880 Total 45954,7 101854,2 10030 Sursa: Anuarul Statistic al Romniei, anul 1998, pag. 118, 340-342

5 +81,48 +110,82 +118,5

Se cere: 1. 2. 3.
SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL SH UDPXUL L SH vQWUHDJD HFRQ V V

omie;
LL PXQFLL SH vQWUHDJD D SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL

VH GHWHUPLQH LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU DVXSUD PRGLILF ULL SURGXFWLYLW VH GHWHUPLQH FRQWULEX LD ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW

economie; a muncii pe ntreaga economie. Rezolvare: 1. Productivitatea muncii (W)


3HQWUX FDOFXOXO SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL OD QLYHOXO UDPXULL

Wi),

SHQWUX  VH IRORVHWH

VAB vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH

Wi 0 =

VABi 0 , unde i = 1,3 POi 0 SHQWUX  VH IRORVHWH VAB vQ SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH
VAB i*1 PO i 1

Wi1 =

, unde VAB i*1 =

VAB i 1
p I VAB i

n care I VAB

(%)

= R VAB + 100
p
i

5H]XOWDWHOH FDOFXOHORU VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQHOH  L 

Tabelul 22.

Ramura 0
,QGXVWULH  FRQVWUXF LL $JULFXOWXU  VLOYLFXOWXU

I VAB
1 1,8148 2,1082 2,185

VAB i 1
i

VAB i*1
(mld.lei) 3 23831,22 9937,01 17233,91 51002,13

(mld. lei) 2 43248,9 20949,2 37656,1 101854,2

Alte ramuri Total

Productivitatea muncii (mii lei/pers.) Wi0 Wi1 4 5 6042,5 7447,2 2726,6 3020,3 5134,5 5861,8 4581,7 5408,4

Wi0POi1 6 19336 8970,514 15095,43 43401,944

Productivitatea muncii la nivelul economiei ( W

VH FDOFXOHD]

DVWIHO

W0 =

VAB i 0
i =1 3

45954 , 7.10 9 10030.10 3

= 4581 , 7 mii lei/pers.

PO i 0
i =1

W1 =

VAB i 1
i =1 3

51002 , 13.10 9 9430.10 3

= 5408 , 4 mii lei/pers.

PO i 1
i =1

2.

'LQDPLFD SURGXFWLYLW

LL PXQFLL

pe ntreaga economie:
VDX   FHHD FH UHSUH]LQW R FUHWHUH

I W (W , g

PO

W1 5408,4 = = 1,1804 W0 4581,7

cu 18,04%
0RGLILFDUHD SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL SH HFRQRPLH

SRDWH IL DQDOL]DW

vQ IXQF LH GH

productivitatea muncii la nivelul ramurilor (Wi ramuri g iPO .

( )

VL GH VWUXFWXUD SRSXOD LHL RFXSDWH SH

Modificarea W pe seama Wi:

IW
unde:

(g

PO

W* W0

W* =

W i 0 PO i 1
i =1

PO i 1
i =1
PO

43401 , 944.10 9 9430.10 3

= 4602 , 5 mii lei

IW

(g

W* W0

4602 , 53 4581 , 7

= 1 , 0045 sau 100,45%

Modificarea W pe seama (g iPO ):


IW
(W )

W1 W*

5408 , 4 4602 , 5

= 1 , 1751 sau 117,51%

5H]XOW

F  SH WRWDO HFRQRPLH FUHWHUHD SURGXFWLYLW FUHWHULL SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL OD QLYHOXO

LL PXQFLL VH GDWRUHD] UDPXULORU LQIOXHQ D

DSURDSH vQ PRGLILF ULL

WRWDOLWDWH

VWUXFWXULL SRSXOD LHL SH UDPXUL ILLQG QHJOLMDELO  &RQWULEX LD ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW HFRQRPLHL VH GHWHUPLQ DVWIHO D SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL OD QLYHOXO

3.

(g

PO

= W * W 0 = 4602 , 5 4581 , 7 = 20 , 8 mii lei

(W )

= W 1 W * = 5408 , 4 4602 , 5 = 805 , 9 mii lei


SH WRWDO

0RGLILFDUHD DEVROXW

(g

PO

,W )

= W 1 W 0 = 5408 , 4 4581 , 7 = 826 , 7 mii lei


UHOD LD GH VLVWHP

0RGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH YHULILF

(g

PO

,W )

= W

(g

PO

+ W

(W )

= 20 , 8 + 805 , 9 = 826 , 7 mii lei


D ILHF UXL IDFWRU OD

3H ED]D UHOD LHL GH PDL VXV VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD FRQWULEX LD UHODWLY PRGLILFDUHD SURGXFWLYLW LL PHGLL D PXQFLL

( g PO )

W W
W

(g

PO

(g

PO

20 , 8 826.7

= 2 , 58%

,W )

(W )

(W )
PO

805 , 9 826.7

= 97 , 42%

W (g

,W )

9.

6H FXQRVF XUP WRDUHOH GDWH UHIHULWRDUH OD HFRQRPLD 5RPkQLHL

Tabelul 23. Indicatori 0


3URGXF LH EUXW DJULFXOWXU POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH GF L VLOYLFXOWXU

industrie
FRQVWUXF LL

alte ramuri
&RQVXP LQWHUPHGLDU POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH  GF DJULFXOWXU L VLOYLFXOWXU

industrie
FRQVWUXF LL

alte ramuri
9DORDUH DG XJDW DJULFXOWXU EUXW POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH  GF

1995 1 150115 25160 72093 11042 41820 83516 10894 48381 6287 17954

1996 2

1997 3

L VLOYLFXOWXU

industrie
FRQVWUXF LL

alte ramuri

100487 20662 37054 7469 35302

229770 46953 88911 13487 80419

Indicatori 0
,PSR]LWH SH SURGXV LQFOXVLY 79$ POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 6XEYHQ LL POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 7D[H YDPDOH POGOHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH &RQVXP ILQDO POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH  GF SRSXOD LH DGPLQLVWUD LH )RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH

9DULD LD VWRFXULORU PDWHULDOH POGOHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH ([SRUW QHW POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH 5HPXQHUDUHD PXQFLL POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH ([FHGHQWXO EUXW GH H[SORDWDUH POG OHL SUH XUL FXUH 0RGLILFDUHD SUH XULORU ID GH DQXO  OD

nte)

1995 1 5579 1231 1189 58662 48545 10117 15425 2085 -4036 28035 38564 0 0 0 0 0

1996 2 7900 1849 1853 90711 77733 12978 25076 1695 - 9091 44,4 38,7 56,5 94,0 74,2

1997 3 18981 2498 3497 213536 187562 25974 47952 5744 - 17482 268,9 211,9 255,8 503,1 359,4

FRQVXPXO ILQDO DO SRSXOD LHL FRQVXPXO ILQDO DO DGPLQLVWUD LHL IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ YDULD LD VWRFXULORU

export net
,QGLFLL GH SUH XUL DL 9$% DJULFXOWXU L VLOYLFXOWXU ID GH  vQ

100 149,6 335,2 100 146,2 369,2 100 151,3 349,5 FRQVWUXF LL alte ramuri 100 141,5 362,4 ,QGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP 100 138,8 353,6 Deflatorul PIB (%) 100 144,78 357,83 )RQGXUL IL[H PLOG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH PHGLH DQXDO 159390,3 Dinamica fondurilor fixe (%) 100 109,06 104 3RSXOD LD RFXSDW PLL SHUVRDQH PHGLH DQXDO 9752 9436 Sursa: calcule pe baza Anuarului Statistic al Romniei, anul 1997, p. 125, 355-356, 359-362, 367-369, 391-392; date CNS pentru anul 1997. industrie

Se cere: 1. VAB SH UDPXUL L SH WRWDO HFRQRPLH vQ DQXO  VWUXFWXUD VAB pe ramuri n anii 1995, 1996, 1997; 2. PIB GXS PHWRGD SURGXF LHL VWUXFWXUD PIB; 3. PIB GXS PHWRda veniturilor; structura PIB; 4. PIB GXS PHWRGD FKHOWXLHOLORU VWUXFWXUD PIB; 5. GHIOD LRQDUHD PIB utiliznd mai multe metode; 6. dinamica PIB UHDO L QRPLQDO 7. FRQVXPXO ILQDO UHDO DO SRSXOD LHL GLQDPLFD DFHVWXLD 8. UDWD LQIOD LHL 9. GHWHUPLQD L L LQWHUSUHWD L SULQFLSDOHOH FRUHOD LL PDFURHFRQRPLFH 10. LQGLFDWRULL PDFURHFRQRPLFL GHULYD L Rezolvare
 9DORDUHD DG SHULRDGD GH FDOFXO VH XJDW RE LQH EUXW FD

VAB)

H[SULP vQWUH

YDORDUHD FUHDW WRWDO

GH IDFWRULL GH SURGXF LH vQ GLQWU R

GLIHUHQ

SURGXF LD

EUXW

UDPXU

(PB

consumul intermediar (CI): VABi = PBi - Cii


&RQVXPXO LQWHUPHGLDU UHSUH]LQW YDORDUHD EXQXULORU GH PDWHULDOH VH L VHUYLFLLORU FD VXP D SURGXVH EUXW vQ SH SHULRDGD GH FDOFXO L XWLOL]DWH SHQWUX IDEULFDUHD GH QRL EXQXUL L VHUYLFLL 9DORDUHD DG XJDW

total econoPLH H[SULPDW vQ SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU indicatorului pe ramuri (vezi tabelul 24.).

SURGXF LH

RE LQH

QLYHOXULORU

Tabelul 24. VAB 1995 (mld. lei


SUH XUL FXUHQWH

Structura VAB (%) n anul 1995 2 21,42 35,60 7,14 35,84 100 1996 3 20,56 36,87 7,44 35,13 100
LQGXVWULD

Ramura 0
$JULFXOWXU L VLOYLFXOWXU

1997 4 20,43 38,70 5,87 35,00 100


D FRQWLQXDW V

Industrie
&RQVWUXF LL

Alte ramuri Total


'DWHOH vQW UHDVF GLQ WDEHOXO DQWHULRU DUDW

1 14266 23712 4755 23866 66599


F  vQ SHULRDGD

 

-L

SR]L LD GRPLQDQW

vQ HFRQRPLH vQ WLPS FH DJULFXOWXUD D vQUHJLVWUDW XQ XRU GHFOLQ H[SULP YDORDUHD EUXW D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU ILQDOH

2. Produsul intern brut (PIB


ULL GXS

SURGXVH vQ SHULRDGD GH FDOFXO GH WR L DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL FDUH L GHVI RDU

DFWLYLWDWHD vQ LQWHULRUXO

Determinarea PIB

PHWRGD YDORULL DG

XJDWH PHWRGD SURGXF LHL SUHVXSXQH DJUHJDUHD

YDORULL DG XJDWH EUXWH FUHDWH vQ UDPXULOH HFRQRPLHL

PIB pf = ( PB i CI i ) = VAB i
i i
ind PIB pp = VAB i + I n i

ind I n = IP S + TV ,

unde: PIBpf PIBpp ind In IP S TV - SURGXVXO LQWHUQ EUXW OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU - SURGXVXO LQWHUQ EUXW OD SUH XULOH SLH HL - impozite indirecte nete; - impozite pe produs (inclusiv TVA); - VXEYHQ LL - taxe vamale.

Q FHOH FH XUPHD]  Y

om nota cei trei ani ai perioadei analizate astfel:

0 1995 1 1996 2 1997 PIB


OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH FRUHVSXQGH YDORULL DG XJDWH EUXWH SH DQVDPEOXO HFRQRPLHL YH]L WDEHOHOH  L  

PIB0 = 66599 PIB1 = 100487 PIB2 = 229770

PIB OD SUH XULOH SLH HL POG OHL SUH XUL FXUHQWH VH RE LQH DG PIB0 = 66599 + 5537 = 72136 ind I n = 5579 1231 + 1189 = 5537
0

XJkQG LPSR]LWHOH LQGLUHFWH QHWH

PIB1 = 100487 + 7904 = 108391 ind I n = 7900 1849 + 1853 = 7904


1

PIB2 = 229770 + 19980 = 249750 ind I n = 18981 2498 + 3497 = 19980


2
9DORULOH RE LQXWH SHQWUX FHL WUHL DQL QX VXQW FRPSDUDELOH GHRDUHFH VXQW H[SULPDWH vQ SUH XUL GLIHULWH SUH XULOH FXUHQWH DOH ILHF UXL DQ 

Tabelul 25. Ponderea n PIBpp (%) 1996 92,71 7,29 100,0

Componente VAB Impozite indirecte nete Total

1995 92,32 7,68 100,0


GXS

1997 92,00 8,00 100,0

Structura pe componente a PIB


GXS

PHWRGD YDORULL DG XJDWH WDEHOXO  QX D vQUHJLVWUDW

VFKLPE UL VHPQLILFDWLYH vQ SHULRDGD DQDOL]DW  PHWRGD UHSDUWL LHL VH RE LQH vQVXPkQG YHQLWXULOH RE LQXWH

3. PIB

metoda veniturilor

GH IDFWRULL GH SURGXF LH

ind ind PIB pp = RS + ENE + A + I n = R + EBE + I n ,

unde: - UHPXQHUDUHD VDODULD LORU VDODULL LPSR]LWH SH VDODULL &$6  - excedentul net de exploatare (dividende, impozit pe profit, profit nedistribuit, rente, dobnzi nete); - amortizarea; A EBE - excedentul brut de exploatare; EBE = ENE + A
RS ENE

PIB0 = 28035 + 38564 + 5537 = 72136 mild lei. Structura PIB n anul 1995: remunerarea muncii: 38,86% excedentul brut de exploatare: 53,46% impozite indirecte nete: 7,68% 4. PIB
GXS

metoda cheltuielilor

PHWRGD XWLOL] ULL ILQDOH VH RE LQH vQVXPkQG FKHOWXLHOLOH

SHQWUX EXQXULOH L VHUYLFLLOH ILQDOH vQ IXQF LH GH GHVWLQD LD DFHVWRUD

PIBpp = CP + CA + FBC + EXN FBC = FBCF + VS ,

unde:
CP CA FBC FBCF VS EXN

- consumul final aO SRSXOD LHL - FRQVXPXO ILQDO DO DGPLQLVWUD LHL - IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO - IRUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[
YDULD LD VWRFXULORU PDWHULDOH

export net. PIB0 = 48545 + 10117 + (15425 + 2085) 4036 = 72136 mld lei PIB1 = 77733 + 12978 + (25076 + 1695) 9091 = 108391 mld lei PIB2 = 187562 + 25974 + (47952 + 5744) 17482 = 249750 mld lei
Tabelul 26. Componente Ponderea n PIBpp 1995 1996 67,30 71,72 14,02 11,97 21,38 23,13 2,89 1,56 -5,59 -8,39 100,0 100,0

(%)
1997 75,10 10,40 19,2 2,30 -6,70 100,0
R

Consum privat Consumul admLQLVWUD LHL


)RUPDUHD EUXW GH FDSLWDO IL[ 9DULD LD VWRFXULORU

Export net Total

Structura PIB
FUHWHUH

FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH XWLOL] ULL ILQDOH D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU WDEHOXO  DUDW D SRQGHULL FRQVXPXOXL SULYDW vQ SHULRDGD  GH]HFKLOLEUDW

VHPQLILFDWLY

-1997 n detrimentul
LPSRUWXO D GHS LW

FRQVXPXOXL DGPLQLVWUD LHL L DO LQYHVWL LLORU %DODQ D FRPHUFLDO H[SRUWXO D LQIOXHQ DW QHJDWLY P ULPHD

PIB n cei treL DQL FRQVLGHUD L

 'HIOD LRQDUHD $WXQFL FkQG VH SURGXVXOXL LQWHUQ

PIB se poate realiza global sau pe componente. deflatorul PIB LQGLFHOH VLQWHWLF GH SUH XUL DO FRPSRQHQWHORU EUXW  P ULPHD PIB real se poate calcula raportnd PIB nominal la deflatorul
FXQRDWH

FRUHVSXQ] WRU DQXOXL UHVSHFWLY FRQIRUP UHOD LHL

PIB t* = unde:

PIB t Dt

PIB t* PIBt Dt
DateOH

- P ULPHD PIB UHDO vQ SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH vQ DQXO t; - PIB QRPLQDO vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH vQ DQXO t; - deflatorul PIB pentru anul t.
DSOLFD LHL QH SHUPLW V H[SULP P

PIB

GLQ DQLL  L  vQ SUH XULOH DQXOXL 

SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH 

* PIB 96 =

PIB 96 D 96 / 95 PIB 97 D 97 / 95

108391 = 74866 mld. lei 1 , 4478 249750 = 69795 , 7 mld. lei 3 , 5783

* PIB 97 =

0 ULPHD GHIOD L

PIB

UHDO

VH

PDL

SRDWH

GHWHUPLQD

SULQ

nsumarea componentelor sale

onate FRQIRUP UHOD LHL PIB * = C i* = Ci


P IC
i

unde:

C i* Ci P IC

- componenta i H[SULPDW - componenta i H[SULPDW


i

vQ SUH XUL FRPSDUDELOH FRQVWDQWH  vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH

LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH FRPSRQHQWHL

i.

'H H[HPSOX SRUQLQG GH OD HOHPHQWHOH GH XWLOL]DUH ILQDO  GHWHUPLQ DVWIHO

PIB

UHDO OD SUH XULOH SLH HL VH

PIB * =

CP
P I CP

CA
P I CA

FBCF
P I FBCF

VS
P I VS

EXN
P I EXN

* PIB 96 =

77733 12978 25076 1695 9091 + + + = 74866 , 6 mld. lei 1 , 444 1 , 387 1 , 565 1 , 940 1 , 742 187562 25974 47952 5744 17482 + + + = 69795 , 5 mld. lei. 3 , 689 3 , 119 3 , 558 6 , 031 4 , 594
GH GHIOD LRQDUH DSOLFDWH DQWHULRU FRQGXF OD DFHODL UH]XOWDW FX PLFL

* PIB 97 =

&HOH 'DF

GRX

PHWRGH

GLIHUHQ H GDWRUDWH URWXQMLULORU GH FDOFXO LQWHUPHGLDUH  VH XWLOL]HD] LQGLFLL GH SUH XUL DL

VAB pe ramuri ale economiei, PIB

UHDO OD SUH XULOH

IDFWRULORU VH GHWHUPLQ

FX UHOD LD

PIB = VAB i =
unde:

VAB i I iP

VAB i VABi I iP

- VAB FUHDW vQ UDPXUD i H[SULPDW vQ SUH XUL FRPSDUDELOH - VAB FUHDW vQ UDPXUD i H[SULPDW vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH - LQGLFHOH GH SUH XUL FRUHVSXQ] WRU UDPXULL i.

PIB 96 =

20662 37054 7469 35302 + + + = 69048 , 2 mld. lei. 1 , 496 1 , 462 1 , 513 1 , 415
46953 88911 13487 80419 + + + = 64139 , 4 mld. lei. 3 , 352 3 , 692 3 , 495 3 , 624

PIB 97 =

7. Dinamica PIB nominal VH FDOFXOHD]


I tPIB = /0 PIBt 100, PIB0

SH ED]D YDORULORU H[SULPDWH vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH

unde: PIBt PIB0 - valoarea PIB QRPLQDO H[SULPDW vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH GLQ DQXO t; - valoarea PIB nominal n DQXO GH ED]  

Dinamica PIB QRPLQDO OD SUH XULOH SLH HL


I1PIB = /0 I 2PIB = /0
$FHDVW

PIB96 108391 100 = 100 = 150,26% PIB95 72136 249750 PIB97 100 = 100 = 346,22% PIB95 72136
LQFOXGH DWkW YDULD LD FDQWLW LL IL]LFH D EXQXULORU L VHUYLFLLORU FXSULQVH vQ

GLQDPLF D

PIB

FkW L HIHFWXO PRGLILF ULL SUH XULORU OD DFHVWH EXQXUL L VHUYLFLL

YDULD LD HIHFWLY

. Dinamica PIB real surprinde PIB LQGHSHQGHQW GH VFKLPEDUHD SUH XULORU SH SDUFXUVXO SHULRDGHL FRQVLGHUDWH 6H FDOFXOHD] SH ED]D YDORULORU GHIOD LRQDWH DOH PIB:

I tPIB = /0

PIBt*
* PIB0

100,

unde: PIB t* valoarea PIB real n anul t. ntruct pentru exprimarea PIB * F PIB 0 = PIB 0 .
UHDO DP XWLOL]DW SUH XULOH DQXOXL  SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH

UH]XOW

Dinamica PIB UHDO OD SUH XULOH SLH HL

I 1PIB /0

* PIB 96

PIB 95
* PIB 97

100 =

74866 100 = 103 , 78% 72136 69795 , 7 100 = 96 , 76% 72136


69795 , 7 74866 100 = 93 , 23%

PIB I 2/0

PIB 95
* PIB 97 * PIB 96

100 =

PIB * 2 /1

100 =

Comparativ cu dinamica PIB QRPLQDO FDUH LQGLF R FUHWHUH IRDUWH PDUH GH OD XQ DQ OD DOWXO dinamica PIB UHDO DUDW R FUHWHUH PRGHVW GH  vQ  ID GH  XUPDW GH R UHGXFHUH
FX  vQ  ID GH  'LIHUHQ D GLQWUH FHOH GRX GLQDPLFL HVWH H[SOLFDW SULQ FUHWHUHD FRQVLGHUDELO D SUH XULORU vQGHRVHEL vQ DQXO 

Dinamica PIB UHDO OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU

I 1PIB /0
PIB I 2/0

= =

69041 , 2 66599 64139 , 1 66599

100 = 103 , 67% 100 = 96 , 31%


FRQFOX]LLOH DQWHULRDUH SULQ vPS U LUHD FRQVXPXOXL QRPLQDO OD YDULD LD SUH XULORU

Dinamica PIB UHDO OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU FRQILUP


 &RQVXPXO ILQDO UHDO DO SRSXOD LHL LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

VH GHWHUPLQ

IPC 

,QGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP HYLGHQ LD] vQ FRQVXPXO SRSXOD LHL

P UIXULORU L WDULIHORU VHUYLFLLORU FDUH LQWU

CPt* = unde:

CPt IPC t

CPt* CPt IPCt


'DF

FRQVXPXO ILQDO UHDO DO SRSXOD LHL vQ SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH vQ DQXO

t; t;

FRQVXPXO ILQDO QRPLQDO DO SRSXOD LHL vQ SUH XUL FXUHQWH vQ DQXO LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP vQ DQXO

t.
F 

DOHJHP FD SUH XUL FRQVWDQWH SUH XULOH DQXOXL  UH]XOW

* CP95 = CP95 = 48545 mld. lei * CP96 =

CP96 IPC 96 / 95 CP97 IPC 97 / 95

= =

77733 = 49543 mld. lei 1 , 569 187562 = 53043 , 6 mld. lei 3 , 536

* CP97 =

Dinamica indicatorului a fost:


CP I 96 / 95 =
*

49543 100 = 102 , 06% 48545 53043 , 6 100 = 107 , 07% 49543
vQ  ID GH  L FX  vQ

CP I 97 / 96 =

&RQVXPXO ILQDO UHDO DO SRSXOD LHL D FUHVFXW FX 

1997 comparativ cu 1996. 8. 5DWD LQIOD


LHL

R) se poate calcula vQ IXQF LH GH VFRSXO DQDOL]HL SH ED]D GHIODWRUXOXL PIB:

R=D%-100

VDX SH ED]D LQGLFHOXL SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

R=IPC%-100 Deflatorul PIB


UHIOHFW HVWH XQ LQGLFH GH SUH XUL PDL FXSULQ] WRU GDU LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP PDL ELQH LPSDFWXO SUH XULORU DVXSUD SRSXOD LHL 'LQ DFHVW PRWLY

IPC este folosit pentru

FDOFXODUHD VDODULXOXL UHDO D YHQLWXULORU L FRQVXPXULORU UHDOH DOH SRSXOD LHL L SHQWUX QHJRFLHUHD LQGH[ ULORU VDODULLORU SHQVLLORU HWF 5DWD LQIOD LHL FDOFXODW vQ FHOH GRX YDULDQWH HVWH SUH]HQWDW vQ WDEHOXO QU 

Rezultatele sunt relativ apropiate.


