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Universitatea Politehnica Bucuresti

Facultatea de Energetica

PROIECT
Energie si mediu

Student: Neagu Constantin-Iulian


Grupa: 2310 B

Ianuarie 2009
BUCURESTI

n  13
ngr  9

Sa se stabileasca care din urmatoarele filiere energetice reprezinta optimul din punct de vedere al
impactului asupra mediului inconjurator. Filierele energetice analizate in cadrul proiectului sunt:

filiera de carbune : extractia carbunelui (lignit) se realizeaza in Valea Jiului, iar productia de energie
electrica se realizeaza utilizand o turbina cu abur in condensatie
filiera de gaz natural : extractia gazului natural se realizeaza in bazinul Transilvaniei, in timp ce
energia electrica e obtinuta prin utilizarea gazului natural in cadrul unei turbine cu gaz
filiera de gaz natural: extractia gazlui natural se realizeaza in bazinul Moscovei in timp ce energia
electrica se realizeaza intr-un ciclu combinat gaze aburi.

Distantele de transport dub zona de extractie a combustibilului fosil folosit pana la zona de utilizare
sunt urmatoarele :

Filiera 3:

Da  250  2 n  276 [km]


Filiera 1:
Db  450  3 n  489 [km]
Filiera 2:
3
Dc  2500  10 n  2.63  10 [km]
Emisiile raportate la kg (m3N) de combustibil se gasesc in anexa 1.
Pentru etapa de extractie, emisiile sunt cele responsabile pentru extractie, tratare si transport.

EXTRACTIE -> TRATARE -> TRANSPORT -> COMBUSTIE -> Ee

Unitatea functionala reprezinta cantitatea de energie electrica anuala produsa pe durata de viata a
instalatiilor energetice este :
U.F. = Ee = P*da*dv [ MW*h]
Puterea :
P  350  5 n  10 ngr  505 [MW*h]
Durata anuala de functionare :
3
da  8000  150 ngr  6.65  10 [h/an]
Durata de viata:
dv  20  n  33 [ani]
8
Ee  P da dv  1.108 10 [MWh]
11
Ee  Ee 3600  3.99  10 [MJ]
Ee
g 
PCI M
cb
PCI - puterea calorifica inferioara

2
3
 0.55  0.01 n 
g   0.35  0.005n 
 
 0.5  0.009n
 

η globalA = g  0.42
0

η globalB = g  0.415
1

η globalC= g  0.617
2

Compozitia elementara a gazelor naturale si a lignitului


Se considera ca in cazul filierelor B si C se utilizeaza gazul matural cu aceeasi compozitie

 0.816  0.0004n
 
 
 0.023  
0.0002n 
 0.036  0.00003n 
compG   0.038  0.00002n 
 
 0.0349 0.00005n  
 0.007 
 1  0.816  0.0004n 
   0.023  0.0002n
  0.036  0.00003n  0.038  0.00002n  
  0.0349 0.00005n

Compozitia gazului natural


CH4 - metan : compG  0.821
0
C2H6 - etan : compG  0.026
1
C3H8 - propan : compG  0.036
2
C4H10 - butan : compG  0.038
3
C5H12 - pentan : compG  0.036
4
3
H2S - : compG  7  10
5
CO2 - bioxd de carbon : compG  0.043
6

Compozitia lignitului

 0.55  0.005n
 
 
 0.09  0.001n
 
 0.015  0.0003n
 
compL   0.01 
 
 0.01 
 0.15 
 1  0.55  0.005n 
   0.09  0.001n   0.01  0.01  0.15 
  0.015  0.0003n

C- compL  0.615
0

4
5
H2- compL  0.077
1
S- compL  0.019
2
N- compL  0.01
3
O- compL  0.01
4
W- compL  0.15
5
A- compL  0.119
6

Emisiile pentru fiecare etapa a fiecarei filiere.


Filiera 1 (extractia carbunelui din Valea Jiului)

a) etapa de extractie
 0.06  0.005n
 

 0.005  0.0003n  
 0.32  0.08 n 
 0.004  0.0002n 

 
emsA1   5 5 
7.8 10  0.27810  n
 
 0.2  0.04 n 
 5 5 
 1.2 10  0.63810  n

 8.5 10 4  0.85 10 4 n 
 

NO2 = emsA1  0.125 [g/kg]


0
3
emsA1  8.9  10 [g/kg]
NO = 1

emsA1  1.36 [g/kg]


CO2 = 2
3
emsA1  6.6  10 [g/kg]
CO = 3
4
emsA1  1.141 10 [g/kg]
SO2 = 4

emsA1  0.72 [g/kg]


CH4 = 5
5
emsA1  9.494 10 [g/kg]
N2O = 6
3
emsA1  1.955 10 [g/kg]
praf = 7

 0.006  0.004n  
 0.001  0.0005n  
b) etapa de tratare
 1.2  0.09 n 
 0.007  0.0007n 

 
emsA2  
3.5 10  0.68 10  n 
3 3
 
 0.006  0.00002n  
 6 5 5 
 0.78 10  0.71810  n

 3.7 10 4  5.2 10 5 n 
 
NO2 = emsA2  0.058 [g/kg]
0
3
emsA2  7.5  10
NO = 1 [g/kg]
emsA2  2.37
CO2 = 2 [g/kg]
emsA2  0.016 [g/kg]
CO = 3

emsA2  0.012 [g/kg]


SO2 = 4
3
emsA2  6.26  10 [g/kg]
CH4 = 5
4
emsA2  1.011  10 [g/kg]
N2O = 6
3
emsA2  1.046 10 [g/kg]
praf = 7

c) etapa de transport

 0.003  0.002n 
 0.009  0.0007n  
 0.8  0.007n
 
 0.009  0.0005n 

 
emsA3  26.4  6 6 
5.2 10  0.81 10  n
 
 0.7 10 5  0.82 10 5 n 
 
0.05  0.004n
 
 3.6 10 4  0.62 10 4 n 
 

NO2 = emsA3  0.766 [g/kg]


0

emsA3  0.478 [g/kg]


NO = 1

emsA3  23.522 [g/kg]


CO2 = 2

7
emsA3  0.409 [g/kg]
CO = 3
4
emsA3  4.153 10 [g/kg]
SO2 = 4
3
emsA3  2.999 10 [g/kg]
CH4 = 5

emsA3  2.693 [g/kg]


N2O = 6

emsA3  0.031 [g/kg]


praf = 7

Filiera 2 (extractia de gaz natural din bazinul Transilvaniei)


a) Etapa de extractie :

