Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
MANAGEMENT FINANCIAR
Coordonator,
Lect. Dr. MIHAIU DIANA
Student:
Rileanu Anca
Anul III, CIG ID
Fagaras
2015-2016
TEMA 1-Se va alege o firma reala. Indicat este ca fiecare student sa aiba o firma
diferita.
Cerinta: Previzionati nivelul cifrei de afaceri la SC .... pentru anul 2016 utilizand:
a) ritmul mediu de crestere
b) metoda celor mai mici patrate
a) Previzionarea cifrei de afaceri pentru anul 2016 la SC MOBEX SA, prin
metoda ritmului mediu de crestere.
Anul
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
CA
In/n-1
42.838.133
45.821.798 1.070
46.520.462 1.015
37.292.808 0.802
31.358.763 0.841
?
CA2016 = CA2015 *
b) Previzionare cifrei de afaceri pentru anul 2016 la SC MOBEX SA, prin celor
mai mici patrate.
y=CA
x2
x*y
1
2
3
4
5
42.838.133
45.821.798
46.520.462
37.292.808
31.358.763
1
4
9
16
25
42.838.133
91.643.596
139.561.386
149.171.232
156.793.815
= 15
= 203.831.964
= 55
= 580.008.162
+ =
+ 2 =
5 + 15 = 203.831.964 / (3)
15 + 55 = 580.008.162
15 45 = 611.495.892
15 + 55 = 580.008.162
/ 10b = -31.487.730
b=
31.487.730
10
b= -3.148.773
5a+15*(-3.148.773)=203.831.964
5a=203.831.964+47.231.598
a=50.212.711,8
CA2016 = a+b*x
= 50.212.711,8-3.148.773*6
=31.320.073,8 lei
100
IS=
2011 =
2012 =
2013 =
100
100 =
100 =
100 =
42.838.13347.047.444
42.838.133
45.821.79851.242.316
45.821.798
46.520.46250.151.943
46.520.462
2 2011 =
3 2011 =
4 2011 =
5 2011 =
19.778.831
19.710.770+19.778.831+7.157
2.457.980
39.496.758
2.985.455
39.496.758
= 0.06
= 0.08
=
28.782.425
42.838.133
39.496.758
1.180.168
=1.08
= 24.39
19.778.831
39.496.758
= 0.50
1 2012 =
2 2012 =
3 2012 =
4 2012 =
5 2012 =
21.954.217
22.691.519+21.954.217+7.026
3.355.205
44.652.762
3.983.150
44.652.762
= 0.08
= 0.09
=
30.294.146
4.115.059
45.821.798
=1.03
44.652.762
21.954.217
44.652.762
= 0.49
= 7.36
Z2012 = 1.2*0.49+1.4*0.08+3.3*0.09+0.6*7.36+1.03
Z2012 = 6.44 >3 (situatie favorabila)
1 2013 =
2 2013 =
3 2013 =
4 2013 =
5 2013 =
24.011.621
23.510.255+24.011.621+73.353
3.052.215
47.595.229
3.686.479
47.595.229
= 0.06
= 0.08
=
31.376.360
46.520.462
47.595.229
4.366.905
=0.98
= 7.19
Z2013 = 1.2*0.5+1.4*0.06+3.3*0.08+0.6*7.19+0.98
24.011.621
47.595.229
= 0.5
2 2011 =
28.782.425+1.180.168
29.962.593
39.496.758
5.110.358+520.277 5.630.635
9.026.363
9.026.363
= 0.62
= 0.76
39.496.758
1.215.858
42.838.133
19.520.967
65.452.253
=0.03
= 0.30
45.621.401
65.621.401
= 0.70
2 2012 =
30.294.146+4.115.059 34.409.205
44.652.762
4.616.302+450.122
9.228.471
5.066.424
9.228.471
= 0.77
44.652.762
= 0.55
=
1.379.600
45.821.798
22.009.620
72.433.158
= 0.03
= 0.30
50.207.065
72.433.158
= 0.69
1 2013 =
2 2013 =
31.376.360+4.366.905 35.743.265
47.595.229
5.058.664+413.087
9.881.729
5.471.751
9.881.729
= 0.75
47.595.229
=0.55
=
4 2013 =
1.578.171
46.520.462
22.493.334
71.703.842
= 0.03
= 0.31
5 2013 =
48.959.001
71.703.842
= 0.68