Tabelul 27.
5DWD LQIOD LHL ID FDOFXODW SH ED]D GH 

Anul 1996 44,78 38,8 1997 257,83 253,6

deflatorul PIB IPC

9. &RPSDUD LD GLQWUH dinamica PIB* L GLQDPLFD IRQGXULORU fixe: 1996/1995: I PIB = 103 , 78% I F = 109 , 06% 1997/1995: I PIB = 96 , 76% I F = 104% Dinamica fondurilor fixe a devansat dinamica PIB GHWHUPLQkQG UHGXFHUHD HILFLHQ HL PHGLL D
XWLOL] ULL FDSLWDOXOXL IL[ &RUHOD LD GLQWUH

dinamica PIB L GLQDPLFD SRSXOD

LHL RFXSDW

e:

1996/1995: I PIB = 103 , 78% I T = 96 , 76%


D IRVW UHVSHFWDW  GHWHUPLQkQG FUHWHUHD SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL

10. ,QGLFDWRULL PDFURHFRQRPLFL GHULYD

L FDUH SRW IL FDOFXOD L FX GDWHOH SUREOHPHL VXQW

rata consumului final =

CP + CA 100 PIB

- n 1995 58662: 72136 = 71,32%; - n 1996 90711: 108391 = 83,69%; - n 1997 213536: 249750 = 85,50%.
UDWD LQYHVWL LLORU EUXWH

FBCF 100 PIB

- n 1995 15425: 72136 = 21,38%; - n 1996 25076: 108391 = 23,13%; - n 1997 47952: 249750 = 19,20%.

PIB / perVRDQ

RFXSDW

SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL 

- n 1995   - n 1996  

 PLO OHL SUH XUL   SHUVRDQ   PLO OHL SUH XUL   SHUVRDQ 

3,%  IRQGXUL IL[H HILFLHQ D FDSLWDOXOXL IL[ 

- n 1995 72136: 159390,3 = 0,453 lei/ 1 leu sau 453 lei/ 1000 lei; - n 1996 74866: (159390,3  OHL  OHX SUH XUL   - n 1997 69795,7: (159390,3  OHL  OHX SUH XUL  

coeficientul capitalului (necesarul de capital fix la 1 leu PIB): - n 1995 1: 0,453 = 2,21 lei/ 1 leu ; - n 1996    OHL  OHX SUH XUL   - n 1997    OHL  OHX SUH XUL  

SURGXFWLYLWDWHD HILFLHQ D FDSLWDOXOXL FLUFXODQW

3,%&,

- n 1995 72136: 83516 = 0,864 sau 864 lei/ 1000 lei.

intensitatea capitalului vQ]HVWUDUHD WHKQLF

D PXQFLL

IRQGXUL IL[H SRSXOD LH RFXSDW

- n 1995    PLO OHL SUH XUL   SHUVRDQ  - n 1996 (159390,3    PLO OHL SUH XUL   SHUVRDQ

rata excedentului brut = excedentul brut de exploatare/ VAB - n 1995 38564: 66599 = 57,9%.

VH SRDWH FDOFXOD GLUHFW FD P ULPH LQYHUV

D HILFLHQ HL FDSLWDOXOXL IL[

QWUHE

UL UHFDSLWXODWLYH

Obiectul de studiu al statisticii social-economice


1. Ce sunt fenomenele social-economice de mas " 2. 3ULQ FH VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] IHQRPHQHOH VRFLDO-HFRQRPLFH GH PDV 3. Care este obiectul de studiu al statisticii? 4. Prin ce se caracterizea] OHJLOH VWDWLVWLFH"
"

Concepte utilizate
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32.
&H vQ HOHJH L SULQ FROHFWLYLWDWH VWDWLVWLF 3ULQ FH VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] " ([HPSOLILFD L R FROHFWLYLWDWH VWDWLVWLF "

Colectivitate VWDWLF : definire, exemple. Colectivitate GLQDPLF : definire, exemple. Unitate statiVWLF : definire, exemple. 8QLWDWH VWDWLVWLF VLPSO : definire, exemple. 8QLWDWH VWDWLVWLF FRPSOH[ : definire, exemple. 9DULDELO FDUDFWHULVWLF VWDWLVWLF : definire, exemple. 9DULDELO de timp: definire, exemple. 9DULDELO GH VSD LX: definire, exemple. 9DULDELO DWULEXWLY : definire, exemple. 9DULDELO FDOLWDWLY  definire, exemple. Variabila FDQWLWDWLY : definire, exemple. 9DULDELO DOWHUQDWLY : definire, exemple. 9DULDELO QHDOWHUQDWLY : definire, exemple. 9DULDELO FX YDULD LH GLVFUHW : definire, exemple. 9DULDELO FX YDULD LH FRQWLQX : definire, exemple.
&XP SRDWH IL WUDQVIRUPDW &XP SRDWH IL WUDQVIRUPDW R YDULDELOD FDQWLWDWLY R YDULDELO vQ YDULDELO FDOLWDWLY " DOWHUQDWLY " QHDOWHUQDWLY vQ YDULDELO

Ce tipuri de scale se pot folosi pentru variabilele calitative? Ce tipuri de scale se pot folosi pentru variabilele cantitative?
3ULQ FH VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] 3ULQ FH VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] 3ULQ FH VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] 3ULQ FH VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] VFDOD QRPLQDO " ([HPSOLILFD L VFDOD RUGLQDO " ([HPSOLILFD L

scala de interval" ([HPSOLILFD L scala de raport PHWULF " ([HPSOLILFD L


GH VFDOD QRPLQDO " GH VFDOD GH UDSRUW"

3ULQ FH VH GHRVHEHWH VFDOD RUGLQDO &H vQ HOHJH L SULQ YDULDQW 3ULQ FH VH GHRVHEHWH

3ULQ FH VH GHRVHEHWH VFDOD GH LQWHUYDO

? varianta de variabilD VWDWLVWLF ? Ce este LQIRUPD LD VWDWLVWLF ? Ce sunt datele statistice? &H vQ HOHJH L SULQ indicator statistic?

2EVHUYDUHD VWDWLVWLF

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25.

Q FH FRQVW

REVHUYDUHD VWDWLVWLF

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1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10.

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-economice

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asociere statistic

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16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35.

Ce este un tabel de asociere? Pentru ce se poate utiliza un tabel de asociere?


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ntre ce limite ia valori raSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH"


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statistice?
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e variabilele
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statistice?
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variabilele statistice?
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ranguri

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acestora?
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Serii cronologice
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18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45.

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nivelul mediu n cazul unei serii cronologice de momente?


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Care pot fi componentele termenilor unei serii cronologice? Care sunt componentele sistematice? &H vQ HOHJH L SULQ trend? &H vQ HOHJH L SULQ sezonalitate? &H vQ HOHJH L SULQ sezon" ([HPSOLILFD L &H vQ HOHJH L SULQ ciclicitate? &H VHPQLILFD LH DX componentele aleatoare? &H vQ HOHJH L SULQ ajustarea termenilor unei serii cronologice? Care sunt metodele simple de ajustare a seriilor cronologice? &H vQ HOHJH L SULQ medii mobile? &kQG VH UHFRPDQG XWLOL]DUHD metodei mediilor mobile?
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5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16.

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17. &H PHWRGH GH GHVFRPSXQHUH SH IDFWRUL D YDULD LHL XQXL IHQRPHQ FRPSOH[ FXQRDWH L" 18. &H SUHVXSXQH PHWRGD VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ " 19. &kQG VH DSOLF PHWRGD VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ " 20. Ce avantaje SUH]LQW PHWRGD VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ " 21. &DUH VXQW SULQFLSDOHOH GH]DYDQWDMH DOH PHWRGHL VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ " 22. Q FH FRQVW PHWRGD LQIOXHQ HL L]RODWH D IDFWRULORU VDX PHWRGD UHVWXOXL QHGHVFRPSXV " 23. &H PRGDOLW L GH GLVWULEXLUH D UHVWXOXL QHGHVFRPSXV SH IDFWRULL GH LQIOXHQ FXQRDWH L" 24. &kQG VH DSOLF PHWRGD UHVWXOXL QHGHVFRPSXV" 25. &H DYDQWDMH SUH]LQW PHWRGD UHVWXOXL QHGHVFRPSXV" 26. Care sunt principalele dezavantaje ale metodei restului nedescompus?

Indicatori macroeconomici de rezultate


1. Cum se face trecerea de la 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20.
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1 6 24 23 24 19 12 15 18 19 32 34 20 22 30 16 2 24 22 22 16 37 13 24 27 29 14 18 28 10 16 19 18 20 29 19 26 22 8 4 2

2 48 72 62 57 68 52 53 55 58 67 76 61 57 67 59 51 65 59 57 48 78 45 67 66 79 57 58 66 41 56 63 56 51 70 62 65 55 53 54 41

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6.1. pe baza datelor negrupate pentru primii 10 muncitori; 6.2. pe baza datelor grupate combinat de la punctul 1.5.. Rezolvare 1. Sistematizarea datelor nregistrate 1.1. Gruparea pe inteUYDOH GH YDULD LH HJDOH
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Aa = xmax xmin = 37 2 = 35 ani


1XP UXO GH JUXSH HVWH G 0 ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL

at: k = 6

Aa 35 = = 5,83  DQL UH]XOWDWXO VH URWXQMHWH vQ SOXV VDX k 6 Aa 35 h= = = 5,536 6 ani 1 + 3,322 log n 6,322 h=
3HQWUX VWDELOLUHD LQWHUYDOHORU GH YDULD LH VH SOHDF YDORDUHD PLQLP OLPLWD LQIHULRDU D FDUDFWHULVWLFL L VH DGDXJ HVWH HJDO FX GH OD R YDORDUH HJDO VDX PDL PLF GHFkW VXFFHVLY P ULPHD LQWHUYDOXOXL FDOFXODW Q FD]XO QRVWUX

xmin.

28 8 14 14 20 20 26 26 32
 L SHVWH

//// //// ///// ///// ///// ///

///// ///// /

// /

Pentru centralizarea
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Grupa I (2 8) Tabelul 2. Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4 Total Vechime (ani) 6 2 4 2 14


3URGXF LH

Grupa a II-a (8 14) Tabelul 3. Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4 Total Vechime (ani) 12 13 10 8 43


3URGXF LH

(buc) 48 51 54 41 194

(buc) 52 45 41 53 191

Grupa a III-a (14 20) Tabelul 4. Nr. Vechime 3URGXF LH crt. (ani) (buc) 1 19 68 2 15 53 3 18 55 4 19 58 5 16 59 6 16 48 7 14 57 8 18 58 9 16 56 10 19 63 11 18 56 12 19 62 Total 207 693 Grupa a V-a (26 32) Tabelul 6. Vechime 3URGXF LH (buc) (ani) 30 67 27 66 29 79 28 66 29 70 16 65 169 413
YDULDELOD SURGXF LHL < L

Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Total

Grupa a IV-a (20 26) Tabelul 5. Vechime 3URGXF LH (ani) (buc) 24 72 23 62 24 57 20 61 22 57 24 65 22 59 22 57 24 67 20 51 22 55 247 663

Grupa a VI-a (32 38) Tabelul 7. Nr. crt. 1 2 3 Total Vechime (ani) 32 34 37 103
3URGXF LH

Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total

(buc) 67 76 78 221

*UXSDUHD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

Aa = ymax ymin = 79 4  EXF k=6 A 38 h= a = = 6,33  EXF L k 6


,QWHUYDOHOH GH YDULD LH VXQW

41 48 48 55 55 62 62 69 69 76 76 83

/// ///// ///// ///// // ///

/// ///// /////

/// /

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Grupe de muncitori
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1XP

U PXQFLWRUL

0 2-8 8 14 14 20 20 26 26 32 32 38 Total
1RW

1 4 4 12 11 6 3 40
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Tabelul 8. Valori centralizate pentru: Vechime (ani) 3URGXF LH EXF 2 3 14 194 43 191 207 693 247 663 169 413 103 221 783 2375
vQ LQWHUYDO

 *UXSDUH FX YDULD LH FRQWLQX  OLPLWD LQIHULRDU

5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

SURGXF LD UHDOL]DW

L FHQWUDOL]DUHD SH JUXSH D YDORULORU YDULDELOHORU

Grupe de muncitori
GXS SURGXF LH EXF

1XP

U PXQFLWRUL

0 41 - 48 48 55 55 62 62 69 69 76 76 83 Total
1RW

1 3 8 13 11 2 3 40
ILLQG LQFOXV

Tabelul 9. Valori centralizate pentru: Vechime 3URGXF LH EXF 2 3 25 127 83 410 251 745 271 718 53 142 100 233 783 2375
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Histograma fL[DWH SH 2[ L vQ (vezi figura 1):

VH

RE LQH

FRQVWUXLQG

GUHSWXQJKLXUL

FX

ED]HOH HJDOH FX

P ULPHD

O LPHD SURSRU LRQDO

FX IUHFYHQ HOH VDX QXP UXO GH XQLW

L FH FRUHVSXQG JUXSHORU

14 12 10 12 11

)LJXUD  5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

8 6 4 2 0 2 8 14 20 26 32 38 vechime (ani) 4 4 3 6

YHFKLPH

14 12
  

10
   

8 6 4 2 0 2 8 14 20 26 32 38 vechime (ani)

Grupe de muncitori
GXS YHFKLPH DQL

0 2-8 8 14 14 20 20 26 26 32 32 38 Total

QXP

U PXQFLWRUL

)LJ  5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

YHFKLPH

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D IUHFYHQ HORU

Tabelul 10.
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1 4 4 12 11 6 3 40

2 4 8 20 31 37 40 -

3 40 36 32 20 9 3 -

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2 8 14 20 vechime (ani) 26 32 38

)LJ  5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

YHFKLPH

3HQWUX YDULDELOD SURGXF LH UHSUH]HQW ULOH JUDILFH DOH VHULHL GH UHSDUWL LH VXQW

14 12 10

13 11

)LJ  5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

14 12
gc f e e

10
ab `d

8 6 4 2 0 34 41 48 55 62 69 76 83 90
Y "PDWUS R DPHFDB X Q I VT Q I G E C

)LJ  5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

Grupe de muncitori
GXS SURGXF LH EXF

1XP

U PXQFLWRUL

0 41 - 48 48 55 55 62 62 69 69 76 76 83 Total

1 3 8 13 11 2 3 40

3 2$$0 )' & $$"  1% # ( % # ! 

56
6 4 2 0 41 48 55 62 69 76 83
3 2 3

54 76

A7 @ 9 48 a` cb

SURGXF LH

SURGXF LH

Tabelul 11.
)UHFYHQ H FXPXODWH &UHVF WRU 'HVFUHVF WRU

2 3 11 24 35 37 40 -

3 40 37 29 16 5 3 -

45 40 35 30

)LJ  5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

1.4. Gruparea muncitorilor pe intervale neegale Un criteriu de repartizare pe grupe neegale l constituie nivelul mediu al variabilei: - vechimea medie pe muncitori; - produc LD PHGLH SH PXQFLWRU
9RU IL WUHL JUXSH FDOLWDWLYH GH WLSXO PLF PLMORFLX L PDUH Q JUXSD D GRXD VXQW FXSULQVH JUXSD LQWHUYDOXO FDUH FRQ LQH QLYHOXO PHGLX DO YDULDELOHL L LQWHUYDOHOH vQYHFLQDWH FX DFHDVWD Q SULPD L XOWLPD JUXS VXQW FXSULQVH LQW

intervale care compun grupa a doua.


5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS 6H FDOFXOHD] YHFKLPH VLPSO  YHFKLPHD PHGLH SH XQ PXQFLWRU FD PHGLH DULWPHWLF

x=

xi
i =1

783 = 19,575 ani/muncitor 40


YHFKLPH SH FHOH  LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH L YDORULOH FHQWUDOL]DWH VXQW

5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

nscrise n tabelul 11..


Grupe de muncitori
GXS YHFKLPH DQL 1XP U PXQFLWRUL

0 2-8 8 14 26 38 Total

(ni) 1 4 27 9 40

5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

D UHSDUWL LLORU SH LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH VH SRDWH IDFH SULQ KLVWRJUDP  D IUHFYHQ HORU SUHDODELO DO IUHFYHQ HORU UHGXVH YH]L

SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU L FXUED FXPXODWLY WDEHOXO  L ILJXUD  

Pentru construirea histogramei este necesar calculul

2y xv u "q$h t s w t s r p i

25 20 15 10 5 0 34 41 48 55 62 69 76 83 90

SURGXF LH

ervalele care preced sau succed cele trei

Tabelul 11. Valori centralizate pentru: 3URGXF LH EXF Vechime (ani) 2 3 14 194 497 1547 272 634 783 2375

Tabelul 12. Grupe de


PXQFLWRUL GXS 1XP U PXQFLWRUL 0 ULPHD

Coeficient de reducere
D IUHFYHQ HORU

)UHFYHQ H UHGXVH

(ni)

vechime (ani) 0 2-8 8 26 26 38 Total 1 4 27 9 40

intervalului (hi) 2 6 18 12 -

ki =

hi h1 )

nri =

ni ki

3 1 3 2 -

4 4:1=4 29:3=9 9:2=4,5

U PXQFLWRUL

QXP

5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

n RepartL LD SH LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH L YDORULOH FHQWUDOL]DWH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO 


Grupe de muncitori
GXS YHFKLPH DQL 1XP U PXQFLWRUL

y=

yi
i =1

0 41 - 48 48 69 69 83 Total
&DOFXOXO IUHFYHQ HORU

IUHFYHQ HORU vQ ILJXUD 

Grupe de
PXQFLWRUL GXS

1XP

vechime (ani) 0 41 - 48 48 69 69 63 Total 1 3 32 5 40

H
U PXQFLWRUL

27

8 vechime (ani)

26

38

)LJ  'LVWULEX LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

YHFKLPH DQL

SURGXF LH

2375 = 59,375 buc./muncitor 40

(ni) 1 3 32 5 40
UHGXVH HVWH SUH]HQWDW

Tabelul 13. Valori centralizate pentru: 3URGXF LH EXF Vechime (ani) 2 3 25 127 605 1873 153 375 783 2375
vQ WDEHOXO  LDU KLVWRJUDPD L SROLJRQXO

Tabelul 14.
0 ULPHD

Coeficient de reducere
D IUHFYHQ HORU

)UHFYHQ H UHGXVH

(ni)

intervalului (hi) 2 7 21 14 -

ki =

hi h1

nri =

ni ki

3 1 3 2 -

4 3 10,66 2,5 -

12 10
U PXQFLWRUL

32

8 6 4 2 0 34 41
)LJ 

QXP

48

55

62

69

76

83

90

97

SURGXF LH EXF 5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS SURGXF LH

1.5. *UXSDUHD FRPELQDW D PXQFLWRULORU GXS n tabelul 15. WDEHO FX GXEO LQWUDUH
5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

YHFKLPH L GXS

SURGXF LH HVWH SUH]HQWDW

YHFKLPH DQL L GXS

SURGXF LH EXF

Grupe de muncitori
GXS YHFKLPH

0 2-8 8-14 14-20 20-26 36-32 32-38 Total ( n.j)


1RW  /LPLWD LQIHULRDU

41 - 48 1 1 2 3
LQFOXV

Subgrupe de mXQFLWRUL GXS SURGXF LH \j) 48 - 55 55 - 62 62 - 69 69 - 76 2 3 4 5 3 2 2 7 3 1 6 3 1 4 1 1 8 13 11 2


vQ LQWHUYDO

76 - 83 6 1 2 3

Tabelul 15. Total (ni.) 7 4 4 12 11 6 3 40

5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

D UHSDUWL LLORU ELGLPHQVLRQDOH VH UHDOL]HD]

SULQ GLDJUDPD QRUXOXL GH

puncte (corelograma) (vezi figura 9).


83 76 69
SURGXF LD EXF

** * ** * *** ** ** ** * * ** ** ** * ** ** ** * * ** ** *

62

55 48 41 2

8 14 20 26 vechimea (ani)

32

38
SURGXF LH

)LJ  5HSDUWL LD PXQFLWRULORU GXS

YHFKLPH L GXS

2.

&DOFXOXO P

ULPLORU GH VWUXFWXU

 GH FRRUGRQDUH L GH LQWHQVLWDWH

&DOFXOXO P

ULPLORU UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXU ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXU DWkW SH ED]D IUHFYHQ HORU DEVROXWH

SH SRW FDOFXOD P
VDX JUHXW

FD] DX VHQVXO GH IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

LOH VSHFLILFH gi FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH Se vor utLOL]D UHSDUWL LLOH SH LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH GLQ WDEOHOH  L  n ni*(%) = n i 100 - IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH ni

ni*

FkW L SH ED]D YDORULORU FHQWUDOL]DWH RE LQkQGX

ni L vQ DFHVW -se ponderile

i =1

g i (%) =
5H]XOWDWHOH

xi

xi
i =1

100 - SRQGHUL VDX JUHXW


SH ED]D UHSDUWL LHL

L VSHFLILFH

FDOFXOHORU

PXQFLWRULORU

GXS

YDORDUHD

SURGXF LHL

VXQW

prezentate n tabelul 16.