 0.0179 0.005n  
 0.0024 0.003n  
 0.0054 0.0002n  
 0.2217 0.08 n

 
emsB1   5 6 
1.33 10  2.78 10  n
 
 0.475  0.04 n 
 5 6 
 2.95 10  6.38 10  n 
 3.6 10 4  8.5 10 5 n 
 
NO2 = emsB1  0.083 [g/kg]
0
[g/kg]
emsB1  0.041
NO = 1
3 [g/kg]
emsB1  8  10
CO2 = 2

emsB1  1.262 [g/kg]


CO = 3
5
emsB1  4.944 10 [g/kg]
SO2 = 4

emsB1  0.995 [g/kg]


CH4 = 5
4 [g/kg]
emsB1  1.124 10
N2O = 6
3 [g/kg]
emsB1  1.465 10
praf = 7

b) Etapa de tratare

 0.0024 0.004n  
 0.0041 0.0005n  
 0.31  0.09 n 
 0.004  0.007n

 
emsB2  
4.3 10  0.68 10  n 
3 3
 
 0.005  0.0002n  
 5 5  8
 1.96 10  0.71810  n

 5.1 10 4  0.52 10 4 n 
 
NO2 = emsB2  0.054 [g/kg]
0
[g/kg]
emsB2  0.011
NO = 1

emsB2  1.48 [g/kg]


CO2 = 2

emsB2  0.095
CO = 3 [g/kg]
emsB2  0.013 [g/kg]
SO2 = 4
3
emsB2  7.6  10 [g/kg]
CH4 = 5
4
emsB2  1.129 10 [g/kg]
N2O = 6
3
emsB2  1.186 10 [g/kg]
praf = 7

c) Etapa de transport

 0.0042 0.002n  
 0.001  0.0007n 
 0.0027 0.007n  
 
0.0060.0005 n

 
emsB3  
3.7 10  0.8 10  n 
6 6  47.1
 
 0.08  0.004n
 
 5 5 
 4.6 10  0.82 10  n 
 1.61 10 4  0.62 10 4 n 
 

NO2 = emsB3  1.422 [g/kg]


0

emsB3  0.476 [g/kg]


NO = 1
[g/kg]
CO2 = emsB3  4.413
2
3
emsB3  1.837 10 [g/kg]
CO = 3
4 [g/kg]
emsB3  6.641 10
SO2 = 4
[g/kg]
emsB3  6.217
CH4 = 5

9
3
emsB3  7.187 10 [g/kg]
N2O = 6

emsB3  0.046 [g/kg]


praf = 7

Filiera 3 ( extractia gazului natural din bazinul Moscovei)


a) Etapa de extractie

 0.024  0.0005n  
 0.0034 0.0003n  
 0.21  0.08 n 
 0.004  0.0002n 

 
emsC1   5 5 
2.3 10  0.27810  n
 
 0.51  0.04 n 
 5 5 
 3.1 10  0.63810  n

 4.2 10 4  0.85 10 4 n 
 
NO2 = emsC1  0.031 [g/kg]
0
3
emsC1  7.3  10 [g/kg]
NO = 1

emsC1  1.25 [g/kg]


CO2 = 2
3 [g/kg]
emsC1  6.6  10
CO = 3
5 [g/kg]
emsC1  5.914 10
SO2 = 4

emsC1  1.03 [g/kg]


CH4 = 5
4 [g/kg]
emsC1  1.139 10
N2O = 6
3 [g/kg]
emsC1  1.525 10
praf = 7

b) Etapa de tratare

 0.016  0.004n 
 0.0051 0.0005n  
 0.061  0.09 n 
 0.006  0.0007n

 
emsC2  
3.9 10  6.8 10  n 
3 4
 
 0.006 0.00002n  
 5 5 
 2.1 10  0.71810  n

 4.1 10 4  0.52 10 4 n 
 

10
NO2 = emsC2  0.068 [g/kg]
0

emsC2  0.012 [g/kg]


NO = 1

emsC2  1.231 [g/kg]


CO2 = 2
[g/kg]
emsC2  0.015
CO = 3
[g/kg]
emsC2  0.013
SO2 = 4
3 [g/kg]
emsC2  6.26  10
CH4 = 5
4 [g/kg]
emsC2  1.143 10
N2O = 6
3 [g/kg]
emsC2  1.086 10
praf = 7

c) Etapa de tansport

 0.0033 0.002n  
 0.0023  0.0007n  
 0.2  0.07 n 
 0.004  0.0005n 

 
emsC3   6  6   257
1.16 10  0.81 10  n
 
 0.07  0.004n 
 3 5 
 3.7 10  0.82 10  n 
 2.8 10 4  0.62 10 4 n 
 

[g/kg]
NO2 = emsC3  7.53
0
[g/kg]
emsC3  2.93
NO = 1
[g/kg]
CO2 = emsC3  285.27
2
[g/kg]
CO = emsC3  2.699
3
3 [g/kg]
emsC3  3.004 10
SO2 = 4

emsC3  31.354 [g/kg]


CH4 = 5
[g/kg]
emsC3  0.978
N2O = 6
[g/kg]
praf = emsC3  0.279
7

Puterea calorifica inferioara

11
 16 
 
 30 
 44 
Mch   58 
 
 72 
 35 
 44 
 
CH4 = Mch  16 C2H10 = Mch  30 C3H8 = Mch  44 C4H10 = Mch  58
0 1 2 3
C5H12= Mch  72 H2S = Mch  35 Mco2  44
4 5

pentru filiera 1


PCIl  81.3 compL  243 compL  45.6 compL  15 compL  25.3 compL  6 compL  418.68
0 1 2 3 4 5 
PCIl
PCIl 
1000
PCIl  28.92 [MJ/kg]

Ee
Mcomb1cb 
PCIl g
0
10
Mcomb1cb  3.285 10 [kg]

ex1  0.85  0.002n


 tr1  0.95  0.001n
 tp1  0.9  0.002n

ex1  0.876 tr1  0.963 tp1  0.926

Mcomb1cb 10
Mcomb1tp  Mcomb1tp  3.547 10 [kg]
tp1

Mcomb1cb 10
Mcomb1tr  Mcomb1tr  3.683 10 [kg]
tp1 tr1

Mcomb1cb 10
Mcomb1ex Mcomb1ex  4.205 10 [kg]
tp1 tr1 ex1

Puterea calorifica inferioara pentru gaz natural

 35774 
 63669 
 
 31138 
PCIg 
 118498
 160000
 
 25000 

12
4
PCICH4 = PCIg  3.577 10 [kj/kg] PCIC4H10= PCIg  1.185 105 [kj/kg]
0 3
4
PCIC2H6 = PCIg  6.367 10 [kj/kg] PCIC5H12= PCIg  1.6  105 [kj/kg]
1 4
4 4 [kj/kg]
PCIC3H8= PCIg  3.114  10 [kj/kg] PCIH2S= PCIg  2.5  10
2 5