Tabelul 16. Grupe de muncitori
GXS SURGXF LH EXF 1XP U

muncitori (ni) 1 3 32 5 40

Valori centralizate pentru: 3URGXF LH Vechime (ani) (buc.) 2 25 605 153 783 3 127 1873 375 2375

ULPL UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXUL  *UHXW L VSHFLILFH

)UHFYHQ H

gi(%))

0 40-48 48-69 69-83 Total

relative (ni*(%)) 4 7,5 80,0 12,5 100,0

Vechime 5 3,2 77,3 19,5 100,0

3URGXF LH

6 5,3 78,9 15,8 100,0

5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF GUHSWXQJKL FHUF S WUDW  3H DFHODL JUDILF VH

D P ULPLORU UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXU SRW UHSUH]HQWD YDULDELOH GLIHULWH

VH IDFH SULQ GLDJUDPH GH VWUXFWXU DSDU LQkQG DFHOHLDL FROHFWLYLW L

(vezi fig.10.).

100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 7,5% 3,2% vechime 80% 77,3% 18,5% 19,5%

5,3%

grupa a III-a grupa a II-a grupa I

78,9%

15,8%

Figura 10. Structura mXQFLWRULORU GXS

YHFKLPH L SURGXF LH SH JUXSH

l g H"$i d j f k

gd g f W"i h q$ePd

&DOFXOXO P 'DF

ULPLORU UHODWLYH GH FRRUGRQDUH FD UDSRUW vQWUH QLYHOXULOH FHORU WUHL JUXSH L FX

0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH FRRUGRQDUH VH FDOFXOHD] QRW P IUHFYHQ HOH FHORU WUHL JUXSH FX FHQWUDOL]DWH DOH FHORU GRX

YDULDELOH DWXQFL P ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH FRRUGRQDUH VH FDOFXOHD]

n1, n2, n3

X1, X2, X3 respectiv Y1, Y2, Y3 valorile


DVWIHO

K 2 /1 =
%D]

n X Y n2 X Y Y ; K 3 / 1 = 3 ; K 2X/ 1 = 2 ; K 3x/ 1 = 3 ; K 2 / 1 = 2 ; K 3y/ 1 = 3 n1 n1 X1 X1 Y1 Y1


FRPSDUD LH D IRVW OXDW SULPD JUXS  5H]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH SHQWUX GLVWULEX LD SURGXF LH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO 

GH

muncitorilor dup

Tabelul 17.
*UXSH GH PXQFLWRUL GXS SURGXF LH EXF 1XP U

0 41-48 48-69 69-83

muncitori (ni) 1 3 32 5

Valori centralizate pentru: Vechime 3URGXF LH (buc.) Yi (ani) Xi 2 3 25 127 605 1873 153 375

ULPL UHODWLYH GH FRRUGRQDUH SHQWUX U

1XP

Vechime 5 1 24,2 6,12

3URGXF

ie

muncitori 4 1 10,66 1,66

6 1 14,74 2,95

5HSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

D P ULPLORU UHODWLYH GH FRRUGRQDUH VH IDFH SULQ GLDJUDP

e prin coloane

(figura 11.).

)LJ  5DSRUWXO GLQWUH QXP UXO GH PXQFLWRUL GLQ FHOH WUHL JUXSH

&DOFXOXO P

ULPLORU UHODWLYH GH LQWHQVLWDWH QLYHOXO PHGLX SHQWUX ILHFDUH YDULDELO FDQWLWDWLY OD QLYHOXO ILHF UHL

0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH LQWHQVLWDWH VH RE LQ SULQ UDSRUWDUHD D GRL LQGLFDWRUL LQWHUGHSHQGHQ L 5H]XOWDWXO RE LQXW VLQWHWL]HD] JUXSH L SH WRWDO 5H]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO 

Grupe de muncitori
GXS SURGXF LH EXF

1XP

muncitori (ni) 1 3 32 5 40

Valori centralizate pentru Vechime (ani) 3URGXF LH (Xi) (buc.) (Yi) 2 25 605 153 783 3 127 1873 375 2375

ULPL UHODWLYH GH LQWHQVLWDWH SHQWUX 3URGXF LH

0 41-48 48-69 69-83 Total

Vechime (ani/muncitor) (Xi/ni) 4 8,33 18,91 30,60 19,575

3HQWUX YDULDELOD YHFKLPH VH YRU FDOFXOD DFHOHDL P ULPL UHODWLYH

tr n

m sr

yPWDDp qu x xPWDwo pu q q u vo srxo

Tabelul 18. (buc./muncitor) (Yi/ni) 5 42,33 58,53 75,00 59,375

3.

,QGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH LQGLFDWRULL YDULD LHL L DL DVLPHWULHL

,QGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH

Calculul mediei aritmetice


3HQWUX YDULDELOD YHFKLPH VH vQWRFPHWH WDEHOXO 

Grupe de
PXQFLWRUL GXS

1XP

U GH

vechime (ani) 0 2-8 8-14 14-20 20-26 26-32 32-38 Total

muncitori (ni) 1 4 4 12 11 6 3 40

Centrul intervalului (xi) 2 5 11 17 23 29 35 -

xi ni
3 20 44 204 253 174 105 800

ni*(%)

n = i 100 ni
4 10,0 10,0 30,0 27,5 15,0 7,5 100

xi ni*(%)
5 50 110 510 632,5 435 262,5 2000

xi a h a=17;h=6 6 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -

Tabelul 19. xi a ni h 7 -8 -4 0 11 12 9 20

Calculul RELQXLW DO PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH - FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH x=

xi ni
i =1 k

ni
i =1

800 = 20 ani/muncitor 40
VLPSO D

unde xi -

VXQW FHQWUHOH LQWHUYDOHORU GH JUXSDUH FDOFXODWH FD PHGLH DULWPHWLF

OLPLWHL LQIHULRDUH L VXSHULRDUH D ILHF UHL JUXSH

FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

2000 = 20 ani / muncitor 100 100 Calculul simplificat al mediei aritmetice: k x a i h ni 20 x = i =1 k h + a = 6 + 17 = 20 ani / muncitor. 40 ni x=
i =1

xi ni*

i =1

Calculul modului (M0): Locul M0 HVWH LQWHUYDOXO FX IUHFYHQ D PD[LP -20). Valoarea modului: 1 (12 4) M 0 = x0 + h = 14 + 6 = 14 + 5,33 = 19,33 ani/muncitor 1 + 2 (12 4) + (12 11) Calculul medianei (Me) Locul medianei: LM e =
0HGLDQD HVWH FXSULQV

ni + 1 = 41 = 20,5
2 2
vQ SULPXO LQWHUYDO D F UXL IUHFYHQ FXPXODW HVWH PDL PDUH GHFkW

locul medianei (vezi tab.11). Deci intervalul este (20-26).

ni
M e = x0 + h 2

+1

ni
i =1

m 1

nm unde m este indexul intervalului median.


$QDOL]D VHULLORU GH UHSDUWL LH GH IUHFYHQ H 

= 20 + 6

20 , 5 20 = 20 , 27 ani / muncitor, 11
L PRGXO YH]L FDSLWROXO

3HQWUX FDOFXOXO JUDILF DO LQGLFDWRULORU PHGLL GH SR]L LH PHGLDQ

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL

Se vor folosi datele din tabelul 20.


Grupe de muncitori
GXS 1XP U

vechime (ani) 0 2-8 8-14 14-20 20-26 20-32 32-38 Total

de muncitori (ni) 1 4 4 12 11 6 3 40

Centrul de interval (xi) 2 5 11 17 23 29 35

xi x

xi x ni
4 60 36 36 33 54 45 264

(xi x )

ni

xi a h
a = 17; h=6 6 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -

Tabelul 20.

xi a ni h
7 16 4 0 11 24 27 82

3 -15 -9 -3 3 9 15 -

5 900 324 108 99 486 675 2592

$EDWHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU

d ):

d =

xi x .ni
i =1

ni
i =1 2
k

264 = 6,6 ani / muncitor 40

Dispersia ( ): - FDOFXO RELQXLW

( xi x ) 2 ni 2 = i =1 ni
calcul simplificat:

2592 = 64,8 40

2 =

x a i h ni i =1
k

ni
i =1
WUDWLF

h 2 ( x a) 2 =

82 36 (20 17) 2 = 64,8 40

$EDWHUHD PHGLH S

= = 64,8 = 8,498 ani / muncitor.


2
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH Y L Y 

d 6,6 100 = 100 = 33% x 20 8,0498 v = 100 = 100 = 40,249% x 20 v= SHULD GH UHSDUWL LH QX HVWH RPRJHQ
L PHGLD QX HVWH UHSUH]HQWDWLY SHQWUX VHULH

Calculul coeficientului de asimetrie x Mo 20 19,33 Cas = = = 0,083 VHULD HVWH XRU DVLPHWULF DVLPHWULH SR]LWLY  8,0498 Pentru variabila SURGXF LH LQGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH L YDULD LHL VXQW FDOFXOD L FX DMXWRUXO
GDWHORU GLQ WDEHOHOH  L 

Grupe de
PXQFLWRUL GXS SURGXF LH EXF

1XP

U GH

muncitori (ni) 1 3 8 13 11 2 3 40

Centrul intervalului (yi) 2 44,5 51,5 58,5 65,5 72,5 79,5 -

y i ni

ni*(%) =

ni 100 ni

y i ni*(%)
5 333,75 1030 1901,25 1801,25 362,5 596,25 6025

0 41-48 48-55 55-62 62-69 69-76 76-83 Total


0HGLD DULWPHWLF

3 133,5 412,0 760,5 720,5 145,0 238,5 2410

4 7,5 20,0 32,5 27,5 5,0 7,5 100

yi a h a = 58,5; h=7 6 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -

Tabelul 21. yi a ni h

7 -6 -8 0 11 4 9 10

&DOFXOXO RELQXLW DO PHGLHL DULWPHWLFH

FX IUHFYHQ H DEVROXWH

FX IUHFYHQ H UHODWLYH

y i ni y = i =1 ni
k

2410 = 60,25 buc. / muncitor 40

y=

yi ni*
i =1

100

6025 = 60,25 buc. / muncitor. 100

Calculul simplificat al mediei aritmetice: k y a i h ni 10 y = i =1 h + a = 7 + 58,5 = 60,25 buc. / muncitor 40 ni Calculul modului (M0):
0RGXO VH DIO

-62). 1 (13 8) Mo = y 0 + h = 55 + 7 = 60 buc. / muncitor 1 + 2 (13 8) + (1 11)

vQ LQWHUYDOXO 

Calculul medianei (Me): L Me = 20 , 5

ni
i =1

+1

Me = y 0 + h

ni
i =1

m 1

nm

= 55 + 7

20 , 5 11 = 60 , 12 buc. / muncitor 13

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL

Tabelul 22. Grupare de


PXQFLWRUL GXS SURGXF LH EXF 1XP U GH

muncitori (ni) 1 3 8 13 11 2 3 40

Centrul de interval (yi) 2 44,5 51,5 58,5 65,5 72,5 79,5

yi y
3 -15,75 -8,75 -1,75 5,25 12,25 19,25 -

y i y ni
4 47,25 70,00 22,75 57,75 24,50 57,75 280

(y i y )

ni

yi a h

0 41-48 48-55 55-62 62-69 69-73 76-83 Total

5 744,1875 612,5 39,812 303,1875 300,125 1111,6875 3111,4995

a = 58,5; h=7 6 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -

yi a ni h
7 12 8 0 11 8 27 66

AbatHUHD PHGLH OLQLDU


k

d)

d =

y i y ni
i =1

ni
i =1 k

280 = 7 buc. / muncitor 40

Dispersia (2) - FDOFXOXO RELQXLW

2 =

( y i y ) 2 ni
i =1

ni
i =1

3111,495 = 77,787 40

calculul simplificat

2 =

y a i h ni i =1
k

ni
i =1
WUDWLF

h 2 ( y a) 2 =

66 49 (60,25 58,5) 2 = 77,787 40

$EDWHUHD PHGLH S

= = 77,787 = 8,82 buc. / muncitor.


2
&RHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH Y L Y 

d 7 100 = 100 = 11,62% 60,25 y 8,82 v = 100 = 100 = 14,64% 60,25 y v=


6HULD HVWH RPRJHQ L PHGLD HVWH UHSUH]HQWDWLY 

Calculul coeficientului de asimetrie y M 0 60,25 60 Cas = = = 0,0283 8,82

DVLPHWULH SR]LWLY

QHVHPQLILFDWLY 

4. Verificarea regulii de adunare a dispersiilor


6H YD IRORVL WDEHOXO RE LQXW SULQ JUXSDUHD FRPELQDW D PXQFLWRULORU GXS YHFKLPH SH LQWHUYDOH QHHJDOH L GXS SURGXF LH SH LQWHUYDOH HJDOH 

*UXSH GH PXQFLWRUL GXS

*UXSH GH PXQFLWRUL GXS

SURGXF LH EXF

vechime (ani) 0 2-8 8-26 26-38 Total

41-48 1 1 2 3

48-55 2 3 5 8

55-62 3 13 13

62-69 4 6 5 11

69-76 5 1 1 2

76-83 6 3 3

Tabelul 23. Total (ni..) 7 4 27 9 40

6H FDOFXOHD]  0HGLLOH GH JUXS

( y i ):

yi =

y j nij
j =1 m

nij
j =1

44,5 1 + 51,5 3 = 49,75 buc./muncitor 4 44,5 2 + 51,55 5 + 58,5 13 + 65,5 6 + 72,5 1 y2 = = 58,2407 buc./muncitor 27 65,5 5 + 72,5 1 + 79,5 3 y3 = = 70,944 buc./muncitor 9 y1 =
0HGLD JHQHUDO

y ):
SURGXF LH

SH ED]D GLVWULEX LHL PDUJLQDOH D PXQFLWRULORU GXS

y=

y j n. j
j =1 m

n. j
j =1

y=
-

44,5 3 + 51,5 8 + 58,5 13 + 65,5 11 + 72,5 2 + 79,5 2 = 60,25 buc./muncitor 40

SH ED]D PHGLLORU GH JUXS 

y=

y i ni .
i =1 r

ni.
i =1

49,75 4 + 58,2407 27 + 70,94 9 2410 y= = = 60,25 buc./muncitor 40 40

&DOFXOXO LQGLFDWRULORU VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL

GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS

i2 ):

i2 =

( y j yi ) 2 nij
j =1

nij
j =1

(44,5 49,75) 2 1 + (51,5 49,75) 2 3 = 9,1875 4 (44,5 58,24) 2 # 2 + (51,5 58,24) 2 5 + (58,5 58,24) 2 13 + (65,5 58,24) 2 6 2 2 = + 27 (72,5 58,24) 2 1 + = 41,6736 2

12 =

2 3 =

(65,5 70,94) 2 5 + (72,5 70,94) 2 1 + (79,5 70,94) 2 3 = 41,1358 9

PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS

2 = y/r =
2 =

9,1875 4 + 41,6736 27 + 41,1358 9 38,31 40 dispersia dintre grupe ( 2 ):

i2 ni. ni .

):

2 = 2/ x = y

( yi y ) 2 ni.
i =1

ni .
i =1

(49,75 60,25) 2 4 + (58,24 60,25) 2 27 + (70,94 60,25) 2 9 39,47 40 2 GLVSHUVLD WRWDO ):

2 =

2 =2 = y

( y j y ) 2 n. j
j =1

n. j
j =1

2 =

(44,5 60,25) 2 3 + (51,5 60,25) 2 8 + (58,5 60,25) 2 13 + 40 (65,5 60,25) 2 11 + (72,5 60,25) 2 2 + (79,5 60,25) 2 3 + = 77,78 40
ULL GLVSHUVLLORU

5HJXOD DGXQ

= 2 = 2 + 2 sau y 77,78 = 38,31 + 39,47


2

2 y = 2/ r + 2/ x y y

3H ED]D UHJXOLL GH DGXQDUH D GLVSHUVLLORU VH SRW FDOFXOD DO L GRL LQGLFDWRUL VWDWL

stici:

2 JUDGXO GH GHWHUPLQD LH 5 y/x

):

2 39,47 100 = 100 = 50,75% 2 77,78 2 JUDGXO GH QHGHWHUPLQD LH . y / x ):


2 Ry / x = 2 K y/x =

'LQ UH]XOWDWHOH RE LQXWH UHLHVH F

38,31 2 100 = 100 = 49,25% 2 77,78


YDULD LD WRWDO

D SURGXF LHL VH GDWRUHD]

vQ DSURDSH DFHHDL

pURSRU LH

DWkW IDFWRUXOXL GH JUXSDUH YHFKLPHD vQ PXQF FkW L FHORUODO L IDFWRUL FDUH QX DX IRVW PDL PDUH GHFkW LQIOXHQ D

vQUHJLVWUD L ,QIOXHQ D IDFWRUXOXL GH JUXSDUH YHFKLPH HVWH GRDU FX  IDFWRULORU QHvQUHJLVWUD L

5. Estimarea limitelor pentru prodXF


WRWDOL]DW DO SURGXF LHL (DQWLRQXO ILLQG DOF WXLW GXS

LD PHGLH D FROHFWLYLW

LL WRWDOH L SHQWUX QLYHOXO

XQ SURFHGHX DOHDWRULX VH SRDWH XWLOL]D GLVSHUVLD GLQ HDQWLRQ

pentru calculul erorii de reprezentativitate. 5.1. Sondaj aleatoriu simplu repetat

Eroarea medie de reprezentativitate ( y )

y = y =

(URDUHD OLPLW

2 77,78 = = 1,3944 buc. n 40


y ):

y = z y = 3 1,3944 = 4,1834 buc.

,QWHUYDOXO vQ FDUH YD IL FXSULQV

SURGXF LD PHGLH SH vQWUHDJD FROHFWLYLWDWH

y y < y0 < y + y

60,25 4,1834 < y 0 < 60,25 + 4,1834 56,0666 < y 0 <64,4334 buc./muncitor

,QWHUYDOXO vQ FDUH YD IL FXSULQV SURGXF LD WRWDO SH vQWUHDJD FROHFWLYLWDWH

N y y < yi < N y + y
i =1 400 i =1

400

22426,64 < yi < 25773,36 buc. 5.2. Sondajul aleatoriu simplu nerepetat

Eroarea medie de reprezentativitate

y =

2 n

n 1 = N

77,78 40 1 = 1,3228 buc. 40 400

(URDUHD OLPLW

y = z y = 3 1,3228 = 3,9686 buc.

,QWHUYDOXO vQ FDUH YD IL FXSULQV

SURGXF LD PHGLH SH vQWUHDJD FROHFWLYLWDWH

y y < y0 < y + y 60,25 3,9686 < y 0 < 60,25 + 3,9686 56,2814 < y 0 < 64,2186 buc./muncitor

,QWHUYDOXO vQ FDUH YD IL FXSULQV

SURGXF LD WRWDO

SH vQWUHDJD FROHFWLYLWDWH

N y y < yi < N y + y
i =1 400 i =1

400

22512,66 < yi < 25687,44 buc. 6.


$QDOL]D FRUHOD LHL GLQWUH YHFKLPHD vQ PXQF L SURGXF LD RE LQXW

6.1. &RUHOD LD VLPSO (date negrupate)


6H DSOLF SHQWUX SULPHOH  XQLW L GLQ HDQWLRQ

Metode simple Metoda seriilor paralele interdependente


6H RUGRQHD] FUHVF WRU FRUHVSXQ] WRDUH DOH SURGXF LHL GXS YHFKLPH xi YDULDELOD LQGHSHQGHQW yi (variabila depeQGHQW (vezi tabelul 24.). L VH WUHF YDORULOH

Tabelul 24. Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Vechime (xi) 1 6 12 15 18 19 19 23 24 24 32


3URGXF LH

yi)

2 48 52 53 55 58 68 62 57 72 67
R OHJ WXU GLUHFW 

Concluzie: Cresc valorile xi L YDORULOH yi FHHD FH VXJHUHD]


0HWRGD JUDILF  3HQWUX UHSUH]HQWDUHD JUDILF

VH FRQVWUXLHWH FRUHORJUDPD YH]L ILJ  

80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 vechime (ani)

'LQ JUDILF UH]XOW

~ 

z{| ~} 

Figura 12.
H[LVWHQ D XQHL OHJ WXUL GLUHFWH GH IRUP OLQLDU 

Metode analitice
5HJUHVLD OLQLDU

Yxi = a + bxi
6H DSOLF PHWRGD FHORU PDL PLFL S WUDWH L VH RE LQH VLVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH

n n na + b xi = yi i =1 i =1 , n n n 2 a x i + b x i = x i y i i =1 i =1 i =1

yi xi2 xi xi yi
unde: a =
i =1 i =1

n
i =1

xi2

n xi i =1
n n

n xi y i xi y i

b=

i =1

i =1

n xi2 xi i =1 i =1
n n

i =1 2

'DWHOH QHFHVDUH FDOFXO ULL FHORU GRL SDUDPHWULL VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO

24..

Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total

xi
1 6 12 15 18 19 19 23 24 24 32 192

yi
2 48 52 53 55 58 68 62 57 72 67 592

xi y i
3 288 624 795 990 1102 1292 1426 1368 1728 2144 11757

x i2
4 36 144 225 324 361 361 529 576 576 1024 4156

yi2
5 2304 2704 2809 3025 3364 4624 3844 3249 5184 4489 35596

Yxi = a + bxi
6 48.2202 53.2104 55.7055 58.2006 59.0323 59.0323 62.3591 63.1908 63.1908 69.8444 591.9864

(y

Yx x

Tabelul 24.

(yi y )2

7 0.048488 1.465068 7.319730 10.243840 1.065643 80.419643 0.128953 38.326004 77.602004 8.090611 224.70997

8 125.44 51.84 38.44 17.64 1.44 77.44 7.84 4.84 163.84 60.24 549

10a + 192b = 592 192a + 4156b = 11757

a= b=

592 4156 192 11757 = 43,23 104156 36864 10 11757 192 592 = 0,8317 b > 0 OHJ 10 4156 36864
WXUD GLUHFW

)XQF LD GH UHJUHVLH HVWH

Yxi = 43,23 + 0,8317 xi


9DORULOH IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH YDORUL DMXVWDWH VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO  FRORDQD 

,QWHQVLWDWHD OHJ

WXULL GLQWUH FHOH GRX

YDULDELOH VH P VRDU

FX LQGLFDWRU

ii:

FRHILFLHQW GH FRUHOD LH

ry/x):
n n i =1 i =1

ry / x

= 2 n n n n n xi2 xi n yi2 yi i =1 i =1 i =1 i =1 10 11757 192 592 = 0,768 10 4156 (192) 2 10 3596 (592) 2
2

n xi y i xi y i
i =1

][

ry/x = 0,768

UDSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH

Ry/x):
i

Ry / x =

( yi Yx ) 2 1 ( yi y ) 2

Datele necesare sunt prezentate n tabelul 24.


592 = 59,2 buc./muncitor. n 10 224,70997 = 0,59069 = 0,768 Ry/x = 1 549 Concluzie: ([LVW R OHJ WXU LQWHQV  GLUHFW L OLQLDU y=
i =1

yi

vQWUXFkW

3HQWUX YHULILFDUHD VHPQLILFD LHL YDORULL FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU

ry/x = Ry/x = 0,768.


VLPSO

VH XWLOL]HD]

testul t: t= pentru
 L Q

ry / x 1 ry2/ x

n2 =

0,59069 1 0,59069

10 2 = 2,6116

'DF 

tcalc

2 = 8 grade de libertate ttab = 2,306. > ttab UH]XOW F ry/x HVWH VHPQLILFDWLY

L P VRDU

OHJ WXUD OLQLDU  GLUHFW

vQWUH

YHFKLPH L SURGXF LH &DOFXOXO FRHILFLHQ LORU GH FRUHOD LH D UDQJXULORU

(tabelul 25):
Tabelul 25.

Nr. crt 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total

Vechimea
vQ PXQF

3URGXF LD

Ranguri

(yi) 2 48 52 53 55 58 68 62 57 72 67 -

(xi) 1 6 12 15 18 19 19 23 24 24 32 -

rxi
3 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 -

r yi
4 1 2 3 4 6 9 7 5 10 8 -

d i = rxi ryi
5 0 0 0 0 -1 -4 1 2 -3 0 -

d i2
6 0 0 0 0 1 16 1 4 9 0 d i =31
2

Pi 7 9 8 7 6 4 1 2 2 0 0 Pi=39

Qi 8 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 1 0 Qi=6

Si=Pi-Qi 9 9 8 7 6 3 -2 1 2 -1 0 Si =33

coeficient Spearman (rS): 6 d i2 6 31 rS = 1 3 = 1 3 = 0,812 n n 10 10 coeficient Kendall (rK): 2S 2 33 66 rK = 2 = 2 = = 0,73 n n 10 10 90


F H[LVW UHOD LD

9DORDUHD FRHILFLHQ LORU DUDW YDULDELOH L vQ DFHVW FD] VH YHULILF

rK < rS.

R OHJ WXU

GLUHFW

GHVWXO GH SXWHUQLF

vQWUH FHOH GRX

6.2. &RUHOD

LD SH ED]D GDWHORU JUXSDWH FRPELQDW

din tabelul 26.


SURGXF LH \i

Grupe de muncitori GXS YHFKLPH [i) 0 2-8 8-14 14-20 20-26 26-32 32-38 Total (n.j)

6XEJUXSH GH PXQFLWRUL GXS

41-48 1 1 2 3

48-55 2 3 2 2 1 8

55-62 3 7 6 13

62-69 4 3 3 4 1 11

) 69-76 5 1 1 2

76-83 6 1 2 3

Tabelul 26. Total (ni.) 7 4 4 12 11 6 3 40

Metode simple
0HWRGD WDEHOXOXL GH FRUHOD LH 'DF YDORULOH FHORU GRX VH RUGRQH]H vQ WLQG V

vezi tabelul 26.).


GUHDSWD MRV UH]XOW F H[LVW R OHJ WXU

YDULDELOH ; L < VXQW RUGRQDWH FUHVF WRU LDU IUHFYHQ HOH FRQGL LRQDWH

nij

jurul diagonalei (stnga sus


FRQGL LRQDWH

GLUHFW  0HWRGD JUXS 6H FDOFXOHD] ULL PHGLLOH GH JUXS

yi ):

y1 = 49,75 buc/muncitor y 2 = 48 buc/muncitor y3 = 59,083 buc/muncitor y 4 = 61,045 buc/muncitor y5 = 69 buc/muncitor y 6 = 74,83 buc/muncitor
6H REVHUY FUHWHUH 5H]XOW F F SH P VXU H[LVW FH FUHWH YHFKLPHD vQ PXQF GLUHFW  *UDILFXO VXJHUHD] H[LVWHQ D XQHL L SURGXF LD PHGLH DUH R WHQGLQ GH R OHJ WXU

0HWRGD JUDILF

(vezi diagrama norului de puncte - ILJ 

OHJ WXUL GLUHFWH L OLQLDUH

Metode analitice Metoda regresiei liniare: Y x i = a + bxi


6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL QRUPDOH HVWH

na + b xi ni. = y j n. j i i =1 a xi ni. + b xi2 ni. = xi y j nij i i i j

'DWHOH QHFHVDUH FDOFXO ULL FHORU GRL SDUDPHWUL VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO 

Tabelul 27. Nr. crt. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total

xi
1 5 11 17 23 29 35 i

ni.
2 4 4 12 11 6 3

xi ni.
3 20 44 204 253 174 105 xini.=800
2

x i n i.
4 100 484 3468 5819 5046 3675 x i ni.=18592

yj
5 44,5 51,5 58,5 65,5 72,5 79,5 -

n. j
6 3 8 13 11 2 3 40

y j n. j
7 133,5 412,0 760,5 720,5 145,0 238,5 yjn.j=410

y j n. j
8 5940,75 21218,0 44489,25 47192,75 10512,5 18960,75 y j n.j=148314
2
i

xi y j nij
j

9 995 2112 12056 15444,5 12006 7857,5

ni. = 40

xi y j nij = 50463
j

6LVWHPXO GH HFXD LL

b > 0 OHJ

xi2 ni. y j n. j xi ni. xi y j nij = 2410 18592 800 50468 = 42,75 a= 2 40 18952 800 2 n xi2 ni. ( xi ni. ) n xi y j nij y j n. j xi ni. 40 50468 2410 800 = = 0,875 b= 2 40 18952 800 2 n xi2 ni. ( xi ni. )
WXUD GLUHFW 

40a + 800b = 2410 800a + 18592b = 50468

)XQF LD GH UHJUHVLH HVWH

Y x i = 42,75 + 0,875xi Valorile teoretice ale pURGXF LHL GHWHUPLQDWH GH YHFKLPH VXQW Y X1 = 47,125 Y X 2 = 52,375 Y X 3 = 57,625 Y X 4 = 62,875 Y X 5 = 68,125 Y X 6 = 73,375
0HWRGHOH GH P VXUDUH D LQWHQVLW LL OHJ WXULL

0HWRGD FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH

ry / x = =
-

[n x n
F

n xi y j nij xi ni. y j n. j ( xi ni. ) n y 2 n. j j


2

2 i i.

][

( y j n. j )2 ]

40 50468 2410 800 103680 124460

= 0,7986
L GLUHFW

5H]XOW

OHJ WXUD HVWH SXWHUQLF

ry/x > 0). 28..

0HWRGD UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH OLQLDU

'DWHOH QHFHVDUH FDOFXO ULL DFHVWXL LQGLFDWRU VXQW SUH]HQWDWH vQ WDEHOXO

Y xi
0 47,125 52,375 57,625 62,875 68,125 73,375 (yj-Y X i )
2

yj
44,5 1 6,8906 124,0312 130,9218 744,186 51,5 2 57,4218 1,5312 75,0312 129,3906 263,3748 612,496 58,5 3 5,3593 114,8437 120,203 39,806 65,5 4 186,0468 20,6718 27,5625 62,0156 296,2967 303,182 72,5 5 92,6406 19,1406 111,7812 300,124 79,5 6 129,3906 75,0312 204,4218 1111,686

(y j Yx ) nij
2
i

Tabelul 28.

nij

(yj - y )2n.j

7 64,3124 125,5624 266,4377 357,5467 176,0937 137,0468 (yj Yxi)2nij= =1126,9997 (yj - y )2n. j= =3111,48

Ry / x = 1

(y j Yx )2 nij (y j y )2 n. j
i

Ry / x = 1 Deci ry/x = Ry/x


GHWHUPLQD LH

1126,997 = 0,63779 = 0,7986 3111,48


L LQWHQV  FX FRHILFLHQWXO GH

 FRUHOD LH OLQLDU  GLUHFW

3URSRU LD vQ FDUH SURGXF LD HVWH LQIOXHQ DW

GH YHFKLPH VH FDOFXOHD]

2 y/x

2 R y / x = (0,7986)2 = 0,6377 sau 63,78%


Q FHOH GRX YDULDQWH GDWH QHJUXSDWH L GDWH JUXSDWH OHJ WXUD HVWH SXWHUQLF L GH WL

p liniar.

Breviar de formule

xh =

ni
i =1

x
i =1

1
i

xp =

x i2 n i
i =1

ni

ni
i =1

i =1

i=1

n i

ni + 1
i =1

Mo = x 0 + h

1 1 + 2

Me = x0 + h
m

ni
i =1

m 1

nm
=

yi =

y j nij
j =1 m

nij
j =1
r 2 y/x

y=

yi ni .
i =1

ni .
i =1
2

i2 =

( y j y i ) 2 nij
i =1

nij
j =1

i =1 r

2 i n i.

n i.
i =1

(y i y) 2 n i.
i =1

n i.
i =1

2 p =

2 Ni p
i =1
i

Ni
i =1
2 0

2 p

(p i p) 2 N i
i =1

Ni
i =1

x = z

2 0 n

n=

2 2 z 0

2x

=z

(1

n ) N

n=

2 2 z 0

2x +

2 2 z 0 N

Yxi = a + bxi

na + b xi = y i 2 a x i + b x i = x i y i

k m na + b xi ni. = y j n. j i =1 j =1 k k k m a x n + b x 2 n = i i. x i y j nij i i. i =1 i =1 i =1 j =1

ry / x =

[n x
i

n xi yi ( xi )( yi )
2 i

( xi ) 2 n yi2 ( yi ) 2

][
i

ry / x =

n xi y j nij ( xi ni. )( y j n. j )
j j

2 2 2 2 n xi ni. ( xi ni. ) n y j n. j ( y j n. j ) i j i j

Ry/x =

(Y x ( yi

y)2 y)2

R y/x =

(y i Yx ) 2 1 (y i y) 2
i

R y/x = 1

(y j Yx ) 2 n ij
i

(y j y) 2 n .j
rs = 1
y1 y cr = 2

R y/x =
6 d i2 n n
3

(Yx y) 2 n i. (y j y) 2 n .j
i

ad bc Q= ad + bc

rk =
yn 2

2S n (n 1)

+ y 2 + ... + y i +... + y n 1 + n 1

d d + d2 d + di d + d n 1 d y1 1 + y 2 1 + ...y i i1 + ...y n -1 n -2 + y n n 1 2 2 2 2 2 y cr = n 1 di
i =1

yn y1 n 1

I = n 1

yn y1

I =

ni
i =1

n I 1n1 I 2 2 ... I ini ... I knk

Yt = y1 + (t 1)

Yt = y1 I t 1
na + b t i = y i 2 a t i + b t i = t i yi

Yti = a + b ti

i1y/ 0 =
I 1y/(0x , f ) =

x1 f1 x0 f 0 i1y/ 0 x0 f 0 y ( x, f ) I1/ 0 = x0 f 0
I 1y/(0f ) =

y1 x f = 1 1 y 0 x0 f 0
I 1y/(0f ) =
sau

i1f/ 0 =

x0 f1 x0 f 0

f1 f0

i1x/ 0 =

x1 x0

I 1y/(0x ) =
I 1y/(0x , f ) =

x1 f1 1 i y x1 f1
1/ 0

x1 f1 x0 f1

x0 f 0 x0 f 0
i1f/ 0

I 1y/(0x ) =

x1 f1 1 i x x1 f1
)

x( I SVx , f

x1 = x0

x1 f1 : x0 f 0 f1 f 0
x( I SF x ) =

x I VS( f

1/ 0 *

x1 x
*

x1 f1 : x0 f1 f1 f 1

x = x0

x 0 f1 : x 0 f 0 f1 f 0

Anexa 1
7DEHO FX YDORULOH IXQF LHL *DXVV

-Laplace
( z ) = 1 2

z e
(z)

+z

z2 2 dz

z 0,00 0,01 0,02 0,03 0,04 0,05 0,06 0,07 0,08 0,09 0,10 0,11 0,12 0,13 0,14 0,15 0,16 0,17 0,18 0,19 0,20 0,21 0,22 0,23 0,24 0,25 0,26 0,27 0,28 0,29 1,50 1,51 1,52 1,53

(z) 0,0000 0,0080 0,0160 0,0239 0,0319 0,0399 0,0478 0,0558 0,0638 0,0717 0,0797 0,0876 0,0955 0,1034 0,1113 0,1192 0,1271 0,1350 0,1428 0,1507 0,1585 0,1663 0,1741 0,1819 0,1897 0,1974 0,2051 0,2128 0,2205 0,2282 0,8664 0,8690 0,8715 0,8740

z 0,30 0,31 0,32 0,33 0,34 0,35 0,36 0,37 0,38 0,39 0,40 0,41 0,42 0,43 0,44 0,45 0,46 0,47 0,48 0,49 0,50 0,51 0,52 0,53 0,54 0,55 0,56 0,57 0,58 0,59 1,72 1,73 1,74 1,75

(z) 0,2358 0,2434 0,2510 0,2586 0,2661 0,2737 0,2812 0,2886 0,2961 0,3035 0,3108 0,3182 0,3255 0,3328 0,3401 0,3473 0,3545 0,3626 0,3688 0,3759 0,3829 0,3899 0,3969 0,4039 0,4108 0,4177 0,4245 0,4313 0,4331 0,4448 0,9146 0,9164 0,9181 0,9199

z 0,60 0,61 0,62 0,63 0,64 0,65 0,66 0,67 0,68 0,69 0,70 0,71 0,72 0,73 0,74 0,75 0,76 0,77 0,78 0,79 0,80 0,81 0,82 0,83 0,84 0,85 0,86 0,87 0,88 0,89 1,94 1,95 1,96 1,97

z 0,90 0,91 0,92 0,93 0,94 0,95 0,96 0,97 0,98 0,99 1,00 1,01 1,02 1,03 1,04 1,05 1,06 1,07 1,08 1,09 1,10 1,11 1,12 1,13 1,14 1,15 1,16 1,17 1,18 1,19 2,32 2,34 2,36 2,38

(z) 0,6319 0,6372 0,6424 0,6476 0,6528 0,6579 0,6629 0,6680 0,6729 0,6778 0,6827 0,6875 0,6923 0,6970 0,7017 0,7063 0,7109 0,7154 0,7199 0,7243 0,7287 0,7330 0,7375 0,7415 0,7457 0,7499 0,7540 0,7560 0,7620 0,7660 0,9797 0,9807 0,9817 0,9827

z 1,20 1,21 1,22 1,23 1,24 1,25 1,26 1,27 1,28 1,29 1,30 1,31 1,32 1,33 1,34 1,35 1,36 1,37 1,38 1,39 1,40 1,41 1,42 1,43 1,44 1,45 1,46 1,47 1,48 1,49 2,76 2,78 2,80 2,82

(z) 0,7699 0,7737 0,7775 0,7813 0,7850 0,7887 0,7923 0,7959 0,7995 0,8030 0,8064 0,8098 0,8132 0,8165 0,8198 0,8230 0,8262 0,8293 0,8324 0,8355 0,8385 0,8415 0,8444 0,8473 0,8501 0,8529 0,8557 0,8584 0,8611 0,8638 0,9942 0,9946 0,9949 0,9952

0,4515 0,4581 0,4647 0,4713 0,4778 0,4843 0,4907 0,4971 0,5035 0,5098 0,5161 0,5223 0,5285 0,5346 0,5407 0,5467 0,5527 0,5587 0,5646 0,5705 0,5763 0,5821 0,5878 0,5935 0,5991 0,6047 0,6102 0,6157 0,6211 0,6265 0,9476 0,9488 0,9500 0,9512

z 1,54 1,55 1,56 1,57 1,58 1,59 1,60 1,61 1,62 1,63 1,64 1,65 1,66 1,67 1,68 1,69 1,70

(z) 0,8764 0,8789 0,8812 0,8836 0,8859 0,8882 0,8904 0,8926 0,8948 0,8969 0,8990 0,9011 0,9031 0,9051 0,9070 0,9090 0,9109

z 1,76 1,77 1,78 1,79 1,80 1,81 1,82 1,83 1,84 1,85 1,86 1,87 1,88 1,89 1,90 1,91 1,92

(z) 0,9216 0,9233 0,9249 0,9265 0,9281 0,9297 0,9312 0,9328 0,9342 0,9357 0,9371 0,9385 0,9399 0,9412 0,9426 0,9439 0,9451

z 1,98 1,99 2,00 2,02 2,04 2,06 2,08 2,10 2,12 2,14 2,16 2,18 2,20 2,22 2,24 2,26 2,28

(z) 0,9523 0,9534 0,9545 0,9566 0,9587 0,9606 0,9625 0,9643 0,9660 0,9676 0,9692 0,9707 0,9722 0,9736 0,9749 0,9762 0,9774

z 2,40 2,42 2,44 2,46 2,48 2,50 2,52 2,54 2,56 2,58 2,60 2,62 2,64 2,66 2,68 2,70 2,72

(z) 0,9836 0,9845 0,9853 0,9861 0,9869 0,9876 0,9883 0,9889 0,9895 0,9901 0,9907 0,9912 0,9917 0,9922 0,9926 0,9931 0,9935

z 2,84 2,86 2,88 2,90 2,92 2,94 2,96 2,98 3,00 3,20 3,40 3,60 3,80 4,00 4,50 5,00

(z) 0,9955 0,9958 0,9960 0,9962 0,9965 0,9967 0,9969 0,9971 0,9973 0,9986 0,9993 0,99968 0,99986 0,9999 0,99999 0,99999

Anexa 2
7DEHO FX YDORULOH UHSDUWL LHL 678'(17 vQ IXQF LH GH SUREDELOLWDWHD L QXP UXO I DO JUDGHORU GH OLEHUWDWH

P(t t )

1LYHO GH VHPQLILFD LH SHQWUX WHVWXO ELODWHUDO

a f 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 35 40 45 50 60 70 80 90 100 120 200 500 1000 8 a f

0,50 1,000 0,816 0,765 0,741 0,727 0,718 0,711 0,706 0,703 0,700 0,697 0,695 0,694 0,692 0,691 0,690 0,689 0,688 0,688 0,687 0,686 0,686 0,685 0,685 0,684 0,684 0,684 0,683 0,683 0,683 0,682 0,681 0,680 0,679 0,679 0,678 0,678 0,677 0,677 0,677 0,676 0,675 0,675 0,675 0,25

0,20 3,078 1,886 1,638 1,533 1,476 1,440 1,415 1,397 1,383 1,372 1,363 1,356 1,350 1,345 1,341 1,337 1,333 1,330 1,328 1,325 1,323 1,321 1,319 1,318 1,316 1,315 1,314 1,313 1,312 1,310 1,306 1,303 1,301 1,299 1,296 1,294 1,292 1,291 1,290 1,289 1,286 1,283 1,282 1,282 0,10

0,10 6,314 2,920 2,353 2,132 2,015 1,943 1,895 1,860 1,833 1,812 1,796 1,782 1,771 1,761 1,753 1,746 1,740 1,734 1,729 1,725 1,721 1,717 1,714 1,711 1,708 1,706 1,703 1,701 1,699 1,697 1,690 1,684 1,679 1,676 1,671 1,667 1,664 1,662 1,660 1,658 1,653 1,648 1,646 1,645 0,05

0,05 12,706 4,303 3,482 2,776 2,571 2,447 2,365 2,306 2,262 2,228 2,201 2,179 2,160 2,145 2,131 2,120 2,110 2,101 2,093 2,086 2,080 2,074 2,069 2,064 2,060 2,056 2,052 2,048 2,045 2,042 2,030 2,021 2,014 2,009 2,000 1,994 1,990 1,987 1,984 1,980 1,972 1,965 1,962 1,960 0,025

0,02 31,821 6,965 4,541 3,747 3,365 3,143 2,998 2,896 2,821 2,764 2,718 2,681 2,650 2,624 2,602 2,583 2,567 2,552 2,539 2,528 2,518 2,508 2,500 2,492 2,485 2,479 2,473 2,467 2,462 2,457 2,438 2,423 2,412 2,403 2,390 2,381 2,374 2,368 2,364 2,358 2,345 2,334 2,330 2,326 0,01

0,01 63,657 9,925 5,841 4,604 4,032 3,707 3,499 3.355 3,250 3,169 3,106 3,055 3,102 2,977 2,947 2,921 2,898 2,878 2,861 2,845 2,831 2,819 2,807 2,797 2,787 2,779 2,771 2,763 2,756 2,750 2,724 2,704 2,690 2,678 2,660 2,648 2,639 2,632 2,626 2,617 2,601 2,586 2,581 2,576 0,005

0,002 318,309 22,327 10,214 7,173 5,893 5,208 4,785 4,501 4,297 4,144 4,025 3,930 3,852 3,787 3,733 3,686 3,646 3,610 3,579 3,552 3,527 3,505 3,485 3,467 3,450 3,435 3,421 3,408 3,396 3,385 3,340 3,307 3,281 3,261 3,232 3,211 3,195 3,183 3,174 3,160 3,131 3,107 3,098 3,090 0,001

0,001 636,618 31,598 12,924 8,610 6,869 5,959 5,408 5,041 4,781 4,587 4,437 4,318 4,221 4,140 4,073 4,015 3,965 3,922 3,883 3,850 3,819 3,792 3,767 3,745 3,725 3,707 3,690 3,674 3,659 3,646 3,591 3,551 3,520 3,496 3,460 3,435 3,416 3,402 3,390 3,373 3,340 3,310 3,300 3,290 0,0005

0,0001 6366,198 99,992 28,000 15,544 11,178 9,082 7,885 7,120 6,594 6,211 5,921 5,694 5,513 5,363 5,239 5,134 5,014


4,897 4,837 4,784 4,736 4,693 4,654 4,619 4,587 4,558 4,530 4,506 4,482 4,389 4,321 4,269 4,288 4,169 4,127 4,096 4,072 4,053 4,025 3,970 3,922 3,906 3,891 0,00005