VM = 22.41
5
i  0  5 �  compGiMchi
i 0
gm 
22.41

gm  0.916 [kg/m3]

 5 
� 
PCIgn   PCIg  compG    gm
i i
i  0 
PCIgn
PCIgn 
1000

PCIgn  38.973 [MJ/m3]

pentru filiera 2

Ee
Mcomb2cb 
PCIgn g
1
10
Mcomb2cb  2.467 10 [m3]

ex2  0.99  0.001n


 tr2  0.9  0.002n
 tp2  0.85  0.004n

ex2  0.977 tr2  0.926 tp2  0.902

Mcomb2cb 10
Mcomb2tp  Mcomb2tp  2.735 10 [m3]
tp2

Mcomb2tp 10
Mcomb2tr  Mcomb2tr  2.953 10 [m3]
tr2

Mcomb2tr 10
Mcomb2ex Mcomb2ex  3.023 10 [m3]
ex2

pentru filiera 3

13
14
Ee
Mcomb3cb 
PCIgn g
2
10
Mcomb3cb  1.659 10 [m3]

Mcomb3cb 10
Mcomb3tp  Mcomb3tp  1.839 10 [m3]
tp2

Mcomb3tp 10
Mcomb3tr  Mcomb3tr  1.986 10 [m3]
tr2

Mcomb3tr 10
Mcomb3ex Mcomb3ex  2.033 10 [m3]
ex2

MCbComb Extractie Tratare Transport


10 10 10
FI [kg] Mcomb1ex  4.205 10 Mcomb1tr  3.683 10 Mcomb1tp  3.547 10

10 10 10
Mcomb2ex  3.023 10 Mcomb2tr  2.953 10 Mcomb2tp  2.735 10
FII [m3]
10 10 10
Mcomb3ex  2.033 10 Mcomb3tr  1.986 10 Mcomb3tp  1.839 10
F III [m3]

Recalcularea emisiilor din analiza de inventar

In cadrul acestei etape emisiile colectate in etapa de inventar vor fi recalculate tinand cont
de unitatea functionala.

Er - emisia recalculata

- pentru carbune : Er = Ei * Mc
- pentru gaz natural Er =Ei*Vc

Filiera 1
etapa de extractie

emsA1r  emsA1  Mcomb1ex [g]

9
NO2r = emsA1r  5.256 10
0
8
NOr = emsA1r  3.742 10
1
10
CO2r= emsA1r  5.718 10
2
8
CO = emsA1r  2.775 10
3

15
6
SO2= emsA1r  4.799 10
4
10
CH4= emsA1r  3.027 10
5
6
N2O= emsA1r  3.992 10
6
7
praf= emsA1r  8.22  10
7

etapa de tratare [g]

emsA2r  emsA2  Mcomb1tr

9
NO2r = emsA2r  2.136 10
0
8
NOr = emsA2r  2.762 10
1
10
CO2r= emsA2r  8.729 10
2
8
CO = emsA2r  5.93  10
3
8
SO2= emsA2r  4.545 10
4
8
CH4= emsA2r  2.306 10
5
6
N2O= emsA2r  3.725 10
6
7
praf= emsA2r  3.853 10
7

etapa de transport [g]


emsA3r  emsA3  Mcomb1tp

10
NO2r = emsA3r  2.716 10
0
10
NOr = emsA3r  1.695 10
1
11
CO2r= emsA3r  8.343 10
2
10
CO = emsA3r  1.451 10
3
7
SO2= emsA3r  1.473 10
4
8
CH4= emsA3r  1.064 10
5
10
N2O= emsA3r  9.551 10
6
9
praf= emsA3r  1.092 10
7

Filiera 2

16
etapa de extractie [g]
emsB1r  emsB1 Mcomb2ex

9
NO2r = emsB1r  2.506 10
0
9
NOr = emsB1r  1.251 10
1

CO2r=

17
8
emsB1r  2.418 10
2
10
CO = emsB1r  3.814 10
3
6
SO2= emsB1r  1.494 10
4
10
CH4= emsB1r  3.008 10
5
6
N2O= emsB1r  3.399 10
6
7
praf= emsB1r  4.428 10
7

etapa de tratare [g]

emsB2r  emsB2 Mcomb2tr

9
NO2r = emsB2r  1.607 10
0
8
NOr = emsB2r  3.13  10
1
10
CO2r= emsB2r  4.371 10
2
9
CO = emsB2r  2.806 10
3
8
SO2= emsB2r  3.881 10
4
8
CH4= emsB2r  2.244 10
5
6
N2O= emsB2r  3.335 10
6
7
praf= emsB2r  3.503 10
7

[g]
etapa de transport
emsB3r  emsB3 Mcomb2tp

10
NO2r = emsB3r  3.89  10
0
10
NOr = emsB3r  1.301 10
1
11
CO2r= emsB3r  1.207 10
2

18
7
CO = emsB3r  5.023 10
3
7
SO2= emsB3r  1.816 10
4
11
CH4= emsB3r  1.7  10
5
8
N2O= emsB3r  1.966 10
6
9
praf= emsB3r  1.246 10
7

Filiera 3
[g]
etapa de extractie
emsC1r  emsC1 Mcomb3ex

8
NO2r = emsC1r  6.201 10
0
8
NOr = emsC1r  1.484 10
1
10
CO2r= emsC1r  2.541 10
2
8
CO = emsC1r  1.342 10
3
6
SO2= emsC1r  1.202 10
4
10
CH4= emsC1r  2.094 10
5
6
N2O= emsC1r  2.317 10
6
7
praf= emsC1r  3.101 10
7

etapa de tratare
[g]
emsC2r  emsC2 Mcomb3tr

9
NO2r = emsC2r  1.351 10
0
8
NOr = emsC2r  2.304 10
1
10
CO2r= emsC2r  2.445 10
2
8
CO = emsC2r  2.999 10
3
8
SO2= emsC2r  2.531 10
4
8
CH4= emsC2r  1.243 10
5
6
N2O= emsC2r  2.271 10
6