Nivel de semnifica LH SHQWUX WHVWXO XQLODWHUDO

Anexa 3
5HSDUWL LD ) )LVKHU 6QHGHFRU 9DORULOH IXQF LHL

2 2 F ( F = s1 s 2 ) pentru l1, l2 grade de libertate L = 0,05, = 0,01 QLYHO GH VHPQLILFD LH

l2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 40 60 120

l1 = 1 l1 = 2 l1 = 3 l1 = 4 l1 = 5 = 0,05 = 0,01 = 0,05 = 0,01 = 0,05 = 0,01 = 0,05 = 0,01 = 0,05 = 0,01 161,40 4052,00 199,50 4999,00 215,70 5403,00 224,60 5625,00 230,20 5764,00 18,51 98,49 19,00 99,00 19,16 99,17 19,25 99,25 19,30 99,30 10,13 34,12 9,55 30,81 9,28 29,46 9,12 28,71 9,01 28,24 7,71 21,20 6,94 18,00 6,59 16,69 6,39 15,98 6,26 15,52 6,61 16,26 5,79 13,27 5,41 12,06 5,19 11,39 5,05 10,97 5,99 13,74 5,14 10,91 4,76 9,78 4,53 9,15 4,39 8,75 5,59 12,25 4,74 9,55 4,35 8,45 4,12 7,85 3,97 7,45 5,32 11,26 4,46 8,65 4,07 7,59 3,84 7,01 3,69 6,63 5,12 10,56 4,26 8,02 3,86 6,99 3,63 6,42 3,48 6,06 4,96 10,04 4,10 7,56 3,71 6,55 3,48 5,99 3,33 5,64 4,84 9,65 3,98 7,20 3,59 6,22 3,36 5,67 3,20 5,32 4,75 9,33 3,88 6,93 3,49 5,95 3,26 5,41 3,11 5,06 4,67 9,07 3,80 6,70 3,41 5,74 3,18 5,20 3,02 4,86 4,60 8,86 3,74 6,51 3,34 5,56 3,11 5,03 2,96 4,69 4,54 8,68 3,68 6,36 3,29 5,42 3,06 4,89 2,90 4,56 4,49 8,53 3,63 6,23 3,24 5,29 3,01 4,77 2,85 4,44 4,45 8,40 3,59 6,11 3,20 5,18 2,96 4,67 2,81 4,34 4,41 8,28 3,55 6,01 3,16 5,09 2,93 4,58 2,77 4,25 4,38 8,18 3,52 5,93 3,13 5,01 2,90 4,50 2,74 4,17 4,35 8,10 3,49 5,85 3,10 4,94 2,87 4,43 2,71 4,10 4,32 8,02 3,47 5,78 3,07 4,87 2,84 4,37 2,68 4,04 4,30 7,94 3,44 5,72 3,05 4,82 2,82 4,31 2,66 3,99 4,28 7,88 3,42 5,66 3,03 4,76 2,80 4,26 2,64 3,94 4,26 7,82 3,40 5,61 3,01 4,72 2,78 4,22 2,62 3,90 4,24 7,77 3,38 5,57 2,99 4,68 2,76 4,18 2,60 3,86 4,22 7,72 3,37 5,53 2,98 4,64 2,74 4,14 2,59 3,82 4,21 7,68 3,35 5,49 2,96 4,60 2,73 4,11 2,57 3,78 4,20 7,64 3,34 5,45 2,95 4,57 2,71 4,07 2,56 3,75 4,18 7,60 3,33 5,42 2,93 4,54 2,70 4,04 2,54 3,73 4,17 7,56 3,32 5,39 2,92 4,51 2,69 4,02 2,53 3,70 4,08 7,31 3,23 5,18 2,84 4,31 2,61 3,83 2,45 3,51 4,00 7,08 3,15 4,98 2,76 4,13 2,52 3,65 2,37 3,34 3,92 6,85 3,07 4,79 2,68 3,95 2,45 3,48 2,29 3,17 3,84 6,64 2,99 4,60 2,60 3,78 2,37 3,32 2,21 3,02

Anexa 4
2 Valorile variabilei n func
LH GH SUREDELOLWDWHD

2 = P( 2 > )

a l 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

0,990

0,975

0,950

0,900

0,100

0,050

0,025

0,010

0,001

0,0002 0,02 0,12 0,30 0,55 0,87 1,24 1,65 2,09 2,56 3,05 3,57 4,11 4,66 5,23 5,81 6,41 7,01 7,63 8,26 8,90 9,54 10,20 10,86 11,52 12,20 12,88 13,57 14,26 14,95

0,0010 0,05 0,22 0,48 0,83 1,24 1,69 2,18 2,70 3,25 3,82 4,40 5,01 5,63 6,26 6,91 7,56 8,23 8,91 9,59 10,28 10,98 11,69 12,40 13,12 13,84 14,57 15,31 16,05 16,79

0,0039 0,10 0,35 0,71 1,15 1,64 2,17 2,73 3,33 3,94 4,57 5,23 5,89 6,57 7,26 7,96 8,67 9,39 10,12 10,85 11,59 12,34 13,09 13,85 14,61 15,38 16,15 16,93 17,71 18,49

0,0158 0,21 0,58 1,06 1,61 2,20 2,83 3,49 4,17 4,87 5,58 6,30 7,04 7,79 8,55 9,31 10,08 10,86 11,65 12,44 13,24 14,04 14,85 15,66 16,47 17,29 18,11 18,94 19,77 20,60

2,71 4,61 6,25 7,78 9,24 190,64 12,02 13,36 14,68 15,99 17,27 18,55 19,81 21,06 22,31 23,54 24,77 25,99 27,20 28,41 29,61 30,81 32,01 33,20 34,38 35,56 36,74 37,92 39,09 40,26

3,84 5,99 7,81 9,49 11,07 12,59 14,07 15,51 16,92 18,31 19,67 21,03 22,36 23,68 25,00 26,30 27,59 28,87 30,14 31,41 32,67 33,92 35,17 36,41 37,65 38,88 40,11 41,34 42,56 43,77

5,02 7,38 9,35 11,14 12,83 14,45 16,01 17,53 19,02 20,48 21,92 23,34 24,74 26,12 27,49 28,84 30,19 31,53 32,85 34,17 35,48 36,78 38,08 39,37 40,65 41,92 43,19 44,46 45,72 46,98

6,63 9,21 11,34 13,28 15,09 16,81 18,47 20,09 21,67 23,21 24,72 26,22 27,69 29,14 30,58 32,00 33,41 34,80 36,19 37,57 38,93 40,29 41,64 42,98 44,31 45,64 46,96 48,28 49,59 50,89

10,83 13,82 16,27 18,47 20,52 22,46 24,32 26,13 27,88 29,59 31,26 32,91 34,53 36,12 37,70 39,25 40,79 42,31 43,82 45,32 46,80 48,27 49,73 51,18 52,62 54,05 55,48 56,89 58,30 59,70

Tabelul cu nuPHUH vQWkPSO


Seria 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 1 78.994 04.909 46.582 29.242 68.104 17.156 50.711 39.449 75.629 01.020 08.337 76.829 39.708 89.836 25.903 71.345 61.454 80.376 45.144 12.191 62.936 31.588 20.787 45.603 31.606 10.452 37.016 66.725 07.380 71.621 03.466 12.692 52.192 56.691 74.952 2 36.244 58.485 73.570 89.792 81.339 02.182 94.789 52.409 82.729 55.151 89.989 47.229 30.641 55.817 61.370 03.422 92.263 08.909 54.373 88.527 59.120 96.798 96.048 00.745 64.782 33.074 64.633 97.865 74.438 57.688 13.263 32.931 30.941 72.529 43.041

WRDUH

Anexa 5

3 02.673 70.786 33.004 88.634 97.090 82.504 07.171 75.095 76.916 36.132 24.290 19.706 21.267 56.747 66.081 01.015 14.647 30.470 05.505 58.852 73.957 43.668 84.726 84.635 34.027 76.718 67.301 25.409 82.120 58.256 23.917 97.387 44.998 66.063 58.869

4 25.475 93.930 51.795 60.285 20.601 19.880 02.103 77.720 72.657 51.971 08.618 30.094 56.501 75.195 54.076 68.025 08.473 40.200 90.074 51.175 35.969 12.611 17.512 43.079 56.734 99.556 50.949 37.498 17.890 47.702 20.417 34.822 17.833 73.570 15.677

5 84.953 34.880 86.477 07.190 78.940 93.747 99.057 39.729 58.992 32.155 66.798 69.430 95.182 06.818 67.442 19.703 34.124 46.558 24.783 11.534 21.598 01.714 39.450 52.724 09.365 16.026 91.298 00.816 40.963 74.724 11.315 53.775 94.563 86.860 78.598

6 61.793 73.059 46.736 07.795 20.228 80.910 98.775 03.205 32.576 60.735 25.889 92.399 72.442 83.043 52.964 77.313 10.740 61.742 86.299 87.218 47.287 77.266 43.618 14.262 20.008 00.013 74.968 99.262 55757 89.419 52.805 91.674 23.062 68.125 43.520

7 50.243 06.823 60.460 27.011 22.803 78.260 37.997 09.313 01.154 64.867 52.860 98.749 21.445 47.403 23.823 04.555 40.839 11.643 20.900 04.876 39.394 55.079 30.629 05.750 93.559 78.411 73.631 14.471 13.492 08.025 33.072 76.549 95.725 40.436 97.521

8 63.423 80.257 70.345 85.941 96.070 25.136 18.325 43.545 84.890 35.424 57.375 22.081 17.276 58.266 02.718 83.425 05.620 92.121 15.144 85.584 08.778 24.690 24.356 89.373 78.384 95.107 57.397 10.232 68.294 68.519 07.723 37.635 38.463 31.303 83.248

Seria 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

9 18.752 61.691 49.197 19.436 39.143 82.244 55.847 94.095 11.751 69.902 21.850 75.850 29.648 82.740 36.842

10 43.693 04.944 63.948 87.291 64.893 67.549 56.155 95.970 69.469 08.995 25.352 46.992 22.086 28.443 42.092
)

11 32.867 43.111 38.947 71.684 14.606 76.491 42.878 07.826 25.521 27.821 25.556 25.165 42.581 42.734 52.075

12 53.017 28.325 60.207 74.859 13.543 09.761 23.708 25.991 44.097 11.758 92.161 55.906 85.677 25.518 83.926

13 22.661 82.319 70.667 76.501 09.621 74.494 97.999 37.584 07.511 64.989 23.592 62.339 20.251 82.827 42.875

14 39.610 65.589 39.843 93.456 68.301 91.307 40.131 56.966 88.976 61.902 43.294 88.958 39.641 35.825 71.500

15 03.796 66.048 60.607 95.714 69.817 64.222 52.360 68.623 30.122 32.121 10.479 91.717 65.786 90.288 69.216

16 02.622 98.498 15.328 92.518 52.140 66.592 90.398 83.454 67.542 28.165 37.879 15.756 80.689 32.911 01.350

5HSURGXV GXS

Mills, Statistical Methode, Columbia University, Third edition,

New York, 1955

Bibliografie

1.

',

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6WDWLVWLFD DSOLFDW

vQ HFRQRPLH %XFXUHWL

GOSCHIN, Z. CRISTACHE, S. E. 2. BIJI, E. LILEA, E. WAGNER, P. BIJI, E. LILEA, E. WAGNER, P. BIJI, E. WAGNER, P. LILEA, E. PETCU, N.
9 78, 0

(GLWXUD /XFHDI UXO 

6WDWLVWLF

WHRUHWLF

L HFRQRPLF

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(GLWXUD 'LGDFWLF

L 3HGDJRJLF  

3.

6WDWLVWLF

 %XFXUHWL (GLWXUD 7LWX 0DLRUHVFX 

4.

6WDWLVWLF

 %XFXUHWL (GLWXUD 'LGDFWLF

L 3HGDJRJLF 

1995

5. 6.

GOSCHIN, Z. ISAIC MANIU, AL.


0,758  &

6WDWLVWLF

 %XFXUHWL (GLWXUD

Expert, 1999

6WDWLVWLF

SHQWUX PDQDJHPHQWXO DIDFHULORU %XFXUHWL

(GLWXUD (FRQRPLF  

VOINEAGU, V. 7. LILEA, E. GOSCHIN, Z.


9 78, 0 6WDWLVWLF  %XFXUHWL (GLWXUD ([SHUW 

BOLDEANU, D. 8. VOINEAGU, V.
0,758  & 6WDWLVWLF WHRUHWLF L PDFURHFRQRPLF  7HVWH OXFU UL 

ISAIC-MANIU, AL.
, $1 (

practice, studii de caz %XFXUHWL (GLWXUD (FRQRPLF 1998

BARON, T. MATACHE, S. ISAIC-MANIU, I.


(5%$1 '

7HVWH JULO

&XOHJHUHD SUHOXFUDUHD SULPDU

L SUH]HQWDUHD GDWHORU VWDWLVWLFH

1.

(WDSHOH SULQFLSDOH DOH FHUFHW ULL VWDWLVWLFH VXQW D REVHUYDUHD E SUHOXFUDUHD F DQDOL]D L LQWHUSUHWDUHD G GHFL]LD

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEF  % DEF

,d); C(c,d).

2.

(OHPHQWXO FRQVWLWXWLY DO FROHFWLYLW D SRSXOD LD VWDWLVWLF  H LQIRUPD LD

LL VXSXVH LQYHVWLJD LHL VWDWLVWLFH HVWH F FDUDFWHULVWLFD VWDWLVWLF  G PRGHOXO

E XQLWDWHD VWDWLVWLF 

3.

$QVDPEOXO HOHPHQWHORU GH DFHHDL QDWXU D SRSXOD LD VWDWLVWLF  G PRGHOXO

VXSXVH LQYHVWLJD LHL VWDWLVWLFH UHSUH]LQW  F FDUDFWHULVWLFD VWDWLVWLF 

E XQLWDWHD VWDWLVWLF 

H LQIRUPD LD

4.

&ULWHULXO SH ED]D F UXLD VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] D SRSXOD LD VWDWLVWLF  H LQIRUPD LD

XQLWDWHD VWDWLVWLF

HVWH G PRGHOXO

E XQLWDWHD VWDWLVWLF 

F FDUDFWHULVWLFD VWDWLVWLF 

5. Caracteristicile statistice pot fi:


D GH WLPS GH VSD LX VDX DWULEXWLYH E DOWHUQDWLYH VDX QHDOWHUQDWLYH

c) primare sau derivate; d) calitative sau cantitative; e) empirice sau teoretice.


$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEFGH  % DEFG  & GH  ' DFH 

6. Vrsta HVWH R FDUDFWHULVWLF


D DWULEXWLY QXPHULF 

VWDWLVWLF  F FDOLWDWLY QHDOWHUQDWLY  G GH WLPS

E GHULYDW 

7. Variabila QXP
D FDOLWDWLY 

UXO VDODULD LORU E FRQWLQX 

este o caracWHULVWLF

VWDWLVWLF 

F GLVFUHW 

G DOWHUQDWLY 

8.

&DUDFWHULVWLFD VWDWLVWLF D FDOLWDWLY 

profesie este:
F GLVFUHW  G DOWHUQDWLY 

E FRQWLQX 

9. Productivitatea muncii HVWH R FDUDFWHULVWLF VWDWLVWLF  a) calitDWLY  E GHULYDW  F GLVFUHW  G DOWHUQDWLY  10. Caracteristicile statistice pot fi:
D GH WLPS E GH VSD LX F DWULEXWLYH G UHSUH]HQWDWLYH $OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEF  % DEFG  & DG 

11.

&ROHFWLYLW

LOH VWDWLVWLFH SRW IL

a) dH WLPS GH VSD LX VDX DWULEXWLYH E DOWHUQDWLYH VDX QHDOWHUQDWLYH c) primare sau derivate; d) calitative sau cantitative; e) statice sau dinamice. 12.
(VWH R REVHUYDUH WRWDO  D DQFKHWD VWDWLVWLF  E UHFHQV PkQWXO F VRQGDMXO VWDWLVWLF

d) obsHUYDUHD S

U LL SULQFLSDOH

13.

(VWH R REVHUYDUH SHUPDQHQW  D DQFKHWD VWDWLVWLF  E UHFHQV PkQWXO F VRQGDMXO VWDWLVWLF

G REVHUYDUHD S U LL SULQFLSDOH

H UDSRUWXO VWDWLVWLF

14.

6RQGDMXO VWDWLVWLF VH FDUDFWHUL]HD]

SULQ F HVWH R REVHUYDUH SDU LDO 

a) rapiditate; b) economiciWDWH d) erori de nregistrare mai mici.

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEFG  % FG  & DG 

15.

'DWHOH RE LQXWH SULQ REVHUYDUH VXQW VXSXVH XQXL FRQWURO

a) de volum; b) aritmetic; c) logic; d) economic.


$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEF  % FG  & DG 

16.

$WXQFL FkQG YDULDELOD vQUHJLVWUDW D JUXSDUHD SH YDULDQWH

SUH]LQW

XQ QXP U UHGXV GH YDULDQWH VH UHFRPDQG  F JUXSDUHD FRPELQDW 

E JUXSDUHD SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH

d) gruparea pe tipuri calitative. 17. AtXQFL FkQG YDULDELOD vQUHJLVWUDW


VH UHFRPDQG  D JUXSDUHD SH YDULDQWH E JUXSDUHD SH LQWHUYDOH GH YDULD LH F JUXSDUHD FRPELQDW  SUH]LQW XQ QXP U PDUH GH YDORUL LQGLYLGXDOH GLVWLQFWH

d) gruparea pe tipuri calitative. 18.


Q FD]XO vQ FDUH VH XUP UHWH VWUXFWXUD FROHFWLYLW QXPHULFH VH UHFRPDQG  D JUXSDUHD SH YDULDQWH E JUXSDUHD VLPSO  F JUXSDUHD FRPELQDW  LL VLPXOWDQ GXS GRX FDUDFWHULVWLFL

d) gruparea pe tipuri calitative. 19. Elementele obligatorii ale unui tabel statistic sunt: a) subiectuO E SUHGLFDWXO F UH HDXD GH UkQGXUL L FRORDQH
G WLWOXO JHQHUDO L WLWOXULOH LQWHULRDUH H VXUVD GDWHORU $OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEFGH  % FG  & DE 

20. Seriile statistice pot fi:


D GH WLPS E GH VSD LX F GH GLVWULEX LH D IUHFYHQ HORU G GH HYROX LH $OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEF  % FG  & DG 

21.

Q YHGHUHD SUH]HQW ULL FDUDFWHULVWLFLORU DWULEXWLYH QXPHULFH VH IRORVHVF VHULL VWDWLVWLFH D GH WLPS E GH VSD LX F GH GLVWULEX LH D IUHFYHQ HORU G RULFH WLS

22.

Q YHGHUHD SUH]HQW ULL HYROX LHL vQ WLPS D XQXL IHQRPHQ VH IRORVHVF VHULL VWDWLVWLFH D FURQRORJLFH E WHULWRULDOH F GH UHSDUWL LH G RULFH WLS

23.

Q YHGHUHD SUH]HQW ULL HYROX LHL vQ VSD LX D XQXL IHQRPHQ VH IRORVHVF VHULL VWDWLVWLFH

a) cronolRJLFH

E WHULWRULDOH

F GH UHSDUWL LH

G RULFH WLS

24. Elementele unui grafic sunt:


D WLWOXO E D[HOH GH FRRUGRQDWH F UH HDXD G VFDUD GH UHSUH]HQWDUH H OHJHQGD L VXUVD GDWHORU $OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEFGH  % FG  & DE 

25.

7LSXO GH JUDILF IRORVLW SHQWUX VHULLOH GH GLVWULEX LH GH IUHFYHQ H HVWH

a) histograma; b) corelograma; c) cronograma; d) diagrama de volum. 26. Tipul de grafic folosit pentru seriile interdependente este: a) histograma; b) corelograma; c) cronograma; d) diagrama de volum. 27. Tipul de grafic folosit pentru seriile cronologice este: a) histograma; b) corelograma; c) cronograma; d) diagrama de volum.

Indicatori statistici
1.
3ULQWUH IXQF LLOH LQGLFDWRULORU VWDWLVWLFL QX VH LQFOXG D IXQF LLOH GH P VXUDUH L FRPSDUDUH F IXQF LLOH GH SODQLILFDUH L FRQWURO E IXQF LLOH GH DQDOL] L VLQWH] 

G IXQF LD GH HVWLPDUH

H IXQF LLOH GH YHULILFDUH D LSRWH]HORU L GH WHVWDUH D VHPQLILFD LHL

2.

* VL L FODVLILFDUHD LQFRUHFW 

a) indicatori statLVWLFL SULPDUL L GHULYD L


F LQGLFDWRUL VWDWLVWLFL VLQWHWLFL L DQDOLWLFL

E LQGLFDWRUL VWDWLVWLFL SULPDUL L DEVROX L

G P ULPL DEVROXWH UHODWLYH L PHGLL LQGLFL HFXD LL GH HVWLPDUH

3.

Q FD]XO FROHFWLYLW

LORU FDUH QX VXQW vPS U LWH vQ JUXSH QX V

e pot calcula:

D P ULPL UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXU  F P ULPL UHODWLYH DOH SODQXOXL

E P ULPL UHODWLYH DOH GLQDPLFLL G P ULPL UHODWLYH GH GLQDPLF 

4.

0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH VH P VRDU  D QXPDL vQ SURFHQWH F vQ XQLWDWHD GH P VXU E vQ FRHILFLHQ L SURFHQWH SURPLOH SURGHFLP D FDUDFWHULVWLFLL VWDWLVWLFH UHVSHFWLYH

ile sau procentimile;

G VXQW P ULPL DGLPHVLRQDOH /D FDOFXODUHD XQHL P ULPL UHODWLYH QX HVWH REOLJDWRULX FD

5.

a) b) c) d) 6.

WHUPHQLL UDSRUWXOXL V V H[LVWH R OHJ WXU

ILH FRPSDUDELOL

GH FRQGL LRQDUH vQWUH WHUPHQLL FRPSDUD L ILH VHPQLILFDWLY V ILH RPRJHQ  VH UHSUH]LQW JUDILF SULQ F GLDJUDPH GH VWUXFWXU  SHQWUX IHQRPHQXO DQDOL]DW

ED]D GH FRPSDUD LH V FROHFWLYLWDWHD VWDWLVWLF

0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXU D KLVWRJUDP 

E SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU

d) diagrame de volum; e) diagrame prin benzi. 7.


0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH FRRUGRQDUH VH UHSUH]LQW D KLVWRJUDP  E SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU JUDILF SULQ G FURQRJUDP  F GLDJUDPH GH VWUXFWXU 

e) diagrame prin benzi sau coloane. 8.


0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH DOH SODQXOXL VH UHSUH]LQW D GLDJUDPD SULQ FRORDQH G GLDJUDPH GH YROXP JUDILF SULQ F GLDJUDPH GH VWUXFWXU  E SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU

H FURQRJUDP  JUDILF SULQ F GLDJUDPH GH VWUXFWXU 

9.

0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH DOH GLQDPLFLL VH UHSUH]LQW D FURQRJUDP  E SROLJRQXO IUHFYHQ HORU

d) diagrame de volum; e) diagrame radiale.

10.

3HQWUX D FRPSDUD GRX D GH VWUXFWXU 

JUXSH DOH DFHOHLDL FROHFWLYLW F GH FRRUGRQDUH

L IRORVLP P ULPL UHODWLYH G GH LQWHQVLWDWH H GH GLQDPLF 

E DOH SODQXOXL

11.

3HQWUX D P VXUD HYROX LD vQ WLPS D IHQRPHQXOXL DQDOL]DW IRORVLP P ULPL UHODWLYH D GH VWUXFWXU  E DOH SODQXOXL F GH FRRUGRQDUH G GH LQWHQVLWDWH H GH GLQDPLF 

12.

3HQWUX D FRPSDUD GRL LQGLFDWRUL GLIHUL L  GDU LQWHUGHSHQGHQ L IRORVLP P ULPL UHODWLYH D GH VWUXFWXU  E DOH SODQXOXL F GH FRRUGRQDUH G GH LQWHQVLWDWH H GH GLQDPLF 

13.

3HQWUX D FRPSDUD QLYHOXO UHDOL]DW DO XQXL IHQRPHQ FX FHO SURJUDPDW IRORVLP P ULPL

relative:
D GH VWUXFWXU  E DOH SODQXOXL F GH FRRUGRQDUH G GH LQWHQVLWDWH H GH GLQDPLF 

14.

3HQWUX

FRPSDUD

QLYHOXO

DEVROXW

DO

XQHL

JUXSH

FX

DQVDPEOXO

FROHFWLYLW

LL

IRORVLP

P ULPL UHODWLYH D GH VWUXFWXU  E DOH SODQXOXL F GH FRRUGRQDUH G GH LQWHQVLWDWH H GH GLQDPLF 

15. ProductivLWDWHD PXQFLL HVWH R P


D GH VWUXFWXU  E DOH SODQXOXL

ULPH UHODWLY  F GH FRRUGRQDUH G GH LQWHQVLWDWH H GH GLQDPLF 

16.

1XP UXO PXQFLWRULORU GLQ SULPD VHF LH D XQHL XQLW

L HFRQRPLFH UHSUH]LQW



ID

GH

QXP UXO PXQFLWRULORU GLQ FHD GH D GRXD VHF LH D DFHOHLDL XQLW HVWH R P ULPH UHODWLY  D GH VWUXFWXU  E D SODQXOXL F GH FRRUGRQDUH

L ,QGLFDWRUXO UHVSHFWLY

G GH LQWHQVLWDWH

H GH GLQDPLF 

17.

0 ULPLOH UHODWLYH GH VWUXFWXU

QX VH UHSUH]LQW

JUDILF FX WUDW

a) diagrama prin cerc; b GLDJUDPD SULQ GUHSWXQJKLF GLDJUDPD SULQ S d) diagrama prin benzi.

,QGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH

1.

0HGLD DULWPHWLF

UHSUH]LQW  E XQ LQGLFDWRU GH FRUHOD LH H R P VXU D RPRJHQLW LL

D XQ LQGLFDWRU DO WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH F R P VXU D DVLPHWULHL

G XQ LQGLFDWRU HFRQRPLF

2.

,QGLFDWRUXO FDUH UHG D PRGXO

FHHD FH HVWH HVHQ LDO L WLSLF vQWU F GLVSHUVLD

-o colectivitate este:
G PHGLDQD H PHGLD

E FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

3. Valorile aberante (anormal de mari sau mici) nu infOXHQ HD]


D PHGLD E PHGLDQD F GLVSHUVLD

G FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

4.

Q FD]XO vQ FDUH WHUPHQLL VHULHL VWDWLVWLFH DX YDORUL SR]LWLYH L QHJDWLYH VH XWLOL]HD]

media:
D DULWPHWLF  E DUPRQLF  F S WUDWLF  G JHRPHWULF 

5. n cazul n FDUH SUHGRPLQ


D DULWPHWLF 

YDORULOH PLFL DOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL VH XWLOL]HD] F S WUDWLF  G JHRPHWULF 

PHGLD

E DUPRQLF 

6.

FD]XO

vQ

FDUH

QX

HVWH

SRVLELO

vQVXPDUHD

WHUPHQLORU

VHULHL

VWDWLVWLFH

VH

XWLOL]HD]

media:
D DULWPHWLF  E DUPRQLF  F S WUDWLF  G JHRPHWULF 

7.

Q FD]XO vQ FDUH WHUPHQLL VHULHL VWDWLVWLFH DX YDORUL QHJDWLYH VDX QXOH QX VH XWLOL]HD]

media:
D DULWPHWLF  E DUPRQLF  F S WUDWLF  G JHRPHWULF 

8.

QWUH

PHGLD

DUPRQLF UHOD LD

xh

PHGLD

S WUDWLF

x p 

FDOFXODWH

SHQWUX

DFHHDL

VHULH

VWDWLVWLF  H[LVW

a) xh > x p ; b) xh = x p ; c) xh < x p ; 9.
QWUH PHGLD DULWPHWLF VWDWLVWLF  H[LVW UHOD LD

d) nu se pot compara.

L PHGLD JHRPHWULF

x p 

FDOFXODWH SHQWUX DFHHDL VHULH

a) x > x p ; b) x = x p ; c) x < x p ; 10.


9DORDUHD FDUDFWHULVWLFLL VWDWLVWLFH FDUH

d) nu se pot compara.
VH vQWkOQHWH FHO PDL IUHFYHQW vQ FDGUXO VHULHL

statistice nu este: a) modulul; b) moda; c) mediana; d) dominanta seriei; e) modul. 11.


/D R ILUP  VDODULXO PHGLX DO SHUVRQDOXOXL GH DGPLQLVWUD LH HVWH GH  PLO OHL LDU FHO DO PXQFLWRULORU GH  PLOOHL &DUH HVWH SRQGHUHD SHUVRQDOXOXL GH DGPLQLVWUD LH GDF

salariul mediu lunar al firmei este de 3 mil. lei? a) 50%; b) 30%; c) 25%; d) 20%. 12. Studentele dintr-R
JUXS DX vQ O LPHD PHGLH GH  FP LDU VWXGHQ LL  FP &DUH HVWH GDF SRQGHUHD VWXGHQWHORU HVWH  "

vQ O LPHD PHGLH vQ JUXSD UHVSHFWLY

a) 170cm; b) 169cm; c) 165cm; d) 175cm. 13.


3UH XO XQXL SURGXV D FUHVFXW vQ PHGLH FX  OXQDU vQ SULPXO VHPHVWUX DO DQXOXL L FX  SH vQWUHJXO DQ D IRVW

OXQDU vQ VHPHVWUXO DO GRLOHD &UHWHUHD PHGLH OXQDU

a) 1,5%; b) 1%; c) 2%; d) 3%; e) nu se poate calcula. 14.


'LQDPLFD SURGXF LHL UHDOL]DWH GH R ILUP vQ SULPHOH DVH OXQL DOH DQXOXL D IRVW  

112%, 108%, 106%,111%,120%. Tipul de medie cel mai indicat a se calcula n acest caz este:
D DULWPHWLF  E DUPRQLF  F S WUDWLF  G JHRPHWULF 

15. ntr-XQ
LQGLFDW

PDJD]LQ GH vQF O

PLQW

e au fost vndute ntr-o zi 10 perechi de pantofi avnd

XUP WRDUHOH P ULPL  'HQXPL L P ULPHD PHGLH FHD PDL D VH FDOFXOD vQ DFHVW FD] E PHGLD DUPRQLF  F PRGXO G PHGLD JHRPHWULF  H

D HGLD DULWPHWLF 

mediana.

16.

1RWHOH RE LQXWH GH XQ VWXGHQW vQWU R VHVLXQH GH H[DPHQH DX IRVW  'HQXPL L

WLSXO GH PHGLH SH FDUH YD SUHIHUD VWXGHQWXO V D DULWPHWLF  E DUPRQLF  F S WUDWLF 

R FDOFXOH]H vQ DFHVW FD]

G JHRPHWULF 

17. Temperaturile nregisWUDWH OD RUD SUkQ]XOXL OD R VWD LH PHWHR vQ SULPD V decembrie au fost(grade celsius): -2,-1,+1,+3,+1,-4,- 'HQXPL L WLSXO indicat a se calcula n acest caz.
D DULWPHWLF  E DUPRQLF  F S WUDWLF  G JHRPHWULF 

SW PkQ

GLQ OXQD

GH PHGLH FHO PDL

18.

WLLQG F

PHGLD DULWPHWLF

VLPSO

D ]HFH WHUPHQL HVWH  GDF

VH DGDXJ

OD ILHFDUH

WHUPHQ  GH XQLW

L L WRWRGDW

VH vPSDUWH OD  FDUH YD IL QRXD PHGLH RE LQXW "

a) 30; b) 330; c) 270; d) 300. 19. Cele 10 hoteluri dintr-XQ RUD DX IRVW HYDOXDWH Dstfel: 2 hoteluri- 3stele, 5 hoteluri-2stele, 3 hoteluri-1stea. Care este valoarea medie pe total? a) 2 stele; b) 3 stele; c) 1,9 stele; d) nu se poate calcula. 20.
QFDV ULOH OXQDUH RE LQXWH GH PDJD]LQHOH GLQWU R UH HD GH GLVWULEX LH DX IRVW PLO OHL

):
D

       3UHFL]D L FDUH HVWH YDORDUHD PHGLH FHD PDL LQGLFDW

se calcula.
D PHGLH DULWPHWLF  E PHGLH DUPRQLF  F PHGLDQ  G QLFL XQD

21.

/D GRX UHVSHFWLY

DQFKHWH vQ UkQGXO VWXGHQ LORU   GLQWUH FHL  GH

GLQWUH FHL  GH SDUWLFLSDQ L OD X OD XQ DOW FXUV V DX

n curs,
SHQWUX ULL

SDUWLFLSDQ L

SURQXQ DW

GHVILLQ DUHD FXUVXOXL GH VWDWLVWLF  &H SURFHQW PHGLX GH VWXGHQ L HVWH IDYRUDELO GHVILLQ FXUVXOXL GH VWDWLVWLF "

a) 17,5%; b) 18%; c) 18,5%; d) 17%. 22. O maLQ


 NPRU SDUFXUJH  SRU LXQL HJDOH DOH XQXL WUDVHX FX YLWH]HOH GH  NPRU   NPRU  L  NPRU  &DUH D IRVW YLWH]D PHGLH SH vQWUHJXO GUXP" E  NPRU  F  NPRU  G  NPRU 

D  NPRU 

23.

/D XQ FRQFXUV GH JLPQDVWLF

FHOH  SDUWLFLSDQWH GLQ 5RPkQLD DX RFXSDW XUP WRDUHOH

locuri: 11,4,5,9,8,2,12. Ce loc au ocupat gimnastele n medie? a) 9; b) 8; c) 7; d)7,3. 24.


Q GRX

WRWDO GH RPHUL DVWIH

l: zona A: 15%, respectiv 100 mii persoane zona B: 20%, respectiv 150 mii persoane.

]RQH DOH XQHL UHJLXQL V DX VWDELOLW XUP WRDUHOH SRQGHUL DOH RPHULORU L QXP UXO

6WDELOL L SRQGHUHD PHGLH D RPHULORU SH WRWDO UHJLXQH

a) 18; b) 17; c) 17,65; d) 18,5. 25.


'LVWULEX LD VWXGHQ LORU GLQWU R JUXS

GXS

QRWD OD H[DPHQXO GH VWDWLVWLF

HV

te:

Nota
1U VWXGHQ L

4 2

5 4

6 6

7 8

8 5

9 4

10 1

Total 30

9DORDUHD PHGLDQ

HVWH

a) 5; b) 6; c) 7; d) 8; e) 9. 26.
7UHL S WULPL GLQ YDORULOH LQGLYLGXDOH DOH XQ D FXDUWLOD LQIHULRDU  E FXDUWLOD D WUHLD

ei serii statistice sunt mai mari dect:


F PHGLDQD G FXDUWLOD VXSHULRDU 

27. 25% din valorile individuale ale unei serii statistice sunt mai mari dect:
D FXDUWLOD LQIHULRDU  E PRGXO F PHGLDQD G FXDUWLOD VXSHULRDU 

28.

-XP WDWH GLQ YDORULOH LQGLYLGXDOH DOH XQHL FDUDFWHULVWLFL VLWXDWH vQ FHQWUXO VHULHL VWDWLVWLFH

sunt:
D PDL PDUL GHFkW FXDUWLOD LQIHULRDU  E PDL PLFL GHFkW FXDUWLOD D WUHLD L FXDUWLOD VXSHULRDU 

c) egale cu mediana; d) cuprinse ntre FXDUWLOD LQIHULRDU e) mai mari dect mediana.

29.

,QGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH VXQW

a) media mediana,modul; b) mediana, modul; c) cuartilele; d) cuantilele. 30.


1X VXQW LQGLFDWRUL PHGLL GH SR]L LH

a) mediana; b) modul;

F FXDUWLOHOH

G GHFLOHOH

H PHGLD DULWPHWLF 

31. Pentru calculul grafic al medianei se folosesc:


D GLDJUDPHOH IUHFYHQ HORU FXPXODWH FUHVF WRU VDX GHVFUHVF WRU E KLVWRJUDPD

c) diagramele prin coloane; d) diagramele de volum. 32. Pentru calculul grafic al modului se folosesc:
D GLDJUDPHOH IUHFYHQ HORU FXPXODWH FUHVF WRU VDX GHVFUHVF WRU E KLVWRJUDPD

c) diagramele prin benzi; d) diagramele de volum.

,QGLFDWRULL YDULD LHL L DVLPHWULHL

1.

&DUDFWHUL]DUHD UHDOL]HD] FX

JUDGXOXL

GH

vPSU WLHUH

XQLW

LORU

SXUW WRDUH

DOH

FDUDFWHULVWLFLL

VH

D LQGLFDWRULL VLPSOL L VLQWHWLFL DL YDULD LHL F QGLFLL WHULWRULDOL G LQGLFLL GH GLQDPLF 

E UHJXOD GH DGXQDUH D GLVSHUVLLORU H LQGLFDWRULL PHGLL GH SR]L LH

2.

3HQWUX D P VXUD JUDGXO GH RPRJHQLWDWH D XQHL VHULL VWDWLVWLFH XWLOL] P D DEDWHUHD PHGLH S WUDWLF  G FRHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH E PHGLD H PHGLDQD F FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

3.

Q FD]XO XQHL GLVWULEX LL FRQGL LRQDWH D YDULDELOHL < vQ IXQF LH GH XQ IDFWRU GH JUXSDUH ; HVWH DGHY UDW vQ RULFH VLWXD LH UHOD LD HVWH HJDO FX VXPD GLQWUH PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS L GLVSHUVLD

a) b) c) d) e) 4.

GLVSHUVLD JHQHUDO

dintre grupe;
GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH HVWH PDL PDUH GHFkW PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS  GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH HVWH PDL PLF GHFkW PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS 

GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH HVWH PDL PDUH GHFkW GLVSHUVLD WRWDO  GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH HVWH HJDO FX PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS 

Q FD]XO XQHL GLVWULEX LL FRQGL LRQDWH D YDULDELOHL < vQ IXQF LH GH XQ IDFWRU GH JUXSDUH ; YDULD LD FDUDFWHULVWLFLL < VXE LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU vQWkPSO WRUL VH P VRDU D GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS  E GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH L GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH SULQ

F GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH GLVSHUVLD WRWDO G GLVSHUVLD WRWDO 

H QX VH SRDWH FDOFXOD

5. n cazul unei

GLVWULEX LL FRQGL LRQDWH D YDULDELOHL < vQ IXQF LH GH XQ IDFWRU GH JUXSDUH ; SULQ

YDULD LD FDUDFWHULVWLFLL < VXE LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU HVHQ LDOL VH P VRDU D GLVSHUVLLOH GH JUXS  E GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH L GLVS

F GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH GLVSHUVLD WRWDO G GLVSHUVLD WRWDO 

ersia dintre grupe;

H PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS 

6.

6HULLOH VWDWLVWLFH vQ FDUH SUHGRPLQ D PHGLD HVWH LQIHULRDU PRGXOXOXL

YDORULOH PDUL DOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL YHULILF E PHGLDQD HVWH VXSHULRDU G PHGLD HVWH PDL PLF

UHOD LLOH

PHGLHL

c) mRGD HVWH PDL PLF

GHFkW PHGLD

GHFkW FXDUWLOD D GRXD

H PHGLDQD L PRGXO VXQW HJDOH $OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEH  % DEG  & EGH  ' DEF 

7.

'LVWULEX LLOH XQLGLPHQVLRQDOH SHUIHFW VLPHWULFH YHULILF

UHOD LLOH PHGLHL

a) mediD HVWH LQIHULRDU


F PRGD HVWH PDL PLF

PRGXOXOXL GHFkW PHGLD

E PHGLDQD HVWH VXSHULRDU G PHGLD HVWH HJDO

FX FXDUWLOD D GRXD

H PHGLDQD L PRGXO VXQW HJDOH $OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEH  % HG  & EGH  ' DEF 

8. ntr-o gruS
D VLPHWULF 

GH VWXGHQ L YkUVWD PHGLH HVWH GH  DQL GDU FHL PDL PXO L VWXGHQ L DX  GH

DQL 'LVWULEX LD HVWH E SR]LWLY DVLPHWULF  F QHJDWLY DVLPHWULF 

9. Valoarea coeficientului de varia LH HVWH LQYHUV SURSRU LRQDO FX P ULPHD a) mediei; E GLVSHUVLHL F DEDWHULL PHGLL S WUDWLFH G DEDWHULL PHGLL OLQLDUH 10. ntr-R
VHF LH D XQHL XQLW L HFRQRPLFH SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PHGLH HVWH GH  EXF L SH

PXQFLWRU FX R DEDWHUH PHGLH OLQLDU

GH  EXF

L LDU vQWU R DOW

VHF LH SURGXFWLYLWDWHD

mediH HVWH  FX DEDWHUH PHGLH OLQLDU


D VHF LD , E VHF LD ,, G DX DFHODL QLYHO GH RPRJHQLWDWH

GH  &DUH FROHFWLYLWDWH HVWH PDL RPRJHQ "

F QLFL XQD QX HVWH RPRJHQ 

11.

9DORDUHD UDSRUWXOXL GH QHGHWHUPLQD LH HVWH GLUHFW SURSRU LRQDO

FX

a) vDULD LD FDUDFWHULVWLFLL < VXE LQIOXHQ D IDFWRULORU vQWkPSO


E GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH G GLVSHUVLD WRWDO  H PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS 

WRUL L GLVSHUVLD GLQWUH JUXSH

F GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH GLVSHUVLD WRWDO

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DFH  %

a,b,c); C(d,e).
L PHGLD GLVSHUVLLORU GH JUXS 

12.

'DF

YDORDUHD UDSRUWXOXL GH GHWHUPLQD LH HVWH 

FDUH HVWH P ULPHD GLVSHUVLHL GLQWUH JUXSH"

a) 250; b) 150; c) 200. 13.


0 ULPHD QHJDWLY D R OHJ WXU D FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH DVLPHWULH LQGLF  E R OHJ WXU GLUHFW 

LQYHUV 

F SUHSRQGHUHQ D YDORULORU PDUL DOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL G SUHSRQGHUHQ D YDORULORU PLFL DOH FDUDFWHULVWLFLL H R DVLPHWULH IRDUWH PDUH

Cercetarea prin sondaj


1.
&HUFHW ULOH VHOHFWLYH VXQW VLQJXUHOH SRVLELOH SHQWUX

a) controlul caOLW LL SURGXVHORU SULQ PHWRGH GLVWUXFWLYH b) GHWHUPLQDUHD SUHIHULQ HORU FRQVXPDWRULORU c) DQDOL]D YHQLWXULORU L FKHOWXLHOLORU SRSXOD LHL d) HVWLPDUHD SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL

2.

8Q HDQWLRQ HVWH FRQVLGHUDW UHSUH]HQWHWLY DWXQFL FkQG

a) YROXPXO V X HVWH PLF b) reproduFH vQ VWUXFWXUD VD VWUXFWXUD FROHFWLYLW LL JHQHUDOH c) eroarea medie de reprezentativitate este mare; d) s-D IRORVLW VHOHF LD DOHDWRDUH

3. Erorile probabile de sondaj sunt: a) GLUHFW SURSRU LRQDOH FX YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL b) LQYHUV SURSRU LRQDOH FX YROXPXO HDQWLRQului; c) LQGHSHQGHQWH GH YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL d) evitabile. 4.
3UHFL]LD VRQGDMXOXL DOHDWRU UHSHWDW VH GXEOHD] GDF 

a) HDQWLRQXO VH GXEOHD]  b) HDQWLRQXO VH UHGXFH OD MXP WDWH c) YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL VH P UHWH GH  RUL d) YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL VH PLFRUHD] GH  RUL e) nX H[LVW OHJ WXU vQWUH YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL L SUHFL]LD VRQGDMXOXL 5.
3UHFL]LD VRQGDMXOXL FUHWH GDF 

a) b) c) 6.

VH P UHWH YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL VH PLFRUHD] YROXPXO HDQWLRQXOXL

VH IDF VHOHF LL GLULMDWH

'DF

V D H[FOXV RULFH LQWHUYHQ LH VXELHFWLY

OD DOHJHUHD HDQWLRQXOXL DWXQFL VHOHF LD HVWH

D DOHDWRDUH

E GLULMDW 

F PL[W 

G LQFRUHFW 

7.

&RPSDUDWLY FX VHOHF LD UHSHWDW  VHOHF LD QHUHSHWDW D HURUL PDL PDUL E HURUL PDL PLFL

SUHVXSXQH G H[FOXGH HURULOH

F DFHODL QLYHO GH HURDUH

8.

3URFHGHXO WUDJHULL OD VRU L VH IRORVHWH D SHQWUX FROHFWLYLW L GH GLPHQVLXQL PDUL E SHQWUX FROHFWLYLW L GH GLPHQVLXQL PLFL

F SHQWUX VHOHF LL GLULMDWH

G SHQWUX VHOHF LD PHFDQLF 

9. Erorile de reprezentativitate specifice sondajului pot fi:


D VLVWHPDWLFH L vQWkPSO WRDUH F HIHFWLYH L SUREDELOH E GH vQUHJLVWUDUH L GH FDOFXO G FDQWLWDWLYH L FDOLWDWLYH

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DF  % DEF  & G 

10.

Q FD]XO FROHFWLYLW XWLOL]HD] 

LLORU RPRJHQH IRUPDWH GLQ XQLW

L VLPSOH QHvPS U LWH vQ JUXSH VH

D VHOHF LD DOHDWRDUH VLPSO  F VHOHF LD WLSLF 

E VHOHF LD PHFDQLF  G VHOHF LD GH VHULL

11.