19
7
praf= emsC2r  2.157 10
7

etapa de transport
[g]
emsC3r  emsC3 Mcomb3tp

11
NO2r = emsC3r  1.385 10
0
10
NOr = emsC3r  5.389 10
1
12
CO2r= emsC3r  5.247 10
2
10
CO = emsC3r  4.964 10
3
7
SO2= emsC3r  5.526 10
4
11
CH4= emsC3r  5.767 10
5
10
N2O= emsC3r  1.799 10
6
9
praf= emsC3r  5.134 10
7

Analiza de impact

ETAPA DE COMBUSTIE

Calculul debitului de particule solide


-> Emisia de particule solide pentru carbune

mps=10*(1-η s)*(Ai+qn*PCI/32700)*aantr*MCmob

η s - gradul de retinere al particulelor solide in instalatia de desprafuire


s  1  n  0.001  0.987
Ai - fractia de cenusa din combustibil (Af)
Af  0.1449

qn - pierderea de caldura prin arderea incompleta din punct de vedere chimic


qn = 4%
qn  0.04
PCI - puterea calorifica inferioara
aantr - fractia de cenusa antrenata odata cu evacuarea gazelor
aantr  0.4 arderea lignitului in stare pulverizata cu evacuarea cenusii
in stare lichida cu ciclon vertical

mps  10 ( 1  s )   Af  qn 
PCIl 
  aantr Mcomb1cb
 32700

20
8
mps  2.475 10

Emisia de oxizi de sulf S0x


mSO2=20*Sci*B*(1-η ')*(1-η '')
B = Mcomb
Sci - continutul de sulf din combustie

Sci=Ms/MH2S
32 3
Sci  0.007  6.588 10
34
η ' - fractia de oxizi de sulf retinuta in instalatia de desprafuiri
η '' - fractia de oxizi de sulf antrenata odata cu particulele de cenusa zburatoare

1  0.015

pentru filiera 1 - carbune


9
mso2  20 Sci Mcomb1cb ( 1  0.015)  ( 1  0.02)  4.178 10
0
pentru filiera 2 - gaz natural
9
mso2  20 Sci Mcomb2cb ( 1  0.015)  ( 1  0.02)  3.137 10
1

pentru filiera 3 - gaz natural


9
mso2  20 Sci Mcomb3cb ( 1  0.015)  ( 1  0.02)  2.11  10
2

Emisia de NO2 -> pentru gaze naturale


mNO2=0.034 * β 1*K*Mcomb*PCI*(1-0.01*qn)*(1-β
2*r)*β 3
β 1 - coeficient ce tine cont de natura combustibilului
β 2 - coeficient ce tine cont de gradul reciclare
r - gradul de reciclare
β 3 - coeficient ce tine cont de tipul de arzator utilizat
k - factorul de sarcina
D - debitul de abur la un anumit moment de timp
Dn - debitul de abur nominal
1  0.85
2  0.002
r  0.25
3  1
12D
D
K 
200  Dn
K  10
pentru filiera 2 - gaz natural
mNO2  0.0341
  K Mcomb2cb PCIgn ( 1  0.01 qn ) ( 1  2  r)  3
0

21
pentru filiera 3 - gaz natural
mNO2  0.0341
  K Mcomb3cb PCIgn ( 1  0.01 qn ) ( 1  2  r)  3
1

 2.776 1011 
mNO2   
 11 
 1.867 10 

Calculul emisiei de C02-pentru carbune

ECO2 = 3.67*Ci*MCombustibil

pentru filiera 1 - carbune


ECO2  3.67 0.585 Mcomb1cb
0
10
ECO2  7.052 10
0

Calculul emisiei de CO2 - pentru gaze naturale


5
Mam  �  compGiMchi
i 0

Mam  20.532

Mch
0
Gc  compG   0.64 = GCH4
0 0 Mam

Mch
1
Gc  compG   0.037 = GC2H6
1 1 Mam

Mch
2
Gc  compG   0.078 = GC3H8
2 2 Mam

Mch
3
Gc  compG   0.108 = GC4H10
3 3 Mam

Mch
4
Gc  compG   0.125 = GC5H12
4 4 Mam

Mch
5
Gc  compG   0.012 = GH2S
5 5 Mam

22
Mch = GCO2
6
Gc  compG   0.092
6 6 Mam
6

�  Gci Mchi 
12
Ci 
i 0  
Ci  Ci 100

Ci  58.854
- pentru filiera 2
12
ECO2  3.67 Ci Mcomb2cb  5.328 10
1
- pentru filiera 3
12
ECO2  3.67 Ci Mcomb3cb  3.584 10
2

Emisia de NOx - pentru carbune

KNO2 = KNO2T+KNO2C

temperatura flacarii
Tgt - temperatura teoretica de ardere
Tgt  1400 K
Tg0 - temperatura gazelor de ardere la iesirea din camera de ardere
Tg0  1100 K
3
Tfl  0.925 Tgt  Tg0  1.148 10 K

fl  1.2
λ f - excesul de aer  64500
16 Tfl 1.2  1
f  1.2 0.45 10  e 
1.2
Kt 
Tfl

 11
Kt  2.144 10

xn - cantitatea de azot raportata la cantitatea da caldura generata prin ardere


10 0.01 3
xn   3.458 10
PCIl
ε λ - coeficientul de influenta al excesului de aer
2
  ( 0.53 fl  0.12)  0.572
p  0.2

p  1.73 p  0.48  0.826


r  1  0.016 r  0.992 coeficent de grad de reciclare

23
ε θ - coeficient ce tine cont de temperatura gazelor de ardere
3
  0.11 Tfl  1100  0.399
Kw  2
2
w  0.98 Kw  0.32  4.24
ε w - coeficient ce tine cont de amestecarea jeturilor de aer primar cu aer secundar
3
Kc  0.7 xn   p  r    w  1.92  10
3
KNO2  Kt  Kc  1.92  10
KNO2 PCIl Mcomb1cb 6
ENO2   1.824 10 [Kg]
1000

Emisii in etapa de combustie


Filiera 1 - carbune
10
Mco  ( 2  n  0.015)  Mcomb1cb  7.21  10
0
11
Mch4  ( 7  n  0.03)  Mcomb1cb  2.427 10
0
10
Mn2o  ( 0.35  n  0.04)  Mcomb1cb  2.858 10
0

Filiera 2 - gaze naturale


11
Mco  ( 5  n  0.002)  Mcomb2cb  1.24  10
1
11
Mch4  ( 5  n  0.007)  Mcomb2cb  1.256 10
1
11
Mn2o  ( 0.2  n  0.5)  Mcomb2cb  1.653 10
1