Q FD]XO FROHFWLYLW XWLOL]HD] 

LLORU QHRPRJHQH IRUPDWH GLQ XQLW

L VLPSOH vPS U LWH v

n grupe, se

D VHOHF LD DOHDWRDUH VLPSO  F VHOHF LD WLSLF 

E VHOHF LD PHFDQLF  G VHOHF LD GH VHULL

12.

Q FD]XO FROHFWLYLW

LLORU IRUPDWH GLQ XQLW

L FRPSOH[H VH XWLOL]HD] 

D VHOHF LD DOHDWRDUH VLPSO  F VHOHF LD WLSLF 

E VHOHF LD PHFDQLF  G VHOHF LD GH VHULL

13.

3HQWUX

RE LQH

DFHHDL

SUHFL]LH

UH]XOWDWHORU HDQWLRQXO

FRQVWLWXLW

SULQ

VWUDWLILFDUH

(sondaj tipic) este: a) mai mic dect cel pentru sondajul aleatoriu simplu; b) mai mare dect cel pentru sondajul aleatoriu simplu; c) egal cu cel pentru sondajul aleatoriu simplu. 14.
/D DFHODL YROXP DO HDQWLRQXOXL vQ FD]XO VRQGDMXOXL DOHDWRULX VLPSOX SUHFL]LD HVWH D PDL PDUH GHFkW OD VRQGDMXO WLSLF E PDL PLF GHFkW OD VRQGDMXO WLSLF F HJDO

Analiza seriilor interdependente


1.
'XS QDWXUD UHOD LHL GH FDX]DOLWDWH OHJ WXULOH GLQWUH IHQRPHQH SRW IL

D DVRFLHUH VDX FRUHOD LH

; ;

F IXQF LRQDOH VDX VWDWLVWLFH

b) simple sau multiple ; d) directe sau inverse.

2.

'XS

QXP UXO GH FDUDFWHULVWLFL OXDWH vQ FRQVLGHUD LH OHJ WXULOH VWDWLVWLFH GLQWUH IHQRPHQH

pot fi : a) directe sau inverse ;


F DVRFLHUH VDX FRUHOD LH

b) simple sau multiple ; d) liniare sau neliniare.


D FDUDFWHULVWLFLORU DQDOL]DWH OHJ WXULOH VWDWLVWLFH GLQWUH

3.

'XS

PRGXO

GH

H[SULPDUH

fenomene pot fi :
D DVRFLHUH VDX FRUHOD LH

; c) sincrone sau asincrone;

b) liniare sau neliniare ; d) directe sau inverse. :

4.

'XS

GLUHF LD GH UHDOL]DUH OHJ WXULOH VWDWLVWLFH GLQWUH IHQRPHQH SRW IL

a) simple sau multiple ;


F IXQF LRQDOH VDX VWDWLVWLFH

b) liniare sau neliniare ; d) directe sau inverse. :

5.

'XS

IRUPD GH UHDOL]DUH OHJ WXULOH VWDWLVWLFH GLQWUH IHQRPHQH SRW IL

a) liniare ; 6.
'XS

b) parabolice ; c) hiperbolice ;

d)

H[SRQHQ LDOH

PRPHQWXO UHDOL] ULL OHJ WXULOH VWDWLVWLFH SRW IL

a) concomitente sau cu decalaj ; b) sincrone sau asincrone ; c) directe sau inverse ; G DVRFLHUH VDX FRUHOD LH ; e) a sau b. 7.
'HSHQGHQ D YkQ] ULORU GH P UIXUL GH VXSUDID D FRPHUFLDO D VLPSO  E DVLQFURQ  F LQGLUHFW  UHSUH]LQW R OHJ WXU

G GH FRUHOD LH 

H GLUHFW 

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEFGH  % DEH  & DGH  ' FG 

8.

&UHWHUHD SURGXF LHL GDWRUDW D VLPSO  E DVLQFURQ 

SURFHVXOXL LQYHVWL LRQDO UHSUH]LQW F LQGLUHFW  G GH FRUHOD LH 

R OHJ WXU

H GLUHFW 

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEFGH  % DEH  & DGH  ' DEGH 

9.

/HJ WXUD GLQWUH UDPXUD GH DFWLYLWDWH L VDODULXO PHGLX UHSUH]LQW D IXQF LRQDO L GLUHFW   E OLQLDU L LQYHUV

R OHJ WXU

F GH DVRFLHUH L VLPSO

G GH FRUHOD LH L VLQFURQ 

10.

'HSHQGHQ D SURILWXOXL GH FLIUD GH DIDFHUL L FKHOWXLHOLOH GH SURGXF LH UHSUH]LQW VWDWLVWLF : a) de asociere ;

R OHJ WXU

b) asincroQ

F LQYHUV

G PXOWLSO 

11.

$WXQFL FkQG XQHL DQXPLWH YDORUL D IHQRPHQXOXL FDX] IHQRPHQXOXL HIHFW OHJ WXUD HVWH D IXQF LRQDO  E VWRFKDVWLF 

vL FRUHVSXQGH R VLQJXU

YDORDUH D

:
F GLUHFW  G VLQFURQ 

12. Atunci cnd fenomenul efect deSLQGH GH PDL PXOWH IHQRPHQH FDX]
D PXOWLSO  E VWDWLVWLF  F LQGLUHFW  G GH FRUHOD LH

 OHJ WXUD HVWH

13.

$WXQFL FkQG HIHFWXO VH WUDQVIRUP ODQ  OHJ WXULOH VXQW

vQ FDX]

SULQ LQWHUPHGLXO XQRU UHOD LL GH FDX]DOLWDWH vQ

a) reciproce ; 14.

: b) inverse ;

c) de asociere ; d) multiple.

UDSRUWXO GH FDX]DOLWDWH GLQWUH : a) GRX VDX PDL PXOWH FDUDFWHULVWLFL H[SULPDWH QXPHULF ; b) R FDUDFWHULVWLF H[SULPDW QXPHULF L R FDUDFWHULVWLF H[SULPDW c) GRX VDX PDi multe caracteristici exprimate prin cuvinte ; d) a sau b ; e) b sau c.

/HJ WXUD GH DVRFLHUH UHOHY

SULQ FXYLQWH

15.

$WXQFL FkQG PRGLILFDUHD QLYHOXOXL GH GH]YROWDUH D FDUDFWHULVWLFLL IDFWRULDOH GHWHUPLQ PRGLILFDUHD vQ DFHODL VHQV D QLYHOXOXL FDUDFWHULVWLFLL UH]XOWDWLYH OHJ WXUD HVWH

a) inverV 16.

E VLQFURQ 

F GLUHFW 

G PXOWLSO 

H OLQLDU 

0HWRGHOH VLPSOH HOHPHQWDUH GH DQDOL] VRFLDOH SHUPLW HYLGHQ LHUHD D H[LVWHQ HL VDX OLSVHL OHJ WXULL F IRUPHL GH UHDOL]DUH D OHJ WXULL

D OHJ WXULORU GLQWUH IHQRPHQHOH HFRQRPLFR

E GLUHF LHL GH UHDOL]DUH D OHJ WXUL G LQWHQVLW LL DFHVWHLD

i;

H DEF L G

17.

'LQWUH

PHWRGHOH

GH

VWDELOLUH

H[LVWHQ HL

IRUPHL

GH

OHJ WXU

GLQWUH

IHQRPHQHOH

economico-sociale nu face parte :


D PHWRGD UHJUHVLHL G PHWRGD JUDILF  E PHWRGD JUXS ULORU F

metoda analizei dispersionale;

H PHWRGD WDEHOXOXL GH FRUHOD LH

18.

0HWRGD VHULLORU SDUDOHOH LQWHUGHSHQGHQWH RIHU D H[LVWHQ D OHJ WXULL

SRVLELOLWDWHD GH D FXQRDWH

E GLUHF LD GH UHDOL]DUH D OHJ WXULL D OHJ WXULL G LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULL

c IRUPD DSUR[LPDWLY

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ D  % DE  & DEF  ' DEFG  ( EG 

19.

Q IXQF LH GH PRGXO GH UHSDUWL]DUH D IUHFYHQ HORU vQ WDEHOXO GH FRUHOD LH VH SRDWH DSUHFLD D GLUHF LD OHJ WXULL E LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULL F H[LVWHQ D OHJ WXULL

G IRUPD OHJ WXULL

$OHJH L DILUPD LD LQFRUHFW 

20.

*UDILFXO GH FRUHOD LH

:
G DUDW

D VH PDL QXPHWH L FRUHORJUDP F LQGLF H[LVWHQ D OHJ WXULL 

; b) are aspectul unui nor de puncte ; IRUPD L GLUHF LD OHJ WXULL ;

$OHJH L DILUPD LD LQFRUHFW 

21.

$OHJHUHD IXQF LHL GH UHJUHVLH VH IDFH FX DMXWRUXO

a) corelogramei;
F PHWRGHL JUXS ULL 

: b) seriilor paralele independente;


G WDEHOXOXL GH FRUHOD LH

22. n sens economic, parametrul b al fXQF LHL OLQLDUH GH UHJUHVLH DUDW : a) FX FkW VH VFKLPE vQ PHGLH YDULDELOD GHSHQGHQW < DWXQFL FkQG YDULDELOD ; VH PRGLILF FX R XQLWDWH ; b) QLYHOXO PHGLX DO YDULDELOHL < GHWHUPLQDW GH YDULDELOD IDFWRULDO ; ; c) QLYHOXO PHGLX DO YDULDELOHL < GHWHUPLQDW GH DO L Iactori dect variabila X ; d) JUDGXO GH LQIOXHQ D YDULDELOHL IDFWRULDOH ; L D IDFWRULORU FX DF LXQH FRQVWDQW DVXSUD variabilei rezultative Y. 23.
,QGLFDWRULL VLQWHWLFL DL FRUHOD LHL

: ;
L LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULORU GH WLS VWDWLVWLF GLQWUH

a) b)

P VRDU P VRDU

YDULD LD FDUDFWHULVWLFLL GHSHQGHQWH OD QLYHOXO vQWUHJLL FROHFWLYLW

GRX VDX PDL PXOWH YDULDELOH ; c) VH GHWHUPLQ FX DQDOL]D GLVSHUVLRQDO ; d) sunt  FRYDULDQ D FRHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH L UDSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH $OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DE  % EF  & FG  D(b,d).

24.

&RYDULDQ D

a) b) c) d) e)

VH FDOFXOHD] HVWH QXO GDF

FD PHGLH DULWPHWLF

D SURGXVHORU DEDWHULORU YDULDELOHORU ID

GH PHGLH

YDULDELOHOH VXQW LQGHSHQGHQWH VXSHULRDU 

QX DUH OLPLW FUHWH RGDW VFDGH RGDW

FX LQWHQVLWDWHD FRUHOD LHL FX LQWHQVLWDWHD FRUHOD

iei.

$OHJH L DILUPD LD LQFRUHFW 

25.

&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH

a) HVWH XQ LQGLFDWRU VLQWHWLF DO LQWHQVLW LL OHJ WXULL GLQWUH GRX YDULDELOH ; b) VH FDOFXOHD] FD R PHGLH D SURGXVHORU DEDWHULORU QRUPDOH QRUPDWH ; c) ia valori n intervalul [-1,1] ; d) este egal cu rapRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH vQ FD]XO OHJ WXULORU OLQLDUH ; e) HVWH VHPQLILFDWLY vQ FD]XO OHJ WXULORU QHOLQLDUH
$OHJH L DILUPD LD LQFRUHFW 

26.

/HJ WXUD

GLQWUH

GRX

YDULDELOH

HVWH

IRDUWH

VODE

VDX

LQH[LVWHQW

GDF

YDORDUHD

FRHILFLHQWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH VH VLWXHD]

vQ LQWH

a) [0-0,2);

b) [0,2-0,5);

c) (-0,2-0);

rvalul: d) (0,75-1).

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ D  % DE  & G  ' DF 

27.

$WXQFL FkQG FRHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH LD YDORDUHD  D OHJ WXUD HVWH GH WLS IXQF LRQDO E

variabilele sunt independente;

c) FRUHOD LD HVWH SXWHUQLF

G OHJ WXUD HVWH OLQLDU 

28.

&RHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH FDOFXODW SHQWUX R OHJ WXU PXO LPHD

OLQLDU

LQYHUV

SRDWH OXD YDORUL vQ

a) (-   29.

E   

F PXO LPHD QXPHUHORU vQWUHJL SR]LWLYH

G PXO LPHD QXPHUHOR

r reale pozitive.
E OHJ WXUD GLQWUH YDULDELOH HVWH GLUHFW  G FROHFWLYLWDWHD HVWH RPRJHQ 

&RHILFLHQWXO L UDSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH DX YDORUL HJDOH DWXQFL FkQG D OHJ WXUD GLQWUH YDULDELOH HVWH OLQLDU  F OHJ WXUD GLQWUH YDULDELOH HVWH LQYHUV 

30. IQWHUYDOXO GH YDULD LH D UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH HVWH a) (0; 1); b) (0; 1]; c) [0; 1]; d) [-1; 1]; e) (-1; 1). 31.
5DSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH

a) HVWH XQ LQGLFDWRU VLQWHWLF DO LQWHQVLW LL OHJ Wurilor dintre variabilele statistice; b) VH FDOFXOHD] FD U G FLQ S WUDW GLQ FRHILFLHQWXO GH GHWHUPLQD LH c) DUH YDORUL vQWUH  L  d) are valori ntre - L  e) P VRDU LQWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULL LQGLIHUHQW GH IRUPD DFHVWHLD
$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DE  % DEFH  & DEG  ' DFH 

32.

'HWHUPLQD L HFXD LD GUHSW

ei de regresie avnd coeficientul unghiular 

L RUGRQDWD OD

origine 16. a) Y= -9 +16x; 33.


HFXD LD GH UHJU

b) Y= 16 - 9x; c) Y= 9 +16x;

d) nu se poate determina.
SULQ

/HJ WXUD GLQWUH YHFKLPH L SURGXFWLYLWDWHD PXQFLL EXFPXQFLWRU HVWH H[SULPDW

esie: Y= 20+0,2x . Productivitatea unui muncitor cu vechime de 10 ani va fi: a) 22; b) 20,2; c) 24; d) nu se poate calcula. 34. ntr-R XQLWDWH HFRQRPLF D IRVW DQDOL]DW OHJ WXUD GLQWUH FKHOWXLHOLOH GH SURGXF LH L SURILW RE LQkQGX-se un coeficienW GH FRUHOD LH GH 0,9. Profitul depinde de cheltuielile de
SURGXF LH vQ SURSRU LH GH

a) 81%; 35.
6H FXQRVF

b) 9%;

c) 90%;
GDWH

d) 0,81%.
SULYLQG SURGXF LD L FRVWXULOH XQLWDUH vQUHJLVWUDWH vQWU

XUP WRDUHOH

-o

XQLWDWH HFRQRPLF 
3URGXF LH EXF

Cost unitar (mii lei/buc.)

1 36

2 32

3 30

4 27
SULQWU

5 23

6 22

7 25

8 29

9 30

10 31

/HJ WXUD GLQWUH YDULDELOH HVWH H[SULPDW D IXQF LH OLQLDU  E H[SRQHQ LDO 

-o:
G KLSHUERO  H QX VH SRDWH SUHFL]D

F SDUDERO 

36. 37.

Q FD]XO OHJ WXULORU OLQLDUH LQYHUVH PXO LPHD YDORULORU UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH HVWH

a) (-1,1); b) (0,1]; c) (- 


,QWHQVLWDWHD OHJ WXULL GLQWUH GRX

G PXO LPHD QXPHUHORU UHDOH YDULDELOH D IRVW P VXUDW SULQ LQWHUPHGLXO FRHILFLHQWXOXL WXUD QX HVWH

L UDSRUWXOXL GH FRUHOD LH RE LQkQGX D GLUHFW  E IRDUWH SXWHUQLF  GLQWUH GRX YDULDELOH VH

-se n ambele cazuri valoarea 0,9. /HJ


G FXUELOLQLH SULQWU R H[SULP

F OLQLDU 

38.

/HJ WXUD

IXQF LH

H[SRQHQ LDO 

,QWHQVLWDWHD

OHJ WXULL GLQWUH FHOH GRX

YDULDELOH VH YD P VXUD FX E UDSRUWXO GH FRUHOD LH G FRHILFLHQWXO GH YDULD LH

D FRHILFLHQWXO GH FRUHOD LH F FRHILFLHQWXO GH UHJUHVLH

Serii cronologice
1.
'RX LUXUL GH GDWH SDUDOHOH vQ FDUH SULPXO DUDW YDULD LD FDUDFWHULVWLFLL GH WLPS L DO GRLOHD YDULD LD IHQRPHQXOXL DQDOL]DW UHSUH]LQW D FURQRORJLF  E WHULWRULDO  R VHULH VWDWLVWLF  G GH UHSDUWL LH H GH VSD LX

F GH GLVWULEX LH

2. EvolX LD vQ WLPS D XQXL IHQRPHQ QX HVWH LOXVWUDW


D FURQRORJLF  E GH WLPS F GLQDPLF 

GH R VHULH VWDWLVWLF  G GH GLVWULEX LH

3. Nu este o proprietate a termenilor seriei cronologice: a) variabilitatea; b) omogenitatea; c) periodicitatea;


G LQGHSHQGHQ D H LQWHUGHSHQGHQ D

4.

$VLJXUDUHD FRPSDUDELOLW D V F V

LL WHUPHQLORU VHULHL FURQRORJLFH QX SUHVXSXQH FD GDWHOH E V G V IRORVHDVF DFHHDL XQLWDWH GH P VXU 

VH UHIHUH OD DFHODL IHQRPHQ SURYLQ GLQ DFHHDL VXUV 

SUH]LQWH R HYROX LH VH]RQLHU 

5. Problemele care trebuie rezolvate la analiza seriilor cronologice sunt:


D FDOFXODUHD LQGLFDWRULORU DEVROX L UHODWLYL L PHGLL F DQDOL]D VH]RQDOLW LL G H[WUDSRODUHD E GHWHUPLQDUHD WUHQGXOXL

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEFG  % DEF  & DE 

6. Valorile individuale ale termenilor seriei cronologice depind de:


D IDFWRULL HVHQ LDOL FX DF LXQH VLVWHPDWLF  F YDULD LLOH VH]RQLHUH G RVFLOD LLOH FLFOLFH E IDFWRULL DOHDWRUL H SROLWLFD HFRQRPLF 

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEFGH  % DEFG  & DFG 

7.

7HUPHQLL VHULHL FURQRORJLFH VXQW LQWHUGHSHQGHQ L GHRDUHFH

a) GDWHOH SURYLQ GLQ DFHHDL VXUV  b) XQLWDWHD GH P VXU HVWH DFHHDL c) VH RE LQ SULQ DFHHDL PHWRGRORJLH GH FDOFXO d) sunt valori sucFHVLYH DOH DFHOXLDL IHQRPHQ 8.
5HFHVLXQHD HFRQRPLF D VH]RQLHU  HVWH R IOXFWXD LH F vQWkPSO WRDUH G FLFOLF 

E SH WHUPHQ OXQJ

9.

&UHWHUHD QLYHOXOXL GH RFXSDUH YDUD UHSUH]LQW D VH]RQLHU  E SH WHUPHQ OXQJ

R HYROX LH G FLFOLF 

F vQWkPSO WRDUH

10.

1X HVWH SRVLELO D GH PRPHQWH

vQVXPDUHD WHUPHQLORU VHULHL FURQRORJLFH E GH LQWHUYDOH F H[SULPDWH vQ XQLW L IL]LFH G GH IOX[XUL

11.

7UHQGXO VHULHL FURQRORJLFH VH GHWHUPLQ

SULQ PHWRGD LQGLFHOXL PHGLX GH GLQDPLF

atunci cnd: a) LQGLFLL FX ED] vQ ODQ VXQW DSURSLD L b) PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH FX ED] vQ ODQ VXQW DSURSLDWH c) graficul are un punct de maxim; d) graficul are un punct de minim.

12.

7UHQGXO VHULHL FURQRORJLFH VH GHWHUPLQ

SULQ PHWRGD VSRUXOXL PHGLX DWXQFL FkQG

a) indiciL FX ED] vQ ODQ VXQW DSURSLD L b) PRGLILF ULOH DEVROXWH FX ED] vQ ODQ VXQW DSURSLDWH c) DPSOLWXGLQHD RVFLOD LLORU SHULRGLFH HVWH FRQVWDQW  d) graficul are un punct de minim. 13.
&LIUD GH DIDFHUL D XQHL ILUPH D VF ]XW vQ SHULRDGD   FX 

L D FUHVFXW vQ

perioada 1993-
DQXO  ID D D VF ]XW FX  

FX 

 &DUH D IRVW PRGLILFDUHD SURFHQWXDO

D FLIUHL GH DIDFHUL vQ

GH " E D FUHVFXW FX   F D VF ]XW FX   G D FUHVFXW FX  

e) nu s-a modificat. 14.


3URGXF LD XQHL ILUPH D FUHVFXW ID GH DQXO FX  vQ DQXO  L FX  vQ DQXO

&DUH D IRVW FUHWHUHD SURGXF LHL vQ  ID

GH "

a) 30%; 15.

b) 16,67%;

c) 20%;

d) 25%.
vQ DQXO  L FX  vQ DQXO 

&LIUD GH DIDFHUL D XQHL ILUPH D FUHVFXW FX  &DOFXOD L FUHWHUHD WRWDO SH FHL GRL DQL

a) 38%;

b) 35%;

c) 17,5%;

d) 30%.

16. Desfacerile unui magazin au crescut cu 10% n primul trimestru al anului, s-au redus cu
 vQ FHO GH DO GRLOHD WULPHVWUX L DX FUHVFXW FX   UHVSHFWLY  vQ XUP WRDUHOH GRX WULPHVWUH &DOFXOD L FUHWHUHD PHGLH WULPHVWULDO 

a) 11,75%; 17.

b) 9,25%;

c) 8,86%;

d) 16%.
GH  FX  L vQ  ID GH

1HFHVDUXO GH SHWURO DO XQHL  FX 

UL D FUHVFXW vQ  ID

&X FH SURFHQW D FUHVFXW vQ PHGLH GLQ  SkQ

n 1999?

a) 29,37%;

b) 30%;

c) 29%;

d) 29,03%.

18. Se cunosc datele:


Anul
'LQDPLFD SURGXF LHL

1997 110

1998 120

1999 105

1990=100
&DOFXOD L PRGLILFDUHD SURFHQWXDO D SURGXF LHL vQ  ID GH 

a) 10%;

b) 15%;

c) -12,5%;

d) -25%.

19. Se cunosc datele:


Anul
&UHWHUHD SURGXF LHL EXF ID GH DQXO DQWHULRU

1997 20

1998 15

1999 10

&DOFXOD L FUHWHUHD SURGXF LHL vQ  ID

GH 

a) 40buc.;

b) 45 buc.;

c) 50buc.