Filiera 3 - gaze naturale

10
Mco  ( 5  n  0.002)  Mcomb3cb  8.339 10
2
10
Mch4  ( 5  n  0.007)  Mcomb3cb  8.447 10
2
11
Mn2o  ( 0.2  n  0.5)  Mcomb3cb  1.112  10
2

1. Epuizarea resurselor naturale (ADP)

Indicatorul de epuizare a resurselor naturale s-a determinat pentru fiecare filiera in parte
tinand cont de masele de combustibil calculate in etapa de extractie.

n
ADP  �  ADPimi
i1

24
ADP - contributia la epuizarea resurselor
-pentru gaze naturale ADP=0.0187 [Kgechiv/m3]
-pentru carbune(lignit) ADP=0.00671

Consumul de resures naturale "ADP" se calculeaza pentru intreaga filiera :

ADPcarb = Mcombext*ADPcarb

ADPc  0.00671
ADPg  0.0187

Filiera 1 - carbune
8
ADP  ADPc  Mcomb1ex  2.821 10
0

Filiera 2 - gaz natural


8
ADP  ADPg  Mcomb2ex  5.653 10
1

Filiera 3 - gaz natural


8
ADP  ADPg  Mcomb3ex  3.802 10
2

2. Efectul de sera (GWP)


GWP - potentialul de invalzire globala
Gazele cu efect direct sunt CO2 NO2 CH4
Contributia gazelor la o anumita categorie de impact tine cont de urmatoarele aspecte: timpul de
stationare al poluantului respetiv in atmosfera, capacitatea poluantului respectiv de a absorbi caldura,
concentratia poluantului in atmosfera

GWPco2  1
GWPch4  21

GWPn2o  310

Filiera 1 - carbune
a) etapa de extractie
11
GWP1  GWPco2 emsA1r  GWPch4 emsA1r  GWPn2o emsA1r  6.942 10
0 2 5 6
b) etapa de tratare
10
GWP1  GWPco2 emsA2r  GWPch4 emsA2r  GWPn2o emsA2r  9.329 10
1 2 5 6

c) etapa de transport
13
GWP1  GWPco2 emsA3r  GWPch4 emsA3r  GWPn2o emsA3r  3.045 10
2 2 5 6

d) etapa de combustie
13
GWP1  GWPco2 Mco  GWPch4 Mch4  GWPn2o Mn2o  1.403 10
3 0 0 0

25
Filiera 2 - gaz natural
a) etapa de extractie
11
GWP2  GWPco2 emsB1r  GWPch4 emsB1r  GWPn2o emsB1r  6.329 10
0 2 5 6
b) etapa de tratare
10
GWP2  GWPco2 emsB2r  GWPch4 emsB2r  GWPn2o emsB2r  4.946 10
1 2 5 6

c) etapa de transport
12
GWP2  GWPco2 emsB3r  GWPch4 emsB3r  GWPn2o emsB3r  3.752 10
2 2 5 6
d) etapa de combustie
13
GWP2  GWPco2 Mco  GWPch4 Mch4  GWPn2o Mn2o  5.4  10
3 1 1 1

Filiera 3 - gaz natural


a) etapa de extractie
11
GWP3  GWPco2 emsC1r  GWPch4 emsC1r  GWPn2o emsC1r  4.659 10
0 2 5 6
b) etapa de tratare
10
GWP3  GWPco2 emsC2r  GWPch4 emsC2r  GWPn2o emsC2r  2.777 10
1 2 5 6

c) etapa de transport
13
GWP3  GWPco2 emsC3r  GWPch4 emsC3r  GWPn2o emsC3r  2.294 10
2 2 5 6

d) etapa de combustie
13
GWP3  GWPco2 Mco  GWPch4 Mch4  GWPn2o Mn2o  3.632 10
3 2 2 2

Calculul GWT total este :


GWT = GWTex+GWTtr+GWTtp+GWTcomb
13
GWT  GWP1  GWP1  GWP1  GWP1  4.526 10
0 0 1 2 3

13
GWT  GWP2  GWP2  GWP2  GWP2  5.843 10
1 0 1 2 3

13
GWT  GWP3  GWP3  GWP3  GWP3  5.975 10
2 0 1 2 3

3. Toxicitatea umana (HTP)

HTPno2  1.2
HTPn2o  0.22
HTPso2  0.096

26
HTPpraf  0.82

filiera 1 - carbune
a) etapa de extractie
9
HTP1  HTPno2 emsA1r  HTPn2o emsA1r  HTPso2  emsA1r  HTPpraf  emsA1r  6.376 10
0 0 6 4 7

b) etapa de tratare
9
HTP1  HTPno2 emsA2r  HTPn2o emsA2r  HTPso2  emsA2r  HTPpraf  emsA2r  2.64  10
1 0 6 4 7

c) etapa de transport
10
HTP1  HTPno2 emsA3r  HTPn2o emsA3r  HTPso2  emsA3r  HTPpraf  emsA3r  5.45  10
2 0 6 4 7

d) etapa de combustie
9
HTP1  HTPno2 ENO2  HTPn2o Mn2o  HTPso2  mso2  6.69  10
3 0 0

filiera 2 - gaz natural


a) etapa de extractie
9
HTP2  HTPno2 emsB1r  HTPn2o emsB1r  HTPso2  emsB1r  HTPpraf  emsB1r  3.044 10
0 0 6 4 7

b) etapa de tratare
9
HTP2  HTPno2 emsB2r  HTPn2o emsB2r  HTPso2  emsB2r  HTPpraf  emsB2r  1.995 10
1 0 6 4 7

c) etapa de transport
10
HTP2  HTPno2 emsB3r  HTPn2o emsB3r  HTPso2  emsB3r  HTPpraf  emsB3r  4.775 10
2 0 6 4 7

d) etapa de combustie
11
HTP2  HTPno2 mNO2  HTPn2o Mn2o  HTPso2  mso2  3.698 10
3 0 1 1

filiera 3 - gaz natural

a) etapa de extractie
8
HTP3  HTPno2 emsC1r  HTPn2o emsC1r  HTPso2  emsC1r  HTPpraf  emsC1r  7.702 10
0 0 6 4 7

b) etapa de tratare
9
HTP3  HTPno2 emsC2r  HTPn2o emsC2r  HTPso2  emsC2r  HTPpraf  emsC2r  1.663 10
1 0 6 4 7

c) etapa de transport
11
HTP3  HTPno2 emsC3r  HTPn2o emsC3r  HTPso2  emsC3r  HTPpraf  emsC3r  1.744 10
2 0 6 4 7
d) etapa de combustie

27
11
HTP3  HTPno2 mNO2  HTPn2o Mn2o  HTPso2  mso2  2.487 10
3 1 2 2

Se calculeaza HTP total pentru fiecare filiera

3
10
HTP 
0 � HTP1i  7.02 10
i 0

3
11
HTP 
1 � HTP2i  4.225 10
i 0

3
11
HTP 
2 � HTP3i  4.255 10
i 0

4. Poluarea fotochimica (POCP)

POCPch4  0.006
POCPn2o  0.028
POCPco  0.027

Filiera 1 - carbune
a) etapa de extractie
8
POCP1  POCPch4 emsA1r  POCPn2o emsA1r  POCPco emsA1r  1.892 10
0 5 6 3

b) etapa de tratare
7
POCP1  POCPch4 emsA2r  POCPn2o emsA2r  POCPco emsA2r  1.75  10
1 5 6 3
c) etapa de transport
9
POCP1  POCPch4 emsA3r  POCPn2o emsA3r  POCPco emsA3r  3.067 10
2 5 6 3

d) etapa de combustie
9
POCP1  POCPch4 Mch4  POCPn2o Mn2o  POCPco Mco  4.203 10
3 0 0 0

Filiera 2 - gaz natural


a) etapa de extractie
9
POCP2  POCPch4 emsB1r  POCPn2o emsB1r  POCPco emsB1r  1.21  10
0 5 6 3

b) etapa de tratare
7
POCP2  POCPch4 emsB2r  POCPn2o emsB2r  POCPco emsB2r  7.719 10
1 5 6 3
c) etapa de transport

28
9
POCP2  POCPch4 emsB3r  POCPn2o emsB3r  POCPco emsB3r  1.027 10
2 5 6 3

d) etapa de combustie
9
POCP2  POCPch4 Mch4  POCPn2o Mn2o  POCPco Mco  8.728 10
3 1 1 1

Filiera 3 - gaz natural


a) etapa de extractie
8
POCP3  POCPch4 emsC1r  POCPn2o emsC1r  POCPco emsC1r  1.293 10
0 5 6 3

b) etapa de tratare
6
POCP3  POCPch4 emsC2r  POCPn2o emsC2r  POCPco emsC2r  8.908 10
1 5 6 3
c) etapa de transport
9
POCP3  POCPch4 emsC3r  POCPn2o emsC3r  POCPco emsC3r  5.304 10
2 5 6 3

d) etapa de combustie
9
POCP3  POCPch4 Mch4  POCPn2o Mn2o  POCPco Mco  5.871 10
3 2 2 2

Calculul POCP total este realizat pentru fiecare filiera in parte


3
9
POCP 
0 � POCP1i  7.477 10
i 0

3
10
POCP 
1 � POCP2i  1.104 10
i 0

3
10
POCP 
2 � POCP3i  1.131 10
i 0

5. Acidifierea (AP)
APno2  0.5
APso2  1.2

Filiera 1 - carbune
a) etapa de extractie
9
AP1  APno2  emsA1r  APso2  emsA1r  2.634 10
0 0 4
b) etapa de tratare
9
AP1  APno2  emsA2r  APso2  emsA2r  1.614 10
1 0 4
c) etapa de transport
10
AP1  APno2  emsA3r  APso2  emsA3r  1.36  10
2 0 4

29
d) etapa de combustie
9
AP1  APno2  ENO2  APso2  mso2  5.014 10
3 0

Filiera 2 - gaz natural


a) etapa de extractie
9
AP2  APno2  emsB1r  APso2  emsB1r  1.255 10
0 0 4
b) etapa de tratare
9
AP2  APno2  emsB2r  APso2  emsB2r  1.269 10
1 0 4
c) etapa de transport
10
AP2  APno2  emsB3r  APso2  emsB3r  1.947 10
2 0 4
d) etapa de combustie
11
AP2  APno2  mNO2  APso2  mso2  1.426 10
3 0 1

Filiera 3 - gaz natrual


a) etapa de extractie
8
AP3  APno2  emsC1r  APso2  emsC1r  3.115  10
0 0 4
b) etapa de tratare
8
AP3  APno2  emsC2r  APso2  emsC2r  9.791 10
1 0 4
c) etapa de transport
10
AP3  APno2  emsC3r  APso2  emsC3r  6.932 10
2 0 4
d) etapa de combustie
10
AP3  APno2  mNO2  APso2  mso2  9.588 10
3 1 2

Calculul AP total este realizat pentru fiecare filiera in parte

3
10
AP 
0 � AP1i  2.286 10
i 0

3
11
AP 
1 � AP2i  1.646 10
i 0

3
11
AP 
2 � AP3i  1.665 10
i 0

6. Eutrofizarea (EP)
EPno2  0.13

30
EPn2o  0.2
Filiera 1 - carbune
a) etapa de extractie
8
EP1  EPno2 emsA1r  EPn2o emsA1r  6.841 10
0 0 6

b) etapa de tratare
8
EP1  EPno2 emsA2r  EPn2o emsA2r  2.785 10
1 0 6

c) etapa de transport
10
EP1  EPno2 emsA3r  EPn2o emsA3r  2.263 10
2 0 6

d) etapa de combustie
9
EP1  EPno2 ENO2  EPn2o Mn2o  5.715 10
3 0

Filiera 2 - gaz natural


a) etapa de extractie
8
EP2  EPno2 emsB1r  EPn2o emsB1r  3.264 10
0 0 6

b) etapa de tratare
8
EP2  EPno2 emsB2r  EPn2o emsB2r  2.095 10
1 0 6

c) etapa de transport
9
EP2  EPno2 emsB3r  EPn2o emsB3r  5.096 10
2 0 6

d) etapa de combustie
10
EP2  EPno2 mNO2  EPn2o Mn2o  6.914 10
3 0 1

Filiera 3 - gaz natural


a) etapa de extractie
7
EP3  EPno2 emsC1r  EPn2o emsC1r  8.108 10
0 0 6

b) etapa de tratare
8
EP3  EPno2 emsC2r  EPn2o emsC2r  1.761 10
1 0 6

c) etapa de transport
10
EP3  EPno2 emsC3r  EPn2o emsC3r  2.161 10
2 0 6

d) etapa de combustie
10
EP3  EPno2 mNO2  EPn2o Mn2o  4.65  10
3 1 2

Calculul EP total se face pentru fiecare filiera in parte

31
3
10
EP 
0 � EP1i  2.931 10
i0

3
10
EP 
1 � EP2i  7.477 10
i0

3
10
EP 
2 � EP3i  6.837 10
i0

Matricea ce contine indicatorii calculati anterior


HTP
GWP ADP AP EP POCP
13 8 10 10 109
GWT  4.526 10 ADP  2.821 10 AP  2.286 10 EP  2.931 10 POCP
HTP  7.02
7.47710
10
0 0 0 0 0