Indicii statistici
1.
,QGLFLL VXQW LQFOXL vQ FDWHJRULD D P ULPLORU PHGLL E P ULPLORU UHODWLYH F LQGLFDWRULORU WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH

G LQGLFDWRULORU YDULD LHL

H LQGLFDWRULORU DVLPHWULHL

2.

1X RE LQHP XQ LQGLFH DWXQFL FkQG UDSRUW P

a) nivelurile nregistrate de un fenomen n momente diferite de timp; b) QLYHOXULOH vQUHJLVWUDWH GH XQ IHQRPHQ vQ XQLW L GLIHULWH GH VSD LX c) nivelul realizat al fenomenului la cel planificat; d) R SDUWH D FROHFWLYLW LL OD WRWDO 3. Atunci cnd elementele colectivit LL DQDOL]DWH DX indicilor este necesar: a) XQ FRP VXU WRU VXE IRUPD XQRU SRQGHUL b) VHSDUDUHD FROHFWLYLW LL vQ JUXSH PDL RPRJHQH c) vQVXPDUHD GLUHFW VXE IRUP GH DJUHJDW d) PHGLD DULWPHWLF D LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL e) media armRQLF D LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL 4.
FDUDFWHU HWHURJHQ SHQWUX FDOFXODUHD

)RORVLUHD SRQGHULORU SHQWUX FRQVWUXLUHD LQGLFLORU GH JUXS HVWH QHFHVDU

FkQG

a) b) c) d) e) 5.

valorile individuale sunt nsumabile direct; valorile individuale nu sunt nsumabile direct; variabila are caracter cantitativ; variabila are caracter discret;
IRORVLUHD SRQGHULORU HVWH REOLJDWRULH vQ RULFH VLWXD LH

1X UHSUH]LQ

R FRQGL LH REOLJDWRULH SHQWUX LQGLFLL GH JUXS

a) reversibilitatea n timp; b) reversibilitatea factorilor; c) transferabilitatea; d) interreversibilitatea; e) circularitatea. 6. Indicii de grup nu se pot calcula ca:
D PHGLH D LQGLFLLORU LQGLYLGXDOL F UDSRUW D GRX PHGLL E VXP D LQGLFLORU LQGLYLGXDOL G VXE IRUP GH DJUHJDW

7.

,GHQWLILFD L IDFWRUXO vQVXPDELO GLUHFW

a) b) c) d) e) 8.

SURGXVH GLIHULWH DOH DFHOHLDL XQLW SURGXVH GH DFHODL IHO DOH XQRU XQLW

economice;
L HFRQRPLFH GLIHULWH

SURGXVH DOLPHQWDUH FXPS UDWH GH R IDPLOLH vQWU R OXQ 

SURGXFWLYLW

LOH PXQFLWRULORU GLQWU R VHF LH

VDODULLOH PHGLL GLQ VHF LLOH XQHL vQWUHSULQGHUL

* VL L IDFWRUXO FDOLWDWLY

a) proGXF LD IL]LF

E QXP UXO PXQFLWRULORU

F SUH XULOH EXQXULORU

G QXP UXO XWLODMHORU GH SURGXF LH

H QXP UXO VHF LLORU

9.

* VL L IDFWRUXO FDQWLWDWLY D FRVWXUL PHGLL GH SURGXF LH E SUH XUL XQLWDUH GH YkQ]DUH H SURGXF LH IL]LF 

c) rentabilitate;

d) productLYLWDWH

10.

* VL L FODVLILFDUHD LQFRUHFW 

a) b) c) d) e) 11.

LQGLFL FX SRQGHUL IL[H L YDULDELOH LQGLFL LQGLYLGXDOL L GH JUXS LQGLFL FX ED] IL[ L PRELO 

LQGLFL DL GLQDPLFLL  WHULWRULDOL L DL SODQXOXL LQGLFL GH JUXS L LQGLFL VXE IRUP GH PHG

ie.

&DUH HVWH FODVLILFDUHD FRUHFW "

a) b) c) d) e) 12.

LQGLFL VXE IRUP LQGLFL FX ED]

GH PHGLH L VXE IRUP L FX ED] PRELO 

GH UDSRUW D GRX

PHGLL

vQ ODQ

LQGLFL FX SRQGHUL IL[H L FX SRQGHUL FRQVWDQWH LQGLFL GH JUXS L LQGLFL FX SRQGHUL IL[H LQGLFL LQGLYLGXDOL L GH

grup.

$WXQFL FkQG VH FXQRVF LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL L YDORULOH GLQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW  LQGLFLL GH JUXS VH FDOFXOHD] VXE IRUP PHGLL GH E DJUHJDW F PHGLH DULWPHWLF  G PHGLH DUPRQLF 

D UDSRUW D GRX

H PHGLH JHRPHWULF 

13. Atunci cnd se cunosF LQGLFLL LQGLYLGXDOL L YDORULOH GLQ SHULRDGD GH ED]
VH FDOFXOHD] VXE IRUP PHGLL GH E DJUHJDW F PHGLH DULWPHWLF  D UDSRUW D GRX

 LQGLFLL GH JUXS

G PHGLH DUPRQLF 

H PHGLH JHRPHWULF 

14. Atunci cnd valorile individuale sunt nsumabile


FDOFXOHD] VXE IRUP GH E DJUHJDW D UDSRUW D GRX PHGLL

FXQRVFXWH

LQGLFLL

GH

JUXS

VH

F PHGLH DULWPHWLF 

G PHGLH DUPRQLF 

H PHGLH JHRPHWULF 

15.

FD]XO

YDULDELOHORU

FDOLWDWLYH

FDUH

VH

IRUPHD] FD

FD

P ULPL

PHGLL

OD

QLYHOXO

XQHL

colectLYLW

L LQGLFLL GH JUXS VH FDOFXOHD] PHGLL E DJUHJDW

D UDSRUW D GRX

F PHGLH DULWPHWLF 

G PHGLH DUPRQLF 

H PHGLH JHRPHWULF 

16.

6LVWHPXO GH SRQGHUDUH ED]DW SH IRORVLUHD SRQGHULORU GLQ SHULRDGD GH ED]

SHQWUX LQGLFLL

de grup ai factorilor este cel propus de: a) Laspeyres; b) Paasche; c) Edgeworth; d) Fischer; e) Dobrisch. 17.
6LVWHPXO GH SRQGHUDUH ED]DW SH IRORVLUHD SRQGHULORU GLQ SHULRDGD FXUHQW SHQWUX LQGLFLL

de grup ai factorilor este: a) Laspeyres; b) Paasche; 18.

c) Edgeworth; d) Fischer; e) Dobrisch.


D SRQGHULORU GLQ DPEHOH SHULRDGH GH

6LVWHPXO GH SRQGHUDUH ED]DW SH IRORVLUHD VLPXOWDQ ED]

L FXUHQW OD FRQVWUXLUHD LQGLFLORU GH JUXS IDFWRULDOL HVWH FHO SURSXV GH

a) Edgeworth; b) Dobrisch; c) Fischer; d) toate trei; e) nici unul. 19.


/D FDOFXOXO LQGLFLORU WHULWRULDOL SH SODQ LQWHUQD LRQDO VH IRORVHVF LQGLFLL GH JUXS GH WLS

a) Laspeyres; 20.

b) Paasche;

c) Fischer; d) WR L

H QLFL XQXO

,QGLFLL GH JUXS IRUPHD]

XQ VLVWHP DWXQFL FkQG VH XWLOL]HD]

PHWRGD GH SRQGHUDUH

a) Fischer;

b) Laspeyres; c) Paasche;

d) Edgeworth;

e) oricare.

21.

0HWRGD VXEVWLWX LHL vQ ODQ

XWLOL]HD]

XQ QXP U GH LQGLFL GH JUXS IDFWRULDOL  E PDL PDUH

D HJDO FX QXP UXO IDFWRULORU GH LQIOXHQ

c) mai mic; d) mai mare sau egal. 22.


5HVWXO QHGHVFRPSXV H[SULP 

a) b) c) d) e) 23.

LQIOXHQ D WRWDO LQIOXHQ D WRWDO LQIOXHQ D L]RODW LQIOXHQ D L]RODW

D IDFWRUXOXL FDOLWDWLY D IDFWRUXOXL FDQWLWDWLY D IDFWRUXOXL FDOLWDWLY D IDFWRUXOXL FDQWLWDWLY D FHORU GRL IDF

LQIOXHQ D FRPELQDW

tori.

5HSDUWL]DUHD SH IDFWRUL GH LQIOXHQ

D UHVWXOXL QHGHVFRPSXV VH SRDWH IDFH

a) SURSRU LRQDO FX LQIOXHQ HOH GLUHFWH DOH IDFWRULORU b) atribuind ntregul rest nedescompus unuia din factori; c) vPS U LQG UHVWXO QHGHVFRPSXV vQ PRG HJDO SH IDFWRUL d) GXS RULFDUH Gin variantele anterioare; e) QLFL R YDULDQW QX HVWH FRUHFW  24.
)DFWRUXO FDUH QX LQIOXHQ HD] DOHJHUHD WLSXOXL GH LQGLFL GH JUXS IRORVL L HVWH

a) VHSDUDUHD IDFWRULORU GH LQIOXHQ vQ FDQWLWDWLYL L FDOLWDWLYL b) SRVLELOLWDWHD vQVXP ULL YDORULORU LQGLYLGXDOH DOH IDctorilor; c) alegerea bazei de raportare; d) natura datelor disponibile; e) IRUPD IXQF LHL GH UHSDUWL LH D FDUDFWHULVWLFLL 25. Indicele general este: a) PDL PDUH GHFkW WR L LQGLFLL IDFWRULDOL b) PDL PLF GHFkW WR L LQGLFLL IDFWRULDOL c) mai mare dect indicele factorului caOLWDWLY cantitativ; d) egal cu produsul indicilor factoriali. 26.
,QGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU IL[ HVWH

L PDL PLF GHFkW LQGLFHOH IDFWRUXOXL

a) PDL PDUH GHFkW LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU YDULDELO  b) PDL PLF GHFkW LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU YDULDELO  c) mai mare dect indicele de variD LH D VWUXFWXULL d) PDL PLF GHFkW LQGLFHOH GH YDULD LH D VWUXFWXULL e) HJDO FX UDSRUWXO GLQWUH LQGLFHOH FX VWUXFWXU structurii.

YDULDELO

LQGLFHOH

GH

YDULD LH

27. Restul nedescompus este: a) PDL PLF GHFkW PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW WRWDO D IHQRPHQXOXL b) mai mare deFkW PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW WRWDO  c) PDL PLF GHFkW PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D IDFWRUXOXL FDOLWDWLY d) PDL PLF GHFkW PRGLILFDUHD DEVROXW D IDFWRUXOXL FDQWLWDWLY 28.
2 XQLWDWH FRPHUFLDO D UHDOL]DW vQ OXQD LXOLH GHVIDFHUL vQ YDORDUH GH  PLO OHL Q OXQD GDWRULW UHGXFHULL YROXPXOXL IL]LF L D

august, valoaUHD
FUHVFXW FX 

GHVIDFHULORU D VF ]XW FX  P ULULL SUH XULORU

GDWRULW

a) 33 mil. lei; b) 33,75 mil. lei;

Valoarea desfacerilor n luna august a fost: c) 27 mil. lei; d) 37,5 mil. lei; e) 34,5 mil. lei.

29. ntr-R

SHULRDG

GH WLPS vQ]HVWUDUHD WHKQLF

D PXQFLL D FUHVFXW FX 

 GDU HILFLHQ D

XWLOL] ULL FDSLWDOXOXL IL[ V D D FUHVFXW FX  

-a redus cu 10%. Productivitatea muncii:


 F D VF ]XW FX  

E D FUHVFXW FX 

d) a crescut cu 20%; e) nu s-a modificat.

Indicatorii de rezultate la nivel macroeconomic


1.
'LIHUHQ D GLQWUH SUH XULOH SLH HL L SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU R UHSUH]LQW  D LPSR]LWHOH LQGLUHFWH QHWH E DPRUWL]DUHD F LPSR]LWHOH SH SURGXV G VXEYHQ LLOH

2. Soldul contului 3URGXF LH este: a) PIB; b) PNB; c) VN; d) nul. 3. Soldul contului Venituri este: a) PIN pp; b) PINpf; c) PIBpp; d) PIBpf. 4. Soldul contului Utilizarea veniturilor este: a) PNNpf; b) PINpf; c) PIBpp; d) PIBpf. 5. n ce indicatori macroeconomici este inclus consumul intemediar? a) PGB; b) PIB; c) PIN; d) VN. 6. Ce indicatori macroeconomici includ amortizarea?
D 3,1 E 91 F 31% G WR L H QLFL XQXO

7.

,PSR]LWHOH LQGLUHFWH QHWH QX SRW IL QLFLRGDW

LQFOXVH vQ

a) VN; 8.

b) PIB; c) PIN;

d) PNN;

e) PNB.
vQWUH G 3,%SS L 3,%SI

&RQVXPXO GH FDSLWDO IL[ VH SRDWH FDOFXOD FD GLIHUHQ D 3,% L 3,1 H IRUPDUHD EUXW E LQYHVWL LLOH EUXWH L FHOH QHWH GH FDSLWDO IL[ L LQYHVWL LD EUXW 

F 31% L 311

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEF  % H  & EG 

9.

)RUPDUHD EUXW

GH FDSLWDO UHSUH]LQW  SOXV DPRUWL]DUHD SOXV YDULD LD VWRFXULORU SOXV DPRUWL]DUHD L YDULD LD VWRFXULORU SOXV YDULD LD VWRFXULORU

a) b) c) d) e)

LQYHVWL LD QHW LQYHVWL LD QHW LQYHVWL LD QHW LQYHVWL LD EUXW

LQYHVWL LD EUXW 

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEF  % FG  & DH 

10.

)RUPDUHD EUXW

GH FDSLWDO IL[ UHSUH]LQW  SOXV DPRUWL]DUHD SOXV YDULD LD VWRFXULORU SOXV DPRUWL]DUHD L YDULD LD VW SOXV YDULD LD VWRFXULORU

a) b) c) d) e)

LQYHVWL LD QHW LQYHVWL LD QHW LQYHVWL LD QHW LQYHVWL LD EUXW

ocurilor;

LQYHVWL LD EUXW 

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DEF  % FG  & DH 

11. Consumul final cuprinde:


D FRQVXPXO SULYDW E FRQVXPXO SULYDW L FRQVXPXO SXEOLF

c) consumul statului; d) consumul poSXOD LHL L YDULD LD VWRFXULORU 12. Excedentul net de exploatare cuprinde: a) GREkQGD L UHQWD b) GREkQGD UHQWD L SURILWXO EUXW c) GLYLGHQGH LPSR]LW SH SURILW L SURILW QHGLVWULEXLW d) GREkQGD UHQWD L LPSR]LWXO SH SURILW 13.
9HQLWXO QD LRQDO UHSUH]LQW 

a) veniturile b) c) d)

WRWDOH

DOH

SURSULHWDULORU

IDFWRULORU

GH

SURGXF LH

LPSOLFD L

vQ

DFWLYLWDWHD

HFRQRPLF  SURGXVXO QD LRQDO QHW OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU SURGXVXO QD LRQDO QHW OD SUH XULOH SLH HL SURGXVXO QD LRQDO EUXW OD SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU PLQXV DPRUWL]DUHD

$OHJH L FRPELQD LD FRUHFW  $ DFG  % DEG  & D 

14.

9DORDUHD WUDQVIHUXULORU F WUH PHQDMH SHQVLL DMXWRDUHEXUVH DORFD LL HVWH LQFOXV D YHQLWXO QD LRQDO E YHQLWXO QD LRQDO GLVSRQLELO F YHQLWXO SHUVRQDO

vQ

G 311

15. PIB este n prezent de 1500 mii PLOLDUGH OHL


OHL ID GH DQXO SUHFHGHQW 'DF

vQUHJLVWUkQG R FUHWHUH GH  PLL PLOLDUGH  3,% UHDO D FUHVFXW FX

UDWD LQIOD LHL D IRVW GH 

a) 2%; b) 43%; c) 40%. 16.


3,% D FUHVFXW FX  vQ YDORDUH QRPLQDO L FX  vQ YDORDUH UHDO  5DWD LQIOD L

ei a fost:

a) 45%; b) 143%; c) 43%; 17.


&XQRVFkQG UDWD LQIOD LHL SH

d) 50%.
ILHFDUH OXQ D XQXL DQ SXWHP FDOFXOD LQGLFHOH DQXDO DO

SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP FD

a) b) c) d) 18.

PHGLH DULWPHWLF VXP

D LQGLFLORU OXQDUL DL SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

D UDWHORU OXQDUH DOH LQIOD LHL D LQGLFLORU OXQDUL DL SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

PHGLH JHRPHWULF

SURGXV DO LQGLFLORU OXQDUL DL SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

&XQRVFkQG UDWD LQIOD LHL SH ILHFDUH OXQ SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP FD

D XQXL DQ SXWHP FDOFXOD LQGLFHOH PHGLX OXQDU DO

a) b) c) d) 19.

PHGLH DULWPHWLF VXP

D LQGLFLORU OXQDUL DL SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

D UDWHORU OXQDUH DOH LQIOD LHL D LQGLFLORU OXQDUL DL SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

PHGLH JHRPHWULF

SURGXV DO LQGLFLORU OXQDUL DL SUH XULORU GH FRQVXP

Q SULPHOH WUHL OXQL DOH DQXOXL LQGLFLL OXQDUL DL SUH XULORU GH F   5DWD LQIOD LHL SHQWUX SULPXO WULPHVWUX DO DQXOXL HVWH

onsum au fost: 103%, 105%,

a) 10%; b) 10,3%; 20.

c) 3,3%;

d) 110,3%.
 GHYHQLQG

5DWD LQIOD LHL D IRVW GH 

vQ DQXO DQWHULRU L D VF ]XW vQ DFHVW DQ FX 

a) 40%; b) 45%; c) 30%. 21.


'DF SUH XULOH GH FRQVXP DX FUHVFXW FX  WULPHVWULDO UDWD LQIOD LHL SH vQWUHJXO DQ D

fost: a) 40%; b) 30%; c) 46,4%.

22.

5DWD LQIOD LHL D IRVW 

vQ LDQXDULH L D FUHVFXW

vQ PHGLH FX  SXQFWH SURFHQWXDOH

OXQDU5DWD LQIOD LHL vQ PDUWLH D IRVW

a) 15%; b) 14%; 23.


'DF

c) 16%.

YHQLWXO QD LRQDO HVWH GH  PLL PLOLDUGH OHL FRQVXPXO GH FDSLWDO IL[ GH  PLL

PLOLDUGH OHL LPSR]LWHOH LQGLUHFWH  PLL PLOLDUGH OHL LDU VXEYHQ LLOH GH H[SORDWDUH GH  PLL PLOLDUGH OHL FkW HVWH 31% OD SUH XULOH SLH HL"

a) 1120 mii miliarde lei; b) 1000 mii miliarde lei; c) 1320 mii miliarde lei; d) 1500 mii miliarde lei. 24. Salariul mediu nominal a crescut de la 2,5 milioane lei la 3,5 milioane lei, iar rata
LQIOD LHL D IRVW GH   6DODULXO UHDO E D VF ]XW FX   F D VF ]XW FX   G D U PDV FRQVWDQW

a) a crescut cu 40 25.
'DF

VDODULXO UHDO D VF ]XW FX 

vQ FRQGL LLOH FUHWHULL VDODULXOXL QRPLQDO FX 

 FDUH D

IRVW UDWD LQIOD LHL"

a) 40%; b) 33%; c) 53%;

d) 4%.

6ROX LL DOH WHVWHORU JULO

&XOHJHUHD SUHOXFUDUHD SULPDU

L SUH]HQWDUHD GDWHORU

1.A; 2.b; 3.a; 4.c; 5.B, 6.a; 7.c; 8.a; 9.b; 10.A; 11.e; 12.b; 13.e; 14.A; 15.A; 16.a; 17.b; 18.c; 19.A; 20.A, 21.c; 22.a; 23.b; 24.A; 25.a; 26.b; 27.c.

Indicatori statistici
1.c; 2.b; 3.a; 4.b; 5.d; 6.c; 7.e; 8.a; 9.a; 10.c; 11.e; 12.d; 13.b; 14 a; 15.d; 16.c; 17.d.

,QGLFDWRULL WHQGLQ HL FHQWUDOH

1.a; 2.e; 3.b; 4.c; 5.b; 6.d; 7.d; 8.c; 9.a; 10.c; 11.c; 12.b; 13.a; 14.d; 15.c; 16.c; 17.c; 18.a; 19.a; 20.c; 21.b; 22.a; 23.b; 24.c; 25.c; 26.a; 27.d; 28.d; 29.a; 30.e; 31.a; 32.b.

,QGLFDWRULL YDULD LHL L DVLPHWULHL

1.a; 2.c; 3.a; 4.c; 5.b; 6.B; 7.b; 8.b; 9.a; 10.d; 11.a; 12.b, 13.c.

Cercetarea prin sondaj


1.a; 2.b; 3.b; 4.c; 5.a; 6a; 7.b; 8.b; 9.A; 10.a; 11.c; 12.d; 13.a; 14.b.

Analiza seriilor interdependente


1.c; 2.b; 3.a; 4.d; 5.e; 6.e; 7.C; 8.D; 9.c; 10.d; 11.a; 12.b; 13.a; 14.e; 15.c; 16.e; 17.a; 18.B; 19.d; 20.e; 21.a; 22.a; 23.D; 24.e; 25.e; 26.D; 27.a; 28.a; 29.a; 30.c; 31.B; 32.b; 33.a; 34.a; 35.c; 36.b; 37.d; 38.b.

Serii cronologice
1.a; 2.d; 3.d; 4.d; 5.A; 6.B; 7.d; 8.d; 9.a; 10.a; 11.a; 12.b; 13.d; 14.b; 15.a; 16.c; 17.d; 18.c; 19.b.

Indicii statistici
1.b; 2.d; 3.a; 4.b; 5.d; 6.b; 7.b; 8.c; 9.e; 10.e; 11.e; 12.d; 13.c; 14.b: 15.a; 16.a; 17.b; 18.d: 19.c; 20.a; 21.a; 22.e; 23d; 24.e; 25.d; 26.e; 27.a; 28.b; 29.a.

Indicatorii de rezultate la nivel macroeconomic


1.a; 2.a; 3.b; 4.a; 5.a; 6.c; 7.a; 8.a; 9.b; 10.c; 11.b; 12.b; 13.b; 14.c; 15.a; 16.c; 17.a; 18.c; 19.b; 20.b; 21.c; 22.c; 23.a; 24.d; 25.a.

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