13 8 11 10 10
11
GWT  5.843 10 ADP  5.653 10 AP  1.646 10 EP  7.477 10 POCP
HTP  1.104
4.225 10
1 1 1 1 1

13 8 11 10 10
11
GWT  5.975 10 ADP  3.802 10 AP  1.665 10 EP  6.837 10 POCP
HTP  1.131
4.255 10
2 2 2 2 2

Matricea normalizata - valorile fiecarui indicator de impact va fi cuprins in intervalul (0,1), pastrand
aceeasi interpretare
Pentru solutii slabe valoarea indicatorului normalizat este mai mic. Pentru fiecare criteriu in parte se
identifica valoarea maxima.

ADPm  r  0
for i  0 1 2
r  ADP if r  ADP
i i
return r
8
ADPm  5.653 10
ADP ADP ADP
0 1 2
ADPn   0.499 ADPn  1 ADPn   0.673
0 ADPm 1 ADPm 2 ADPm

GWPm  r  0
for i  0 1 2
r  GWT if r  GWT
i i
return r
13
GWPm  5.975 10

32
GWT GWT GWT
0 1 2
GWTn   0.758 GWTn   0.978 GWTn  1
0 GWPm 1 GWPm 2 GWPm

APm  r  0
for i  0 1 2
r  AP if r  AP
i i
return r
11
APm  1.665 10

AP AP AP
0 1 2
APn   0.137 APn   0.988 APn  1
0 APm 1 APm 2 APm

EPm  r  0
for i  0 1 2
r  EP if r  EP
i i
return r
10
EPm  7.477 10

EP EP EP
0 1 2
EPn   0.392 EPn  1 EPn   0.914
0 EPm 1 EPm 2 EPm

POCPm  r  0
for i  0 1 2
r  POCP if r  POCP
i i
return r
10
POCPm  1.131 10

POCP POCP POCP


0 1 2
POCPn   0.1 POCPn   0.148 POCPn   0.151
0 EPm 1 EPm 2 EPm

HTPm  r  0
for i  0 1 2
r  HTP if r  HTP
i i
return r
11
HTPm  4.255 10

HTP HTP HTP


0 1 2
HTPn   0.165 HTPn   0.993 HTPn  1
0 HTPm 1 HTPm 2 HTPm

33
δ = valoarea maxima (F) - valoarea minima(F)

GWT  r  1 ADP  r  1
for i  0 1 2 for i  0 1 2
r  GWTn if r  GWTn r  ADPn if r  ADPn
i i i i
r1r r1r
return r return r

AP  r  1 EP  r  1
for i  0 1 2 for i  0 1 2
r  APn if r  APn r  EPn if r  EPn
i i i i
r1r r1r
return r return r

POCP  r  1 HTP  r  1
for i  0 1 2 for i  0 1 2
r  POCPn if r  POCPn r  HTPn if r  HTPn
i i i i
r1r r1r
return r return r

34
Matricea normalizata
HTP
GWP ADP AP EP POCP
GWTn  0.758 ADPn  0.499 APn  0.137 EPn  0.392 POCPn  0.1 HTPn  0.165
0 0 0 0 0 0

GWTn  0.978 ADPn  1 APn  0.988 EPn  1 POCPn  0.148


HTPn  0.993
1 1 1 1 1 1

GWTn  1 ADPn  0.673 APn  1 EPn  0.914 POCPn  0.151 HTPn  1


2 2 2 2 2 2

GWT  0.242 ADP  0.501 AP  0.863 EP  0.608 POCP  0.9HTP  0.835
GWPc  10 ADPc  9 APc  5 EPc  3 POCPc  2 HTPc  8

Calculul matricii de concordanta

In prima faza indicele de concordanta se va calcula pentru a calcula matricea de concordanta


Cik=[P+(ai,ak) + P=(ai,ak)]/P+
P+(ai,ak) - suma ponderilor criteriilor pentru care actiunea a i, este mai buna decat actiunea ak
P=(ai,ak) - suma ponderilor criteriilor pentru care cele doua actiuni sunt echivalente
P==0
P-(ai,ak) - suma ponderilor criteriilor pentru care actiunea a k este mai buna decat actiunea ai

Pentru calculul de concordanta ne uitam in matricea indicatorilor:

PT = 10+8+5+9+3+2 = 37
Calculul inidicilor de concordanta.
p1  37 - p Total

1.) C12(F1,F2)
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  r  10 if GWTn  GWTn
0 1
r  r  9 if ADPn  ADPn
0 1
r  r  5 if APn  APn
0 1
r  r  3 if EPn  EPn
0 1
r  r  2 if POCPn  POCPn
0 1
r  r  8 if HTPn  HTPn
0 1
return r

35
pp  0
pm  p1  pp  37

pp
C12  0 Ind  C12
p1 1 0

2.) C13(F1,F3)
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  r  10 if GWTn  GWTn
0 2
r  r  9 if ADPn  ADPn
0 2
r  r  5 if APn  APn
0 2
r  r  3 if EPn  EPn
0 2
r  r  2 if POCPn  POCPn
0 2
r  r  8 if HTPn  HTPn
0 2
return r

pp  0
pm  p1  pp  37

pp
C13  0 Ind  C13
p1 2 0

3.) C23(F2,F3)
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  r  10 if GWTn  GWTn
1 2
r  r  9 if ADPn  ADPn
1 2
r  r  5 if APn  APn
1 2
r  r  3 if EPn  EPn
1 2
r  r  2 if POCPn  POCPn
1 2
r  r  8 if HTPn  HTPn
1 2
return r

pp  12
pm  p1  pp  25

36
pp
C23   0.324 Ind  C23
p1 2 1

4.) C21(F2,F1)
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  r  10 if GWTn  GWTn
1 0
r  r  9 if ADPn  ADPn
1 0
r  r  5 if APn  APn
1 0
r  r  3 if EPn  EPn
1 0
r  r  2 if POCPn  POCPn
1 0
r  r  8 if HTPn  HTPn
1 0
return r

pp  37
pm  p1  pp  0

pp
C21  1 Ind  C21
p1 0 1

5.) C31(F3,F1)
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  r  10 if GWTn  GWTn
2 0
r  r  9 if ADPn  ADPn
2 0
r  r  5 if APn  APn
2 0
r  r  3 if EPn  EPn
2 0
r  r  2 if POCPn  POCPn
2 0
r  r  8 if HTPn  HTPn
2 0
return r

pp  37
pm  p1  pp  0

pp
C31  1 Ind  C31
p1 0 2

6.) C32(F3,F2)

37
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  r  10 if GWTn  GWTn
2 1
r  r  9 if ADPn  ADPn
2 1
r  r  5 if APn  APn
2 1
r  r  3 if EPn  EPn
2 1
r  r  2 if POCPn  POCPn
2 1
r  r  8 if HTPn  HTPn
2 1
return r

pp  25
pm  p1  pp  12

pp
C32   0.676 Ind  C32
p1 1 2

Matricea de concordanta
Cik F1 F2 F3
F1 - C21  1 C31  1
C12  0
F2 - C32  0.676

F3 C13  0 C23  0.324 -

Calculul matricii de nondiscordanta

Se vor calcula indicii de discordanta dupa cum urmeaza:

1.) D12(F1,F2)
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  ADPn  ADPn if ADPn  ADPn
1 0 1 0
r  GWTn  GWTn
1 0 
   GWTn1  GWTn0
if r  GWTn  GWTn
1 0
r  APn  APn if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
1 0 1 0 1 0
r  EPn  EPn if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
1 0 1 0 1 0
r  POCPn  POCPn if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
1 0 1 0 1 0
r  HTPn  HTPn if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
1 0 1 0 1 0
return r

38
  r  0
r  ADP if ADPn  ADPn
1 0


r  GWT if r  GWTn  GWTn    GWTn1  GWTn0
1 0
r  AP if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
1 0 1 0
r  EP if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
1 0 1 0
r  POCP if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
1 0 1 0
r  HTP if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
1 0 1 0
return r

1
D12  pp   0.986

2.) D13(F1,F3)
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  ADPn  ADPn if ADPn  ADPn
2 0 2 0
r  GWTn  GWTn
2 0     GWTn2  GWTn0
if r  GWTn  GWTn
2 0
r  APn  APn if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
2 0 2 0 2 0
r  EPn  EPn if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
2 0 2 0 2 0
r  POCPn  POCPn if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
2 0 2 0 2 0
r  HTPn  HTPn if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
2 0 2 0 2 0
return r

  r  0
r  ADP if ADPn  ADPn
2 0


r  GWT if r  GWTn  GWTn    GWTn2  GWTn0
2 0
r  AP if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
2 0 2 0
r  EP if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
2 0 2 0
r  POCP if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
2 0 2 0
r  HTP if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
2 0 2 0
return r

1
D13  pp  1

39
40
3.) D21(F2,F1)
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  ADPn  ADPn if ADPn  ADPn
0 1 0 1
r  GWTn  GWTn
0 1     GWTn0  GWTn1
if r  GWTn  GWTn
0 1
r  APn  APn if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
0 1 0 1 0 1
r  EPn  EPn if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
0 1 0 1 0 1
r  POCPn  POCPn if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
0 1 0 1 0 1
r  HTPn  HTPn if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
0 1 0 1 0 1
return r

  r  0.00001
r  ADP if ADPn  ADPn
0 1


r  GWT if r  GWTn  GWTn
0    GWTn0  GWTn1
1
r  AP if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
0 1 0 1
r  EP if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
0 1 0 1
r  POCP if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
0 1 0 1
r  HTP if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
0 1 0 1
return r

1
D21  pp  0

4.) D23(F2,F3)
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  ADPn  ADPn if ADPn  ADPn
2 1 2 1
r  GWTn  GWTn
2 1 
if r  GWTn  GWTn
2 1    GWTn2  GWTn1
r  APn  APn if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
2 1 2 1 2 1
r  EPn  EPn if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
2 1 2 1 2 1

  r r0POCPn  POCPn if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 


2 1 2 1 2 1
r r HTPn  HTPn 2 if r   1HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
ADP if ADPn  ADPn
2 1 2 1 2 1
 GWT
r return r if r   GWTn  GWTn    GWTn  GWTn 
2 1 2 1
r  AP if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
2 1 2 1
r  EP if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
2 1 2 1
r  POCP if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
2 1 41 2 1
r  HTP if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
2 1 2 1
return r
1
D23  pp   0.091

5.) D31(F3,F1)
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  ADPn  ADPn if ADPn  ADPn
2 0 2 0
r  GWTn  GWTn
2 0     GWTn2  GWTn0
if r  GWTn  GWTn
2 0
r  APn  APn if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
2 0 2 0 2 0
r  EPn  EPn if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
2 0 2 0 2 0
r  POCPn  POCPn if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
2 0 2 0 2 0
r  HTPn  HTPn if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
2 0 2 0 2 0
return r

  r  0
r  ADP if ADPn  ADPn
2 0


r  GWT if r  GWTn  GWTn    GWTn2  GWTn0
2 0
r  AP if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
2 0 2 0
r  EP if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
2 0 2 0
r  POCP if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
2 0 2 0
r  HTP if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
2 0 2 0
return r

1
D31  pp  1

5.) D31(F3,F2)

42
Calculam P+
pp  r  0
r  ADPn  ADPn if ADPn  ADPn
2 1 2 1
r  GWTn  GWTn
2 1     GWTn2  GWTn1
if r  GWTn  GWTn
2 1
r  APn  APn if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
2 1 2 1 2 1
r  EPn  EPn if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
2 1 2 1 2 1
r  POCPn  POCPn if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
2 1 2 1 2 1
r  HTPn  HTPn if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
2 1 2 1 2 1
return r

  r  0
r  ADP if ADPn  ADPn
2 1


r  GWT if r  GWTn  GWTn    GWTn2  GWTn1
2 1
r  AP if r   APn  APn    APn  APn 
2 1 2 1
r  EP if r   EPn  EPn    EPn  EPn 
2 1 2 1
r  POCP if r   POCPn  POCPn    POCPn  POCPn 
2 1 2 1
r  HTP if r   HTPn  HTPn    HTPn  HTPn 
2 1 2 1
return r

1
D32  pp   0.091

Matricea de nondiscordantra
Cik F1 F2 F3
F1 - D21  0 D31  1
D12  0.986
F2 - D32  0.091

F3 D13  1 D23  0.091 -

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